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Hi, everyone, and welcome in this new video.
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In this video, we will compute the profit of footage because shoot just what technique?
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We cannot say that, OK, this strategy really works or not.
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So we need to analyze and compute.
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The return of strategic.
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To do it, we need first the return of the underlying assets.
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OK?
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The daily ritual to do it is very simple.
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You just need to take the cross price and then upload the percentage change function you put one.
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It means that you will compute the person to change.
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From one wrote and go to this role, it means that.
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Because each represents one day you will compute the daily region of this time that you were used then.
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You need to compute the region, of course, strategy and to do it.
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You need to take obviously the region of the underlying assets and then multiplied.
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By the position, both.
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This is.
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And there are OK.
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You need to shift your position, OK?
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It's very, very, very important.
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I will show you why if this graph represents one day, only one day from seven a.m. to seven p.m.,
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OK, we walk only with the cross price to compute the moving average, the person they change, etc.
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So it means that.
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Q, OK.
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At seven pm, we have our growth price.
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So for our strategy, we can take, for example, seven pm minus one minutes.
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OK.
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To take our older before that, the market is closed, but we walk to simplify.
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At seven pm, what can?
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P.M. We tell, OK.
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I want to take a bite position.
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OK.
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I will not compute the profit of my strategy.
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The profit of today using the position of today because the variation will be compute from seven a.m.
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to seven p.m. and the position is only compute at seven p.m..
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It means that using the prisons you will.
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Make some profits, OK, using the Pasteurisation.
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It's totally impossible.
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Okay.
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You cannot predict the past using the future.
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So.
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To compute the poor feed variation of today, you need to take the position of yesterday and multiplied
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it this yesterday position by a variation of today and now at seven p.m. You will take your position
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today, OK, and you will see tomorrow if your position was good or not.
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OK, and then.
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You will compute the ritual of tomorrow using the region of the unveiling of tomorrow times the position
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of today.
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OK, if it's not true, I really want that you go on the discourse forum and ask you, Christian, because
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this is really the main point of all the truth.
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OK, if.
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You do not put this shift.
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You will create very fantastic strategic.
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OK, and when you will put it in leavening, you will lose money and lose money, and you will not be
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able to know what you lose money because if you practice your strategy on the same data, you will earn
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a lot of money.
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OK?
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And it simply means that you will have an error in your strategy.
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So.
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The purpose here is really to understand when you need to put a shift.
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OK.
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And this time you need absolutely to put a shift.
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It's very, very important.
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OK.
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So then we can.
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Discipline or ritual, but like this or region or monetary interpretation?
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Okay, so we need to compute the cumulative so for those of you.
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I don't remember it.
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I already explain you the cumulative sum in the produce video, so I will explain you very quickly.
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If there is, for example, if the original are equal to one person today, tomorrow or theperson,
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then minus one percent.
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Then one presumes then two percent exit to OK.
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Then three percent again, OK.
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The cumulative sum will be one percent first.
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OK.
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Because is the sum of all the produced data.
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So for the second member, we take three plus all the previous data.
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Three plus one.
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So for.
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Persons, then the third value is minus one percent.
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It means that we do the sum of this three of them used to have the value Q So one for three minus one.
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So three percent then.
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To have this value, we need to do the some of this values, so.
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One percent, so one percent, three percent, four percent, minus one percent.
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Is I will put, for example, two percent here.
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So or minus two percent?
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One person's per three persons minus one percent minus two percent is equal to one percent.
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Plus two percent.
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So three percent and then plus three percent is equal to six percent.
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So you can see the what the cumulative sum does.
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OK.
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So we just need to apply the concern to see the performance of our strategy.
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So here we can see the performance of the team from 2004 to 2022, and we can see that the performance
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isn't really good, but.
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Isn't really good, because first we walk on the first offense.
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So the variation of very, very small.
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OK.
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So when you will work with folks assets?
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Very big disclaimer.
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Usually you take a leverage, but you need to know that the leverage will increase your earning, but
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also your losses.
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So.
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I cannot take responsible for your losses, et cetera.
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I think that's, you know that and you already have seen the disclaimer in the first section.
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So here are strategy is quite good.
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OK.
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But we don't have a complete practice.
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OK.
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So in the next chapter, I will show you how to do not a complete bucket, but a Baptist taking each
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account the most important metrics.
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Now in the next video, I will show you an automated the creation of this strategy on many assets.
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