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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:05,700 --> 00:00:08,310 DAVID CAMERON: Putin, all the time I dealt with him, 2 00:00:08,310 --> 00:00:11,100 you knew you were dealing with a difficult and dangerous 3 00:00:11,100 --> 00:00:12,900 and potentially very bad man. 4 00:00:15,540 --> 00:00:18,100 He mourns the loss of the Soviet Union. 5 00:00:19,540 --> 00:00:22,380 He wants to recover territory where he can. 6 00:00:23,300 --> 00:00:26,420 He's very hostile to the West and Western values. 7 00:00:27,740 --> 00:00:32,620 Vladimir Putin has rocked the foundations of European security. 8 00:00:52,980 --> 00:00:55,990 This is the story of Putin's path to war. 9 00:00:55,990 --> 00:01:00,230 How and why he wrong-footed the West through a decade of clashes... 10 00:01:01,300 --> 00:01:03,900 ..told by the leaders who locked horns with him. 11 00:01:12,980 --> 00:01:16,870 I was clear, there could be no business as usual with Russia. 12 00:01:22,980 --> 00:01:24,580 CROWD CHANTS 13 00:01:24,580 --> 00:01:28,780 In this episode, as the uprisings of the Arab Spring tear through 14 00:01:28,780 --> 00:01:32,940 the Middle East, the West tries to enlist Putin as peacemaker. 15 00:01:32,940 --> 00:01:37,270 Having been an irrelevant factor in the Middle East for so long, 16 00:01:37,270 --> 00:01:39,150 suddenly the Russians are back. 17 00:01:39,150 --> 00:01:43,410 But the Russian President, exploiting the West's inaction, 18 00:01:43,410 --> 00:01:48,530 shows just how far he's willing to go to keep his allies in power. 19 00:01:48,530 --> 00:01:51,610 Putin doesn't care about the loss of life. 20 00:01:51,610 --> 00:01:53,730 He doesn't care about the damage he inflicts. 21 00:01:53,730 --> 00:01:56,410 He doesn't care about what he does to civilians. 22 00:02:03,570 --> 00:02:05,450 CHEERING 23 00:02:10,570 --> 00:02:14,330 By February 2011, the revolutions of the Arab Spring had 24 00:02:14,330 --> 00:02:16,770 overthrown dictators. 25 00:02:16,770 --> 00:02:19,690 First in Tunisia, then in Egypt. 26 00:02:22,810 --> 00:02:24,530 Fearing he could be next, 27 00:02:24,530 --> 00:02:28,650 Libya's Colonel Gaddafi ordered his forces to slaughter his opponents. 28 00:02:30,170 --> 00:02:33,540 MAN SHOUTS: Allahu Akbar, Allahu Akbar. 29 00:02:48,090 --> 00:02:51,370 Western leaders thought military intervention was the only way 30 00:02:51,370 --> 00:02:55,330 to stop a massacre, but they wanted UN approval. 31 00:02:58,420 --> 00:03:00,570 The obstacle was Russia. 32 00:03:09,170 --> 00:03:13,340 American Vice President Joe Biden flew to Moscow. 33 00:03:14,610 --> 00:03:18,690 The Soviets and the Russians never had supported 34 00:03:18,690 --> 00:03:21,930 intervention in the domestic affairs of ANY country. 35 00:03:21,930 --> 00:03:25,190 And so we set out on a rather ambitious idea to try 36 00:03:25,190 --> 00:03:30,050 to get the Russians to abstain on a Security Council resolution. 37 00:03:30,050 --> 00:03:31,890 I thought it was going to fail. 38 00:03:31,890 --> 00:03:33,410 Prime Minister. 39 00:03:33,410 --> 00:03:36,500 Vladimir Putin was now Prime Minister, 40 00:03:36,500 --> 00:03:38,950 after serving two terms as President - 41 00:03:38,950 --> 00:03:40,290 the legal limit. 42 00:03:41,730 --> 00:03:46,260 It's in our self-interest and I hope in the self-interest of Russia 43 00:03:46,260 --> 00:03:48,350 that our relationship's closer. 44 00:03:50,140 --> 00:03:53,020 It's always interesting to meet with Putin. 45 00:03:53,020 --> 00:03:54,620 He's a very engaging guy. 46 00:03:54,620 --> 00:03:56,460 He speaks very bluntly. 47 00:03:56,460 --> 00:03:59,500 We did have a general discussion about the Arab Spring. 48 00:04:00,850 --> 00:04:03,300 It was just classic Vladimir Putin, 49 00:04:03,300 --> 00:04:07,980 articulating that he's against people rising up against dictators. 50 00:04:07,980 --> 00:04:10,630 This is not the business of the external world. 51 00:04:10,630 --> 00:04:13,020 These are the leaders of these countries. 52 00:04:13,020 --> 00:04:15,610 We have to respect sovereignty. 53 00:04:15,610 --> 00:04:19,690 Even before the Arab Spring, President...President Putin 54 00:04:19,690 --> 00:04:23,500 had said that about earlier events in history. 55 00:04:23,500 --> 00:04:25,610 He called them colour revolutions. 56 00:04:25,610 --> 00:04:28,930 Georgia 2003, Ukraine 2004, 57 00:04:28,930 --> 00:04:32,650 where in his view, it wasn't just citizens rising up 58 00:04:32,650 --> 00:04:37,050 for democracy, it was the US sponsoring regime change. 59 00:04:40,290 --> 00:04:44,290 Mr President. Nice to see you. Great to see you, man. 60 00:04:44,290 --> 00:04:48,050 Biden also went to see Dmitry Medvedev. As Russia's President, 61 00:04:48,050 --> 00:04:51,010 he was in charge of foreign policy. 62 00:04:51,010 --> 00:04:53,020 Good. That's good. Good meeting. 63 00:05:07,210 --> 00:05:11,250 The Vice President framed things very broadly, to say that we 64 00:05:11,250 --> 00:05:13,450 didn't start the Arab Spring generally, 65 00:05:13,450 --> 00:05:17,130 we didn't start what was happening in Libya specifically. 66 00:05:17,130 --> 00:05:20,350 But we cannot let innocent people just be slaughtered. 67 00:05:20,350 --> 00:05:22,900 We are not being passive in this effort. 68 00:05:22,900 --> 00:05:27,900 When we got to the idea of doing something to stop the killing, 69 00:05:27,900 --> 00:05:30,580 President Medvedev jumped in pretty quickly. 70 00:05:30,580 --> 00:05:33,410 He basically said, yes, you're right. 71 00:05:33,410 --> 00:05:36,420 But he also said there have to be parameters here, 72 00:05:36,420 --> 00:05:38,810 we're not in the business of regime change, 73 00:05:38,810 --> 00:05:41,010 we're in the business of saving lives. 74 00:05:42,300 --> 00:05:44,010 I was pleasantly shocked 75 00:05:44,010 --> 00:05:47,090 and surprised that there was a difference, 76 00:05:47,090 --> 00:05:49,940 that Medvedev was supporting our position. 77 00:05:54,510 --> 00:05:58,450 A vote at the United Nations would be the test of who was really 78 00:05:58,450 --> 00:06:00,380 calling the shots in Moscow. 79 00:06:01,500 --> 00:06:04,300 The question of course was Russia. 80 00:06:04,300 --> 00:06:08,210 Because Russia has always had a close relationship with Libya. 81 00:06:08,210 --> 00:06:13,700 I suspected that Russia could at some moment actually 82 00:06:13,700 --> 00:06:15,300 oppose our drive. 83 00:06:15,300 --> 00:06:17,890 I introduced the British draft, 84 00:06:17,890 --> 00:06:20,820 which had the no-fly zone, that had increased sanctions 85 00:06:20,820 --> 00:06:24,890 against Gaddafi, condemnation of the violence against civilians, etc. 86 00:06:24,890 --> 00:06:29,690 But the Russians were not really engaging in the detail 87 00:06:29,690 --> 00:06:33,270 of the negotiation, which was very unusual 88 00:06:33,270 --> 00:06:37,250 because the Russians are very big players in the UN Security Council. 89 00:06:37,250 --> 00:06:40,410 Very active, normally in a negative way, but very active. 90 00:06:48,330 --> 00:06:52,090 NEWS ARCHIVE: A decisive vote at the Security Council, ten countries 91 00:06:52,090 --> 00:06:55,660 backing military action against Colonel Gaddafi's regime. 92 00:06:55,660 --> 00:06:59,330 Five countries, including Russia and China, abstained, 93 00:06:59,330 --> 00:07:01,020 but without using a veto. 94 00:07:05,450 --> 00:07:07,770 Medvedev's decision not to veto 95 00:07:07,770 --> 00:07:11,090 allowed the West to start bombing Libya. 96 00:07:14,130 --> 00:07:18,100 But his Prime Minister could not stay silent for long. 97 00:07:29,210 --> 00:07:34,020 Prime Minister Putin never publicly criticised President Medvedev. 