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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:05,882 --> 00:00:08,619 TYSON: Welcome to the planet Earth. 2 00:00:09,220 --> 00:00:12,756 A world of blue nitrogen skies, 3 00:00:13,157 --> 00:00:17,128 oceans of liquid water and more kinds of living things 4 00:00:17,161 --> 00:00:20,063 than you can possibly imagine. 5 00:00:20,931 --> 00:00:22,333 (baby fussing). 6 00:00:22,366 --> 00:00:25,569 You are the newest page in its four-billion-year-old 7 00:00:25,602 --> 00:00:27,371 book of life. 8 00:00:28,672 --> 00:00:30,907 We're all very young here. 9 00:00:30,941 --> 00:00:33,744 New, like you, to the mysteries of the universe. 10 00:00:34,978 --> 00:00:38,849 We hope someday you will add to the little we know. 11 00:00:39,383 --> 00:00:41,518 I can see a future for you that is, 12 00:00:41,552 --> 00:00:44,421 in many ways, longer and brighter, 13 00:00:44,455 --> 00:00:48,925 and more free than any human generation has ever experienced. 14 00:00:51,528 --> 00:00:54,097 I also sense danger. 15 00:00:54,765 --> 00:00:56,233 That's nothing new here. 16 00:00:56,267 --> 00:00:58,169 It's always been that way. 17 00:00:58,202 --> 00:01:00,971 To be alive is to be in some measure of jeopardy. 18 00:01:02,473 --> 00:01:04,775 Life is dangerous. 19 00:01:05,309 --> 00:01:07,811 In every generation, in every time, 20 00:01:08,779 --> 00:01:11,282 everywhere on Earth. 21 00:01:11,615 --> 00:01:13,584 Our species, and our fellow Earthlings, 22 00:01:13,617 --> 00:01:15,752 have gotten through the tough times, 23 00:01:15,786 --> 00:01:18,289 when the prospects for life looked bleak. 24 00:01:18,322 --> 00:01:21,225 Somehow, we manage to endure. 25 00:01:23,093 --> 00:01:25,829 And now, we want to protect you, 26 00:01:26,630 --> 00:01:31,635 and your 360,000 brothers and sisters also born on this day. 27 00:01:33,837 --> 00:01:36,106 I have so much to tell you about our world. 28 00:01:37,341 --> 00:01:40,110 Some of these stories are frightening. 29 00:01:40,143 --> 00:01:42,879 But don't be afraid. 30 00:01:42,913 --> 00:01:45,449 We'll find a way. 31 00:01:47,284 --> 00:01:52,589 (theme music plays). 32 00:02:11,475 --> 00:02:17,147 * 33 00:02:38,235 --> 00:02:44,408 * 34 00:02:50,013 --> 00:02:52,516 TYSON: Where do I begin? 35 00:02:52,549 --> 00:02:54,585 So much has happened before you got here. 36 00:02:55,386 --> 00:02:59,222 Fortunately, our ancestors figured out a way to reach all 37 00:02:59,256 --> 00:03:03,527 the way back in time to piece together the great story of 38 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,896 our planet's own childhood. 39 00:03:06,430 --> 00:03:08,999 And the amazing things that have happened since. 40 00:03:09,566 --> 00:03:14,271 It's called science, and it's your birthright. 41 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:22,813 It's hard to believe that all of this grandeur was once a sea of fire. 42 00:03:24,281 --> 00:03:27,083 Come, I'll show you. 43 00:03:30,854 --> 00:03:34,358 This time next year, you'll have your first birthday. 44 00:03:34,791 --> 00:03:37,561 That means you will have completed one whole trip 45 00:03:37,594 --> 00:03:40,130 around the Sun, which is what an Earth year is. 46 00:03:41,532 --> 00:03:43,734 To understand the vast time scale of the cosmos, 47 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,203 and our little world, we've squished all of time into the 48 00:03:47,237 --> 00:03:48,772 scale of a single year. 49 00:03:49,573 --> 00:03:52,042 And that's where we are now. 50 00:03:52,075 --> 00:03:53,910 On the Cosmic Calendar. 51 00:03:54,545 --> 00:03:57,280 Every month is a little more than a billion years, 52 00:03:58,114 --> 00:04:01,151 every day a little less than forty million. 53 00:04:02,152 --> 00:04:06,923 A single hour on this calendar is almost two million years. 54 00:04:08,058 --> 00:04:10,927 Earth was born in fire. 55 00:04:13,129 --> 00:04:15,632 Fires within its seething heart. 56 00:04:18,502 --> 00:04:23,340 And great balls of rock and ice that explode in fiery impact. 57 00:04:25,509 --> 00:04:28,345 One was almost as big as Mars, 58 00:04:28,679 --> 00:04:31,181 and when it struck Earth, it formed the Moon. 59 00:04:36,420 --> 00:04:40,824 But not to worry, little one, because those fireballs were 60 00:04:40,857 --> 00:04:42,959 part of the chaotic early solar system. 61 00:04:44,060 --> 00:04:46,162 In the billions of years since, 62 00:04:46,196 --> 00:04:48,999 the other worlds swept free the lanes of their orbits. 63 00:04:49,833 --> 00:04:53,670 So our solar system is a relatively peaceful place now. 64 00:04:56,940 --> 00:04:59,610 After its first half billion years, 65 00:04:59,643 --> 00:05:02,546 Earth was spinning faster than it does today. 66 00:05:03,714 --> 00:05:07,484 The days were shorter, merely six hours long. 67 00:05:10,220 --> 00:05:12,656 The Moon was ten times closer, 68 00:05:12,689 --> 00:05:15,659 and its gravitational grip on the young planet was much stronger. 69 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,330 The shores of the land were battered by the largest tidal 70 00:05:20,363 --> 00:05:22,699 waves the world has ever known. 71 00:05:23,033 --> 00:05:25,936 A thousand times greater than they are today. 72 00:05:26,703 --> 00:05:30,407 The infant Earth was no place for us then. 73 00:05:31,842 --> 00:05:35,345 The atmosphere was mostly carbon dioxide, methane, and ammonia, 74 00:05:36,179 --> 00:05:39,315 a toxic environment for our kind of life. 75 00:05:39,750 --> 00:05:42,352 We don't know what the climate was like back then, 76 00:05:42,385 --> 00:05:44,354 but scientists reason that the thick, 77 00:05:44,387 --> 00:05:47,724 hazy atmosphere trapped the heat of the Earth and 78 00:05:47,758 --> 00:05:50,093 made it scorching hot. 79 00:05:50,761 --> 00:05:54,397 Another kind of life, tiny creatures that could shrug off 80 00:05:54,431 --> 00:05:58,368 the methane and eat carbon dioxide and sunlight for breakfast, 81 00:05:59,202 --> 00:06:02,105 found a way to make a living in the ocean. 