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In this lesson we're going to be talking about short term perspective, a new york session bread and butter model, sophia. Have that long-term perspective, that intermediate term perspective, right, and now it's time to dive in to an actual entry model.
So short term perspective, let's think back to the previous lessons. Right, that long term perspective, the why price should go to a specific level. We know how to do that right now. Then we had that intermediate term perspective- right, how price will get to lisp.
A civic little. And now we're going to be talking about that short term perspective, which will be our entry for our execution and the treat.
So obviously we're going to talk about a specific time window, which is going to be at eight a m e s t, two twelve p m e s d, and this is the kill zone for this model, and we've got to do a little shout out to the currency merchant for the logic behind this time window. So thank you, the currency merchant, the new.
York's session between eighth and twelfth is the bread and butter time window of the daily rich. It's the sweet spot in the daily kendall's power of three right that open, high, low, close for a bearish candle. Or the open, low, high, close for a bullish candle.
Between eight and twelve. Price only does two things. We either have a continuation pattern or a reversal pattern. So eight a m e st. Two twelve p m eesti is our kill zone now at nine a m and then thirty a m e st usually do.
That is the sweet spot in the kill zone for reversal days, for the reversal pattern. So we'll outline this in the charts coming up and we'll see how that is formed.
And then we have then a m to eleven thirty a m- this is when london was a extremely large range- or we have a red folder at ten am.
Now continuation days. In a new york continuation we want to have seen lawman go below or above midnight opening price to accumulate for the daily range rate. So smart money accumulates. Sell orders above this new york midnight opening price rate to cook continue down, lower it during the day and vice versa will accumulate.
The long orders below that new york midnight opening price to go for an expansion higher. So at eight a m we delineate a vertical line and when we look left, for failure swings right. Remember back into the core concepts we've got those lr alarm signatures: low resistance, liquidity runs right. Fill your sway.
Things: equal highs, equal lows, trendline and all that kind of stuff. The only two options for framing a trade between eighth and twelfth are premium or discount array, retracement or stop hans. So on reversal days, if we are bullish, we want to buy below the opening price at midnight, right, and if we are bearish.
Will wanna sell above the midnight opening price. So at eight a m we delineate a vertical line and then we look left for those failure swings, right, those elara lar signatures that we think back about. Core concepts, right, failure swings, engineered liquidity, equal highs, equal lows, trendline phantom and all that kind of stuff.
Now, what are we targeting? we're going to be targeting previous daily high or low. Right the easiest draw: liquidity asia high or low or lumen high or low.
The only two options for framing it's rate between eight and twelve are premium and and or discount array, retracement or a stop hunt. So now we also need to know when to avoid new york session, right? so when do you, when do we want to avoid the new york session, when london is an extremely large range, and why do we avoid it?
Because most of the time the daily range has expanded already and new york session then tends to consolidate or accumulate or go into a speed like a short term. She can destroy profile right. There's no juice anymore in the market and targets have been hit already. Also, when we have a red folder later in the afternoon, like
F? o m c. Most of the time dataset two p m e, st, right, and then the day before news events such as nfp or p i.
Or, as we've got a crude depiction for our short term perspective, bread and butter model. Right, remember, time is very important, so we're going to be looking for that setup in new york hill's one eight a m to twelve p m, right for that continuation or reversal. Nowhere we've got a continuation pattern and basics.
Really what you're looking for is a premium and discount levels, so you draw out your range, right, you're looking. If you're looking for shorts, you are looking for a premium, murray, obviously. So that could be a one hour or a fifteen minute. Be wife and you can see drawn. Liquidity over here is lower and we wait for our price eg.
Option to go into that premium rate and in that specific time zone. That is very important right now. Looking for liquidity- very important- we look for those of failure swings right. We can see those failure swings down here, not a failure swing down here, and then that swat pony reversal happening in r? p? away. That's what we wait for and then settle.
Up will form in our sweet spot from eight am to twelve pm.
Now what is option two in the continuation? so eater hit a higher timeframe premium or discount array right, or we look for that stop haunt and then continuation lower into our drawn liquidity. So basically we go back to that sweet spot right eight m to twelve p m e st.
