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Must we die?
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Are there beings in the cosmos
who live forever...
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afloat on an endless journey
down the river of time?
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Our ancestors marked the passage
of time by the moon and stars.
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00:02:31,405 --> 00:02:35,085
But it was the people who once
lived here, around 5000 years ago...
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who first started chopping up time into
smaller bite-sized portions of hours...
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and minutes. They call
this place Uruk. We call it Iraq.
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It's a part of Mesopotamia...
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the land between the Tigris
and the Euphrates rivers.
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The city was invented here.
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00:02:56,086 --> 00:02:58,598
And one of humanity's
greatest victories was
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won in the ceaseless
battle against time.
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It was here that we learned
how to write.
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00:03:04,166 --> 00:03:06,086
Death could no longer silence us.
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00:03:06,246 --> 00:03:09,606
And writing gave us the power
to reach across the millennia...
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00:03:09,766 --> 00:03:12,446
and speak inside
the heads of the living.
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00:03:13,046 --> 00:03:16,526
No one had ever spoken across
a longer stretch of time's river...
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00:03:16,686 --> 00:03:20,646
than this Akkadian princess,
daughter of the first emperor in history...
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and priestess of the moon. Enheduanna.
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For not only did she write poetry...
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but Enheduanna did something
no one before her had ever done.
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She signed her name to her work.
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She's the first person for whom we can say
we know who she was and what she dreamed.
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00:03:38,487 --> 00:03:42,927
She dreamt of stepping through
the Gate of Wonder.
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Here's a thought Enheduanna
sent across more than 4000 years to you.
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It's from her work entitled
Lady of the Largest Heart.
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Innana, the planet Venus,
goddess of love...
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will have a great destiny
throughout the entire universe.
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Throughout the entire universe.
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And Uruk is also the
place where the epic tale
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of the hero's journey
was first written down.
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Before Batman, Luke Skywalker,
Odysseus, before them all...
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00:04:18,248 --> 00:04:23,648
there was a man named Gilgamesh
who left home on a quest to vanquish time.
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Gilgamesh was searching for immortality.
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He looked everywhere,
gained complete wisdom...
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00:04:31,929 --> 00:04:33,808
uncovered what was hidden.
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He brought back a tale of times
before the Great Flood.
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He built the wall of Uruk,
which no future king will ever match.
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00:04:44,009 --> 00:04:48,689
Read the story of that man, Gilgamesh,
a hero born of Uruk...
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00:04:48,850 --> 00:04:51,369
who went through all kinds of sufferings...
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00:04:51,529 --> 00:04:53,770
who crossed the ocean, the broad seas...
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as far as the sunrise...
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who inspected the edges of the world,
searching for eternal life.
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On his travels, Gilgamesh encountered
a wise man named Utnapishtim...
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00:05:04,809 --> 00:05:08,010
who told him the story of a flood
that destroyed the world...
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00:05:08,170 --> 00:05:11,050
and how one of the gods
instructed Utnapishtim...
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00:05:11,210 --> 00:05:15,570
to build an ark
to rescue his family and the animals.
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00:05:46,771 --> 00:05:51,652
The earliest surviving account of the flood
legend was written down in Mesopotamia...
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a thousand years before it was retold
as the story of Noah in the Old Testament.
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00:05:57,091 --> 00:06:01,212
So you could say Gilgamesh
fulfilled his quest for immortality.
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00:06:01,372 --> 00:06:05,332
We still read the Epic of Gilgamesh,
and with every reader...
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00:06:05,492 --> 00:06:06,732
he lives again.
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00:06:06,892 --> 00:06:11,852
And all those heroes and superheroes who
have come since follow in the footsteps...
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of the first hero's journey...
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00:06:14,252 --> 00:06:16,652
another kind of immortality.
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00:06:16,812 --> 00:06:22,093
A story sent from one civilization
to another across thousands of years.
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00:06:22,253 --> 00:06:26,412
But life itself sends its own stories
across billions of years.
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It's a message that every one of us
carries inside...
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inscribed in all the cells of our bodies in
a language that all life on Earth can read.
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00:06:39,973 --> 00:06:44,533
The genetic code is written in an alphabet
consisting of only four letters.
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Each letter is a molecule made of atoms.
Each word is three letters long.
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Every living thing
is a masterpiece...
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written by nature
and edited by evolution.
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The instructions for running...
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and reproducing
the intricate machinery of life.
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00:07:02,374 --> 00:07:04,734
The essential message of life
has been copied...
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00:07:04,894 --> 00:07:08,174
and recopied
for more than 3 billion years.
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00:07:08,334 --> 00:07:10,614
But where did that message
come from?
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Nobody knows.
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00:07:21,574 --> 00:07:23,734
Perhaps it began in a shallow,
sunlit pool...
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just like this.
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Somehow, carbon-rich molecules began using
energy to make crude copies of themselves.
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Some varieties were better
at making copies, and left more offspring.
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00:07:35,654 --> 00:07:38,895
The competing molecules
became more elaborate.
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Evolution and life itself
was underway.
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00:07:45,455 --> 00:07:48,816
Or life could've started
in the searing heat
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of a volcanic vent
on the deep sea floor.
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00:07:55,735 --> 00:07:59,776
Or is it possible that life came to Earth
as a hitchhiker?
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Let me tell you a story about a traveler
from another world.
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The peace of the Egyptian
village of Nakhla, near Alexandria...
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00:08:13,936 --> 00:08:17,816
was abruptly shattered
on a June morning in 1911.
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Written in this meteorite
was a message from another planet.
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But 70 years would pass
before anyone could read it.
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In 1976, NASA landed two Viking
spacecraft on Mars.
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Carl Sagan took us there on our original
journey through the cosmos.
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We found that the Martian air
was less than 1 percent as dense as ours...
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and made mostly of carbon dioxide.
