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ASTRONAUT:Accessing disconnect. Enable on.
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MISSION CONTROL: Copy that E.L. Com.
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All systems are 'go' for entry, decent and landing.
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Stand by.... Stand by.
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ASTRONAUT:We are looking fine, flight. Data is good.
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NARRATOR:At the dawn of the 21st Century,
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space agencies in Europe and America
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began making plans to land the first humans on Mars.
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But manned missions to the red planet
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have been proposed before.
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For some, Mars holds the answers to
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mankind’s future in space.
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Others say Mars is too far, too dangerous,
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and too expensive for humans to explore.
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And in a world torn by troubles, some saythere is no need,
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or will, for mankind to reach into space anymore.
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More than 30 years after the last Apollo astronaut walked on the moon,
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the American-manned space program seems to have lost its way,
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unable to reach beyond even low-earth orbit.
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ZUBRIN: We’ve got a problem, NASA has been literally going around in circles
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with the space program for the past 30 years.
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NARRATOR:Astronautically engineer, Dr. Robert Zubrin,
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has been arguing for years that sending humans to Mars
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is the mission the space program needs.
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ZUBRIN:It’s time that we set goals for NASA
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that were worthy of the risks of the human space flight.
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Mars is the next logical step in our space program.
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It’s the challenge that’s been staring us in the face for the past 30 years.
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It’s the planet that’s most like the Earth,
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it’s the planet that has on it the resources needed to support life
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and therefore some day technological civilization.
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It’s the planet that will provide us with the answer
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as to whether life is prevalent inthe universe or exclusive to the Earth.
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And it’s the planet that will give usthe critical tests as to whether humanity,
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can breakout out of the planet of our birth
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and become a space-faring species.
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In the early 1990s, Zubrin was the head of the'Mars Direct' program
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at Martin Marietta Astronautics.
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His team developed a mission to Mars that could be done at the fraction of Nasa’s projected costs.
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Using only existing technology, Zubrin argues that the first steps on Martian soil
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could be made within 10 years.
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ZUBRIN:There is absolutely nothing in this that is beyond our technology.
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DR. EDWARD WEILER: We are not ready to send humans to Mars right now.
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We don't know how to keep them alive.
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There are people out there, right now, that say we can go to Mars tomorrow.
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One of my requirements, one of NASA’s requirements,
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is that if we send humans to Mars we bring them back alive.
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For the past 15 years, Zubrin and his colleagueshave waged a campaign
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to convince society and the political class
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that humans-on-Mars should be the goal for NASA now.
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This is the story of our cold neighboring planet
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and the debate overwhether man’s fate it tied to the red world.
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It’s the story of anengineer’s journey – and the battle of ideas
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over which direction inspace will truly benefit mankind.
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ZUBRIN:We’re at a crossroads today.
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We either muster the courage to go
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or we risk the possibility of stagnation and decay.
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The victor in this debate could determinethe fate of mankind.
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Will we become a space-faring species?
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Will we live on more than one planet?
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In the Winter of 2003, the Chinese put their
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first tikenaut in space.
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The European’s space agency has outlineda plan for humans to the
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moon by 2024. And to Mars by 2033.
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And the Russians, building on years of experience
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are conducting test forlong duration Mars missions.
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In America, with the impending retirementof the shuttle fleet and
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the completion of the International SpaceStation, the Bush
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administration announced in 2004.
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the Constellation Program.
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A plan that would return America to the moon by 2020.
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But the program was never fully funded
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and was eventually cancelled.
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In 2010, the Obama Administration announced it’s
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vision for NASA and human Mars exploration.
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NARRATOR:With a new timeline for humans to Mars, sometime
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after 2035, andwith administrations changing every 4 or 8 years,
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it is far fromcertain that such a plan will be realized.
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20 years earlier, the first President Bush
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also proposed a long-termhuman exploration program, under great fan-fair.
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The programquietly died in Congress a few years later.
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ZUBRIN:If you want to go to Mars, you cannot do it
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in 30 years, you can't do it in 20 years.
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You gotta do it in 10 years or less from program start or
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you are more or less guaranteed political failure.
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To date, only the Apollo Moon Program - whichwas announced in 1961
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and had men on the moon 8 years later -
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has succeeded in getting astronauts beyond low earth orbit.
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ZUBRIN:I was 5 when Sputnik flew.
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And while, to the adults, Sputnik was aterrifying event,
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to me, as a child, who was already reading science fiction,
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it was exhilarating.
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Cause it meant that this possibility
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of a space fairing future was going to be real.
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And I was 9 when Kennedy gave his speech committing us to the moon...
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"We choose to go to the moon in this decade
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and do the other thing. Not because they are easy, but because they are hard.
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ZUBRIN:I grew up during the 60’s when it was Mercury,
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it was Gemini, itwas Apollo. Every month NASA was doing something
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moreimpressive than the month before. We were
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going to be on themoon by 1970, Mars by 1980, Saturn by 1990,
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Alpha-Sintari by the year 2000.
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We were moving out and I wanted to be partof that. And so, I got
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myself an scientific education. But then inthe early 70s this all
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collapsed. We achieved the first part of theprogram: Moon by 1970.
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But the Nixon administration shut downthe rest and we did
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not move out into space.And for a while I accepted that, grudgingly.
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I became a scienceteacher. But then, in the early 80s, something
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hit me and I said,“I’m not going to accept myself doing
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less than what I had dreamed of doing whenI was a boy”
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NARRATOR:Zubrin went back to graduate school getting
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advanced degrees inEngineering and Aerospace. He then went on
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to work at MartinMarietta, which later became Lockheed Martin,
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designing interplanetary missions.
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It was here that Zubrin’s obsession
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with the red planet began to take hold.
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While at Martin, in the 1990s, Zubrin and his colleagues
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developed a plan for sending human to Mars
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that changed NASAs thinking on the issue.
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But the plan has languished on the drawingboards ever since.
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Now, as president of the Mars Society, Zubrinis a center stage in
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the debate over the future of manned spaceflight.
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Known as a smart, visionary scientist, he’sauthored several books
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on exploring space and is the self-appointedspokesman for the
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possibility of colonizing Mars.
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Mars is where the future is. Mars is the closest planet to the Earth
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that has on in the all the resources neededto support life
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and therefore technological civilization. It has water, it has carbon,
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It has nitrogen. It has a 24-hour day.It has a complex geological history that has
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created mineral ore. It has sources of geothermal energy.
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Mars is a place we can settle.
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One reason for such optimism over a frozen world like Mars,
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is evidence that 2 billion years ago
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Mars was a much warmer and wetter place.
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DR. PENELOPE BOSTON:We think that at one time in the ancient past
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Mars was very similarto the condition of early Earth.
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NARRATOR:This Martian warm age lasted for over a billion years
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and could have been a suitable environment
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for the development of life.
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DR. CHRISTOPHER MCKAY:If we go to Mars and find evidence of a second
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genesis on Mars, I think we can conclude that the universe is
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full of life. We canprobably conclude that on some planets that
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life evolves to morecomplex forms. And I think we’d be reasonable
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to conclude that intelligence could also emerge on some planets as well.
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It really does answer the questions, "are we alone?"
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And that to me, isa question that transcends science.
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It’s a philosophical, societal, aswell as scientific question.
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To me that’s the big prize,
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that’s why Mars is interesting.
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That’s why human exploration makes sense.
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Space programs are often criticized for thehuge sums of money
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they require. Although the American spaceprogram is less than
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1% of the federal budget, a human mission to Mars
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may have to wait for better times.
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There are those who say that we have many problems to deal with
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here on earth, and we need to postpone adventures such as the
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human exploration of Mars until these problems are solved.
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Well, there were many problems in Spain in 1492,
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and there still are.
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There are problems that need to be dealt with here on Earth
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and should be dealt with.
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But, we also have to think of the future.
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We also have to think about opening up
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new volumes in human history.
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I believe that it’s essential for a positive human future
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that humanity expand into space.
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The greatest value that we got out of Apollo
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was the creation of intellectual capital through the inspiring
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of millions to go into science and engineering,
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to be part of the great adventure of human expansion into space.
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DR. LOUIS FRIEDMAN: There’s a phrase that happened with the Apollo program,
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which was "if we can go the moon we can..." And then everybody filled
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in whatever they were interested in; buildmass transit, cure cancer,
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do this, do that. The point is it did giveus a sense that we could
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accomplish great things. It did bring outthe best in us.
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DR. EDWARD WEILER:We excited a generation of engineers and scientists.
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The generationthat built the computers and cellphones and
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all the technologyeverybody uses today and takes for granted.
