Original subtitles

I would like to share my observations about the so-called "goodwill gesture" of the occupiers

and the evacuation from the temporarily occupied territories that some sources write about.

Let me put it this way.

At the moment, I do not see any signs of preparation of a "goodwill gesture" in the left-bank Kherson

region, Zaporizhzhia region and other occupied territories.

All those evacuation processes that take place in some regions do not count, because they

do not reflect the willingness of the occupants themselves to flee.

The main signs of preparation for a "gesture of good will" are not the removal of civilians

and collaborators, but some other actions, in three stages.

First, it is the removal of medical personnel.

The first sign of preparation for flight is the removal of occupant medical personnel

from medical institutions in the cities and the winding up of field hospitals, and so

on.

This process is accompanied by the looting of medical equipment and the emptying of local

pharmacies.

The second is the withdrawal of artillery units.

Artillery is now worth its weight in gold for the Russian troops and is being withdrawn

at the same time or after the medical personnel.

The decrease of this component in the combat zone and along the line of contact indicates

that the occupants are preparing to flee.

And thirdly, the withdrawal of communications systems.

If the Russians start phasing out communications units, primary and redundant systems, it is

a sign of the final stage of preparations to flee.

To date, not even the first stage of this process has been observed at any of the locations.

All this suggests that the enemy forces are not currently preparing to flee from any of

the bridgeheads they occupy and continue to believe that they can hold their ground under

the onslaught of the AFU counteroffensive.

Well, the suicides made their election.

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If you look carefully at the dynamics of the burning out of the Russian logistics - it

occurs accurately along the entire front line, which, let me remind you, is more than a thousand

kilometers.

The depth is still the same - up to 100 km from the line of contact.

All this suggests that the Ukrainians are preparing for an offensive, but carefully

conceal the possible direction of the main strike.

Back in World War I it became clear - intensive artillery preparation in a particular direction

gives the enemy a precise idea of where it will be.

Actually, the success of the defense depends on the answer to several questions: when,

who, and where?

When - we don't know, maybe in a week, maybe in a month.

Any "exact" dates now are speculation.

Who - the answer is obvious, trained AFU reserves with Western vehicles.

But the scale is not obvious - this is why all sorts of leaks are organized to fool the

heads of Russian "analysts".

Where - is the most important question, and here are possible options.

If they do not determine it in time - then there will be no way to stop the breakthrough.

All we have to do is wait.

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