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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:02,460 Instructor: Correlation adjusts covariance 2 00:00:02,460 --> 00:00:03,900 so that the relationship between 3 00:00:03,900 --> 00:00:05,670 the two variables becomes easy 4 00:00:05,670 --> 00:00:07,113 and intuitive to interpret. 5 00:00:07,950 --> 00:00:08,783 The formulas 6 00:00:08,783 --> 00:00:11,790 for the correlation coefficient are the covariance divided 7 00:00:11,790 --> 00:00:13,650 by the product of the standard deviations 8 00:00:13,650 --> 00:00:15,292 of the two variables. 9 00:00:15,292 --> 00:00:17,670 This is either sample or population, 10 00:00:17,670 --> 00:00:20,082 depending on the data you are working with. 11 00:00:20,082 --> 00:00:22,440 We already have the standard deviations 12 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:23,910 of the two data sets. 13 00:00:23,910 --> 00:00:25,770 Now, we'll use the formula 14 00:00:25,770 --> 00:00:28,533 in order to find the sample correlation coefficient. 15 00:00:29,610 --> 00:00:30,450 Mathematically, 16 00:00:30,450 --> 00:00:32,708 there is no way to obtain a correlation value greater 17 00:00:32,708 --> 00:00:35,103 than one or a less than minus one. 18 00:00:35,970 --> 00:00:38,190 Remember, the coefficient of variation we talked 19 00:00:38,190 --> 00:00:39,870 about a couple of lessons ago, 20 00:00:39,870 --> 00:00:42,479 well, this concept is similar. 21 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,270 We manipulated the strange covariance value 22 00:00:45,270 --> 00:00:47,670 in order to get something intuitive. 23 00:00:47,670 --> 00:00:49,590 Let's examine it for a bit. 24 00:00:49,590 --> 00:00:52,980 We got a sample correlation coefficient of 0.87, 25 00:00:52,980 --> 00:00:56,937 so there is a strong relationship between the two values. 26 00:00:56,937 --> 00:00:59,220 The correlation of one, also known 27 00:00:59,220 --> 00:01:01,230 as perfect positive correlation, 28 00:01:01,230 --> 00:01:02,597 means that the entire variability 29 00:01:02,597 --> 00:01:06,180 of one variable is explained by the other variable. 30 00:01:06,180 --> 00:01:10,410 However, logically we know that size determines the price. 31 00:01:10,410 --> 00:01:12,690 On average, the bigger house you build, 32 00:01:12,690 --> 00:01:14,850 the more expensive it will be. 33 00:01:14,850 --> 00:01:17,640 This relationship goes only this way. 34 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,230 Once a house is built, 35 00:01:19,230 --> 00:01:21,750 if for some reason it becomes more expensive, 36 00:01:21,750 --> 00:01:23,430 its size doesn't increase, 37 00:01:23,430 --> 00:01:26,159 although there is a positive correlation. 38 00:01:26,159 --> 00:01:30,210 Okay, a correlation of zero between two variables means 39 00:01:30,210 --> 00:01:33,060 that they are absolutely independent from each other. 40 00:01:33,060 --> 00:01:34,860 We would expect a correlation of zero 41 00:01:34,860 --> 00:01:36,900 between the price of coffee in Brazil 42 00:01:36,900 --> 00:01:39,690 and the price of houses in London, right? 43 00:01:39,690 --> 00:01:42,963 The two variables don't have anything in common. 44 00:01:42,963 --> 00:01:47,487 Finally, we can have a negative correlation coefficient. 45 00:01:47,487 --> 00:01:50,414 It can be perfect negative correlation of minus one 46 00:01:50,414 --> 00:01:53,880 or much more likely an imperfect negative correlation 47 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,936 of a value between minus one and zero. 48 00:01:56,936 --> 00:01:59,100 Think of the following businesses. 49 00:01:59,100 --> 00:02:00,720 A company producing ice cream 50 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,457 and a company selling umbrellas. 51 00:02:02,457 --> 00:02:05,310 Ice cream tends to be sold more when the weather is very 52 00:02:05,310 --> 00:02:08,370 good and people buy umbrellas when it's rainy. 53 00:02:08,370 --> 00:02:11,520 Obviously there is a negative correlation between the two, 54 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,580 and hence, when one of the companies makes more money, 55 00:02:14,580 --> 00:02:16,182 the other won't. 56 00:02:16,182 --> 00:02:18,996 All right, before we continue, we must note 57 00:02:18,996 --> 00:02:22,020 that the correlation between two variables X 58 00:02:22,020 --> 00:02:26,010 and Y is the same as the correlation between Y and X. 59 00:02:26,010 --> 00:02:28,590 The formula is completely symmetrical with respect 60 00:02:28,590 --> 00:02:30,180 to both variables. 61 00:02:30,180 --> 00:02:33,510 Therefore, the correlation of price and size is the same 62 00:02:33,510 --> 00:02:36,032 as the one of size and price. 63 00:02:36,032 --> 00:02:38,550 This leads us to causality. 64 00:02:38,550 --> 00:02:41,070 It is very important for any analyst or researcher 65 00:02:41,070 --> 00:02:44,220 to understand the direction of causal relationships. 66 00:02:44,220 --> 00:02:46,920 In the housing business, size causes the price, 67 00:02:46,920 --> 00:02:48,690 and not vice versa. 68 00:02:48,690 --> 00:02:51,330 We will explore this topic in much more detail 69 00:02:51,330 --> 00:02:53,643 in the regression analysis section later on. 70 00:02:54,540 --> 00:02:55,980 For now, it is only needed 71 00:02:55,980 --> 00:03:00,688 that you realize that correlation does not imply causation. 72 00:03:00,688 --> 00:03:03,600 Okay, very good. 73 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:04,920 With this example, 74 00:03:04,920 --> 00:03:08,070 we conclude the section on descriptive statistics. 75 00:03:08,070 --> 00:03:09,120 In the next lesson, 76 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,520 you will see a real life database example 77 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,970 that applies all the knowledge you acquired in this section. 78 00:03:14,970 --> 00:03:16,923 You definitely don't wanna miss it. 6078

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