98 00:07:34,020 --> 00:07:39,290 And that level of disdain for what his own president did, 99 00:07:39,290 --> 00:07:42,540 I don't remember a moment in history when that happened. 100 00:07:43,650 --> 00:07:46,420 The Russian President was quick to hit back. 101 00:08:02,970 --> 00:08:06,330 The US President picked up the phone to his counterpart. 102 00:08:07,860 --> 00:08:11,690 Obama wanted to reassure him that we're going to commit to 103 00:08:11,690 --> 00:08:16,050 implementing the objectives that we set out at the very beginning 104 00:08:16,050 --> 00:08:18,170 of this operation, 105 00:08:18,170 --> 00:08:22,010 to stop what we thought was going to be genocide. 106 00:08:22,010 --> 00:08:25,570 Not regime change, not the overthrow of Gaddafi. 107 00:08:27,210 --> 00:08:31,310 But soon Obama and his allies hardened their stance. 108 00:08:31,310 --> 00:08:34,850 It is US policy that Gaddafi needs to go. 109 00:08:34,850 --> 00:08:38,940 It is impossible to imagine a future for Libya with Gaddafi 110 00:08:38,940 --> 00:08:41,500 still in power. He must go. 111 00:08:45,300 --> 00:08:48,420 As the West's bombing of Libya intensified, 112 00:08:48,420 --> 00:08:51,740 leaders of the world's largest economies met. 113 00:08:54,810 --> 00:08:57,530 Medvedev and Obama spoke in private. 114 00:08:59,020 --> 00:09:02,060 I can't remember a time I'd ever seen Medvedev 115 00:09:02,060 --> 00:09:04,620 so angry with President Obama. 116 00:09:09,060 --> 00:09:13,260 He felt betrayed that we had gone farther in Libya than he had planned 117 00:09:13,260 --> 00:09:17,740 and what had happened in Libya was confirming what Prime Minister Putin 118 00:09:17,740 --> 00:09:21,850 was saying, that this was going to be another regime change play, 119 00:09:21,850 --> 00:09:25,260 just like Afghanistan, and especially Iraq. 120 00:09:25,260 --> 00:09:28,250 And he was planning to run for re-election. 121 00:09:28,250 --> 00:09:31,620 His main argument for re-election was, 122 00:09:31,620 --> 00:09:36,130 I have developed this new relationship with the United States 123 00:09:36,130 --> 00:09:40,050 and with the West that is good for Russia's national interest. 124 00:09:40,050 --> 00:09:43,610 And he knew as a result of what happened on the ground 125 00:09:43,610 --> 00:09:47,370 in Libya that he was losing that argument to the one guy 126 00:09:47,370 --> 00:09:49,940 he couldn't lose that argument to, Vladimir Putin. 127 00:09:49,940 --> 00:09:51,370 APPLAUSE 128 00:09:51,370 --> 00:09:52,490 ANNOUNCEMENT: Putin. 129 00:10:13,730 --> 00:10:17,490 Within a month of announcing his bid to return to the Kremlin, 130 00:10:17,490 --> 00:10:19,970 Putin's dire predictions came true. 131 00:10:22,610 --> 00:10:25,700 Gaddafi was hunted down and brutally murdered, 132 00:10:25,700 --> 00:10:27,740 and Libya lurched into chaos. 133 00:10:31,060 --> 00:10:35,140 The next leader under threat was Russia's long-time ally, 134 00:10:35,140 --> 00:10:38,100 President Bashar al-Assad of Syria. 135 00:10:40,140 --> 00:10:44,660 His forces were ruthlessly cracking down on any protests. 136 00:10:44,660 --> 00:10:45,650 GUNFIRE 137 00:10:45,650 --> 00:10:48,420 MEN SHOUT 138 00:10:57,370 --> 00:11:00,740 It was our calculation that there could not be 139 00:11:00,740 --> 00:11:03,210 any peace settlement in Syria 140 00:11:03,210 --> 00:11:06,210 without the Russians putting pressure on the Assad regime 141 00:11:06,210 --> 00:11:08,610 to make it happen. We didn't have the leverage. 142 00:11:10,850 --> 00:11:15,530 Syria had signed arms contracts with Russia, worth $4 billion. 143 00:11:17,050 --> 00:11:20,090 And the country was home to Russia's only naval base 144 00:11:20,090 --> 00:11:22,930 outside the former Soviet Union. 145 00:11:22,930 --> 00:11:24,730 Our strategy was to focus on them. 146 00:11:24,730 --> 00:11:27,490 Convince the Russians, they'll convince the Syrians. 147 00:11:29,900 --> 00:11:34,860 The West's first chance to test the water with Russia was at the UN. 148 00:11:36,350 --> 00:11:39,850 I really remember that we went to the Russian mission because 149 00:11:39,850 --> 00:11:43,290 they have the official portrait of Putin, you know, like in, well, 150 00:11:43,290 --> 00:11:48,210 you have the Queen, they have Putin. And Putin, the official portrait 151 00:11:48,210 --> 00:11:52,260 of Putin is, he has sort of totally empty eyes. 152 00:11:52,260 --> 00:11:54,770 It's terrifying, because suddenly you say, oh, my God, 153 00:11:54,770 --> 00:11:57,970 if I was in a cellar, you know, tied to a chair 154 00:11:57,970 --> 00:12:01,370 in front of him, I would really be terrified by this guy. 155 00:12:02,660 --> 00:12:07,530 We had a late-night negotiation with the Russian ambassador, 156 00:12:07,530 --> 00:12:12,100 Vitaly Churkin, and we reached agreement on a text, 157 00:12:12,100 --> 00:12:18,150 which talked about if Assad didn't stop attacking civilians, then 158 00:12:18,150 --> 00:12:21,340 the Security Council would consider further steps. 159 00:12:21,340 --> 00:12:25,530 So a sort of...a small stepping stone towards coercive measures. 160 00:12:25,530 --> 00:12:30,740 We had the feeling Churkin might play along. He had 161 00:12:30,740 --> 00:12:35,810 said to us, "I will try to sell it to Moscow." 162 00:12:35,810 --> 00:12:40,330 And I rang Churkin at eight o'clock in the morning on the day 163 00:12:40,330 --> 00:12:44,650 of the vote and said, "Have you received instructions from Moscow? 164 00:12:44,650 --> 00:12:46,290 "How are you going to vote?" 165 00:12:46,290 --> 00:12:49,050 And he said, "I think it'll be OK." 166 00:12:49,050 --> 00:12:51,420 So I put the phone down and thought that was great. 167 00:12:51,420 --> 00:12:54,730 And then 20 minutes later he rang me back and said, 168 00:12:54,730 --> 00:12:58,090 "This text is totally unacceptable, and we will veto it." 169 00:12:59,660 --> 00:13:02,330 What we see is the policy of regime change 170 00:13:02,330 --> 00:13:05,570 and we believe this is very dangerous. 171 00:13:05,570 --> 00:13:09,610 Vitaly Churkin really became the voice of his master. 172 00:13:09,610 --> 00:13:12,810 And we felt all the Russian mission was becoming 173 00:13:12,810 --> 00:13:15,450 a sort of a stronghold, 174 00:13:15,450 --> 00:13:21,290 that obviously they had decided that Syria was their vital interest. 175 00:13:21,290 --> 00:13:25,730 That was the moment where we could feel this is 176 00:13:25,730 --> 00:13:29,940 the Putinisation of Russian foreign policy. 177 00:13:29,940 --> 00:13:32,790 CROWD CHANTS 178 00:13:36,270 --> 00:13:40,420 Having seen leaders toppled across the Middle East, Putin was 179 00:13:40,420 --> 00:13:43,300 soon facing protests against his own rule. 180 00:13:45,260 --> 00:13:49,460 The biggest demonstrations in Moscow since the end of the Soviet Union. 181 00:13:53,100 --> 00:13:55,780 He still won the election by a landslide. 182 00:13:55,780 --> 00:13:58,060 CHEERING AND APPLAUSE 183 00:14:11,590 --> 00:14:15,910 Three months later, Putin arrived at the annual G20 Summit. 184 00:14:17,020 --> 00:14:21,340 It was Obama's first chance to talk to him about Syria face-to-face. 185 00:14:22,730 --> 00:14:24,970 Putin was 45 minutes late. 186 00:14:24,970 --> 00:14:28,650 So it already had a tense feeling by the time he showed up. 187 00:14:28,650 --> 00:14:32,370 You know, as I listened to Putin in Los Cabos, describing 188 00:14:32,370 --> 00:14:35,780 Assad as the only person that could bring stability 189 00:14:35,780 --> 00:14:40,070 and order to Syria, I heard Chechnya as his model. 