82 00:06:03,974 --> 00:06:06,242 And those scrappy little cyanobacteria, 83 00:06:06,276 --> 00:06:09,312 as they're known, remade the whole planet. 84 00:06:10,346 --> 00:06:12,483 By gobbling up the carbon dioxide, 85 00:06:12,516 --> 00:06:15,786 and giving off oxygen, they turned the sky blue. 86 00:06:17,454 --> 00:06:20,190 All that oxygen destroyed the methane shroud 87 00:06:20,223 --> 00:06:22,493 that enveloped our planet. 88 00:06:22,526 --> 00:06:24,595 And it was cool. 89 00:06:25,061 --> 00:06:28,064 Not as cool as it is now, but more like a really hot 90 00:06:28,098 --> 00:06:30,767 summer day year-round. 91 00:06:30,801 --> 00:06:32,969 And then something wonderful happened. 92 00:06:34,137 --> 00:06:37,273 The atoms of oxygen that the tiny creatures in the ocean 93 00:06:37,307 --> 00:06:41,778 produced began to gather high above the world in the sky. 94 00:06:42,646 --> 00:06:45,949 And a new kind of molecule was made. 95 00:06:45,982 --> 00:06:47,984 Ozone. 96 00:06:48,018 --> 00:06:50,721 It created an invisible canopy against those rays of 97 00:06:50,754 --> 00:06:53,056 the Sun that were lethal. 98 00:06:53,089 --> 00:06:57,127 Now, for the first time, life was free to leave the 99 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,263 oceans for the land. 100 00:07:01,798 --> 00:07:05,168 And before long, life seized these new opportunities. 101 00:07:12,676 --> 00:07:16,913 A wild variety of shapes and sizes evolved as adaptations 102 00:07:16,947 --> 00:07:19,449 to these new habitats. 103 00:07:19,716 --> 00:07:23,654 And there were ears and noses and wings. 104 00:07:31,795 --> 00:07:34,430 I'd like you to meet a fellow Earthling, 105 00:07:35,098 --> 00:07:38,535 a very distant relative of yours. 106 00:07:38,869 --> 00:07:40,937 You've only been here a day, 107 00:07:40,971 --> 00:07:44,608 but beetles have been here for 300 million years. 108 00:07:46,509 --> 00:07:49,112 And the changes they've seen on this world... 109 00:07:51,782 --> 00:07:55,185 Our kind has only been here for a fraction of that amount of time, 110 00:07:56,219 --> 00:07:59,856 11:00 on New Year's Eve of the cosmic year. 111 00:07:59,890 --> 00:08:03,627 That's when our ancestors stood up for the first time. 112 00:08:03,660 --> 00:08:06,730 We call them Homo erectus for that reason. 113 00:08:07,564 --> 00:08:11,134 They were no longer forced to stare at the mud beneath their feet. 114 00:08:11,635 --> 00:08:15,205 Now, they could look up and see the stars, 115 00:08:15,739 --> 00:08:18,308 and their hands were free to change the world. 116 00:08:18,341 --> 00:08:20,944 They began to move around, to explore, 117 00:08:20,977 --> 00:08:25,015 daring to risk everything to get to unknown places. 118 00:08:26,249 --> 00:08:28,384 They were brave. 119 00:08:28,418 --> 00:08:31,254 And their blood runs in your veins. 120 00:08:33,056 --> 00:08:35,992 Some of them explored the vast continent of Africa. 121 00:08:36,860 --> 00:08:40,496 Others ranged north, taking a left turn into Europe. 122 00:08:42,398 --> 00:08:45,335 There is evidence that they would later evolve into the 123 00:08:45,368 --> 00:08:48,038 lost people we call Neanderthals. 124 00:08:49,272 --> 00:08:51,507 We have no idea what they called themselves, 125 00:08:51,541 --> 00:08:53,910 but we named them after the place in Germany where 126 00:08:53,944 --> 00:08:56,212 we first discovered their ancient remains. 127 00:08:58,081 --> 00:09:01,284 Another even more mysterious branch of our family 128 00:09:01,317 --> 00:09:03,920 took a right turn into Asia. 129 00:09:04,220 --> 00:09:07,490 And they evolved into people we call the Denisovans. 130 00:09:09,726 --> 00:09:11,094 But you and I, 131 00:09:11,127 --> 00:09:13,897 and all our other human brothers and sisters, 132 00:09:13,930 --> 00:09:16,032 were mainly descended from the people who stayed in 133 00:09:16,066 --> 00:09:18,902 Africa for another million and a half years. 134 00:09:19,970 --> 00:09:23,373 Sure, most of us have a little blood from the other branches of the family, 135 00:09:24,407 --> 00:09:27,210 but we are mostly the children of Africa. 136 00:09:27,878 --> 00:09:30,747 To see how our kind spread out around the planet, 137 00:09:30,781 --> 00:09:32,783 we have to go even closer to midnight. 138 00:09:33,549 --> 00:09:35,218 11:55. 139 00:09:35,251 --> 00:09:37,320 Or about 150,000 years ago. 140 00:09:40,523 --> 00:09:44,394 It is now a minute and a half to midnight. 141 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,469 Until about 40,000 years ago, 142 00:09:53,503 --> 00:09:56,439 our Neanderthal relatives lived very much as we did. 143 00:09:57,941 --> 00:10:00,243 They had bigger brains than we do, 144 00:10:00,276 --> 00:10:01,812 and were brawnier, 145 00:10:01,845 --> 00:10:04,781 but they did many of the things that we think of as being human. 146 00:10:07,017 --> 00:10:11,654 Most of us still carry some tiny portion of their genes inside us. 147 00:10:13,589 --> 00:10:16,126 But there are no more living Neanderthals today. 148 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:18,729 Nor are there any of our other cousins, 149 00:10:18,762 --> 00:10:20,630 the Denisovans. 150 00:10:21,131 --> 00:10:25,335 When this happens, when a whole species vanishes... 151 00:10:25,368 --> 00:10:27,871 we call it extinction. 152 00:10:28,805 --> 00:10:33,109 It's the end of a road that began four billion years ago 153 00:10:33,476 --> 00:10:35,946 with the origin of life. 154 00:10:38,815 --> 00:10:40,951 We don't know why they died out. 155 00:10:41,451 --> 00:10:44,187 We do know that they never ranged beyond the ocean 156 00:10:44,220 --> 00:10:46,356 coastlines of their environment. 157 00:10:46,857 --> 00:10:50,660 Maybe our hominid cousins were just a bit more contented, 158 00:10:50,693 --> 00:10:53,730 less anxious and more at peace than we are. 159 00:10:54,697 --> 00:10:57,633 Maybe it's a restlessness that prods us humans to 160 00:10:57,667 --> 00:10:59,635 choose the unknown. 161 00:10:59,669 --> 00:11:03,539 Some powerful force moved our ancestors to daring 162 00:11:03,573 --> 00:11:05,375 feats of courage. 