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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,330 --> 00:00:04,220 So when you're looking at like a margin of safety, when you're investing in stocks, particularly like 2 00:00:04,230 --> 00:00:09,330 a value stock that might be selling at a reduced price because something is going on with the stock, 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:13,870 you want to make sure that they can pay their bills just like you or me. 4 00:00:13,890 --> 00:00:19,500 What's important that we're able to pay our bills and we have actually measures that can we can use 5 00:00:19,500 --> 00:00:24,120 this to evaluate different companies and their ability to pay their current bills. 6 00:00:24,150 --> 00:00:29,310 Think of it as the what we call the current ratio and quick ratio, and these are emergency safety tools 7 00:00:29,310 --> 00:00:30,720 we're going to learn about in this lesson. 8 00:00:31,140 --> 00:00:34,560 And that's the big question can a company cover their short term debts? 9 00:00:34,860 --> 00:00:39,810 Or we might not commonly known as bills, but in the finance parlance, we consider them short term 10 00:00:39,810 --> 00:00:40,170 debts. 11 00:00:40,170 --> 00:00:46,170 Debts are usually less than a year old or are coming due within a year versus a long term debt, something 12 00:00:46,170 --> 00:00:50,100 that's going to be, you know, do to pay a year or more out. 13 00:00:50,130 --> 00:00:53,780 So we're looking at short term some of those coming due right away or within a year. 14 00:00:54,540 --> 00:00:58,260 So what happens if a company can't cover their debts? 15 00:00:58,260 --> 00:01:00,510 Bills are coming due, they've got to pay them. 16 00:01:00,510 --> 00:01:00,750 What? 17 00:01:00,820 --> 00:01:01,420 What are they do? 18 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:02,610 What are some things they can do? 19 00:01:02,610 --> 00:01:08,220 And they're not good things, particularly for our stock price, so they can reduce their expenses. 20 00:01:08,460 --> 00:01:09,550 There's different ways to do that. 21 00:01:09,570 --> 00:01:13,650 One is to layoff people that's always ugly and nasty, especially if you're one of the people getting 22 00:01:13,650 --> 00:01:16,320 laid off so they can reduce their expenses. 23 00:01:16,590 --> 00:01:21,900 They can also reduce their expenses by spending less on really key in important areas, such as training 24 00:01:21,900 --> 00:01:25,380 for their team members, marketing, research and development. 25 00:01:25,710 --> 00:01:31,620 All these things can have longer term consequences as far as having the company be successful going 26 00:01:31,620 --> 00:01:36,900 forward, but they may need to reduce their expenses in the short term to meet these obligations. 27 00:01:37,290 --> 00:01:39,630 Another thing they can do is sell off assets, right? 28 00:01:39,630 --> 00:01:44,010 They can sell off plants or factories or entire divisions. 29 00:01:44,010 --> 00:01:48,740 They can sell off, you know, they can do all sorts of things to sell off different assets, equipment, 30 00:01:48,750 --> 00:01:50,430 you know, all sorts of things they can do. 31 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:55,080 Again, thinking long term, these might have been assets that could have been used in the future, 32 00:01:55,080 --> 00:02:00,750 but now we need to sell them to cover our short term obligations, or we could take on more debt. 33 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,580 See that happen right where where companies need to service their debt or pay their debt. 34 00:02:05,580 --> 00:02:11,070 And so they take on more debt with a longer term rate as as term being when it comes do. 35 00:02:11,460 --> 00:02:14,550 So they use the longer term debt to cover the short term debt. 36 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,930 And we know of a company never really turns it around and never really gets that under control. 37 00:02:19,500 --> 00:02:23,760 It's almost like a Ponzi scheme where at some point, you know, all this debt is going to come due 38 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:26,100 and they're not going will pay it, and that becomes a problem. 39 00:02:26,430 --> 00:02:28,650 Or they could cut or eliminate their dividend. 