190 00:14:40,070 --> 00:14:44,570 There was a violent situation in Chechnya and he didn't negotiate 191 00:14:44,570 --> 00:14:47,900 a pacted transition between the opposition and the regime. 192 00:14:47,900 --> 00:14:51,510 What he did is he just gave his guy more weapons and said, 193 00:14:51,510 --> 00:14:53,570 "Kill as many people as you want," 194 00:14:53,570 --> 00:14:57,770 and that is the way that he restored order in Chechnya. 195 00:14:57,770 --> 00:15:00,250 And that was the argument I heard him make. 196 00:15:02,410 --> 00:15:05,570 Relations between Obama and Putin were faltering. 197 00:15:07,770 --> 00:15:12,010 But that summer, the British Prime Minister saw an opportunity 198 00:15:12,010 --> 00:15:16,020 to repair the West's relationship with the Russian leader. 199 00:15:17,340 --> 00:15:19,150 We used the Olympics to try and 200 00:15:19,150 --> 00:15:21,300 further some bilateral relations. 201 00:15:21,300 --> 00:15:23,730 I must have had dozens of meetings, 202 00:15:23,730 --> 00:15:26,410 and one of those was Vladimir Putin, who was coming over, 203 00:15:26,410 --> 00:15:30,090 and someone on my team said, "He's a judo enthusiast, 204 00:15:30,090 --> 00:15:32,300 "why don't we take him to the judo?" 205 00:15:35,730 --> 00:15:38,530 Putin congratulated David Cameron on the success of the British 206 00:15:38,530 --> 00:15:41,330 opening ceremony, which was the talk of the moment. 207 00:15:41,330 --> 00:15:42,930 And Cameron said, "Well, of course, 208 00:15:42,930 --> 00:15:45,210 "I had great British assets to play with, Vladimir. 209 00:15:45,210 --> 00:15:47,970 "I had Her Majesty the Queen and 007 and Mr Bean." 210 00:15:47,970 --> 00:15:52,370 And then he offered Putin help preparing the Sochi Olympics, 211 00:15:52,370 --> 00:15:53,810 which were coming next. 212 00:15:53,810 --> 00:15:56,650 And I remember Putin saying, "Well, there's a Jewish saying, 213 00:15:56,650 --> 00:15:59,330 "that if a problem can be solved by money, it is not a problem." 214 00:16:01,250 --> 00:16:02,980 Then they turned to Syria. 215 00:16:04,150 --> 00:16:08,180 While of course there have been some differences in the positions 216 00:16:08,180 --> 00:16:10,690 that we've taken over the Syrian conflict, 217 00:16:10,690 --> 00:16:15,420 we both want to see an end to that conflict and a stable Syria. 218 00:16:16,620 --> 00:16:19,700 So David Cameron said, "This isn't another Libya, 219 00:16:19,700 --> 00:16:22,070 "we don't intend any kind of Western military action, 220 00:16:22,070 --> 00:16:24,260 "we're not interested in us going to war in Syria, 221 00:16:24,260 --> 00:16:25,580 "we want a political outcome." 222 00:16:25,580 --> 00:16:27,490 And in response Putin said, "Well, I'm the same. 223 00:16:27,490 --> 00:16:30,020 "We're at a moment in history uniquely 224 00:16:30,020 --> 00:16:32,740 "when Russian troops are not deployed anywhere abroad, 225 00:16:32,740 --> 00:16:35,740 "and I'm very proud of that, and that's the way I want it to stay. 226 00:16:35,740 --> 00:16:38,060 "I don't intend any kind of Russian military 227 00:16:38,060 --> 00:16:40,500 "adventurism in the Middle East either." 228 00:16:40,500 --> 00:16:42,930 Putin said there was a lot of wrong with Assad's 229 00:16:42,930 --> 00:16:46,450 leadership in Syria, they did lots of bad things 230 00:16:46,450 --> 00:16:48,370 and he kept saying, 231 00:16:48,370 --> 00:16:51,650 "Look, I'm not an Assad supporter, I'm not determined to keep him in 232 00:16:51,650 --> 00:16:56,060 "power, but the point is I'm worried about what will happen if he goes, 233 00:16:56,060 --> 00:17:01,170 "and there will be a vacuum there which even worse people will fill." 234 00:17:01,170 --> 00:17:03,530 We have seen what's happened in Iraq. 235 00:17:03,530 --> 00:17:06,450 We have seen what has happened in Libya, 236 00:17:06,450 --> 00:17:09,490 and when we were making another analysis, 237 00:17:09,490 --> 00:17:12,770 what is the plan by Western countries in Syria, 238 00:17:12,770 --> 00:17:16,330 we have seen that the only point they would like to make is to 239 00:17:16,330 --> 00:17:19,570 bring down Assad. When we were asking the counterparts, 240 00:17:19,570 --> 00:17:23,450 who is going to replace Assad, there was no answer. 241 00:17:23,450 --> 00:17:26,650 It was, let us just bring him down, like with Gaddafi, 242 00:17:26,650 --> 00:17:29,170 let's kill Gaddafi and we will see what's going to happen. 243 00:17:29,170 --> 00:17:33,010 They couldn't provide names - no plan, no names, nothing. 244 00:17:35,890 --> 00:17:37,770 REPORTER: How did the meeting go? 245 00:17:37,770 --> 00:17:41,010 So I went and sat with him watching this judo match, 246 00:17:41,010 --> 00:17:44,010 which included a Russian judoka. 247 00:17:46,170 --> 00:17:51,650 And it was very fascinating because the umpire called the result 248 00:17:51,650 --> 00:17:54,970 one way, and Putin turned to me and said, "I don't think that's right." 249 00:18:00,450 --> 00:18:04,220 Suddenly, the umpire was overruled by the other umpires 250 00:18:04,220 --> 00:18:06,730 and turned out Putin was right, and knew more about judo 251 00:18:06,730 --> 00:18:10,530 than the person who was umpiring the match. 252 00:18:13,450 --> 00:18:15,570 COMMENTATOR: Ippon! Oh, it's an ippon! 253 00:18:16,660 --> 00:18:18,690 And then he won the final 254 00:18:18,690 --> 00:18:22,580 and Putin was clearly absolutely thrilled by this. 255 00:18:24,930 --> 00:18:26,570 ANNOUNCEMENT: Ladies and gentlemen, 256 00:18:26,570 --> 00:18:29,210 please show your appreciation for your new Olympic champion. 257 00:18:29,210 --> 00:18:30,610 But I remember saying to him, 258 00:18:30,610 --> 00:18:33,330 you should go down and congratulate him and shake his hand. 259 00:18:33,330 --> 00:18:35,810 And he said, "I can't do that." And I said, "No, you should, I think 260 00:18:35,810 --> 00:18:38,500 "it's a perfectly good thing to do. Go, you should do it." 261 00:18:42,620 --> 00:18:44,900 COMMENTATOR: One of the most powerful men in the world... 262 00:18:44,900 --> 00:18:46,260 ..meets Vladimir Putin. 263 00:18:50,340 --> 00:18:54,620 Later that evening he rang me from his aeroplane, to make a point 264 00:18:54,620 --> 00:18:57,750 about how much he had enjoyed coming to the Olympics, how much it meant, 265 00:18:57,750 --> 00:19:01,540 how he wanted to have a positive and purposeful relationship. 266 00:19:01,540 --> 00:19:04,110 And it sounded like there had been some 267 00:19:04,110 --> 00:19:06,500 celebrations on the flight back, to be frank. 268 00:19:06,500 --> 00:19:09,260 He was saying things that I've never heard him 269 00:19:09,260 --> 00:19:12,300 say before, about literally what a wonderful day it had been. 270 00:19:14,060 --> 00:19:15,660 It was a new side to him. 271 00:19:15,660 --> 00:19:18,580 And that's when it really began to occur to us 272 00:19:18,580 --> 00:19:21,220 that maybe we could pull something off here. 273 00:19:21,220 --> 00:19:23,790 You know, maybe we have de-iced Putin. 274 00:19:23,790 --> 00:19:25,180 EXPLOSION 275 00:19:29,430 --> 00:19:34,070 In Syria, what had started as a government crackdown had now 276 00:19:34,070 --> 00:19:36,180 become a bloody civil war. 277 00:19:39,220 --> 00:19:42,990 Assad's regime was accused of cluster-bombing civilian areas. 278 00:19:44,620 --> 00:19:47,660 GUNFIRE 279 00:19:47,660 --> 00:19:50,990 More than 60,000 people had been killed by the time 280 00:19:50,990 --> 00:19:53,990 John Kerry took office as Secretary of State. 281 00:19:58,380 --> 00:20:03,740 We condemn this indiscriminate killing of innocent civilians, 282 00:20:03,740 --> 00:20:06,310 and we condemn it in the strongest terms. 