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In Southern Italy,
a city under threat:
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Naples, flanked by two
dangerous volcanoes.
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On one side, Vesuvius,
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00:00:17,620 --> 00:00:21,520
destroyer of ancient Pompeii.
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None of them met
with a peaceful death.
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They were afraid,
they were panicked,
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and it was terrifying.
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And on the other, Campi Flegrei,
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an invisible monster
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that threatens
three million people.
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This is the most dangerous
volcano in the world.
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Now scientists are seeing
increases in volcanic activity
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and are scrambling to unlock
the inner secrets
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of these volcanoes,
before it's too late.
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There's no choice.
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You just have to go to a place
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which is relatively difficult
to get to.
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Can they find ways to predict
the next eruption?
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This is evidence of how fast
things change in this area.
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Can they save
this jewel of Italy
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from another disaster?
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This volcano can erupt
at any time...
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Even tomorrow.
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Could Naples become
the next Pompeii?
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Right now, on "NOVA."
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Major funding for "NOVA"
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Advertise your product or brand here
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More than 1,000 volcanoes
around the world are active.
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Driven by Earth's
fiery interior,
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they can erupt at any time,
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blasting molten rock and ash
into the sky
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with frightening power
and speed.
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And unleashing
deadly destruction
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on those who live
in their shadow.
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Volcanoes have the power
to kill thousands
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in the blink of an eye.
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A stark warning
for the people who live here,
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in the beautiful port city
of Naples in Southern Italy.
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This ancient
and vibrant metropolis
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of over three million people
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might seem an ideal place
to call home.
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But looks can be deceiving.
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It is built right next
to not one,
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but two active volcanoes.
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Each has a history
of catastrophic eruptions.
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To the east is
the well-known Vesuvius,
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a classic, cone-shaped volcano
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that has claimed
thousands of lives,
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erupting as recently as 1944.
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And to the west is
an almost unknown volcano,
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Campi Flegrei,
hidden below ground
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in an area where
hundreds of thousands live.
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It doesn't even look
like a volcano.
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And yet, it has the potential
to be far more destructive
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than its more famous neighbor.
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Today, there are ominous signs
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that both volcanoes
are still active:
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swirling clouds of gas
and bubbling pools of mud.
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What do these mean
about the likelihood
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00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,420
of a major eruption?
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It's hard to imagine the impact
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on such
a densely populated city.
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And yet, it's happened before.
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Just 15 miles
from central Naples
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is the site of one
of history's most infamous
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volcanic disasters.
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The Roman city of Pompeii.
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In year 79 of the Common Era...
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Vesuvius exploded
and buried the entire city
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in over a dozen feet of ash.
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Over the last 150 years,
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archaeologists
have been carefully
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uncovering the remains...
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Revealing a scene
of carnage and death.
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A city and its people,
frozen in time
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at the exact moment
an eruption struck.
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Among these ruins
are crucial lessons
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about how a volcanic disaster
can unfold
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and evidence of just how
suddenly an eruption can strike.
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For archaeologist Kevin Dicus,
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this human tragedy is
a stark warning from history.
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Walking around the ruins today,
it's really easy to forget
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that this was actually
a functioning Roman town
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2,000 years ago.
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Within the city walls,
perhaps 15,000 people
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of different classes,
different ethnic makeup,
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all trying to survive
in this city.
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Remarkably, everyday items,
like food,
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survived the eruption.
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Walnuts.
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Walnut kernels, already peeled.
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One of these food items shows
how the people of Pompeii
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were caught completely off-guard
when Vesuvius erupted.
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This one is one of the 81 breads
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found inside an oven
that was fully operational
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- at the moment of the eruption.
- Wow.
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With one peculiarity.
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There is still the fingerprint
from the baker,
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the baker's thumb.
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00:07:02,850 --> 00:07:04,280
Oh, my gosh.
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This really brings
a human element to this, right?
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Bread being baked
at the time of the eruption,
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and the baker...
hopefully the baker escaped,
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hopefully he lived
the rest of his days
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baking bread somewhere else,
but we have no idea.
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But it really it tells us
something about the eruption,
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how unexpected it was.
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In the face
of this sudden cataclysm,
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many of Pompeii's residents fled
in blind panic.
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But some chose to stay behind
and shelter in the city.
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They paid the ultimate price.
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Their last desperate moments
preserved for eternity,
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as Pompeii's
most evocative remains.
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These are but a few
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of the approximately
2,000 victims
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that decided to wait out
the eruption
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and, of course, didn't make it.
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Now, what we have here are not
the bodies themselves,
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but these are the exact poses
of the victims
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at the very last moments
of their lives.
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After their death,
they were covered with ash.
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Over time, the soft tissue
decayed, liquefied,
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and leaked through the ash,
leaving behind these voids.
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Archaeologists pour in
plaster of Paris,
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leave them to dry,
and we get these exact poses.
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This is a really macabre
reminder
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of what can happen
in the blink of an eye
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to an entire city.
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Could Vesuvius erupt today
with such violence?
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Do millions of people risk
the same fate
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as their ancestors?
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Centuries have passed,
but one thing hasn't changed.
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Vesuvius is still active.
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Driven by a geological collision
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that has been shaping this part
of Italy for millions of years.
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To the east of Naples,
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two of the planet's
vast tectonic plates
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are crashing into each other.
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The African plate is being
forced downwards
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in a process called subduction.
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As it descends toward
the hot center of the Earth,
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it gets warmer.
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This causes rocks to melt
and turn into liquid magma,
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which rises towards the surface.
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To the east of Naples,
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there are weaknesses
in the rock.
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Here
the magma can break through.
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And if it has enough power,
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it can even trigger an eruption.
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00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:22,180
It's this constant subduction
which keeps Vesuvius active
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and fuels its eruptions.
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Due to this ever-present danger,
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the volcano is kept
under 24-hour surveillance.
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At the Osservatorio Vesuviano,
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scientists are watching
for the warning signs
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of an imminent eruption.
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We have one millions
and five hundred people
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that are at high risk
in case of eruption.
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From a high-tech control center,
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Francesca and her colleagues
pick up seismic activity...
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Movements in the Earth's crust.
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In these screens,
we see all the signals
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that came from the sensors
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that we have installed
on Vesuvius.
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In all, there are 150 sensors
on the volcano,
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all listening for earthquakes.
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These can indicate
if an eruption is on the way.