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ZUBRIN:If we sent humans to Mars as our goal, we’ll
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get millions of newscientists that will create new inventions,
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new industries. This isthe enormous payback. And we can get it if
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we set the kind ofchallenge that will inspire the youth.
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NARRATOR:To Zubrin, civilizations, like people,
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thrive on challenge and decay without it.
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ZUBRIN:We have everything we have today because of
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our predecessorswho had the courage to leave the world of
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the known and go out inthe wilderness and build new cities.
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And if we stop being peoplelike that, then we will hand down much less
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to our posterity thanour ancestors handed down to us.
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So there’s the choice in life. One eithergrows or one decays.
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Grow or die. I think we should grow.
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PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH, SR.: History proves that we have never lost
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by pressing the limits of our frontier.
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NARRATOR: In the summer of 1989,
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the first President Bush announced
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The Space Exploration Initiative.
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Directing NASA to draw up longterm plans
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to get humans back to the moon and begin
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developing a program of manned-Mars exploration.
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At Martin Marietta, Zubrin and his colleagueslooked forward to
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moving NASA’s space program outwards
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after two decades in low earth orbit.
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Of course we were very excited when Bush madehis call saying
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that he was making a national commitment to implement such a program.
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NASA assembled a large team to take on the space initiative.
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In 90-days the team developed a 30-year plan that required an
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enormous build-up of space infrastructure.
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ZUBRIN: What the NASA bureaucracy decided to do was basically design
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the most complex mission they possibly couldin order to make
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sure that everyone’s pet technology wouldremain mission critical.
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Which is the exact opposite of the correctway to do engineering.
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NARRATOR:First NASA would triple the size of the planned space station
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and add enormous hangers as well as free-floating
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fuel depos, check out docs, and crew stations.
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Then on the moon, they would construct more ship-building facilities,
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bases and depos. Next, the mooncrew would construct the Mars ship,
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a huge craft, dubbed by its detractors as Battlestar Gallactica.
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This ship would carry everything to Mars
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over an 18-month flight.
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Once in Mars orbit, a small group would
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descent to the surface, spend a few days,
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then plant a flag in the ground and go home.
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The plan became known as the "90-Day Report".
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ZUBRIN:To those of us at Martin who had been engaged
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in designing Mars missions when they saw the monstrosity of
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complexity of the 90-day report, we were dismayed and it was readily
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apparent to anyone with any insight that
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that program would fail politically.
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NARRATOR: The plan was submitted to congress.
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The estimated cost: $450 billion.
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The legislators went into sticker shock.
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This would have been the single most expensive program for the United States
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since World War II.
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By the end of 1990, Congress had refused
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all requests for SEI funding.
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When the realization came that SEI was doomed,
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Zubrin wrote a memo to his colleague at Martin Marietta,
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outlining his problems with the NASA plan and arguing for a more direct approach.
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Zubrin favored launching a Mars mission directly from the surface of Earth,
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using only existing rocket technology.
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This negated the need for a lunar base
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and avoided the complexity and cost of building ships in space.
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He also objected to NASA’s plan for a short
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surface stay on Mars.A mission that would amount to little more
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than a flag and afootprint exercise. To Zubrin we were going
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to Mars to explore and develop a new world.
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To maximize surface time, Zubrinproposed using a faster flight path,
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known as a "conjunction class" mission.
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This would mean a crew could arrive on Mars after only a 6 month journey.
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They would then remain on the Martiansurface for a year and a half.
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This would give the team timeto explore a wide area
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and conduct detailed research about the planet.Then, as the Earth return window opens,
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the crew would launch from Mars for a six-month trip home.
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Zubrin was convinced that a simplified, more robust, and cost-effective mission
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could be designed using these principles.
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Along with several like-minded colleagues,Zubrin decided to ask
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management at Martin to allow them to design alternative Mars missions.
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ZUBRIN: The management approved it. And we formed a team.
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It was known as the "Scenario Development Team" ofjust 12 people
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from the whole very large Martin company.
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NARRATOR: One team member, who’s thinking was closely aligned with Zubrin's,
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was David Baker.
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I went off to my office and said "all right,how would I do a Mars
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mission if I had to pay for it and I had togo on the ride." And I said,
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well, it’s gonna be simple, there’s gonnabe no on orbit assembly.
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I really tried to take everything out of themission that didn’t
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absolutely need to be there.
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While the rest of the team focused on longer term, more traditional
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mission plans, that required on-orbit assembly,Zubrin and Baker
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decided to collaborate on a mission that couldbe done near term.
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ZUBRIN:We decided to do Mars the way Lewis and Clark did America.
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Use the local resources, travel light, live off the land.
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Zubrin and Baker were convinced that a Marsmission could be
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launched directly from the ground.
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The other team members felt this was impossible –
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that the weight of the rocket fuel required for a round trip to Mars
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was so enormous it would render the launch ship impossibly heavy.
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To solve this problem Zubrin was exploring
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a radical idea that hadbeen kicked around the aerospace industry
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since the 1970s.
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The idea was to produce a methane oxygen rocket fuel
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directly from the Martian atmosphere.
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It was a relatively simple and robustchemical engineering procedure
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that was done commonly in the1800s, the era of the gas light.
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If the idea worked, astronauts could land
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a relatively light ship with empty tanks.
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They wouldn’t have to ship all the fuelwith them for their return trip.
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This would radically lower their size and weight.
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The only problem was methane oxygen fuel requires ahydrogen component.
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Hydrogen exists on Mars in the form of H20,but water may be
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difficult or impossible to extract from theMartian environment.
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ZUBRIN:Really the hydrogen was only 5% of the total weight
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of the methane oxygen propellant being manufactured.
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So you if you justsay "Okay, we won’t be pure. We won’t get
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all of the propellant from Mars. We’ll just get 95% of the of the propellant from Mars.
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The other 5%, the hydrogen,
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we’ll just bring from Earth."
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NARRATOR: Another fundamental resource that could be extracted from the
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Martian environment – is oxygen.
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A second processing unit, could separate oxygen molecules
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from the thin carbon dioxide atmosphere,
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providing breathable air for a Mars crew.
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ZUBRIN:If used intelligently, the same resources
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that make Mars interestingare precisely what can make it attainable.
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NARRATOR:Baker and Zubrin had greatly reduced their mission mass.
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But they still found their ship was too heavy
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and would require twolaunches and assembly in space.
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Then Zubrin hit on a idea.
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DAVID BAKER: One of the key events of the Mars Direct development
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was one morning Bob burst into my office and said,“I got it!”
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ZUBRIN:The idea that I finally hit on, in 1989,
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was that we would split themission up into two parts and we’d send
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the return vehicle out firstwith its own return propellant plant.
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So the propellant would bemade on Mars before the first astronauts ever left Earth.
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With two separate direct-to-Mars launches,a human crew would
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have a fully-fueled ship waiting for themon the surface of Mars
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before they ever left Earth.
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So Zubrin and Baker had come up with a planthat seemed to
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accomplish all of their goals. It was relativelyinexpensive,
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development time was short, they could useexisting technology,
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and it’s allowed for a long stay on theMartian surface.
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They dubbed their idea "Mars Direct".
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NARRATOR:Aboard an Aries’ rocket, is the Earth Return Vehicle or ERV.
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No one is aboard this ship.
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It will pave the way for astronauts who,years later, will use the ERV to return to Earth.
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NARRATOR:On its second day, the ERV deploys a small nuclear power reactor.
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The reactor powers a chemical plant inside the ERV.
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The plant will produce the methane oxygen rocket fuel for the launch home.
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Nearby, a second robotic robot is guided to
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a pre-picked landing site for the human crew.
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It places a radar transponder to help guidethe astronauts in.
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The long journey to land a human being onMars begins.
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Carrying the most skillfully assembled flightteam in history,
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four astronauts begin their 2.5 year mission to the red planet.
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This will be the first time a human has gone beyond the Earth-Moon system,
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250 million miles farther thanany person has ever been.
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To counter the health problems of zero gravity,
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and to fully acclimate the astronauts to Mars,
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the ship will deploy a weighted tether attached to the last stage of the spent rocket booster.
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By thrusting the ship into a rotational spin
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the counterweight of therocket will create centrifugal force and thus
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artificial gravity. Thecrew will be able to live with their feet
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planted firmly on the floor during their 6-month transit.
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But the HAB is not entirely alone on its journey,
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just ahead of it is a second ERV, identical to the first.
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Launched just a few weeks prior to the HAB,
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it will prepare the way for a secondhuman crew
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that will follow two years later.
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It can also function as a backup to the first mission,
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if anything should go wrong.
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On the 6th month of the flight, the crew willgaze upon an alien world.
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This is the new frontier.
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ASTRONAUT:Spectacular. Just spectacular.