283 00:20:06,310 --> 00:20:11,780 And it is just further evidence that Assad has to go. 284 00:20:17,750 --> 00:20:21,140 Kerry flew to Moscow, hoping to convince Putin. 285 00:20:22,820 --> 00:20:27,300 Things got off to a bad start when he was told to wait on the runway. 286 00:20:28,380 --> 00:20:31,380 I began to wonder, do the Russians always do this to put us 287 00:20:31,380 --> 00:20:33,380 in a bad mood before these meetings? 288 00:20:35,700 --> 00:20:38,010 We got out and walked around on the tarmac 289 00:20:38,010 --> 00:20:39,570 just so he could stretch his legs. 290 00:20:42,610 --> 00:20:45,210 We eventually got permission to drive into the city. 291 00:20:45,210 --> 00:20:47,650 But we were told Putin's been delayed... 292 00:20:48,860 --> 00:20:52,570 ..and I explained to Kerry, this is pretty standard operating procedure. 293 00:20:52,570 --> 00:20:54,810 Don't over-react. He does this to everybody. 294 00:20:54,810 --> 00:20:56,730 He did it to President Obama. 295 00:20:59,300 --> 00:21:01,590 They took us on a tour of Red Square. 296 00:21:01,590 --> 00:21:04,530 It was all decorated for the May 9th celebrations. 297 00:21:06,140 --> 00:21:09,980 The Secretary of State waited three hours before he was 298 00:21:09,980 --> 00:21:11,890 summoned to the Kremlin. 299 00:21:11,890 --> 00:21:13,570 How are you? 300 00:21:13,570 --> 00:21:16,190 I was struck by Putin's mood that day. 301 00:21:16,190 --> 00:21:20,220 He was not as provocative as he had been with Obama in Los Cabos 302 00:21:20,220 --> 00:21:21,860 the year before. 303 00:21:23,010 --> 00:21:26,970 We share some very significant common interests 304 00:21:26,970 --> 00:21:28,530 with respect to Syria. 305 00:21:28,530 --> 00:21:33,530 So it's my hope that today we'll be able to dig into that a little bit. 306 00:21:33,530 --> 00:21:37,540 We wanted a signal from President Putin in that meeting, 307 00:21:37,540 --> 00:21:39,630 and he gave us that signal. 308 00:21:39,630 --> 00:21:43,430 It was very clear. He said, "Work with Lavrov. 309 00:21:43,430 --> 00:21:45,660 "He's my guy." He was sitting right there. 310 00:21:47,900 --> 00:21:51,660 Putin's Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, took Kerry for a stroll 311 00:21:51,660 --> 00:21:54,420 around the grounds of his official guesthouse. 312 00:21:57,070 --> 00:22:00,070 At the end of their walk, they said, "We're back in business. 313 00:22:00,070 --> 00:22:03,580 "We're going to try to resuscitate multilateral negotiations 314 00:22:03,580 --> 00:22:04,960 "over Syria." 315 00:22:06,460 --> 00:22:09,660 Kerry proposed a transitional government that would see 316 00:22:09,660 --> 00:22:12,820 Assad depart, as the way to stop the bloodshed. 317 00:22:13,940 --> 00:22:19,420 At the Secretary of State's request, I talked to Lavrov about what 318 00:22:19,420 --> 00:22:22,820 a transition government in Syria would look like... 319 00:22:23,910 --> 00:22:28,620 ..and the key jobs that would have to be on a negotiating agenda. 320 00:22:30,300 --> 00:22:34,780 After about 10 or 15 seconds, Foreign Minister Lavrov just 321 00:22:34,780 --> 00:22:39,700 cut me off, and said, "You Americans are always trying 322 00:22:39,700 --> 00:22:45,180 "social engineering, and you did it in Iraq too, and we will not 323 00:22:45,180 --> 00:22:48,940 "stand for it in Syria, we will have nothing to do with this." 324 00:22:48,940 --> 00:22:52,700 It is not for us to decide who should lead Syria. 325 00:22:52,700 --> 00:22:54,710 It is for the Syrians to decide. 326 00:22:54,710 --> 00:22:56,980 And we are not in the regime-change game. 327 00:22:56,980 --> 00:23:01,300 We are against interference in domestic conflicts, 328 00:23:01,300 --> 00:23:06,100 and this is our position which should be of no surprise to anyone. 329 00:23:07,380 --> 00:23:10,500 The Secretary of State had been knocked back. 330 00:23:12,420 --> 00:23:15,900 But David Cameron, who'd been invited by Putin to the 331 00:23:15,900 --> 00:23:20,100 site of the Winter Olympics, was determined to pursue his own pitch. 332 00:23:21,350 --> 00:23:23,900 We flew to Sochi and it was a big deal for us. 333 00:23:23,900 --> 00:23:28,340 We were trying to really lock Putin into a result which was Assad going. 334 00:23:30,380 --> 00:23:34,620 Putin always had this big pile of briefing cards... 335 00:23:36,410 --> 00:23:38,770 ..and he picks them up and he slaps them down on the table - 336 00:23:38,770 --> 00:23:42,020 I can hear that slap to this day - and says, 337 00:23:42,020 --> 00:23:43,930 "OK, David, let's talk." 338 00:23:43,930 --> 00:23:48,570 He said, "I know you think I'm too supportive of Assad. I think 339 00:23:48,570 --> 00:23:52,770 "your policy of backing the opposition means 340 00:23:52,770 --> 00:23:55,930 "you're backing extremists like the Al-Nusra Front." 341 00:23:55,930 --> 00:23:57,060 And I said, "No, 342 00:23:57,060 --> 00:24:00,410 "our policy is to get a new provisional government, 343 00:24:00,410 --> 00:24:02,650 "we can ally with that provisional government, 344 00:24:02,650 --> 00:24:05,770 "and then we can take out the Al-Nusra Front and the dangerous 345 00:24:05,770 --> 00:24:08,250 "Islamist extremists and terrorists that threaten us." 346 00:24:08,250 --> 00:24:11,050 And Cameron said, "The Al-Nusra Front, I want to destroy them." 347 00:24:11,050 --> 00:24:14,250 And Putin said, "David, now you're talking my language." 348 00:24:14,250 --> 00:24:18,450 And then Cameron said, "OK, and we're going to create a political 349 00:24:18,450 --> 00:24:22,410 "process, you're going to be on the world stage dictating what happens." 350 00:24:22,410 --> 00:24:25,210 All this was music to Putin's ears. 351 00:24:25,210 --> 00:24:29,500 I was suggesting a conference in Moscow where the transition 352 00:24:29,500 --> 00:24:33,050 to a provisional authority would get the rubber stamp. 353 00:24:34,730 --> 00:24:38,900 There was a potential opportunity. You could see the end of Assad, 354 00:24:38,900 --> 00:24:41,690 you could see the end of the fighting and the bloodshed. 355 00:24:41,690 --> 00:24:44,410 So there was an opening and there was hope. 356 00:24:47,330 --> 00:24:51,090 After lunch, in a grand gesture, Vladimir Putin grabbed David 357 00:24:51,090 --> 00:24:53,540 and dragged him off, wearing his shades, 358 00:24:53,540 --> 00:24:55,660 looking like a man of action, into a jeep 359 00:24:55,660 --> 00:24:58,410 and drove him off in the opposite direction of all the rest of us. 360 00:24:58,410 --> 00:25:00,770 He drove at breakneck speed off to a helicopter. 361 00:25:00,770 --> 00:25:04,220 We jumped on a helicopter, we flew up into the mountains. 362 00:25:06,180 --> 00:25:08,940 Putin was inordinately proud of all that they were doing 363 00:25:08,940 --> 00:25:11,300 to make sure the Winter Olympics was a success. 364 00:25:13,420 --> 00:25:16,420 And then we landed at the site of the stadium. 365 00:25:18,130 --> 00:25:21,210 And then we were reunited with a rather relieved 366 00:25:21,210 --> 00:25:23,410 set of Foreign Office officials and security detail! 367 00:25:23,410 --> 00:25:26,180 They probably thought I'd been kidnapped for a while. 368 00:25:29,090 --> 00:25:33,970 A month later, when Putin arrived in the UK for a G8 Summit, 369 00:25:33,970 --> 00:25:35,610 the mood was shifting. 370 00:25:37,490 --> 00:25:40,850 The West had just gone public with accusations that Assad's 371 00:25:40,850 --> 00:25:43,450 forces were using chemical weapons in Syria, 372 00:25:43,450 --> 00:25:46,500 and there were growing calls for military intervention. 