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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:06,000 The Russian occupation forces have gone on  the offensive in many parts of the front.   2 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:10,240 It seems that Russia simply has an endless  human resource with which it can parry any   3 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:16,000 offensive by the Ukrainian defense  forces. But is this really the case? 4 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:21,400 Enemy casualties almost crossed the  300,000 mark. And the total number of   5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:28,280 "partially mobilized" through September 2023  was about 550,000 people. But is this number   6 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:32,880 sufficient and does it effectively  solve the tasks set for the enemy? 7 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:37,200 It would seem that this number fully covers  the losses, but when we talk about losses,   8 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,280 we primarily mean liquidated  and wounded, prisoners,   9 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:47,240 deserters and refuseniks. But practically no  one takes into account several existing needs. 10 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:50,640 The first need is compensation for  losses in order to restore the combat   11 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:55,800 effectiveness of units after incomparable  losses in the performance of combat tasks. 12 00:00:55,800 --> 00:01:00,680 The second need voiced by the Russian side is the  creation of new units in the rear, which in the   13 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:07,640 short term should not be sent to the combat zone.  That is, recruit people who won’t compensate. 14 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:14,520 The third need is rotational. On the battlefield,  units need to be replaced by equivalent units. 15 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:18,400 If we cover all these needs in their  entirety, Russia needs to mobilize   16 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:25,240 40,000 to 50,000 people every month, but this  is unlikely before Putin's election in 2024. 17 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:29,920 Russian troops are not as effective now as they  were at the beginning of the invasion of Ukraine,   18 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:35,080 at the beginning of the war there was an elite  with years of experience. Now most soldiers are a   19 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:41,040 mobilized reserve and their successes are limited  to localized offensives or defense. Shortages   20 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:47,560 of equipment, ammunition, and gear all affect  the survivability of poorly trained personnel. 21 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,600 Having called up more than 500,000  men, Russia could not achieve within   22 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:57,320 a year even 10% of the goals that the "elite"  grouping of 180,000 men achieved in the first   23 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:03,400 half of 2022. This is a simple and eloquent  comparison that emphasizes the importance of   24 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:09,360 a professional component in the army, as well  as regular supply and compensation for losses. 25 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:13,240 And yet, even without large-scale  achievements in the combat zone,   26 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:18,920 this resource plays an inhibiting role, slowing  down the progress of the Ukrainian Defense Forces. 27 00:02:18,920 --> 00:02:23,280 The solution to this problem is trivial and  obvious, but not easy when you are on the   28 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:28,800 offensive. As statistics has shown, their  problems begin at losses of 20 thousand or   29 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:33,800 more occupants per month, of course, in  conjunction with the technical component.   30 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:38,920 This is by far the most effective value  to exsanguinate its defense potential. 31 00:02:38,920 --> 00:02:42,880 For example, not having a sufficient  number of armored combat vehicles,   32 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:47,680 the occupants are forced to attack either by  placing troops on top of the armor of tanks,   33 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:54,080 or by using unarmored civilian transport.  And this increases the casualty rate. 34 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:57,520 As the war is prolonged by  attracting human resources,   35 00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:03,280 the situation with its technical support  worsens. And the worse this component is,   36 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:07,720 however paradoxical it may sound,  the more manpower is needed. 37 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:12,800 And here the Russian army runs into an existential  impasse, when it is impossible to provide more   38 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,960 technical components to the front, and it will  no longer be possible to compensate for its   39 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:22,640 shortage with human resources – as well as to  ensure the growing resource of this component. 40 00:03:22,640 --> 00:03:25,760 The number of Russian troops and  their mobilization potential have   41 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:32,560 always been called the advantage of Russian  troops, but they are also their weak point. 5209

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