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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:06,400 If we compare the current situation underĀ  Avdiivka and in the second hot spot - Kupiansk,Ā Ā  2 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:11,920 then for the Ukrainian armed forces, it'sĀ  hotter under Avdiivka right now. In Kupiansk,Ā Ā  3 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:15,480 of course, there is also seriousĀ  pressure from the Russian occupants,Ā Ā  4 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:21,160 but there are certain risk zones in Avdiivka, andĀ  these risks are much greater than in Kupiansk. 5 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:26,720 It is impossible to just take and understandĀ  Russia's tasks near Avdiivka. I do not seeĀ Ā  6 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:31,520 any expediency, let alone strategicĀ  and tactical significance. They areĀ Ā  7 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:35,240 trying to justify it somehow by sayingĀ  that by capturing Avdiivka they willĀ Ā  8 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:41,440 secure Donetsk. But Avdiivka sinceĀ  2014 was in the form in which it is. 9 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:46,800 Yes, Avdiivka is a convenient springboardĀ  for the liberation of Donetsk. But thereĀ Ā  10 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:52,240 will be no de-occupation of Donetsk in theĀ  short or even medium term. First there willĀ Ā  11 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:57,760 be liberation of the Zaporizhzhya region andĀ  the left bank of the Kherson region. I alsoĀ Ā  12 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:03,040 do not rule out that the Crimean peninsulaĀ  will be liberated earlier than Donetsk. ItĀ Ā  13 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:08,720 was not a priority task for the AFU for theĀ  enemy to decide to send such resources there.Ā Ā  14 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:13,320 And I think this is a political move.Ā  To show that they can do something else,Ā Ā  15 00:01:13,320 --> 00:01:17,000 that they are capable of doing something,Ā  that they have some definite opportunitiesĀ Ā  16 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:23,400 to attack and seize new territories. ThereĀ  was no other expediency to these actions. 17 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:27,280 We can consider now the mainland southĀ  of Ukraine as two separate bridgeheads,Ā Ā  18 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:32,520 the Zaporizhzhya region and the left-bankĀ  Kherson region. And if we are talking aboutĀ Ā  19 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:36,080 the Zaporizhzhya region, the wedge inĀ  the direction of Tokmak remains theĀ Ā  20 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:41,240 main zone of influence and advancementĀ  of the forces of liberation of Ukraine. 21 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:47,440 Yes, it seems to be going slowly. But as theĀ  Ukrainian stormtroopers rightly say, "If anyoneĀ Ā  22 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:53,960 thinks it can be done faster, welcome to ourĀ  trenches. Show us how it can be done faster." 23 00:01:53,960 --> 00:02:00,000 The fact is that Zaporizhzhya region, namely theĀ  Novoprokopivka-Verbove-Ocheretuvate triangle isĀ Ā  24 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:05,600 now maximally filled with human resources,Ā  but there is a small nuance. It consists ofĀ Ā  25 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:10,080 returning some units to the left bank of theĀ  Kherson region from the Zaporizhzhya region,Ā Ā  26 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,520 which were previously deployedĀ  there to strengthen the defense. 27 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:18,920 Why and for what purpose is all this happening?Ā  Because the Russian command has a very unclearĀ Ā  28 00:02:18,920 --> 00:02:24,640 situation on the left bank. The gray zone, whichĀ  had been forming for almost a year following theĀ Ā  29 00:02:24,640 --> 00:02:29,960 liberation of the right bank of the KhersonĀ  region, is expanding. It is impossible forĀ Ā  30 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:35,360 the Russians to stop or freeze it and they feelĀ  seriously threatened by it. That is why they areĀ Ā  31 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:41,080 forced to weaken their Zaporizhzhya bridgehead toĀ  some extent in order to strengthen the left bank. 32 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,680 On the left bank of Kherson, something happensĀ Ā  33 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:49,320 that is not worth talking about tooĀ  much. It takes silence and time... 34 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:56,480 Yes, there are small successes. Yes, there areĀ  small movements in general in that direction.Ā Ā  35 00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:01,280 But they are given at a very high cost, andĀ  then generously watered with enemy bombs,Ā Ā  36 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:08,840 missiles, artillery and fpv drones. So farĀ  there is no equipment there, only personnel. 37 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:13,200 At some point a second southern front will openĀ  there, but right now the situation is measuredĀ Ā  38 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:21,800 in minimal tactical successes. Therefore, we'llĀ  talk more later to avoid causing harm right now. 4889

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