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We've had some hot days this summer
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but nothing like what we're going
to get into, starting tomorrow.
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Today, the mercury hit
a scorching 35 degrees Celsius.
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Temperatures are set to rise even
further this week and could even
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break the all-time record.
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Right now, we are facing
our greatest threat
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in thousands of years.
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Climate change.
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For a long time, climate change
was something that scientists
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were predicting that would
happen in the future.
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But that's no longer the case.
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What we're doing right now is
we're so rapidly changing
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the climate, for the first time
in the world's history,
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people can see the impact
of climate change.
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Greater storms, greater floods,
greater heat waves,
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extreme sea level rises.
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All of this is happening far faster
than many of us thought possible.
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Scientists across the globe
are in no doubt that at the
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current rate of warming,
we risk a devastating future.
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It's difficult to see
how the population of the world
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will actually feed itself.
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It's happening in your world.
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It's happening in my world.
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Time is very short.
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There's still time
but there isn't much time left.
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The science is now clear
that urgent action is needed.
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We're at a tipping point.
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We can change history.
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Right now!
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What happens now,
and in these next few years,
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will profoundly affect
the next few thousand years.
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What can be done to avert disaster
and ensure the survival
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of our civilisations...
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..and the natural world
upon which we depend?
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It's our future.
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We can't just let it
slip away from us.
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Standing here in the English
countryside, it may not seem obvious
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but we are facing a man-made
disaster on a global scale.
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In the 20 years since I first
started talking about the impact
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of climate change on our world,
conditions have changed far faster
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than I ever imagined.
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It may sound frightening,
but the scientific evidence is
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that if we have not taken
dramatic action within the
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next decade, we could
face irreversible damage
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to the natural world
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and the collapse of our societies.
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We're running out of time,
but there is still hope.
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I believe that if we better
understand the threat we face,
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the more likely it is that we can
avoid such a catastrophic future.
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Our climate is changing
because of one simple fact.
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Our world is getting hotter.
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We have temperature records
going back over 100 years.
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There are dips and troughs.
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There are so many years that are not
as warm as other years.
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But what we've seen is this steady
and unremitting temperature trend.
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20 of the warmest years
on record have all occurred
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in the last 22 years.
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It's not just Met Office records
that are showing this trend.
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Data from the US Climate Centre,
NOAA, the Japanese Met Office
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and NASA all show the
same sharp rise in temperatures.
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When scientists first became
concerned about these increasing
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temperatures, nobody could be sure
exactly what was driving them.
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Four decades of research later,
on land, at sea,
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and in the far reaches
of our atmosphere,
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the evidence is now unequivocal.
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What's striking is that
warming trend cannot be explained
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by natural factors...
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but is caused by human activities.
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In particular,
by use of fossil fuels.
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The problem is that everything
we do, our entire economy,
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from the moment you wake up in the
morning and turn on the light,
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or look at your cellphone,
to the moment you go to bed
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at night, and even then
because your cellphone
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is still drawing power at night,
I mean, we're all using energy
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all the time.
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And in the industrialised world,
that energy is almost
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entirely fossil fuels.
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When you burn fossil fuels,
coal, gas and oil,
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to power our energy generation,
to heat our homes,
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to drive our factories,
to power our cars and our trains,
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and travel around the world.
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When we burn fossil fuels,
it produces carbon dioxide
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as a waste product.
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Carbon dioxide acts like a blanket.
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It absorbs the heat radiation
from the Earth's surface
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and that keeps the surface warmer
than it would be otherwise.
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The problem is what we're doing now
is we're adding extra
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carbon dioxide and
other greenhouse gases.
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So we're increasing the
thickness of this blanket.
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Before we started to burn coal,
the amount of carbon dioxide
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in the atmosphere was about
280 parts per million.
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It's now over 400 parts per million.
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And the planet gets
warmer and warmer.
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We have pumped so much
carbon dioxide into our atmosphere
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that our world is now around
one degree Celsius hotter
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than it was
in pre-industrial times.
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This warming is enough to bring
about the raft of effects
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we call climate change.
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One degree Celsius global warming
may not sound like much,
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but it's having a dramatic effect
on our weather.
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You warm up the planet,
of course you're going to get
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more intense and more frequent
heat waves.
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You're going to dry out
the soils.
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You're going to get worse drought.
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We're seeing extreme heat
in southern Africa,
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Japan, North America,
in the UK as well.
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It is officially the hottest day
of the year so far.
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Often, the question is, did climate
change cause a certain event?
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You can never really
answer that question.
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But what scientists do is
to look at whether climate change
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made a certain event
more or less likely,
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or more or less intense.
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Last year, we had a heat wave
that was actually the joint warmest
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on record, alongside 1976.
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And we have been analysing
this here at the Met Office.
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What that showed us was
that the chances of that heat wave
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had increased by about 30 times.
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So it's now about 30 times more
likely that we had that heat wave
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than we would have had
without climate change.
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Today, the mercury hit
a scorching 35 degrees Celsius.
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So it doesn't mean to say
that every single weather event
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is due to climate change.
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But what climate change does mean
is that with the baseline climate
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having changed, then
the frequency of the
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extreme temperatures is increasing.
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And that has a substantial effect.
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In November last year, when
temperatures in Cairns, Australia,
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hit 42 degrees,
even creatures specifically adapted
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to heat were unable to survive.
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They're just...
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everywhere.
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When we got here in the morning,
it was the first time
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really we saw it.
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There were just dead bats
as far as the eye could see.
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There was a deafening sound
of babies crying.
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You just don't know where to start.
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So we just started
finding babies, basically.
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There's a little baby
attached to its dead mum.
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Like all species, flying foxes
have ways of dealing
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with the conditions
of their environment.
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But it seems their usual cooling
methods are no longer enough
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for the kind of temperatures
Australia is now facing.
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Last year, temperature records
were broken across the country.
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Scientists have shown that it's
simply inconceivable that you would
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see these temperatures without
the fact of climate change.
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We saved about 350.
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The rest are dead.
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Over 11,000 died from that colony.
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And if you have two more events
like we had,
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the species is gone.
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This is climate change in action.
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We need to wake up.
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I've seen for myself
that in addition to the many other
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threats they face,
animals of all kinds are now
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struggling to adapt to
rapidly changing conditions.
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Think of the equator.
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As climate change occurs,
that central part of the world
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becomes increasingly uninhabitable.
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If climate change is too fast,
we're pushing them
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off the planet, in effect.
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We're causing extinction
of species already.
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And that's irreversible.
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Scientists believe that 8%
of species are now at threat
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of extinction solely
due to climate change.
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This isn't just about
losing wonders of nature.
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With the loss of even
the smallest organisms,
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we destabilise and ultimately risk
collapsing the world's ecosystems.
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The networks that support
the whole of life on Earth.
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What's been happening in
recent years is really showing us
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what one degree Celsius
really means.
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Not just for wildlife,
but for people, for their safety,
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for their livelihoods
and for their futures.
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As temperatures rise,
the threats we face multiply.
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Last year saw record-breaking
wildfires take hold
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across the globe.
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Firefighters are working
around the clock.
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It has to be seen to be believed.
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Australia is seeing some
of its worst fires in years.
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We've seen wildfires
break out in Greece,
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even in the Arctic.
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Wildfire, sweeping across some
of the coldest countries on Earth.
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We've seen a tripling
in the extent of wildfire
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in the western US, California.
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The fires that swept
through California last year
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caused $24 billion worth of damage.
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106 people lost their lives.
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We're not just talking about
an inconvenience.
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We're talking about
people's lives,
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their livelihoods and
their communities being damaged.
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The wildfires need
an ignition source.
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What?
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Maybe cigarette butts,
or lightning, and then you need
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the weather conditions that are
conducive to that fire spreading.
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GASPS
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Do I go?
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I don't want to get trapped.
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Research has shown that the chances
of having these very hot,
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dry conditions has increased
as a result of climate change.
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Easy, easy. Oh, my God!
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Easy, easy.
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Dad, this isn't safe.
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It was a dead end road,
so we knew it was our only option
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to drive forward.
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And all sides of the road
just completely
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engulfed in flames.