40 00:02:28,860 --> 00:02:33,930 Remember, dividends are payments are getting paid to shareholders, people like you and I who own stock 41 00:02:34,170 --> 00:02:36,960 as part of our compensation for investing in a company. 42 00:02:37,260 --> 00:02:39,510 But a company can decide what they want to pay in a dividend. 43 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:44,100 They don't have to pay a dividend so they could reduce that payment amount or they could eliminate that 44 00:02:44,100 --> 00:02:45,360 dividend altogether. 45 00:02:45,630 --> 00:02:48,720 That way, cash is not going out of the company to pay us. 46 00:02:49,050 --> 00:02:54,090 They can use that cash in the company to pay their short term debt might be good for the company, but 47 00:02:54,090 --> 00:02:56,100 not good for us as far as stockholders. 48 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,500 So when they do these things, what can happen? 49 00:02:58,500 --> 00:03:01,710 You know what can happen if they can't cover their debt and they do some of these things? 50 00:03:02,010 --> 00:03:05,310 What are some possible results in significant? 51 00:03:05,310 --> 00:03:07,420 What can happen is the stock price can go down. 52 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:12,060 Sometimes it can go way down when we start doing these things, particularly if they're cutting a dividend, 53 00:03:12,090 --> 00:03:16,290 you know where they you know where they're taking that money away from shareholders. 54 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,030 Sometimes you can have a little opposite thing. 55 00:03:18,030 --> 00:03:22,710 This is the unfortunate thing where you see companies announce layoffs and their stock price goes up 56 00:03:22,710 --> 00:03:24,270 because they're cutting off their expenses. 57 00:03:24,570 --> 00:03:28,530 But the shareholders like the idea that they're not getting their dividend cut or they're doing things 58 00:03:28,530 --> 00:03:30,120 to try to help improve the company. 59 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,910 From a shareholder owner standpoint, that doesn't help. 60 00:03:32,910 --> 00:03:37,200 Of course, the poor people have been let laid off, but that's the unfortunate thing where sometimes 61 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,550 layoffs can be a good thing for a stock price, but usually certainly for the long term. 62 00:03:41,820 --> 00:03:46,320 The stock price can go down if they have a struggle covering their debts and if they never recover, 63 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:50,340 they're never able to cover their debts if they take on more debt to try to cover the short term debt. 64 00:03:50,710 --> 00:03:54,960 You know, then they can end up things like filing for bankruptcy or maybe selling off even more assets 65 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:59,250 or things that really reduced rates because people know that the company is in trouble and can negotiate 66 00:03:59,250 --> 00:03:59,790 better things. 67 00:03:59,790 --> 00:04:02,680 So being able to cover your short term debts is real. 68 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:07,440 Important is important for us to be able to measure that and the measures that we would use for that 69 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:10,020 are called the current and quick ratios. 70 00:04:10,260 --> 00:04:14,600 And I'm going to show you how they kind of work here, but that's really the current and quick ratios 71 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:19,560 measure a company's ability to service or in effect, pay their short term debt. 72 00:04:19,570 --> 00:04:24,100 So it's looking at short term debts and their ability to pay that they're easy to calculate. 