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The Zaporizhzhya Triangle has
been revitalized. In general,
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this is not surprising, because there
was no lull, but hard work to create
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the conditions for "revitalization". In
particular, to deplete the resource that
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was transferred by the Russian command from
the Luhansk region to the Zaporizhzhya region.
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What is quite interesting is that as the
Ukrainian Liberation Forces movement in the
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Novoprokopivka-Verbove-Ocheretuvate
triangle revived, the media started
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talking about Putin allegedly ordering
Defense Minister Shoigu to stop the
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Ukrainian army offensive in the
Zaporizhzhya region at any cost.
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Let’s just say that it will
not be possible to stop,
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but they will try to slow down the advance
of the Ukrainian forces in the hope that
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they will not break through the second line of
defense before the weather conditions worsen.
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Almost simultaneously, those Russian units
that were supposed to take a direct part
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in encircling the Ukrainian defense forces in
this triangle lost their combat effectiveness.
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A significant part of the officer staff of
one of the divisions was also eliminated.
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That is, those units that were supposed to
take part in the "defeat" of the Ukrainian
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attackers quickly became fatally fatigued. In
the western and southwestern sector near Verbove,
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the Ukrainian armed forces advanced
by passing the second boundary of the
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second line of defense, continuing
to cover the village from the south.
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In addition, a very difficult
fortification maze was passed,
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after the fall of which the occupants
have nothing to do at Novoprokopivka,
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but the tactics of the Russian command are not
like that. They are not looking for easy ways.
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They will sit in all dens, trenches, foxholes
to the last and no one will give them an order
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to withdraw to other positions until something
comes from the sky and calms them down forever.
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And once those positions are taken by the
Ukrainian side, the occupiers will start
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counterattacking them frantically, trying to
repel them. They are not changing their tactics.
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But, most importantly, they lose a resource
that cannot stop the advance of the AFU. They
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slow the enemy down, but they can’t stop him
completely, and even that requires sufficient
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resources. But by dragging this resource for
the meat grinder in the Zaporizhzhya Triangle,
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the bridgeheads from which this resource
is taken are weakened. Such an ouroboros,
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where the Russian side is
biting itself not by the tail.
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In general, the Russian command is once
again faced with a dilemma. By taking
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resources from other bridgeheads, they
can create a precedent for the beginning
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of an offensive of the AFU where this
offensive is not expected. But without
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supplying Zaporizhzhya region with
the necessary amount of resources,
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their second line of defense will collapse with a
bang in October and pull the third line with it.
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And while the Russian command is in a stalemate,
the Ukrainian side is solving its task - to
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improve its positions as much as possible, so
that the rainy season and worsening weather
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conditions will catch them where weather
conditions do not play a significant role.
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And in Zaporizhzhya region there can be
three such areas, maximally unfavorable,
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medium tolerance and maximally positive for
the actions of the Ukrainian side. And even
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if the AFU enters the area of medium tolerance,
it will be a defeat for the Russian command.
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Now the situation for the Russians
strongly resembles the events on
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the right bank of the Kherson region.
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