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After days in orbit, and satisfied with thelanding conditions,
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the crew will receive final word from missioncontrol on Earth.
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MISSION CONTROL:All systems are 'go' for entry, decent and landing.
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It will be a tense 40 minutes before peopleback on Earth
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get the signal from Mars and know if everything has gone well.
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For more than 500 days, the astronauts willlive on Mars
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and embark on one of the greatest journey’s of discovery in the history of science.
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Will they find life? Or the fossilizedremains of past life?
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Such a discovery could tell us whether our solar system
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has seen more than one genesis. And answer the ultimate question.
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Are we alone?
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In any case, these explorers will be learninghow feasible
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the colonization of Mars really is. And whetheror not mankind
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has a future among the stars.
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Then, when the time comes,
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and the window Earth return opens,the crew will climb into their
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Earth-return vehicle and head home.
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They will arrive home, heroes,
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the first to stretch the limit of man’sexpanse from one planet to another.
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Their names added to the listof great explorers of new worlds.
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In their footsteps, others will follow.
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What began as a trickle is free to rise
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into a deluge of humankind,sweeping over a once-barren land
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and transforming it into a viable, new world.
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When Baker and Zubrin presented Mars Directto their bosses at Martin,
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they expected the worst.
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To their surprise, management was excited about it.
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They liked the fact that everything needed was
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relatively simple and near term.
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As time went on, Martin Marietta embraced Mars Direct as their creation
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and put Bob and I on an airplane to several NASA
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centers to present Mars Direct and try to build somemomentum for it.
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NARRATOR:Baker and Zubrin flew to the
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Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama.
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This had been one of the original design hubs
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for the Apollo moonlandings. But recently many of the engineers
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had become demoralized by the failure of NASA's SEI program.
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Tag team style, Baker and Zubrin presentedtheir alternative mission architecture.
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The response was thrilling.
394
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The old school Apollo crowd embraced it.
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This was a plan that actually made sense and was within reach.
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ZUBRIN: Baker and I gave a number of briefings.
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The first was at the Marshall Space Flight Center.
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The next was at Johnson.
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These people were incredibly excited.
400
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NARRATIOR: Over the next few weeks, Zubrin and Baker were flown around the country,
401
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pitching to all branches of NASA andeverywhere they went
402
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the response was electric.
403
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The plan was standing up to scrutiny
404
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and groups all over NASA were convertingto Mars Direct.
405
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Their tour culminated in a public presentation
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to the National Space Society.
407
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The crowd gave the two aerospace engineers a standing ovation.
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A week later, the story was in newspapers around the country.
409
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But a counter attack was beginning to form within NASA.
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The space station teams and many in the advance propulsion groups
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were against the idea. Since Mars Direct didn’tneed their programs
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they felt under threat. As quickly as doors openedfor Zubrin and Baker
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they began to close.
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DAVID BAKER: NASA didn’t want to pursue a Mars mission at that time.
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They didn’t want to be derailed by a bunch of Mars fanatics
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that thought that their idea of what NASA shoulddo should overwhelm
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what NASA thought NASA should do.
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ZUBRIN: What we did in Mars Direct was literally come up with the leanness solution.
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The one that involved the least spending on an
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assortment of technologies and infrastructureelements including
421
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for example we made no use whatsoever of theInternational Space Station.
422
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And so people involved in all thoseprograms were very upset
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because we showing they shouldn’tgo to Mars without their
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program being required. They felt thatwe were de-justifying them.
425
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The NASA administration rejected Mars Direct.
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The two engineers were outsiders again.
427
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But Zubrin remained determined.
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DAVID BAKER:Bob had grabbed hold of it, and I could see
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that it was his and nomatter what I did he was going to do what
430
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he was going to do andhe was going to be a proponent for it
431
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and push it and I really sawmy role sort of evaporate.
432
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It’s a little bit like being a dim planetnext to a bright start around him in terms
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of his enthusiasm andyou really can’t compete with that.
434
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All you can do is decide howyou’re going to deal with it.
435
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NARRATOR:By February 1991, Baker quit Martin to start his own firm.
436
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Zubrin battled on. For the next year and a half Zubrin
437
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tried to get NASA topay attention; giving speeches, writing papers.
438
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But Mars Direct’stime seemed to have passed.
439
00:34:18,919 --> 00:34:23,780
But then in 1992, a new administration came into powerat NASA,
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and Zubrin saw a second chance.
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ZUBRIN: I was invited to brief Mike Griffin, who wasthe associated administrator
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for space exploration, in chargeof the whole space exploration initiative.
443
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He immediately became a verystrong supporter of Mars Direct.
444
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But before the engineers at NASA would takeanother look at Mars Direct,
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they wanted Zubrin to prove that producingrocket fuel on
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Mars could work. They gave Martin Mariettaa small budget to do an experiment.
447
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Zubrin and his team built amachine called the
448
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Institute Propellant Plan.It could take carbon dioxide, the dominate
449
00:34:56,230 --> 00:34:59,860
gas in the Martianatmosphere, combine it with a little hydrogen,
450
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and produce a methane oxygen fuel.
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ZUBRIN:We did it in three months. With a very small team.
452
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We built a plantthat was 94% efficient. And no one who actually
453
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participated inthat effort was actually a real chemical engineer,
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they were allaerospace engineers, like me, who were simply
455
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dabbling inchemistry in order to prove to NASA
456
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that 19th Century chemical engineering really worked.
457
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NARRATOR:With the experiment a success, the administration
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had Zubrin givedetailed briefings of the mission plan to
459
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the engineers of the Johnson Space Center.
460
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They liked it, but had some problems.
461
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Dave Weaver was the lead mission architect.
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DAVID WEAVER:There were a number of things that we were
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concerned about with Bob Zubrin’s mission.
464
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First of all, we thought his estimates of mass were probably too optimistic.
465
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It didn’t have sufficient margins for avariety of things.
466
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Not the least of which would be things likeprovisions for the crew,
467
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the amount of water that would be required.
468
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We thought his assent vehicle was very large –
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which meant his power requirements, his propellant requirements,
470
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were much larger than needed to be.
471
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His trip times out were too long, and for very little effort you could get them shorter.
472
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The other problem was the size of his crew.
473
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He had a four person crew.I think virtually every study that’s been done
474
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says that a four person crew,
475
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for a three year type of mission, is probably not realistic.
476
00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:26,570
NARRATOR:Weaver took Zubrin into his office and the
477
00:36:26,570 --> 00:36:30,630
two men worked out compromise mission architecture.
478
00:36:30,630 --> 00:36:35,140
First, Weaver wanted threelaunches for every mission, instead of two.
479
00:36:35,140 --> 00:36:37,880
The first year, three ships would launch.
480
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:40,030
A MAV, Mars Ascent Vehicle.
481
00:36:40,030 --> 00:36:43,320
An unoccupied HAB
482
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:47,260
and an ERV, Earth Return Vehicle.
483
00:36:47,260 --> 00:36:49,880
The HAB and MAV would land on the surfaceand begin
484
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:54,880
producing fuel for the return flight and airfor the crew.
485
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,460
These craft would spend two solitary years on Mars allowing NASA to test all
486
00:36:59,460 --> 00:37:02,700
of the systems before sending a human crew.
487
00:37:02,700 --> 00:37:06,620
Then, in the third year, three more ships would launch.
488
00:37:06,620 --> 00:37:10,260
This time with the HAB occupied by astronauts.
489
00:37:10,260 --> 00:37:12,300
The other two ships are for a future mission,
490
00:37:12,300 --> 00:37:15,300
unless needed for a backup for this crew.
491
00:37:15,300 --> 00:37:19,960
Once on Mars, the team could also utilize the first HAB.
492
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,740
Then, after a year and half stay, the crew would climb
493
00:37:22,740 --> 00:37:27,370
aboard their small capsule, and rendezvous with the return ship.
494
00:37:27,370 --> 00:37:30,570
This ship wouldcarry them back home in a roomier environment
495
00:37:30,570 --> 00:37:33,510
than Zubrin’s ERV.
496
00:37:33,510 --> 00:37:37,190
Zubrin called the plan MARS SEMI DIRECT.
497
00:37:37,190 --> 00:37:40,020
NASA called it the DESIGN REFERENCE MISSION.
498
00:37:40,020 --> 00:37:42,450
They had a larger crew than we had, they had bigger ships,
499
00:37:42,450 --> 00:37:45,290
they had more equipment, they had heavier equipment.
500
00:37:45,290 --> 00:37:48,050
So they had to do the mission in three launches, instead of two,
501
00:37:48,050 --> 00:37:51,970
but it was done with the same principles of Mars Direct.