73 00:04:24,100 --> 00:04:24,720 I'm going to show you that. 74 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:30,030 So we understand that the under lying calculations and what the difference is between them, but they're 75 00:04:30,030 --> 00:04:33,900 easy to look up and haven't calculated for you, and I'll show you that as well where you can look these 76 00:04:33,900 --> 00:04:37,680 things up for company so you don't have to do the manual calculation so you don't want to. 77 00:04:38,070 --> 00:04:42,480 And again, the key is they're looking at short term, not long term debt, things like more like debt 78 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:43,910 to equity ratio, things of that. 79 00:04:44,130 --> 00:04:45,540 Consider more long term debt. 80 00:04:45,540 --> 00:04:51,630 And these ratios, we're looking at short term ability to pay their current debts and be solvent that 81 00:04:51,630 --> 00:04:51,840 way. 82 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,300 So let's start with the current ratio. 83 00:04:54,450 --> 00:04:58,250 Very common thing that's used in investing is the current ratio. 84 00:04:58,260 --> 00:04:59,580 Sometimes it's known as the. 85 00:04:59,900 --> 00:05:05,420 Working capital calculations are working, capital ratio is a very simple calculation, you're basically 86 00:05:05,420 --> 00:05:11,480 taking your current assets divided by your current liabilities, so current assets with big things like 87 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,590 cash accounts receivable. 88 00:05:13,610 --> 00:05:17,180 That's money that people over the company, they bought something on credit, for example. 89 00:05:17,180 --> 00:05:22,610 Now the owes all the company money so that accounts receivable assets are things like inventory that 90 00:05:22,610 --> 00:05:27,800 you can sell off and other assets are expected to turn into cash in less than one year. 91 00:05:28,010 --> 00:05:28,790 So that's the key. 92 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:33,350 Current assets are things, and current liabilities are all things that are within what's going to happen 93 00:05:33,350 --> 00:05:34,370 within one year. 94 00:05:34,670 --> 00:05:39,140 And these are things that you can return the cash and then you can use those cash, use that cash to 95 00:05:39,140 --> 00:05:40,160 pay your short term debt. 96 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:44,540 So if current assets and then you'd rather buy current liabilities, which are things like accounts 97 00:05:44,540 --> 00:05:47,300 payable, that's debt or bills that we owe. 98 00:05:47,300 --> 00:05:49,640 For example, they're coming to accounts payable. 99 00:05:50,660 --> 00:05:56,450 We have a wages, so we are we are employees money and that's coming up as far as liabilities. 100 00:05:56,450 --> 00:05:58,700 So we have wages, taxes that we got to pay. 101 00:05:58,730 --> 00:06:02,130 We got to pay taxes and the current portion of long term debt. 102 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:06,590 You know, maybe you have something that, you know, long term debt that's like a 10 year note. 103 00:06:06,860 --> 00:06:09,200 So you've got to pay off in installments every year. 104 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:15,320 So current ratio would look at what the current year your one tenth of that basically would be considered 105 00:06:15,620 --> 00:06:16,730 as a current liability. 106 00:06:16,910 --> 00:06:19,970 The rest of the debt is further out from year two through 10. 107 00:06:20,270 --> 00:06:25,490 So what's going to happen one term in the next year in terms of current liabilities and the killers? 108 00:06:25,490 --> 00:06:28,370 When you calculate this where we look it up, the higher the number, the better. 109 00:06:28,610 --> 00:06:33,960 If I have more assets, particularly these liquid assets like cash and accountancy or immaterial, that 110 00:06:33,980 --> 00:06:36,080 that we can use thing to cover our debt up. 111 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:42,110 More of those are better than having more debt, so we want a number above 1.0, ideally the show that 112 00:06:42,110 --> 00:06:45,320 we can least cover our debts one on a one to one ratio. 113 00:06:45,530 --> 00:06:48,320 But if we're at 2.0 or a higher number, that's even better. 114 00:06:48,650 --> 00:06:53,690 And it's also best to compare it against the peers, as in other companies in that in that sector of 115 00:06:53,690 --> 00:06:59,450 space, you know, somebody who in defense contracts may be treated differently than apparel company 116 00:06:59,450 --> 00:07:04,550 versus a technology company versus, let's say, like a consumer goods company. 