We see structure breaking down. Again, looking for liquidity, we see those failure swings. Right, we want to have that low hanging fruit, that easy target. So when we breakdown we have a clear draw on liquidity and continue down into those lows- right, we have to stop and on the one hour or a fifteen minute ride. So we know we think back about.
Bout order. Bearing right on the core concepts, we order pair down up here and then we continue down lower breaking structure and then we have that continuation between that eight a m and twelve p m time window.
Right, let's talk about that. Refers will bertrand. Now this looks like a market maker by model right. We have that or original consolidation over here and also we always draw out our mutual midnight opening price right because we want to be a buyer below this. This timeline rated new york midnight opening.
Rice and we want to be a seller above it. So with a market maker by model, we identified that original consolidation. We've got one also does equal highest rates or failure swings up here. So we have a clear draw on liquidity for this one. And then we wait for the discount array to happen and that specific time zone. So eight a m to.
Twelve p m. This is where the refers who can occur. So over here we hit that or array. Right, the discount array, we break structure up inside the kill zone and then we're going to be looking for our setup. So same structure over here again, right. Only one difference: it's the time window is extended to the right a little bit further. Right because
Then in late lama we hit the discount rate instead of the new york kills one timeframe. Now this is fine because we can still catch an entry, because we wait for that specific time window. Right, we know, break of structure and a discount array has happened already, so that sweet spot should be hit within our kill zone. And then we
Still have to market, maker by model, which we can complete rights over here. We've got a euro, use the fifteen minute chart. Now, what do we want to do first? right, we want to delineate our new york midnight line. Right, we've got that on the charts. Until twelve p m? e? s? t. Right, the end of the new.
Or kill zone. So what do we want to do at first? we want to draw out our new york opening price lane right because we want to be sellers above and buyers be loaded.
Right. We've got that line outlined over here so we can see price is starting to accumulate above this new york midnight opening price. Why is he doing that? because smart money wants to accumulate their short orders right to continue down during the day. Now let's think about what time zone does is.
Opening right.
We got london open killzone right to a m to five am and think about london. London almost always create high or low of the day, unless we hit a hard time frame for your way where we can have a reversal rate during new obsession but accumulating short orders above that. Newark midnight open price.
Over here and then think about order bearing right when from the core concepts we've got that order bearing above those by stops, and then they drive price down lower during the moment kills one to break instruction or lower, and then for us we wait for that split specific timeframe right at eight a m to twelve p m st for at new york.
Kill zone.
So outlining a vertical line from eight a m, and then, from this point on, we're going to be looking for low resistance liquidity, right, and or we're gonna wait for that higher timeframe or it's premium discount rate to be hit, or we wait for that stop on the right. So two things: we hit a premium or do.
Discount array and then continue our way down, or we're going to wait for the stop want.
Now do we have news right when you can see, always keep an eye on that economic calendar- we've got ten a m consumer sentiment, so highly likely what we just talked about. Right, you want to have that ten a m to eleven thirty a m as your sweet-spot for looking for a setup. If we don't have high impact news at then we can do it from.
Already.
So in our specific timeframe over here, we wait for either a stop hunt or a premium retracement, right. So what happens over here? we've got that ten a m news right, price drives up and thus a fifteen minute stop hunt and after that we can look for our set operate. So this time we hit a stop. We did a stop hunt instead of a premium route.
Placement and can we can also went in back into this. Fulfill you get right as a premium array. So from the fifteen minute chart we dive into that one minute chart. Right, we've got that fifteen minutes. Stop on and again think about order bearing right there by stops are paired up with their sell orders, so price drives lower and lower and lower.
And from this point out we want to see all bullish candles being support for lower prices. Right, because that bearish order block formed after we ran liquidity and then when we're going into a cell program and conceited over here is offering support lower, and then every up-close skins set of applause, kendall.
Should be supporting a price lower. Concede here over again. Right, and just keep outlining this on your chart, and this is every time you can pyramid an entry on these types of candles, right? so we know the cell program is activated. We are in the sweet spot right at a eight.