373 00:25:48,340 --> 00:25:51,730 We took Putin upstairs, to the study that had been Margaret Thatcher's 374 00:25:51,730 --> 00:25:54,770 office and had Margaret Thatcher's painting on the wall. 375 00:25:56,090 --> 00:25:58,970 Putin said, "Oh, truly she was an Iron Lady." 376 00:26:00,530 --> 00:26:03,050 And then in this very confined space - that room's small 377 00:26:03,050 --> 00:26:06,260 and we're all sort of knee-to-knee, huddled around, having this 378 00:26:06,260 --> 00:26:08,250 meeting - they got down to business. 379 00:26:08,250 --> 00:26:10,810 Cameron said, "If chemical weapons are used in Syria, 380 00:26:10,810 --> 00:26:13,010 "and we have evidence they're beginning to be used, 381 00:26:13,010 --> 00:26:14,330 "the world cannot stand by." 382 00:26:15,380 --> 00:26:18,010 And Putin said, "What is this evidence? 383 00:26:18,010 --> 00:26:19,650 "It's worthless. 384 00:26:19,650 --> 00:26:21,460 "We haven't forgotten Iraq, 385 00:26:21,460 --> 00:26:23,930 "we haven't forgotten Colin Powell at the UN." 386 00:26:25,690 --> 00:26:28,210 And then there was a moment where, to me, 387 00:26:28,210 --> 00:26:31,410 in the room, Putin just seemed to lose patience with all of this. 388 00:26:31,410 --> 00:26:33,810 And I had a notebook in my pocket at that meeting 389 00:26:33,810 --> 00:26:35,050 to record what was said. 390 00:26:35,050 --> 00:26:38,930 This is actually the notebook that I noted it down, in the margin. 391 00:26:38,930 --> 00:26:40,850 "In a very quiet voice." 392 00:26:42,580 --> 00:26:46,490 And Putin said, "I know you're a great country with a great history. 393 00:26:46,490 --> 00:26:48,890 "And you all think I'm not democratic like you. 394 00:26:48,890 --> 00:26:50,890 "I won't argue with you. 395 00:26:50,890 --> 00:26:54,460 "I'm an ex-KGB man, I'm wicked and scary with claws and teeth 396 00:26:54,460 --> 00:26:56,780 "and you're all so well-bred and so well-educated. 397 00:26:58,170 --> 00:27:00,970 "But you remember Abu Ghraib, David? Did you see those pictures? 398 00:27:02,010 --> 00:27:03,970 "It was medieval, what happened there. 399 00:27:06,370 --> 00:27:08,930 "To get what you want in Syria, it will have to be the same again." 400 00:27:16,620 --> 00:27:18,590 CAMERA SHUTTERS CLICK 401 00:27:18,590 --> 00:27:20,500 At the summit the next day, 402 00:27:20,500 --> 00:27:24,860 Cameron hoped his fellow leaders would help change Putin's mind. 403 00:27:51,140 --> 00:27:53,860 DAVID CAMERON: At the G8, you had seven very like minds, 404 00:27:53,860 --> 00:27:57,450 who believed in democracy and the rule of law. 405 00:27:57,450 --> 00:28:01,140 And in Putin you had someone who took a different view. 406 00:28:01,140 --> 00:28:05,850 It was very much seven against one, and Putin digs in more. 407 00:28:34,330 --> 00:28:37,050 DAVID CAMERON: I was in Cornwall on a family holiday. 408 00:28:37,050 --> 00:28:39,210 It's the place we go every year. 409 00:28:42,330 --> 00:28:45,050 And I remember going into a little room in the house 410 00:28:45,050 --> 00:28:48,090 where we were staying, where there was a television... 411 00:28:48,090 --> 00:28:50,460 CHILD CRIES 412 00:28:55,970 --> 00:28:59,010 ..and seeing the pictures, and it was just terrible. 413 00:28:59,010 --> 00:29:00,930 CHILDREN SCREAM 414 00:29:07,730 --> 00:29:11,090 And the sight of, you know, those little children's bodies 415 00:29:11,090 --> 00:29:12,620 laid out on the floor. 416 00:29:15,380 --> 00:29:17,010 It was just shocking. 417 00:29:18,450 --> 00:29:21,860 And I think important to see it, not just to read about it, 418 00:29:21,860 --> 00:29:23,690 but to look at the images yourself. 419 00:29:26,410 --> 00:29:28,490 And I thought that the red line had been crossed, 420 00:29:28,490 --> 00:29:29,980 that action should be taken. 421 00:29:45,410 --> 00:29:48,130 I called President Putin. 422 00:29:48,130 --> 00:29:52,940 By then it was as clear as it could be that it was a regime attack. 423 00:29:52,940 --> 00:29:55,380 We were already getting the evidence. 424 00:29:57,570 --> 00:30:00,930 He said, "Oh, well, it's not in the regime's interest to carry 425 00:30:00,930 --> 00:30:02,490 "out a chemical weapons attack. 426 00:30:02,490 --> 00:30:05,180 "It's much more in the interest of the opposition. 427 00:30:05,180 --> 00:30:06,570 "We haven't seen the evidence." 428 00:30:06,570 --> 00:30:09,100 And I knew he was seeing the same evidence as me. 429 00:30:09,100 --> 00:30:11,790 And that was the first time I thought, "This guy's just lying, 430 00:30:11,790 --> 00:30:14,460 "and will say anything." You know, 431 00:30:14,460 --> 00:30:17,970 deny, deny, deny, even though it was perfectly clear what had happened. 432 00:30:21,970 --> 00:30:24,890 The Prime Minister recalled Parliament 433 00:30:24,890 --> 00:30:26,890 to vote on military action. 434 00:30:28,260 --> 00:30:31,310 Expecting problems from the Labour opposition, 435 00:30:31,310 --> 00:30:33,650 he began to canvass his own MPs. 436 00:30:35,850 --> 00:30:39,090 There's quite a lot of people on my own side, 437 00:30:39,090 --> 00:30:42,130 in the Conservative parliamentary party, who don't support 438 00:30:42,130 --> 00:30:45,340 action against the use of chemical weapons. 439 00:30:45,340 --> 00:30:48,170 I had endless meetings with Conservative MPs, saying, 440 00:30:48,170 --> 00:30:50,930 "This isn't the Iraq War. This is Syria. 441 00:30:50,930 --> 00:30:52,860 "This is the use of chemical weapons." 442 00:30:52,860 --> 00:30:55,650 But I was struggling to convince some of my own colleagues. 443 00:30:55,650 --> 00:30:58,940 CHANTING: Hands off Syria! Hands off Syria! 444 00:30:58,940 --> 00:31:02,090 Britain had gone to war in Iraq without UN approval. 445 00:31:04,310 --> 00:31:07,660 Cameron consulted his ambassador about what might be possible 446 00:31:07,660 --> 00:31:09,060 this time. 447 00:31:10,410 --> 00:31:13,130 I sent some advice to Downing Street 448 00:31:13,130 --> 00:31:18,940 about how we could create a UN moment which would make 449 00:31:18,940 --> 00:31:21,700 clear that the Russians would veto 450 00:31:21,700 --> 00:31:25,650 any attempt to get authorisation through the UN Security Council 451 00:31:25,650 --> 00:31:27,540 for missile strikes. 452 00:31:27,540 --> 00:31:30,470 I said, "What I could do is draft a resolution 453 00:31:30,470 --> 00:31:34,610 "and show it privately to the Russians on Tuesday evening, 454 00:31:34,610 --> 00:31:39,490 "and get them, essentially, to set out their view on it." 455 00:31:39,490 --> 00:31:42,690 And the meeting ended fairly quickly, 456 00:31:42,690 --> 00:31:46,210 and I reported back to London to say that the Russians had made 457 00:31:46,210 --> 00:31:50,060 clear they could not accept the resolution. 458 00:31:56,510 --> 00:32:00,290 Cameron hoped he'd done enough to persuade Parliament to 459 00:32:00,290 --> 00:32:02,570 vote for air strikes. 460 00:32:02,570 --> 00:32:05,730 The ayes to the right - 272. 461 00:32:05,730 --> 00:32:08,210 The noes to the left - 285. 462 00:32:08,210 --> 00:32:10,380 CHEERING 463 00:32:13,170 --> 00:32:15,370 LOUD SHOUTING 464 00:32:16,290 --> 00:32:18,700 Thank you. So the noes have it. 465 00:32:20,140 --> 00:32:21,770 Unlock! 466 00:32:21,770 --> 00:32:25,100 It was a pivotal moment for David Cameron's premiership, 467 00:32:25,100 --> 00:32:28,020 and for British foreign policy, because after that, he said 468 00:32:28,020 --> 00:32:30,060 to us very clearly, "We're not doing anything else 469 00:32:30,060 --> 00:32:32,610 "adventurous on foreign policy that gets us into trouble with 470 00:32:32,610 --> 00:32:33,820 "my people in Parliament. 471 00:32:33,820 --> 00:32:35,940 "I need them for the EU referendum that's coming." 