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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,001 --> 00:00:02,001 2 00:01:41,669 --> 00:01:45,359 Okay, first of all, I need to wind the clock back to when I started to understand 3 00:01:45,380 --> 00:01:47,100 what was actually going on here. 4 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,469 Isn't Vesuvius in Naples? 5 00:01:53,089 --> 00:01:54,550 On one hand, I couldn't believe it. 6 00:01:54,619 --> 00:01:59,149 On the other, I was pretty skeptical of how much of this was being exaggerated. 7 00:01:59,399 --> 00:02:01,990 And then I immediately fell down a rabbit hole. 8 00:02:02,449 --> 00:02:04,529 Are people living inside these craters? 9 00:02:04,820 --> 00:02:06,899 Oh my god, that is your view. 10 00:02:06,910 --> 00:02:08,440 I need to speak to people. 11 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:09,509 Why would you live here? 12 00:02:09,729 --> 00:02:10,310 It could all erupt. 13 00:02:10,340 --> 00:02:12,380 How do you evacuate that many people? 14 00:02:12,380 --> 00:02:14,689 Your moment's notice is ready to erupt. 15 00:02:15,310 --> 00:02:16,029 Waking up. 16 00:02:16,029 --> 00:02:18,840 Surely we are all just if this goes on. 17 00:02:19,390 --> 00:02:21,219 So yeah, I had a lot of questions. 18 00:02:23,049 --> 00:02:27,839 And I volcanologists who have studied Campi Flegre. 19 00:02:28,030 --> 00:02:32,470 Um, between this atlas and this crappy tectonic plates map, I feel like 20 00:02:32,470 --> 00:02:33,980 a middle school geography teacher. 21 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,269 But what you need to know is that Italy sits right here where the 22 00:02:37,269 --> 00:02:39,050 Eurasian and African plate meet. 23 00:02:39,380 --> 00:02:44,195 These tectonic plates rub up against each other, creating a ton of heat and 24 00:02:44,215 --> 00:02:48,495 pressure and in this case the African plate is being pushed beneath the Eurasian 25 00:02:48,495 --> 00:02:53,155 plate and this is called subduction and it can cause magma to rise up through 26 00:02:53,155 --> 00:02:56,825 the earth's crust which can trigger volcanic activity and earthquakes. 27 00:02:57,424 --> 00:03:00,694 Today we are focusing on the region of Campania around Naples. 28 00:03:01,270 --> 00:03:03,470 There are three volcanoes actually. 29 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:07,230 So the first is Mount Vesuvius, Campi Flegrei, and the island of Ischia, 30 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,030 which are all currently active. 31 00:03:10,310 --> 00:03:11,259 These are volcanoes then. 32 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:15,350 We cannot predict because prediction doesn't exist for volcanoes. 33 00:03:15,670 --> 00:03:17,230 Because we can't see underground. 34 00:03:17,269 --> 00:03:18,794 But at least we can make a forecast. 35 00:03:18,934 --> 00:03:19,434 Forecast. 36 00:03:19,674 --> 00:03:23,625 These are the most monitored volcanoes on the planet, and these forecasts 37 00:03:23,684 --> 00:03:28,224 are based on geological history and real time monitoring of earthquakes, 38 00:03:28,224 --> 00:03:32,155 how the ground is moving, and how quickly gas is escaping from the rock. 39 00:03:32,224 --> 00:03:34,494 And there is a huge caveat here. 40 00:03:34,584 --> 00:03:39,114 Even with the best monitoring systems, reliable forecasts are rarely possible 41 00:03:39,124 --> 00:03:43,802 to make more than a few days or even a few hours in advance of an eruption. 42 00:03:43,802 --> 00:03:46,429 And you have a population of around what? 43 00:03:48,470 --> 00:03:52,980 Almost 3 million people living in and around Naples, sitting between 44 00:03:52,990 --> 00:03:56,920 essentially three ticking time bombs, and we have no sure way of knowing 45 00:03:57,150 --> 00:03:59,609 how close that timer is to zero. 46 00:03:59,849 --> 00:04:03,799 So scientists and local authorities working together have to be extremely 47 00:04:03,799 --> 00:04:08,815 careful about How they present this to the public because it can and in the 48 00:04:08,815 --> 00:04:12,965 past has led to false alarms And we're actually going to get into that a little 49 00:04:12,974 --> 00:04:17,945 later in this video But since late 2023 residents have been experiencing 50 00:04:17,954 --> 00:04:23,434 seismic activity almost daily Now these earthquakes are relatively small. 51 00:04:23,685 --> 00:04:28,945 They call them seismic swarms large would be in chemistry would be a magnitude 3. 52 00:04:28,945 --> 00:04:29,785 5 or 4. 53 00:04:30,045 --> 00:04:34,105 But the concern is that they're happening way more frequently and slower. 