A m to twelve p m e st. Now, high impact news has occurred. We already had that stop and so if you were to enter on this first order book, stop-loss will be above this high right. To stop, haunt and think a bit, think back about that market structure. Two right: we've got that intermediate term high formed, which should.
Be protected and not get traded back into again. So this is a good area where you can place your stop-loss. Now price comes back into it again, turns down lower. We have another parish orderbook formed over here. Price goes in, it trades down lower. We got another bearish orderbook formed, and this will continue.
New, on and on and on until we hit our drawn liquidity. Right outlining a few more bearish orderbook up here, then price drives lower on auto bears, orderbook preserved, lower, another bearish orderbook and just keep outlining those foolish candles. Right, right, we've got a you as the dollar sway.
His frank five minute chart over here. And in the previous example we talked about that stop on the right and then continuation into our price action. Now we're going to talk about that discount or premium or rate that will hit and then a continuation in our kill zone, right. So two scenarios recovered at stop and now we're going to talk about the prima.
Im or discount every so, as always, draw your vertical line right at twelve am st until the end of her kill zone, which is twelve p m e st. We've got our daily opening line right. New york midnight of here and again, think about it right. New york session is our kill zone eight to twelve p m e st. But
We have one advantage when we trade this time zone rights, because we already know what the london session has done. So lonely kills one. We trade lower grading low of the day over here starting to break structure upwards and we've got that elara, large signatures above here right, so we see clear targets for longer kills one to go up.
And hence we create low of the day. So we already have this information. London opened grading low of the day. Now we look for our sweet spot right: eight a m to twelve p m e st continuation pattern: right. So earlier we talked about it. Stop and what. We cannot see a stop on the riding over here, but we can use disk.
Counter raise right. So, first of all, where is our liquidity?
We need to know are drawn liquidity before we find our and three sat upright. So we see this lr lr signature appear rights does failure swings up here and this is what we want to see. If we are bullish right, we want to see low resistance liquidity, so we want a high resistance liquidity to run, as opposed to our bias rights.
So over here, where do we have a discount array?
We've got this low until this high. Right, this is our dealing range. Why is this the low of her dealing range right? this low takes out this low of air. That is a high resistance liquidity run right and then this high stakes are this high. So that's how you define your dealing range: rate discount into premium and then we have that.
Failure swings above there. Now we're looking for a discount for value, gip or a discount orderbook. We get one of here and in the process that we move up from this discount for really good, we can form a what a bullish orderbook, also over here. Right, so outline your pt race. So we got at bullish order block over here, supporting price.
Go higher and there's still an opportunity to get in next rate.
Because we still form a breaker up here and that is a second opportunity. It is still in sight our kills one, right so important. If it's still in our kills one, we can still look for setups, unless we already cleared, are drawn liquidity and in this case we still looked for higher prices. So
Until he was still possible. So we just talked about those continuation patterns. Right, first of all, we have a stop on a. Second of all, we can look for a discount array. Now let's talk about referral patterns. Right, so we have continuation pattern and now we're going to talk about that refers- better, so again, two things you can have. You have to stop and write.
And then we have a discount or premium array where we can base our trait idea from. So over here we've got our discount and premium levels right from this high down to this low. Again, we take out this low, right, so this is the low from our dealing range. And then we take out this high over here and then we have her whole dealing rage. Now we dropped down back into
Discount off this whole range and notice what happens down here.
We've got that one hour stop haunt in discount of this hourly range right, so this makes sense. Scenario number one: again stop hunt and i will dive in to a lower timeframe to see if we can frame our setups in our specific timeframe right at eight a m to twelve p m e st timeframe.
So have your five minute time frame rates. As always, we see where have we had a stop on on the one hour. We had the one down here, right. So we know auto bearing happened over here and it's likely to reverse. Draw out your daily opening price line right. New york, methane. As always, we want to be a buyer below this law.