163 00:11:05,408 --> 00:11:09,479 They crossed great oceans with no idea of what lay on the other side, 164 00:11:10,246 --> 00:11:13,283 carrying our people to every continent on Earth. 165 00:11:14,484 --> 00:11:17,187 And even to the Moon. 166 00:11:17,420 --> 00:11:19,689 By the last second of the cosmic year, 167 00:11:19,722 --> 00:11:23,693 there was no place on Earth that we had left untouched. 168 00:11:26,162 --> 00:11:30,000 We became the first species to remake the planet since the 169 00:11:30,033 --> 00:11:34,070 one-celled cyanobacteria did billions of years ago. 170 00:11:34,670 --> 00:11:38,241 To change the oceans, the land and the atmosphere. 171 00:11:39,776 --> 00:11:44,314 And these changes have led to a new mass extinction. 172 00:11:44,347 --> 00:11:47,250 The scientific community has looked at the evidence, 173 00:11:47,283 --> 00:11:50,921 and decided our age needs a new name. 174 00:11:51,254 --> 00:11:53,723 The Anthropocene. 175 00:11:53,756 --> 00:11:55,525 "Anthropo" from the Greek word for 176 00:11:55,558 --> 00:11:58,929 "Human" and "Cene" the Greek word for "Recent." 177 00:11:59,796 --> 00:12:02,698 It reflects our global impact on the environment and 178 00:12:02,732 --> 00:12:05,101 the life it sustains. 179 00:12:05,135 --> 00:12:08,071 There's disagreement about when it began, 180 00:12:08,104 --> 00:12:10,573 and nobody knows how it will turn out. 181 00:12:12,275 --> 00:12:14,410 Happy New Year, little one. 182 00:12:14,444 --> 00:12:17,747 Welcome to the Anthropocene. 183 00:12:24,787 --> 00:12:27,123 TYSON: I see a great future for you, little one. 184 00:12:28,324 --> 00:12:30,593 But a shadow hangs over it. 185 00:12:31,094 --> 00:12:33,563 We're not exactly sure when the darkening began. 186 00:12:34,998 --> 00:12:38,734 When did we become a force of nature, altering the skies, 187 00:12:39,535 --> 00:12:41,905 the seas and the land of the planet? 188 00:12:43,173 --> 00:12:46,142 When did the age of the Anthropocene begin? 189 00:12:47,143 --> 00:12:49,779 Some would say that it started in places like this one, 190 00:12:50,646 --> 00:12:53,016 more than 10,000 years ago. 191 00:12:54,017 --> 00:12:57,253 Did our ancestors paint these images of mammoths and 192 00:12:57,287 --> 00:13:01,324 saber-tooth tigers and giant sloths to somehow keep their 193 00:13:01,357 --> 00:13:04,995 memory alive after slaughtering the last of them? 194 00:13:07,263 --> 00:13:09,966 Human-caused extinction is nothing new. 195 00:13:10,466 --> 00:13:13,103 But we can't really blame our ancestors. 196 00:13:13,136 --> 00:13:15,838 How could they know that this or that kill meant 197 00:13:15,872 --> 00:13:19,042 the end of an entire species? 198 00:13:20,010 --> 00:13:23,213 I wonder, maybe the Anthropocene started with the 199 00:13:23,246 --> 00:13:26,116 first seed that was planted in the ground, 200 00:13:26,382 --> 00:13:29,252 and the agricultural revolution that followed. 201 00:13:29,953 --> 00:13:33,156 Before that time, the world had twice as many trees to 202 00:13:33,189 --> 00:13:37,027 convert the Earth's carbon dioxide into oxygen. 203 00:13:37,060 --> 00:13:39,095 With the invention of agriculture, 204 00:13:39,129 --> 00:13:43,299 our ancestors stopped wandering to settle down into 205 00:13:43,333 --> 00:13:45,335 farms and cities. 206 00:13:51,041 --> 00:13:54,044 This is Çatalhöyük. 207 00:13:54,077 --> 00:13:56,379 It was one of the earliest cities. 208 00:13:57,113 --> 00:14:00,483 This is how it looked about 9,000 years ago. 209 00:14:01,151 --> 00:14:05,255 The great move indoors changed our relationship to nature. 210 00:14:05,989 --> 00:14:08,691 Those hearths, those fires that warmed the small 211 00:14:08,724 --> 00:14:10,826 dwellings of our ancestors... 212 00:14:10,860 --> 00:14:13,063 were they the beginning? 213 00:14:13,729 --> 00:14:16,266 The smoke from those small fires did little to 214 00:14:16,299 --> 00:14:18,201 alter the atmosphere. 215 00:14:18,234 --> 00:14:19,970 But over thousands of years, 216 00:14:20,003 --> 00:14:22,038 our numbers grew exponentially, 217 00:14:22,538 --> 00:14:24,874 until we were cranking out enough carbon dioxide 218 00:14:24,907 --> 00:14:28,078 into the atmosphere to warm the whole world. 219 00:14:30,046 --> 00:14:32,182 Did the Anthropocene begin with 220 00:14:32,215 --> 00:14:34,384 the domestication of animals? 221 00:14:34,784 --> 00:14:38,254 Cattle convert wild grasses into methane, 222 00:14:38,288 --> 00:14:40,790 another gas that changes the climate. 223 00:14:40,823 --> 00:14:44,260 It happens inside them when they're digesting their meals. 224 00:14:44,294 --> 00:14:45,928 But nobody would figure this out until the 225 00:14:45,962 --> 00:14:47,964 modern scientific era. 226 00:14:48,698 --> 00:14:51,601 How could a few head of cattle do any harm, 227 00:14:51,634 --> 00:14:54,337 let alone change Earth so radically? 228 00:14:55,271 --> 00:14:57,773 Our ancestors wanted to feed their families, 229 00:14:57,807 --> 00:15:00,343 and make sure that the little ones would not go hungry. 230 00:15:01,611 --> 00:15:03,446 That they would live. 231 00:15:05,781 --> 00:15:08,551 In China, around 4,000 years ago, 232 00:15:08,584 --> 00:15:11,387 a world-changing discovery was made. 233 00:15:11,654 --> 00:15:14,757 There were rocks that you could burn for fuel to drive 234 00:15:14,790 --> 00:15:16,959 away the cold and the damp. 235 00:15:18,128 --> 00:15:21,564 These rocks were actually the carbon remains of plants and 236 00:15:21,597 --> 00:15:24,667 trees that had died hundreds of millions of years before, 237 00:15:25,768 --> 00:15:28,304 and lay buried in the earth. 238 00:15:28,771 --> 00:15:32,408 Was the discovery of coal the beginning of the Anthropocene? 239 00:15:33,176 --> 00:15:36,712 Coal became increasingly important to power forges and 240 00:15:36,746 --> 00:15:38,881 foundries and homes. 241 00:15:40,316 --> 00:15:44,220 Or did the Anthropocene really get going about 1,000 years later, 242 00:15:44,687 --> 00:15:48,191 when people all over Asia began to grow rice? 243 00:15:49,059 --> 00:15:50,826 This ingenious technique, 244 00:15:50,860 --> 00:15:54,030 which involves transplanting seedlings into flooded paddies, 245 00:15:54,697 --> 00:15:56,966 is called "Puddling." 