472 00:33:04,340 --> 00:33:06,900 I drove down to work early in the morning. 473 00:33:06,900 --> 00:33:09,310 There was very little traffic - it was lovely. 474 00:33:09,310 --> 00:33:11,030 Erm, late summer day. 475 00:33:13,700 --> 00:33:18,140 Early afternoon, the President spoke at the Rose Garden. 476 00:33:22,100 --> 00:33:23,700 Good afternoon, everybody. 477 00:33:23,700 --> 00:33:26,300 And we thought the President was going to announce the strikes. 478 00:33:26,300 --> 00:33:28,420 Literally, we were standing there waiting for him 479 00:33:28,420 --> 00:33:30,460 to say we've undertaken strikes. 480 00:33:31,590 --> 00:33:36,100 I will seek authorisation for the use of force from the American 481 00:33:36,100 --> 00:33:38,740 people's representatives in Congress. 482 00:33:38,740 --> 00:33:42,180 We were left sort of open-jawed and dumbfounded. 483 00:33:42,180 --> 00:33:44,780 It was not at all what we were expecting. 484 00:34:28,380 --> 00:34:32,820 The atmospherics, when he's landing for the G20, were tense. 485 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,070 There was no formal meeting set, which is extremely 486 00:34:39,070 --> 00:34:41,470 unusual for one of these meetings. 487 00:34:41,470 --> 00:34:44,510 Usually, everything's crafted out ahead of time. 488 00:34:44,510 --> 00:34:47,080 We had nothing on the agenda with President Putin. 489 00:34:51,430 --> 00:34:54,190 And as we talked about it on the drive in the car, 490 00:34:54,190 --> 00:34:56,940 it's like, "When are you going to get around to talking to Putin?" 491 00:34:59,230 --> 00:35:01,580 Obama said, "We'll figure it out." 492 00:35:13,310 --> 00:35:15,110 Are we ready, yeah? 493 00:35:16,750 --> 00:35:22,080 As the official business got under way, one issue couldn't be avoided. 494 00:35:45,340 --> 00:35:48,990 I remember very well that in that dinner, 495 00:35:48,990 --> 00:35:51,220 when we were discussing Syria, 496 00:35:51,220 --> 00:35:55,510 President Zuma from South Africa, or President Dilma Rousseff 497 00:35:55,510 --> 00:36:00,140 from Brazil, they were opposing any kind of foreign intervention 498 00:36:00,140 --> 00:36:02,540 against the Assad regime. 499 00:36:02,540 --> 00:36:05,740 They were supporting the position of Putin. 500 00:36:06,980 --> 00:36:10,110 And the same was coming from China or India. 501 00:36:38,700 --> 00:36:42,300 Putin was capitalising on the fact that there were some threats, 502 00:36:42,300 --> 00:36:46,380 but that those threats were not, er, materialising. 503 00:36:46,380 --> 00:36:51,100 So it was clear, after that discussion, that the United States' 504 00:36:51,100 --> 00:36:54,420 position - I would say the West's position - was isolated. 505 00:36:54,420 --> 00:36:56,910 MUSIC: Nut Rocker 506 00:37:03,270 --> 00:37:06,500 The row over dinner meant a light show Putin had 507 00:37:06,500 --> 00:37:09,900 organised for his guests didn't start until 1am. 508 00:37:21,460 --> 00:37:24,910 Putin was almost playing up to being this sort of new 509 00:37:24,910 --> 00:37:27,700 Russian emperor. It was incredibly lavish, 510 00:37:27,700 --> 00:37:30,500 this vast son et lumiere and fireworks 511 00:37:30,500 --> 00:37:33,260 at this enormous palace, and it was getting colder and colder. 512 00:37:33,260 --> 00:37:35,380 The Russians were sort of piling more 513 00:37:35,380 --> 00:37:38,510 and more blankets onto everyone to try and stop them from freezing. 514 00:37:40,180 --> 00:37:44,060 And my bilateral with Putin was set for sort of two in the morning. 515 00:37:48,790 --> 00:37:51,620 And all the meetings I was in with Putin, this is probably 516 00:37:51,620 --> 00:37:53,100 the most bad-tempered. 517 00:37:53,100 --> 00:37:55,820 So the Prime Minister began, I think, hoping to get to 518 00:37:55,820 --> 00:37:58,740 bed by saying, you know, "There's no need for us 519 00:37:58,740 --> 00:38:02,260 "to rehearse all the arguments on Syria again, Vladimir." 520 00:38:02,260 --> 00:38:05,780 But Putin couldn't resist sticking his thumb in the wounds. 521 00:38:05,780 --> 00:38:08,340 So, I remember him saying, "Well, I'd just like you to know I'm 522 00:38:08,340 --> 00:38:11,220 "very grateful to all of your Conservative backbench MPs 523 00:38:11,220 --> 00:38:13,900 "who voted against you on Syria." 524 00:38:13,900 --> 00:38:17,580 And so David Cameron sort of, in some sense, took the bait 525 00:38:17,580 --> 00:38:20,860 and wanted some way to hit back at Putin. So he changed the subject 526 00:38:20,860 --> 00:38:23,980 to LGBT rights and said, 527 00:38:23,980 --> 00:38:26,700 "Well, there is something I need you to know, Vladimir." 528 00:38:26,700 --> 00:38:31,060 I pitched it as, "Look, this is going to be an issue for you, 529 00:38:31,060 --> 00:38:35,450 "Mr President, because you're chairing these Olympics, and you're 530 00:38:35,450 --> 00:38:38,270 "going to have a lot of people very concerned about the 531 00:38:38,270 --> 00:38:42,380 "approach that Russia takes." And he took this very badly. 532 00:38:42,380 --> 00:38:44,500 And they got into a bicker fest, 533 00:38:44,500 --> 00:38:47,950 late at night - two proud men who always like to have the last word. 534 00:38:47,950 --> 00:38:50,660 I remember Putin saying, "Well, I didn't make the Russian laws, 535 00:38:50,660 --> 00:38:53,180 "I just have to implement them," and Cameron saying, 536 00:38:53,180 --> 00:38:54,860 "Oh, come on, Vladimir. We know that 537 00:38:54,860 --> 00:38:57,300 "what you want around here is what happens around here." 538 00:38:57,300 --> 00:39:00,150 Putin said, "Well, look, David, don't you know there's a demographic 539 00:39:00,150 --> 00:39:02,910 "crisis in Russia? We've got an ageing population. 540 00:39:02,910 --> 00:39:05,760 "We need more births, we need more babies. If I give gay rights 541 00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:07,640 "and gay marriage to the Russian people, 542 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:09,240 "we'll have even fewer babies." 543 00:39:09,240 --> 00:39:11,840 It was becoming increasingly clear that the relationship was no 544 00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,910 longer a load-bearing one, it was just a pretty angry one. 545 00:39:17,230 --> 00:39:21,740 Overnight, Obama was receiving troubling news from Congress. 546 00:39:23,270 --> 00:39:27,300 We were getting reports about the way the votes were going. 547 00:39:27,300 --> 00:39:31,020 I remember hearing this is pretty soft support, 548 00:39:31,020 --> 00:39:33,450 we're going to be in trouble here. 549 00:39:34,730 --> 00:39:36,300 The summit was nearly over 550 00:39:36,300 --> 00:39:39,170 when he finally snatched a moment with Putin. 551 00:39:40,970 --> 00:39:44,460 And Putin made this offer to cooperate with us. 552 00:39:44,460 --> 00:39:47,430 "We'll help you and the international community 553 00:39:47,430 --> 00:39:49,500 "get rid of chemical weapons. 554 00:39:49,500 --> 00:39:52,660 "And, in return, you're not going to use force inside Syria." 555 00:39:53,980 --> 00:39:56,900 The President was really intrigued by it. 556 00:39:58,170 --> 00:40:02,220 There were many people inside the Obama government that wanted 557 00:40:02,220 --> 00:40:04,940 to use force and thought it was necessary 558 00:40:04,940 --> 00:40:07,390 and thought that, if he didn't, it would be very 559 00:40:07,390 --> 00:40:10,990 bad for his credibility, because he had drawn a red line. 560 00:40:10,990 --> 00:40:14,250 Putin had suddenly offered him this way out. 561 00:40:14,250 --> 00:40:17,730 And it was my analysis that, if he said it to you personally, 562 00:40:17,730 --> 00:40:20,970 Mr President, that he was going to make good on the deal. 563 00:40:23,620 --> 00:40:27,220 Putin had seized his chance to play peacemaker 564 00:40:27,220 --> 00:40:29,330 and protect his ally. 565 00:40:30,610 --> 00:40:32,810 There would be no air strikes. 