Original subtitles

All right folks welcome back

So I do apologize and I appreciate your patience cuz

Friday we had an issue with our internet locally so

Not sure what was going on but

Now we had an outage in our area

Did I have since been

Stor

Which I'm very thankful for

But on this

Review

Lecture

Teaching

I want to cover a couple things

And I want you to understand what it is we're doing that way we're not

Taking away the incorrect things and focusing on the things that are not Salient to the discussion

But I'm also looking for

You

Align yourself as to why I'm doing

Index Futures Trading specifically

Recently

And

I'm not so active in Forex

Before we get into it we're going to look at the dollar Index here

And I want you to see that

We've taken out the short-term High

In the short-term low

So we have a high here that took

Price higher

Broke that

Trailer of that low out there that is the topic

And teaching

Of this lecture today in your notes

I want you to create a

Section 4 dealing ranges

Okay whenever you hear me refer to a dealing range

What I'm looking at

Is a range

Price has taken out by side

Then reversed

And taken out sell

By the movement here okay that makes this range from here

To hear a dealing range

Okay so an ICT dealing range

Whenever you hear me refer to that

Why am I working with a specific range why am I looking at one high in this high

Why am I pulling my food from this low to that high all those questions are answered

Right here

So we have dealing range from here

To hear

So in this range

The question is

How's it useful

Well prior to this run up here

What has the dollar been doing

It's been bullish

I have been bullish

$1

I've been looking for higher prices in dollar

And for the most part it's been delivering okay

We've entered a little bit of sloppy range in here this past week and that's fine so when this low is

Taking out here in Southside is taken I'm not looking at as a market structure shift where it goes up to here runs to a gap

And go lower because I'm trading against the primary uptrend

If I do that that's the same as trying to pick a top

And I don't try to do that I've lost a lot of money as a young man trying to do that

So I submit myself

To the market being likely to follow

It's higher time frame bias

Trend momentum Direction

Okay so I look at that

Run below that low here

As accumulation of cell side liquidity for the purpose of buying it by smart money

So stops here

Being triggered

That's a flood of sellers coming into the marketplace and why is that useful and how's it useful smart money if they're bullish

And they're going to align themselves with the higher time frame Trend as well they're going to buy those cell stops

So I'm going to look at that run below here

As a means of buying

Dollar I'm not specifically buying dollar I don't ever trade the dollar but I use it as a barometer what does that mean

I'm using it

My analysis to determine

If this is going to go higher

Then foreign currency should go lower if this is going to go lower foreign currency should go higher vice versa it's like a teeter totter

So how this is useful is the dealing range that's been created

By running out the short term low here

I expect

Sell side to be accumulated that way the market starts to trade higher what would it trade for

Well the dealing range has been defined by this low being taken out

In this

Hi here take a nap

So we have by side here

Southside has been taken and if it turns higher

Once it starts to pull away from this low

Southside resides here and if I'm bullish because I'm sticking with the hard time frame Trend I'm not trying to pick tops the drawing

Liquidity is going to be that high

Because that's where by side is

So I'm not going to look at this run up into this range here for a fair value Gap to sell off on dollar that's not what I'm doing

I don't look for that my students know that

So I'm going to be anticipating this range to be taken out

So smart money buys the cell stops

And then sells to the buy stops there are traders that want to be short dollar if they're shorting dollar they'll put their protect

Stop loss right about this short-term High here and that provides what

By side liquidity how's that useful

Smart money that buys the cell stops here will offset to those buy stops above the short-term high so they're buying low selling

Who they selling to at a higher price the buy stops dressing above here

That's narrative

Okay so

Looking at the dollar we didn't do very much last week we kind of stayed inside the range here so it's Friday Thursday Wednesday Tuesday

Monday's range the Friday just a consolidation week

Okay

Euro dollar

This pair is

In my opinion very frustrating right now because it's not trying to move very much at all

And we moved back into this range here

And we're just stalling

I don't have a strong conviction One Direction or the other

So

If you look at this Market here is it obvious that it wants to go above these highs or below these lows

Now if we had a show of hands there is probably going to be a large degree of

Division

Some of you going to be looking for lower prices some are going to be looking for higher prices now the way ICT me myself

The analyst defines low probability

Set with a traitor can engage

In the setup the animals inside of me has to make a determination of high probability trade condition