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The car is heating up.
It's going to explode!
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All right.
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He's going, "Dad, Dad,
we're going to die!"
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And I said, "No, we're going
to be fine, you know."
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Jesus, God help us.
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I stayed calm.
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I think being a father,
you're trying to keep
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your son calm too at that point.
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We're good, we're good, we're good.
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We could hear trees
literally exploding.
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Falling all around us.
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Please, God, help us.
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A large branch went
right over the top of the car.
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00:14:30,660 --> 00:14:34,859
The whole top of the roof was
burning and we didn't realise it.
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00:14:34,860 --> 00:14:36,539
There was a tree down.
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We can't get out!
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That was the moment
when I really thought
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that we might die.
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Oh, my gosh!
Stop! Stop!
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Let's get out of here.
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I decided to put the car in reverse.
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I had to drive backwards through
everything we had already passed
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through to the lakeshore.
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This one little boat
was down there watching the fire.
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And we were able to wave them in
to help us get out of there.
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That, to me, was just a miracle.
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00:15:11,300 --> 00:15:14,499
But it's not just through
extreme heat events
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00:15:14,500 --> 00:15:17,939
that climate change
is having an effect.
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00:15:17,940 --> 00:15:22,180
It's changing our
weather systems in other ways.
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This is a basic result of physics.
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00:15:27,980 --> 00:15:31,019
With a degree Celsius of warming,
there's more moisture evaporating
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off the oceans.
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00:15:33,180 --> 00:15:34,939
When there's more
moisture in the air,
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00:15:34,940 --> 00:15:36,660
you're going to get more rainfall.
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00:15:42,980 --> 00:15:46,859
You're going to get super storms
and force flooding events.
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00:15:46,860 --> 00:15:51,099
We are seeing the impacts of climate
change now play out in real time.
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00:15:51,100 --> 00:15:52,940
They're no longer subtle.
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00:16:00,060 --> 00:16:05,739
You have had the worst rain
in China, in Japan.
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00:16:05,740 --> 00:16:08,779
You have had a deluge in Kerala.
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00:16:08,780 --> 00:16:11,820
The crisis deepens for
hundreds of thousands in Kerala.
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00:16:14,060 --> 00:16:17,939
Whilst they can't all be
attributed to climate change,
247
00:16:17,940 --> 00:16:22,779
last year's extreme weather events
meant that millions of people
248
00:16:22,780 --> 00:16:24,780
needed humanitarian aid.
249
00:16:28,020 --> 00:16:30,739
Join the dots.
It's happening.
250
00:16:30,740 --> 00:16:33,979
It's happening in your world,
it's happening in my world.
251
00:16:33,980 --> 00:16:39,020
And let's be very clear about this -
it is going to get much worse.
252
00:16:45,340 --> 00:16:48,380
Climate change goes
far beyond the weather.
253
00:16:50,020 --> 00:16:54,299
Thousands of miles away
and out of sight of most of us,
254
00:16:54,300 --> 00:16:56,260
another threat is building.
255
00:16:59,980 --> 00:17:04,980
Earth's ice, frozen for millennia,
is melting.
256
00:17:09,740 --> 00:17:13,179
Earth's temperature has risen
by what most people would think
257
00:17:13,180 --> 00:17:15,779
is a small amount
over the past century.
258
00:17:15,780 --> 00:17:17,459
One degree Centigrade.
259
00:17:17,460 --> 00:17:19,780
That's too much for
the ice to withstand.
260
00:17:24,980 --> 00:17:28,859
In the last year, we've had
a global assessment of ice losses
261
00:17:28,860 --> 00:17:31,059
from Antarctica and from Greenland.
262
00:17:31,060 --> 00:17:33,900
And they tell us that things
are worse than we'd expected.
263
00:17:37,580 --> 00:17:40,819
The Greenland ice sheet is melting.
264
00:17:40,820 --> 00:17:43,459
It's lost four trillion tonnes
of ice,
265
00:17:43,460 --> 00:17:47,700
and it's losing five times as much
ice today as it was 25 years ago.
266
00:17:51,780 --> 00:17:54,779
If you go to the southern
hemisphere, in the past,
267
00:17:54,780 --> 00:17:57,819
most of the models predicted
that Antarctica would grow.
268
00:17:57,820 --> 00:18:00,099
That's not the case.
269
00:18:00,100 --> 00:18:02,139
Antarctica's losing three times
as much ice today
270
00:18:02,140 --> 00:18:04,500
as it was 25 years ago.
271
00:18:08,260 --> 00:18:11,619
In Antarctica, really small changes
in ocean temperature in particular
272
00:18:11,620 --> 00:18:13,939
melt a lot of ice.
273
00:18:13,940 --> 00:18:16,739
The ocean is only about
half a degree centigrade warmer
274
00:18:16,740 --> 00:18:19,259
than it should be.
275
00:18:19,260 --> 00:18:23,420
But that's melting colossal amounts
of ice from enormous glaciers.
276
00:18:29,380 --> 00:18:33,019
The water that melts from the
ice sheets ends up in one place,
277
00:18:33,020 --> 00:18:34,739
and that's the oceans.
278
00:18:34,740 --> 00:18:37,459
And that's when it starts
to affect people around the rest
279
00:18:37,460 --> 00:18:38,980
of the planet.
280
00:18:40,860 --> 00:18:44,460
The sea level has been stable
for several thousand years.
281
00:18:46,220 --> 00:18:52,099
But if the ice sheets lose icebergs
faster and faster to the ocean,
282
00:18:52,100 --> 00:18:53,940
the sea level goes up.
283
00:18:56,420 --> 00:19:00,619
We know that sea level has already
risen by about 20 centimetres
284
00:19:00,620 --> 00:19:02,220
in the last 100 years.
285
00:19:10,660 --> 00:19:15,899
Rising seas are displacing hundreds
of thousands of people from already
286
00:19:15,900 --> 00:19:19,939
vulnerable coastal areas
in the South Pacific,
287
00:19:19,940 --> 00:19:23,340
Indonesia, Bangladesh.
288
00:19:27,740 --> 00:19:29,579
The impact on families
289
00:19:29,580 --> 00:19:31,499
is going to be something
290
00:19:31,500 --> 00:19:33,179
that I don't think
291
00:19:33,180 --> 00:19:35,579
we could ever prepare for.
292
00:19:35,580 --> 00:19:37,979
In the United States,
Louisiana's on the front line
293
00:19:37,980 --> 00:19:40,059
of this climate crisis.
294
00:19:40,060 --> 00:19:44,939
It's losing land at one
of the fastest rates on the planet,
295
00:19:44,940 --> 00:19:48,780
at about the rate of a
football field every 45 minutes.
296
00:19:54,140 --> 00:19:58,140
The Isle de Jean Charles was once
home to 400 people.
297
00:19:59,620 --> 00:20:03,219
But subsidence caused
by oil and gas extraction,
298
00:20:03,220 --> 00:20:07,779
and now rising seas,
means that in the last six decades
299
00:20:07,780 --> 00:20:09,740
much of it has disappeared.
300
00:20:12,060 --> 00:20:14,500
Before, this was all land.
301
00:20:17,980 --> 00:20:22,820
But due to sea-level rise,
slowly but surely it's washing away.
302
00:20:35,900 --> 00:20:38,659
What we're looking at here
is where I was born
303
00:20:38,660 --> 00:20:41,180
and raised, in 1946.
304
00:20:46,020 --> 00:20:47,619
It's sad.
305
00:20:47,620 --> 00:20:51,899
Very, very sad to see what happened
to my mom and dad's home,
306
00:20:51,900 --> 00:20:54,180
and where they raised us at.
307
00:20:56,620 --> 00:20:59,820
I want to finish my life,
as well, over here.
308
00:21:04,380 --> 00:21:06,299
For the people on
Isle de Jean Charles,
309
00:21:06,300 --> 00:21:08,140
they're running out of options.
310
00:21:11,860 --> 00:21:15,620
And now what we see is just
10% of what used to be there.
311
00:21:20,780 --> 00:21:24,579
We have been working with the state
to move an entire community.