54 00:04:34,445 --> 00:04:37,135 So that gives us a feeling that this is not quite the same 55 00:04:37,135 --> 00:04:38,895 process as happened before. 56 00:04:39,180 --> 00:04:42,580 And my last call was with a volcanologist who lives in the region. 57 00:04:42,700 --> 00:04:47,290 What is interesting is that there's a lot of interest for Vesuvius, and 58 00:04:47,350 --> 00:04:51,500 not so much for Campi Flegrei, which is more dangerous than Vesuvius. 59 00:04:51,950 --> 00:04:56,730 This is Giuseppe Mastalorenzo, and he's been studying Campi Flegrei for decades. 60 00:04:57,090 --> 00:05:00,335 Differently from Vesuvius, Is a Caldera. 61 00:05:00,425 --> 00:05:05,885 A Caldera is like a giant crater that forms after a volcano collapses in 62 00:05:05,885 --> 00:05:08,405 on itself after a massive eruption. 63 00:05:08,765 --> 00:05:12,635 In this case, a two major eruption caused the collapse of this 64 00:05:12,725 --> 00:05:15,515 Caldera one about 40,000 years ago. 65 00:05:15,965 --> 00:05:18,035 80 times bigger than the. 66 00:05:18,740 --> 00:05:24,710 79 ad eruption and the other one occurred about 15,000 years ago, which was 10 67 00:05:24,710 --> 00:05:26,600 times bigger than that same eruption. 68 00:05:27,319 --> 00:05:30,799 And it's the magnitude of these eruptions that classifies Campaign for 69 00:05:30,799 --> 00:05:35,749 Gray is a super volcano now technically for all the volcanologists out there 70 00:05:35,749 --> 00:05:39,804 watching, calling it a super volcano, is actually referring to those super 71 00:05:39,859 --> 00:05:42,080 eruptions that created the Caldera. 72 00:05:42,140 --> 00:05:48,719 We can say is that in the top 10 of the active explosive volcanoes in the world. 73 00:05:48,770 --> 00:05:51,989 That does not mean that every eruption will be a super eruption. 74 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,560 Basically, it's easier to think of Campi Flegrei as a volcanic 75 00:05:55,570 --> 00:05:59,700 region made up of a system of craters, cones, vents, and lakes. 76 00:05:59,789 --> 00:06:03,719 These visible craters are the result of explosive eruptions that have 77 00:06:03,719 --> 00:06:06,289 occurred in the last 10, 000 years. 78 00:06:06,500 --> 00:06:09,054 With the most recent forming 480 years ago. 79 00:06:09,055 --> 00:06:16,284 Okay, so that's what you need to know about this volcano, but what is it like 80 00:06:16,314 --> 00:06:18,294 to actually live on top of this thing? 81 00:06:18,704 --> 00:06:22,764 For centuries it was chill, but in the past 70 years there has been an 82 00:06:22,764 --> 00:06:29,234 alarming cycle of ground movement and seismic activity, which indicates that 83 00:06:29,504 --> 00:06:31,584 something is going on below the surface. 84 00:06:31,834 --> 00:06:36,150 But to really understand this crisis and to see the change, Giuseppe said I 85 00:06:36,280 --> 00:06:41,320 had to visit the city of Pozzuoli, which sits at the epicenter of the caldera. 86 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:45,340 So I've booked a ticket and I'm hoping I'll finally be able to answer my initial 87 00:06:45,340 --> 00:06:50,980 question of why people choose to live here and given the concerns, are they ready to 88 00:06:50,980 --> 00:06:53,379 evacuate their homes if the time comes? 89 00:06:59,029 --> 00:07:02,330 A week later, I arrived in Naples and through the help of some of our 90 00:07:02,330 --> 00:07:08,375 subscribers, I managed to arrange to visit right here on the edge of this volcano. 91 00:07:09,115 --> 00:07:11,575 I want to quickly pause the story here, just for one minute. 92 00:07:11,585 --> 00:07:16,764 Doing on the ground reporting like this is amazing, but it's not easy or cheap. 93 00:07:16,765 --> 00:07:20,014 So I just want to tell you about the sponsor of this video 94 00:07:20,025 --> 00:07:21,425 who helped make this possible. 95 00:07:21,475 --> 00:07:21,975 Udoo. 96 00:07:22,445 --> 00:07:27,385 Udoo is an all in one management software that provides entrepreneurs with a range 97 00:07:27,385 --> 00:07:31,445 of applications to simplify the day to day management of their business. 98 00:07:31,705 --> 00:07:35,134 And the great thing is that the first UDU application is free for life 99 00:07:35,375 --> 00:07:37,105 with ultimate hosting and support. 100 00:07:37,415 --> 00:07:40,765 They also offer a free personalized domain name for one year. 101 00:07:40,845 --> 00:07:44,204 Just remember, once you have two or more standalone applications, 102 00:07:44,224 --> 00:07:45,564 you switch to the paid plan. 103 00:07:45,665 --> 00:07:49,075 But let me show you how you can set up and build a website to show off 104 00:07:49,075 --> 00:07:52,629 your photos of, let's say, volcanoes you visited across the world. 