All language subtitles for 14-07-2023ftxtrrty

What is happening now in the south of the front
and what to expect in the east in the near future.

The south of Ukraine, Zaporizhzhya region,
is the main theater of military operations.

The three main locations are
Piatykhatky, Robotyne and Staromlynivka.

Piatykhatky now play a role
very similar to Bakhmut,

they are pulling the resource of the
enemy trying to repel the village.

The main resource donor is Vasylivka,

which in turn is the top of a powerful
defense triangle Vasylivka-Tokmak-Melitopol.

Uniform grinding of the enemy forces is
in progress, we do not expect fast action.

Robotyne is, in fact, the main
stronghold of the occupants,

behind which the main line of defense opens. In
fact, it is the headboard of the second line,

the peculiarity of which is that if this head is
cut off, the collapse of the bulky construction

along Highway 0408: Novoprokopivka,
Ilchenkove, Solodka Balka will occur.

Currently, the flanks are being aligned in the
location, which makes it difficult to saturate the

terrain with enemy units. As meat for slaughter in
this location very actively used reservists BARS.

It is noteworthy that the counterattacks of
the occupiers have been dramatically reduced.

Staromlynivka. Unlike Robotyne, the intensity
of counterattacks is not reduced here.

Very tight close-quarters combat.
At the same time, compared to June,

there is a decrease in the intensity
of fire, which indicates the effect

of destroying enemy artillery from the
second line and warehouses in the rear.

In general, here the process of aligning
the flanks with the progressive pushing

of the supply line towards the main defensive
line also takes place. As noted earlier, the

occupation troops had to use additional reserves,
which indicates a shortage of forces for defense.

Bottom line: This bridgehead
now serves two main functions.

The first is a slow, very cautious
pushing of the Russian supply line

up to the 2nd line. The second function
is to "exsanguinate" the Russian troops.

Both goals are being achieved. But the essence
of the process is not haste, the essence of the

process is the process itself. And the Kherson
resource in Staromlynivka is an indicator of this.

In the east of Ukraine, namely
in the Lugansk direction,

the group of Russian troops "West"
is operating. This group is one

of the most combat-ready and has
recently become excessively active.

After fleeing from Kharkiv region, the
occupiers began to form a group for revenge.

And according to their preliminary plans, in
early 2023 they were supposed to launch a decisive

counteroffensive. But something went wrong,
and the "West" group didn’t move until July.

A brief analysis and what we should
expect from it in the foreseeable future.

Its strength is 50 thousand men, which is equal
to 63 full-fledged Battalion tactical groups,

but there is a nuance. It is understaffed
just like the others we've looked at earlier,

though not as critically.... They do not have the
ability to fully perform their combat function.

Secondly. In an offensive, one fully manned BTG,
with an established supply and control system,

can cover a front of 2 to 4 kilometers.
Otherwise, the functionality decreases,

efficiency decreases and 1 to 4
BTGs are required per 1 km of front.

That is, in order to fully offensive in this
area, the enemy needs to have about 90 BTGs,

and fully staffed. Their offensive
potential on the wide front is limited,

and on the narrow front, requires the
concentration of significant forces.

Yes, even this limited mass
can move and operate, but.....

But the Ukrainian defense was formed taking
into account the expected offensive in winter

2023, which never happened, which
allowed the defense to strengthen.

What's the result? The enemy's only goal is
to draw the defense forces into a protracted,

but very active and intense confrontation
in several locations in the "East",

dispersing and drawing away Ukrainian forces.
For more than that, they are clearly not capable.