All language subtitles for 013 Continuous Distributions The Exponential Distribution_en

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,030 --> 00:00:04,230 -: Hello again. 2 00:00:04,230 --> 00:00:05,063 In this lecture, 3 00:00:05,063 --> 00:00:07,470 we are going to discuss the exponential distribution 4 00:00:07,470 --> 00:00:09,393 and its main characteristics. 5 00:00:10,500 --> 00:00:13,800 For starters, we define the exponential distribution 6 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:15,993 with the abbreviation Exp, 7 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,383 followed by a scale parameter, lambda. 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:22,410 We read the following statement as 9 00:00:22,410 --> 00:00:25,860 Variable X follows an exponential distribution 10 00:00:25,860 --> 00:00:27,993 with a scale of a half. 11 00:00:30,150 --> 00:00:31,200 All right. 12 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:33,090 Variables which most closely follow an 13 00:00:33,090 --> 00:00:35,100 exponential distribution are ones 14 00:00:35,100 --> 00:00:37,740 with a probability that initially decreases 15 00:00:37,740 --> 00:00:39,453 before eventually plateauing. 16 00:00:40,830 --> 00:00:44,583 One such example is the number of views for a YouTube vlog. 17 00:00:45,540 --> 00:00:47,940 There is a great interest upon release, so it starts 18 00:00:47,940 --> 00:00:50,140 off with many views in the first day or two. 19 00:00:51,180 --> 00:00:54,180 After most subscribers have had the chance to see the video, 20 00:00:54,180 --> 00:00:55,653 the view counter slows down. 21 00:00:56,610 --> 00:00:59,430 Even though the aggregate amount of views keeps increasing, 22 00:00:59,430 --> 00:01:02,520 the number of new ones diminishes daily. 23 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,310 As time goes on, the video either becomes outdated 24 00:01:05,310 --> 00:01:07,380 or the author produces new content, 25 00:01:07,380 --> 00:01:09,483 so viewership focus shifts away. 26 00:01:10,590 --> 00:01:12,300 Therefore, it is more likely 27 00:01:12,300 --> 00:01:14,160 for a random viewing to have occurred 28 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:16,260 close to the video's initial release 29 00:01:16,260 --> 00:01:18,153 than in any of the following periods. 30 00:01:19,380 --> 00:01:20,820 Graphically, the PDF 31 00:01:20,820 --> 00:01:23,370 of such a function would start off very high 32 00:01:23,370 --> 00:01:27,090 and sharply decrease within the first few timeframes. 33 00:01:27,090 --> 00:01:29,190 The curve somewhat resembles a boomerang 34 00:01:29,190 --> 00:01:32,553 with each handle lining up with the X and Y axis. 35 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:34,740 All right. 36 00:01:34,740 --> 00:01:36,900 We know what the PDF would look like 37 00:01:36,900 --> 00:01:38,313 but what about the CDF? 38 00:01:39,180 --> 00:01:42,990 In a weird way, the CDF would also resemble a boomerang. 39 00:01:42,990 --> 00:01:46,233 However, this one has shifted 90 degrees to the right. 40 00:01:47,190 --> 00:01:48,023 As you know, 41 00:01:48,023 --> 00:01:50,760 the cumulative distribution eventually approaches one, 42 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,163 so that would be the value where it plateaus. 43 00:01:54,810 --> 00:01:56,820 To define an exponential distribution, 44 00:01:56,820 --> 00:01:59,100 we require a rate parameter, 45 00:01:59,100 --> 00:02:01,203 denoted by the Greek letter, lambda. 46 00:02:02,070 --> 00:02:05,310 This parameter determines how fast the CDF curve 47 00:02:05,310 --> 00:02:06,987 reaches the point of plateauing, 48 00:02:06,987 --> 00:02:08,793 and how spread out the graph is. 49 00:02:10,650 --> 00:02:11,910 All right, let's talk 50 00:02:11,910 --> 00:02:14,313 about the expected value and the variance. 51 00:02:15,180 --> 00:02:17,910 The expected value for an exponential distribution 52 00:02:17,910 --> 00:02:21,483 is equal to one over the rate parameter lambda. 53 00:02:22,620 --> 00:02:25,503 Whilst the variance is one over lambda squared. 54 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:28,110 In data analysis, 55 00:02:28,110 --> 00:02:31,023 we end up using exponential distributions quite often. 56 00:02:31,980 --> 00:02:35,820 However, unlike the normal or chi squared distributions, 57 00:02:35,820 --> 00:02:39,000 we do not have a table of known variables for it. 58 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,763 That is why sometimes we prefer to transform it. 59 00:02:42,780 --> 00:02:45,000 Generally, we can take the natural logarithm 60 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:47,760 of every set of an exponential distribution 61 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,950 and get a normal distribution. 62 00:02:49,950 --> 00:02:53,070 In statistics, we can use this new transform data 63 00:02:53,070 --> 00:02:55,290 to run linear regressions. 64 00:02:55,290 --> 00:02:57,270 This is one of the most common transformations 65 00:02:57,270 --> 00:02:58,270 I've had to perform. 66 00:03:00,300 --> 00:03:01,470 Before we move on, 67 00:03:01,470 --> 00:03:03,600 we need to introduce an extremely important type 68 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:07,410 of distribution that is often used in mathematical modeling. 69 00:03:07,410 --> 00:03:09,930 We're going to focus on the logistic distribution 70 00:03:09,930 --> 00:03:12,423 and its main characteristics in the next video. 71 00:03:13,650 --> 00:03:14,733 Thanks for watching. 5482

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