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From the victorious headlines and the
almost "encirclement of Avdiivka" in
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Russian news channels to the pleas
for help, only 10 days have passed.
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Day 1: "We are pressing in all directions,
very hard. Pray for our guys !"
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Day 7 : "The guys in the front are sitting in
crevices, you can't lift your heads up there,
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literally. Where's our MRLS
and artillery, help us!"
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But no matter how much they ask for help, the
Avdiivka roasting of the occupants will continue.
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And now the question arises: "Will the
enemy be able to repeat the "success of
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Wagner Group" in Bakhmut in Avdiivka, will
they try to press Avdiivka to the last?
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It's too early to talk and analyze,
but you can gradually relax.
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Looking back at the assaults on Vuhledar,
Marinka, Kupiansk, and Avdiivka, it's
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important to note that they all started the same
way, with triumphant headlines from the enemy,
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then moved into a stage of denial with numerous
photos and videos showing destroyed equipment and
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eliminated invaders. Finally, they all ended
with complete silence from the enemy's side.
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All Z-channels instantly forgot about their
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soldiers as soon as they were
defeated on the battlefield.
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If the Wagnerites were not only a tough and
motivated opponent, you can't say that for the
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mobilized resources of Russia. It is especially
different in the fact that each group of Wagner's
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storm troopers went into battle to the last,
realizing that there was no turning back, because
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the convicts were not considered human beings
and no one cared how many of them would die.
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Nevertheless, mobilized and contracted resources
do value their self-preservation to some extent
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and are reluctant to go to places where three or
four platoons have already met their fate. Even
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though the command doesn't care about them either,
because they are just numbers in the reports...
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It is also worth noting that some of the
Russian commanders plan their assaults
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based not only on the Soviet textbooks, but
also on the acquired combat experience. And
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this is quite a correct tactic,
but there are not many of them.
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We see a lot of broken equipment and liquidated
occupants not because their command is stupid or
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soldiers are not motivated, but because ordinary
Ukrainian infantrymen with the support of
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artillery do everything possible and impossible
to prevent the enemy from advancing a meter.
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The Russian side has such meager and rare
successes, not because they are stupid or weak,
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but because the Ukrainian warrior fights like
a lion, for every centimeter of his land, until
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his last breath. Even indicated by the doctrine of
war, hundreds of shells and several high-explosive
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bombs dropped on the stronghold can not force
the Ukrainian soldier to leave the position.
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Now Russian propaganda is
again looking for excuses,
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saying something about incredible Ukrainian
underground bunkers 17 meters deep.
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But if Russian intelligence believes that
such fortifications are really there,
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why did they have to spend so much
effort and precious technical resources,
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realizing from the beginning that it was suicide?
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And what about the plan to seize
the entire Donetsk region? Did
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the desire to inhale the smell of victory win the
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sober assessment of possibilities ?
But these are rhetorical questions.
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The last few days in this area
have been relatively quiet,
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but this battle is not over yet. The enemy
is licking its wounds and regrouping,
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but Avdiivka will forever remain
a place of Russian fear and pain.
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But it is worth reminding once again, do not
underestimate the enemy, no matter what he may be.
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