So

How do I Define that

I've already taught it to you

This is for your Journal if you case you haven't already taken note with this

High probability conditions

With my Concepts and my analysis method

Is the algorithm

Presenting something in price that is so one-sided it's so obvious that it wants to go

Higher or go lower that it's very difficult for you to make a justification for the opposing

Side in other words if you're bullish and you think the price is likely to go higher

Does

Condition or market present

Next to no opportunity to present a shorting opportunity

So it's going to be obvious

This is

High probability

If there is a way for you to determine a likelihood of a an opposing

Set up

That is not my definition of high probability so what are we waiting for as Traders

What are we being patient for cuz I preach that all the time you're waiting for that one-sidedness to the marketplace and

It might not trade like that

For a day or two or maybe even a week

And you have to prepare yourself to have that patience

To wait for the setup to present itself to you with high probability conditions

How does this relate to Forex in my apprehension to engage with it recently

There is no high probability setup in Euro it can go either way it can run for the buy side here

Or can run for the sale side

Is that high probability absolutely not

Mark comes back up in the despair but he got me ran up into that why didn't it drop

I don't know

Why didn't it go higher

I don't know

Toyota said

Your teacher your Mentor Guru with the Horseshoe the luck

In my analysis

Trimming away all of this nonsense this is chaff

Just because the markets are printing candles

I'm not trying to

Predict every single fluctuation in every single Market I want to go where the iron is hot

And I want to strike it when it's there

Because I'm going to shape a winner out of a market that presents the opportunity that's high probability so

What I'm showing you here notice I'm not taking you into where the Market's going to go to next

Because I don't know

Don't know that right now

So I'm not in Forex

Does it make sense

Why am I going to gamble just to entertain you

I'm not going to do that I'm not here to show you that I can get wrong A lot of times and Marcus I never would have touched in the first place

See the logic behind that

Here's British pound now pound

Took out a short-term low here that's something that the euro dollar did not do respectively

So

Kind of like questioning is that an smt Divergence correlated pair of smt diversions now here's for your Journal correlated smt

Origins is when you are looking at correlated markets like British pound versus US dollar is closely correlated

To Euro versus

Dollar

Generally they'll move in sympathy with one another but

In instances like we have here

If I was bullish

For instance say I was bearish dollar

And polish foreign currency

If I saw this Divergence between this low

In this low here making it lower in cable or British pound versus US dollar versus that of

Going back up to euro

That low here

And here we have a higher love formed in Euro than that of

Cable you see that says Divergence so if I was bearish on dollar that would indicate to me that it's time

Going to be buying

Euro

Or buying cable

In this instance is if I was bearish dollar

Foolish foreign currency which currency would I buy euro or cable I would buy euro because

Because you're all failed to make the lower low because

Incense of comparing

Relative lows to relative lows

You're always failed to make a lower low so that would indicate

If those conditions were there and I'm not suggesting that they are folks

What is talking hypothetically here

Since cable went lower to take out that low here that's a stop running event

And

You're a dollar is failing to make that lower low so it's saying I'm not willing to go down there

NFL were bearish

This would indicate this is the relative strength leader

And then we I would expect this currency to Rally higher now that does not mean that

I won't trade cable long

Sometimes there's other factors that are outside the scope of this

It's not that I'm trying to keep it from you it just require me a lot of teachings that have to help support the reason

This is why I would say I would still go long British pound versus US dollar even though Euro failing me to lower low

Some of these things would be the economic counter coming up

Interest rates differentials all those things which again are outside the scope of this and I promise I'll touch on those

As we go through the rest of this year but I don't want you thinking or having the obligation placed on me

That I have to explain every single little detail because I mentioned something if you spend time with me hopefully that's

You're here for you're not here to just watch one week or a couple videos and call it quits or I think you know it all because you're not going to do that

But I want to give you a very deep dive into my Concepts and my analysis out that aligns itself with the algorithm

Here's the Australian dollar versus US dollar

You tell me

Is it likely to take out the South Side here

For the buy side here

Now it's real close to these so wouldn't it feel natural to say it should Spike down there and take that out

Logically that's what I think

It should and could do

But I could be wrong

I've been in markets where it's done this before and then ran away from it

Because this is The Logical level that

Everyone would look to see a breakout below I'm not a breakout Trader I look to see price run into these levels