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Each eruption begins when
magma starts to rise upwards
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from deep in the Earth.
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It pushes through weaknesses
in the rocks
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towards the surface.
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If its way is blocked,
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it builds up
more and more pressure
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until it fractures
the rocks apart.
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This is so violent,
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it generates earthquakes
which the scientists can detect
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at the surface.
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Every time the magma
breaks through the rock,
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it generates a new quake
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until the magma erupts
out of the volcano.
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Francesca and her colleagues
detect minor earthquakes
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nearly every week.
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And this constant monitoring
is vital.
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Vesuvius can change
very quickly.
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We have active volcano,
and of course,
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if a volcano is active,
for sure,
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it will erupt again.
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We don't know when.
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Mindful of Vesuvius's
lethal past,
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the observatory's scientists
don't rely solely
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on earthquake monitoring.
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They have another,
more hands-on way
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to monitor the magma.
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At the summit of Mount Vesuvius
is a vast crater,
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nearly 1,000 feet deep.
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Every month,
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a monitoring team carefully
descends into this gaping hole
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to gather data.
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Today, geologist Chris Jackson
is joining them.
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Some of the critical bits
of data
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about the volcano's behavior and
the kind of threat it can pose,
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they can only be gotten
from one particular location.
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So there's no choice
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about trying to collect it
somewhere easy,
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you just have to go to a place
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which is relatively difficult
to get to.
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Their mission is to collect
vital gas samples.
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These could hold clues
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about how close the magma is
to the surface.
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To get them,
they need to climb down
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into the heart
of Vesuvius's massive crater.
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Their target is a fumarole,
a gap in the rock
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where gases
from the magma escape.
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The team takes samples
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to measure
the levels of one these gases...
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Carbon dioxide.
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What we are really interested in
here
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are spikes in carbon dioxide
coming out of the volcano,
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because that spike
in carbon dioxide
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might mean that there's new
magma coming into the volcano,
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which could occur
immediately before it erupts.
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Rising magma experiences
less and less pressure,
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causing it to release
more and more carbon dioxide.
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The magma within a volcano
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is a little like the soda
within this soda bottle.
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Both of them contain
carbon dioxide,
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so CO2 dissolved within them.
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As the pressure drops...
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the gas comes out of solution,
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forming bubbles,
which can escape to the surface.
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The reasons the bubbles
came out of the soda
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is because we released
the pressure.
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00:15:51,150 --> 00:15:53,850
And the same happens when magma
rises up within a volcano.
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It is that decreasing pressure
that allows the gas bubbles
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to expand and to eventually come
out the top of the volcano.
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00:16:01,650 --> 00:16:05,320
Constant monitoring of
carbon dioxide and earthquakes
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is vital to predicting
when Vesuvius might erupt again.
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00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:17,220
But this isn't enough to keep
the people of Naples safe.
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For that, scientists also need
to understand
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the consequences of an eruption.
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00:16:27,980 --> 00:16:30,920
Who would be most at risk?
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00:16:30,950 --> 00:16:34,720
And what dangers
would they face?
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00:16:37,220 --> 00:16:41,720
Clues can be uncovered
by analyzing past eruptions.
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00:16:43,620 --> 00:16:47,180
Even if they happened
2,000 years ago,
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00:16:47,220 --> 00:16:52,050
such as the annihilation
of Pompeii.
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00:16:53,820 --> 00:16:57,550
Remarkably,
there was a witness...
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00:16:57,580 --> 00:17:01,820
The Roman author
Pliny the Younger.
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00:17:01,850 --> 00:17:05,880
This is the very first
eyewitness account
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00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,380
of a major volcanic eruption.
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00:17:10,050 --> 00:17:12,920
"On August 24,
in the early afternoon,
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00:17:12,950 --> 00:17:14,850
"my mother drew
my uncle's attention
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00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,650
"to a cloud of unusual size
and appearance.
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00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:21,220
"Its general appearance
can be best expressed
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00:17:21,250 --> 00:17:23,320
as being like a pine tree."
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00:17:24,620 --> 00:17:25,850
We don't think of a pine tree
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00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,350
as an analogy for the cloud
of a volcanic eruption.
257
00:17:29,380 --> 00:17:32,020
But, if you come to Italy,
if you come to Campania
258
00:17:32,050 --> 00:17:34,620
and see the type of pine tree
that grows here,
259
00:17:34,650 --> 00:17:38,080
you realize
that what Pliny was describing
260
00:17:38,120 --> 00:17:41,620
is a perfect analogy.
261
00:17:41,650 --> 00:17:44,520
In modern times,
scientists have seen
262
00:17:44,550 --> 00:17:47,850
this same distinctive,
pine-tree-shaped cloud
263
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:49,520
again and again.
264
00:17:54,820 --> 00:17:56,650
Called Plinian eruptions,
265
00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,020
these are the most explosive
and the most lethal.
266
00:18:05,120 --> 00:18:06,450
But how exactly
267
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,780
did a Plinian eruption kill
around 2,000 people in Pompeii?
268
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,880
Volcanologist Claudio Scarpati
looks to the ash left behind
269
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,380
for clues.
270
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,920
In this deposit,
we see different layers:
271
00:18:25,950 --> 00:18:28,220
coarse layers, fine layers.
272
00:18:28,250 --> 00:18:31,650
These different layers
are different phases
273
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,580
of the eruption.
274
00:18:34,620 --> 00:18:36,320
The bottom layer was deposited
275
00:18:36,350 --> 00:18:38,980
in the first phase
of the eruption.
276
00:18:40,620 --> 00:18:41,920
It consists of pumice,
277
00:18:41,950 --> 00:18:47,620
small pieces
of white volcanic rock.
278
00:18:47,650 --> 00:18:50,420
Amazingly, their size
can be used to calculate
279
00:18:50,450 --> 00:18:54,250
how high the eruption reached,
280
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:59,220
an indication of its power.
281
00:18:59,250 --> 00:19:01,880
The size of the particles
is proportional
282
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:03,220
to the height of the column.
283
00:19:03,250 --> 00:19:06,520
Taking these fragments
all around the volcano,
284
00:19:06,550 --> 00:19:10,420
volcanologists were able
to define the height
285
00:19:10,450 --> 00:19:13,180
of the 79 A.D. eruption column
286
00:19:13,220 --> 00:19:16,020
as 32 kilometers high.