Nine and a seller above deadline. So, with london's session slowly trading lower and lower, still accumulating, and notice where the liquidity is resting right, we've got it equalize up here. We got this equal height up here, so we have a nice draw on liquidity to go for a bullish reversal now, after that stop. And what are we looking?
For our specific timeframe, right eight a m to twelve p m e st.
Outlining those buy side liquidity once again over london highs and asian highs. Right we target eater previous daily high or previous daily low oregon unto those lonely eyes, or on london lows or asia highs or asia lows.
Vertical line on r eight a m to twelve p m times one right. That sweet spot for the bread and butter setup. Now again, our leet. Stop hans down here right, and then we continue up higher. They'll think about. We talked about time earlier, right? what is the sweet spot for a referral?
That nine a m to ten thirty a m is the sweet spot for those reversal days. He can clearly see over here also. We start that reversal with a stop on the right on the dot or nine a m, and then in this timeframe, nine am to ten thirty am, we can spot r and three model.
Roger, discount a race over here, right? so we've got this nice bullish orderbook formed. After that stop and so on, high probability orderbook has been formed over here. We're inside the sweetspot. He displays up higher. So we're leaving behind a fair value gap. This entry number one, right?
Then another displacement and not of her value gap and in the process recreating a orderbook hair to soap. We can see this: highs over here are relatively equal. Rights is is a failure swing, so a low resistance liquidity run up here.
Right. So with this bullish orderbook being formed, there was still an opportunity to get in, because we did not take out this high, nor did we take out this high rate, and then eventually, our longer target was up here. So this bullish order book was another opportunity to get in and, in the process of taking out this high reform, another bullish order block. And that his act.
Only the third and three you could find to continue up higher into the asian session highs. So small little recap rate: one hour stop and we went through the one hour charts and then we look for that specific timeframe. Then we wait for a break of structure and those bearish erase to get disrespected and the bullish erase to get respected.
And we can clearly see that overdid bullish orderbook, bullish orderbook, bullish orderbook, and will keep continuing up until we liquidate all those. Session highest rate: longer session. I am asian session high, so over here we've got a euro. You as the five minute chart. Right, it's naked. Right, we're going to add some lipstick later, but always, we started with a new york middle.
Night opening line. Just keep repeating that over and over again, always draw that out and then andover. New york session kills one right twelve p m st.
Draw out your new york midnight opening price. Twelve am eesti. You can see london slowly, slowly accumulates below market price over here, right below the daily opening line, and then we continue up higher, taking out those relative equal highs at the start of the true day. Open where the algorithm algorithm starts it's day.
And then we're talking about reversal patterns today, right, so that eight a m to twelve p m, sweet-spot, our kill zone, and we're going to be talking about what happens over here. So what do we want? to be targeting rights? we're always looking for those failure swings, those engineered lows, those engineer to liquidity highs, and
The dissertation. We're looking for a bearish reversal. Do during new york session to recover. Going to be looking for failure swings on the low side and we can clearly see we've got some failure swings down here. We've got some failure swings down here and eventually we targets again, please. Daily highs are low, london session highs or lows. Or asia session highs are low.
Ok, so we're going to be talking that london session lows and then we have more liquidity inside his range too, so it's setting up to be quite a nice reversal now, outlined at eight a m to twelve p m right our kill zone, and a reversal should happen inside the skills one, and time is very, very important we're not going to look for.
Were settled before eight am. Eight am and we're not going to look for a setup after twelve pm. Again, remember the sweet spot for reversal days rate nine a m to ten thirty am, unless there is a high impact news event. Right that it. If there's a news event at ten a m, we don't look for this reversal at nine or ten thirty. We will.
For news to pass and then we look for that setup at ten a m to twelve p m, but right now we have no high impact news and we're looking for a premium array. Right though, we discussed a stop on earlier and now we're gonna discuss this premium array and trading lower, so can see a break of structure above daily opening.
Right, we are above daily opening price. We are in the kill zone nine a m- sweet spot for the reversal day. And then we can see break of structure down. Here was he in the process of breaking down? we see this bearish or block being formed and a little for billy get down here, also being utilized as support for price to go lower.