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There were smaller amounts of nitrogen,
argon, water vapor and oxygen.
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00:09:06,258 --> 00:09:09,457
A few years later, when scientists
thought to analyze the gasses...
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00:09:09,618 --> 00:09:13,378
trapped inside the Nakhla meteorite,
and other members of its class...
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they found a striking similarity.
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The vast majority of meteorites
are fragments of asteroids.
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But the kind that hit Nakhla on Earth
could only have come from one place.
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Mars.
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Welcome to Mars.
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00:09:49,659 --> 00:09:52,459
Over a billion years ago,
a volcano erupted here...
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and its lava cooled into solid rock.
98
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Hundreds of millions of years later,
this area was flooded with water.
99
00:09:59,939 --> 00:10:03,860
And long after that flood, an asteroid
the size of the Rock of Gibraltar...
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00:10:04,020 --> 00:10:08,620
crashed into the Martian surface,
blasting out a huge crater.
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Much of the debris
was ejected back out into space...
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where it orbited the
sun until a gravitational
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tug from its home
planet, Mars...
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diverted one of
the boulders into a
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00:10:21,581 --> 00:10:24,581
collision course with
Earth. It's arrival...
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00:10:24,741 --> 00:10:27,861
shook up the little village
of Nakhla. Meteorites...
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of the type that hit Nakhla...
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are the vehicles of a natural
interplanetary transit system...
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that sends rocks between the planets.
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Such a meteorite can safely shelter
microscopic cargo...
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the seeds of life,
an interplanetary ark.
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Most rocks are porous,
full of tiny nooks and crannies...
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00:10:48,541 --> 00:10:50,741
where life can stow away.
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00:10:54,502 --> 00:10:59,061
We know that some microbes can survive
the hostile environment of space.
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Take these guys, for instance.
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These microbes spent a year and a half
riding on the outside...
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of the International Space Station,
exposed to the extreme temperatures...
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vacuum, and radiation of space.
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00:11:12,822 --> 00:11:15,127
And some of them
were still alive and
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kicking when they were
brought back to Earth.
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00:11:18,102 --> 00:11:20,702
Even more astonishing
are these creatures...
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awakened from a death-like sleep
of 8 million years.
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They were frozen in
the Antarctic ice millions
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of years before our
species even existed.
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00:11:31,463 --> 00:11:32,983
And they're still alive.
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If life can withstand the hardships
of space and endure for millennia...
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then it could ride the
natural interplanetary
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00:11:42,431 --> 00:11:44,503
transit system
from world to world.
129
00:11:44,663 --> 00:11:48,823
It's a good bet that our microbial
ancestors spent some time in space.
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00:11:48,983 --> 00:11:50,463
Why do we think so?
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00:11:50,623 --> 00:11:53,783
The Earth is 4 and a half billion
years old.
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00:11:56,344 --> 00:11:58,264
For the first half of its lifetime...
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large asteroids were bombarding
the planet every few million years.
134
00:12:03,864 --> 00:12:09,784
The most violent impacts vaporized the
oceans and even melted the surface rock.
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00:12:09,944 --> 00:12:12,853
Each such collision
would have completely
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00:12:12,865 --> 00:12:16,064
sterilized the planet
for thousands of years.
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00:12:17,624 --> 00:12:21,904
But we know from fossils in the rocks
that bacteria were evolving on Earth...
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during this formative period.
139
00:12:25,785 --> 00:12:30,824
So how could life have survived
such a lethal series of blows?
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00:12:31,865 --> 00:12:34,224
Whenever one of those big asteroids
hit the Earth...
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the explosion would blast out a crater,
launching millions of boulders into space.
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00:12:39,985 --> 00:12:43,025
Many of those rocks
carried living bacteria inside.
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00:12:43,185 --> 00:12:45,465
Some of the bugs
would have survived in space...
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while all those left behind on Earth
would have been fried.
145
00:12:49,225 --> 00:12:51,545
A few thousand years after each impact...
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00:12:51,705 --> 00:12:56,465
the Earth would have cooled down enough
for water to condense into oceans.
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The planet would again be habitable.
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00:13:00,186 --> 00:13:06,585
Meanwhile, most of the rocks launched into
space would have been orbiting the sun.
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00:13:07,226 --> 00:13:10,226
Some of them would encounter
the Earth again...
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00:13:10,386 --> 00:13:12,306
reenter the atmosphere as meteorites...
151
00:13:12,466 --> 00:13:17,146
and deliver their precious cargo of life
to re-seed the planet...
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like Noah's ark.
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00:13:21,066 --> 00:13:24,186
What this means is that life
doesn't have to start over again...
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from scratch after each catastrophe.
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It can pick up where it left off.
156
00:13:30,586 --> 00:13:32,547
When the solar system
was young...
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Venus was probably more like Earth,
with oceans and maybe even life.
158
00:13:38,227 --> 00:13:41,307
Venus, Earth, and Mars were all
exchanging rocks with each other...
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due to asteroid impacts.
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00:13:43,347 --> 00:13:47,067
Does life on Earth carry any traces
of interplanetary voyages...
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made in the distant past?
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00:13:48,987 --> 00:13:54,747
Why is it that some microbes can survive
the intense radiation and vacuum of space?
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These conditions don't naturally exist
on Earth.
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Maybe those bugs are telling us
that their ancestors survived...
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those same conditions in space,
a few billion years ago.
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00:14:07,188 --> 00:14:10,708
So we know that microbes can stow away
in rocks and survive the voyage...
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00:14:10,868 --> 00:14:12,428
from planet to planet.
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00:14:12,588 --> 00:14:17,469
But what about a trip from star to star,
an interstellar odyssey?
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The dandelion.
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Around 30 million years ago...
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it evolved another way to send its
own message of life through space and time.
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Each seedling is a little paratrooper,
floating on the wind...
