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Hi, everyone, and welcome in this new video.
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In this video, I will show you how to create a simple, moving average using pandas.
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So first, we're going to create a new colors in or dataframe, which is named as semi for simple moving
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average 15, because we're going to take a simple moving average on 15 days.
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Then we need to take the clothes column of our data frame.
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Then we use the rolling function to create a wall on the 15 day.
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And.
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All 15, then we want to apply the mean function.
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So we do exactly the same for the Assembly 16.
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And I will show you all the different.
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I will just create.
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A very lethal estimate to show you something extremely important.
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Have advocated the semi free state, so it's very not relevant for all strategy, but it is really just
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to show you something extremely important here.
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We need to put a shift on all indicators because if you look the estimate free days, we can see that
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this mean is the average of these three values and.
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If the cruise price, for example, is the targets, we will have an interference in our data because
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if we take this value to protect this value, so this value is already in the average.
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So theoretically, when you are going to be tested, you will have an amazing result.
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You will have a strategy very profitable.
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But in reality, it is because you predict the past using the future.
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So it is the most important thing to understand because this error is one of the must made.
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So for example, if here I put a shift.
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We can see that this value is the mean of these values.
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So there is no issue if I want to predict this value with this value because we have put a shift in
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our data and very are no interference between the SMI free days and the cruise price that we want to
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predict.
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So we are going to delete this
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columns.
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But I would devote once that you understand this notion because
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if you don't put the shift in the right place, you will have many issues in.
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You could and your anger with trading project.
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Now, let me just show you how to display this value to have a better understanding.
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To do it, we are going to use the plug function directly from pundits.
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Because it's more easy to use when you just want to display some metrics.
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Then we just use the let property to display the value in 2010 to have a better visualization.
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So as we can see, we have the cruise price here and all too simple moving average.
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So it is awful this video and in the next video, I will show you, how did you quit moving standard
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deviation?
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