287
00:19:16,050 --> 00:19:18,780
The Roman people saw a column
288
00:19:18,820 --> 00:19:24,080
that was 32 times
the height of Vesuvius.
289
00:19:26,450 --> 00:19:29,220
This was a massive eruption.
290
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,220
Gas and pumice exploded out
291
00:19:34,250 --> 00:19:39,220
at a rate of over one-and-a-half
million tons every second,
292
00:19:39,250 --> 00:19:41,820
forming the distinctive
pine-tree-shaped cloud
293
00:19:41,850 --> 00:19:43,180
of a Plinian eruption.
294
00:19:46,580 --> 00:19:49,520
This reached 21 miles high
295
00:19:49,550 --> 00:19:53,880
and was so vast,
it blocked out the sun.
296
00:19:56,350 --> 00:20:00,650
Then it rained pumice down
on Pompeii and its inhabitants
297
00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:05,080
for 18 hours solid.
298
00:20:10,120 --> 00:20:12,880
Surprisingly,
this sustained bombardment
299
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,220
actually gave people
an opportunity to escape.
300
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,480
Pumice is such a light rock,
301
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,250
it didn't present
much of a threat
302
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,850
to those who decided to flee.
303
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,480
This fragment could hit you,
but without any problem.
304
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:33,720
We know from Pliny,
305
00:20:33,750 --> 00:20:36,620
that if you just put a pillow
on your head,
306
00:20:36,650 --> 00:20:40,620
you can survive this
first phase of the eruption.
307
00:20:40,650 --> 00:20:41,980
But strangely,
308
00:20:42,020 --> 00:20:44,150
hundreds of bodies
have been excavated
309
00:20:44,180 --> 00:20:47,250
from this layer
of pumice fallout,
310
00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:52,620
meaning they died during this
first phase of the eruption.
311
00:20:52,650 --> 00:20:54,880
What killed them?
312
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:59,420
One clue is
the location of the bodies.
313
00:20:59,450 --> 00:21:03,680
Most were found
inside buildings.
314
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,580
They had probably decided
to shelter in their homes
315
00:21:06,620 --> 00:21:10,480
rather than flee.
316
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:12,250
Many seem to have died
317
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:17,320
from traumatic fractures
to their skulls.
318
00:21:17,350 --> 00:21:20,250
Claudio thinks
these deadly blows to the head
319
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:25,250
are explained by the long
duration of sustained fallout...
320
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,180
18 agonizing hours.
321
00:21:30,650 --> 00:21:33,950
These roofs were quite flat,
322
00:21:33,980 --> 00:21:38,320
and so pumice accumulated,
323
00:21:38,350 --> 00:21:41,420
and the overload was too high,
324
00:21:41,450 --> 00:21:43,850
and so the roof just collapses.
325
00:21:44,580 --> 00:21:46,280
If you stay inside the house
326
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,320
and the roof collapse
on your head,
327
00:21:49,350 --> 00:21:51,980
you are probably killed.
328
00:21:52,020 --> 00:21:55,280
Killed and then buried.
329
00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:00,750
A warning for today.
330
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,820
2,000 years later,
331
00:22:03,850 --> 00:22:08,880
Neapolitans still live
in flat-roofed houses.
332
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:13,420
We see that the roof
of the buildings of the towns
333
00:22:13,450 --> 00:22:16,780
around Vesuvius are still flat.
334
00:22:16,820 --> 00:22:18,920
So you could have
the same effect,
335
00:22:18,950 --> 00:22:21,820
an overloading
of the modern roof,
336
00:22:21,850 --> 00:22:26,150
and so in two, three hours,
this roof could collapse.
337
00:22:28,220 --> 00:22:31,150
The tragedy of Pompeii warns
of the dangers
338
00:22:31,180 --> 00:22:35,080
of pumice fallout.
339
00:22:35,120 --> 00:22:40,150
But out of the 2,000 dead,
only about a third died
340
00:22:40,180 --> 00:22:42,750
during this phase
of the eruption.
341
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:50,320
So what killed
the rest of the victims?
342
00:22:50,350 --> 00:22:52,550
Once again,
343
00:22:52,580 --> 00:22:54,950
the answers are in the layers
of volcanic ash
344
00:22:54,980 --> 00:22:58,250
Vesuvius left behind.
345
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:02,880
There is a sudden change
from a coarse layer of pumice
346
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:07,880
to a band of fine material
just over one-inch thick.
347
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,480
This smooth layer is
characteristic
348
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:16,550
of the dramatic next phase
of a Plinian eruption...
349
00:23:21,750 --> 00:23:27,250
A ground-hugging volcanic surge
called a pyroclastic flow.
350
00:23:29,820 --> 00:23:34,020
This is the deadliest outpouring
a volcano can unleash.
351
00:23:39,120 --> 00:23:41,220
It is an avalanche
of gas and rock
352
00:23:41,250 --> 00:23:44,450
moving at up to 300 miles
per hour.
353
00:23:51,820 --> 00:23:53,280
So why did Vesuvius
354
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:58,980
suddenly start to produce
a pyroclastic flow?
355
00:23:59,020 --> 00:24:00,720
In a Plinian eruption,
356
00:24:00,750 --> 00:24:02,220
the mass of material
in the column
357
00:24:02,250 --> 00:24:04,820
grows and grows.
358
00:24:09,450 --> 00:24:11,080
But there comes a point
359
00:24:11,120 --> 00:24:13,420
where there is so much rock
and debris
360
00:24:13,450 --> 00:24:15,580
that the eruption can
no longer support
361
00:24:15,620 --> 00:24:20,220
all this weight.
362
00:24:20,250 --> 00:24:25,680
The column collapses back
towards Earth,
363
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,350
creating an avalanche
of debris...
364
00:24:28,380 --> 00:24:31,050
The pyroclastic flow.
365
00:24:34,020 --> 00:24:35,620
The column collapsed,
366
00:24:35,650 --> 00:24:40,450
and the gases and the solids
and everything moved down
367
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:41,820
like an avalanche.
368
00:24:45,550 --> 00:24:46,950
In Pompeii,
369
00:24:46,980 --> 00:24:51,320
the pyroclastic flow crashed
through the buildings
370
00:24:51,350 --> 00:24:54,020
and inundated
people sheltering inside
371
00:24:54,050 --> 00:24:58,650
in a dense blanket
of gas and fine ash.
372
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:03,850
This is what claimed
most victims in Pompeii.