312
00:21:24,580 --> 00:21:27,699
This is the first time the federal
government of the United States
313
00:21:27,700 --> 00:21:31,579
has offered dollars
for the relocation of folks
314
00:21:31,580 --> 00:21:34,459
due to climate change.
315
00:21:34,460 --> 00:21:37,699
When it comes to relocation,
this is the only place
316
00:21:37,700 --> 00:21:40,299
I've ever known as home.
317
00:21:40,300 --> 00:21:42,619
I don't want to abandon it,
318
00:21:42,620 --> 00:21:44,860
I don't want to forget it.
319
00:21:49,260 --> 00:21:52,619
A lot of people say that this land
that we're living on won't be here
320
00:21:52,620 --> 00:21:54,739
in 20 years from now.
321
00:21:54,740 --> 00:21:58,139
That's kind of hard to think about,
where you grew up
322
00:21:58,140 --> 00:21:59,980
isn't going to be here any more.
323
00:22:03,620 --> 00:22:07,339
The residents of Isle de
Jean Charles have been labelled
324
00:22:07,340 --> 00:22:10,059
as the first climate refugees
in the United States.
325
00:22:10,060 --> 00:22:11,579
And that may be true.
326
00:22:11,580 --> 00:22:15,220
But what we know for sure is
that they won't be the last.
327
00:22:19,700 --> 00:22:23,140
Sea levels are not only
increased by melting ice.
328
00:22:28,860 --> 00:22:33,300
The world's oceans are expanding
because they're getting warmer.
329
00:22:35,380 --> 00:22:40,179
Over 90% of the increased heat
trapped in our atmosphere
330
00:22:40,180 --> 00:22:42,220
has been stored in the oceans.
331
00:22:45,700 --> 00:22:49,340
I've witnessed the devastating
effect this is having.
332
00:22:51,220 --> 00:22:56,299
In the last three years,
repeated heat stress has caused
333
00:22:56,300 --> 00:23:01,940
a third of the world's corals
to first bleach and then die.
334
00:23:05,820 --> 00:23:09,899
Our generation is going to be
responsible for the loss
335
00:23:09,900 --> 00:23:14,340
of one of the most majestic
ecosystems on the face of the Earth.
336
00:23:15,580 --> 00:23:21,420
We're literally watching the death
of this natural wonder.
337
00:23:24,180 --> 00:23:27,739
In many ways, what's happening now
across the world
338
00:23:27,740 --> 00:23:29,340
doesn't come as a surprise.
339
00:23:30,820 --> 00:23:35,019
Much of what we're now experiencing,
scientists warned about
340
00:23:35,020 --> 00:23:37,260
over 30 years ago.
341
00:23:40,340 --> 00:23:44,619
What we're seeing at the moment
is exactly what we predicted.
342
00:23:44,620 --> 00:23:48,499
What I'd like to do today
is to start with Dr James Hansen.
343
00:23:48,500 --> 00:23:52,539
In the summer of 1988,
I testified to Congress.
344
00:23:52,540 --> 00:23:57,419
Number one, the Earth is warmer
in 1988 than at any time
345
00:23:57,420 --> 00:24:00,540
in the history of
instrumental measurements.
346
00:24:02,700 --> 00:24:07,339
I said I was 99% confident
that this was a real,
347
00:24:07,340 --> 00:24:11,459
physical effect of the
increasing carbon dioxide.
348
00:24:11,460 --> 00:24:14,139
The Earth is warming
by an amount which is too large
349
00:24:14,140 --> 00:24:16,100
to be a chance fluctuation.
350
00:24:18,540 --> 00:24:23,059
James Hansen was absolutely
a pioneer in trying to reach
351
00:24:23,060 --> 00:24:24,899
the public and politicians.
352
00:24:24,900 --> 00:24:27,259
He played a major role,
there's no doubt, in putting
353
00:24:27,260 --> 00:24:29,259
climate change on the
international agenda.
354
00:24:29,260 --> 00:24:32,419
Those who think we're powerless to
do anything about this
355
00:24:32,420 --> 00:24:35,419
greenhouse effect are forgetting
about the White House effect.
356
00:24:35,420 --> 00:24:38,139
The short-term response
was pretty good.
357
00:24:38,140 --> 00:24:42,899
We are the Lord's creatures,
the trustees of this planet.
358
00:24:42,900 --> 00:24:45,339
The politicians were
saying the right things,
359
00:24:45,340 --> 00:24:50,859
that we should avoid dangerous
human-made changes to climate.
360
00:24:50,860 --> 00:24:56,219
It's just that the policies needed
to achieve that were never adopted.
361
00:24:56,220 --> 00:24:58,819
There are many reasons we haven't
acted on climate change.
362
00:24:58,820 --> 00:25:00,939
Science is definitely
part of the story.
363
00:25:00,940 --> 00:25:02,819
The science is complicated.
364
00:25:02,820 --> 00:25:05,899
Economists had to look at, "OK,
what are the costs are going to be?"
365
00:25:05,900 --> 00:25:07,899
And then technologists
had to work out,
366
00:25:07,900 --> 00:25:10,180
"Well, what actually can we do
about it?"
367
00:25:11,340 --> 00:25:14,459
And that's one of the reasons why
it took a long time for governments
368
00:25:14,460 --> 00:25:16,819
really to put policies in place.
369
00:25:16,820 --> 00:25:19,019
However, there was also resistance.
370
00:25:19,020 --> 00:25:20,699
Let's be honest about this.
371
00:25:20,700 --> 00:25:22,779
There are incumbent
industries that then,
372
00:25:22,780 --> 00:25:25,419
they knew about climate change,
but they didn't really want
373
00:25:25,420 --> 00:25:27,659
anything to happen.
374
00:25:27,660 --> 00:25:29,659
Net income grew 17%...
375
00:25:29,660 --> 00:25:32,299
Earnings rose to $10.9 billion...
376
00:25:32,300 --> 00:25:35,739
The organisations that had the most
to lose by acting on climate change
377
00:25:35,740 --> 00:25:37,539
were the fossil fuel companies.
378
00:25:37,540 --> 00:25:40,979
The most profitable industry
possibly in the history of mankind,
379
00:25:40,980 --> 00:25:42,419
making huge profits.
380
00:25:42,420 --> 00:25:44,219
They wanted to continue that.
381
00:25:44,220 --> 00:25:46,740
$11.7 billion profit.
382
00:25:47,900 --> 00:25:50,579
Many of those industries,
basically the oil and gas industry,
383
00:25:50,580 --> 00:25:54,019
the fossil fuel industry,
they undertook a quite concerted
384
00:25:54,020 --> 00:25:58,899
campaign to confuse the science
and confuse the message.
385
00:25:58,900 --> 00:26:01,339
This is industry funded
and industry driven.
386
00:26:01,340 --> 00:26:05,939
Fossil fuel companies engaged
PR consultants who used exactly
387
00:26:05,940 --> 00:26:09,579
the same tactics that have been used
by the tobacco companies,
388
00:26:09,580 --> 00:26:11,499
and there's ample documentation.
389
00:26:11,500 --> 00:26:13,859
The basic strategy is to
cast doubt on the science.
390
00:26:13,860 --> 00:26:16,619
The science is so distorted
and mis-stated.
391
00:26:16,620 --> 00:26:18,779
To promote the message
that we don't really know,
392
00:26:18,780 --> 00:26:20,539
there isn't a consensus.
393
00:26:20,540 --> 00:26:23,419
There are too many complexities
around climate science.
394
00:26:23,420 --> 00:26:25,619
And it will be too
expensive to fix anyway.
395
00:26:25,620 --> 00:26:29,140
We've had flatline temperatures
globally for the last eight years.
396
00:26:31,980 --> 00:26:35,059
The cycle of denial has worked.
397
00:26:35,060 --> 00:26:37,259
And even today,
the President of the United States
398
00:26:37,260 --> 00:26:38,699
says that it's not true.
399
00:26:38,700 --> 00:26:42,779
All of this with the global warming,
and a lot of it's a hoax,
400
00:26:42,780 --> 00:26:45,460
it's a hoax. I mean, it's a
moneymaking industry. OK?