566 00:41:09,570 --> 00:41:13,290 But Obama had secured Putin's promise that Syria's 567 00:41:13,290 --> 00:41:17,810 chemical weapons would be removed and destroyed. 568 00:41:17,810 --> 00:41:21,020 It's actually one of the decisions that I'm most proud of. 569 00:41:21,020 --> 00:41:23,530 In part, because it... 570 00:41:25,570 --> 00:41:30,020 ..pushed against the conventional wisdom in this town, 571 00:41:30,020 --> 00:41:36,290 and the ease with which military actions gain momentum, 572 00:41:36,290 --> 00:41:39,810 the greater difficulty in pulling back 573 00:41:39,810 --> 00:41:43,970 and ensuring that diplomacy is given a chance. 574 00:41:47,610 --> 00:41:50,370 This surprising alliance between Putin 575 00:41:50,370 --> 00:41:53,890 and Obama provided a diplomatic opportunity 576 00:41:53,890 --> 00:41:58,570 to bring the Syrian government and opposition to the negotiating table. 577 00:41:59,700 --> 00:42:04,340 Everybody agreed that the Americans will make sure that the 578 00:42:04,340 --> 00:42:08,810 opposition will be there, and the Russians will make sure 579 00:42:08,810 --> 00:42:11,490 that the Syrian government will be there. 580 00:42:13,850 --> 00:42:17,890 The key goal of the negotiation was to stand up 581 00:42:17,890 --> 00:42:20,620 a transition governing body. 582 00:42:20,620 --> 00:42:24,580 We thought the Russians might resist that, but they didn't. 583 00:42:24,580 --> 00:42:27,900 They accepted the American... 584 00:42:27,900 --> 00:42:30,500 ..suggestion that that be the key issue. 585 00:42:30,500 --> 00:42:32,710 I warned the Americans 586 00:42:32,710 --> 00:42:37,270 and the Russians that you'll be bringing your allies 587 00:42:37,270 --> 00:42:43,060 kicking and screaming. They will not be coming in good faith. 588 00:42:45,260 --> 00:42:47,780 It took four months for the Americans 589 00:42:47,780 --> 00:42:50,620 and Russians to bring the warring parties together. 590 00:42:51,940 --> 00:42:54,780 After a first round of talks ended in deadlock, 591 00:42:54,780 --> 00:42:57,020 the two sides reconvened. 592 00:42:59,990 --> 00:43:03,220 The Syrian opposition REALLY surprised us. 593 00:43:06,140 --> 00:43:09,500 They prepared a formal proposal in writing 594 00:43:09,500 --> 00:43:12,060 for Brahimi, 595 00:43:12,060 --> 00:43:15,060 which said, "We came here 596 00:43:15,060 --> 00:43:19,380 "to negotiate a transition governing body with full executive authority. 597 00:43:20,670 --> 00:43:23,390 "We are prepared to discuss... 598 00:43:23,390 --> 00:43:27,510 "..each position without preconditions, 599 00:43:27,510 --> 00:43:32,630 "including the position of president." 600 00:43:32,630 --> 00:43:37,070 I said, "Are you really prepared to negotiate 601 00:43:37,070 --> 00:43:40,670 "that Assad stay on, at least for a time?" 602 00:43:40,670 --> 00:43:44,430 And they said, "It depends what else we get in the deal." 603 00:43:44,430 --> 00:43:48,420 I presented it to Ambassador Jaafari - 604 00:43:48,420 --> 00:43:51,500 the head of the government delegation - 605 00:43:51,500 --> 00:43:53,580 and he refused to look at it. 606 00:43:53,580 --> 00:43:58,590 I started reading it, so Mr Jaafari said, 607 00:43:58,590 --> 00:44:02,350 "We are not hearing a word of what he has to say. 608 00:44:03,470 --> 00:44:06,060 "We are not interested in this." 609 00:44:06,060 --> 00:44:10,500 So, at that moment, Mr Lakhdar Brahimi looked at him and he told 610 00:44:10,500 --> 00:44:14,190 him, "Look, it's very clearly, 611 00:44:14,190 --> 00:44:17,820 "you are not authorised on behalf of the regime to make any decision, 612 00:44:17,820 --> 00:44:19,700 "and we cannot continue this way." 613 00:44:22,020 --> 00:44:25,100 In a last-ditch attempt to save the talks, 614 00:44:25,100 --> 00:44:28,340 the Americans went to see the Russians. 615 00:44:28,340 --> 00:44:31,540 The whole Russian delegation was there, and it was led by 616 00:44:31,540 --> 00:44:35,420 First Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov, a great big fellow. 617 00:44:37,150 --> 00:44:39,800 And I remember, still, Gatilov 618 00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:42,630 just looking straight at us and saying, 619 00:44:42,630 --> 00:44:45,920 "No. We're not going to put pressure on the Syrian Government to 620 00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:49,990 "negotiate anything." And that was the end of the negotiation. 621 00:44:53,980 --> 00:44:57,220 In Syria, the situation was desperate. 622 00:44:59,670 --> 00:45:03,020 Isis was now rampaging through the country, 623 00:45:03,020 --> 00:45:06,140 having already captured huge swathes of Iraq. 624 00:45:09,750 --> 00:45:11,780 GUNFIRE 625 00:45:11,780 --> 00:45:14,940 REPORTER: Jihadists in eastern Syria greet the announcement of a strict 626 00:45:14,940 --> 00:45:18,150 Islamic caliphate stretching across the border with Iraq 627 00:45:18,150 --> 00:45:21,260 and ruled by the extremist group Isis. 628 00:45:53,950 --> 00:45:58,140 How to combat Isis was top of the agenda at the next year's 629 00:45:58,140 --> 00:46:00,220 UN General Assembly. 630 00:46:02,940 --> 00:46:06,320 Putin, out in the cold after invading Crimea, 631 00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:09,620 decided to attend for the first time in a decade. 632 00:46:10,700 --> 00:46:13,900 Here, he had the world's attention. 633 00:47:34,940 --> 00:47:39,100 Putin's speech made no mention of what he was about to do. 634 00:47:40,790 --> 00:47:45,180 Two days later, he sent his air force into action in Syria. 635 00:47:48,910 --> 00:47:52,110 We weren't expecting it. It came out of the blue. 636 00:47:52,110 --> 00:47:54,340 It was a significant shock. 637 00:47:54,340 --> 00:47:57,820 It was on a morning when I think we had a Security Council meeting. 638 00:48:00,340 --> 00:48:04,500 So it totally blew our agenda off schedule. 639 00:48:06,580 --> 00:48:10,620 We were not the only ones who were wrong-footed by this. 640 00:48:10,620 --> 00:48:14,860 Foreign Minister Lavrov did not appear to be comfortable with 641 00:48:14,860 --> 00:48:18,100 the situation he was in that morning. 642 00:48:18,100 --> 00:48:20,260 He was irritable. 643 00:48:20,260 --> 00:48:23,100 He didn't want to engage, which wasn't his style. 644 00:48:23,100 --> 00:48:26,980 He was usually very happy to harangue you at length. 645 00:48:26,980 --> 00:48:31,500 So to see him so rattled and ruffled was very unusual. 646 00:48:33,340 --> 00:48:38,230 The impression was very clear that Lavrov had not been in this loop. 647 00:49:18,900 --> 00:49:21,420 Concerned that Russia was becoming the major 648 00:49:21,420 --> 00:49:24,580 player in the Middle East, David Cameron sent his new 649 00:49:24,580 --> 00:49:29,590 National Security adviser to see his US counterpart, Susan Rice. 650 00:49:30,860 --> 00:49:35,260 The Russian military intervention immediately solidified 651 00:49:35,260 --> 00:49:39,300 Russia's defence of President Assad, and indeed 652 00:49:39,300 --> 00:49:43,940 strengthened their status, if you like, in the Middle East as a whole. 653 00:49:43,940 --> 00:49:47,460 When I asked whether there was likely to be a stronger 654 00:49:47,460 --> 00:49:49,460 response from Washington, 655 00:49:49,460 --> 00:49:53,550 she said that she didn't expect that to be the case, that the Americans 656 00:49:53,550 --> 00:49:57,580 had not intervened militarily in Syria for four years, 657 00:49:57,580 --> 00:50:01,630 why would they do so after the Russians had got involved 658 00:50:01,630 --> 00:50:03,550 directly themselves? 