502
00:37:51,970 --> 00:37:56,640
The plan was subjected to the same cost-analysis that tagged the 90-day report
503
00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:00,490
with a 450 billion dollar price tag.
504
00:38:00,490 --> 00:38:05,980
The Design Reference Mission came back at a fraction of the cost, 55 billion.
505
00:38:05,980 --> 00:38:10,460
Spread out over 10 years, it could be done within NASA's existing budget.
506
00:38:10,460 --> 00:38:14,980
The plan made the cover of Newsweek.
507
00:38:14,980 --> 00:38:21,060
Here was a mission architecture that was affordable and could be done today with existing technology.
508
00:38:21,060 --> 00:38:47,720
But NASA's astronauts have not left low Earth orbit since.
509
00:38:47,720 --> 00:38:51,500
With the completion of the International Space Station -
510
00:38:51,500 --> 00:38:54,500
and the retiring of the Space Shuttle Program -
511
00:38:54,500 --> 00:38:59,500
a debate rages over the future of space exploration.
512
00:38:59,500 --> 00:39:02,700
Should NASA continue to focus on low Earth orbit,
513
00:39:02,700 --> 00:39:05,860
developing technologies for the future?
514
00:39:05,860 --> 00:39:10,460
Or should NASA have a goal – like it did in the 1960's with Apollo?
515
00:39:10,460 --> 00:39:16,320
The way we got to the moon was by a Presidential imperative,
516
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:19,600
that demanded that NASA get to the moon withina decade.
517
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:24,030
So NASA was forced to sit down, design a planfor how to do that,
518
00:39:24,030 --> 00:39:27,520
and then fly the mission.
519
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:31,200
Since that time, without the presence of a driving imperative,
520
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:35,040
we engage in basically a random set of constituency-driven programs
521
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:38,540
which are justified ad hoc afterwards by the
522
00:39:38,540 --> 00:39:42,270
argument that theycould prove useful at some time in the future
523
00:39:42,270 --> 00:39:46,400
when you actually have a plan to go somewhere.
524
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:50,000
BAKER:I think NASA has focused on a study process
525
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:54,020
where the government can’t just pull the plug on their funding.
526
00:39:54,020 --> 00:39:57,340
I think the Apollo cancellation was very traumatic for NASA
527
00:39:57,340 --> 00:40:00,890
and it really transformed NASA from what it was in the 60s
528
00:40:00,890 --> 00:40:03,500
to more of what it is now.
529
00:40:03,500 --> 00:40:07,820
If you have a singular program like goingto Mars, then it is very
530
00:40:07,820 --> 00:40:12,020
vulnerable to having its funding pulled.
531
00:40:12,020 --> 00:40:15,860
ZUBRIN: NASA must be destination driven. It is the only thing that allows
532
00:40:15,860 --> 00:40:20,880
the agency to be productive. NASA was a hundred times more productive
533
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,340
when it was destination-driventhan in the period that it has not been.
534
00:40:24,340 --> 00:40:29,720
And we have stagnated at NASA since 1973.
535
00:40:29,720 --> 00:40:40,040
30 years. More than a generation has been wasted.
536
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:41,990
ZUBRIN:The American space program’s been stagnant for 30 years.
537
00:40:41,990 --> 00:40:47,020
There’s a once in a generation shot right now to get it moving again
538
00:40:47,020 --> 00:40:50,590
by giving it a goal that’ll take it somewhere.
539
00:40:50,590 --> 00:40:53,930
So the stakes today are high.
540
00:40:53,930 --> 00:40:57,290
And if you ask me if I am nervous right now –
541
00:40:57,290 --> 00:41:02,300
I am.
542
00:41:02,300 --> 00:41:04,180
Sen. JOHN McCAIN: Dr. Zubrin.
543
00:41:04,180 --> 00:41:07,720
ZUBRIN: Why is NASA stuck in low Earth orbit?
544
00:41:07,720 --> 00:41:11,180
The problem with NASA's lack of current achievement is not money,
545
00:41:11,180 --> 00:41:13,880
the problem is lack of focus, it’s lack of a goal.
546
00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:15,240
It shouldn’t be humans to Mars in 50 years,
547
00:41:15,240 --> 00:41:19,150
it should be humans to Mars in 10. We can do this.
548
00:41:19,150 --> 00:41:22,640
We do not need gigantic nuclear electric spaceships to send people to MArs
549
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:26,710
That is pork, it’s nonsense. The primaryquestion I get from
550
00:41:26,710 --> 00:41:29,370
the American people is, “Why aren’t wedoing this?” There’s a big
551
00:41:29,370 --> 00:41:32,440
sense of disappointment, almost verging ona sense of betrayal.
552
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,750
The purpose of space ships is to actuallytravel across space and go
553
00:41:35,750 --> 00:41:38,050
to new worlds. Not to hang out in space
554
00:41:38,050 --> 00:41:40,310
and observe the health effects of doing so.
555
00:41:40,310 --> 00:41:43,680
Sen. BROWNBACK: Dr. Zubrin, in your testimony you were very passionate
556
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:47,620
but you also were mad. You’re mad we haven’t done this
557
00:41:47,620 --> 00:41:50,400
or that this vision has been stolen from a generation.
558
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:53,860
ZUBRIN: I guess you could say that. It's like Columbus coming back from the new world
559
00:41:53,860 --> 00:41:58,900
and Ferdinand and Isabella saying,“Ah, so what. Forget it. Burn the ships.”
560
00:41:58,900 --> 00:42:07,420
Okay. That’swhat has happened in this country.
561
00:42:07,420 --> 00:42:10,740
ZUBRIN:We’ve won our point, that there needs to be a destination.
562
00:42:10,740 --> 00:42:12,880
What we need – the point we need to win on now
563
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:25,930
is the destinationneeds to be Mars and it needs to be soon.
564
00:42:25,930 --> 00:42:26,070
The moon program is never fully funded andeventually is
565
00:42:26,070 --> 00:42:29,640
The movement to send humans to Mars, in the near term,
566
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:34,260
began at the University of Colorado in 1978.
567
00:42:34,260 --> 00:42:38,440
When a graduate student in astrogeophysics, named Chris McKay,
568
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:44,240
gave a small seminar on the possibility of introducing life to Mars.
569
00:42:44,240 --> 00:42:47,510
CHRIS MCKAY:I got interesting in Mars in graduated school.
570
00:42:47,510 --> 00:42:50,850
I entered graduate school the same year that Viking landed on Mars.
571
00:42:50,850 --> 00:42:55,970
It sent back these images. And it sent back data that showed all
572
00:42:55,970 --> 00:43:01,420
the elements needed for life are here on this planet and yet there’s no life here.
573
00:43:01,420 --> 00:43:04,720
That’s odd. It’s sort of the lights are on and nobody’s home.
574
00:43:04,720 --> 00:43:06,940
And I thought, well that’s curious.
575
00:43:06,940 --> 00:43:10,030
Some of my other grad studentsand I, we sort of got together to talk about
576
00:43:10,030 --> 00:43:14,170
well, if there’s no life onMars now could we put life there?
577
00:43:14,170 --> 00:43:16,570
And that evolved also into thequestion, well maybe there was life in the past.
578
00:43:16,570 --> 00:43:20,730
And so we could find fossils, evidence of it.
579
00:43:20,730 --> 00:43:23,440
Well, how would you do that? Well,you’d do that by sending people there.
580
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:26,480
NARRATOR:Together with fellow graduate students,
581
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,460
the group decided to puttogether a small conference to discuss the
582
00:43:29,460 --> 00:43:34,140
matter of human Mars exploration.
583
00:43:34,140 --> 00:43:37,220
CHRIS MCKAY:We basically just started a forum.
584
00:43:37,220 --> 00:43:39,960
And we invited everybody from allthe NASA centers and from all the Universities
585
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:44,260
that were involved in it. And they all came, and it was, it really was,
586
00:43:44,260 --> 00:43:47,820
in retrospect I realize, a very important step toward building
587
00:43:47,820 --> 00:43:50,240
a consensus for human exploration of Mars.
588
00:43:50,240 --> 00:43:55,400
ZUBRIN:In 1996, I published my first book, “The Case for Mars."
589
00:43:55,400 --> 00:44:00,670
And the response was phenomenal.
590
00:44:00,670 --> 00:44:02,740
I got 4000 letters from all over the world.
591
00:44:02,740 --> 00:44:07,360
I had Parisian bankers, and 12-year-old kids in Poland,
592
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:11,010
and firemen from Saskatoon, and astronauts,
593
00:44:11,010 --> 00:44:17,100
and they’re all writing me and saying -- “How do we make this happen?”
594
00:44:17,100 --> 00:44:21,540
CHRIS MCKAY:Bob Zubrin came to the third Mars conference and got very much involved.