105 00:07:52,820 --> 00:07:56,510 Their website builder lets you create and build websites easily efficiently. 106 00:07:56,550 --> 00:08:00,300 Check this out, through four steps you can get your new photography site into a good 107 00:08:00,300 --> 00:08:05,610 place by just defining your goals, picking a color scheme, then adding pages and 108 00:08:05,639 --> 00:08:07,689 features, and then choosing your theme. 109 00:08:07,950 --> 00:08:11,679 Then you can start customizing the site by simply dragging and dropping 110 00:08:11,700 --> 00:08:14,670 blocks, and then you can reorganize the layout with this grid feature. 111 00:08:14,670 --> 00:08:18,200 And Udo for yourself. 112 00:08:18,300 --> 00:08:20,800 And now let's pick up the rest of this story in Naples. 113 00:08:21,260 --> 00:08:25,505 I've made it in a It's about two hours until the sun sets and I'm on 114 00:08:25,505 --> 00:08:30,235 my way to visit a family who live next to one of these volcanoes and I 115 00:08:30,785 --> 00:08:32,414 want to understand what that's like. 116 00:08:32,845 --> 00:08:37,334 Are they as worried as I feel as somebody who's just arrived here in 117 00:08:37,335 --> 00:08:41,645 Naples thinking, yeah, volcanoes, you know, what's that about? 118 00:08:43,784 --> 00:08:44,284 Wow. 119 00:08:52,150 --> 00:08:52,709 That's the period. 120 00:08:53,850 --> 00:08:54,840 That's their view. 121 00:09:11,035 --> 00:09:12,915 Angela's home overlooked sulfur. 122 00:09:12,915 --> 00:09:16,485 Tara, this crater was formed around 4,000 years ago. 123 00:09:16,860 --> 00:09:19,340 caused by a phreatic eruption like this one. 124 00:09:19,510 --> 00:09:23,370 They're essentially steam driven explosions that are caused when water 125 00:09:23,370 --> 00:09:28,380 beneath the surface interacts with the magma, and this area surrounding 126 00:09:28,380 --> 00:09:31,769 it has been classified as the most dangerous part of the caldera. 127 00:09:44,665 --> 00:10:00,130 The first, the first citizen to die, so on the history books, Angela 128 00:10:00,130 --> 00:10:08,081 Ciccara, the first I've lived in Pozzuoli for a long time, and I've 129 00:10:08,081 --> 00:10:11,586 lived in this house for a long time. 130 00:10:11,586 --> 00:10:12,900 I mean, wow! 131 00:10:12,900 --> 00:10:15,091 Here you feel much stronger. 132 00:10:15,091 --> 00:10:19,472 Because we're close to the sulphate area, to the epicentre, 133 00:10:19,472 --> 00:10:22,101 and we're always on this side. 134 00:10:22,101 --> 00:10:24,729 Then we're on the fourth floor. 135 00:10:25,089 --> 00:10:26,559 Maybe sell the house. 136 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:26,860 No. 137 00:10:26,860 --> 00:10:30,880 Yeah, just as we were wrapping up the interview, Theresa looked off 138 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:35,410 camera to her daughter to confirm something that I hadn't noticed. 139 00:10:35,530 --> 00:10:39,190 We can feel the heart quakes right now. 140 00:10:39,340 --> 00:10:41,290 We can feel it right now. 141 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:41,770 Yeah. 142 00:10:41,770 --> 00:10:42,270 It's up. 143 00:10:43,090 --> 00:10:47,230 You can feel it because we can, because we feel it every day. 144 00:10:48,220 --> 00:10:50,230 So there's one happening right now. 145 00:10:50,230 --> 00:10:50,865 Is it still happening? 146 00:10:53,055 --> 00:10:53,575 Wow. 147 00:10:54,605 --> 00:10:55,655 And you, you can feel it? 148 00:10:55,805 --> 00:10:56,305 Yeah. 149 00:10:58,865 --> 00:11:00,535 Wasn't there a big one last week? 150 00:11:05,474 --> 00:11:08,395 I've checked into my hotel here in Pozzuoli. 151 00:11:08,595 --> 00:11:11,994 Not gonna lie, a little bit nervous to experience an earthquake. 152 00:11:12,395 --> 00:11:13,665 If that's gonna happen. 153 00:11:13,925 --> 00:11:15,865 In the last week there has been a lot. 154 00:11:17,235 --> 00:11:21,185 Genuinely going to sleep, pretty nervous. 155 00:11:23,994 --> 00:11:27,794 After an earthquake free night, I was heading to the center of this 156 00:11:27,805 --> 00:11:31,254 caldera, which is going to help us understand this crisis better. 157 00:11:34,025 --> 00:11:38,114 A ton of experts told me you have to check out the port in Pozzuoli 158 00:11:38,165 --> 00:11:42,655 to show how much the ground has changed in the last 40 years. 159 00:11:43,024 --> 00:11:44,884 And, I figured it out. 160 00:11:45,194 --> 00:11:48,255 So, these, I think they're called moors. 161 00:11:48,834 --> 00:11:52,194 The things that you tie the boats to are here. 162 00:11:53,025 --> 00:11:54,275 But they're also here. 163 00:11:55,005 --> 00:11:56,015 Why are they here? 164 00:11:56,175 --> 00:11:59,235 And that's because 40 years ago, where I'm standing, this is 165 00:11:59,235 --> 00:12:00,395 where the boats would have been. 166 00:12:00,475 --> 00:12:02,235 Like, the boats were at this level. 