246 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,170 There was no way for these hardworking farmers to know 247 00:16:00,203 --> 00:16:02,938 that this particular method of growing rice, 248 00:16:02,972 --> 00:16:06,676 like the cattle, would someday produce tens of millions of 249 00:16:06,709 --> 00:16:09,212 tons of methane per year. 250 00:16:09,812 --> 00:16:13,183 The flooded soil loses oxygen, and then tiny, 251 00:16:13,216 --> 00:16:15,651 invisible creatures, microbes, 252 00:16:15,685 --> 00:16:18,654 digest the plant matter and produce methane. 253 00:16:19,489 --> 00:16:23,393 The leaves of the rice plants release more methane into the atmosphere. 254 00:16:24,794 --> 00:16:27,797 These early farmers had no way of seeing what was 255 00:16:27,830 --> 00:16:30,500 happening on the scale of the very small. 256 00:16:31,334 --> 00:16:34,337 Again, they were just trying to feed themselves 257 00:16:34,670 --> 00:16:36,739 and each other. 258 00:16:41,611 --> 00:16:43,946 There's all kinds of writing. 259 00:16:43,979 --> 00:16:45,881 But this is how time writes. 260 00:16:46,782 --> 00:16:48,984 If you know how to read time's alphabet, 261 00:16:49,018 --> 00:16:52,188 you can reconstruct events in the great story of the planet. 262 00:16:53,323 --> 00:16:56,692 The most dramatic passage in this saga is not written in 263 00:16:56,726 --> 00:16:59,829 the brightest colors, but in pale white. 264 00:17:00,930 --> 00:17:04,434 This pale white line is kind of an epic poem. 265 00:17:05,135 --> 00:17:07,937 It tells the saga of the death of titans, 266 00:17:08,804 --> 00:17:10,673 all over the planet. 267 00:17:10,706 --> 00:17:14,043 This layer of an otherwise rare metal called iridium, 268 00:17:14,076 --> 00:17:17,012 signifies the end of the Cretaceous chapter some 269 00:17:17,046 --> 00:17:19,549 66 million years ago. 270 00:17:19,849 --> 00:17:23,519 This is when dinosaurs, and three quarters of all the 271 00:17:23,553 --> 00:17:27,022 plants and animals became extinct. 272 00:17:27,357 --> 00:17:29,492 There's a custom among geologists. 273 00:17:29,525 --> 00:17:31,627 If you find a layer in the earth that indicates 274 00:17:31,661 --> 00:17:34,797 the boundary of the first or last time that the fossils of 275 00:17:34,830 --> 00:17:36,666 any species can be found, 276 00:17:36,699 --> 00:17:40,203 you mark it with a "golden spike." 277 00:17:40,770 --> 00:17:43,173 You drive it into the rock with a hammer. 278 00:17:43,206 --> 00:17:46,008 If we are living in the Anthropocene, 279 00:17:46,041 --> 00:17:49,212 the age of human- caused extinction, 280 00:17:49,445 --> 00:17:53,583 what wall do we drive our golden spike into? 281 00:17:57,653 --> 00:18:01,090 It's in me, little one. 282 00:18:01,357 --> 00:18:04,827 When I was brand new, just like you, only a day old, 283 00:18:04,860 --> 00:18:07,430 there were two great superpowers fighting 284 00:18:07,463 --> 00:18:09,665 over the planet. 285 00:18:09,699 --> 00:18:13,736 They were both willing to destroy everything to assert 286 00:18:13,769 --> 00:18:16,038 their dominance. 287 00:18:16,071 --> 00:18:20,476 On the very day I was born, both nations exploded nuclear 288 00:18:20,510 --> 00:18:24,146 weapons in the atmosphere just to show how strong they were. 289 00:18:25,781 --> 00:18:28,251 And those were only a few of the thousands that were 290 00:18:28,284 --> 00:18:31,120 detonated over a period of decades. 291 00:18:31,821 --> 00:18:35,124 The bombs gave off strontium 90, 292 00:18:35,491 --> 00:18:39,295 an atom made unstable by its excess nuclear energy. 293 00:18:39,329 --> 00:18:42,064 It's called a radioactive isotope. 294 00:18:42,097 --> 00:18:45,501 It polluted mother's milk all over the planet. 295 00:18:46,035 --> 00:18:50,840 Mothers nursing babies like you refused to live with this horror. 296 00:18:50,873 --> 00:18:57,146 They joined together to protest until a treaty was signed in 1963. 297 00:18:57,780 --> 00:19:00,283 I, and my whole generation, 298 00:19:00,316 --> 00:19:03,286 carry an excess of another radioactive isotope 299 00:19:03,319 --> 00:19:05,988 in the tissues of our bodies. 300 00:19:06,021 --> 00:19:08,691 It's called carbon 14. 301 00:19:08,724 --> 00:19:12,795 So if I ever lose my mind, or forget how old I am, 302 00:19:12,828 --> 00:19:15,298 the echoes of those nuclear explosions on the day 303 00:19:15,331 --> 00:19:18,834 of my birth would tell you my age. 304 00:19:19,902 --> 00:19:23,973 Does this "golden spike" inside me signify the beginning 305 00:19:24,006 --> 00:19:26,542 of the Anthropocene? 306 00:19:27,209 --> 00:19:30,112 Is that when it began? 307 00:19:30,546 --> 00:19:32,214 The atmospheric testing ended, 308 00:19:32,248 --> 00:19:34,850 but we just kept on trashing our home. 309 00:19:34,884 --> 00:19:38,321 All the while knowing that the day would come when 310 00:19:38,354 --> 00:19:41,357 it would all fall down. 311 00:19:41,391 --> 00:19:43,393 What good is it to know of a danger if you don't do 312 00:19:43,426 --> 00:19:46,195 anything about it? 313 00:19:46,228 --> 00:19:49,332 Maybe it's better not to know. 314 00:19:49,365 --> 00:19:52,034 Knowing can be a curse. 315 00:20:01,411 --> 00:20:07,417 TYSON: The stories that live the longest are those that never were, 316 00:20:07,450 --> 00:20:11,120 and always will be: myths. 317 00:20:12,187 --> 00:20:14,990 Apollo, the ancient god of light, 318 00:20:15,024 --> 00:20:17,226 was always on the prowl for attractive humans. 319 00:20:18,728 --> 00:20:21,731 One day, while strolling the bustling streets of Troy, 320 00:20:21,764 --> 00:20:24,567 a rival city of the Ancient Greeks, 321 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:28,471 he spied Cassandra, the smartest and most beautiful of 322 00:20:28,504 --> 00:20:30,640 the daughters of King Priam. 323 00:20:31,641 --> 00:20:34,577 Apollo fell madly in love with her. 324 00:20:38,981 --> 00:20:42,385 Apollo usually got his way, and he was shocked when 325 00:20:42,418 --> 00:20:44,820 Cassandra rejected him. 326 00:20:45,388 --> 00:20:47,623 How could he win her heart? 