That's my setup

So I'm not looking for a breakout to continuing

I'm looking for a run below an old low

For about an old high and I'm targeting liquidity

I'm not trading patterns

I'm not looking for anything harmonic

I'm not looking for supplying to me because that doesn't exist unless you're looking at commodity prices which I talked a little bit about on my Twitter

Face on this past Saturday

If you've listened to that and you found it insightful give me a comment below

I appreciate that

If it wasn't any help to you you're welcome to leave that as well

As long as it's respectful every comments accepted

But I don't have a

Strong

Opinion

About treating the Aussie dollar right now either

So I'm not touching it

Here's the dollar versus Canadian dollar

We mentioned how it took this short-term high up bumped it started to break lower and

Who knows what was going to do

And we had a little bit of retracement on Wednesday and Thursday

And then Friday night wash

To me it less relative equal highs it could have easily swiped those

But it's having a little bit of a heaviness in the marketplace and it might want to trade down into this Gap here

Do I know which one it's going to do right now no

Because I can't frame it with high probability on one side or the other

So am I going to trade this personally no

So I have a

Conundrum

Okay I'm stuck

If I'm looking at Forex and I have

These shackles of uncertainty on me

And you as my students even my private group

They're looking at me like you know ICT you know pull your magic wand out and do some magic here with for

That's why I've been very candid with them and I've been candid with you I do not feel

4X is high probability at the moment

Will it stay like this no it will not Forex is not dead okay I talked a little bit about that as well in

Your space on this past Saturday but

I'm not trying to promote you join Twitter you can literally pull this up and not have a Twitter

Account so don't think I'm trying to pull people to Twitter

For to follow me I don't care I want the follows on the YouTube channel but you're welcome to go on

The Saturday rants that I do you may not be a fan of that

But

It's kind of like a motivational thing it's kind of like the real line yourself after the previous week of trading and sometimes I'll just

Talk about things I endured in my development and sometimes it's

It's funny to listen to cuz they were real

They're real events I had to work through and other times it'll be things that I think are

Noteworthy

And if they delete my channel over there on Twitter I could care less

Okay but

This channel here I want to preserve and I'm going to keep a lot of the tin foil hat discussions off of it

Here's the gold Futures Market

Okay look at this market for real folks

Does this look

High probability to you

Is it going to hire is it going lower

Your guess is as good as mine

That's why I'm not talking about gold

Think about it

We changed from here to here we've been consolidating

Gun in my head

Okay go to my head long-term bullishness on dollar

It might resume

That would be pressure on gold

Go to go lower

Attack the south side over here

Is it high probability

No

Would I trade it

No

Because it can do one of two things

Steak consolidated

We'll run up and trade against my expectation and dollar slip lower

That's against my analysis

That's where I'm okay with being wrong because I'm not taking a trade that would lead to that as a monetary loss it would be a

A bruise to my ego

It would be a scratch in my journal where I say

My expectations were not

In the delivery price

And this is my observations

I'm not saying I'm so stupid I messed this up I'm never going to get this this is too hard for me why am I

Probably so much this should be an easier I should have learned it by now that's all negative self-talk and when you include that in your

Post on social media or if you include it in your annotations on your chart or in your Journal you are

Literally poisoning your developing self

You don't want to do that you want to reassure yourself positive

Self talk that's how you do it you're tricking your brain

To retain the positive aspects of what has transpired whether you've taken a monetary loss or you

Missed an opportunity any of those conditions

Are going to be helpful to you if you use positive self talk that means telling yourself you saw it coming beforehand

This is

You look for in the setup and it will happen this is your subconscious will retain that because it's a feel-good moment

You're creating

An artificial feel-good moment in your Journal

You're logging

Data

In moves and if you have taken a trade and it was a losing trade

You go into it and look for the positives

Because you're going to get it wrong sometimes like I do

When I was journaling Young

I went into the charts and discovered that if I went in and I recorded okay I had this trade incorrect

But I'm encouraged because my bias was incorrect as a traitor but the method says

It was going to go high it would go

Down to if everybody Gap or take us outside we'll put it and then rally up to a specific price level and I would focus on that so you're always looking

Looking for the silver lining

That's how you stay positive and you endure draw them

Period of uncertainty where you have to sit on your hands and do nothing and that's a very hard lesson to learn

You need a mentor that has done that and in can justify why that is a good thing not well you got an edge

Got to get there and treated you know losing part of the game money man is going to save your rear end get out there and go for it