Or, and then in the process here we form another bearish orderbook and price, are so very willing to trade lower and you could see this displacement is:
Pretty significant right, and we go straight for these loaves down here which we identified earlier right, and eventually we take out those london session lows, which is the draw, liquidity, and this is just a perfect setup for the nine a m to ten thirty am refers all day. So we're going to be talking about how to treat high impact news releases, right. So three.
Reading the news events and knowing when to get in- prior or post the news even is crucial. So the understanding of news and the volatility injection is derived from understanding order bearing and we went over order bearing in the core concepts right. So in a bullish scenario, if we are bullish and the market has taken significant sell stops prior to death,
News session, then the news will immediately move in one direction, higher, to pair two orders with the existing buy-side liquidity. Those biceps right engineered prior to the session. And if we are bullish and the market is yet to take significant sell stops prior to the news event, then a news event will have a fake move. Then the gold at a judas swing.
Rights to rondo sell stops in the marketplace in the form of external range liquidity low or external or internal range low, accumulating the necessary sell stops to then reverse the markets taking it higher to pair those orders with existing buy side liquidity. Those buys stops resting at the marketplace at
That time.
Now in a bearish scenario. If we are bearish in first rate and the market has taken a significance by stops prior to those new session, then the news will immediately move in one direction, lower, to pair the artists with existing sell side liquidity though sell stops engineered prior to the session.
If we are bearish and the market is yet to take significant by slopes prior to the news event, then the news event will have a fake move, right that judas wing once again to run those by stops in the marketplace in the form of an external range high or an internal range high and then accumulating the necessary cell stops to then reverse the market taking it.
Lower to pair those orders with his existing sell side. Liquidity, though sell stops again resting in the marketplace at that time.
So order- appearing at a news event. There are three scenarios we can look at. We have that continuation, we have that judas and then continuation, or we have a complete reversal. So we have a judas reversal.
It's over here. We've got a schematic of that continuation scenario. Right, we've got our premium and discount levels going over here, looking where the liquidity is resting right, we've got this engineered liquidity over here. Failure swings, more failure swings, and we're forming a market maker by model in this scenario- right.
So sell stops have been liquidated over here and down there. Smart money reversal down here and- and let's look, when is the news even right? we've got at eight, thirty or ten a m news folder and then we look for det sell stops get rated prior to the news. If yes, then it's highly likely.
The news will just go one direction and shoot upright and conceited over here. We already ran significant sell stops before the news release and we have engineered liquidity above market price right. So it's highly likely price will just continue up and take those buy stops and not go down once again. So this is a continuation scenario.
So, with the newest event coming up at eight, thirty or ten a m, right at red folder, they want to bear up their cell stops with the buy stops from willing buyers above market price- and we can see that over here, over here, because those were does failure swings, right over here also those filler swings. And remember, although sell stops have been licked,
Updated already, right. So price has no business to go down any more and we're gonna look photos by stops to pair up the cell stops.
Now this is at ten a m scenario, right, let's say, at eight thirty a m, we did not ran significant cell stops yet what will happen? first, right, we get that judas, and then continuation scenario. So first of all, we talked about that continuation scenario, right, thus, significant cells of
Have been taken yet he? if yes, then we have a one sided direction with the news release. But at eight thirty and there are still sell stops to behalf, then we can look photocell stops over. There will be a fake move, coming up with a news release and wiggled at the duty swing right. So, with eight thirty, having a jew to swing, taking outsell slopes, and then it's ready to continue up for
Photos by stops.
Same over here, only emperor's right sl scenario. We've got this continuation pattern over here. And then we see our discount level here are premium level up here, and then we are going to spot liquidity first right, where are the failure swings? where are the equal highs or lows? where are the trend line phantoms?
We can see those are formed here. So we have a basket or a liquidity pool of cell stops down here for order bearing and then
We have those biceps rated over here and over here and then we reversing before news events or we already liquidated those by stops before the newest event, right, so highly likely we're going to see a continuation lower one sided. So this is again scenario one: continuation because we already have liquidity taken prior to the
News event.