373
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,320
Can you imagine the
air being replaced
374
00:25:07,350 --> 00:25:11,750
by an impossibly large cloud
of ash and gas,
375
00:25:11,780 --> 00:25:17,480
and trying so hard to fight
from breathing this in?
376
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:20,550
Here we have, for example,
this individual,
377
00:25:20,580 --> 00:25:23,850
and how clearly you can see
his right hand
378
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:25,380
pressed against his mouth.
379
00:25:25,420 --> 00:25:28,080
He no doubt had a cloth
of some sort,
380
00:25:28,120 --> 00:25:31,320
trying to keep the ash
from going into his lungs,
381
00:25:31,350 --> 00:25:34,620
and of course, it did not work.
382
00:25:34,650 --> 00:25:37,020
That ash meets
your moist lung walls
383
00:25:37,050 --> 00:25:40,920
and clings to it like plaster
on this wall here,
384
00:25:40,950 --> 00:25:43,650
and that's the last breath.
385
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,850
But the shape
of some of the casts
386
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,880
suggests the pyroclastic flow
387
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:53,780
killed in
an even more gruesome way.
388
00:25:53,820 --> 00:25:56,520
This cast in particular
is fascinating to me,
389
00:25:56,550 --> 00:25:59,680
and what is so interesting
about it is the pose.
390
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,850
You can see this individual died
on his or her back,
391
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,550
but the arms are up,
the legs are up.
392
00:26:05,580 --> 00:26:07,950
Why is this?
393
00:26:07,980 --> 00:26:10,920
This is known
as the cadaveric spasm,
394
00:26:10,950 --> 00:26:15,050
and it usually occurs
in atmospheres of intense heat.
395
00:26:16,850 --> 00:26:19,120
Pyroclastic flows
can reach temperatures
396
00:26:19,150 --> 00:26:22,750
of hundreds
of degrees Fahrenheit.
397
00:26:22,780 --> 00:26:26,450
This is what caused
the victims to contort
398
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,920
into these strange shapes.
399
00:26:29,950 --> 00:26:33,720
So when this pyroclastic flow
surged over the city,
400
00:26:33,750 --> 00:26:36,680
it caused the muscles
to contract
401
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:38,980
and turn inwards.
402
00:26:39,020 --> 00:26:43,320
You can see it
in many, many of these casts.
403
00:26:43,350 --> 00:26:49,580
A lot of these individuals
display this cadaveric spasm.
404
00:26:49,620 --> 00:26:53,580
These people died instantly.
405
00:26:53,620 --> 00:26:55,480
The intense heat froze them
406
00:26:55,520 --> 00:27:01,150
at the exact moment
the pyroclastic flow hit.
407
00:27:02,780 --> 00:27:05,520
What happened to Pompeii
and its people
408
00:27:05,550 --> 00:27:09,920
is a stark reminder of the
destructive power of volcanoes.
409
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,920
And it could happen again.
410
00:27:19,150 --> 00:27:20,580
This is the reason
411
00:27:20,620 --> 00:27:25,380
that scientists have to keep
monitoring Vesuvius's activity.
412
00:27:25,420 --> 00:27:30,220
But there is
a far greater threat to Naples.
413
00:27:33,650 --> 00:27:37,320
Vesuvius isn't the biggest
or most powerful volcano
414
00:27:37,350 --> 00:27:38,950
in town.
415
00:27:41,850 --> 00:27:43,420
On the other side of the city,
416
00:27:43,450 --> 00:27:45,780
scientists have seen
an alarming increase
417
00:27:45,820 --> 00:27:48,050
in volcanic activity.
418
00:27:50,950 --> 00:27:56,920
Pisciarelli... a vast fumarole,
a vent of bubbling gas and mud.
419
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,720
In recent years,
it has grown larger
420
00:28:07,750 --> 00:28:10,180
and turned into a destroyer.
421
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:17,120
A few hundred feet away,
422
00:28:17,150 --> 00:28:20,680
expert in volcanic risk
Antonio Costa
423
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,320
is visiting a deserted building.
424
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,080
Inside, the walls and floors
are covered
425
00:28:33,120 --> 00:28:37,280
in a thick layer
of solidified ooze,
426
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:41,380
and the air is filled
with the acrid smell of sulfur.
427
00:28:41,420 --> 00:28:45,720
This building,
up to ten, 15 years ago,
428
00:28:45,750 --> 00:28:47,450
was, like, a sort of a club
429
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,080
with a swimming pool there,
there was a bar.
430
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,720
People were pushed to abandon
this place,
431
00:28:53,750 --> 00:28:56,680
because it's not anymore
inhabitable.
432
00:28:57,980 --> 00:29:03,220
The volcanic vent has
claimed the entire building.
433
00:29:03,250 --> 00:29:05,880
This hostile takeover began
434
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,050
when gas from the vent
punched holes
435
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,820
through the floor and walls.
436
00:29:10,850 --> 00:29:16,850
Here you can even feel,
if you put the hand here...
437
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:18,920
It's terribly hot.
438
00:29:18,950 --> 00:29:24,750
As the gas cools,
it releases dissolved minerals.
439
00:29:24,780 --> 00:29:27,380
These stick together to form
the thick volcanic scum
440
00:29:27,420 --> 00:29:31,320
which is now consuming
the entire house.
441
00:29:32,950 --> 00:29:34,750
This is clearly evidence
442
00:29:34,780 --> 00:29:37,850
of how fast change things
in this area.
443
00:29:41,850 --> 00:29:43,420
So where is the volcano
444
00:29:43,450 --> 00:29:46,520
that is driving
all this activity?
445
00:29:48,620 --> 00:29:52,980
The vent is in an area
called Campi Flegrei,
446
00:29:53,020 --> 00:29:56,720
which is home to hundreds
of thousands of people.
447
00:29:59,020 --> 00:30:03,280
At first glance,
it's hard to spot the volcano.
448
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:08,280
Unless you have a trained eye.
449
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,520
So when we think of volcanoes,
we think of that.
450
00:30:10,550 --> 00:30:13,250
Vesuvius,
the perfect conical shape,
451
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:15,550
with that beautiful crater
on top.
452
00:30:15,580 --> 00:30:17,850
But at Campi Flegrei here,
453
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,120
there's also some evidence
that this is a volcano,
454
00:30:20,150 --> 00:30:22,650
but it's, it's just
far more subtle.
455
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:25,420
Good?