401
00:26:48,060 --> 00:26:52,059
In the UK, we have the
Climate Change Act from 2008,
402
00:26:52,060 --> 00:26:55,379
which was the first law anywhere
in the world to make a
403
00:26:55,380 --> 00:27:00,059
legally binding target for
reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
404
00:27:00,060 --> 00:27:03,339
But what we've also seen here
is a number of people
405
00:27:03,340 --> 00:27:08,019
in politics who've decided
really to campaign against action
406
00:27:08,020 --> 00:27:10,059
on climate change.
407
00:27:10,060 --> 00:27:14,419
There's plenty of evidence
that warming will bring benefits
408
00:27:14,420 --> 00:27:16,139
as well as maybe disadvantages.
409
00:27:16,140 --> 00:27:19,499
The arguments have been, well,
climate change is happening
410
00:27:19,500 --> 00:27:21,419
but it may not be that serious.
411
00:27:21,420 --> 00:27:25,219
There are huge benefits
from a warming planet.
412
00:27:25,220 --> 00:27:28,459
In the IPCC's own report,
there's fewer deaths
413
00:27:28,460 --> 00:27:30,499
from cold-related diseases.
414
00:27:30,500 --> 00:27:34,219
They say we should just adapt
to it rather than try to reduce
415
00:27:34,220 --> 00:27:36,139
greenhouse gas emissions.
416
00:27:36,140 --> 00:27:40,059
And of course that's
very attractive to politicians.
417
00:27:40,060 --> 00:27:43,819
Because to decide not to do
something is much more comfortable.
418
00:27:43,820 --> 00:27:46,699
I think that many of us were
willing to hear that message
419
00:27:46,700 --> 00:27:50,379
because we too depend upon
fossil fuels for our lifestyle.
420
00:27:50,380 --> 00:27:53,859
So we're all implicated
in this economic system,
421
00:27:53,860 --> 00:27:56,780
but it's not like we're
all equally responsible, right?
422
00:27:58,340 --> 00:28:02,739
There's no doubt that that seeding
of doubt has slowed the transition
423
00:28:02,740 --> 00:28:04,580
to a clean-energy economy.
424
00:28:05,660 --> 00:28:11,739
We haven't entirely wasted the 30
years but it would have been so easy
425
00:28:11,740 --> 00:28:17,179
to solve the problem
if we had started gradually to make
426
00:28:17,180 --> 00:28:22,459
fossil fuels more expensive
and develop the technologies
427
00:28:22,460 --> 00:28:24,819
to replace them.
428
00:28:24,820 --> 00:28:26,300
But we didn't do that.
429
00:28:27,780 --> 00:28:30,180
And now there are consequences.
430
00:28:32,060 --> 00:28:36,299
Greenhouse gas emissions
have continued to rise
431
00:28:36,300 --> 00:28:39,340
and the problem is
getting harder to solve.
432
00:28:44,420 --> 00:28:48,499
The world's great forests play
a vital role in determining
433
00:28:48,500 --> 00:28:51,900
the balance of carbon dioxide
in our atmosphere.
434
00:28:53,780 --> 00:28:58,219
Trees and plants absorb
carbon dioxide, using it to build
435
00:28:58,220 --> 00:29:02,139
their leaves, stems and roots.
436
00:29:02,140 --> 00:29:06,419
In this process of photosynthesis,
they have sucked up and stored
437
00:29:06,420 --> 00:29:09,740
nearly a third of our emissions.
438
00:29:12,700 --> 00:29:16,539
The main driver of climate change
is greenhouse gas emissions.
439
00:29:16,540 --> 00:29:19,579
Forests are one of our ways out.
440
00:29:19,580 --> 00:29:22,619
They are like the lungs
of the planet.
441
00:29:22,620 --> 00:29:26,180
They are big climate regulators
at a global scale.
442
00:29:27,700 --> 00:29:30,140
July 23rd, 1972.
443
00:29:34,420 --> 00:29:36,219
My work has always
been about monitoring
444
00:29:36,220 --> 00:29:39,539
the land surface and forest.
445
00:29:39,540 --> 00:29:43,099
Thrusting outward into space,
we gain new perspective
446
00:29:43,100 --> 00:29:45,699
on ourselves.
447
00:29:45,700 --> 00:29:49,139
Since 1972 till now,
Landsat has been tracking
448
00:29:49,140 --> 00:29:52,299
and taking pictures
of the Earth's surface.
449
00:29:52,300 --> 00:29:55,859
Circling the Earth,
it offers an ideal means
450
00:29:55,860 --> 00:29:57,779
to monitor change.
451
00:29:57,780 --> 00:30:01,379
In 2008, the US government
says it's open free of charge
452
00:30:01,380 --> 00:30:03,859
and accessible over the internet.
453
00:30:03,860 --> 00:30:05,899
Millions of images, automatically.
454
00:30:05,900 --> 00:30:08,940
It's just this huge leap
in capability.
455
00:30:12,180 --> 00:30:15,620
It was only then
where we saw the whole planet.
456
00:30:17,660 --> 00:30:21,700
And when you see the whole,
it was a bit of a revelation.
457
00:30:27,820 --> 00:30:30,180
And, yeah, the alarm bells go off.
458
00:30:32,100 --> 00:30:35,299
These warm orangey tones,
that's forest disturbance,
459
00:30:35,300 --> 00:30:37,100
that means forest was removed.
460
00:30:40,820 --> 00:30:43,140
We didn't know that was going on.
461
00:30:44,260 --> 00:30:48,099
Colombia, Peru, Paraguay, Bolivia.
462
00:30:48,100 --> 00:30:52,860
We can go anywhere and see
actual forest be cleared.
463
00:31:02,660 --> 00:31:04,780
It usually starts with logging.
464
00:31:09,540 --> 00:31:13,099
Rainforests are cleared and burned.
465
00:31:13,100 --> 00:31:18,100
They then replace it with soybeans,
rubber, pasture for cattle.
466
00:31:19,220 --> 00:31:22,860
But one of the big drivers
is palm oil.
467
00:31:25,100 --> 00:31:27,620
Palm oil is like a magical fruit.
468
00:31:29,900 --> 00:31:33,659
We all have palm oil
in our houses right now.
469
00:31:33,660 --> 00:31:36,619
It's found in almost
every good you can think about.
470
00:31:36,620 --> 00:31:39,139
It's in soaps, it's in shampoo.
471
00:31:39,140 --> 00:31:41,299
It's in chocolate,
it's in bread.
472
00:31:41,300 --> 00:31:43,259
It's even in crisps.
473
00:31:43,260 --> 00:31:46,459
What we're doing,
accidentally and inadvertently,
474
00:31:46,460 --> 00:31:50,059
is actually causing deforestation
in other countries because of our
475
00:31:50,060 --> 00:31:51,700
demand for this product.
476
00:31:53,340 --> 00:31:56,500
That means the
natural system is not working.
477
00:31:58,580 --> 00:32:01,020
Habitats are disappearing.
478
00:32:03,100 --> 00:32:05,939
But also when these
high carbon stock forests,
479
00:32:05,940 --> 00:32:10,019
that are centuries old,
are cleared and burned,
480
00:32:10,020 --> 00:32:12,499
CO2 is added to the atmosphere.
481
00:32:12,500 --> 00:32:15,460
Those emissions go up
and warm the planet.
482
00:32:17,820 --> 00:32:20,139
When you look at our maps,
our results are showing
483
00:32:20,140 --> 00:32:23,179
that it's accelerating.
484
00:32:23,180 --> 00:32:25,019
It almost looks like a contagion.
485
00:32:25,020 --> 00:32:28,099
You know, it looks like
a disease across the planet.
486
00:32:28,100 --> 00:32:31,220
I mean, the ever-increasing
pattern.
487
00:32:32,900 --> 00:32:35,980
If we continue this level
of deforestation, we'll take it all.
488
00:32:38,660 --> 00:32:42,699
And our ability to mitigate
climate change and turn the story
489
00:32:42,700 --> 00:32:45,500
around becomes really
vanishingly small.