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risking everything for
a safe place to land.
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Updrafts can carry
them higher into the air.
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00:14:54,789 --> 00:14:56,629
A dandelion can travel dozens...
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00:14:56,790 --> 00:14:58,750
possibly hundreds of kilometers...
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even crossing over mountain ranges.
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00:15:02,390 --> 00:15:06,350
Evolution has shaped it
into an exquisite flying machine.
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The seed is another kind of ark...
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00:15:10,150 --> 00:15:12,493
ensuring the survival
of its species by riding
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00:15:12,505 --> 00:15:14,910
the currents of the
atmosphere to safe harbors.
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00:15:15,071 --> 00:15:18,750
Each seed, in its DNA,
carries a story...
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00:15:18,911 --> 00:15:21,631
the character and destiny
of the next dandelion.
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00:15:21,791 --> 00:15:25,950
Life propagates by retelling its story.
185
00:15:27,231 --> 00:15:31,871
Is it possible that life could survive
the journey from star to star?
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00:15:32,031 --> 00:15:37,391
The stars are about a million times farther
apart from each other than are the planets.
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00:15:37,551 --> 00:15:40,605
Space is so vast that
it would take billions
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00:15:40,616 --> 00:15:43,751
of years for a rock
ejected from the Earth...
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00:15:43,911 --> 00:15:47,231
to collide with a planet
circling another star.
190
00:15:47,391 --> 00:15:52,711
Any stowaway microbes would never survive
the cosmic radiation for that long.
191
00:15:52,871 --> 00:15:55,373
But there's a plausible
scenario for how life
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00:15:55,384 --> 00:15:57,952
could spread from one
solar system to another.
193
00:16:03,592 --> 00:16:06,512
The stars of the Milky Way are drawn
by gravity...
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00:16:06,672 --> 00:16:09,912
in their own enormous orbits
around its center.
195
00:16:10,072 --> 00:16:11,352
Our sun, for example...
196
00:16:11,512 --> 00:16:16,793
takes some 225 million years
to complete a single orbit.
197
00:16:16,952 --> 00:16:19,192
During each revolution around the galaxy...
198
00:16:19,352 --> 00:16:24,392
our solar system will pass through two
or three gigantic interstellar clouds...
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00:16:24,552 --> 00:16:27,952
each of them many light-years across.
200
00:16:31,313 --> 00:16:35,313
Galaxies are world-making machines.
201
00:16:35,472 --> 00:16:38,873
Our Milky Way has more than 100
of these vast clouds...
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00:16:39,033 --> 00:16:44,354
places where gas and dust condense
to form new stars and planets.
203
00:16:47,273 --> 00:16:49,313
In its travels through the Milky Way...
204
00:16:49,473 --> 00:16:52,594
our sun is accompanied
not only by its planets...
205
00:16:52,753 --> 00:16:56,353
but also by a trillion distant comets.
206
00:16:57,354 --> 00:17:01,154
When our solar system
passes through an interstellar cloud...
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00:17:01,314 --> 00:17:06,074
the gravity of the massive cloud
stirs up the outermost comets.
208
00:17:06,674 --> 00:17:12,194
Some comets will be hurled out
into the space between the stars.
209
00:17:13,354 --> 00:17:16,274
Others will plunge inward...
210
00:17:18,915 --> 00:17:21,314
"falling towards the sun."
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00:17:35,955 --> 00:17:40,075
And some of them
may collide with the planets.
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00:17:40,675 --> 00:17:43,876
The high-speed impact of a comet
with a rocky planet...
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00:17:44,035 --> 00:17:47,195
will launch boulders
like rockets into space.
214
00:17:47,355 --> 00:17:49,795
If that planet should happen
to be inhabited...
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00:17:49,955 --> 00:17:52,595
many of those rocks
will carry passengers...
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00:17:52,756 --> 00:17:54,755
living microbes.
217
00:17:54,915 --> 00:17:56,756
After thousands of years...
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00:17:56,916 --> 00:18:00,756
fragments of the rocks ejected
from Earth can fall as meteors...
219
00:18:00,915 --> 00:18:05,796
into the atmospheres of newborn planets
in the interstellar cloud.
220
00:18:12,396 --> 00:18:16,356
If the stowaway microbes should happen
to come in contact with liquid water...
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00:18:16,517 --> 00:18:19,436
they can revive and reproduce.
222
00:18:19,596 --> 00:18:24,597
This may be how life
comes barreling into the barren places.
223
00:18:24,757 --> 00:18:26,996
The sun emerges from the cloud...
224
00:18:27,157 --> 00:18:31,997
having scattered the seeds of life
among the newborn worlds of other stars.
225
00:18:32,157 --> 00:18:35,077
Those new worlds, now touched by life...
226
00:18:35,237 --> 00:18:38,677
will then leave their birth cloud
and go their separate ways.
227
00:18:38,837 --> 00:18:43,237
Eventually, their stars will carry them
through other interstellar clouds...
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00:18:43,397 --> 00:18:47,117
where they may seed
still more new worlds.
229
00:18:47,277 --> 00:18:51,198
Imagine this process repeated
from world to world...
230
00:18:51,358 --> 00:18:55,237
each one bringing life to others.
231
00:19:00,198 --> 00:19:04,238
Life would then propagate,
like a slow chain reaction...
232
00:19:05,158 --> 00:19:06,270
through the entire galaxy.
233
00:19:10,838 --> 00:19:14,838
This could be how life came to Earth.
234
00:19:14,998 --> 00:19:16,518
We do not know for sure.
235
00:19:16,678 --> 00:19:19,758
Are there any beings out there like us?
236
00:19:19,918 --> 00:19:23,798
Do they ask the same questions?
Do they share our fears?
237
00:19:23,959 --> 00:19:26,879
Do they have heroes and adventurers?