456
00:30:25,450 --> 00:30:26,550
Yeah.
Okay.
457
00:30:26,580 --> 00:30:29,280
To take a better look
at the lay of the land,
458
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,520
Chris needs to take to the air.
459
00:30:32,550 --> 00:30:36,450
A monitor connected to a drone
provides him
460
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,450
with a bird's-eye view
of Campi Flegrei.
461
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,680
So the first thing
you notice from up in the air
462
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,096
is, as we come round
to the shoreline,
463
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,350
towards the Bay of Naples,
464
00:30:55,380 --> 00:30:57,850
we start to pick up
a prominent ridgeline
465
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,650
that comes all the way around
towards the main city center.
466
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,050
It's clearly curved.
467
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:03,250
And then within there,
468
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,320
it's a very densely populated
flat area here.
469
00:31:06,350 --> 00:31:09,020
This ridgeline could
be telling us something
470
00:31:09,050 --> 00:31:13,050
about a feature that is actually
forming this landscape,
471
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,520
an ancient, very large volcano.
472
00:31:15,550 --> 00:31:18,850
And in particular, we are
actually looking at a caldera.
473
00:31:20,350 --> 00:31:23,680
A caldera is
a collapsed volcano.
474
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:30,280
In the past,
Campi Flegrei was a flat plain.
475
00:31:32,950 --> 00:31:35,180
Deep beneath
was a huge reservoir
476
00:31:35,220 --> 00:31:37,950
of bubbling magma.
477
00:31:37,980 --> 00:31:42,120
Then the magma started
moving upwards,
478
00:31:42,150 --> 00:31:45,650
smashing through weaknesses
in the rock
479
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,220
and erupting powerfully.
480
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:56,080
But this left an empty void
beneath the surface.
481
00:31:58,220 --> 00:32:01,550
With nothing left to support
the weight of the plain,
482
00:32:01,580 --> 00:32:03,350
it collapsed downwards...
483
00:32:06,980 --> 00:32:11,220
forming a crater
known as a caldera.
484
00:32:14,350 --> 00:32:16,580
Radioactive dating of rocks
reveals
485
00:32:16,620 --> 00:32:22,380
that Campi Flegrei's caldera
formed 15,000 years ago.
486
00:32:22,420 --> 00:32:27,050
And at nearly eight miles wide,
it must have been created
487
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:31,020
by an incredibly large
and powerful eruption.
488
00:32:33,150 --> 00:32:37,250
Volcanologist
Giuseppe Mastrolorenzo
489
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:42,650
thinks this sounds a warning
for modern-day Naples.
490
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,550
It is important to study
the past eruption
491
00:32:45,580 --> 00:32:50,920
in order to imagine scenarios
for the next eruption,
492
00:32:50,950 --> 00:32:53,850
because in geology,
what happened in the past
493
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,180
will happen also in the future.
494
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:00,650
The remains of the eruption
495
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,750
that formed
Campi Flegrei's caldera
496
00:33:03,780 --> 00:33:08,380
can be found beneath the streets
of downtown Naples.
497
00:33:10,550 --> 00:33:14,720
Here, there is a labyrinth
of narrow passageways.
498
00:33:16,250 --> 00:33:18,620
These were hand-cut
thousands of years ago
499
00:33:18,650 --> 00:33:22,380
to provide building materials
for Naples.
500
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:30,220
Today they are a treasure trove
of information
501
00:33:30,250 --> 00:33:33,820
about the eruption.
502
00:33:33,850 --> 00:33:37,320
This is the Neapolitan
Yellow Tuff formation.
503
00:33:37,350 --> 00:33:38,920
Here, underground Naples,
504
00:33:38,950 --> 00:33:42,850
we have several tens of meters
of this formation.
505
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,750
This rock has
a powdery consistency,
506
00:33:46,780 --> 00:33:49,980
which points
to the most deadly event
507
00:33:50,020 --> 00:33:53,250
in an eruption.
508
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:59,050
Here you can see the fine matrix
of fine particles of ash.
509
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,950
This is typical
of pyroclastic flows.
510
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,420
In Pompeii,
the pyroclastic flow,
511
00:34:08,450 --> 00:34:11,250
which killed
more than 1,000 people
512
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:15,450
left behind a layer of ash
just over one inch thick.
513
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,920
But here, beneath
the very center of Naples,
514
00:34:20,950 --> 00:34:23,650
the thickness
of the pyroclastic flow
515
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,250
reaches over 300 feet.
516
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,820
This eruption is
about ten times bigger
517
00:34:30,850 --> 00:34:35,450
than the Pompeii
79 A.D. eruption.
518
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:39,280
If another eruption like this
will occur in the future,
519
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:44,620
all the people and buildings
of Naples will be buried
520
00:34:44,650 --> 00:34:48,950
under hundreds of meters
of, of ash.
521
00:34:50,820 --> 00:34:54,280
So nothing can resist
this eruption.
522
00:34:57,580 --> 00:35:01,420
In Campi Flegrei, there are
hundreds of thousands of people
523
00:35:01,450 --> 00:35:05,250
living directly on top
of an active volcano.
524
00:35:07,850 --> 00:35:09,180
If it erupts,
525
00:35:09,220 --> 00:35:13,050
deadly ash fallout
and pyroclastic flows
526
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:17,720
could even hit downtown Naples.
527
00:35:20,150 --> 00:35:23,650
With so many lives at stake,
the pressure is on
528
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:29,080
to determine when this volcano
may erupt next.
529
00:35:30,580 --> 00:35:34,080
So scientists are keeping an eye
on Pozzuoli,
530
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:39,150
the biggest town
inside Campi Flegrei's caldera.
531
00:35:40,220 --> 00:35:43,550
This is the site
of an ancient Roman marketplace.
532
00:35:46,620 --> 00:35:49,680
Remarkably,
these ruins could point to a way
533
00:35:49,720 --> 00:35:52,780
of predicting the next eruption.
534
00:35:52,820 --> 00:35:59,080
Within the remains is evidence
of dramatic ground movements.
535
00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,680
The clues we're looking for
we can see here,
536
00:36:01,720 --> 00:36:03,350
on the three marble columns.
537
00:36:03,380 --> 00:36:04,580
And you'll notice
538
00:36:04,620 --> 00:36:07,420
that after about ten to 20 feet
above their bases,
539
00:36:07,450 --> 00:36:10,180
all three columns are full
of small holes.