327 00:20:47,657 --> 00:20:49,925 She lacked for nothing. 328 00:20:49,959 --> 00:20:52,227 And she was happy. 329 00:20:52,562 --> 00:20:56,065 But Apollo was not so easily dissuaded. 330 00:20:56,098 --> 00:20:59,469 And so he made her an irresistible offer. 331 00:21:00,235 --> 00:21:03,406 He would grant her the gift of prophecy, 332 00:21:03,439 --> 00:21:06,476 the ability to see the future. 333 00:21:07,343 --> 00:21:09,545 Cassandra was thrilled. 334 00:21:09,579 --> 00:21:12,415 Knowing what would happen before anyone else would make 335 00:21:12,448 --> 00:21:15,150 her all-powerful. 336 00:21:15,184 --> 00:21:18,788 But then, Apollo explained to her what he expected in return. 337 00:21:20,022 --> 00:21:23,359 She would have to submit to him as his lover. 338 00:21:23,659 --> 00:21:27,096 This was too high a price for Cassandra. 339 00:21:27,129 --> 00:21:30,700 Apollo's rage took the form of a cruel and ingenious curse. 340 00:21:31,601 --> 00:21:35,004 He granted Cassandra the ability to foresee the future, 341 00:21:35,037 --> 00:21:37,707 but condemned her to be ignored. 342 00:21:56,158 --> 00:21:59,194 The Trojans thought she was nuts. 343 00:21:59,228 --> 00:22:01,497 They contemptuously referred to her as the 344 00:22:01,531 --> 00:22:03,933 "Lady of Many Sorrows." 345 00:22:04,333 --> 00:22:06,969 Today she would be dismissed as a prophet of 346 00:22:07,002 --> 00:22:09,405 gloom and doom. 347 00:22:10,506 --> 00:22:13,843 Cassandra saw nothing but trouble when her brother, Paris, 348 00:22:13,876 --> 00:22:16,211 decided to take a trip to Sparta. 349 00:22:17,112 --> 00:22:19,982 She alone knew that when he got there, 350 00:22:20,015 --> 00:22:22,918 he would fall in love with the King's wife, 351 00:22:23,218 --> 00:22:26,756 a beauty named Helen, whom he would abduct. 352 00:22:26,789 --> 00:22:29,592 This would bring ruin to Troy. 353 00:22:33,062 --> 00:22:36,031 But no one paid any attention. 354 00:22:36,265 --> 00:22:39,635 This was a time of peace and prosperity. 355 00:22:39,669 --> 00:22:42,738 There was no clear and present danger. 356 00:22:43,405 --> 00:22:46,208 The King wouldn't listen to his daughter. 357 00:22:46,709 --> 00:22:49,078 No one would. 358 00:22:49,378 --> 00:22:51,481 When Paris brought Helen home, 359 00:22:51,514 --> 00:22:54,717 the people of Troy celebrated her arrival. 360 00:22:54,950 --> 00:22:57,252 Cassandra was so desperate to prevent the coming 361 00:22:57,286 --> 00:22:59,421 disaster that she attacked Helen. 362 00:23:01,423 --> 00:23:04,159 Cassandra knew that the Greeks would seek revenge 363 00:23:04,193 --> 00:23:06,962 against the Trojans, and that they would be victorious. 364 00:23:08,030 --> 00:23:10,966 She foretold the defeat of her father's army, 365 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,968 and the sacking of Troy by the Greeks. 366 00:23:15,037 --> 00:23:17,439 And the Greeks did come, 367 00:23:17,473 --> 00:23:19,609 just as Cassandra knew they would. 368 00:23:20,576 --> 00:23:24,246 But even after years of warfare, Troy still stood. 369 00:23:27,049 --> 00:23:28,618 When the Greeks retreated, 370 00:23:28,651 --> 00:23:31,320 boarding their ships and sailing out of the harbor, 371 00:23:31,353 --> 00:23:34,156 there must have been a sigh of relief among the few 372 00:23:34,189 --> 00:23:36,125 who wondered if there was 373 00:23:36,158 --> 00:23:38,994 something to Cassandra's dire predictions. 374 00:23:40,329 --> 00:23:44,199 But what about that enormous wooden horse? 375 00:23:44,500 --> 00:23:47,169 A Trojan platoon was sent to investigate. 376 00:23:47,503 --> 00:23:50,472 They found a single Greek soldier. 377 00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,275 A man named Sinon. 378 00:23:53,509 --> 00:23:56,311 The Trojans asked Sinon, "What's going on?" 379 00:23:56,979 --> 00:23:59,949 He told them that a King of the Greeks had wanted to offer 380 00:23:59,982 --> 00:24:02,184 him up as a human sacrifice. 381 00:24:02,618 --> 00:24:04,620 So he'd stayed hidden until his brothers 382 00:24:04,654 --> 00:24:06,789 departed for home. 383 00:24:07,122 --> 00:24:09,559 And that colossal wooden horse? 384 00:24:09,592 --> 00:24:13,195 Sinon told them that it was an offering for the goddess Athena. 385 00:24:14,196 --> 00:24:16,766 How wonderful, the Trojans thought. 386 00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:20,502 The horse was the ancient symbol of their city. 387 00:24:20,536 --> 00:24:23,372 Why not move it inside the gates and keep it as a trophy? 388 00:24:24,907 --> 00:24:29,178 Sinon laughed, and told them that the Greeks had said it was way too big 389 00:24:29,211 --> 00:24:31,781 and heavy for weaklings like the Trojans to move. 390 00:24:32,915 --> 00:24:35,551 "Let them stare at it all day and be ashamed about 391 00:24:35,585 --> 00:24:37,152 how feeble they are." 392 00:24:38,621 --> 00:24:39,655 (horn) 393 00:24:40,489 --> 00:24:42,592 (speaking in native languge) 394 00:24:54,604 --> 00:24:58,741 (cheering) 395 00:25:12,154 --> 00:25:16,926 * 396 00:25:17,593 --> 00:25:19,494 TYSON: The Trojans were terrified that Cassandra's 397 00:25:19,528 --> 00:25:23,298 attempt at arson would enrage the goddess Athena, 398 00:25:23,766 --> 00:25:26,669 and bring her wrath down upon the city. 399 00:25:43,052 --> 00:25:45,054 * 400 00:25:45,087 --> 00:25:47,256 Once the invaders gave the signal, 401 00:25:47,289 --> 00:25:49,591 the ships of the Greek navy that had been waiting out of 402 00:25:49,625 --> 00:25:52,527 sight offshore commenced their attack on Troy. 403 00:25:55,264 --> 00:25:58,634 (screams) 404 00:26:18,553 --> 00:26:24,393 * 405 00:26:29,564 --> 00:26:31,834 Apollo had had his fun. 406 00:26:32,167 --> 00:26:35,470 Cassandra's grim prophecies had gone unheeded, 407 00:26:35,971 --> 00:26:39,141 and now it was too late for Troy. 408 00:26:50,953 --> 00:26:54,423 For Cassandra, knowing was a curse. 409 00:26:55,157 --> 00:26:58,293 But it can also be the greatest of blessings. 410 00:27:00,129 --> 00:27:02,331 Let me tell you another story. 411 00:27:03,866 --> 00:27:07,336 Once upon a time, there were no refrigerators. 