595
00:44:21,540 --> 00:44:23,140
And he was willing and interested in forming a society,
596
00:44:23,140 --> 00:44:25,800
forming a group, and organizing.
597
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:28,880
ZUBRIN:I said, look if we could pull these people together,
598
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,400
if we can get them to work together.
599
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:35,440
We could have a force that could actuallymake humans-to-Mars happen.
600
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,900
NARRATOR:The group formed The Mars Society.
601
00:44:38,900 --> 00:44:44,500
Robert Zubrin became the President. They held their first convention in 1998.
602
00:44:44,500 --> 00:44:48,920
The convention was just magic.
603
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:51,660
We had no idea how many people were coming.
604
00:44:51,660 --> 00:44:53,800
They were there, not just from the United States and
605
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:58,320
Canada and Europe, they were there from Israel,they were there from Mozambique,
606
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:00,440
they were there from New Zealand.
607
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:05,260
It was astonishing.
608
00:45:05,260 --> 00:45:11,740
Since its inception, The Mars Society hasattracted members worldwide.
609
00:45:11,740 --> 00:45:15,520
Derek Shannon is the head of the Southern California chapter.
610
00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:18,520
He has met with Political leaders from all over the country.
611
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:23,480
DEREK SHANNON: If you make them look at the whole Mars vision in historical terms,
612
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:28,920
it becomes a much easier sell.How will the Martians remember our century?
613
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,440
They’re probablynot going to remember our deficit, our wars,
614
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:34,140
our healthcare. Thosewill be footnotes. What they’ll remember
615
00:45:34,140 --> 00:45:37,890
is that out of all humanhistory there came a generation that decided
616
00:45:37,890 --> 00:45:43,350
to take this amazingstep out into space. And if you tell politicians
617
00:45:43,350 --> 00:45:45,840
that they’re the oneswhose names actually gets remembered that’s
618
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:52,620
when hopefully thespace program starts going somewhere.
619
00:45:52,620 --> 00:45:54,770
NARRATOR:In order to further the knowledge necessary
620
00:45:54,770 --> 00:45:58,050
for a manned-missionto the red planet, the Mars Society has been
621
00:45:58,050 --> 00:46:01,820
building researchstations around the globe. All of them based
622
00:46:01,820 --> 00:46:07,870
on the design of Zubrin’s HAB module.
623
00:46:07,870 --> 00:46:13,490
Most recently, the society set-up a desertresearch station in Utah.
624
00:46:13,490 --> 00:46:17,080
Here International researchers and aerospacestudents come to do
625
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:20,510
experiments under the harsh desert conditionsand learn what’s
626
00:46:20,510 --> 00:46:23,670
necessary to keep a Mar’s crew alive and productive.
627
00:46:23,670 --> 00:46:26,670
REECE LUMSDEN:Basically what we’re doing here is undergoing analog studies.
628
00:46:26,670 --> 00:46:30,760
Crews of up to six people at a time come together
629
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:34,910
to live in a fullsimulation environmental for up to 14-days.
630
00:46:34,910 --> 00:46:38,530
So what that means isevery time we have to go outside the HAB
631
00:46:38,530 --> 00:46:42,680
people have to don space suits.
632
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:47,500
They have to depressurize.
633
00:46:47,500 --> 00:46:49,690
When we go outside they are called extravehicular activities,
634
00:46:49,690 --> 00:46:55,000
they can only be of a certain duration due to the air supply.
635
00:46:55,000 --> 00:47:06,310
We have to recycle all our waterand basically have our own food as well.
636
00:47:06,310 --> 00:47:09,410
DR. EDWARD WEILER: It’s great to fantasize,
637
00:47:09,410 --> 00:47:20,540
but it’s another thing when you have to put it together, when the nuts have to fit the bolts.
638
00:47:20,540 --> 00:47:24,280
Like the Apollo missions to the moon, sendinghuman beings to Mars
639
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:27,980
will mean putting people in harms way.
640
00:47:27,980 --> 00:47:32,520
There are many dangers in outer space and many things could go wrong.
641
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:37,510
A serious equipment breakdown could doom the crew to their deaths.
642
00:47:37,510 --> 00:47:42,020
Some argue that the risk of failure is simplytoo high.
643
00:47:42,020 --> 00:47:45,080
ZUBRIN:You know, back in the days when Medieval man
644
00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:48,430
was looking out from Europe, thinking about exploring the world,
645
00:47:48,430 --> 00:47:54,260
the world was unknown and map makers populated their maps with dragons.
646
00:47:54,260 --> 00:47:56,940
We’ve got the same thing today.
647
00:47:56,940 --> 00:48:00,250
There are people who are afraid togo out into space and they’ve populated
648
00:48:00,250 --> 00:48:02,600
their maps of the solar system with dragons.
649
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:06,320
You know, we’ve got cosmic radiation, we’vegot zero gravity,
650
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:08,720
we’ve got back contamination.
651
00:48:08,720 --> 00:48:18,740
But these are dragons that we can take on.
652
00:48:18,740 --> 00:48:23,460
There are two kinds of radiation astronautsmust contend with in outer space,
653
00:48:23,460 --> 00:48:27,560
solar flares and cosmic rays.
654
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:32,420
Solar flares are floods of protons that burst from the sun at irregular intervals,
655
00:48:32,420 --> 00:48:36,770
and would be dangerous to an unshielded human crew.
656
00:48:36,770 --> 00:48:40,170
We are not ready to send humans to Mars right now.
657
00:48:40,170 --> 00:48:44,410
We’ve got to know a lot more about radiation and radiation mitigation.
658
00:48:44,410 --> 00:48:48,820
One of the Apollo flights barely missed, like by a week, a major solar event.
659
00:48:48,820 --> 00:48:51,100
If it has gone off when the Apollo astronauts were on the way back
660
00:48:51,100 --> 00:48:55,000
and forth to the moon, they would have gotten their entire lifetime
661
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:57,470
radiation dose in that one mission. And that’s just one solar flare.
662
00:48:57,470 --> 00:48:59,430
So that’s why we worry about this.
663
00:48:59,430 --> 00:49:03,730
NARRATOR: In the Mars Direct plan, Zubrin envisions a central insulated core
664
00:49:03,730 --> 00:49:08,340
where a crew could retreat to while the radiation passes by.
665
00:49:08,340 --> 00:49:11,280
The core would be surrounded by all the provisions of the mission.
666
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,430
This should stop any harmful dose of radiation
667
00:49:13,430 --> 00:49:15,590
from reaching the astronauts.ZUBRIN:
668
00:49:15,590 --> 00:49:18,710
Basically you use your pantry as your storm shelter.
669
00:49:18,710 --> 00:49:21,440
So a solar flare happens, the alarm bell rings, the crew goes into the storm shelter
670
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,370
They stay in there cramped up prettytight for a few hours
671
00:49:24,370 --> 00:49:27,520
until the all clear rings and they come out.This is gonna happen once,
672
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,290
it might happen twice in the course of the mission.
673
00:49:30,290 --> 00:49:34,350
The second type of radiation is cosmic rays.
674
00:49:34,350 --> 00:49:38,760
This constant rain of charged particles comes from interstellar space,
675
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,380
And cannot be avoided without many meters of shielding.
676
00:49:42,380 --> 00:49:46,460
We can experience some of this type of radiation on Earth, at high altitudes.
677
00:49:46,460 --> 00:49:50,480
Airline pilots, who spend their careers flying high in the atmosphere,
678
00:49:50,480 --> 00:49:54,180
can receive almost as much of this radiation, throughout their life,
679
00:49:54,180 --> 00:49:57,380
as a Mars astronaut would on a 2.5 year mission.
680
00:49:57,380 --> 00:50:01,100
DR. WEILER: It’s a long trip. It’s a 6-month trip there,a 6-month trip back.
681
00:50:01,100 --> 00:50:03,880
It’s probably a year on the surface. That’s alot of radiation.
682
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:09,120
ZUBRIN:The best estimates are that the magnitude of that dose is not that great.
683
00:50:09,120 --> 00:50:14,540
Perhaps 60 rem of radiation scattered over 2.5 years.
684
00:50:14,540 --> 00:50:18,720
Now 60 rem of radiation, delivered over a long period of time like that,
685
00:50:18,720 --> 00:50:22,380
would not create any noticeable effects at all.
686
00:50:22,380 --> 00:50:25,920
It would though, it is believed,increase your statistical risk of getting cancer
687
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:30,060
at some point later in your life by about 1%.
688
00:50:30,060 --> 00:50:33,120
Right now, if you’re an average Americanand you do not smoke,
689
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:37,880
you have a 20% chance you’re going to dieof Cancer. This would make it 21%.