That's stupid

That's somebody that I guarantee you is not making money

That's somebody just want to roll up

The troops

And hopefully it works out in their favor and they can Champion themselves in front of everyone saying see we're killing it

I am not afraid to tell you

Sit still

Sit on your hands

That comes with maturity that comes with someone that has endured

Financial loss to the grade it probably most of you would throw your guts up

To avoid all those

Personal experiences

And financial loss I teach the way I teach

And that sometimes for most people in the younger age brackets

I'm viewed as a very boring monotone teacher

I'm not going to get out here

Bang pots for you get you all worked up and show Lamborghini lifestyle I'm not going to do that

Cuz none of that's going to help you these kind of lessons I'm showing you here this is the thing

That you need to understand

Looking through the markets as a whole

Going through them individually is there a one-sidedness to all of them

Because if there's a risk on risk all scenario they should all generally be moving in the same direction or hinting at that and we're not

Not at all

Not at the very moment we're not

So I feel comfortable being in stock index futures

Crude oil

We've been recently enduring a lot of issues with crude oil just let me take you back to

When crude oil

Do 40 some dollars negative

So we went under

Zero

The cost of oil went

Below zero

And refineries were paying people to come pick up their

Well because it takes time for them to turn those pumps off

During all the

Rick and Marrow

We'll call

Cuz I'm not going to

Put the things in this video that would make it otherwise flagged for things

Just know that

All the things we've been doing for the last 2 years

Led to that

Collapse in oil we were bearish I was looking for bearish prices on oil I called 15 maybe as low

What's $13 a barrel on oil and that very day it literally collapsed

I went negative nobody could have expected that no one of no one on this planet would have said

What was going below zero and to the tune of -40

So

You're all asking why is

Energy prices so high

Well they lost a lot of money

Folks

A lot of money

People weren't able to travel

They weren't able to go anywhere

So

Them being them

They're creating this situation they're making all that money they lost back and with interest

So you're seeing all of this pool higher

In crude oil and gas prices

Because they have taken a huge loss

They took a bath

So now they have to recoup that how do they do that well you're looking at the price you are here

So because there's a lot of manipulation in this market

There's a lot of uncertainty and it's a lot of knee-jerk reactions to anything at all

About

Energy prices

This Market's going to flip out

And overreact

Is that high probability no

So

That's why I look at this Market

Now everything I just said

I want you to compare and contrast

How much better

How much more

Simplistic and clear

This Market's going to be versus what I just showed you in the previous discussions

Here we have the daily chart of the S&P and obviously you're going to be asking okay

I'm a Forex Trader this is getting boring ICT you know you're going to have to start talking about currencies or am unsubscribing unsubscribe and you will

We'll find that you've given yourself the greatest disservice ever

Because what I'm showing you here is the same thing that works in Forex when Forex is moving right

When the markets are more liquid

Why aren't the Forex markets liquid ICT well because of the past two years and the effect

Ex of that in the supply chain and Global Commerce and exchange

That's what strangling those currencies

Plus we have a w

Are you paying attention

Going on

And you have to literally

Weigh all those factors in to your analysis and

I understand folks

Yeah these multi-level marketing companies ran by goobers and young kids trying to tell you that you can get rich by doing

Stupid stuff

And none of them actually can show you a millionaire student nobody has a million dollars that have made money

Me with their things none their teachers are making millions of dollars none of them have been profitable

And it's easy to get sucked up into that thinking okay it's just so easy to turn my phone on put this thing on my chart put a couple indicators

Don't hear I'm going to crosses this and just below that I'm going to do this and that

And it's easy

Can I give you 15 entries on the same idea

And share that on social media and it's going to make me feel good because someone's going to put a little light behind my post

No

That's the wrong way to do it

A super-minded

Principal oriented

Speculator

Has to weigh out all the things that I'm laying before you right now

If it's boring it's right

Trust me when I tell you that if it's boring

It is right

Because

Big money is not going in

In erratic price action it is not

Doing that

It's looking for

A systematic Edge

Disability

How can we go in and discern where risk is how can you define risk

In all the markets I've shown you prior to this one there's no real way of determining and defining risk

How far is it going to go against you if you get in who knows I don't know

So if I can't define the risk

Why on Earth would I even put my money behind it I wouldn't

And maybe you shouldn't either

But I know some of you want to be hot sauce and you want to gamble and you want to be the guy that gets there and be the contrary and well this is not that kind of Market