412 00:27:14,443 --> 00:27:19,081 * 413 00:27:20,349 --> 00:27:23,552 TYSON: It used to be hard to keep food from spoiling in the summertime. 414 00:27:24,586 --> 00:27:26,288 There was a person called the "iceman." 415 00:27:27,489 --> 00:27:30,192 He would come to your house and sell you a big block of ice. 416 00:27:31,894 --> 00:27:35,164 You'd keep it in something called an "icebox" to preserve 417 00:27:35,197 --> 00:27:37,066 the kinds of food that spoil quickly. 418 00:27:38,968 --> 00:27:42,371 But that was a drag because the ice kept melting. 419 00:27:42,404 --> 00:27:45,174 It would drip all over the floor. 420 00:27:45,207 --> 00:27:47,843 So somebody thought up another way to keep food cold. 421 00:27:48,978 --> 00:27:53,515 It was a gas powered system that used ammonia or sulfur dioxide as a coolant. 422 00:27:54,984 --> 00:27:56,651 No more lugging blocks of ice. 423 00:27:57,787 --> 00:27:59,588 What could be bad about that? 424 00:28:00,389 --> 00:28:02,557 The chemicals were not only poisonous, 425 00:28:02,591 --> 00:28:05,094 they smelled terrible and there were leaks. 426 00:28:08,130 --> 00:28:09,932 A substitute coolant was badly needed. 427 00:28:10,900 --> 00:28:13,568 One that would circulate inside the refrigerator, 428 00:28:13,602 --> 00:28:15,805 but would not poison anyone if the refrigerator leaked, 429 00:28:16,906 --> 00:28:18,941 or pose a danger if it was sent to the junkyard. 430 00:28:21,777 --> 00:28:24,079 Something that wouldn't make you sick, 431 00:28:24,346 --> 00:28:26,748 wouldn't burn your eyes, or attract bugs, 432 00:28:26,782 --> 00:28:28,417 or even bother the cat. 433 00:28:29,718 --> 00:28:33,122 But in all of nature, no such material seemed to exist. 434 00:28:35,157 --> 00:28:37,659 So chemists in the United States invented a 435 00:28:37,692 --> 00:28:39,561 class of molecules. 436 00:28:39,594 --> 00:28:42,431 Little collections of even tinier things called atoms, 437 00:28:43,232 --> 00:28:45,500 that had never existed on Earth before. 438 00:28:46,802 --> 00:28:49,404 They called them chlorofluorocarbons, 439 00:28:49,805 --> 00:28:53,475 or CFCs, because they were made up of one or more carbon 440 00:28:53,508 --> 00:28:56,311 atoms and some chlorine and/or fluorine atoms. 441 00:28:58,447 --> 00:29:00,816 These new molecules were wildly successful, 442 00:29:01,750 --> 00:29:04,186 far exceeding the expectations of their inventors. 443 00:29:13,495 --> 00:29:15,497 (overlapping chatter) 444 00:29:19,034 --> 00:29:22,104 Not only did CFCs become the chief coolant in refrigerators, 445 00:29:23,005 --> 00:29:25,607 but also in air conditioners. 446 00:29:25,875 --> 00:29:28,243 There were so many things you could do with CFCs. 447 00:29:29,811 --> 00:29:33,115 People used them to propel great fluffy mounds of shaving cream. 448 00:29:35,851 --> 00:29:39,021 And to protect your hair from wind and rain. 449 00:29:41,056 --> 00:29:44,159 It was also the propellant that made fire extinguishers 450 00:29:44,193 --> 00:29:46,528 and spray paint cans so much fun. 451 00:29:47,863 --> 00:29:49,865 It was good for foam insulation, 452 00:29:50,199 --> 00:29:52,234 industrial solvents and cleansing agents. 453 00:29:53,802 --> 00:29:57,072 The most famous brand name of these chemicals was Freon, 454 00:29:58,073 --> 00:30:00,209 a trademark of DuPont. 455 00:30:00,509 --> 00:30:05,014 It was used for decades and no harm ever seemed to come from it. 456 00:30:05,647 --> 00:30:09,151 Safe as safe could be, everyone figured. 457 00:30:09,718 --> 00:30:13,522 Until, in the early 1970s, two atmospheric chemists at the 458 00:30:13,555 --> 00:30:15,790 University of California, Irvine 459 00:30:15,824 --> 00:30:18,027 were studying Earth's atmosphere. 460 00:30:18,961 --> 00:30:21,863 Mario Molina was a Mexican immigrant, 461 00:30:22,264 --> 00:30:24,133 a young laser chemist. 462 00:30:24,166 --> 00:30:27,169 Sherwood Rowland was a chemical kineticist, 463 00:30:27,202 --> 00:30:31,340 someone who studied the motions of molecules and gases under varying conditions. 464 00:30:33,142 --> 00:30:35,510 He was from a small town in Ohio. 465 00:30:35,877 --> 00:30:39,081 Molina wanted to grow as a scientist. 466 00:30:39,114 --> 00:30:41,683 He was looking for a project that would take him as far 467 00:30:41,716 --> 00:30:44,186 from his previous research experience as possible. 468 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:46,555 He wondered. 469 00:30:46,588 --> 00:30:49,258 What happens to those Freon molecules when they 470 00:30:49,291 --> 00:30:51,693 leak out of the air conditioner? 471 00:30:51,927 --> 00:30:54,829 This was a time when the Apollo astronauts were still 472 00:30:54,863 --> 00:30:57,599 making regularly scheduled trips to the Moon. 473 00:30:57,933 --> 00:31:00,569 And NASA was contemplating weekly launches of 474 00:31:00,602 --> 00:31:02,571 a space shuttle. 475 00:31:03,405 --> 00:31:08,077 Would all that burning rocket fuel pose a danger to the stratosphere, 476 00:31:08,710 --> 00:31:12,081 that place where Earth's atmosphere meets the blackness of space? 477 00:31:13,949 --> 00:31:16,785 And this is how science works a lot of the time. 478 00:31:17,119 --> 00:31:18,954 You set out to solve one problem, 479 00:31:18,988 --> 00:31:20,689 and you happen on a completely different, 480 00:31:20,722 --> 00:31:22,791 unexpected phenomenon. 481 00:31:25,494 --> 00:31:28,397 Those wonderfully inert, "harmless" CFCs, 482 00:31:28,964 --> 00:31:32,201 the magic molecules of shaving cream and hair spray, 483 00:31:33,035 --> 00:31:35,704 didn't simply vanish when we were done with them. 484 00:31:36,305 --> 00:31:39,441 They had an afterlife at the edge of space, 485 00:31:39,741 --> 00:31:42,711 where they accumulated in the trillions. 486 00:31:42,744 --> 00:31:45,914 They were silently congregating high above the Earth, 487 00:31:46,581 --> 00:31:48,750 and they were up to no good. 488 00:31:50,819 --> 00:31:53,755 Molina and Rowland were alarmed to discover that the 489 00:31:53,788 --> 00:31:57,659 CFCs had thinned the protective layer that shielded 490 00:31:57,692 --> 00:32:01,130 us from the Sun's harmful ultraviolet radiation. 