490
00:32:49,580 --> 00:32:55,699
Trees are now being cut down
and burnt at such a rate,
491
00:32:55,700 --> 00:32:59,299
that nearly a third of our
carbon dioxide emissions
492
00:32:59,300 --> 00:33:01,540
are caused by deforestation.
493
00:33:15,580 --> 00:33:17,899
It sucks.
494
00:33:17,900 --> 00:33:20,459
I'm a pretty light-hearted,
optimistic guy.
495
00:33:20,460 --> 00:33:23,139
But just looking at this data,
you just look at the stories,
496
00:33:23,140 --> 00:33:27,579
I'd like to see some evidence
497
00:33:27,580 --> 00:33:31,659
of a really strong, strong kind of
498
00:33:31,660 --> 00:33:34,539
unified political response
that was more than an aspiration
499
00:33:34,540 --> 00:33:37,059
on a kind of piece of paper, right?
500
00:33:37,060 --> 00:33:38,380
That would be cool.
501
00:33:45,460 --> 00:33:49,139
Looking ahead to the future,
we know that if we continue
502
00:33:49,140 --> 00:33:52,779
releasing carbon dioxide
into our atmosphere,
503
00:33:52,780 --> 00:33:56,019
temperatures will keep rising
and the consequences
504
00:33:56,020 --> 00:33:59,019
will get progressively worse.
505
00:33:59,020 --> 00:34:01,140
But do we know how much worse?
506
00:34:08,540 --> 00:34:11,859
There are thousands
of scientists around the world,
507
00:34:11,860 --> 00:34:15,859
in almost every single country,
working to understand
508
00:34:15,860 --> 00:34:22,059
what will happen in the future
if we don't act, we don't do more.
509
00:34:22,060 --> 00:34:26,139
So we use really powerful climate
models, which are numerical
510
00:34:26,140 --> 00:34:29,339
representations of the whole
of the Earth system.
511
00:34:29,340 --> 00:34:32,499
The oceans, the land,
the atmosphere and the ice
512
00:34:32,500 --> 00:34:34,819
on the planet.
513
00:34:34,820 --> 00:34:38,219
And then we drive it
with increased carbon dioxide,
514
00:34:38,220 --> 00:34:43,180
based on predictions of the future
and then we see what the model does.
515
00:34:45,100 --> 00:34:48,459
They predict that if
we carry on as we are now,
516
00:34:48,460 --> 00:34:53,739
where CO2 continues to increase,
we would hit 1.5 degrees
517
00:34:53,740 --> 00:34:57,900
global warming by between
2040 and 2050.
518
00:34:59,620 --> 00:35:05,299
We're on course to go through 1.5
degrees in just a few decades' time,
519
00:35:05,300 --> 00:35:08,459
and the models differ slightly
as to exactly when.
520
00:35:08,460 --> 00:35:12,019
And not long after that,
we're on a trajectory to go
521
00:35:12,020 --> 00:35:13,460
through two degrees.
522
00:35:14,660 --> 00:35:18,299
Whilst we don't know exactly
what a two degree warmer world
523
00:35:18,300 --> 00:35:22,139
will look like, there's growing
evidence about the consequences
524
00:35:22,140 --> 00:35:24,140
of crossing this threshold.
525
00:35:25,420 --> 00:35:31,379
We know that with increased storms,
increased floods, droughts
526
00:35:31,380 --> 00:35:36,139
and heat waves, production of food
will be more problematic.
527
00:35:36,140 --> 00:35:39,099
It really becomes difficult to see
at such levels of warming
528
00:35:39,100 --> 00:35:41,419
how we're going to maintain
our agriculture,
529
00:35:41,420 --> 00:35:45,139
such that the population of the
world can actually feed itself.
530
00:35:45,140 --> 00:35:48,139
Ensuring people have access
to clean, safe drinking water
531
00:35:48,140 --> 00:35:51,179
will become much more difficult.
532
00:35:51,180 --> 00:35:54,059
Developing countries
are at the front line
533
00:35:54,060 --> 00:35:55,619
of this battle.
534
00:35:55,620 --> 00:35:59,779
Those parts of the globe
which will suffer the most
535
00:35:59,780 --> 00:36:04,219
and the soonest are not those parts
of the globe which have actually
536
00:36:04,220 --> 00:36:06,619
loaded all those carbon dioxides
into the atmosphere
537
00:36:06,620 --> 00:36:07,860
in the first instance.
538
00:36:09,260 --> 00:36:13,739
But you have to understand,
this is also a crisis for the world.
539
00:36:13,740 --> 00:36:16,859
The fact is that if the poor
are suffering today,
540
00:36:16,860 --> 00:36:19,740
then the rich will
also suffer tomorrow.
541
00:36:22,100 --> 00:36:26,139
As we look further into the future,
predicting how our climate system
542
00:36:26,140 --> 00:36:28,940
might behave becomes more complex.
543
00:36:30,580 --> 00:36:34,579
There's uncertainty
in climate projection, not least
544
00:36:34,580 --> 00:36:37,619
because we don't know what
our generation when we're older
545
00:36:37,620 --> 00:36:39,739
is going to be doing
and what the future generations
546
00:36:39,740 --> 00:36:41,779
are going to be doing.
547
00:36:41,780 --> 00:36:46,659
But based on our current trajectory,
the various models predict
548
00:36:46,660 --> 00:36:50,339
that by the end of the century,
our planet will be somewhere
549
00:36:50,340 --> 00:36:53,220
between three and six
degrees hotter.
550
00:36:54,900 --> 00:36:58,379
Even if we are looking
at the bottom end of predictions,
551
00:36:58,380 --> 00:37:00,260
that's still really bad.
552
00:37:01,300 --> 00:37:05,339
Over 600 million people
live in coastal areas
553
00:37:05,340 --> 00:37:08,660
that are less than
ten metres above sea level.
554
00:37:12,940 --> 00:37:17,539
Some models predict if we don't do
anything to curb climate change,
555
00:37:17,540 --> 00:37:20,939
then we could be looking at
80 centimetres to a metre
556
00:37:20,940 --> 00:37:24,020
of sea level rise
by the end of the century.
557
00:37:25,420 --> 00:37:29,739
So sea level is dangerous for us
in the UK, as indeed elsewhere.
558
00:37:29,740 --> 00:37:33,099
The main impacts of what might seem
a gradual rise of sea level
559
00:37:33,100 --> 00:37:36,019
is the risk from storms,
surges of sea
560
00:37:36,020 --> 00:37:38,859
that we've never seen before.
561
00:37:38,860 --> 00:37:42,259
If we lose all our coastal cities,
we've got a different planet
562
00:37:42,260 --> 00:37:46,540
and we've got a economic situation
which is out of control.
563
00:37:49,540 --> 00:37:54,139
While there's a lot we understand
about what the future might hold,
564
00:37:54,140 --> 00:37:58,499
the big fear is that there
may be other, more extreme dangers
565
00:37:58,500 --> 00:38:01,460
lurking beyond those
we already know about.
566
00:38:02,860 --> 00:38:05,660
Scientists call these
tipping points.
567
00:38:07,500 --> 00:38:11,779
A tipping point is where
in a part of the climate system,
568
00:38:11,780 --> 00:38:15,699
just a little bit of extra warming
could nudge it into
569
00:38:15,700 --> 00:38:18,860
a different state,
an irreversible change.
570
00:38:22,340 --> 00:38:26,539
At the moment, it is our ongoing
emissions that are driving
571
00:38:26,540 --> 00:38:28,420
global temperatures up.
572
00:38:31,060 --> 00:38:36,180
But if we cross tipping points, that
could spiral beyond our control.
573
00:38:39,060 --> 00:38:42,979
If we imagine a map of the world,
it turns out that there are climate
574
00:38:42,980 --> 00:38:45,460
tipping points dotted all around it.
575
00:38:49,380 --> 00:38:52,819
Greenland and West Antarctica
could be tipped
576
00:38:52,820 --> 00:38:55,140
into irreversible meltdown.
577
00:38:57,380 --> 00:39:00,699
There are major ecosystems
that we could tip
578
00:39:00,700 --> 00:39:02,580
into an alternative state.