238
00:19:31,999 --> 00:19:35,439
If they do exist, where are they?
239
00:19:35,599 --> 00:19:38,439
How might they make
their presence known?
240
00:19:53,239 --> 00:19:57,000
How did we first announce our presence
to the galaxy?
241
00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:02,439
It was 1946, the year after
the Second World War ended.
242
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,680
The imaginations of H. G. Wells
and Buck Rogers never cooked up...
243
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:10,320
a more fantastic experience...
244
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:14,440
than the Army engineers
at their laboratory in Be/mar, New Jersey.
245
00:20:14,601 --> 00:20:18,161
It opens up unlimited possibilities
for interstellar experiment.
246
00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:22,001
American engineers bounced
a beam of radio waves off the moon...
247
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,161
and were able to detect its echo.
248
00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,321
They called this experiment Project Diana.
249
00:20:33,481 --> 00:20:38,481
It was the first interstellar message
ever sent by our species.
250
00:20:39,321 --> 00:20:40,841
An eerie tolling bell.
251
00:20:43,402 --> 00:20:46,361
If one allows the imagination free rein...
252
00:20:46,521 --> 00:20:50,481
many future possibilities appear.
253
00:20:51,482 --> 00:20:56,282
Spaceships, carrying passengers
at thousands of miles per hour...
254
00:20:56,442 --> 00:20:57,802
can be controlled...
255
00:20:57,961 --> 00:21:01,362
and communication established
with their passengers.
256
00:21:01,521 --> 00:21:06,162
For we now know that the
Earth's atmosphere can be penetrated.
257
00:21:11,162 --> 00:21:12,842
Traveling at the speed of light...
258
00:21:13,002 --> 00:21:16,762
it takes just over one second for a
radio wave to reach the lunar surface.
259
00:21:18,202 --> 00:21:21,962
But the expanding wave front
is much bigger than the moon.
260
00:21:22,122 --> 00:21:24,683
Most of the wave passes right by it...
261
00:21:24,842 --> 00:21:27,843
but the central part gets bounced back.
262
00:21:28,523 --> 00:21:32,763
After a round-trip travel time of two
and a half seconds, it hits our planet.
263
00:21:34,203 --> 00:21:37,763
Project Diana transmitted
a series of powerful radio waves...
264
00:21:37,923 --> 00:21:40,363
one every four seconds,
to ping the moon.
265
00:21:43,363 --> 00:21:47,324
The parts that missed the moon
are traveling still.
266
00:21:49,484 --> 00:21:51,243
It was just the beginning.
267
00:21:51,404 --> 00:21:52,683
After World War II...
268
00:21:52,843 --> 00:21:55,764
television stations cropped up
all over the United States...
269
00:21:55,924 --> 00:21:58,404
and other parts of the world.
270
00:21:58,564 --> 00:22:00,044
The Project Diana message...
271
00:22:00,204 --> 00:22:04,203
and the FM radio, television
and radar signals of the 20th century...
272
00:22:04,364 --> 00:22:07,084
all move outward at the speed of light.
273
00:22:07,244 --> 00:22:10,764
These transmissions make up
a vast sphere of radio waves...
274
00:22:10,924 --> 00:22:13,964
expanding away from the Earth
in all directions.
275
00:22:14,124 --> 00:22:18,604
You could say that
our world is radiating stories.
276
00:22:18,764 --> 00:22:23,085
Our ancestors etched the story
of Gilgamesh into clay tablets...
277
00:22:23,245 --> 00:22:25,805
sending that epic tale into the future.
278
00:22:25,965 --> 00:22:31,205
We've encoded our stories in radio waves
and beamed them into space.
279
00:22:31,364 --> 00:22:33,405
They cover one light-year of distance...
280
00:22:33,564 --> 00:22:38,165
that's 6 trillion miles, for every
year of time since they were sent.
281
00:22:38,325 --> 00:22:41,925
We've been sending our stories into space
for over 70 years.
282
00:22:42,085 --> 00:22:44,845
The leading edge of these signals
has already washed over...
283
00:22:45,005 --> 00:22:47,926
thousands of planets of other stars.
284
00:22:48,085 --> 00:22:52,006
If any of these worlds are home
to a civilization with radio telescopes...
285
00:22:52,166 --> 00:22:55,726
they could already know that we're here.
286
00:22:58,525 --> 00:23:02,926
What if other worlds
are sending their stories into space?
287
00:23:03,486 --> 00:23:08,046
Since 1960, we've been listening
for extraterrestrial radio signals...
288
00:23:08,206 --> 00:23:11,566
without hearing so much as a tolling bell.
289
00:23:11,726 --> 00:23:16,686
But our search has been sporadic
and limited to certain parts of the sky.
290
00:23:21,046 --> 00:23:24,767
For all we know,
we may have just missed an alien signal...
291
00:23:24,927 --> 00:23:28,367
looking in the wrong
place at the wrong time.
292
00:23:28,527 --> 00:23:32,126
We've only listened to a miniscule fraction
of the stars in our galaxy.
293
00:23:32,287 --> 00:23:34,046
And there may be another problem.
294
00:23:34,207 --> 00:23:37,727
We are, to some extent, prisoners
of our own moment in time...
295
00:23:37,887 --> 00:23:39,967
and the limits of our technology.
296
00:23:40,127 --> 00:23:42,087
Radio and television broadcasting...
297
00:23:42,248 --> 00:23:45,607
may be only a brief passing phase
in our technological development.
298
00:23:46,927 --> 00:23:49,022
When we imagine
alien civilizations
299
00:23:49,034 --> 00:23:51,727
broadcasting signals
with radio telescopes...
300
00:23:51,887 --> 00:23:54,607
are we any different
from earlier generations...
301
00:23:54,767 --> 00:23:58,607
who imagined riding cannon shells
to the moon?