659 00:50:06,270 --> 00:50:10,070 The West had decided not to hold Putin back in Syria. 660 00:50:14,660 --> 00:50:18,800 It was soon clear just how dangerous this could be. 661 00:50:21,550 --> 00:50:25,990 It was a critical day for me because that day, 662 00:50:25,990 --> 00:50:30,940 I formed the new government after the first November election. 663 00:50:32,590 --> 00:50:38,350 Around 9.30, I received a call from Chief of Staff that a Russian 664 00:50:38,350 --> 00:50:40,630 plane was shot down. 665 00:50:43,990 --> 00:50:47,670 It was... aeroplane crossing our airspace. 666 00:50:49,270 --> 00:50:52,940 This was seen as a risk by our air force. 667 00:50:55,500 --> 00:50:59,060 And also, Turkish border is, at the same time, Nato border. 668 00:50:59,060 --> 00:51:04,980 The, er, statements coming from Russian side was not very positive. 669 00:51:30,860 --> 00:51:35,350 Russian retaliation would risk a direct conflict with Nato. 670 00:51:36,990 --> 00:51:38,710 It's the first time 671 00:51:38,710 --> 00:51:45,230 since the Korean War that Nato has downed a Russian plane. 672 00:51:45,230 --> 00:51:48,520 I decided to convene the North Atlantic Council. 673 00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:52,150 We're not normally talking about combat 674 00:51:52,150 --> 00:51:55,750 engagements between a Nato ally 675 00:51:55,750 --> 00:52:00,550 and Nato's largest, most militarily capable neighbour, Russia. 676 00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:05,230 I said, "Look, it's the sovereign right of Turkey to 677 00:52:05,230 --> 00:52:08,150 "protect its borders, including its airspace." 678 00:52:08,150 --> 00:52:11,430 I was also a bit kind of - quote, unquote - "panicky" 679 00:52:11,430 --> 00:52:14,540 because you never know what the Russians would do. 680 00:52:14,540 --> 00:52:21,470 The Turkish ambassador explained how Turkey had warned the Russian pilot. 681 00:52:21,470 --> 00:52:25,060 He shared with us an audio where actually, 682 00:52:25,060 --> 00:52:27,060 we were able to hear the warning. 683 00:52:33,190 --> 00:52:37,900 The Turkish controller, in Turkish-accented English, warned 684 00:52:37,900 --> 00:52:40,750 repeatedly, time after time after time, 685 00:52:40,750 --> 00:52:43,080 with no response from the Russian pilot. 686 00:52:44,150 --> 00:52:47,310 My Central and Eastern European colleagues and Baltic colleagues, 687 00:52:47,310 --> 00:52:49,510 I mean, they were applauding me... 688 00:52:49,510 --> 00:52:51,470 HE LAUGHS 689 00:52:51,470 --> 00:52:54,160 ..for shooting down the Russian airplane. 690 00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:57,200 This is how you should deal with the Russians. 691 00:52:57,200 --> 00:53:00,830 This is what is called position of strength in practice, 692 00:53:00,830 --> 00:53:03,790 not as a concept, but in practice, 693 00:53:03,790 --> 00:53:06,590 so they were kind of jubilant about it. 694 00:53:06,590 --> 00:53:11,870 While Turkey was arguably right to defend its airspace, 695 00:53:11,870 --> 00:53:17,590 it also launched the entire alliance on what could be a dangerous path. 696 00:53:17,590 --> 00:53:23,100 My main task was to prevent that this incident 697 00:53:23,100 --> 00:53:26,150 led to something that was bigger, more dangerous and risked 698 00:53:26,150 --> 00:53:27,720 coming out of control. 699 00:53:30,820 --> 00:53:33,950 Nato released a statement calling for calm. 700 00:53:33,950 --> 00:53:36,790 The situation was defused. 701 00:53:36,790 --> 00:53:40,860 Neither Turkey nor Russia had the appetite for a full-scale war. 702 00:53:42,940 --> 00:53:45,500 But in the months that followed, 703 00:53:45,500 --> 00:53:48,870 Russian bombing in Syria increased dramatically. 704 00:54:11,460 --> 00:54:15,140 Putin's planes were not only bombing terrorists. 705 00:54:15,140 --> 00:54:18,180 Civilians were also being hit. 706 00:54:18,180 --> 00:54:20,300 EXPLOSION 707 00:54:20,300 --> 00:54:23,540 Nowhere was this more evident than the opposition-controlled 708 00:54:23,540 --> 00:54:25,500 city of Aleppo. 709 00:54:26,860 --> 00:54:29,820 What was going on in Aleppo was truly shocking. 710 00:54:31,540 --> 00:54:35,430 We had evidence of strikes on hospitals which had been 711 00:54:35,430 --> 00:54:39,900 partially destroyed, and then Russian aircraft going 712 00:54:39,900 --> 00:54:42,780 back for a second strike on the same targets. 713 00:54:46,460 --> 00:54:50,260 So I had this conversation with Sergey Lavrov. 714 00:54:50,260 --> 00:54:54,140 "Sergey, you are not attacking Isis. 715 00:54:55,460 --> 00:54:58,180 "You're attacking schools, hospitals." 716 00:54:59,380 --> 00:55:02,580 The Lavrov response was just flat denial. 717 00:55:02,580 --> 00:55:04,670 "We're attacking Isis targets." 718 00:55:04,670 --> 00:55:07,300 He would demand evidence, and when you presented him 719 00:55:07,300 --> 00:55:11,660 evidence, he would deny it. "It's just bogus, made-up." 720 00:55:11,660 --> 00:55:15,300 Lavrov's a bully and a physical intimidator. 721 00:55:15,300 --> 00:55:19,100 He gets up close to you, he's a very big man and he'll just repeat 722 00:55:19,100 --> 00:55:24,700 his position and snarl at you that this is the case and you're wrong. 723 00:55:24,700 --> 00:55:26,580 SHOUTING 724 00:55:28,830 --> 00:55:30,720 SIRENS BLARE 725 00:56:01,020 --> 00:56:05,430 The French President and German Chancellor confronted Putin. 726 00:56:25,180 --> 00:56:29,180 Putin was very clear, very sober, very brutal, 727 00:56:29,180 --> 00:56:34,790 saying, "When you look at Aleppo, there are a number of Chechen 728 00:56:34,790 --> 00:56:40,430 "fighters, and I don't want these Chechen fighters to return to 729 00:56:40,430 --> 00:56:43,940 "Chechnya, to my country, to destabilise Russia. 730 00:56:43,940 --> 00:56:47,300 "And therefore, I'm ready to bomb all of Aleppo to make 731 00:56:47,300 --> 00:56:49,580 "sure that these people don't survive." 732 00:57:11,700 --> 00:57:15,430 What the Russian president said was enormous... 733 00:57:16,900 --> 00:57:19,500 ..not only in its brutality, 734 00:57:19,500 --> 00:57:24,220 also because he went ahead bombing and destroying Aleppo. 735 00:57:24,220 --> 00:57:28,820 And we see it several years later now in Ukraine. 736 00:57:32,860 --> 00:57:37,180 Two years after he first ordered air strikes in Syria, 737 00:57:37,180 --> 00:57:39,750 Putin was ready to declare victory. 738 00:58:09,790 --> 00:58:14,950 Putin, who had long-railed against intervening on foreign soil, 739 00:58:14,950 --> 00:58:17,460 had done just that. 740 00:58:17,460 --> 00:58:22,140 He'd beaten the West at its own game and kept his man in power. 741 00:58:24,630 --> 00:58:27,200 Russia was back with a vengeance. 742 00:58:28,620 --> 00:58:33,220 Obama's red line in Syria had been effectively ignored, 743 00:58:33,220 --> 00:58:35,310 and we hadn't responded. 744 00:58:35,310 --> 00:58:38,500 Putin will have taken a very clear lesson from that. 745 00:58:38,500 --> 00:58:40,830 And I think many of us felt privately 746 00:58:40,830 --> 00:58:42,700 that he'd pulled a blinder. 747 00:58:45,140 --> 00:58:48,340 Next time, Putin ramps up his aggression... 748 00:58:49,620 --> 00:58:53,460 ..as the West faces its greatest test in decades. 749 00:58:53,460 --> 00:58:58,880 The issue for Putin was his project to rebuild the Soviet Empire. 65460

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