540
00:36:10,220 --> 00:36:13,320
These were holes produced
by clams.
541
00:36:13,350 --> 00:36:16,450
They liked to burrow
into the marble
542
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,280
to form colonies.
543
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:23,820
The clams that made these holes
can't survive on dry land.
544
00:36:23,850 --> 00:36:27,420
They live solely under the sea.
545
00:36:27,450 --> 00:36:32,780
So at some point, these columns
must have been underwater.
546
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,250
Now, we know from studies
across the Mediterranean
547
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:38,920
that the sea level
has only changed
548
00:36:38,950 --> 00:36:41,820
at most by a few feet
since Roman times.
549
00:36:44,380 --> 00:36:46,620
If the sea level hasn't changed,
550
00:36:46,650 --> 00:36:51,150
there is only
one other possibility.
551
00:36:51,180 --> 00:36:55,680
It must be the land
that has risen and fallen.
552
00:36:55,720 --> 00:36:59,950
This whole area must have sunk
into the sea
553
00:36:59,980 --> 00:37:03,350
and then come back up again
at least once since Roman times.
554
00:37:04,380 --> 00:37:08,020
In fact, the ground in
the caldera has a history
555
00:37:08,050 --> 00:37:10,720
of rising and falling.
556
00:37:10,750 --> 00:37:13,080
And eruptions are known
557
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:17,120
to follow periods
of intense uplift.
558
00:37:18,450 --> 00:37:22,150
Eyewitness accounts describe
that in 1538,
559
00:37:22,180 --> 00:37:25,150
the ground rose rapidly.
560
00:37:26,750 --> 00:37:31,280
Two days later, a minor eruption
created this crater,
561
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:37,020
called Monte Nuovo,
on the outskirts of Pozzuoli.
562
00:37:37,050 --> 00:37:42,020
In 1982,
the ground around the town
563
00:37:42,050 --> 00:37:45,720
began to rise again
very quickly.
564
00:37:45,750 --> 00:37:50,920
This prompted fears
of an imminent eruption.
565
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:56,020
Tiziana Vanorio lived
on the outskirts of Pozzuoli
566
00:37:56,050 --> 00:37:57,450
during this period,
567
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:01,880
and remembers the chaos
it caused.
568
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,950
The first thing that became
unusable was the harbor,
569
00:38:05,980 --> 00:38:07,550
because of the uplift.
570
00:38:07,580 --> 00:38:11,250
The ocean floor
became so shallow,
571
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,180
so that the ferry
could not dock.
572
00:38:14,220 --> 00:38:16,450
Over the next two years,
573
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,380
the ground lifted up
nearly six feet.
574
00:38:22,350 --> 00:38:25,650
Then the earthquakes started.
575
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:29,380
On April 1, 1984,
576
00:38:29,420 --> 00:38:33,850
more than 500 shocks overnight
struck the town of Pozzuoli.
577
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:39,850
Fearing the worst,
the authorities stepped in.
578
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,780
As the seismic activity
kept increasing in the area,
579
00:38:42,820 --> 00:38:45,250
the town of Pozzuoli
was evacuated.
580
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,320
People had to flee
their own town,
581
00:38:47,350 --> 00:38:50,480
because of the fear
of an impending eruption.
582
00:38:52,450 --> 00:38:55,280
Pozzuoli overnight became
a ghost town.
583
00:39:00,250 --> 00:39:04,450
But strangely,
the eruption never came.
584
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,080
Two years later,
585
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,980
people were allowed to return
to their homes,
586
00:39:09,020 --> 00:39:12,350
but a big question remained:
587
00:39:12,380 --> 00:39:15,650
Why hadn't Campi Flegrei
erupted?
588
00:39:18,950 --> 00:39:23,420
Today,
Tiziana is a rock physicist,
589
00:39:23,450 --> 00:39:26,320
and she is trying to answer
this very question.
590
00:39:26,350 --> 00:39:28,320
This is a good one.
Hi, guys!
591
00:39:28,350 --> 00:39:31,620
VANORIO: One thing piqued
always my curiosity:
592
00:39:31,650 --> 00:39:36,280
why a place can withstand such
large and sustained deformation.
593
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,480
So we had to understand
594
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:44,220
why the rocks of the caldera
behaved this way.
595
00:39:44,250 --> 00:39:50,180
One mile below the surface
of Campi Flegrei's caldera
596
00:39:50,220 --> 00:39:55,020
is a layer of hard stone
known as caprock.
597
00:39:55,050 --> 00:39:58,450
Could this rock contain
an explanation
598
00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,620
for why the ground rose and fell
so much
599
00:40:01,650 --> 00:40:04,720
without an eruption happening?
600
00:40:04,750 --> 00:40:07,720
We want to understand
how this rock
601
00:40:07,750 --> 00:40:09,820
would behave in the caldera
602
00:40:09,850 --> 00:40:13,550
under the conditions
of temperature and pressure
603
00:40:13,580 --> 00:40:16,080
they experience in the caldera.
604
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:20,020
A specialized chamber mimics
these conditions
605
00:40:20,050 --> 00:40:24,980
and also subjects the samples
to extreme stress.
606
00:40:28,350 --> 00:40:34,320
What she finds is that the rock
doesn't snap or fail instantly.
607
00:40:34,350 --> 00:40:36,480
It actually bends.
608
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,980
What we can see
is that the caprock
609
00:40:39,020 --> 00:40:42,480
is capable of withstanding
high level of stresses,
610
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,650
but also, it shows
from this bell shape
611
00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,750
a ductile behavior,
612
00:40:47,780 --> 00:40:52,420
which means
this rock is not brittle.
613
00:40:52,450 --> 00:40:55,680
This finding may explain
what happened in Pozzuoli
614
00:40:55,720 --> 00:40:58,980
in the 1980s.
615
00:40:59,020 --> 00:41:01,650
Magma started moving
towards the surface,
616
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:06,820
where it heated fluids trapped
in the ground above.
617
00:41:06,850 --> 00:41:11,250
These expanded,
pushing up the caprock.
618
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,050
As it was ductile,
it was flexible,
619
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,480
and bent upwards.
620
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,680
This put stress on the caprock,
621
00:41:19,720 --> 00:41:23,480
which began to fracture,
generating the earthquakes.
622
00:41:28,980 --> 00:41:31,950
But it didn't crack completely.
623
00:41:31,980 --> 00:41:36,420
It could still resist the uplift
and prevent an eruption.