302
00:23:59,328 --> 00:24:02,528
Civilizations even slightly
more advanced than ours...
303
00:24:02,688 --> 00:24:06,288
may have already moved on
to some other mode of communication...
304
00:24:06,448 --> 00:24:09,808
one that we have yet to discover
or even imagine.
305
00:24:09,968 --> 00:24:13,608
Their messages could be swirling
all around us at this very moment...
306
00:24:13,768 --> 00:24:16,688
but we lack the means to perceive them...
307
00:24:16,848 --> 00:24:20,209
just as all of our ancestors,
up to a little more than a century ago...
308
00:24:20,369 --> 00:24:25,449
would have been oblivious to the most
urgent radio signal from another world.
309
00:24:26,249 --> 00:24:29,168
But there's another,
more troubling possibility.
310
00:24:29,328 --> 00:24:31,809
Civilizations, like other living things...
311
00:24:31,969 --> 00:24:35,689
may only live so long
before perishing due to natural causes...
312
00:24:35,849 --> 00:24:39,049
or violence, or self-inflicted wounds.
313
00:24:39,209 --> 00:24:42,769
Whether or not we ever make contact
with intelligent alien life...
314
00:24:42,929 --> 00:24:45,369
may depend on a critical question:
315
00:24:45,529 --> 00:24:49,649
What is the life
expectancy of a civilization?
316
00:25:11,890 --> 00:25:15,890
By the time of Enheduanna, the first
person to ever get a writing credit...
317
00:25:16,051 --> 00:25:18,890
civilization was already
more than 1000 years old.
318
00:25:20,971 --> 00:25:24,971
But today, her glorious city
is a barren wasteland.
319
00:25:25,130 --> 00:25:26,250
What went wrong?
320
00:25:26,411 --> 00:25:28,239
One problem was
the almost ceaseless
321
00:25:28,251 --> 00:25:30,490
warfare between the
cities of Mesopotamia...
322
00:25:30,651 --> 00:25:33,331
which continually destroyed
their achievements.
323
00:25:33,490 --> 00:25:37,171
They glorified military conquest,
and ultimately...
324
00:25:37,331 --> 00:25:39,571
became its victims.
325
00:25:41,491 --> 00:25:43,212
Another cause of decline was that...
326
00:25:43,371 --> 00:25:46,931
their technical know-how
overran their understanding of nature.
327
00:25:47,091 --> 00:25:48,692
The ingenious irrigation system...
328
00:25:48,851 --> 00:25:51,891
that was the basis for the great
civilizations of Mesopotamia...
329
00:25:52,051 --> 00:25:54,292
had an unintended consequence.
330
00:25:54,452 --> 00:25:57,251
The water channeled
into their farmlands every year...
331
00:25:57,412 --> 00:26:00,572
evaporated and left its salt behind.
332
00:26:00,732 --> 00:26:05,052
Over generations, the salt accumulated
and began to kill the crops.
333
00:26:05,212 --> 00:26:07,732
And then, about 2200 B. C...
334
00:26:07,892 --> 00:26:11,172
not long after the time of Enheduanna,
disaster struck.
335
00:26:12,013 --> 00:26:16,212
A drought of truly epic proportions,
lasting for many decades.
336
00:26:16,372 --> 00:26:20,532
The rains stopped, crops withered,
there was famine and anarchy.
337
00:26:20,692 --> 00:26:22,092
Barbarians invaded.
338
00:26:22,253 --> 00:26:25,092
The streets of many cities
were littered with dead.
339
00:26:25,253 --> 00:26:27,373
There could be only one explanation.
340
00:26:27,532 --> 00:26:30,132
Enlil, the supreme god, was angry...
341
00:26:30,292 --> 00:26:32,973
because one of his temples
had been destroyed.
342
00:26:33,133 --> 00:26:35,493
The people of Mesopotamia could not know...
343
00:26:35,653 --> 00:26:39,573
that the same drought was crushing
the dawning civilizations of Egypt...
344
00:26:39,733 --> 00:26:42,893
Greece, India, Pakistan and China.
345
00:26:43,053 --> 00:26:47,094
All the gods of the Earth must have
been really angry about something.
346
00:26:47,254 --> 00:26:48,573
For all their brilliance...
347
00:26:48,734 --> 00:26:51,413
the people of those civilizations
had no inkling...
348
00:26:51,573 --> 00:26:55,574
they were experiencing
abrupt climate change.
349
00:26:58,133 --> 00:26:59,814
Three thousand years later...
350
00:26:59,974 --> 00:27:03,374
the climate would change abruptly
for another glorious civilization...
351
00:27:03,534 --> 00:27:05,294
this one in Central America.
352
00:27:05,454 --> 00:27:08,694
At its peak,
the Mayan civilization perished...
353
00:27:08,854 --> 00:27:12,534
wiped out by a series of severe droughts
over the course of a century.
354
00:27:13,334 --> 00:27:15,920
We still carry within
us the echoes of these
355
00:27:15,932 --> 00:27:18,414
extinct civilizations,
in our languages...
356
00:27:18,655 --> 00:27:20,135
and our myths.
357
00:27:20,374 --> 00:27:23,815
Today, we have a
single global civilization.
358
00:27:23,975 --> 00:27:25,534
How long will it live?
359
00:27:25,694 --> 00:27:29,134
There are so many ways
for a civilization to die.
360
00:27:29,295 --> 00:27:32,375
Let's start with the ones that
we wouldn't be able to do much about.
361
00:27:34,775 --> 00:27:38,255
That supernova is 1000 light-years away.
362
00:27:38,415 --> 00:27:42,295
If it were much closer,
say less than 30 light-years from Earth...
363
00:27:42,455 --> 00:27:46,695
its cosmic radiation would shred
the atmosphere's protective ozone layer...
364
00:27:46,855 --> 00:27:49,135
and destroy our civilization.