Now for the bearish scenario. Let's say eight thirty a m is high impact news and we did not rate some significant by slopes right. So what is most likely to happen? we can get a judas and then a continuation rate. So we have over here a judas swing with the eight thirty news or event, and then we get a reversal. So we have
Judas reversal over here. Right, so we're going down, we're going up from this eight thirty news event reversing down, taking all the buys loops, and then we continue our way down into the real area where we want to go, which is that liquidity pool of cells stops down here.
Right over here. We've got a e mini, nes, their cornered futures chart right and think about the core concepts again. Rights were dipping into a, into an orange liquidity pool over here, which is a daily fair value gap. So, after internal range, liquidity has been tech, where do we want to go right? we want to go to external range, so we're looking from it.
Internal to external. So that step number one: now we're thinking about timeframe alignment to write, were looking for a daily external range, so we went into a daily internal range and i want to go to a daily external range. And what do we use with our timeframe alignment daily structure? and then we go into a one hour timeframe, right, so one.
Here we've got that one hour timeframe right outlined below down. Here we've got that daily fervor. He gave right that internal range liquidity.
Next up. We're gonna spot our engineered liquidity or failure swings right. We've got a bunch of failure swings up here, so there's a lot of liquidity here. Right for the buy site.
We've got cell stops down here, we've got cell stops down here and here and here, and these cell slopes all got rated prior to the news release, right, because when a zoom in a little bit more later, but this all happens before that news release has happened and we hit that higher timeframe, poi, right, so let's go to the next one.
One which is a five minute chart. So again, timeframe, a layman, right. We go from a daily pt array into a one hour structure and then consuming, from a one hour into a five minute, and then we have an even more clear picture to get in on a trait, right? so prior to the news release, we've got this cp. I overhear, right.
High, high impact news. But what happens before that news impact? right, we already took out cell stops here, though sell stops down here, and then does sell stops down here, and then, more importantly, we hit the discount or re-write internal range on the daily. Now we want to look for that external range on a daily, and with all these, by stops being engineered,
To that news release. It's highly, highly likely we have one sided continuation with news release rights or so, like this you can anticipate price action to go one sided, or that we have a duty swing before that news release happens. Now i do not advise trading cp i because you can.
Slipped very heart. So this is just an example and again i don't advise trading sepia.
We've got those biceps up here for order bearing, which makes sense, right. There's no order bearing any more down here because we already took out those sell stops prior to the news event and oldest engineered liquidity has been taken out with that news release right over here. We've got a crude depiction of market structure, right. So what does her i go?
Two: first, right, we're looking for low resistance liquidity and we're going to look for old highs or lows which are being ran before the news release, right? so let's see where is the liquidity. We've got this very clean trend line on your. I should immediately go there, right? this is all the low resistance liquidity being formed.
Prior to the news release. Now, after this has been formed, what did we do after? right by stops have been liquidated right, so now we're going to see at what time is the news release. Was this news release before we took out these biceps or after? right, if we have news release after we take out those biased stops.
It's highly likely again to be continuation right a one sided direction with news release, because order bearing already happened up here, so their price has no business to go down, and with massive engineered liquidity down here, so it's highly likely pr news will push price down and then liquidate all that low resistance liquidity now if
We have a dirty news before: death by stops have been liquidated. Right, then is highly likely we're going to get a fake move first and then a continuation after. So think about it, right, is liquidity being liquidated or our biceps or celsius stops being liquidated after or before, before that newest release, and then we can.
Think about: is it's more likely we have a continuation, or is it more likely we are going to get a fake move first and then a continuation?
So how does that look like on a british pound- us dollar charge rate? we've got the daily chart over here and again: external range liquidity right over here. So what is more likely to happen? after we take external, we want to go to internal right. We have some internal range liquidity down here pushing price lower and lower, lower.
We've got now a failure swing right and then the displacement happened down here. So we've got internal range liquidity on the on the daily. And now let's zoom in a little bit more glad we got that one hour chart right. Now we're in a higher timeframe, pie away right. So this daily fair value gip is our area where it's highly likely.