690
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:41,920
If you’re an average American smoker, it’s 40%.
691
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:45,940
So, in fact, if you recruited the Mars crew out of smokers
692
00:50:45,940 --> 00:51:00,840
and sent them to Mars without their tobacco, you would be reducing their chance of getting Cancer.
693
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:03,600
NARRATOR:With the immense distance from Earth –
694
00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:06,020
never before experienced by a human being –
695
00:51:06,020 --> 00:51:10,220
with the constant dangers of outer spacesurrounding their small, life-sustaining craft,
696
00:51:10,220 --> 00:51:16,150
and with no where else to go, the psychological impact on a crew could be sever.
697
00:51:16,150 --> 00:51:22,360
FRANKLIN CHANG-DIAZ: Fear is real. It would be, to me, abnormal for a person to not feel the fear
698
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:27,260
of getting on a rocket and launchinginto space and going to Mars.
699
00:51:27,260 --> 00:51:32,880
So I think fear is a very normal thing that all astronauts, in fact, are supposed to have.
700
00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:38,830
And I would be afraid to fly with someone who does not have fear.
701
00:51:38,830 --> 00:51:42,840
Some psychologists worry that "cabin fever" could set in
702
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:46,320
and the crew might literally go crazy.
703
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,960
ZUBRIN: The human-Mars-mission is a more rigorous and difficult condition
704
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:53,070
than most of us experience in daily life.
705
00:51:53,070 --> 00:51:58,640
But it is hardly more difficult situation than many people have endured throughout human history.
706
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:00,980
We could compare the Mars crew to the crew
707
00:52:00,980 --> 00:52:04,140
of 19th century, or prior, sailing vessels.
708
00:52:04,140 --> 00:52:06,980
Many of whom were away from home forthree years or more than three years,
709
00:52:06,980 --> 00:52:10,800
under conditions in which they’re eating extremely bad food,
710
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:15,520
without any medical knowledge to support their health, commanded by brutal officers.
711
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:19,260
In every respect the crew of a human-Mars-mission
712
00:52:19,260 --> 00:52:22,100
with the full support of Mission support and the whole world cheering for them
713
00:52:22,100 --> 00:52:26,020
and great rewards waiting for them, in life, upon their return,
714
00:52:26,020 --> 00:52:28,800
is in a vastly superior condition.
715
00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:33,540
NARRATOR: The Mars Direct crew will spend most of their time inside the two story HAB,
716
00:52:33,540 --> 00:52:37,020
carefully designed to promote psychological well-being
717
00:52:37,020 --> 00:52:39,050
despite the confinement.
718
00:52:39,050 --> 00:52:41,300
KURT MICHEELS: The space where I think everybody would spend the most time,
719
00:52:41,300 --> 00:52:45,140
you know, just like a lot of homes on Earth, would be the galley/war room area.
720
00:52:45,140 --> 00:52:49,880
There would be chairs, a table, some kind of large screen for entertainment.
721
00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:52,080
You would have the individual staterooms –
722
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:54,340
about four or five feet wide.
723
00:52:54,340 --> 00:52:58,100
The ability for them to communicate with loved ones, or with colleagues on Earth,
724
00:52:58,100 --> 00:53:00,700
I think will be almost unlimited.
725
00:53:00,700 --> 00:53:05,400
A Mars crew will need to be carefully chosenand thoroughly tested
726
00:53:05,400 --> 00:53:15,060
to insure their ability to handle the extreme isolation.
727
00:53:15,060 --> 00:53:18,470
CHANG-DIAZ: John Young, who went to the moon, he used say that he could
728
00:53:18,470 --> 00:53:24,850
cover the Earth by just lifting his thumb up to it.
729
00:53:24,850 --> 00:53:32,640
And, he says that, when you go to Mars you are going to re-define the concept of loneliness.
730
00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:36,860
So it is very important that the crew be well-balanced
731
00:53:36,860 --> 00:53:42,980
and well-chosen so that they can support each other.
732
00:53:42,980 --> 00:53:45,460
NARRATOR:Whoever gets picked to go, they will have to
733
00:53:45,460 --> 00:53:49,000
learn to live together for 2.5 years.
734
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:51,730
ZUBRIN:If you put out a call for volunteers for the first crew
735
00:53:51,730 --> 00:53:56,950
to Mars, they’d be lined up coast to coast.
736
00:53:56,950 --> 00:54:03,670
Most people recognize that what’s left afteryou go is the good you left behind.
737
00:54:03,670 --> 00:54:08,450
And to take part in a venture ofthis character – such a historic character –
738
00:54:08,450 --> 00:54:12,110
of extending the reach of the human species,
739
00:54:12,110 --> 00:54:30,340
this is something of immortal significance.
740
00:54:30,340 --> 00:54:34,140
ZUBRIN:One of the most bogus threats associated with the Mars mission
741
00:54:34,140 --> 00:54:36,560
is the so-called back contamination issue.
742
00:54:36,560 --> 00:54:40,010
Which is this notion that you go to Mars, discover these virulent disease organisms
743
00:54:40,010 --> 00:54:44,720
that you bring back to Earth and destroy all life on Earth.
744
00:54:44,720 --> 00:54:47,570
NARRATOR:If we discover life on Mars, one fear is that
745
00:54:47,570 --> 00:54:53,080
our Earth biology will have no defense against possible Martian pathogens.
746
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,910
Some argue that missions to Mars cannot be risked
747
00:54:55,910 --> 00:54:59,640
until we can prove Mars is free from harmful contaminants.
748
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:04,200
ZUBRIN:This is completely nonsensical.
749
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:09,140
There is natural transfer of materialfrom Mars to Earth all the time.
750
00:55:09,140 --> 00:55:13,640
We get around 500 kilograms of unsterilized Martian rocks landing on Earth every year,
751
00:55:13,640 --> 00:55:20,400
and they have been doing so for the past 3, 4, billion years.
752
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:25,720
And so, if there were Martian organisms that could contaminate the Earth, they’ve already done so.
753
00:55:25,720 --> 00:55:28,140
NARRATOR:Although the prospect of Martian diseases seems remote,
754
00:55:28,140 --> 00:55:33,360
law makers have required that NASA create elaborate protocol
755
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:38,340
to ensure that any extraterrestrial material stays contained.
756
00:55:38,340 --> 00:55:41,810
And like the Apollo astronauts who spent 17-days in quarantine
757
00:55:41,810 --> 00:55:45,420
after their return from a sterile moon, a Mars crew will have to be
758
00:55:45,420 --> 00:55:49,420
thoroughly tested for any harmful Martian pathogens.
759
00:55:49,420 --> 00:55:53,500
DR. PENELOPE BOSTON:The probability is infinitesimally tiny.
760
00:55:53,500 --> 00:56:00,100
But never-the-less this is our home planet and it’s extremely important and we have to protect it.
761
00:56:00,100 --> 00:56:04,320
The idea of a pathogen on Mars is clearlyridiculous because
762
00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:10,200
there is no megafauna or megaflora on Mars for pathogens to infect.
763
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:15,880
So it is impossible to propose a credible lifestylefor a Martian pathogen.
764
00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:19,940
The diseases that afflict us have been co-evolving
765
00:56:19,940 --> 00:56:24,780
with us and our ancestors and near-relatives for the past 3 billion years.
766
00:56:24,780 --> 00:56:27,410
And they are specifically designed to live inside
767
00:56:27,410 --> 00:56:31,680
the habitat of the human body and to overcome its defenses.
768
00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:35,630
And they've been engaged inan arms race with the human defenses for
769
00:56:35,630 --> 00:56:40,340
those 3 billion years.This is why humans do not get diseases from
770
00:56:40,340 --> 00:56:44,920
distantly related species. For example, I don't know of any person
771
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:47,880
who has ever contracted Dutch Elm Disease.
772
00:56:47,880 --> 00:57:00,140
You know, and trees don’t get colds.
773
00:57:00,140 --> 00:57:02,060
NARRATOR:When the first Mars lander touches down
774
00:57:02,060 --> 00:57:05,560
the crew will be staring out a new world.
775
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:14,380
A place that, in 4 billion years, no eyes have ever seen.
776
00:57:14,380 --> 00:57:17,100
The crew won’t be alone. Millions of television viewers
777
00:57:17,100 --> 00:57:20,590
back home will be watching as the first man or woman
778
00:57:20,590 --> 00:57:26,360
places their footprint into the rust-colored soil.
779
00:57:26,360 --> 00:57:29,000
The crew will savor these moments.
780
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:33,620
For here, someday, a new branch of civilization might begin
781
00:57:33,620 --> 00:57:48,720
and future Martians will remember and celebrate this day.