117 00:07:04,820 --> 00:07:09,200 So all these things that you can still compare them against different sectors, but it's a little bit 118 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:10,940 fair to compare it with in the sector. 119 00:07:11,420 --> 00:07:14,840 So that's the current racial and current assets versus current liabilities. 120 00:07:15,290 --> 00:07:20,030 Now, for some folks, they want to look at what's called a quick ratio, sometimes known as the acid 121 00:07:20,030 --> 00:07:20,960 test ratio. 122 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:25,790 And the idea of the quick ratio is you're looking at more current, you know, even more liquid or more 123 00:07:25,790 --> 00:07:26,900 current types of things. 124 00:07:27,230 --> 00:07:32,840 You can see the formula here where you've got the quick ratio and you're looking a cash or cash equivalents 125 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,050 of things that can be really turned on cash real quickly. 126 00:07:36,470 --> 00:07:41,030 Marketable securities, that's like stocks and things that they own or bonds or things that they own, 127 00:07:41,030 --> 00:07:46,200 that they can get money in from these other companies or marketable securities in accounts receivable. 128 00:07:46,220 --> 00:07:51,350 Again, money that's owed to the company that's coming in divided by that similar or that same current 129 00:07:51,350 --> 00:07:51,990 liabilities. 130 00:07:52,010 --> 00:07:57,920 All this is happening within one year again, and the keys to the quick ratio is that the more conservative 131 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:05,570 number than the current ratio, so quick ratio will always be less than a a lower number than a current 132 00:08:05,570 --> 00:08:06,080 ratio. 133 00:08:06,350 --> 00:08:11,150 You both want them to be above one, ideally, but certainly the higher number, the better. 134 00:08:11,150 --> 00:08:14,120 But your quick ratio always be less than your current ratio. 135 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:19,610 And the reason for that is it's looking at less assets and looking at assets that are more liquid means 136 00:08:19,610 --> 00:08:25,340 that can be easily turned into cash faster and real easily without having to maybe take some price reductions 137 00:08:25,340 --> 00:08:26,270 or things on something. 138 00:08:26,540 --> 00:08:32,929 So that's why something like inventory they exclude typically will exclude inventory because some inventory, 139 00:08:32,929 --> 00:08:38,120 especially finished goods, can be turned easily into cash, possibly depending how your sales are going, 140 00:08:38,419 --> 00:08:40,730 and some might be a little bit more stagnant or not. 141 00:08:40,730 --> 00:08:43,400 Turn over their inventory, turn over as quickly. 142 00:08:43,820 --> 00:08:46,880 Think about like if you were a rubber manufacturer, right? 143 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:48,860 You harvest and you make things out of rubber. 144 00:08:49,100 --> 00:08:53,480 And one of your big products is rubber tires that you would you sell to automobile manufacturers? 145 00:08:53,810 --> 00:08:58,760 But let's say the automobile manufacturing industry is hit hard and they're selling cars, so they're 146 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,500 not going to be buying your tires. 147 00:09:00,500 --> 00:09:02,990 And so you're not going to be able to generate that. 148 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:10,040 Those that rubber into cash or that inventory, especially raw goods like rubber into into cash quickly 149 00:09:10,340 --> 00:09:15,200 or as quickly as something like a cash or marketable security or accounts receivable. 150 00:09:15,560 --> 00:09:16,550 So it's a little bit tougher. 151 00:09:16,550 --> 00:09:17,630 No more conservative. 152 00:09:17,630 --> 00:09:17,990 No. 153 00:09:18,620 --> 00:09:22,520 And again, the higher the number, the better and best to compare against your peers when you look 154 00:09:22,530 --> 00:09:24,530 at both current and quick ratio. 155 00:09:24,950 --> 00:09:26,090 So how do we look these? 