167 00:12:02,825 --> 00:12:07,894 The ground has risen so much that they've had to extend this, build this 168 00:12:07,894 --> 00:12:10,445 out, and put new ones in over here. 169 00:12:10,515 --> 00:12:13,254 So these ones here are now the current ones. 170 00:12:14,495 --> 00:12:18,295 But speaking to some fishermen, they've told me that these 171 00:12:18,325 --> 00:12:20,685 boats also used to be up here. 172 00:12:20,695 --> 00:12:23,965 Like, you could just, step on to a boat. 173 00:12:24,465 --> 00:12:25,795 And that was 20 years ago. 174 00:12:25,995 --> 00:12:30,195 Those huge ferries used to be able to pull in all the way over here, but they can't 175 00:12:30,225 --> 00:12:32,555 now because the water's just too low. 176 00:12:32,555 --> 00:12:33,915 I mean, look, you can see. 177 00:12:37,835 --> 00:12:41,934 Okay, so the ground in this area is rising. 178 00:12:42,194 --> 00:12:43,484 It's been rising for decades. 179 00:12:44,094 --> 00:12:48,225 The question we should be asking is, what's pushing it up? 180 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,510 So I've met up with Giuseppe at the port next to these Roman 181 00:12:51,510 --> 00:12:52,980 columns to figure this out. 182 00:12:54,380 --> 00:12:56,390 This was the temple, a therapist. 183 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:01,170 It was built in the second century ad, and it was just a temple by name. 184 00:13:01,319 --> 00:13:03,000 In reality, it was a market. 185 00:13:03,270 --> 00:13:07,140 But the reason I'm telling you about this is that geologists are fascinated 186 00:13:07,140 --> 00:13:11,640 by these ruins because at some point this market was somehow drowned. 187 00:13:12,670 --> 00:13:16,690 This banding around the columns are holes that were produced by mollusks. 188 00:13:17,560 --> 00:13:22,460 Which indicated that these columns were submerged for a long time. 189 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:27,380 I wrote this paper about, uh, 33 years ago. 190 00:13:27,490 --> 00:13:27,990 Wow. 191 00:13:28,259 --> 00:13:29,110 How old are you? 192 00:13:29,810 --> 00:13:30,310 31. 193 00:13:31,020 --> 00:13:32,449 So this paper is older than me. 194 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:32,980 Yeah, yeah. 195 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:37,850 It sank at a speed of about 10 millimeters per year. 196 00:13:38,860 --> 00:13:44,240 This causing the complete submerged around 1530. 197 00:13:44,300 --> 00:13:47,829 So it was about 10 meters under the present sea level. 198 00:13:48,515 --> 00:13:50,665 And this is the moment where it all clicked for me. 199 00:13:53,715 --> 00:13:58,645 The last eruption of Campi Flegrei was in 1538, just eight years after 200 00:13:58,645 --> 00:14:02,064 these ruins were submerged, and we have records of this period. 201 00:14:02,225 --> 00:14:06,364 It was the first eruption in modern time to be described by multiple witnesses. 202 00:14:06,625 --> 00:14:10,555 According to them, Campi Flegrei experienced a week long eruption, 203 00:14:10,565 --> 00:14:13,374 which formed this volcano, Montenuvo. 204 00:14:14,485 --> 00:14:19,585 Before the eruption of Montenuvo, the ground started to uproar. 205 00:14:19,645 --> 00:14:22,675 Lift up to seven meters. 206 00:14:22,675 --> 00:14:29,625 So the structure, yeah, the structure emerged again and retirement 207 00:14:29,685 --> 00:14:31,694 near to the present position. 208 00:14:32,015 --> 00:14:36,605 The ground level had inverted drastically due to the the magma 209 00:14:36,905 --> 00:14:39,095 pressure of the upper cross. 210 00:14:39,455 --> 00:14:39,515 Yeah. 211 00:14:39,515 --> 00:14:42,845 And according to Giuseppe's research, it started to sink 212 00:14:42,845 --> 00:14:44,569 again at the same rate as before. 213 00:14:45,069 --> 00:14:49,780 But at the beginning of 1950, it started again. 214 00:14:50,599 --> 00:14:56,269 If this is to be believed to still be true, we're going back towards He wants 215 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,229 to return to the original position. 216 00:14:58,229 --> 00:15:00,550 Which might indicate Yeah, yeah. 217 00:15:00,729 --> 00:15:04,099 It's called Brady Seism, and this is the most well documented 218 00:15:04,129 --> 00:15:05,550 area in the world for it. 219 00:15:05,589 --> 00:15:10,109 The next day at Giuseppe's place, which is right next to the new crater, He 220 00:15:10,109 --> 00:15:12,270 showed me why this is such a concern. 221 00:15:12,359 --> 00:15:16,099 This is the volcanological map of Campi Flegrei. 222 00:15:16,100 --> 00:15:18,249 Part of Naples is inside the caldera. 