And let me say this also in this lecture

In my 30 years of trading

Let me understand this

Very plainly and succinctly

This is the absolute hardest

Trading has ever been

It's the hardest it's ever been we have so many things coming at us as speculators

The change or Inspire certain sentiment

All the data we're getting is fake

It's manipulated it's

Contrived

For instance look at the inflation number

Do you feel that inflation number is accurate when you go to the grocery store right now how about when you go to the pump and you fill up your gas tanks

Does it feel like that that data that they're releasing for inflation is in alignment with reality

No way absolutely not but

The average Joe or

Jane

It feels like

They're telling us what it is and it's probably not as bad as we all

Think it is

No it's worse

It's worse folks

And it's going to get worse

So

You have to be sober-minded with your spending now and you have to be so reminded about your analysis and what you're going to participate in and this market right here

Here

Is giving that to you

It's showing you

Everything that a Trader would want to see and find in price action to support the notion that it is

High probability setups

Now I'm going to ask the reason why that's the case and also kind of like give you the underlying tone of why I've been able to

Able to be accurate with this Market publicly showing it and sharing everybody they can see it

I put myself out there where I think the market going to go why I should do this why I should do that

I'll leave it to you to determine whether or not this is useful information

But if you don't want to look at the markets like this

I promise you this

You are never going to learn what I teach

And find consistency in

Not because it doesn't work cuz it works like gangbusters

And is highly precise

But you won't subject yourself to the requirements that are needed to be developing properly

And had the right mindset that's why I talk so much because I'm telling you the things that you have to think about

Wow you're developing not get to the point give me an entry strategy ICT where's my stock going to be and

Where do I take profits I got time to do this

You're going to fail

And I promise you I would put a million dollars on that

Because none of my students came through fast-tracking it

Cherry Picked pieces out of it

And make millions dollars

They've never done

And unfortunately the way the world is today they want dollar menu have it right now my way

Mentorship

And expect

Unrealistic expectations and results

Doesn't work that way

The market doesn't owe you anything

I don't owe you anything

That doesn't taste good does it

But that's the reality

And you have to align yourself with hey this Market is going to try to

Kick me in the gut

It's trying to

Take me out

It's not here for your pleasure

It's not here for you to go in and just pull dollar bills off of the money tree

And have no consequences no thorns in your finger as you reach for them

The reality is

This Is War you got to go in ready to do battle

But you have to know when to pick your shots

You got to know when the blanket you have to know when the retreat

That's cutting losses short

Allowing your stop loss to be to determination that you were wrong in it

Trade idea

Retreat is not defeat

And sometimes

Standing down

That means don't engage don't go forward you're not running backwards you're just sitting still

With those other markets I've made mention of prior to this Market here you are standing down

Doesn't matter what you see out there

In front of you

You're standing down

This Market where I actually have been engaging

Let's look at the differences between it and what I've shown so far in the other markets

All right so we have an old low here

Relative equal highs the market trades above that then breaks down and takes out the cell side here

What does that make this range here

Now how's that useful

Well we're in a very long protracted consolidation

It wasn't like a short little run from here to here it was elongated this is daily chart

So it's a lot of time going sideways essentially but it took by side

And then eventually aimed for Southside

When that happens

On daily chart

Hammer entering a seasonal tendency

Of the first part of the year I'm looking for a sustained price moves

In the second half of the year I'm looking for sustained price moves there as well so

Apart from the details that lead to that and I'll talk a little bit about that in topical studies but again

I'm trying to keep this

Conversation Jermaine to the topics and make it useful to you

But I'm going to introduce some topics that will Branch off into in the coming weeks and months

They're dealing Range High dealing range low

Why is it a dealing with you again

We took both sides by side and South Side out what's the buys now bearish

All this range in here and we're looking for areas that anticipate a run back up into a premium

Short-term High

Short-term low it runs up into a premium here

Sales off

It creates relative equal highs cell sides taken here

So once it has taken the cell side here what's the market likely to do revert back to by side

Even though it's bearish where is the by side

Like a neon sign relative equal highs

Bumps up to it

Then that's what

You have now a new dealing range you have a dealing range from low cuz it took out the sell side

The buy sides taken here so you're dealing races from here

To hear what is

The usefulness in that

You're anticipating the market of trade back down to a discount and eventually to itself side