782
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:52,670
There is much for the crew to do and explore.
783
00:57:52,670 --> 00:57:58,440
One of their main mission objections will be to search for signs of microscopic life.
784
00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:02,760
To do this, they will follow the ancient water flows –
785
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:11,480
for on Earth, where there is water, there is life.
786
00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:15,060
To help the crew in their search, they willhave a pressurized rover
787
00:58:15,060 --> 00:58:26,660
that allows them to explore in a comfortable shirt-sleeve environment.
788
00:58:26,660 --> 00:58:31,080
This means the crew can examine a vast area around the landing site –
789
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:34,490
during their 18-month stay.
790
00:58:34,490 --> 00:58:37,230
And there is much to explore.
791
00:58:37,230 --> 00:58:40,390
Mars has 58 different kinds of topography
792
00:58:40,390 --> 00:58:51,740
and a surface area equivalent to all the continents of Earth, combined.
793
00:58:51,740 --> 00:58:56,720
If these explorers can uncover the fossilized remnants of indigenous Martian life
794
00:58:56,720 --> 00:59:05,080
they will redefine mankind’s understanding of its place in the universe.
795
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:10,430
For if life arose separately on a planet so close to our own, it strongly suggests that
796
00:59:10,430 --> 00:59:22,780
the universe is a biologically rich placeand full of life.
797
00:59:22,780 --> 00:59:25,840
For some, the ultimate question of Mars though, is –
798
00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:38,120
Will there be human settlements on the planet? Will Mars become a new branch of human civilization?
799
00:59:38,120 --> 00:59:42,720
As each subsequent Mars mission explores a wider and wider area of the planet,
800
00:59:42,720 --> 00:59:46,740
over several years, an ideal site for a base will be found.
801
00:59:46,740 --> 00:59:51,720
Probably one with a thermal vent that can supply water and power.
802
00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:55,060
At that point, several HABs will be landed in this one spot
803
00:59:55,060 --> 01:00:01,680
with crews that plan to stay for 4, 8, or even 12 years.
804
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:07,920
The HABs will be interconnected and a permanent human presence on Mars will be established.
805
01:00:07,920 --> 01:00:12,010
This scientific community will have to learnto become selfsufficient.
806
01:00:12,010 --> 01:00:17,920
To be able to survive on Mars without suppliesconstantly being sent from Earth.
807
01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:22,060
But unlike any other planet in thesolar system, besides Earth,
808
01:00:22,060 --> 01:00:26,060
Mars has all of the fundamentalsneeded to make this possible.
809
01:00:26,060 --> 01:00:32,550
It’s 24 hour and 37 minute day is critical forgrowing plants.
810
01:00:32,550 --> 01:00:35,540
It has all of the elements necessary for creatingbuilding materials
811
01:00:35,540 --> 01:00:38,860
like plastics, metals and glass.
812
01:00:38,860 --> 01:00:43,050
And it has oceans of water frozen into the soil.
813
01:00:43,050 --> 01:00:49,100
ZUBRIN: If we can develop this craft of living on Mars, then Mars becomes inhabitable.
814
01:00:49,100 --> 01:00:53,040
Not immediately physically, but intellectually.
815
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:56,740
I mean, look, what determines whether an environmental is habitable or not?
816
01:00:56,740 --> 01:00:59,780
Is Colorado habitable?
817
01:00:59,780 --> 01:01:02,900
We’re not naturally adapted to live in Colorado.
818
01:01:02,900 --> 01:01:10,060
We are tropical animals. No one could survive a single winter night here without technology –
819
01:01:10,060 --> 01:01:14,380
such as clothing, efficient use of fire.
820
01:01:14,380 --> 01:01:17,800
We invented our way into becoming people that
821
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:26,360
could colonize such hostile environments.
822
01:01:26,360 --> 01:01:28,970
NARRATOR:Eventually with a lot of ingenuity and invention
823
01:01:28,970 --> 01:01:32,850
the scientists will learn to live off the land.
824
01:01:32,850 --> 01:01:37,970
They will grow crops in the iron-rich butpotassium-poor soil.
825
01:01:37,970 --> 01:01:50,200
And they will produce oxygen and energyfrom the water and atmosphere.
826
01:01:50,200 --> 01:01:52,530
Sooner or later, children will be born,
827
01:01:52,530 --> 01:02:00,200
the first true Martians. Theywill grow up to see Mars as their home.
828
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:03,960
With time, more and more people will arrive.
829
01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:10,480
These won’t only be scientists – but settlers – people who plan to stay.
830
01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:15,820
They may come for all kinds of reasons, but to them, Mars will be a chance to start over,
831
01:02:15,820 --> 01:02:22,100
to build a new life for themselves.
832
01:02:22,100 --> 01:02:26,160
ZUBRIN:The well of human social thought is not exhausted by the present age.
833
01:02:26,160 --> 01:02:27,980
And I don't think will ever be exhausted.
834
01:02:27,980 --> 01:02:34,200
There will always be people with new ideas on how humans should live together.
835
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:40,080
With Mars so far away, the hold of Earthgovernments on their colonies will be tenuous.
836
01:02:40,080 --> 01:02:46,440
The Martian will need to govern themselves.
837
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:49,180
ZUBRIN:Mars is not going to be a utopia.
838
01:02:49,180 --> 01:02:52,520
Mars is going to be lab. It’s a open frontier.
839
01:02:52,520 --> 01:02:58,540
It’s a place where things are going to be tried out. I think we’ll see a lot of noble experiments on Mars.
840
01:02:58,540 --> 01:03:01,860
Perhaps some of these Martian colonies, with their novel ideas
841
01:03:01,860 --> 01:03:05,230
– based on the best thought the 21st Century has to offer –
842
01:03:05,230 --> 01:03:09,150
maybe they’ll find ways in which humans create society that are more humane
843
01:03:09,150 --> 01:03:20,680
and offer more opportunity for human potential.
844
01:03:20,680 --> 01:03:24,560
NARRATOR:The ultimate dream of the Martians will be to terraform their planet –
845
01:03:24,560 --> 01:03:27,020
to make Mars as hospitable as Earth.
846
01:03:27,020 --> 01:03:30,760
This may not be as big a fantasy as it seems.
847
01:03:30,760 --> 01:03:33,750
CHRIS MCKAY:Here we are in Earth, a world that’s very
848
01:03:33,750 --> 01:03:37,030
sophisticated anddeveloped and complete and anything we do
849
01:03:37,030 --> 01:03:41,660
is just a subtraction.Because we live in such a biologically rich planet.
850
01:03:41,660 --> 01:03:45,500
When we go to Mars, we have an opportunity that we don’t have on Earth.
851
01:03:45,500 --> 01:03:47,800
Here’s a planet that’s died.
852
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:51,780
Here’s a world that’s not full of biology,probably doesn’t have any at all.
853
01:03:51,780 --> 01:03:58,600
Well there we can actually do something to help.
854
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,520
ZUBRIN:Once there are large human settlements on Mars
855
01:04:00,520 --> 01:04:03,480
that would have significant industrial capability,
856
01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:06,060
we could actually start addressingourselves to the question of
857
01:04:06,060 --> 01:04:08,340
transforming the Martian environment itself.
858
01:04:08,340 --> 01:04:10,420
Terraforming Mars, as it’s called.
859
01:04:10,420 --> 01:04:13,790
Because Mars was once awarm and wet planet, and it could be made
860
01:04:13,790 --> 01:04:16,700
so again through human engineering efforts.
861
01:04:16,700 --> 01:04:19,940
NARRATOR:With day time temperatures in the Martian tropical zone
862
01:04:19,940 --> 01:04:22,600
averaging around zero degrees centigrade
863
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:25,920
and with an atmosphere only 1% asthick as Earth's,
864
01:04:25,920 --> 01:04:31,360
exposure to these elements by a human without a space suit, would be instantly fatal.
865
01:04:31,360 --> 01:04:34,800
The first step to terraforming Mars and bringingit back to life
866
01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:38,520
would be for the Martian colonies to warmup their planet.
867
01:04:38,520 --> 01:04:40,290
CHRIS MCKAY:Well we know how to warm up planets.
868
01:04:40,290 --> 01:04:43,780
We're doing it on Earth. By putting gases in the atmosphere.
869
01:04:43,780 --> 01:04:46,450
On Earth it’s not a good idea to warm up the planet –
870
01:04:46,450 --> 01:04:49,210
the temperature is just fine, thank you. Wedon’t need it any warmer here.
871
01:04:49,210 --> 01:04:54,330
But in principle, if you could trap the sunlight reaching Mars today,
872
01:04:54,330 --> 01:05:00,340
every single photon that’s hitting Mars, Mars would warm up in about 10 years.