365
00:27:49,295 --> 00:27:52,216
Lucky for us, none of the
stars close enough to harm us...
366
00:27:52,376 --> 00:27:56,216
are likely to go supernova any time
in the next few hundred million years.
367
00:28:01,936 --> 00:28:06,256
Every million years or so,
a supervolcano erupts somewhere on Earth.
368
00:28:07,256 --> 00:28:10,776
The last time it happened
was 74,000 years ago...
369
00:28:10,936 --> 00:28:14,897
on the island of Sumatra
in what is now Indonesia.
370
00:28:15,056 --> 00:28:19,376
It spewed hundreds of times more
rock, ash and toxic gas...
371
00:28:19,537 --> 00:28:23,016
than any single volcano
in recorded history.
372
00:28:23,176 --> 00:28:27,337
The molten rock that erupted
from Earth's crust left this caldera...
373
00:28:27,497 --> 00:28:31,897
100 kilometers long,
now filled with a lake.
374
00:28:34,177 --> 00:28:38,497
The Toba volcano sent
more than 600 cubic miles...
375
00:28:38,657 --> 00:28:41,577
of pulverized rock soaring skyward.
376
00:28:41,737 --> 00:28:45,177
The westward wind
carried the volcanic ash over India...
377
00:28:45,338 --> 00:28:49,698
where it fell out in a smothering blanket
over the subcontinent.
378
00:28:50,017 --> 00:28:53,698
The eruption loaded the upper atmosphere
with sulfur gases.
379
00:28:53,857 --> 00:28:57,218
The result was a global haze
that blocked most of the sunlight...
380
00:28:57,378 --> 00:29:00,177
from reaching the surface
for at least five years.
381
00:29:00,338 --> 00:29:04,178
It was like one five-year-long cloudy day.
382
00:29:05,258 --> 00:29:08,778
This so-called volcanic winter
resembled a nuclear winter...
383
00:29:08,939 --> 00:29:11,218
but without the radiation.
384
00:29:12,378 --> 00:29:14,298
Temperatures fell everywhere.
385
00:29:14,458 --> 00:29:17,019
Plants and animals froze,
even in the tropics...
386
00:29:17,178 --> 00:29:19,219
dying in enormous numbers.
387
00:29:19,378 --> 00:29:23,098
But life is hardy. Only a few species
were driven to extinction.
388
00:29:23,258 --> 00:29:26,699
One of our ancestors in central India
sharpened this stone blade...
389
00:29:26,859 --> 00:29:29,339
in the years before the Toba eruption.
390
00:29:29,979 --> 00:29:33,659
And this blade was one of dozens
that were found in the soil layer...
391
00:29:33,819 --> 00:29:35,859
above the volcanic fallout.
392
00:29:36,019 --> 00:29:37,779
This tells us that some toolmakers...
393
00:29:37,939 --> 00:29:40,539
even in the area
directly affected by the volcano...
394
00:29:40,699 --> 00:29:42,419
managed to survive the cataclysm.
395
00:29:43,179 --> 00:29:47,419
But the global human population
must have plummeted before rebounding.
396
00:29:47,580 --> 00:29:49,979
If an eruption like this
were to happen tomorrow...
397
00:29:50,139 --> 00:29:52,459
our civilization would be
brought to its knees...
398
00:29:52,619 --> 00:29:55,859
although the human species
would survive.
399
00:29:58,339 --> 00:30:01,540
I can imagine that our technology
of a few hundred years from now...
400
00:30:01,700 --> 00:30:05,180
would allow us to siphon off the energy
of a threatening supervolcano...
401
00:30:05,340 --> 00:30:06,620
before it explodes.
402
00:30:06,780 --> 00:30:09,500
We could then use that energy
for our own purposes.
403
00:30:09,660 --> 00:30:13,180
About once every million years,
a small asteroid collides with the Earth...
404
00:30:13,340 --> 00:30:16,060
causing a similar amount of devastation.
405
00:30:16,420 --> 00:30:18,140
With our science and technology...
406
00:30:18,301 --> 00:30:20,860
we already know how
to prevent an asteroid impact.
407
00:30:21,021 --> 00:30:22,941
We would see it coming years in advance...
408
00:30:23,101 --> 00:30:26,381
and could send a spacecraft there
to deflect it into a harmless orbit.
409
00:30:26,541 --> 00:30:28,861
With the technology
of a thousand years from now...
410
00:30:29,021 --> 00:30:32,621
we might even be able to mitigate
the deadly effects of a nearby supernova...
411
00:30:32,781 --> 00:30:34,421
on Earth's atmosphere.
412
00:30:34,581 --> 00:30:38,381
But what happens when
the danger to a civilization is invisible?
413
00:30:38,541 --> 00:30:40,381
When no one can see it coming?
414
00:30:49,141 --> 00:30:52,221
Beginning with Columbus,
the European invaders of the Americas...
415
00:30:52,381 --> 00:30:56,302
had a secret weapon
that even they knew nothing about.
416
00:30:56,462 --> 00:31:00,822
They were carrying bacteria and viruses
for deadly diseases, such as smallpox...
417
00:31:00,982 --> 00:31:04,982
that the original Americans
had never been exposed to.
418
00:31:05,142 --> 00:31:07,053
The Europeans like
to believe that it was
419
00:31:07,065 --> 00:31:09,262
their valor and superior
weapons and culture...
420
00:31:09,422 --> 00:31:11,182
that won them the New World.
421
00:31:11,342 --> 00:31:14,543
The real conquistadors
were the armies of the pathogens...
422
00:31:14,703 --> 00:31:17,983
that raced on ahead
to infect and kill nine out of 10...
423
00:31:18,142 --> 00:31:22,223
of all the Indians of North,
Central and South America.
424
00:31:23,463 --> 00:31:26,023
The great civilizations of the New World
crumbled...