624
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:43,820
Tiziana wondered why the caprock
had such unusual strength.
625
00:41:43,850 --> 00:41:47,020
Looking under
a high-powered microscope,
626
00:41:47,050 --> 00:41:49,520
she was surprised
to find something
627
00:41:49,550 --> 00:41:51,980
you don't normally see in stone.
628
00:41:54,180 --> 00:41:56,880
The rock had formed a network
of fibers
629
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,480
that were knitted together.
630
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,620
The presence of fibers was
really an intriguing discovery,
631
00:42:03,650 --> 00:42:08,280
because the fibers are
intertwined or braided together,
632
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,280
like the strands in a rope.
633
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:13,880
Tiziana thinks
these rope-like fibers
634
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:17,420
are the secret
of the caprock's strength
635
00:42:17,450 --> 00:42:21,050
because she also sees them
in a man-made material
636
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:25,250
famous for its durability
and toughness.
637
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,880
The same fibers
that you can see here
638
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:29,520
come from Roman concrete.
639
00:42:31,850 --> 00:42:34,650
The strength of Roman concrete
is one reason
640
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:37,780
so many of their structures
survive to this day.
641
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,680
Tougher and more durable
than modern-day concrete,
642
00:42:44,720 --> 00:42:49,780
it was the Romans'
go-to construction material.
643
00:42:49,820 --> 00:42:52,180
And the secret ingredient
in Roman concrete?
644
00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,080
Volcanic ash,
called "pozzolana,"
645
00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:00,580
mined in Campi Flegrei.
646
00:43:00,620 --> 00:43:04,420
The Romans combined this
with other ingredients
647
00:43:04,450 --> 00:43:07,180
to form their concrete.
648
00:43:07,220 --> 00:43:11,420
Remarkably, it seems
a similar chemical process
649
00:43:11,450 --> 00:43:16,750
takes place a mile below
in the volcano, under Pozzuoli.
650
00:43:18,350 --> 00:43:23,420
The caprock is a natural version
of Roman concrete.
651
00:43:23,450 --> 00:43:28,850
Its strength may have prevented
Campi Flegrei from erupting
652
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:32,050
in the 1980s.
653
00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:37,320
But this strength
is also a liability.
654
00:43:42,420 --> 00:43:44,450
To fracture the caprock
completely
655
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:47,050
would require colossal force.
656
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:52,520
And that would result
657
00:43:52,550 --> 00:43:56,720
in an incredibly powerful
eruption.
658
00:44:02,380 --> 00:44:07,820
Having a caprock that has
high strength and ductility
659
00:44:07,850 --> 00:44:11,580
can be a blessing and a curse
in a caldera.
660
00:44:13,380 --> 00:44:20,180
Today, Campi Flegrei's caprock
is once more under stress.
661
00:44:20,220 --> 00:44:26,280
Since 2005, the ground has been
rising out of the sea.
662
00:44:28,250 --> 00:44:30,880
And scientists think
that the protective caprock
663
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,120
is being weakened.
664
00:44:35,450 --> 00:44:37,780
At Pisciarelli,
there is a shift in the gases
665
00:44:37,820 --> 00:44:43,750
bubbling up
from Campi Flegrei's magma.
666
00:44:43,780 --> 00:44:48,320
The first gas that is released
is carbon dioxide.
667
00:44:48,350 --> 00:44:52,980
When most of the carbon dioxide
is escaped,
668
00:44:53,020 --> 00:44:56,050
the magma start to release
669
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:59,350
increasing amount of water,
of steam.
670
00:45:01,180 --> 00:45:05,850
Steam is the Achilles' heel
of the all-important caprock.
671
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,850
Because when steam condenses
to water,
672
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,480
it releases large amounts
of heat,
673
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:15,320
which starts to fracture
the rocks.
674
00:45:15,350 --> 00:45:20,480
The rocks that cover the magma
become weaker,
675
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,880
so could favor an eruption.
676
00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:27,150
A catastrophe in the making
for Naples
677
00:45:27,180 --> 00:45:31,080
and the three million residents
threatened
678
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,380
by an eruption of Campi Flegrei.
679
00:45:33,420 --> 00:45:36,550
Faced with this prospect,
680
00:45:36,580 --> 00:45:41,150
the observatory has enhanced
its early-warning system,
681
00:45:41,180 --> 00:45:44,180
installing additional sensors
across the caldera.
682
00:45:44,220 --> 00:45:48,950
We have sensor to measure
ground deformations,
683
00:45:48,980 --> 00:45:52,180
to measure anomalies in gravity,
684
00:45:52,220 --> 00:45:56,450
to measure
the geochemical activity,
685
00:45:56,480 --> 00:46:00,880
the temperature of the
fumaroles, and so on.
686
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:04,320
If there are big anomalies,
687
00:46:04,350 --> 00:46:08,820
you have more probability
that an eruption is approaching.
688
00:46:10,180 --> 00:46:12,680
And the scientists
are about to add
689
00:46:12,720 --> 00:46:13,850
an ingenious new detector
690
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:16,120
to their early-warning system.
691
00:46:16,150 --> 00:46:22,220
This will offer Naples
a unique form of protection.
692
00:46:22,250 --> 00:46:26,520
It's the brainchild
of Luca de Siena.
693
00:46:26,550 --> 00:46:31,550
To see how the volcano is
changing, deep underground,
694
00:46:31,580 --> 00:46:34,350
he uses sound waves.
695
00:46:34,380 --> 00:46:37,650
You could use dynamite
or any sort of explosion
696
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:38,780
to produce the wave,
697
00:46:38,820 --> 00:46:39,996
but that's obviously impossible
698
00:46:40,020 --> 00:46:43,280
in a metropolitan area
of 1.5 million people.
699
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:49,220
Instead, Luca found a surprising
and less disruptive source
700
00:46:49,250 --> 00:46:51,020
of sound waves...
701
00:46:51,050 --> 00:46:55,880
One that's already in place
and operating 24/7.
702
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:58,220
It was quite astonishing
when we discovered
703
00:46:58,250 --> 00:46:59,880
that we could use just the noise
704
00:46:59,920 --> 00:47:02,580
that the sea is producing
at all time
705
00:47:02,620 --> 00:47:06,450
to see inside a volcano.
706
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,750
As the sea crashes
into the shore,
707
00:47:08,780 --> 00:47:12,180
it produces a sound wave.