156 00:09:26,100 --> 00:09:30,550 So knowing how to calculate the underlying basis of them, you know they're easy to look up to. 157 00:09:30,560 --> 00:09:33,320 There's different tools you can use, but I'm going to show you one here. 158 00:09:33,590 --> 00:09:39,890 That's a real easy tool to look at and for screening stocks and for finding finding these numbers. 159 00:09:40,250 --> 00:09:42,580 And this is Finn Wills he may have used to before. 160 00:09:42,580 --> 00:09:45,910 It's called Finn with it's a Finn WSJ.com. 161 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:50,840 If I values XCOM, you can find it and you when you get to their home page, you want to see where that 162 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:51,540 first circle is. 163 00:09:51,540 --> 00:09:57,050 There you click where it's a screener up in the upper left there you'll find all these different screener 164 00:09:57,050 --> 00:09:59,540 things and then you want to go down to this little bar. 165 00:09:59,740 --> 00:10:06,130 Bosworth says like overview, valuation of financial ownership at all this little line below you need 166 00:10:06,130 --> 00:10:11,110 just click the part worth this financial and then it comes up with this what I'll show, then change 167 00:10:11,110 --> 00:10:14,620 above that and you can kind of then sort it out by different things. 168 00:10:14,620 --> 00:10:16,000 You want to screen your stocks for it. 169 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:21,580 So let's say I'm interested in consumer stocks, you know, and you know, things like food people would 170 00:10:21,580 --> 00:10:22,270 eat, for example. 171 00:10:22,270 --> 00:10:25,030 So I could say, and this is where it's highlighted in yellow, there are. 172 00:10:25,030 --> 00:10:26,200 These are the choices I made. 173 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:27,490 I left everything else the same. 174 00:10:27,850 --> 00:10:31,690 Let's say I'm looking for things on the New York Stock Exchange, just the New York Stock Exchange versus 175 00:10:31,690 --> 00:10:32,320 the Nasdaq. 176 00:10:32,530 --> 00:10:36,340 They can leave that for all stocks, but I'm going to say New York Stock Exchange, and I'm looking 177 00:10:36,340 --> 00:10:37,570 at really large companies. 178 00:10:37,570 --> 00:10:38,980 So I'm just for curiosity. 179 00:10:38,980 --> 00:10:42,850 I'm looking at large companies and you can see in terms of bill there where I'm looking at consumer 180 00:10:42,850 --> 00:10:43,870 defensive stocks. 181 00:10:44,140 --> 00:10:49,060 Consumer defense, it would be like stocks that are going to sell because no matter what's happening 182 00:10:49,060 --> 00:10:53,620 in the market, right, so people are going to buy food, people are going to buy household cleaning 183 00:10:53,620 --> 00:11:00,820 products or things like toothpaste were worth something like a more consumer cyclical stock or discretionary 184 00:11:00,820 --> 00:11:02,320 stock like, let's say, shoes. 185 00:11:02,590 --> 00:11:08,530 You don't have to buy shoes or certainly a name brand shoes like a Nike, but you probably do want to 186 00:11:08,530 --> 00:11:10,810 buy some food, for example. 187 00:11:11,290 --> 00:11:14,110 So that's just how they organized these different sectors or industries. 188 00:11:14,890 --> 00:11:15,900 So I selected that. 189 00:11:16,180 --> 00:11:21,250 And then you'll see in the middle part there, I've got this big red square there where it says, you 190 00:11:21,250 --> 00:11:26,110 know, Kerr and quick are that's your current ratio and your quick ratio so you can stand the stocks. 191 00:11:26,110 --> 00:11:27,130 They would list them on the left. 192 00:11:27,130 --> 00:11:30,370 A whole long list of stocks, and you can kind of look at their current ratios. 193 00:11:30,370 --> 00:11:34,180 And when you do it, you'll see that I pulled a three of them out here just so we could kind of get 194 00:11:34,180 --> 00:11:35,260 a feel and look at them. 195 00:11:35,530 --> 00:11:37,240 And some of the companies are well known. 196 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:42,220 So I have a Campbell's soup here, so you might know them for making soup served. 197 00:11:42,220 --> 00:11:48,130 We're famous for so so during recessions and things, people buy lots of soup and you can see that they 198 00:11:48,130 --> 00:11:49,810 run a current ratio below 1.0. 