223 00:15:18,709 --> 00:15:21,719 All the calderas is very dangerous. 224 00:15:21,719 --> 00:15:24,810 Because a volcanic vent can open everywhere. 225 00:15:25,869 --> 00:15:26,949 Even here in Naples. 226 00:15:29,245 --> 00:15:32,085 Yeah, any point can be the next volcano. 227 00:15:32,245 --> 00:15:32,745 Okay. 228 00:15:33,095 --> 00:15:33,985 That's a volcano? 229 00:15:34,145 --> 00:15:34,645 Yeah. 230 00:15:34,945 --> 00:15:35,855 That's a volcano? 231 00:15:36,205 --> 00:15:36,675 All volcanoes. 232 00:15:36,675 --> 00:15:38,400 That's a volcano. 233 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:39,550 All volcanoes. 234 00:15:39,550 --> 00:15:46,454 The entire caldera, including the part submerged here into the sea, is about, 235 00:15:46,485 --> 00:15:48,925 uh, One hundred square kilometers. 236 00:15:49,665 --> 00:15:52,685 And the eruptions are always explosive. 237 00:15:54,335 --> 00:15:58,074 Is this the most populated place in the world that's surrounded by volcanoes? 238 00:15:58,384 --> 00:15:59,770 Like, the most densely populated? 239 00:15:59,770 --> 00:16:00,447 Yes, absolutely. 240 00:16:00,447 --> 00:16:06,484 Because in most of the other cases where violent, explosive volcanoes may erupt, 241 00:16:07,125 --> 00:16:09,325 the towns are more far from the volcano. 242 00:16:12,745 --> 00:16:16,609 Giuseppe is now taking us to the crater to get heat. 243 00:16:16,610 --> 00:16:23,290 And he's not that worried, so I don't feel too worried right now. 244 00:16:28,810 --> 00:16:34,130 Ah, these shots, not when I'm climbing a volcano. 245 00:16:37,250 --> 00:16:37,750 Wow. 246 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:38,959 Shall I fly the drone? 247 00:16:39,310 --> 00:16:41,599 You can't stop the British King here. 248 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:46,279 You can stop an American one, a German one, an Italian one. 249 00:16:46,619 --> 00:16:47,350 That's not good. 250 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:48,520 I'm really looking for the shot. 251 00:16:48,579 --> 00:16:50,000 You know, they can see me inside. 252 00:16:50,465 --> 00:16:51,574 Every condition. 253 00:16:53,824 --> 00:16:56,765 What this story has told me though, volcanoes are very different to 254 00:16:56,765 --> 00:16:58,715 how I perceive them all my life. 255 00:16:58,745 --> 00:17:01,324 Volcanoes, we see in movies, they exist. 256 00:17:01,324 --> 00:17:03,365 I mean, Vesuvius is an example of that. 257 00:17:04,325 --> 00:17:05,285 That's another volcano. 258 00:17:05,285 --> 00:17:11,819 This is what considered in the past as the entrance of the hell they called 259 00:17:11,855 --> 00:17:13,180 this, the entrance to hell, yes. 260 00:17:14,515 --> 00:17:15,075 Oh, great. 261 00:17:16,105 --> 00:17:17,954 Finally one of the most dangerous in the world. 262 00:17:18,305 --> 00:17:19,535 Doesn't look so dangerous. 263 00:17:19,855 --> 00:17:20,875 That's my hunch. 264 00:17:20,915 --> 00:17:24,634 Why so many people live here and just are not two phased. 265 00:17:24,765 --> 00:17:27,954 As the days went on, even I started to feel more relaxed. 266 00:17:28,744 --> 00:17:31,405 Take away the active volcano beneath the surface. 267 00:17:31,900 --> 00:17:34,140 And this is a pretty idyllic place to live. 268 00:17:39,190 --> 00:17:41,690 This is even reflected in the house prices. 269 00:17:41,770 --> 00:17:46,230 Looking at the data from the past eight years, prices have fluctuated, but nothing 270 00:17:46,260 --> 00:17:48,709 indicates a continuous decrease in value. 271 00:17:49,130 --> 00:17:52,520 In fact, in some parts of the Red Zone, prices are currently at 272 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,310 their highest in almost a decade. 273 00:17:54,580 --> 00:18:00,330 The prices, uh, increase because everybody want to stay here because of the sea, 274 00:18:00,340 --> 00:18:02,280 because of the beautiful climate. 275 00:18:02,380 --> 00:18:06,730 So people don't want to hear about The volcanic risks, they say, oh, there 276 00:18:06,730 --> 00:18:08,470 are just the risk of earthquakes. 277 00:18:08,470 --> 00:18:09,940 Don't talk about volcanoes. 278 00:18:12,530 --> 00:18:15,170 So I wanted to take another trip to Sulfur Tara. 279 00:18:15,290 --> 00:18:18,830 It's the most dangerous part of Camp Air Flare, and I thought I would hear 280 00:18:18,830 --> 00:18:20,690 a different story in this neighborhood. 281 00:18:21,180 --> 00:18:27,690 So we're heading to a spot where there is a ton of gas, and we're gonna 282 00:18:27,690 --> 00:18:29,310 speak to some people who live here. 283 00:18:59,910 --> 00:19:03,450 Okay, so in this part of town we've been getting a lot of rejections. 