708
00:47:12,220 --> 00:47:16,020
That in turn propagates
through the ground.
709
00:47:16,050 --> 00:47:18,580
By measuring the velocity
of the wave,
710
00:47:18,620 --> 00:47:23,720
Luca can tell the kind
of material it is encountering.
711
00:47:23,750 --> 00:47:29,580
If it is traveling quickly,
it's passing through solid rock.
712
00:47:29,620 --> 00:47:31,120
But if it slows down,
713
00:47:31,150 --> 00:47:36,480
it's likely to be passing
through fluids, like magma.
714
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:38,620
Measuring the velocity
715
00:47:38,650 --> 00:47:40,850
of different waves
crossing the caldera,
716
00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,280
Luca has built up a 3D picture
717
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:48,420
of what lurks
beneath Campi Flegrei.
718
00:47:48,450 --> 00:47:50,280
We gathered three years of data,
719
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:52,280
and what we got is this map,
720
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:56,050
where we have found
a sort of circular area,
721
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,420
which is low velocity.
722
00:47:58,450 --> 00:48:00,880
Low velocity means that likely
723
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,050
there are hot fluids
inside this area.
724
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:04,150
This could be magma.
725
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:07,980
For the first time,
726
00:48:08,020 --> 00:48:10,720
scientists can see
where the hot fluids are
727
00:48:10,750 --> 00:48:13,980
across the entire caldera.
728
00:48:14,020 --> 00:48:16,880
We know that
most of the fluid come
729
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:18,950
just under our feet, actually,
730
00:48:18,980 --> 00:48:22,280
here, under the port,
in Pozzuoli.
731
00:48:23,650 --> 00:48:26,420
But to know
if an eruption is on the way,
732
00:48:26,450 --> 00:48:27,980
Luca needs to be able to see
733
00:48:28,020 --> 00:48:33,780
if magma and hot fluids are
rising towards the surface.
734
00:48:33,820 --> 00:48:36,580
For that level of detail,
735
00:48:36,620 --> 00:48:40,550
he will have to expand
the network.
736
00:48:40,580 --> 00:48:41,680
When it's up and running,
737
00:48:41,720 --> 00:48:44,050
Naples will be the first city
in the world
738
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:49,780
able to track these movements
in real time.
739
00:48:49,820 --> 00:48:52,350
If we measure this parameter
all across the caldera,
740
00:48:52,380 --> 00:48:55,620
and we see that this parameter
is changing over here,
741
00:48:55,650 --> 00:48:56,580
that's a marker
742
00:48:56,620 --> 00:48:58,520
that a possible eruption
may happen.
743
00:49:00,220 --> 00:49:02,380
This cutting-edge
early-warning system
744
00:49:02,420 --> 00:49:06,980
could be the best way
of protecting Naples.
745
00:49:07,020 --> 00:49:12,420
It could buy people vital time
to escape.
746
00:49:14,380 --> 00:49:17,650
An unexpected Plinian eruption
of Campi Flegrei
747
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,720
would put millions of lives
at risk.
748
00:49:23,180 --> 00:49:25,050
In this nightmare scenario,
749
00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:27,820
the eruption could generate
a huge cloud
750
00:49:27,850 --> 00:49:32,320
reaching tens of miles
into the sky,
751
00:49:32,350 --> 00:49:35,350
pelting the Bay of Naples
with pumice.
752
00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:41,380
Then, when the column collapses,
753
00:49:41,420 --> 00:49:44,050
a massive pyroclastic flow,
754
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:46,580
heated to hundreds of degrees
Fahrenheit,
755
00:49:46,620 --> 00:49:51,080
would tear across the caldera
at hundreds of miles an hour...
756
00:49:53,250 --> 00:49:56,980
killing everyone in its path
757
00:49:57,020 --> 00:50:01,550
and burying Naples
in an avalanche of ash.
758
00:50:06,580 --> 00:50:08,650
All this area
will be devastating,
759
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:12,920
and three million of people
will be killed
760
00:50:12,950 --> 00:50:15,120
by the pyroclastic flows.
761
00:50:17,420 --> 00:50:19,120
The people of the Bay of Naples
762
00:50:19,150 --> 00:50:24,020
could suffer the same fate
as the people of Pompeii,
763
00:50:24,050 --> 00:50:27,380
unless they remember
one of the key lessons
764
00:50:27,420 --> 00:50:31,550
of this ancient tragedy:
765
00:50:31,580 --> 00:50:35,320
Those who hunker down
during an eruption
766
00:50:35,350 --> 00:50:38,750
are the ones most likely to die.
767
00:50:41,080 --> 00:50:44,180
If you have a strong eruption,
768
00:50:44,220 --> 00:50:48,280
the only way to save the people
is evacuation.
769
00:50:49,420 --> 00:50:51,420
We need to evacuate,
770
00:50:51,450 --> 00:50:54,880
because it's the only way
we can prevent a disaster,
771
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,250
because there is no way
you can save people
772
00:50:57,280 --> 00:50:59,280
for, from pyroclastic flows.
773
00:51:02,620 --> 00:51:05,150
If evacuation
is the only option,
774
00:51:05,180 --> 00:51:08,320
this will take time
and planning.
775
00:51:08,350 --> 00:51:12,220
In Naples,
millions of people are crammed
776
00:51:12,250 --> 00:51:16,480
into a city of narrow
and crowded streets,
777
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:20,920
making advanced warning
essential.
778
00:51:23,420 --> 00:51:29,180
One day, there will be
another volcanic eruption,
779
00:51:29,220 --> 00:51:32,120
perhaps even more powerful
780
00:51:32,150 --> 00:51:36,850
than the one
that wiped out Pompeii.
781
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:39,450
But as scientists improve
782
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,420
their prediction
and early-warning systems,
783
00:51:42,450 --> 00:51:48,420
the next time, there will be
a crucial difference:
784
00:51:48,450 --> 00:51:54,650
They'll know an eruption
is on the way ahead of time,
785
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:59,920
allowing millions of people
to escape with their lives.
786
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:14,750
Major funding for "NOVA"
is provided by the following:
787
00:52:41,850 --> 00:52:44,450
To order this "NOVA" program
on DVD,
788
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:49,380
visit ShopPBS
or call 1-800-PLAY-PBS.
789
00:52:49,420 --> 00:52:53,180
This program is also available
on Amazon Prime Video.
789
00:52:54,305 --> 00:53:00,383
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