Discount array

Below 50% of here to here

This fair value Gap is a target

So you're going to be looking for Aries once it sells off he's a pair of Gap

Brake lower

Break lower

Target

Filled

Southside relative equal lows

Tags

So now we have this dealing range from

To hear why is that a dealing range

We've taken by side here

In South side's been taken here so

From here to here you start doing analysis inside of that range

Look at all the back and forth in here

And then we get to this level here and it's more energetic

When I see that I identify this as the Deliverance High to hear it here but I will refine it down to the

Most energetic price swing inside of the dealing range

So I'm going to use this range here from high

Hello how's that useful

From here to here I'm going to be looking for a

Equilibrium price point or premium

To go short

Does the bias is what bears I publicly made that known even on YouTube I said we're entering

She's on tenancy

Here

Where we go into May where it's bearish

Did it deliver

Of course it did

This Gap year

We see it trade up into it here

Sells off

Comes up until here feels to go into it there but look at all these opportunities where it could have filled in that Gap but it didn't

Broke lower

That indicates to me that this is a breakaway guy

I will talk about gaps in its own topical study but for now

This is the Breakaway Gap meaning it's going to most likely stay heavy and run where in our buys what's that direction

So we have South Side blow here now

So we expect marks price the trade lower below that it does so and then keeps on trading lower increases short-term low here

Rally's back up into a gap

Drops down once more

Excel side so now

By size Works likely to revert back to

From this height that low

That's our focal point for our study

So inside this range I want you to think about what you see

Study this pause the video

Make notes of it

And then watch the rest of the video if you do not pause the video folks I know some of you like to reply back I'm not going to

Pause video

This is that kind of lesson where you do not get the benefit

Except the fact that this is a long video accept it

Because it's good stuff

Is the stuff that literally makes money

Okay this is the stuff that helps you not lose so much money

This is how you find the setups that I'm teaching you to look for

But if you don't do these parts these interactive studies and don't pause the video

You've cheated yourself and then you're going to complain in the comments or in other places around the internet and saying ICT stuff so

Convoluted

It's complicated it's not complicated

You're just not doing what's required

So who's failing here

You are if you don't pause the video

All right so I have the chart kind of aligns that we can focus on that range here

So inside that range

Again from

Get here

We have a bicycle pool right there

It trades up

And purges by side why is that

Likely took her

Cuz we're bearish

We're going into a seasonal fantasy where the market is likely to trade lower

So anytime it runs back above by side liquidity

It's likely to sell off once it accumulates those buy orders

It's going to Target what

The south side below that low here

And it does so here so cell size is now perch

So

This is an area where if you're a swing Trader and you don't want to be a day trader cuz a lot of folks are like hey man you know I can see that

Intraday trading is amazing and it's awesome and you and your students are able to do a lot of things they're highly precise I just can't do

Do it Michael I can't I don't have the time I don't have the lifestyle my requirements at my job my business

Business I'm in school you know it just can't do it

Give me something I can trade with on a hard time frame daily chart

This is it

Houses any different from what I teach in the lower time frame it's simply

Changing the time interval

Everything I'm teaching you is fractal the algorithm runs across all the time frames

All of them it starts at a hard time frame runs its way down through the time frames

And it refers to all these locations

The algorithm is highly complex

But the concepts of engaging with it is not complex

You have to be specific and oriented to the high level of detail

To navigate each one of these time frames and put things in their proper place and context

So in short if we're bearish I like to look for

A short-term High taken out

And I can't wait

Short positions who's accumulating short positions above old ties

Smart money

The hell price there

Why because they were allowing Traders

To engage this as what a bull flag

Retail season here it ran up support

Is now being found here because that was resistance and that is now what a continuation of a by side

Run higher with a bull flag

It's going to run for this area here cuz that's resistance

The opposite took place

We were bearish here

The market trades lower a tax of sell side

Runs in

Spends time down here and then we have Friday's price movement

So let's discuss liquidity a little bit deeper

Okay this is one of those lessons where you're going to be like

Man

This makes a lot of sense

And you can't find it in books okay today's date

Think about now today's date in June

2022 I'm teaching this

For the first time even my paid mentorship group doesn't know this lesson

So am I out there

Takes this information and repackages it you know it's came after me

This is what the algorithm does okay

I want you to think like this cuz this is what the algorithm when it runs certain macros macros are short list of orders