425
00:31:26,183 --> 00:31:28,862
under the onslaught of invading microbes.
426
00:31:29,023 --> 00:31:30,543
Without his invisible army...
427
00:31:30,703 --> 00:31:35,303
Cortez and those who followed
might never have stood a chance.
428
00:31:36,343 --> 00:31:39,583
But what about civilizations
that self-destruct?
429
00:31:47,584 --> 00:31:51,544
Our economic systems were formed
when the planet and its air...
430
00:31:51,704 --> 00:31:56,184
rivers, oceans, lands, all seemed infinite.
431
00:31:56,344 --> 00:31:59,303
They evolved
long before we first saw the Earth...
432
00:31:59,464 --> 00:32:02,704
as the tiny organism that it actually is.
433
00:32:02,864 --> 00:32:04,344
They're all alike in one respect.
434
00:32:04,504 --> 00:32:08,224
They're profit-driven, and therefore,
focused on short-term gain.
435
00:32:35,065 --> 00:32:39,105
The prevailing economic systems,
no matter what their ideologies...
436
00:32:39,265 --> 00:32:42,785
have no built-in mechanisms
for protecting our descendants...
437
00:32:42,945 --> 00:32:47,786
of even 100 years from now,
let alone 100,000.
438
00:32:52,026 --> 00:32:56,065
In one respect, we're ahead
of the people of Ancient Mesopotamia.
439
00:32:56,225 --> 00:32:59,866
Unlike them, we understand
what's happening to our world.
440
00:33:00,306 --> 00:33:03,426
For example, we're pumping
greenhouse gases into our atmosphere...
441
00:33:03,586 --> 00:33:05,986
at a rate not seen on Earth
for a million years.
442
00:33:06,586 --> 00:33:09,786
And the scientific consensus
that we're destabilizing our climate.
443
00:33:10,466 --> 00:33:13,506
Yet, our civilization seems to be
in the grip of denial...
444
00:33:14,346 --> 00:33:15,907
a kind of paralysis.
445
00:33:16,067 --> 00:33:19,907
There's a disconnect between
what we know and what we do.
446
00:33:23,467 --> 00:33:26,266
Being able to adapt our behavior
to challenges...
447
00:33:26,427 --> 00:33:30,226
is as good a definition
of intelligence as any I know.
448
00:33:34,387 --> 00:33:38,067
If our greater intelligence
is the hallmark of our species...
449
00:33:38,227 --> 00:33:41,507
then we should use it,
as all other beings use their advantages...
450
00:33:41,667 --> 00:33:45,987
to help ensure that their offspring
prosper, and their heredity is passed on...
451
00:33:46,147 --> 00:33:50,468
and that the fabric of nature
that sustains us is protected.
452
00:33:50,628 --> 00:33:55,228
Human intelligence is imperfect, surely,
and newly arisen.
453
00:33:55,388 --> 00:33:58,668
The ease with which it can be sweet-talked,
overwhelmed, or subverted...
454
00:33:58,828 --> 00:34:00,468
by other hard-wired tendencies...
455
00:34:00,628 --> 00:34:05,108
sometimes themselves disguised
as the light of reason, is worrisome.
456
00:34:05,948 --> 00:34:09,988
But if our intelligence is the only edge,
we must learn to use it better.
457
00:34:10,148 --> 00:34:13,508
To sharpen it. To understand
its limitations and deficiencies.
458
00:34:14,229 --> 00:34:17,268
To use it, as cats use
stealth before pouncing.
459
00:34:17,428 --> 00:34:19,748
As walking sticks use camouflage.
460
00:34:20,428 --> 00:34:23,349
To make it the tool of our survival.
461
00:34:23,509 --> 00:34:24,509
If we do this...
462
00:34:24,668 --> 00:34:27,509
we can solve almost any problem
we are likely to confront...
463
00:34:27,669 --> 00:34:30,708
in the next 100,000 years.
464
00:34:36,629 --> 00:34:40,550
And now we've arrived at the place
where our ancient dreams of immortality...
465
00:34:40,709 --> 00:34:46,069
and modern astrophysics converge.
Giant elliptical galaxies...
466
00:34:46,229 --> 00:34:48,790
are something like Florida...
467
00:34:48,949 --> 00:34:52,070
where the oldest stars
in the universe may be found.
468
00:34:57,469 --> 00:35:02,150
This is a red dwarf star,
smaller and fainter than our sun.
469
00:35:02,310 --> 00:35:06,310
Red dwarfs are by far
the most plentiful stars in the cosmos.
470
00:35:06,470 --> 00:35:10,470
Unlike the sun, which is halfway through
its 10-billion-year lifetime...
471
00:35:10,630 --> 00:35:14,431
red dwarfs will continue to provide light
and warmth to their planets...
472
00:35:14,590 --> 00:35:16,230
for trillions of years.
473
00:35:16,390 --> 00:35:20,551
That's hundreds of times longer
than the present age of the universe.
474
00:35:20,711 --> 00:35:22,550
What would intelligent beings do...
475
00:35:22,710 --> 00:35:27,470
if they had an eternity to develop
their understanding of the universe?
476
00:35:27,630 --> 00:35:31,590
Perhaps they would learn how to open
shortcuts in the fabric of space-time...
477
00:35:31,751 --> 00:35:35,431
to travel between galaxies
faster than the speed of light.
478
00:35:35,591 --> 00:35:37,991
Maybe they would create
whole new universes...
479
00:35:38,151 --> 00:35:41,111
as artistic or scientific experiments.
480
00:35:41,271 --> 00:35:44,312
Of course no one,
or at least nobody on Earth...
481
00:35:44,472 --> 00:35:47,472
knows what the immortals
might do.
482
00:35:47,631 --> 00:35:51,351
If one allows the imagination free rein...
483
00:35:51,832 --> 00:35:53,192
But what about us?
