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Answering questions from the press, the Kremlin
fuhrer said that the Ukrainian offensive had
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failed.
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So now weโre going to figure out how much
the AFU offensive has failed and whatโs
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going on.
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The offensive continues and it is developing
according to its own internal logic.
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The Ukrainians are now moving in diverging
directions from Rabotino, along the defense
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line.
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They have found themselves in the interpositional
space, which is the distance of space between
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the defense lines.
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There are few minefields there, because the
defending enemy forces need to maneuver between
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the defense lines.
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And the Ukrainian liberation forces are moving
from the rear side of this main line of defense,
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respectively, making life difficult for the
defending troops.
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And the fact that the Russians have transferred
an entire airborne division from the Lyman-Kupiansk
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direction, which is supposedly promising for
them, indicates that the Ukrainian offensive
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has not failed after all.
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If it has failed, then it has stopped.
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If it has stopped, why move reserves from
the direction where you are supposedly going
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to succeed?
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So, despite the bravura statements of the
Kremlin fuhrer, Russian war correspondents
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write quite different things.
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They say that "in some areas, the difference
in the potential of Russian and Ukrainian
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artillery is such that any attempt at fortification
work, even at the level of simply connecting
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the cells of the trench, the AFU suppresses
with a barrage of artillery fire.
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Also, the AFU are using cluster munitions
to affect the enemy's minefields, and Russian
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sappers are unable to restore them due to
heavy artillery fire.
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As a result, the Ukrainians came close to
the enemy positions, landed the paratroopers
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and are now storming the positions."
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The Ukrainians have been very much on the
move after receiving cluster munitions.
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The AFU use them on the battlefield exactly
as they are intended, covering large areas,
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clearing the way for their infantry, their
armored vehicles, no barbaric use on Russian
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cities.
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Yes, Russian artillery can reach the front
line, trying to interfere with Ukrainian infantry
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and Ukrainian armored vehicles.
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But this is not a counter-battery fight; it
cannot reach Ukrainian artillery.
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And now the Ukrainians expect the US partners
to give them M-26 cluster missiles for the
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for the HIMARS.
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Their firepower is much greater than 155 mm
shells, it will be a nightmare for the Russian
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infantry.
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Once again I repeat offensive and war in general
is not a linear thing.
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It develops according to its own internal
logic - the Russians took a year to take Bakhmut,
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it took them a month to cover a kilometer.
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The Ukrainians have already taken three months
to overcome the supply line and the main line
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of defense, and further the matter can go
much faster.
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Recall the Kharkiv operation, when a day Ukrainian
troops were 30-40 kilometers with almost a
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march.
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The nearest key area is Tokmak, and then it
goes on as it goes.
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Regarding the Ukrainian reserves, OSINT sources
claim that several Ukrainian heavy break-through
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brigades have not yet entered the battle.
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And let Putin believe that the Ukrainian offensive
has failed, and let Shoigu learn math.
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6 plus 6, as we know, equals 12.
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Thank you for watching my videos.
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