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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,119 --> 00:00:05,620 This week, The Economist published a high-profile article with a review and vision of further 2 00:00:05,620 --> 00:00:12,059 military operations in Ukraine by the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Zaluzhnyi. 3 00:00:12,059 --> 00:00:16,270 And in this article, quite succinctly and clearly set the accents as to how the Ukrainian 4 00:00:16,270 --> 00:00:20,230 defense forces should act in the future and what caused the slowdown of the offensive 5 00:00:20,230 --> 00:00:22,279 launched this summer. 6 00:00:22,279 --> 00:00:26,670 The Russian media picked up the term "positional warfare" and began to develop it to the level 7 00:00:26,670 --> 00:00:31,070 of a deafening stalemate of the Ukrainians in the war, although the meaning was quite 8 00:00:31,070 --> 00:00:32,500 different. 9 00:00:32,500 --> 00:00:36,660 The calculation of the Ukrainian command was to inflict such losses on the enemy that would 10 00:00:36,660 --> 00:00:42,090 force them to retreat to more favorable lines, but the Russian command did otherwise. 11 00:00:42,090 --> 00:00:46,610 They began reinforcing their defensive lines and positions with personnel, which served 12 00:00:46,610 --> 00:00:48,750 as a brake element. 13 00:00:48,750 --> 00:00:52,980 The enemy had colossal losses in personnel, which should have forced the opposing side 14 00:00:52,980 --> 00:00:54,620 to retreat. 15 00:00:54,620 --> 00:00:59,239 But instead, Russia began moving its units from the Kherson region to the Zaporizhzhya 16 00:00:59,239 --> 00:01:01,350 region for reinforcement. 17 00:01:01,350 --> 00:01:05,690 The Russians' first line of defense, the supply line, was underestimated. 18 00:01:05,690 --> 00:01:10,860 It was formed according to the classical Soviet method, but the Russian command hypertrophied 19 00:01:10,860 --> 00:01:14,939 the mining of fields to an unprecedented level in history. 20 00:01:14,939 --> 00:01:19,920 There were up to 5 landmines of both anti-tank and anti-personnel types placed on one square 21 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:21,110 meter. 22 00:01:21,110 --> 00:01:26,110 No army in the world had encountered such dense mining, and even during World War II, 23 00:01:26,110 --> 00:01:29,140 there was no such extensive mining of supply routes. 24 00:01:29,140 --> 00:01:34,189 At the start of the offensive, the AFU lacked demining equipment. 25 00:01:34,189 --> 00:01:38,050 This affected the pace of advance in the first weeks of the offensive and led to the slowing 26 00:01:38,050 --> 00:01:41,350 down of processes at the initial stage. 27 00:01:41,350 --> 00:01:45,170 He also mentions the factor of dominance in airspace. 28 00:01:45,170 --> 00:01:51,090 Russia began to use corrected planning bombs, and 300 or more bombs flew to Ukrainian positions 29 00:01:51,090 --> 00:01:52,659 every day. 30 00:01:52,659 --> 00:01:56,460 The record number per day was 1,000 bombs. 31 00:01:56,460 --> 00:02:02,000 An offensive and any active operations are simply impossible under such conditions. 32 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:06,670 And it is precisely because of such difficulties that Zaluzhnyi emphasizes the problem of air 33 00:02:06,670 --> 00:02:12,220 dominance of Russian aviation before the start of deliveries of F-16 fighters to Ukraine. 34 00:02:12,220 --> 00:02:17,120 That is why the opinion about an inevitable period of positional war has arisen. 35 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:21,450 But it is not about freezing the war, but about the need to revise the overall strategy 36 00:02:21,450 --> 00:02:25,590 and prepare the offensive of the AFU at a completely different level. 37 00:02:25,590 --> 00:02:30,069 He also raises the issue of Electromagnetic warfare complexes. 38 00:02:30,069 --> 00:02:34,640 The Russian forces, while not dominating the use of drones, are much more effective in 39 00:02:34,640 --> 00:02:38,670 using their Electromagnetic warfare, which found the key to reduce the effectiveness 40 00:02:38,670 --> 00:02:44,450 of 155 mm GPS-guided Excalibur artillery shells. 41 00:02:44,450 --> 00:02:49,430 All of this leads to the fact that the war in Ukraine is increasingly resembling a positional 42 00:02:49,430 --> 00:02:50,720 one. 43 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,590 Positional warfare is a type of warfare in which the confrontation between sides occurs 44 00:02:54,590 --> 00:02:59,590 on continuous, relatively stable fronts with deeply entrenched defenses, with advances 45 00:02:59,590 --> 00:03:04,990 not measured in kilometers or tens of kilometers, but rather in tens and hundreds of meters. 46 00:03:04,990 --> 00:03:11,010 But positional warfare can both favor the enemy, accumulate reserves, and deplete them. 47 00:03:11,010 --> 00:03:14,100 And this is Zaluzhnyi's main message. 48 00:03:14,100 --> 00:03:18,739 Now it is important for the Ukrainians not so much to liberate territories as to deplete 49 00:03:18,739 --> 00:03:23,010 the enemy, while decisions are being made to qualitatively improve the army's offensive 50 00:03:23,010 --> 00:03:24,799 capabilities. 51 00:03:24,799 --> 00:03:30,450 These qualitative changes are possible already in 2024, but until then the main task of the 52 00:03:30,450 --> 00:03:33,930 Ukrainian army should be to hold the front line and create conditions that would not 53 00:03:33,930 --> 00:03:36,230 allow the Russians to build up their potential. 54 00:03:36,230 --> 00:03:42,340 Now, I have a question for you: in your estimation, how much longer do you think the war in Ukraine 55 00:03:42,340 --> 00:03:47,030 will continue if we consider its hypothetical conclusion to be the Ukrainian Armed Forces 56 00:03:47,030 --> 00:03:48,659 reaching the borders of 2013? 6030

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