284 00:19:03,450 --> 00:19:03,950 Yes. 285 00:19:06,415 --> 00:19:09,075 They don't want to leave here, but they are afraid. 286 00:19:09,165 --> 00:19:13,915 If somebody will come check their houses, could find some damage. 287 00:19:14,185 --> 00:19:17,375 And so they have to leave the houses without any refunding. 288 00:19:18,204 --> 00:19:21,115 But what you'll find is, this is a very common response. 289 00:19:21,514 --> 00:19:24,965 There is no immediate danger, so people choose to ignore it or 290 00:19:25,065 --> 00:19:26,504 put it to the back of their mind. 291 00:19:26,665 --> 00:19:29,955 And for the elder generation, part of their scepticism lies 292 00:19:29,975 --> 00:19:32,295 here, in this abandoned quarter. 293 00:19:32,854 --> 00:19:37,245 Anytime I spoke to somebody over the age of 40, they'd bring up what happened here. 294 00:19:39,415 --> 00:19:43,175 And to understand why the authorities have to be so careful with raising 295 00:19:43,175 --> 00:19:46,564 the alarm, we need to look at previous Brady seismic events. 296 00:19:50,584 --> 00:19:54,074 This is Reno Terra, the historical center of Pozzuoli. 297 00:19:54,084 --> 00:19:55,259 It's home to around 7, 000 people. 298 00:19:56,400 --> 00:20:00,080 It's a close community based around fishing, it's also a poor 299 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,620 district, they have issues with sanitation and the buildings are 300 00:20:03,629 --> 00:20:05,860 centuries old and in need of repair. 301 00:20:06,149 --> 00:20:10,199 Residents are also aware of the volcano beneath them, but nobody 302 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:14,770 here gives it a second thought, it's been dormant for centuries. 303 00:20:14,770 --> 00:20:21,870 On the 2nd of March, army trucks, soldiers and the police 304 00:20:21,870 --> 00:20:23,050 rush into the neighbourhood. 305 00:20:23,420 --> 00:20:26,470 They start informing residents that They have to leave their homes, 306 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,710 giving them little to no chance to pack up their possessions. 307 00:20:30,060 --> 00:20:34,430 Understandably, there's pushback and those that resist are forcibly removed. 308 00:20:35,389 --> 00:20:39,300 Within 24 hours, Reno Terra has been evacuated and the 309 00:20:39,300 --> 00:20:40,569 district has been blocked off. 310 00:20:40,969 --> 00:20:44,210 They would later find out that there had been concerns from local 311 00:20:44,220 --> 00:20:49,270 authorities and volcanologists that Campi Flegrei had once again become active. 312 00:20:49,750 --> 00:20:52,679 For the next two years, Pozzuoli experienced ground 313 00:20:52,719 --> 00:20:54,370 uplift of around two meters. 314 00:20:54,700 --> 00:20:58,250 The scientific community were concerned about a potential eruption 315 00:20:58,670 --> 00:21:02,090 and that the buildings in Rino Terra could crumble into the sea. 316 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,330 But no one was prepared for such an emergency, which led 317 00:21:06,330 --> 00:21:07,989 to this chaotic evacuation. 318 00:21:09,725 --> 00:21:13,364 The residents were eventually relocated to these homes on the 319 00:21:13,364 --> 00:21:16,705 other side of the caldera, but the damage had already been done. 320 00:21:16,844 --> 00:21:18,645 And they've not been able to return. 321 00:21:18,745 --> 00:21:23,415 So that created a great deal of bitterness, because even if some 322 00:21:23,444 --> 00:21:27,174 people actually ended up in better accommodation, it completely fragmented 323 00:21:27,185 --> 00:21:28,614 the community that had been created. 324 00:21:29,180 --> 00:21:33,300 Now, it's just this quiet, open air museum. 325 00:21:33,300 --> 00:21:37,710 It was restored a couple of years ago, but nobody lives here. 326 00:21:37,710 --> 00:21:40,139 It's so weird. 327 00:21:41,379 --> 00:21:45,589 To this day, some believe that there were alternative motives for the eviction 328 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,510 and lost trust in the authorities. 329 00:21:47,740 --> 00:21:52,159 And to those people, regardless of the truth and what actually happened here, 330 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:57,149 that doesn't matter to them because What they believed happened has now been passed 331 00:21:57,149 --> 00:21:59,570 on in stories and through the community. 332 00:22:00,879 --> 00:22:04,529 But what this has all done is distract from the real threat. 333 00:22:06,860 --> 00:22:09,919 Over the next eight years, everything seemed to go back to normal. 334 00:22:10,099 --> 00:22:13,530 Then in the early 80s, the ground started to rise again. 