199 00:11:49,810 --> 00:11:54,310 So that's a little could be a little scary, but again, they're a little bit more if they can kind 200 00:11:54,310 --> 00:11:58,000 of count on that money coming in regularly so they can kind of manage around that. 201 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:02,530 So Kurt ratio point eight and a quick ratio a point five getting pretty low there. 202 00:12:03,190 --> 00:12:07,150 But that's something to consider, like if you're comparing Campbell's soup versus other stocks like, 203 00:12:07,150 --> 00:12:09,040 let's say, Hershey chocolate, right? 204 00:12:09,220 --> 00:12:15,100 So Hershey Chocolate makes chocolate bars and good chocolate products has a current ratio of one point 205 00:12:15,100 --> 00:12:15,400 four. 206 00:12:16,390 --> 00:12:20,050 So above that 1.0 we're looking for, that's good and a quick ratio. 207 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:25,140 The more acid test or the more challenging or more consumer numbers at a one point. 208 00:12:25,150 --> 00:12:29,500 Also, in terms of their ability to meet their short term obligations, they're really good shape. 209 00:12:29,770 --> 00:12:32,020 And then another one to compare would be like General Mills. 210 00:12:32,020 --> 00:12:35,350 They make cereal like Cheerios cereal, for example. 211 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,640 Believe they still own you'll play yogurt or if they sold it off, I'm not sure, but they but they 212 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:42,760 own a lot of different types of food and packaged food type products. 213 00:12:43,130 --> 00:12:45,940 You can see they're at a current ratio point seventeen point five. 214 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:51,070 So if you're looking just at that number, you could say in comparing these three companies, we were 215 00:12:51,070 --> 00:12:54,490 seeing at least three you might be interested in investing, you'd say, well, at least as far as meeting 216 00:12:54,490 --> 00:12:57,130 its short term obligations, a margin of safety. 217 00:12:57,370 --> 00:13:01,270 Hershey chocolate would be the better bet in comparison to the other two companies. 218 00:13:01,690 --> 00:13:06,100 Again, also time when comparing within its industry, I happen to look up Nike, for example, just 219 00:13:06,100 --> 00:13:10,630 for fun, and Nike runs a current ratio of two point five. 220 00:13:10,670 --> 00:13:13,150 Oh, and a quick ratio of one point eight. 221 00:13:13,690 --> 00:13:18,360 You think about that, they need more of a margin of safety for a consumer discretionary stock. 222 00:13:18,370 --> 00:13:23,680 So if things go bad in the economy or Nike struggles for something, maybe they had a big shoe recall 223 00:13:23,680 --> 00:13:26,140 or some scandal, which they've had in the past, of course, too. 224 00:13:26,680 --> 00:13:31,330 As far as the manufacturer issues the they need to be able to meet their short term debt so they carry 225 00:13:31,330 --> 00:13:36,790 a little bit more cash and things on hand to meet those obligations and thus their current ratio and 226 00:13:36,790 --> 00:13:41,710 a quick ratio, or two point five and one point you don't eat all versus these lower numbers for these 227 00:13:41,710 --> 00:13:46,330 discretionary or, excuse me, these defensive consumer stocks things that people are probably going 228 00:13:46,330 --> 00:13:46,690 to buy. 229 00:13:47,110 --> 00:13:49,470 So again, current ratio in quick ratio. 230 00:13:49,690 --> 00:13:54,010 Great way to get a quick look at a company and its ability to meet its current debt. 231 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:59,360 It's a great margin of safety tool because if the stock prices down, but I think a good current ratios 232 00:13:59,380 --> 00:14:04,000 and quick ratios, you know, that shows that they're able least meet their obligations and then hopefully 233 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:05,050 have a rebound. 234 00:14:05,050 --> 00:14:07,480 But you want to look at a lot of other factors too, of course. 235 00:14:07,750 --> 00:14:10,000 But this is two ratios that can really help you. 236 00:14:10,180 --> 00:14:14,380 So is understanding their short term obligations and ability to meet them. 25778

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