491 00:32:01,163 --> 00:32:03,598 And it was getting worse all the time. 492 00:32:05,167 --> 00:32:07,369 When UV light hits a CFC molecule, 493 00:32:08,503 --> 00:32:11,440 it strips away the chlorine atoms. 494 00:32:11,473 --> 00:32:15,144 Once that happens, the chlorine atoms start devouring 495 00:32:15,177 --> 00:32:17,846 the precious ozone molecules. 496 00:32:18,113 --> 00:32:20,849 It wasn't until our planet developed an ozone layer, 497 00:32:20,882 --> 00:32:23,385 about two and a half billion years ago, 498 00:32:23,418 --> 00:32:26,621 that it was safe for life to leave the ocean for the land. 499 00:32:27,922 --> 00:32:33,828 A single chlorine atom can destroy 100,000 ozone molecules. 500 00:32:39,801 --> 00:32:44,173 CFCs were in everything, and the manufacturers couldn't 501 00:32:44,206 --> 00:32:46,208 imagine a world without it. 502 00:32:47,309 --> 00:32:50,045 The corporate response to this danger was that the 503 00:32:50,079 --> 00:32:52,381 science hadn't been settled. 504 00:32:52,981 --> 00:32:55,717 People had a hard time believing that we had become 505 00:32:55,750 --> 00:32:59,554 powerful enough as a species to endanger life on the planet. 506 00:33:01,123 --> 00:33:03,892 They looked for non-human causes for the loss of the 507 00:33:03,925 --> 00:33:05,727 ozone in the sky. 508 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:08,263 One Reagan administration official suggested that 509 00:33:08,297 --> 00:33:12,167 everyone just wear more sunblock and put on a hat and sunglasses. 510 00:33:14,436 --> 00:33:16,938 But the scientists pointed out that the plankton, 511 00:33:16,971 --> 00:33:19,908 those tiny plants at the base of the global food chain, 512 00:33:19,941 --> 00:33:22,944 and the larger plants, were unlikely to do so. 513 00:33:24,079 --> 00:33:27,182 Molina and Rowland tirelessly worked to warn the world. 514 00:33:29,084 --> 00:33:31,686 ROWLAND: What's the use of having developed a science 515 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:33,822 well enough to make predictions if, 516 00:33:33,855 --> 00:33:37,359 in the end, all we're willing to do is stand around and wait 517 00:33:37,392 --> 00:33:39,261 for them to come true? 518 00:33:40,195 --> 00:33:41,863 TYSON: Rowland and Cassandra would've had a lot 519 00:33:41,896 --> 00:33:43,565 to talk about. 520 00:33:43,598 --> 00:33:46,435 But then something amazing happened. 521 00:33:47,469 --> 00:33:49,904 There was a global outcry. 522 00:33:49,938 --> 00:33:53,074 People all over the world got involved. 523 00:33:53,342 --> 00:33:56,578 In the 1960s, the women of the world demanded an end to 524 00:33:56,611 --> 00:33:59,614 atmospheric nuclear testing because they didn't want to 525 00:33:59,648 --> 00:34:02,484 nurse their babies with poisoned milk. 526 00:34:02,917 --> 00:34:06,355 Then, in the '80s, consumers demanded that the corporations 527 00:34:06,388 --> 00:34:09,458 stop manufacturing CFCs. 528 00:34:09,491 --> 00:34:11,760 And you know what, little one? 529 00:34:11,793 --> 00:34:13,662 The governments listened. 530 00:34:13,695 --> 00:34:17,399 CFCs were banned in 197 countries. 531 00:34:17,432 --> 00:34:20,469 That's just about as many countries as there are on this planet. 532 00:34:21,403 --> 00:34:24,773 And that's why this is one danger you can cross 533 00:34:24,806 --> 00:34:27,342 off your worry list. 534 00:34:27,642 --> 00:34:31,045 The ozone layer has been getting thicker ever since. 535 00:34:35,784 --> 00:34:38,887 But what would've happened if Rowland and Molina 536 00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,890 hadn't been curious about the stratosphere, 537 00:34:41,923 --> 00:34:45,260 or if their warnings had been ignored as Cassandra's were? 538 00:34:45,294 --> 00:34:47,762 By the time of your 40th birthday, 539 00:34:47,796 --> 00:34:49,798 the ozone would have been all but gone from 540 00:34:49,831 --> 00:34:51,466 the entire planet. 541 00:34:51,500 --> 00:34:53,735 You would never have been able to take your own little ones 542 00:34:53,768 --> 00:34:56,538 out to bask in the sunshine. 543 00:34:58,740 --> 00:35:01,643 The food crops would have completely failed. 544 00:35:01,676 --> 00:35:03,778 The herbivores, those who live off them, 545 00:35:03,812 --> 00:35:05,647 would have died out. 546 00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,850 The carnivores would subsist on their corpses for a while, 547 00:35:08,883 --> 00:35:11,686 but ultimately they, too, would be doomed. 548 00:35:13,855 --> 00:35:17,659 If we continue to safeguard the ozone layer, 549 00:35:17,692 --> 00:35:21,430 it will be completely mended by your 50th birthday. 550 00:35:23,031 --> 00:35:25,033 I may not get to see it, 551 00:35:25,066 --> 00:35:27,969 but I have imagined what it might be like. 552 00:35:36,311 --> 00:35:39,147 TYSON: One last story, little one. 553 00:35:39,548 --> 00:35:41,350 It's about another person who had the power to 554 00:35:41,383 --> 00:35:43,652 foresee the future. 555 00:35:44,386 --> 00:35:48,623 His story remains unknown outside the scientific community. 556 00:35:48,990 --> 00:35:52,327 But even Apollo would've envied his power of prophecy. 557 00:35:53,428 --> 00:35:56,765 He foretold an epic tale of things to come with 558 00:35:56,798 --> 00:35:59,301 astonishing accuracy. 559 00:35:59,334 --> 00:36:04,172 And every one of us, including you, are in his debt. 560 00:36:09,911 --> 00:36:13,248 He was born in a rural part of Japan named Ehime, 561 00:36:14,148 --> 00:36:16,351 which means "Lovely Princess." 562 00:36:16,851 --> 00:36:19,354 A place of unspoiled natural beauty. 563 00:36:20,255 --> 00:36:22,857 But he spent much of his childhood buried beneath the 564 00:36:22,891 --> 00:36:24,893 surface of the earth. 565 00:36:25,159 --> 00:36:29,130 The cruelest war the world had ever seen had forced the boy 566 00:36:29,163 --> 00:36:32,066 and the people of his small town to hide in an underground 567 00:36:32,100 --> 00:36:33,868 bomb shelter. 