335 00:22:13,649 --> 00:22:18,280 Between 1982 and 1983, there was over a meter of uplift in 336 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,659 Pozzuoli and even more earthquakes. 337 00:22:22,950 --> 00:22:27,389 Residents were again moved to a location still within the Caldera, but 338 00:22:27,389 --> 00:22:29,340 away from the center of the quakes. 339 00:22:29,460 --> 00:22:33,420 Authorities decided that this was the best way to minimize the social and 340 00:22:33,420 --> 00:22:35,700 economic fallout of an evacuation. 341 00:23:28,585 --> 00:23:31,150 I'm just editing this video, but my phone is blowing up. 342 00:23:32,170 --> 00:23:32,890 Hi Andy. 343 00:23:32,980 --> 00:23:34,450 The earthquake that I felt. 344 00:23:34,875 --> 00:23:37,265 Uh, very strong, it, it was very strong. 345 00:23:43,745 --> 00:23:45,685 But this is the largest in absolute. 346 00:23:45,765 --> 00:23:52,035 There were many damage to some building in Pozzuoli and some people were evacuated. 347 00:23:53,985 --> 00:23:58,585 Just before releasing this video, Pozzuoli was hit by the strongest earthquake in 348 00:23:58,585 --> 00:24:00,525 the history of monitoring the volcano. 349 00:24:00,785 --> 00:24:02,695 It could be felt across the whole region. 350 00:24:02,775 --> 00:24:05,055 What was recorded was a 4. 351 00:24:05,055 --> 00:24:05,995 4 on the Richter scale. 352 00:24:06,175 --> 00:24:07,634 In the eighties, the strongest. 353 00:24:09,395 --> 00:24:11,035 Now, an increase of 0. 354 00:24:11,075 --> 00:24:14,015 2 may not seem like much, but it really is. 355 00:24:14,305 --> 00:24:19,985 The difference between a magnitude 4 and 5 earthquake means that there's around 31. 356 00:24:20,065 --> 00:24:21,915 6 times the amount of energy. 357 00:24:22,165 --> 00:24:23,864 So an increase of 0. 358 00:24:23,904 --> 00:24:27,355 2 corresponds to a doubling of energy being released. 359 00:24:28,575 --> 00:24:31,825 Some residents were evacuated from their homes, others spent 360 00:24:31,835 --> 00:24:33,085 the night sleeping in tents. 361 00:24:33,615 --> 00:24:36,635 Buildings were damaged and according to Giuseppe he said 362 00:24:44,950 --> 00:24:49,330 I received a message from Teresa's family, their home was damaged in 363 00:24:49,330 --> 00:24:53,820 the quake, and like in the 80s, her and her family have had to evacuate. 364 00:24:54,919 --> 00:24:58,940 Right now they're in limbo, waiting to hear if their building is safe 365 00:24:58,940 --> 00:25:00,294 enough for them to return to. 366 00:25:00,855 --> 00:25:05,655 Sulfatara was at the center of the earthquake and I wondered how Angela felt. 367 00:25:05,715 --> 00:25:06,935 Was her home okay? 368 00:25:07,075 --> 00:25:09,724 Was she one of the people who chose to evacuate? 369 00:25:09,775 --> 00:25:13,365 Or did she just see it as another dance with the volcano that's been 370 00:25:13,365 --> 00:25:15,274 going on for thousands of years? 371 00:25:15,615 --> 00:25:19,225 Unlike in the 1970s, the local authorities have prepared an 372 00:25:19,225 --> 00:25:21,615 evacuation plan across Campi Flegrei. 373 00:25:21,745 --> 00:25:26,594 It involves moving half a million residents inland by bus and train, and 374 00:25:26,594 --> 00:25:29,065 on boats at the port within 72 hours. 375 00:25:31,185 --> 00:25:35,825 From spending time driving across this region and picturing the panic 376 00:25:35,845 --> 00:25:40,805 of an evacuation, I'm not sure what this actually looks like in reality. 377 00:25:41,695 --> 00:25:45,045 According to Giuseppe, he thinks that the plan doesn't account 378 00:25:45,055 --> 00:25:46,395 for all the possibilities. 379 00:25:46,855 --> 00:25:52,985 The present emergency plan is based on a medium scale eruption like this. 380 00:25:53,155 --> 00:25:55,395 But this is just an assumption. 381 00:25:55,575 --> 00:26:00,014 They balance between risk and economic effects. 382 00:26:00,335 --> 00:26:07,314 But if you are facing the possibility of a catastrophe, you must 383 00:26:07,315 --> 00:26:09,174 consider the worst case scenarios. 384 00:26:10,220 --> 00:26:15,550 And on the basis of this simulation, I insisted with zero defence to completely 385 00:26:15,550 --> 00:26:17,519 change the nature of the planet. 386 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:22,070 A super eruption would not just be catastrophic for Naples or 387 00:26:22,099 --> 00:26:24,480 even Italy, but for all of us. 388 00:26:25,139 --> 00:26:28,710 A full scale eruption could affect the global climate and 389 00:26:28,730 --> 00:26:30,620 even trigger a volcanic winter. 390 00:26:32,810 --> 00:26:33,670 Okay, let's begin. 391 00:26:33,815 --> 00:26:38,005 Pull it back though, because this sounds like end of the world stuff. 392 00:26:38,065 --> 00:26:42,885 It's scary, that fear in the unknown is what pulled me into this story. 