That price will move down further. Right, continuation. Now let's look at where is a news event. We have at nine, forty five a m red folder up here and then we have to decide where has liquidity been taken already and what is more likely to happen. Are we gonna have a continuation lower with news or are we gonna run by?
Stops first. So if you're, i went through this high over here. That is very nice because then we have an external range liquidity rate right. So we have a fake move first taking out those by slopes, because those biceps have not been taken out prior to the news release, can see that fake move up and then a continuation down lower, completing that.
The market maker sell model essentially down here and think about were coming from a higher timeframe- daily fulfill- you get right. And if you think about a daily timeframe again, we already had those buy stops ran an external range and then displacing their lower. So this is the highest probable pt array to go down from. So
Those biceps have been liquidated and and if we dive into the one minute timeframe, we can see even a more clear picture, right? so think about that hide. It got liquidated on the one hour, right? it's also still inside a one hour for value gap. We can see price action goes up above it and then we breaking structured down.
Around here a nkosi does. First, premium array is being respected, right, we have this breaker and then this fair value gap. Here price breaks down even further and then starts to accumulate before the news release. So we've got b? am i right at nine forty five can see this little fulfill. You get here offering resistance for price and again we already.
He ran those biceps right. So order bearing happened already above market price. Now we're going to look for order pairing below market price, which are ds sell stops for order bearing into biceps. And then where's the liquidity? right, we've got this failure swings right. So engineered liquidity trendline phantom. So it's highly likely price action.
I'll go just continue down with the news release, because we're already ran by stops before the news, right? so over here, we've got an execution picture, right, those execution. There's a lot more execution, but we're going to focus on this piece over here. Right, we just looked at the one hour chart and we got that high over here which is this high which get ren, right? so?
Those biceps got run and you can actually see a cell execution just prior to the news release over here has been activated and then going for those cell stops right. So this is a perfect scenario where you are aware that by stops have already been ran and it is highly likely this high impact news release will just draw price and he can cause.
Merely see here said cell execution into those cell stops for order bearing and close down here. So perfect rate silver. We've got a new zealand dollar, us dollar daily chart right. As always, we're going to look at the media race. Where are we in, premium or discount? and what is more likely to happen, are we going to trade lower or higher? so we are sp.
Putting some filler swings down here, right, and it looks like we're going to go bearish, because we are respecting the daily for value villegas up here, and we're respecting this new daily orderbook, right, so zooming in again. Timeframe alignment: right, we go from a daily pt array into a one hour structure, so we're looking at this one out.
Our structure over here.
Price goes into the daily order, bloke respects it, pushes down lower, leaving equal lows down here, right, and then we see this little swing high over here. So when we're talking about two news events, right, let's say you have high impact news event at eight thirty a m and then you have another.
High impact news at ten a m and you seat at eight thirty a m news event runs by stops and then continues to decline and you can anticipate that next news event to continue his way down because we already remember took out those biceps right. So the first news event, we took all those biceps and the second
Beautiful. It's highly likely we're going to have a continuation so you can actually position yourself after that first news event into the second one, and it will show you some executions later. So over here we've got at a dirty news right by. Stops have been ren. You wait for the news release to br, for price action to show ascent what it wants.
Do. Do we run significant biceps? yes, we do. Right, we took out his biceps and then started to decline with displacement and then then a m. We've got that news event down here, so it's highly likely this forever you get prior to the news event will stay respected and then continue down, and it looks something like this:
Rights bearish order block being respected. Think about all those up-close scandals. Right, they suit support price lower once it is in a cell program. So that happens over here.
Bearish orderbook prize rejected. Another bearish or republic browser rejects it. Another bearish or the block, and that is prior to that news. Event rate we displayed lower and then you have to purple ukip down there and this is what it looks like with execution right, we see this. Biceps have been ran over here.
Price drops lower, lower, lower, lower. This is prior to the news event. So, if you have that knowledge, is there already bias of ren and is it more likely to we have a continuation with news or a rehearsal or a jew to swing and in dislocation we know biceps have been ran already, right, and then this is not easy.