568 00:36:34,536 --> 00:36:36,905 At first, Syukuro Manabe, 569 00:36:36,938 --> 00:36:41,142 or "Suki," wanted to be a doctor, like his father and grandfather. 570 00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:49,050 He discovered physics and became enchanted by it, 571 00:36:49,083 --> 00:36:51,553 but didn't think he could do the math. 572 00:36:52,421 --> 00:36:56,024 His grades were poor, until he began to concentrate 573 00:36:56,057 --> 00:36:58,460 on the questions that interested him most. 574 00:36:59,528 --> 00:37:03,998 Why is the atmosphere and climate of Earth the way that it is? 575 00:37:04,032 --> 00:37:07,235 He wondered why Earth maintained the same average 576 00:37:07,268 --> 00:37:10,138 global temperature year after year. 577 00:37:11,205 --> 00:37:14,376 What was keeping the planetary thermostat set at that 578 00:37:14,409 --> 00:37:16,511 particular temperature? 579 00:37:16,878 --> 00:37:20,482 Was it possible to take all the variables of the planet's climate 580 00:37:20,515 --> 00:37:22,384 its atmospheric pressure, 581 00:37:22,417 --> 00:37:25,354 cloud cover, humidity, surface conditions, 582 00:37:25,387 --> 00:37:27,689 ocean and wind currents; 583 00:37:27,722 --> 00:37:30,058 and create a climate model for the planet? 584 00:37:31,326 --> 00:37:34,262 One that had the power of prophecy? 585 00:37:35,229 --> 00:37:38,867 Now remember, this was before climatologists in Japan 586 00:37:38,900 --> 00:37:41,035 had any access to computers. 587 00:37:42,136 --> 00:37:45,474 He did these brain-numbing calculations by hand. 588 00:37:50,278 --> 00:37:53,915 In 1958, he was invited to immigrate to the United States 589 00:37:53,948 --> 00:37:55,884 by the US Weather Service. 590 00:37:56,618 --> 00:37:59,287 Five years later, Manabe was given access to 591 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,322 one of the first "super computers." 592 00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:08,162 When the great volume of data about Earth's climate 593 00:38:08,196 --> 00:38:11,132 crashed the entire system, he was mortified. 594 00:38:13,702 --> 00:38:17,572 It took him another four years to assemble the evidence 595 00:38:17,606 --> 00:38:21,342 for a bold and tragic prediction. 596 00:38:43,532 --> 00:38:46,635 There are broken branches on the four-billion-year-old 597 00:38:46,668 --> 00:38:48,870 tree of life. 598 00:38:48,903 --> 00:38:52,306 And this is their monument. 599 00:38:52,641 --> 00:38:56,144 Each hallway memorializes the mass extinctions that 600 00:38:56,177 --> 00:39:00,849 were so widespread that life itself came close to dying. 601 00:39:01,750 --> 00:39:04,653 The first five catastrophes happened a long time 602 00:39:04,686 --> 00:39:06,788 before we got here. 603 00:39:06,821 --> 00:39:11,560 But the sixth is now, and it has our name on it. 604 00:39:24,372 --> 00:39:26,374 (growl) 605 00:39:29,478 --> 00:39:31,913 (wind) 606 00:39:39,821 --> 00:39:43,925 Sometimes prophecy comes as a cry from the heart of a Trojan princess, 607 00:39:44,759 --> 00:39:46,094 but it can also be the 608 00:39:46,127 --> 00:39:49,430 dry-as-dust title of a scientific paper. 609 00:39:49,464 --> 00:39:53,568 Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution 610 00:39:53,602 --> 00:39:56,037 of Relative Humidity. 611 00:39:56,070 --> 00:39:57,271 Doesn't sound like, 612 00:39:57,305 --> 00:39:59,541 "The sky is falling, the sky is falling!" 613 00:39:59,574 --> 00:40:01,676 But that's what it said. 614 00:40:05,580 --> 00:40:09,317 Maybe this is where we should place our golden spike. 615 00:40:16,157 --> 00:40:18,760 Manabe and his colleague, Richard Wetherald, 616 00:40:18,793 --> 00:40:21,663 predicted how the temperature of the planet would change as 617 00:40:21,696 --> 00:40:24,799 a function of the increased greenhouse gases humans pumped 618 00:40:24,833 --> 00:40:26,868 into the atmosphere. 619 00:40:27,168 --> 00:40:30,004 The scientists foresaw precisely how the looming 620 00:40:30,038 --> 00:40:32,340 catastrophe would unfold. 621 00:40:34,475 --> 00:40:36,277 They saw far. 622 00:40:36,310 --> 00:40:40,181 Into our own time, and beyond. 623 00:40:43,284 --> 00:40:46,555 Some people still claim the science is unsettled, 624 00:40:46,588 --> 00:40:49,924 but if that's so, how was it possible for Manabe and 625 00:40:49,958 --> 00:40:52,694 Wetherald to correctly predict the rise in Earth's 626 00:40:52,727 --> 00:40:55,797 temperature across more than 50 years? 627 00:40:55,830 --> 00:40:57,999 And if it wasn't caused by us, 628 00:40:58,032 --> 00:41:00,935 where was all that carbon dioxide coming from? 629 00:41:01,169 --> 00:41:04,305 The larger community of climate scientists predicted 630 00:41:04,338 --> 00:41:06,741 heightened flooding of coastal cities, check. 631 00:41:06,775 --> 00:41:09,811 The mass death of coral reefs by ocean warming, check. 632 00:41:10,311 --> 00:41:13,582 The increase in intensity of catastrophic storms, check. 633 00:41:13,615 --> 00:41:15,183 Lethal heat waves, 634 00:41:15,216 --> 00:41:19,353 droughts and runaway wildfires of unprecedented magnitude, check. 635 00:41:20,421 --> 00:41:23,357 The scientists warned us. 636 00:41:28,262 --> 00:41:33,034 What about your future, your life, little one? 637 00:41:45,747 --> 00:41:48,883 Your first day of kindergarten was postponed until the 638 00:41:48,917 --> 00:41:52,420 thermometer dropped below the lethal temperature level. 639 00:42:01,262 --> 00:42:03,364 When the wildfires came, 640 00:42:03,397 --> 00:42:07,335 your family was forced to flee with nothing from your childhood home. 641 00:42:17,511 --> 00:42:20,581 Water was the champagne at your wedding. 642 00:42:40,635 --> 00:42:45,473 (wind) 643 00:42:56,217 --> 00:42:58,720 (distant cries) 644 00:43:01,656 --> 00:43:03,457 This doesn't have to be. 645 00:43:03,491 --> 00:43:05,727 It's not too late. 646 00:43:06,060 --> 00:43:09,798 There's another hallway, another future, we can still have. 647 00:43:11,265 --> 00:43:14,635 I promise to get you there. We'll find a way. 648 00:43:53,474 --> 00:43:55,476 Captioned by Cotter Captioning Services. 52462

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