Of instruction

Do this do that

Okay

The if then

That logic behind how the price is being designed

Delivered and booked

It is not buying selling pressure it is not your pattern

Nothing harmonic

New crossing over of moving averages no oversold ever bought indicators

None of that stuff

Not wolf waves

Elliott waves none of that stuff

Wyckoff none of it

Has anything to do

With how prices booking and how it's delivered

What I'm about to show you this is it

We have now a dealing range

This love was taken out here

This high was taken out here so now we have this high

Down to that low how's that useful

Well if we strip this away

I want you to think about

The simplest of things that retail Traders use and then I started this way same way in 1992 folks

The same procedure of looking for

Classic support and resistance because they want to sell you on the easiest thing going in because that way you'll put money in an account think

It's going to work and then you are now fleeced

They don't care if you stay in the business long enough that the statistics already state that most people blow their account the first 30 days let alone

Majority of them by 90 days

So they want you to get in there feeling like you can do it real easy it's simple they make these stupid little books stupid little courses

And they trick you they rookie in the thinking that hey

All I have to do is go down to an old level where it bounce before

It's probably going to go up we're going to go up to a level where it bounce down before it's probably going to go down once it goes there again because hey history

Pizza itself right yes the history does repeat and the only aspect of that is true is that losing

Raiders follow that logic

So we're looking inside this range here okay this is our specific dealing range

What do you say

Before I go further wait a minute I C T you just said that's a dealing range

These are relative equal highs

It went above into the fair bag that with this here

And we never were able to go hired

So I'm looking at that as that's the cap on the marketplace

And it's likely going to be a breakaway Gap

That means it doesn't feel right away

Until it fulfills lower level objectives on price

Down here

So what do you seeing here

Pause the video

When you're ready to continue

Unpause it

All right so we have

This high

To that low

Why am I picking this High because it has their most energetic price run away from it that's the most recent one that has that energy

Lower

The delivery of the candles moving away from it quickly that's what I'm really getting at

Some framing it with the logic that this is likely to stay open

Not rebalance in the Market's going to drive lower so our range from here to here

That's what I'm measuring

And equilibrium is here

So above that

Level this level here

What are we looking for we're looking for by side

But

Classic support resistance idea is this we take a nap this low

Relative equals

This break below it here is shallow and it's short-lived

And then we broke down aggressively through it so classic support resistance Traders are going to do what

We're going to be thinking about that low once it broke through it here

More meaningfully

They're going to assume that that was support broken now turn what resistance

Right so

She would expect price to trade up into that level right here and then trade down from there

Not understanding any of the logic as to why it would do this at all

That's narrative

That's the reason why retail Traders suck

Because they just simply look for support resistance or to look for patterns for pattern's sake and they're Fooled by Randomness

The algorithm is not random

So I teach you to look at a range and Define it in the scope of Premium to discount

Equilibrium is here

And if we're bearish we need the price get

Equilibrium or preferably higher than

To go short

Initiated area here

Why did it not just simply trade

Back to that low and go lower

Why didn't do that

That's our last up close camera right for the engine move lower

Inside the context that this is likely a fair value Gap that is going to stay open

Why cuz it had no ability to get up until it close at all

So that changes the Fairbank app to what a breakaway Gap Breakaway gaps remain open

Open until lower level objectives are fulfilled and delivered and booked

No words it goes lower to a specific price level in the discount then at a later time it might come back up to here but

It could be an undetermined amount of time I don't know when they'll come back to fill in a breakaway got

And if it's bullish Market everything I just said just reverse it

This last of closed candle prior to move lower and taking up

Feeling range low

That is my ICT bearish order block

It trades lower

Comes back up

Doesn't really quite get back to that old low it sells off again

Then it comes back

Ramrods this low here

Does above it and then consolidates

So

Anyone that would have expected this

Little bit of fluctuation through this would have wore them out these are days

These are days of trading S&P

Shorts are going to be scared

It's probably going to go higher why because they see a bull flag run up consolidation and they expected to go higher

We're bearish

We're in a premium Market

And it's going to a bearish order block

Now price is likely to drop lower and replacing and Target what

What's it going to Target

If this is your your trade what's it targeting well

Think about what I talk on this YouTube channel Flagship pattern

Optimal trade entry

From

Hello

79%

60% retracement levels

That's here that's my optimal trade entry

So you can use

Targeting

Approaches where you put the FIB on the bodies here

And here the

Open or close and highest of the open or close and your projections down would be red in here