393 00:26:42,965 --> 00:26:44,915 It's what headlines use to get clicks. 394 00:26:45,024 --> 00:26:48,235 Depending on the title, it might be the reason you clicked on this video. 395 00:26:48,295 --> 00:26:50,524 But, but, but, but, huge but here. 396 00:26:50,574 --> 00:26:55,870 Throughout all of this reporting, Everyone has said that there is no present reason 397 00:26:55,870 --> 00:27:01,220 to assume if Campi Flegrei erupts, that it will be on that magnitude. 398 00:27:01,919 --> 00:27:04,030 This is the main problem here. 399 00:27:04,230 --> 00:27:09,109 How does the scientific community work with the local authorities to 400 00:27:09,510 --> 00:27:13,695 articulate this to the residents in a way that doesn't blow it out 401 00:27:13,695 --> 00:27:17,894 of proportion and disrupt social and economic factors at play. 402 00:27:18,074 --> 00:27:22,174 And that's the big challenge whenever you work in an institution 403 00:27:22,174 --> 00:27:24,855 that has to inform people. 404 00:27:25,105 --> 00:27:30,455 If you tell old people, you have to leave because this is a danger, a red alert 405 00:27:30,515 --> 00:27:33,145 area they want, most of them they want. 406 00:27:33,265 --> 00:27:37,325 But they have to make people aware of the potential risk of an eruption 407 00:27:37,375 --> 00:27:39,474 and that there is a plan in place. 408 00:27:39,774 --> 00:27:43,024 They have to strike this balance and that's extremely hard to do. 409 00:27:43,024 --> 00:27:46,214 I am glad it's not my job, especially at a place that does 410 00:27:46,215 --> 00:27:48,155 not look like your typical volcano. 411 00:27:49,404 --> 00:27:52,904 If you live there and you're born there, what happens is that you're 412 00:27:52,904 --> 00:27:54,504 used to a volcano which hasn't erupted. 413 00:27:54,875 --> 00:27:58,725 You're not used to thinking of that nice green mountain as 414 00:27:58,725 --> 00:27:59,945 something that is dangerous. 415 00:28:00,305 --> 00:28:04,265 They tell you that it's dangerous but it's different if you experience them with 416 00:28:04,265 --> 00:28:06,465 your eyes or if someone tells you that. 417 00:28:06,595 --> 00:28:09,835 I've covered examples on this channel of what people will 418 00:28:09,864 --> 00:28:11,434 do to keep their homes safe. 419 00:28:12,199 --> 00:28:16,270 And even those who have evacuated in the past largely chose to return 420 00:28:16,300 --> 00:28:18,250 because it's their family home. 421 00:28:18,300 --> 00:28:21,810 There's sentimental attachment, they just don't want to lose that. 422 00:28:22,290 --> 00:28:26,740 So from afar, here in London, when I'm asking, why do people 423 00:28:26,740 --> 00:28:28,769 live on top of an active volcano? 424 00:28:29,159 --> 00:28:32,109 It seems pretty obvious that something bad could come from that. 425 00:28:32,639 --> 00:28:37,129 But on the ground, what you see is people going about their days, working and 426 00:28:37,139 --> 00:28:39,270 dealing with the ups and downs of life. 427 00:28:39,645 --> 00:28:43,925 It's relatable and easier to empathize with why this crisis 428 00:28:43,955 --> 00:28:47,904 is much more complicated when the threat is hidden and out of sight. 429 00:28:57,345 --> 00:28:59,455 You may have noticed I haven't taken it down. 430 00:28:59,604 --> 00:29:01,895 I think I'm going to keep it kind of like it kind of can't 431 00:29:01,925 --> 00:29:02,764 be bothered to take it down. 432 00:29:02,980 --> 00:29:05,810 I'm now doing the microphone thing that all the YouTubers are now doing. 433 00:29:05,890 --> 00:29:08,230 Anyway, if you enjoyed this video and you want to see more of the behind 434 00:29:08,230 --> 00:29:13,360 the scenes of how we make this video, like, imagine the DVD extras of this 435 00:29:13,419 --> 00:29:15,550 film if this came out in the 2000s. 436 00:29:15,590 --> 00:29:18,499 You can find all that on our Patreon at patreon. 437 00:29:18,530 --> 00:29:19,719 com slash faultline. 438 00:29:19,740 --> 00:29:20,999 It's a pay what you want model. 439 00:29:21,010 --> 00:29:22,449 We have four different tiers. 440 00:29:22,489 --> 00:29:25,740 Just go pick the one that suits you the best. 441 00:29:25,750 --> 00:29:30,540 Your support really Helps and I love all that behind the scenes stuff and 442 00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:34,760 Patreon is the place to find it if you also feel the same This is actually very 443 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:36,950 satisfying holding a microphone like this. 444 00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:37,730 Anyway, thank you. 445 00:29:37,870 --> 00:29:38,370 See you around 37590

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