873
01:05:00,340 --> 01:05:04,700
Well, obviously, you can’t trap every singlephoton that’s hitting Mars
874
01:05:04,700 --> 01:05:08,340
but you can trap about 10% of them withthe greenhouse effect.
875
01:05:08,340 --> 01:05:12,860
So that would imply that Mars couldwarm up in about 100 years.
876
01:05:12,860 --> 01:05:16,560
Well, a 100 years is a long time but it’snot astronomically long.
877
01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:20,230
NARRATOR:One idea is to build small automated factories
878
01:05:20,230 --> 01:05:25,100
that produce super-greenhouse gases with no ozone depleting side effects.
879
01:05:25,100 --> 01:05:28,030
Although these gases would be unwelcome on Earth,
880
01:05:28,030 --> 01:05:33,400
for the Martians, they would be an efficient way to trap heat.
881
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:35,380
ZUBRIN:Then within a few decades we would raise Mars
882
01:05:35,380 --> 01:05:37,760
by more than 10 degrees centigrade.
883
01:05:37,760 --> 01:05:41,780
And if you did that that, that would cause massive amounts of carbon dioxide
884
01:05:41,780 --> 01:05:46,020
that is currently absorbed into theMartian soil, to start to outgas.
885
01:05:46,020 --> 01:05:50,380
NARRATOR:Carbon dioxide is also a natural greenhouse gas.
886
01:05:50,380 --> 01:05:54,160
As it builds up in the atmosphere, more and more heat will be trapped,
887
01:05:54,160 --> 01:05:58,060
which will in turn cause more C02 to outgas.
888
01:05:58,060 --> 01:06:02,110
The process will become automatic, as the atmosphere thickens,
889
01:06:02,110 --> 01:06:12,600
Mars will eventually reach astate of equilibrium and stay warm naturally.
890
01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:18,020
The rise in air pressure would mean that thehuman colonists could discard their pressure suits.
891
01:06:18,020 --> 01:06:20,680
And walk around the surface of Mars
892
01:06:20,680 --> 01:06:30,200
carrying only a supply of oxygen.
893
01:06:30,200 --> 01:06:33,060
And as the temperatures rise on Mars,
894
01:06:33,060 --> 01:06:37,380
water frozen into the soil will begin to melt out.
895
01:06:37,380 --> 01:06:44,840
And for the second time in its history, Marswould have liquid water on its surface.
896
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:49,540
Dry Martian rivers will start to flow.
897
01:06:49,540 --> 01:06:52,060
Seas will rise.
898
01:06:52,060 --> 01:07:04,180
And there will be rain clouds in the skies.
899
01:07:04,180 --> 01:07:06,990
The return of Mars to its warm and wet stage
900
01:07:06,990 --> 01:07:11,050
will make it a fertile environment for life.
901
01:07:11,050 --> 01:07:15,770
Any indigenous Martian organisms lyingdormant will begin to grow
902
01:07:15,770 --> 01:07:31,800
and Mars will be full of Martians.
903
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:35,720
If no native life emerges, or that life is all dead,
904
01:07:35,720 --> 01:07:42,540
then humans can begin addressing the idea of bringing life from Earth.
905
01:07:42,540 --> 01:07:44,650
At first, it would be simple organisms,
906
01:07:44,650 --> 01:07:51,200
perhaps genetically engineered, that would thrive in the Martian environment.
907
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:54,160
Then more complexed plants could be introduced.
908
01:07:54,160 --> 01:07:57,960
The plants would be right at home in a carbon dioxide atmosphere.
909
01:07:57,960 --> 01:08:00,760
And with no competition and whole planet to cover,
910
01:08:00,760 --> 01:08:10,660
they could transform Mars into a green world.
911
01:08:10,660 --> 01:08:14,480
Warming Mars so that it sustains life is rapid.
912
01:08:14,480 --> 01:08:19,339
But then the slow process of making the atmosphere breathable for humans and animals start.
913
01:08:19,339 --> 01:08:22,799
And that’s done by plants.
914
01:08:22,799 --> 01:08:25,359
Although the process will happen naturally,
915
01:08:25,359 --> 01:08:32,630
if the colonists can’t find a quicker way, it will take tens of thousands of years.
916
01:08:32,630 --> 01:08:35,749
This is philosophical debate. Many peoplethink the universe has a
917
01:08:35,749 --> 01:08:40,680
big sign on it that says, “Do not touch.Leave it alone, it was made this way,
918
01:08:40,680 --> 01:08:44,339
it is not in our purview as humanbeings to change anything."
919
01:08:44,339 --> 01:08:46,799
I can respect that view, although I disagree with it,
920
01:08:46,799 --> 01:08:49,799
I think the universe has big sign on it that says,
921
01:08:49,799 --> 01:08:52,060
“Go forth and spread life.”
922
01:08:52,060 --> 01:08:53,600
Because when I look around the universe,
923
01:08:53,600 --> 01:08:57,100
I think life is the mostamazing thing we see. It is just incredible.
924
01:08:57,100 --> 01:09:00,720
And, we human beingsare uniquely positioned to help spread life –
925
01:09:00,720 --> 01:09:05,720
form this little tiny planet, which it seems to have been started on, beyond.
926
01:09:05,720 --> 01:09:09,599
And that’s our gift. Earth’s gift to the universe, I think,
927
01:09:09,599 --> 01:09:53,600
is the gift of life.
928
01:09:53,600 --> 01:09:59,140
ZUBRIN:This scheme for terraforming Mars is based on 20th Century notions of engineering.
929
01:09:59,140 --> 01:10:03,080
I think I don't think it is how Mars will actually be terraformed.
930
01:10:03,080 --> 01:10:06,840
What you have here is a 20th Century mind
931
01:10:06,840 --> 01:10:10,220
trying to address a 22nd Century problem.
932
01:10:10,220 --> 01:10:14,540
And so, I think Mars will beterraformed by the 23rd Century.
933
01:10:14,540 --> 01:10:18,860
Not by the 33rd by the 23rd.Things that would seem utterly fantastical to us
934
01:10:18,860 --> 01:10:26,580
is how it will actually be done. But it’ll be done.
935
01:10:26,580 --> 01:10:31,219
We’re at a crossroads today. We either musterthe courage to go
936
01:10:31,219 --> 01:10:34,700
or we risk the possibility of stagnation and decay.
937
01:10:34,700 --> 01:10:37,800
DR. PENELOPE BOSTON:The exploration of the solar system and expanding
938
01:10:37,800 --> 01:10:42,360
of life to the rest of our solar system and some day beyond,
939
01:10:42,360 --> 01:10:47,660
is the kind of thing that will keep our civilization going.
940
01:10:47,660 --> 01:10:52,240
DR. EDWARD WEILER:We’re explorers by nature. Eventually we go to the stars.
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01:10:52,240 --> 01:10:56,160
The question is when will we start?
942
01:10:56,160 --> 01:11:00,510
DAVID BAKER:I think a manned-Mars mission could happen within 15 years.
943
01:11:00,510 --> 01:11:05,460
DR. LOUIS FRIEDMAN: Some days I’m very optimistic, I think we can do it in 10, maybe 15 years.
944
01:11:05,460 --> 01:11:08,940
Other days, I see all the politicalthings that go into the space program.
945
01:11:08,940 --> 01:11:11,699
I look back on the 30-years we’ve been bogged down
946
01:11:11,699 --> 01:11:18,119
and I get more negative about it andI say it’s gonna be another three decades, four decades.
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01:11:18,119 --> 01:11:23,740
DAVID WEAVER: I would be surprised if we got to Mars prior to 2025 or 2030.
948
01:11:23,740 --> 01:11:29,220
FRANKLIN CHANG-DIAZ:In May of 2018.
949
01:11:29,220 --> 01:11:31,820
ZUBRIN:Understanding the various political obstacles
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01:11:31,820 --> 01:11:34,659
that exist and what we need to fight through to get the program started,
951
01:11:34,659 --> 01:11:42,969
I believe that we will be on Mars by 2020.
952
01:11:42,969 --> 01:11:48,659
You have to believe in hope. You have to believein the future.
953
01:11:48,659 --> 01:11:52,260
There are more and more people coming aroundto the point of view
954
01:11:52,260 --> 01:11:58,060
that a positive future for humanity requireshuman expansion into space.
955
01:11:58,060 --> 01:12:01,070
And we will eventually break through the forces
956
01:12:01,070 --> 01:13:36,640
of inertia that have been holding this thing back.
957
01:13:36,640 --> 01:13:46,580
The Mars Underground: Director's Cut
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01:13:46,580 --> 01:13:49,580
Radius Productions, Inc. www.radiusproductions.com
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