All language subtitles for 009 Continuous Distributions The Normal Distribution_en

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,060 --> 00:00:04,620 Instructor: Welcome back. 2 00:00:04,620 --> 00:00:06,420 In this lecture, we are going to introduce 3 00:00:06,420 --> 00:00:09,930 one of the most commonly found continuous distributions, 4 00:00:09,930 --> 00:00:11,373 the normal distribution. 5 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:13,260 For starters, 6 00:00:13,260 --> 00:00:17,310 we define a normal distribution using a capital letter N 7 00:00:17,310 --> 00:00:20,373 followed by the mean and variance of the distribution. 8 00:00:21,240 --> 00:00:22,650 We read the following notation 9 00:00:22,650 --> 00:00:26,910 as variable X follows a normal distribution 10 00:00:26,910 --> 00:00:31,083 with mean, mu, and variance, sigma squared. 11 00:00:32,130 --> 00:00:33,900 When dealing with actual data, 12 00:00:33,900 --> 00:00:36,299 we would usually know the numerical values of mu 13 00:00:36,299 --> 00:00:37,893 and sigma squared. 14 00:00:39,780 --> 00:00:42,330 The normal distribution frequently appears in nature, 15 00:00:42,330 --> 00:00:45,513 as well as in life, in various shapes and forms. 16 00:00:46,710 --> 00:00:50,010 For example, the size of a fully grown male lion 17 00:00:50,010 --> 00:00:51,783 follows a normal distribution. 18 00:00:52,860 --> 00:00:55,470 Many records suggest that the average lion weighs 19 00:00:55,470 --> 00:01:00,470 between 150 and 250 kilograms, or 330 to 550 pounds. 20 00:01:04,050 --> 00:01:07,413 Of course, specimens exist which fall outside of this range. 21 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,220 However, lions weighing less than 150 22 00:01:11,220 --> 00:01:14,698 or more than 250 kilograms tend to be the exception 23 00:01:14,698 --> 00:01:16,920 rather than the rule. 24 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,520 Such individuals serve as outliers in our set, 25 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:21,990 and the more data we gather, 26 00:01:21,990 --> 00:01:24,090 the lower part of the data they represent. 27 00:01:25,380 --> 00:01:26,520 Now that you know what types 28 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,070 of events follow a normal distribution, 29 00:01:29,070 --> 00:01:32,013 let us examine some of its distinct characteristics. 30 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:34,770 For starters, the graph 31 00:01:34,770 --> 00:01:37,770 of a normal distribution is bell shaped. 32 00:01:37,770 --> 00:01:39,480 Therefore, the majority of the data 33 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:42,300 is centered around the mean. 34 00:01:42,300 --> 00:01:44,010 Thus, values further away 35 00:01:44,010 --> 00:01:46,740 from the mean are less likely to occur. 36 00:01:46,740 --> 00:01:47,940 Furthermore, we can see 37 00:01:47,940 --> 00:01:50,883 that the graph is symmetric with regards to the mean. 38 00:01:51,870 --> 00:01:54,189 That suggests values equally far away 39 00:01:54,189 --> 00:01:57,783 in opposing directions would still be equally likely. 40 00:01:59,460 --> 00:02:01,810 Let's go back to the lion example from earlier. 41 00:02:02,940 --> 00:02:04,980 If the mean is 400, 42 00:02:04,980 --> 00:02:07,410 symmetry suggests a lion is equally likely 43 00:02:07,410 --> 00:02:11,430 to weigh 350 pounds and 450 pounds, 44 00:02:11,430 --> 00:02:13,953 since both are 50 pounds away from the mean. 45 00:02:16,770 --> 00:02:18,930 All right, for anybody interested, 46 00:02:18,930 --> 00:02:22,784 you can find the CDF and the PDF of the normal distribution 47 00:02:22,784 --> 00:02:25,263 in the additional materials for this lecture. 48 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:27,353 Instead of going 49 00:02:27,353 --> 00:02:29,400 through the complex algebraic simplifications 50 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,590 in this lecture, we are simply going to talk 51 00:02:31,590 --> 00:02:34,023 about the expected value and the variance. 52 00:02:35,790 --> 00:02:38,100 The expected value for a normal distribution 53 00:02:38,100 --> 00:02:43,100 equals its mean, mu, whereas its variance, sigma squared, 54 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,383 is usually given when we define the distribution. 55 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:48,990 However, if it isn't, 56 00:02:48,990 --> 00:02:51,663 we can deduce it from the expected value. 57 00:02:52,860 --> 00:02:56,460 To do so, we must apply the formula we showed earlier. 58 00:02:56,460 --> 00:02:58,860 The variance of a variable is equal 59 00:02:58,860 --> 00:03:01,890 to the expected value of the squared variable 60 00:03:01,890 --> 00:03:05,133 minus the squared expected value of the variable. 61 00:03:06,750 --> 00:03:07,623 Good job. 62 00:03:08,490 --> 00:03:10,763 Another peculiarity of the normal distribution 63 00:03:10,763 --> 00:03:15,393 is the 68, 95, 99.7 law. 64 00:03:16,290 --> 00:03:19,740 This law suggests that for any normally distributed event, 65 00:03:19,740 --> 00:03:23,946 68% of all outcomes fall within one standard deviation 66 00:03:23,946 --> 00:03:25,353 away from the mean, 67 00:03:26,490 --> 00:03:30,570 95% fall within two standard deviations, 68 00:03:30,570 --> 00:03:33,453 and 99.7 within three. 69 00:03:35,070 --> 00:03:37,170 The last part really emphasizes the fact 70 00:03:37,170 --> 00:03:41,190 that outliers are extremely rare in normal distributions. 71 00:03:41,190 --> 00:03:43,980 It also suggests how much we know about a data set 72 00:03:43,980 --> 00:03:45,365 if we only have the information 73 00:03:45,365 --> 00:03:47,523 that it is normally distributed. 74 00:03:49,980 --> 00:03:51,483 Fantastic work, everyone. 75 00:03:52,530 --> 00:03:55,200 Before we move on to other types of distributions, 76 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:56,033 you need to know 77 00:03:56,033 --> 00:03:58,173 that we can analyze any normal distribution. 78 00:03:59,340 --> 00:04:02,430 To do this, we need to standardize the distribution, 79 00:04:02,430 --> 00:04:05,103 which we will explain in detail in the next video. 80 00:04:06,060 --> 00:04:07,083 Thanks for watching. 6239

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