579
00:39:04,140 --> 00:39:07,299
For example, triggering
a climate-induced dieback
580
00:39:07,300 --> 00:39:10,580
of the rainforest,
turning it into a savannah.
581
00:39:12,300 --> 00:39:14,739
Once you've crossed
a tipping point, that's it.
582
00:39:14,740 --> 00:39:17,379
You've triggered
a catastrophic change.
583
00:39:17,380 --> 00:39:21,139
It's going to carry on
getting even hotter,
584
00:39:21,140 --> 00:39:25,060
because you've triggered something
that you can't undo.
585
00:39:32,180 --> 00:39:36,579
One of the potential tipping points
scientists have identified
586
00:39:36,580 --> 00:39:39,900
involves a greenhouse gas
locked underground.
587
00:39:43,820 --> 00:39:47,459
We know that there's large amounts
of methane stored in the permafrost
588
00:39:47,460 --> 00:39:51,499
in the Arctic, and we're worried
that as that permafrost starts
589
00:39:51,500 --> 00:39:55,379
to actually unfreeze,
the methane trapped underneath
590
00:39:55,380 --> 00:39:57,180
will start to bubble up.
591
00:40:04,460 --> 00:40:06,339
Few bubbles down in there.
592
00:40:06,340 --> 00:40:12,020
When we look down into the ice,
we see white pockets of gas.
593
00:40:15,340 --> 00:40:17,939
We can see that there are bubbles
in the surface layer
594
00:40:17,940 --> 00:40:21,979
and then there's a whole column
of bubbles that stacks up.
595
00:40:21,980 --> 00:40:26,299
When this ice sheet melts,
the gases are released
596
00:40:26,300 --> 00:40:29,059
into the atmosphere and you can
actually hear the gases coming out.
597
00:40:29,060 --> 00:40:30,620
GAS HISSES
598
00:40:37,180 --> 00:40:38,820
Let's have a look.
599
00:40:40,460 --> 00:40:43,339
These flares that we're doing
demonstrate that the bubbles
600
00:40:43,340 --> 00:40:45,379
contain methane.
601
00:40:45,380 --> 00:40:48,379
It's a very potent
greenhouse gas.
602
00:40:48,380 --> 00:40:54,499
Methane is 21 times more powerful
as a greenhouse gas than CO2.
603
00:40:54,500 --> 00:40:59,499
So you can imagine a large amount
of gas burping out of the permafrost
604
00:40:59,500 --> 00:41:03,379
actually causing the acceleration
in the global warming
605
00:41:03,380 --> 00:41:05,140
that we see already happening.
606
00:41:10,860 --> 00:41:14,379
You look out across the millions
of lakes in the Arctic,
607
00:41:14,380 --> 00:41:16,819
you start to wonder
just how much methane
608
00:41:16,820 --> 00:41:19,140
all of these lakes could release.
609
00:41:25,980 --> 00:41:30,659
The future looks alarming indeed,
but it's not without hope.
610
00:41:30,660 --> 00:41:34,499
There is still time,
if we act now with determination
611
00:41:34,500 --> 00:41:36,419
and urgency.
612
00:41:36,420 --> 00:41:40,379
What do governments, industries,
nations and we, as individuals,
613
00:41:40,380 --> 00:41:43,420
need to do to change our course?
614
00:41:48,220 --> 00:41:53,179
At the 2015 United Nations
climate summit in Paris,
615
00:41:53,180 --> 00:41:56,979
for the first time ever,
nearly every country in the world
616
00:41:56,980 --> 00:41:58,420
came to an agreement.
617
00:42:00,340 --> 00:42:05,139
It set an objective to hold
temperatures below two degrees
618
00:42:05,140 --> 00:42:08,380
and try to limit warming to 1.5.
619
00:42:10,060 --> 00:42:14,259
If we want to try and keep
the global climate to 1.5 degrees,
620
00:42:14,260 --> 00:42:18,539
we have to half our carbon emissions
by 2030 and then hit
621
00:42:18,540 --> 00:42:22,819
zero carbon emissions globally
by 2050.
622
00:42:22,820 --> 00:42:27,459
This poses a huge challenge,
as emissions must be cut from almost
623
00:42:27,460 --> 00:42:29,539
every part of the economy.
624
00:42:29,540 --> 00:42:34,979
But 25% come from how
we produce electricity and heat,
625
00:42:34,980 --> 00:42:38,819
and alternatives are
already within our grasp.
626
00:42:38,820 --> 00:42:40,539
It's actually not that complicated.
627
00:42:40,540 --> 00:42:44,379
We need to shift our energy system
away from fossil fuels that produce
628
00:42:44,380 --> 00:42:48,620
greenhouse gases and towards
renewable energies that don't.
629
00:42:50,060 --> 00:42:53,299
Every country has got
a different resource.
630
00:42:53,300 --> 00:42:57,179
In Norway, you've got
an awful lot of hydro power.
631
00:42:57,180 --> 00:43:01,419
If you're in India or Morocco,
there's lots and lots of sun.
632
00:43:01,420 --> 00:43:06,259
The problem was that renewables
were much more expensive
633
00:43:06,260 --> 00:43:08,739
than fossil fuels.
634
00:43:08,740 --> 00:43:11,179
But what's happened recently
is rapid falls in the price
635
00:43:11,180 --> 00:43:12,820
of renewable energy.
636
00:43:14,500 --> 00:43:17,660
Solar power has led
the way with this.
637
00:43:19,540 --> 00:43:22,819
Germany went first with of many
of the key technologies in solar,
638
00:43:22,820 --> 00:43:25,380
and China really
picked up the baton.
639
00:43:27,980 --> 00:43:31,059
There's tremendous technological
innovation taking place
640
00:43:31,060 --> 00:43:32,499
around the world.
641
00:43:32,500 --> 00:43:35,339
Solar power is now the cheapest form
of newly installed electricity
642
00:43:35,340 --> 00:43:37,380
in more than 60 countries.
643
00:43:38,820 --> 00:43:41,459
We're seeing a huge growth
in renewable energy.
644
00:43:41,460 --> 00:43:44,099
Despite entrenched
fossil fuel interests,
645
00:43:44,100 --> 00:43:47,340
they've been unable
to stop that transition.
646
00:43:48,340 --> 00:43:50,060
And we've got to do even more.
647
00:43:54,460 --> 00:43:57,539
In the UK, for a long time,
we've been considering
648
00:43:57,540 --> 00:43:59,219
future energy sources.
649
00:43:59,220 --> 00:44:02,139
It used to be ten,
20 years ago that nuclear power
650
00:44:02,140 --> 00:44:05,499
offered a relatively
cheap way through.
651
00:44:05,500 --> 00:44:08,659
And one really good advantage
of nuclear is that
652
00:44:08,660 --> 00:44:11,299
it doesn't produce emissions.
653
00:44:11,300 --> 00:44:14,539
But what's become clearer recently
is that some technologies
654
00:44:14,540 --> 00:44:17,459
are performing better than others.
655
00:44:17,460 --> 00:44:20,300
And increasingly,
that's been about wind.
656
00:44:22,460 --> 00:44:26,819
Here in the UK, we are building
some of the biggest offshore
657
00:44:26,820 --> 00:44:29,260
wind turbines in the world.
658
00:44:32,420 --> 00:44:36,180
The bigger the turbine,
the more wind can be captured.
659
00:44:40,380 --> 00:44:45,940
Just one revolution of these blades
can power a house for a day.
660
00:44:49,100 --> 00:44:52,739
With the increased capacity,
wind resource is about to become
661
00:44:52,740 --> 00:44:56,379
as cheap and much cheaper
in the future, than fossil fuels.
662
00:44:56,380 --> 00:45:01,259
So far, around 30% of
the UK's electricity
663
00:45:01,260 --> 00:45:04,339
comes from renewable sources.
664
00:45:04,340 --> 00:45:07,979
If that is to continue to grow,
we'll need to develop
665
00:45:07,980 --> 00:45:13,459
parallel systems to keep our energy
reliable and store what we produce.
666
00:45:13,460 --> 00:45:15,899
The bit that comes next,
that means that we have to
667
00:45:15,900 --> 00:45:18,259
decarbonise industry
and we've got to decarbonise
668
00:45:18,260 --> 00:45:20,379
the transport sector.
