All language subtitles for 12-12-2023cfgchfgeee

In the area of Avdiivka in recent days there is an
interesting phenomenon, namely, in most directions

of attack the enemy is actively using infantry
from the 1st Army Corps, the so-called "DPR",

with limited involvement of armored vehicles. In
turn, regular troops, which are in the majority in

the Avdiivka area and are much more capable,
are not so often involved in the fighting.

Given the known potential that the enemy has
gathered over the past month near Avdiivka,

what does all this tell us? There
is a thorough regrouping and

re-staffing of units after the insane and
self-destructive waves of the offensive.

Accordingly, the third wave of the offensive,
which is much more powerful than the previous

two, may take place before the end of
December, within the next week or two.

This is quite logical, given the well-known
deadlines for the capture of Avdiivka set

by the Russian command, namely,
the first - before the New Year,

the second - before the illusion
of holding presidential elections.

In this connection, the excessive activation of
the Russians along the entire eastern front line

also draws attention to itself. Lyman-Kupiansk
axis, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Marinka, as well as, more

than sure, in the near future will begin increased
activation of the enemy in the area of Vuhledar.

In a sense, all this activation
does not have any global tactical,

much less strategic, meaning. The meaning of this
bloody performance is the realization of plan "B",

in case the occupation of Avdiivka
fails before the elections in Russia.

The fact is that the command of Russian troops
in case of failure of the occupation of Avdiivka

before the deadline, for failure to fulfill which
heads may fly, decided to try their luck in other

directions as a backup. Suddenly it will be
possible to capture Marinka or Vuhledar, to

return Klishchiivka or Andriivka under control? It
is also possible to give hope to capture Kupiansk,

and from there to Kharkiv is within easy reach!
How is this not an alternative to Avdiivka?

That is, instead of saving forces, due
to high losses in the Avdiivka area,

the Russian command has chosen the
option of dispersal and spending

resources wherever they see
a prospect to grab something.

In general, this is a depletion of their
resources, dispersal over a very wide front,

without any definite result, but the main thing
is not even that. The main thing is that they

themselves do not believe that they will be
able in the short term to occupy a small town,

at which the enemy has concentrated several
general armies and more than 40 thousand manpower.

For 2 months already, the Russian "blitzkrieg"
in Avdiivka, which the occupants wanted to

capture in 3 weeks, has been going on. And
in fact they have passed less than 6 km,

depending on the section, and the
prospects for time are not bright.

I'm not saying that the AFU will definitely not
leave Avdiivka, but the Russians are already

stuck here, because the Ukrainian soldiers
imposed it on them, as they did in Bakhmut.

For 2 months the enemy has not advanced
significantly, and the operational and

tactical situation has undergone minimal changes.
The enemy forces are being ground up in the meat

grinder around Stepove, Sieverne, Pervomaiske, and
the remnants of the Avdiivka Coke Plant perimeter.

But the forces and potential of the occupants
will be enough for this operation for a long time,

so in the future the battles will be
as difficult and bloody as possible.

Ukraine is paying a high price and
they need a lot of weapons, a lot!