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I'm an oceanographer,
my main interest at the moment is sea level rise,
how it effects coastal communities and how
sea level rise is going to effect
people during this century.
I'm a coral reef geomorphologist,
that means I actually study how reef islands
evolve and respond to sea level change,
both rises and falls.
John and I will be writing a report,
that we will get translated into the local language.
We'll be hoping to provide some simple,
easy to understand resources,
which will provide some advice to the community here
on what some of their options are.
At the moment the world is warming up
and it's warming up because of
other people in the world, it's certainly not you
it's other people in the world
who are burning things like diesel fuel in large amounts.
This is putting gases into the atmosphere,
which actually cause the world to warm.
One thing we know is going to happen
during this century, we're going to get some sea level rise.
But at the same time even if sea level didn't rise,
you'd see some changes to the island.
You might also find you get some problems with
erosion, with losing your shoreline.
If we do something
for one reason
it might actually make other changes,
and we have to know,
have some idea of what those other changes might be.
And we have to say,
are we happy about some of those other changes.
In 1991 people started to build sea walls?
- You can see there's a lot of water bubbling out there,
if I throw this on you can see if drift away.
It's very sulphurous.
- You can see that, the fine mud that's come up there?
See the calcium carbonate that's come up?
- Well yesterday, you know?
We levelled from the beach on the lagoon across to the sea.
The tide was at one and a half metres.
Your garden, which has the salt water coming into it,
is actually about 20 cm lower.
- That's right.
If the level of the high tides rises by 50 cm
or a metre over the next century or so,
then the water level is going to be coming up all the time.
So that's potentially going to be a little bit,
of a problem, especially for long-live crops,
like the giant taro, which take 15 years.
The water is still pretty high for a low tide isn't it?
At the moment these large waves are affecting
all the northern islands of Papua New Guinea.
So, this is a big scale event.
I'm a little worried that this afternoon
we will see waves like we did yesterday
and maybe a little worse even.
That's one reason we don't want to
keep you all here for very long today
because people might to go and move some of their possessions
out of the way of those waves.
They might not come, but they might.
John and I have been surveying around the island
we can see where some parts of the island have been eroded,
over the next few months some of those changes might come back.
And that's what happens on islands
but some of them may not
because this is a big event.
- And you have to
think that well those flooding events
50 years time they may be happening
3 to 10 times more often
just because of sea level rise.
I fully understand why people are worried and concerned
and there are thing that should
be important for your Government,
but
I don't want everybody to get very sad very soon
because there are things we need to worry about.
But we can worry and we can think
and we can get things happening
in the time.
We need to be
productive rather than panicking.
- You can alleviate that to a certain extent
simply by planning,
by moving to the areas of the island that are a bit higher.
And that's one way we can help, by telling
you which parts of the island are higher.
When you do live on an island like this and you realise
how very, very vulnerable the islands are from events,
which can suddenly change the way they are living.
These things can really be
handled quite easily if there is a regular
human communication with the outside world.
If the boat came every
two weeks or a month then this would make
life an awful lot easier for the islanders.
But as it is people don't actually know when
it's going to come, so they can't really plan.
I would be happy to live
on this island,
if I could be assured
that the resources
to reduce the vulnerability of the inhabitants
would be forthcoming.
With that in advice
we could improve
housing
and we could make it so they could get regular supplies
so that maintenance could be done
and these things weren't seen as
things that get done and then fall apart.
There's the issue of climate change here
but there's also simply an issue of money
and resources
and we're talking about a country that
simply doesn't have the money to do
the things that need to be done.
Thank you for looking after us.
Maybe when people do things
they need to consider more about
whether or not if the places that they hold dear,
they had to leave
or even if those places were
to be struck off the map
how would they feel about that.
And then they need to magnify that impact by 10 times
because this is all these people know,
their whole culture their life, everything is here.
It's not like they can just travel up the coast
or down Th coast or somewhere else this is it.
This is their world
and their world is being destroyed.
The climate signs I think will say
that the developed world has to start to really reduce
it's emissions in order to allow the
developing world to raise it's emissions
we can't expect the developing world to actually not
have any greenhouse gas emission increases,
otherwise they're just not going
to lift themselves out of poverty.
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