669
00:45:20,380 --> 00:45:24,339
And that means using things
like electric vehicles,
670
00:45:24,340 --> 00:45:26,059
battery-powered vehicles,
671
00:45:26,060 --> 00:45:29,299
potentially even
hydrogen-powered vehicles.
672
00:45:29,300 --> 00:45:31,299
We know what we have to do.
673
00:45:31,300 --> 00:45:33,579
We really have to get on and do it.
674
00:45:33,580 --> 00:45:36,219
And this is the political decision
and the brave decision
675
00:45:36,220 --> 00:45:37,859
that needs be taken.
676
00:45:37,860 --> 00:45:41,299
Do we incur a small cost now,
not insignificant cost,
677
00:45:41,300 --> 00:45:44,659
let's be clear on it,
or do we wait and see
678
00:45:44,660 --> 00:45:46,179
the need to adapt?
679
00:45:46,180 --> 00:45:48,419
And the economics is
really clear on this,
680
00:45:48,420 --> 00:45:52,820
that the costs of action are dwarfed
by the costs of inaction.
681
00:45:56,620 --> 00:46:01,619
If we take this path now, we
could potentially buy ourselves time
682
00:46:01,620 --> 00:46:04,379
to crack some of the
most challenging sources
683
00:46:04,380 --> 00:46:06,740
of emissions, like aviation.
684
00:46:11,300 --> 00:46:15,619
One of the major barriers
to obtaining electric flight
685
00:46:15,620 --> 00:46:19,860
is the power that we can get
from batteries today.
686
00:46:21,340 --> 00:46:27,379
But we are seeing strides being made
and seeing a reduction in the weight
687
00:46:27,380 --> 00:46:28,780
of these batteries.
688
00:46:30,220 --> 00:46:33,939
Recently, the world's first
fully electric plane
689
00:46:33,940 --> 00:46:36,579
made it across the Channel.
690
00:46:36,580 --> 00:46:40,380
This was a single-passenger
60 kilowatt power jet.
691
00:46:42,020 --> 00:46:46,740
Now we're trying to retrofit a
20 tonne aircraft and get it flying.
692
00:46:48,660 --> 00:46:52,019
We'll be replacing one of the
engines with an electric motor
693
00:46:52,020 --> 00:46:53,620
driving the fan.
694
00:46:55,660 --> 00:46:59,299
We're going to take these hybrid
electric systems and test them
695
00:46:59,300 --> 00:47:01,859
in the air, test them in flight
at different altitudes
696
00:47:01,860 --> 00:47:03,579
and different temperatures.
697
00:47:03,580 --> 00:47:06,819
And this is going to give us the key
to understand how we might integrate
698
00:47:06,820 --> 00:47:09,820
these systems for
future aircraft designs.
699
00:47:14,340 --> 00:47:19,219
To limit warming to 1.5 degrees,
as well as reducing the amount
700
00:47:19,220 --> 00:47:22,699
of carbon dioxide we release
into the atmosphere,
701
00:47:22,700 --> 00:47:25,899
we need to find ways
to reduce the vast amount
702
00:47:25,900 --> 00:47:27,380
that's already there.
703
00:47:32,820 --> 00:47:36,619
There's a great deal of interest
in the kind of technologies
704
00:47:36,620 --> 00:47:39,739
that we might have that could
actually remove carbon dioxide
705
00:47:39,740 --> 00:47:41,419
from the atmosphere.
706
00:47:41,420 --> 00:47:43,059
Now, the first thing to say is
707
00:47:43,060 --> 00:47:46,339
we already have these technologies
and they're called trees.
708
00:47:46,340 --> 00:47:51,499
If we reforest and rewild vast areas
of the world, then we can
709
00:47:51,500 --> 00:47:56,859
lock up huge amounts of carbon
that is currently in the atmosphere.
710
00:47:56,860 --> 00:48:01,019
In the future, there are other
technologies that might work.
711
00:48:01,020 --> 00:48:02,660
Like direct air capture.
712
00:48:05,140 --> 00:48:09,139
This is one of the world's
first carbon collectors.
713
00:48:09,140 --> 00:48:11,219
Air is sucked into the collector.
714
00:48:11,220 --> 00:48:16,340
Inside there is a filter unit
that absorbs CO2.
715
00:48:17,820 --> 00:48:19,900
The CO2 sticks to the filter.
716
00:48:21,340 --> 00:48:24,419
And then it's dissolved in water.
717
00:48:24,420 --> 00:48:28,299
And under high pressure,
we pump it down to 1,800 metres.
718
00:48:28,300 --> 00:48:31,299
It's the same as the depth
of the Grand Canyon.
719
00:48:31,300 --> 00:48:33,540
And there it enters the bedrock.
720
00:48:37,820 --> 00:48:42,619
This is a core taken from deep
within the ground at the site
721
00:48:42,620 --> 00:48:46,179
where we injected our CO2.
722
00:48:46,180 --> 00:48:47,979
It's basalt.
723
00:48:47,980 --> 00:48:52,939
The water just flows
through these pores and reacts
724
00:48:52,940 --> 00:48:54,659
with the rock.
725
00:48:54,660 --> 00:48:58,939
So the white that we see here
is the CO2 turned into stone.
726
00:48:58,940 --> 00:49:01,979
So it's not affecting
our atmosphere.
727
00:49:01,980 --> 00:49:05,859
Technologies like this may be able
to help us in the future,
728
00:49:05,860 --> 00:49:10,299
but to meet emission targets,
action is needed now.
729
00:49:10,300 --> 00:49:14,299
Can what we do as individuals
make a difference?
730
00:49:14,300 --> 00:49:19,059
So the average UK person has got
a carbon footprint of roughly
731
00:49:19,060 --> 00:49:23,539
13 tonnes of carbon dioxide
equivalent, per person, per year.
732
00:49:23,540 --> 00:49:26,019
And that's everything
that they buy and do,
733
00:49:26,020 --> 00:49:28,780
traced right back
down the supply chain.
734
00:49:30,100 --> 00:49:33,259
And we can pick a few things
to start with that will make
735
00:49:33,260 --> 00:49:35,499
a really significant difference.
736
00:49:35,500 --> 00:49:38,539
They should be making our homes
as energy efficient as possible.
737
00:49:38,540 --> 00:49:42,139
That can be as simple
as getting your house insulated
738
00:49:42,140 --> 00:49:46,059
so you waste less energy, which by
the way, will save you money.
739
00:49:46,060 --> 00:49:50,299
Everything that we buy,
even if we can't see it,
740
00:49:50,300 --> 00:49:52,179
has a carbon footprint.
741
00:49:52,180 --> 00:49:55,619
From smartphones,
to clothes, to furniture.
742
00:49:55,620 --> 00:49:59,779
We've all become completely used
to buying things
743
00:49:59,780 --> 00:50:02,100
produced using fossil fuels.
744
00:50:03,540 --> 00:50:06,540
A lot of the time
we really don't know that.
745
00:50:08,020 --> 00:50:10,819
Take a washing machine,
mainly made out of metal
746
00:50:10,820 --> 00:50:13,100
and that starts off with a mine.
747
00:50:14,740 --> 00:50:17,539
Ore is going to be taken
to the blast furnace
748
00:50:17,540 --> 00:50:19,179
to extract the metal.
749
00:50:19,180 --> 00:50:22,819
An enormous amounts of fossil fuel
is going to be used.
750
00:50:22,820 --> 00:50:25,859
And then parts are
turned into components,
751
00:50:25,860 --> 00:50:28,059
more emissions again.
752
00:50:28,060 --> 00:50:31,019
Lastly, it's shipped
all over the world to arrive
753
00:50:31,020 --> 00:50:33,619
at your local shop.
754
00:50:33,620 --> 00:50:38,099
So we need to think about
buying less physical products.
755
00:50:38,100 --> 00:50:41,980
When we do so, buy higher quality
and then make it last.
756
00:50:43,180 --> 00:50:46,299
We've been such a wasteful world,
especially in the more developed
757
00:50:46,300 --> 00:50:48,139
parts of the world.
