All language subtitles for 012 Test for the mean. Independent Samples (Part 1)_en

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,330 --> 00:00:01,710 -: Hi again. 2 00:00:01,710 --> 00:00:04,080 As you probably expected, in this lesson 3 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:07,770 we will learn about independent samples with known variants. 4 00:00:07,770 --> 00:00:09,753 Let's get into the example right away. 5 00:00:10,710 --> 00:00:12,240 You may remember this one. 6 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,610 We are about to test the average grades of students 7 00:00:14,610 --> 00:00:18,150 from two different departments in a UK university. 8 00:00:18,150 --> 00:00:19,260 I would like to remind you 9 00:00:19,260 --> 00:00:22,383 that in the UK grades are expressed in percentages. 10 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:26,523 The two departments are engineering and management. 11 00:00:28,020 --> 00:00:29,370 We were told by the dean 12 00:00:29,370 --> 00:00:31,620 that engineering is a tougher discipline 13 00:00:31,620 --> 00:00:33,453 and people tend to get lower grades. 14 00:00:34,740 --> 00:00:37,320 He believes that on average management students 15 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:40,713 outperform engineering students by four percentage points. 16 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,063 Now it is our job to verify if that is the case. 17 00:00:46,980 --> 00:00:48,933 Let's state the two hypotheses. 18 00:00:50,490 --> 00:00:52,359 H zero is the difference 19 00:00:52,359 --> 00:00:55,983 between the means of the two populations is minus four. 20 00:00:58,590 --> 00:01:01,650 By the way, notice that I can make H zero engineering 21 00:01:01,650 --> 00:01:03,950 minus management and get a negative difference 22 00:01:04,980 --> 00:01:07,380 or I can make H zero management 23 00:01:07,380 --> 00:01:10,770 minus engineer and get a positive difference. 24 00:01:10,770 --> 00:01:11,973 Either way works. 25 00:01:13,290 --> 00:01:16,500 Just so we can see as many different situations as possible. 26 00:01:16,500 --> 00:01:18,333 I will keep the difference negative. 27 00:01:19,740 --> 00:01:24,720 So, H one is the population mean difference is different 28 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:25,553 than four. 29 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,370 Once again, this is a two-sided test. 30 00:01:29,370 --> 00:01:32,250 Our research question is not to find the difference 31 00:01:32,250 --> 00:01:34,473 but to check if it is exactly four. 32 00:01:36,180 --> 00:01:39,360 Right. Let's get our hands dirty. 33 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,613 Here's the table that summarizes the data. 34 00:01:43,380 --> 00:01:46,743 The sample sizes are 170 respectively. 35 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:51,469 The sample means our 58% and 65% 36 00:01:51,469 --> 00:01:54,630 and the population's standard deviations are 10% 37 00:01:54,630 --> 00:01:57,453 and 6% and are known from past data. 38 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:00,720 If you remember, when the population is known 39 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,300 for independent samples, the standard error 40 00:02:03,300 --> 00:02:05,400 of the difference is equal to the square root 41 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,370 of the sum of the variance of engineering divided 42 00:02:08,370 --> 00:02:11,250 by its sample size and the variance of management, 43 00:02:11,250 --> 00:02:13,293 again divided by its sample size. 44 00:02:15,930 --> 00:02:19,290 All we have left is to compute the test statistic. 45 00:02:19,290 --> 00:02:22,020 We have big samples and known variances. 46 00:02:22,020 --> 00:02:24,663 Therefore, we can use the Z statistic. 47 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,060 I hope you are getting the point. 48 00:02:27,060 --> 00:02:31,080 Small samples and unknown variances means T large sample 49 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,153 and known variances mean Z. 50 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,110 When we have large samples and unknown variances 51 00:02:37,110 --> 00:02:38,760 it is up to the researcher 52 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,033 but generally it is okay to use Z in that case as well. 53 00:02:43,740 --> 00:02:46,863 All right, here's the formula for the test statistic. 54 00:02:48,690 --> 00:02:49,920 Sample difference mean 55 00:02:49,920 --> 00:02:52,470 minus hypothesized difference mean divided 56 00:02:52,470 --> 00:02:53,733 by the standard error. 57 00:02:55,290 --> 00:02:59,283 We plug in the numbers and get a Z score of minus 2.44. 58 00:03:00,750 --> 00:03:02,790 Let's calculate the P value. 59 00:03:02,790 --> 00:03:05,400 Once again, I'll just tell you the P value 60 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,923 as usually you will obtain it using a software. 61 00:03:09,330 --> 00:03:13,353 The P value of the two-sided test is 0.015. 62 00:03:14,730 --> 00:03:18,270 What we can say is that at 5% significance, which is common 63 00:03:18,270 --> 00:03:23,083 for such a study, the P value of 0.015 is lower than 0.05. 64 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,193 Thus, we reject the null hypothesis. 65 00:03:27,090 --> 00:03:28,620 There is enough statistical evidence 66 00:03:28,620 --> 00:03:31,283 that the difference of the two means is not 4%. 67 00:03:32,970 --> 00:03:34,560 All right, cool. 68 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:35,670 Here's a trick. 69 00:03:35,670 --> 00:03:36,503 What if you wanna know 70 00:03:36,503 --> 00:03:39,003 if the difference is higher or lower than four? 71 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:41,490 The sign of the test statistic 72 00:03:41,490 --> 00:03:43,560 can give you that information. 73 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,593 A minus sign of the test statistic means it's smaller. 74 00:03:47,580 --> 00:03:50,850 If you reverse engineer the standardization process 75 00:03:50,850 --> 00:03:53,460 you'll find that true value is likely to be lower 76 00:03:53,460 --> 00:03:55,650 than the hypothesized value. 77 00:03:55,650 --> 00:03:57,360 In our case, this translates 78 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:01,053 into the true mean is likely to be lower than minus four. 79 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:03,870 Lower than minus four entails 80 00:04:03,870 --> 00:04:08,355 that possible values are minus five, minus six, and so on. 81 00:04:08,355 --> 00:04:10,830 This is additional information that you can give 82 00:04:10,830 --> 00:04:11,663 to the dean. 83 00:04:12,690 --> 00:04:15,690 All right, done with that lesson too 84 00:04:15,690 --> 00:04:18,329 let's proceed to the final topic. 85 00:04:18,329 --> 00:04:21,392 Independent samples and unknown variances. 6693

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