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We have heard a lot of criticism that the
Ukrainian armed forces are advancing in
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the wrong place and in the wrong way. That
they are operating with too small forces,
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that they need to use larger formations and
in a more concentrated manner, and many other
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things said by people who would not even dare
to start what the Ukrainian soldiers are doing.
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Let's assume that the AFU launched an offensive
with entire brigades, a large-scale assault by
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large ground forces with limited air support,
with the occupants having tenfold superiority in
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the air. Without the necessary number of tactical
air defense systems to cover the advancing troops.
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Through minefields, head-on, taking into account
all the things I have already told you many times.
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You can imagine the result. I don't
understand why theorists don't have
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enough imagination to paint
this picture in their heads.
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This was the rose-colored dream of the Russian
occupiers. They just bring up the air force and
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wreck the whole thing in a short period of time
and it's all over very quickly. Insane human
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casualties, destroyed equipment and a cross on the
further prospect of de-occupation of the South.
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Wonderful prospects, but only for the occupiers.
And now compare what the Russian aviation,
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for all its superiority, is actually
doing. It hunts for small groups of
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AFU and individual units of equipment,
fires on roads when there is no one there.
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The Ukrainians have long and widely
used the so-called small group tactics.
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This applies to both men and equipment.
Accordingly, Russian aviation is chasing them,
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dropping tons of bombs every day,
and the offensive is still going on.
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From the very beginning of the campaign,
the AFU found itself in a situation where
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they don't even have parity in the air. So
there was a choice. Not to offensive at all,
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or to act as one can act at all under the
circumstances. The option that the theorists
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talk about simply does not exist for the Ukrainian
defense forces for the reasons described above.
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If the Ukrainian side had parity in the air,
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perhaps we would see a different type of
offensive. Maybe it would have been faster,
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maybe the storm troopers would be easier.
. But Ukraine has a certain material base
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and the aggressor has more resources, he
entrenched himself while Ukraine was waiting
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for political decisions from its allies
and the supply of weapons and ammunition.
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And the indicator of success of the AFU actions is
not only in the form of advancement and losses of
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the enemy. But also in how desperately Russian
propaganda is trying to enforce the narrative
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about the insane losses of the AFU. To demoralize
Ukrainians and discourage allies from helping.
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This is part of their military
doctrine - an indirect means
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of pressure on the victim of
aggression, a bluff of sorts.
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Yes, in war there cannot be no casualties,
and even one dead brother in arms is a lot.
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But if it were as the occupants say, Ukraine
would have no more combat-ready units left.
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It is a pity that we have to explain
obvious things to many people in the world.
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That the Ukrainian armed forces will not conduct
such operations quickly without airplanes.....
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no one can. Explaining that
Ukrainian assault forces have
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significantly fewer resources
than the enemy in defense.
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This should be understood by theorists who believe
that the offensive should be "large forces".
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At the same time, the theory says that there
should be proper air support, which there is not.
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But I hope that common sense will prevail
in the world and we will have an adequate
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perception of the situation and understanding
of the need to support Ukraine's fight against
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a threat that openly declares its
appetites that go far beyond Ukraine.
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By the way, what are your
thoughts on President Biden's
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refusal to provide ATACMS in the upcoming package?
5802
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