758
00:50:48,140 --> 00:50:50,659
You actually can be
far less wasteful
759
00:50:50,660 --> 00:50:54,020
and not affect the quality
of your life at all.
760
00:50:57,260 --> 00:51:00,739
Food is about a quarter
of our carbon footprint in the UK.
761
00:51:00,740 --> 00:51:05,060
If we take three steps,
then we can cut that in half.
762
00:51:07,460 --> 00:51:11,379
First step, just to eat
everything that we buy.
763
00:51:11,380 --> 00:51:15,859
In the UK, we waste an
enormous proportion of our food.
764
00:51:15,860 --> 00:51:21,379
And second, avoid air freighted food
which is about 100 times
765
00:51:21,380 --> 00:51:24,379
as impactful as putting it on
a boat, and suddenly becomes
766
00:51:24,380 --> 00:51:27,019
a carbon disaster.
767
00:51:27,020 --> 00:51:31,219
Lastly, the most important thing
to do is to reduce our meat
768
00:51:31,220 --> 00:51:34,700
and dairy consumption,
especially beef and lamb.
769
00:51:37,380 --> 00:51:41,259
The problem is not traditional
farming techniques.
770
00:51:41,260 --> 00:51:44,699
The problem is with
intensive farming.
771
00:51:44,700 --> 00:51:48,979
It takes a lot of resources to rear
an animal, and cows and sheep
772
00:51:48,980 --> 00:51:51,579
are especially high impact
because they ruminate,
773
00:51:51,580 --> 00:51:54,059
which means they burp up methane.
774
00:51:54,060 --> 00:51:58,139
And the science on this
is absolutely clear cut.
775
00:51:58,140 --> 00:52:01,739
Our studies have shown
that if we take these three steps,
776
00:52:01,740 --> 00:52:04,699
we could knock perhaps even
two tonnes off the average
777
00:52:04,700 --> 00:52:06,579
UK person's carbon footprint.
778
00:52:06,580 --> 00:52:08,459
These things really do matter.
779
00:52:08,460 --> 00:52:10,299
They only get you part of the way.
780
00:52:10,300 --> 00:52:13,860
But again, if we don't have them,
we won't make the final target.
781
00:52:15,180 --> 00:52:17,980
What happens next is up to us all.
782
00:52:20,900 --> 00:52:24,539
I truly believe that together we can
bring about the
783
00:52:24,540 --> 00:52:28,460
transformative change
that is needed.
784
00:52:31,340 --> 00:52:35,099
Where your influence really kicks
in is the way that you push
785
00:52:35,100 --> 00:52:37,019
for the cultural change
that we need to see
786
00:52:37,020 --> 00:52:39,179
and the political change
that we need to see.
787
00:52:39,180 --> 00:52:44,180
People being able to make
their voice heard really matters.
788
00:52:45,220 --> 00:52:48,659
You should not underestimate
your own power or underestimate
789
00:52:48,660 --> 00:52:51,059
your own significance
to change people's minds
790
00:52:51,060 --> 00:52:52,900
and change people's behaviour.
791
00:52:55,340 --> 00:53:01,459
When I was younger, I had lots of
plans of becoming different things,
792
00:53:01,460 --> 00:53:05,300
everything from an actor
to a scientist.
793
00:53:06,980 --> 00:53:11,180
But then my teachers in school
told me about climate change.
794
00:53:13,180 --> 00:53:16,060
That was sort of
an eye opener to me.
795
00:53:18,340 --> 00:53:22,219
The more I read about it,
the more I understood how dangerous
796
00:53:22,220 --> 00:53:24,500
it was for everyone.
797
00:53:26,460 --> 00:53:28,499
I stopped going to school.
798
00:53:28,500 --> 00:53:31,499
I stopped talking
because I was just so sad.
799
00:53:31,500 --> 00:53:33,539
And then...
800
00:53:33,540 --> 00:53:37,380
that made me very concerned.
801
00:53:39,060 --> 00:53:41,739
One day, I decided
that this was enough.
802
00:53:41,740 --> 00:53:45,059
I wasn't going
to accept this any more.
803
00:53:45,060 --> 00:53:48,739
My future and everyone else's future
is at risk
804
00:53:48,740 --> 00:53:49,979
and nothing is being done.
805
00:53:49,980 --> 00:53:51,259
No-one is doing anything.
806
00:53:51,260 --> 00:53:53,860
So I have to do something.
807
00:53:56,940 --> 00:54:01,379
So I sat myself down on the ground
outside the Swedish parliament
808
00:54:01,380 --> 00:54:05,260
and I decided that I wasn't
going to go to school.
809
00:54:08,900 --> 00:54:11,620
The first day I sat all alone.
810
00:54:16,380 --> 00:54:19,620
Then the second day,
people started joining me.
811
00:54:22,740 --> 00:54:25,579
I wouldn't have imagined
in my wildest dreams
812
00:54:25,580 --> 00:54:27,380
that this would happen.
813
00:54:28,700 --> 00:54:31,019
It happened so fast.
814
00:54:31,020 --> 00:54:34,099
I know hundreds and thousands
of pupils follow you
815
00:54:34,100 --> 00:54:36,739
by not going to school.
816
00:54:36,740 --> 00:54:38,859
You are on the front pages
of the most influential
817
00:54:38,860 --> 00:54:41,339
newspapers and magazines.
818
00:54:41,340 --> 00:54:45,299
I saw that nothing was happening
and no-one was doing anything.
819
00:54:45,300 --> 00:54:47,099
So then I have to do something.
820
00:54:47,100 --> 00:54:50,579
And I want to be able to,
when I grow, to look back and say
821
00:54:50,580 --> 00:54:53,140
that I did what I could back then.
822
00:54:59,940 --> 00:55:01,739
What do we want?
823
00:55:01,740 --> 00:55:04,179
Climate justice!
When do we want it? Now!
824
00:55:04,180 --> 00:55:08,979
It is amazing that tens of thousands
of children all around the world
825
00:55:08,980 --> 00:55:11,420
have done the same thing as I did...
826
00:55:12,660 --> 00:55:17,739
..saying that why should we go
to school, if there's no future?
827
00:55:17,740 --> 00:55:19,419
And why should we learn facts
828
00:55:19,420 --> 00:55:24,140
when the most important facts
don't matter?
829
00:55:26,460 --> 00:55:30,419
I've learned that you are never
too small to make a difference.
830
00:55:30,420 --> 00:55:33,539
And if a few children can get
headlines all over the world,
831
00:55:33,540 --> 00:55:37,419
just by not going to school,
then imagine what we could all
832
00:55:37,420 --> 00:55:39,900
do together if we really wanted to.
833
00:55:41,060 --> 00:55:44,619
Change is coming,
whether you like it or not.
834
00:55:44,620 --> 00:55:48,219
Today was a day led by the children
in dozens of protests
835
00:55:48,220 --> 00:55:49,580
across the country.
836
00:55:56,340 --> 00:55:58,019
Save our planet!
837
00:55:58,020 --> 00:56:00,859
We still have time to turn
everything around,
838
00:56:00,860 --> 00:56:05,099
to pull the emergency brake
and to take action.
839
00:56:05,100 --> 00:56:10,180
But that short period of time
isn't going to last for long.
840
00:56:18,460 --> 00:56:23,779
There's a message for all of us
in the voices of these young people.
841
00:56:23,780 --> 00:56:28,820
It is after all their generation who
will inherit this dangerous legacy.
842
00:56:29,980 --> 00:56:33,899
We now stand at a unique point
in our planet's history,
843
00:56:33,900 --> 00:56:38,299
one where we must all share
responsibility both for our
844
00:56:38,300 --> 00:56:42,460
present wellbeing and for the future
of life on Earth.
845
00:56:44,540 --> 00:56:48,940
Every one of us has the power to
make changes and make them now.
846
00:56:50,020 --> 00:56:53,859
Our wonderful natural world
and the lives of our children
847
00:56:53,860 --> 00:56:57,299
and grandchildren,
and all those who follow them,
848
00:56:57,300 --> 00:57:00,540
depend upon us doing so.
71968
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