484
00:35:56,232 --> 00:35:58,792
What is our own future?
485
00:35:59,112 --> 00:36:04,392
What would the cosmic calendar
of the next 14 billion years look like?
486
00:36:17,672 --> 00:36:20,872
If the original cosmic calendar
includes all of the time...
487
00:36:21,033 --> 00:36:24,073
from the birth of the universe
until this very moment...
488
00:36:24,233 --> 00:36:29,793
what would the cosmic calendar look like
for the next 14 billion years?
489
00:36:30,152 --> 00:36:32,553
Just as with the cosmic calendar
of the past...
490
00:36:32,713 --> 00:36:36,793
every month on the future calendar
equals about a billion years...
491
00:36:36,953 --> 00:36:40,353
every day, some 40 million.
492
00:36:40,834 --> 00:36:43,593
Science makes it
possible for us to foretell...
493
00:36:43,753 --> 00:36:48,474
certain astronomical events
in the unimaginably distant future.
494
00:36:48,634 --> 00:36:50,473
The death of the sun, for example.
495
00:36:50,913 --> 00:36:52,754
In some 5 billion years...
496
00:36:52,913 --> 00:36:58,074
our star will have exhausted its hydrogen,
the nuclear fuel that powers it...
497
00:36:58,234 --> 00:37:00,434
becoming a red giant.
498
00:37:00,593 --> 00:37:04,314
I know that sounds depressing,
but if we apply our intelligence...
499
00:37:04,474 --> 00:37:06,474
our descendants of that distant future...
500
00:37:06,634 --> 00:37:10,595
will have long departed
from the lost worlds of the sun.
501
00:37:10,954 --> 00:37:12,235
Who knows?
502
00:37:12,394 --> 00:37:15,754
Human events entail too many variables,
too many uncertainties...
503
00:37:15,915 --> 00:37:18,754
to make scientific statements
about our future.
504
00:37:18,915 --> 00:37:20,754
But we can still dream.
505
00:37:20,914 --> 00:37:25,154
The next golden age of human achievement
begins here and now.
506
00:37:26,075 --> 00:37:28,955
New Year's Day of the next cosmic year.
507
00:37:29,115 --> 00:37:30,875
In the first tenth of a second...
508
00:37:31,035 --> 00:37:33,875
we take the vision
of the pale blue dot to heart...
509
00:37:34,035 --> 00:37:37,595
and learn how to share this tiny world
with each other.
510
00:37:37,756 --> 00:37:41,155
The last internal combustion engine
is placed in a museum...
511
00:37:41,316 --> 00:37:43,916
as the effects of climate change
reverse and diminish.
512
00:37:45,276 --> 00:37:47,596
A fifth of a second into this future...
513
00:37:47,756 --> 00:37:51,235
people will stop dying
from the effects of poverty.
514
00:37:51,395 --> 00:37:53,207
The planet is now a completely
515
00:37:53,219 --> 00:37:56,076
self-sustaining,
intercommunicating organism.
516
00:37:56,236 --> 00:37:57,795
A half-second from now...
517
00:37:57,956 --> 00:38:01,635
the polar ice caps are restored
to the way they were in the 19th century...
518
00:38:01,796 --> 00:38:06,636
and the forecast is mild and pleasant
for the next cosmic minute and a half...
519
00:38:06,796 --> 00:38:09,437
40, 000 years.
520
00:38:10,236 --> 00:38:14,357
By the time we are ready to settle
even the nearest other planetary systems...
521
00:38:14,516 --> 00:38:16,876
we will have changed.
522
00:38:17,556 --> 00:38:21,676
The simple passage of so many generations
will have changed us.
523
00:38:21,836 --> 00:38:24,877
Necessity will have changed us.
524
00:38:25,037 --> 00:38:28,477
We are an adaptable species.
525
00:38:29,637 --> 00:38:31,837
It will not be we who
reach Alpha Centauri...
526
00:38:31,997 --> 00:38:34,957
and the other nearby star systems
on our interstellar arks.
527
00:38:35,997 --> 00:38:38,397
It will be a species very like us...
528
00:38:38,557 --> 00:38:42,117
but with more of our strengths
and fewer of our weaknesses.
529
00:38:42,277 --> 00:38:46,637
More confident, far-seeing,
capable and wise.
530
00:38:46,797 --> 00:38:50,477
For all our failings,
despite our flaws and limitations...
531
00:38:50,637 --> 00:38:54,118
we humans are capable of greatness.
532
00:38:54,877 --> 00:38:57,638
What new wonders,
undreamt of in our time...
533
00:38:57,798 --> 00:39:01,278
will we have accomplished
in another generation...
534
00:39:01,438 --> 00:39:03,078
and another?
535
00:39:04,078 --> 00:39:06,918
How far will our nomadic species
have wandered...
536
00:39:07,078 --> 00:39:11,798
by the end of the next century
and the next millennium?
537
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:14,279
Our remote descendants...
538
00:39:14,439 --> 00:39:18,919
safely arrayed on many worlds
throughout the solar system and beyond...
539
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:22,079
will be unified by their common heritage...
540
00:39:22,998 --> 00:39:25,359
b y their regard for their home planet...
541
00:39:25,519 --> 00:39:29,199
and by the knowledge that
whatever other life there may be...
542
00:39:29,359 --> 00:39:34,159
the only humans in all the universe
came from Earth.
543
00:39:34,759 --> 00:39:39,599
They will gaze up and strain
to find the blue dot in their skies.
544
00:39:39,759 --> 00:39:45,280
They will marvel at how vulnerable the
repository of all our potential once was...
545
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:50,760
how perilous our infancy,
how humble our beginnings.
546
00:39:51,759 --> 00:39:55,520
How many rivers we had to cross...
547
00:39:57,480 --> 00:40:00,640
before we found our way.
49327
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