When risky. This is just logical thinking and we can see this drop down here: executing, taking a partial and and eventually closing down at this low perfect rates once again.
Right, we've got a british pounds- us dollar monthly charge rights over looking for that monthly drawn liquidity, which was that internal range liquidity here. Right.
We're going to be talking about that news reversal right now. So now, earlier we talked about that continuation and that the judah swing into configuration right, and now we're going to talk about the neutral release. And now we're going to talk about that news release that will be a full blown reversal: rights or monthly drawn liquidity that fervently gip us.
Go into a lower timeframe. We've got the daily chart right now and what is price action doing where? supporting over here right, and then nfp release is on this day. So our draw liquidity is that monthly for failure. Remember that, go back one more slight. We are aiming for this day a monthly fair value gap. There is a date.
The orderbook supporting price prior to that nfp release right at the high impact news release.
And then we zoom in into the fifty minute timeframe, so over here. So where is the market at? prior to that? and have been user is right: it is in premiums when we are bullish, so as likely to reverse. Right. Then there are failure swings below us to right. We've got his failure swings down here.
Right. And then it fell to routes run significant sell stops prior to the news release, right. So it's highly likely we can see a reversal from that news release. So market will seek, discount and sell stops at the release before reversing and baring yourself stops up with engineered by stops above marketplace.
Our nfp news- kendall is over here right and we can see it drops straight back down, taking out all those failure swings right, and then a full blown reversal will happen because we're hit that higher timeframe p away. And then finally we take out those cell stops right because, remember, if we didn't take out any significant cell stops is highly likely it will riff.
Verse afterwards and take those cell stops.
So at nfp release. The market is in a premium when we are bullish, so what is more likely that it will do so? if it's in premiums, more likely to drop back into discount. With their news release, right, but there has to be failure. Swings below us, which is the case in the previous chart rate, and then it failed to run those significant sell stops prior to that news.
Release. So the market will seek, discount and sell stops at the release before reversing and then pairing those cell stops up with those engineered by stops above marketplace.
Over here. We have some more lipstick on the chart right. We've got that discount into premium range right before the news release. Where is market price at right? where india's discount levels rights goes to neutralise is over here and we are still in this premium area. So it's more likely to draw lower order, any significant sell stops being
Taken yet. No, they're not right because we've got all these failure swings down here. Failure swing here, so it's highly likely nfp will continue down into those cell stops before reversing.
So now we accumulated those significant cell stops, right, we have order pairing below it after that nfp release, dropping down into the daily discount orderbook and then over here we can see order pairing happening and then continuation up. So how does that look like on a lower timeframe, and can we even traders? and is there
The opportunity to get in, to go for those.
To go for that montly drawn liquidity right at monthly febrile yep.
Yes, we do. We have some pie stops over here right for order bearing. So there are engineered biceps up here and engineered by subs up here and eventually above here, right that monthly february gift, which is the draw, liquidity dropping into the five minute timeframe. We see those by stops for or repairing our present. We hit that.
The discount array, that daily order blog, right after that nfp release- and remember we took, although significant sell slopes, right. So over here we're starting to break structure upwards and then, from there on out, you want to see all those discount arrays being respected again, right, so we have that fair value gap over here, the bodies of the candles are respecting this.
Fair value gap and you can actually see it pushes up further and further and further and then leaving this mitigation block up here and then price find support over here on that mitigation block continuing up higher and, if you can spot it, we've got that nupedia re-write that redelivery rebalanced gamble here. So this area of here doesn't go.
Go into this for value, give any more. Right. We know now why is this a breakaway gap? right, because there's a balanced price range over here already, as you can see. Price continues up, higher and higher and higher, and then dipping one more time in the tourist privilege to continue up, taking out all those buys. Stops for aura bearing.
Outlining that order block overhear rights where price action can go up from further. We've got that breaker block, or actually a mitigation block over here where price find support.
Another mitigation block up here writes: but a fulfill egypt. So we have coupled up the speedier race with each other highly likely to reject and then continue with its way up.
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