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"Armies win battles, logistics win wars".
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While at the strategic level russian logisticsĀ
are simple and straightforward-it relies primarilyĀ Ā
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on railroad connections-but at the operationalĀ
level, because of the heavy and protracted war,Ā Ā
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enemy logistics have taken on aĀ
unique shape unlike anything else.
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Ukraine's use of high-precision andĀ
long-range weapons and the backwardĀ Ā
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state of Russian army logistics haveĀ
resulted in the main warehouses to whichĀ Ā
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supplies are delivered being moved 100Ā
or more kilometers from the front line.
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The constant fear of a high-precisionĀ
ammunition strike forces the use ofĀ Ā
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any means of supply to the maximumĀ
extent possible to be decentralized.
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One must remember that the mainĀ
enemy of any logistician is distance.Ā Ā
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After the shipment of equipment andĀ
ammunition, they are driven to theĀ Ā
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very line of contact in anything thatĀ
rides and can lift any amount of cargo.
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This can be both army trucks andĀ
civilian cars down to scooters,Ā Ā
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motorblocks and even wheelbarrows. All of thisĀ
is usually taken from the local population.
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Usually cargo is carried no closer thanĀ
two kilometers from the front line.Ā Ā
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If there are rivers in the area, boatsĀ
and even homemade rafts are used.
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Already directly to the trenches and positionsĀ
the cargo is dragged by soldiers on their backsĀ Ā
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to the very front line. Ukrainian defendersĀ
have already managed to call them "donkeys."
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"Donkey" rushes to the front linesĀ
with a backpack full of ammunition,Ā Ā
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medical supplies, spare parts, or otherĀ
cargo. This practice of widespread useĀ Ā
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of porters has been documented in theĀ
Bakhmut, Svatove and Kreminna directions.
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As you can imagine, such couriers will not beĀ
able to supply the enemy's armored vehiclesĀ Ā
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with ammunition. For a reason, some of theĀ
only places where we see the enemy usingĀ Ā
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large tank and mechanized formations since theĀ
beginning of this year are Avdiivka and Vuhledar.Ā Ā
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They have the ability toĀ
refuel and resupply in Donetsk.Ā Ā
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But the farther the enemy units are from suchĀ
logistics centers, the more helpless they are.
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One reason for the enemy's limited and localizedĀ
successes in the Bakhmut direction is the constantĀ Ā
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dilemma before Ukrainian commanders whether to useĀ
high-precision ammunition for each "donkey" lone.Ā Ā
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If a decision is made to save ammunition, drop byĀ Ā
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drop such a system allows one to saturateĀ
a particular area at the tactical level.
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Of the hundreds of "donkeys" scattering andĀ
moving in groups or singles, even if some ofĀ Ā
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them are hit, another part will reach the line ofĀ
contact and saturate the units with ammunition.
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In summary, such a system allows to saturateĀ
the front during positional warfare,Ā Ā
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when it is necessary to constantly feed infantryĀ Ā
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formations and when the enemy does notĀ
undertake major offensive operations.
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During the mobile phase, the maneuvering andĀ
movement of enemy forces, and during a breakout,Ā Ā
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such a system is inadequate and cannot sustainĀ
units on a dynamically changing battlefield.
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Such a primitive system cannot supply largeĀ
armored, artillery, and mechanized units,Ā Ā
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which must rely on echelons of trucks,Ā
fuel trucks, and other means and measuresĀ Ā
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of modern combined-arms combatĀ
and deep maneuver operations.
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Therefore I will repeat once again:Ā
War is always won by logistics.
5010
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