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It is becoming increasingly clear that the
AFU is systematically attacking the enemy's
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fuel logistics.
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The attack on the oil depot is one of the
elements of preparation for the counteroffensive
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actions of the AFU.
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This was confirmed by the speaker of the Operational
Command "South", which is responsible for
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this direction.
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The tactic of destroying enemy logistics is
one of the most effective since the beginning
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of the war.
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One of the elements of the reflection of enemy
convoys to Kyiv was the undermining of fuel
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logistics.
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The fact is that supply lines according to
the canons should not exceed 100 km, and for
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one Battalion tactical group on average 10-12
fuel tankers are needed.
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In the occupied territories the enemy is not
able to accumulate a reserve of fuel due to
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the destroyed relevant infrastructure and
the missile reach of Himars systems.
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The only safe way to supply goes through the
Crimea, but even this stretches logistics
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well over a hundred kilometers.
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In total, the enemy has over 500 oil depots,
but within reach of a few hundred kilometers
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this figure is much more modest, only 35-40
oil depots.
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In less than a week the AFU successfully attacked
six enemy oil depots.
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Of course one attack will not take out all
the tanks, but for example in Sevastopol 60%
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of the capacity was destroyed after only one
attack.
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This is by the way a key fuel hub in Crimea,
which now has 10 destroyed tanks and several
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damaged ones.
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Now add that the attacks are carried out in
small groups of 3-5 drones, and it will take
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at least 5 months to repair the damage in
Sevastopol.
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The AFU will be like "pianists playing" on
enemy oil depots, destroying tank after tank.
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The aggressor country's command has to make
a decision to either pull precious air defense
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from the front or from under Putin's ass to
protect the oil depots.
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Because it turns out that Ukrainian drones
fly hundreds of kilometers of enemy territory
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and reach the target, and Russians have problems
protecting even a small number of strategic
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airfields.
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So one can only wish: "Play Maestro, play!"
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The initial stage of preparation of the counteroffensive
is so media-intensive, as well as the counteroffensive
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itself: the Minister of Defense almost every
day gives a comment on the readiness of the
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AFU, the speakers openly say that destruction
of logistics is preparation and much more,
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which may seem illogical.
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Add the drones in the Kremlin and no matter
who launched them, the hysterics of the leader
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of the Wagner group, the media disorganization
of Russian propagandists.
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All this information layering reinforces Zelensky's
tour and symbolic speeches in The Hague, which
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the press is already dubbing a "historic moment.
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There is a balance between the military expediency
of making this or that information public
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and the political heating of this topic for
the corresponding negotiating positions on
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arms.
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The key goal is to increase belief in success.
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The key outcome is to increase military assistance
on the principle of "Still a bit short to
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achieve maximum results."
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The second point is that the initial phase
of the counteroffensive has already begun
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and that Zelensky is performing his international
functions as president at the time of this
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start.
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He is not "directing Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhnyi
in manual mode."
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This is a critical aspect to success: politicians
should stay out of the military's business.
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Therefore, hopefully the full effect of the
information layering will result in "faith"
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and, as a consequence, additional military
aid packages.
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