And I'll leave that for you for study and do it on your own

We have a fair value got that's left open

Bear shorter block

The daily rings has been broken to the downside

The only thing we've done is retrace back into a short-term premium

And Retail Traders are going to see a bull flag we're looking at to go lower

What's going to go lower for

Before you do that

We have a short-term load it's taken here

So we had South Side here and it starts to Rally back up

Was it reaching for next it's going to revert back to my side that's this here

That's why it's not going to go to Simply that level and go lower

It's going to go deeper than to clear off all the by side liquidity so that way it can absorb that

Buying orders

And translate that to a short position for smart money

So counterparty is the buy side being attacked here

So short

In the smart money camp

Can then Target that low down here

So we have my side taken here

The cells I was taking here so now the cell side changes to here

Cuz dealing range is now defined by this low

In this High because by side was taken on this high

So I was taken on this low here

So have a dealing range here how do we find that useful

We're bearish

So

Even though this is

A fair that you got close to around the equilibrium between this low and is high that simply would just be a partial

And we hold for what

Southside to be attacked

But look closer

In here

What do you say

Assum

So here is that area

Here

And

Inside this area of shadedness that I'm taking your attention to the short-term low here

So we have a short-term low here and then it gets taken out

And we have this low here and it starts to Rally up

Look close do you see that this is a swing low again these are daily candles they're not lower intraday charts

We have a low that takes out South Side here

Runs down creates that low one more smaller

Attempt to go lower than this day it does and the following day we open trade down and trade back up

This is a swing low

I want a daily chart after we've taken out Southside below here

And we have short-term cell side the pool here which it runs down into and then creates a swing low

So we're in a discount inside of a discount

Think about that now

If South has been taken here

And South side's been taken

What's it going to revert back to

By side where's that

Swing high on a daily is here

So if it's going to go here

And run to that level

Bayside is simply not just that at that level

What's about that

Bingo

Forgot

We've been talking about that guy for

Couple weeks now

The easy low-hanging fruit

Objective 3880 I gave that on Twitter and I'll talk about that in a couple minutes but

Notice how we had cell citation here

And then the market reverts back to by side and to an imbalance

That Gap

Large range day how did we know or how could we have known that Friday was going to be a large range Date With An up

Movement

Now let's dig into that now

All right so we finally made our way down into the hourly chart for S&P

Here's our Gap from daily chart that's noted here

And here's that old cell side liquidity pool

And we dug down into that and I'm going to add some day dividers here so that we can deal with context I want you to look at the

Profile of the week

Okay now when I say profile that is not volume profile

Okay I did not use volume profile I do not use footprint I do not use depth of Market they

Gimmicks

And I know that's going to upset some of your

Followers that use that stuff okay I promise you

The Market's not

Moving and booking based on those interpretations it's simply not

What I'm about to show you

This is this is it this is what makes the market do what it does okay this is how Price Books

I'll leave it up to you to wrestle with it but I'm the one making money with these trades and you're over there putting things on your charts looking at those things

Things in that price action you're not even relating to how the market is going to deliver on a weekly profile weekly Prof

Files are

Template

Okay how should price deliver I want to walk you through this one here and how I was able to tell you before the fact on Friday

That we would see 3880

So on Monday

We open from all of this nastiness here on the previous week

Demarcus starts right away on Monday just starting to go higher repricing repricing repricing going higher

No one can go short no one can go along because it's just constantly just going higher

If you fight that

You did

You got to wait for some kind of displacement when is that occur

On Tuesday we have a little bit of a movement here and then breaks down

Then

Southside is taken and

Think about what I showed you on that daily chart

We now have a swing low

So on Thursday

We can anticipate the market doing what

Coming back down to a discount

Rallying up

And right about here that's why I said weekly objective

On Twitter

Is 3880

Now why did I pick that I'll tell you in a moment

But Friday notice what we have here the Market's already moved above all the consolidation here

It's not likely to do what

Have a sharp movement lower

It's not going to take South Side out because it's already done so here

In the consolidation

It's already worked into this fair lady got

Here twice with a spell stop run there

Taking out here digging deeper into the disembalance leaving the bottom portion of that and balance open making it what

A breakaway guy

So it's indicating that it's not likely to have retracements of any magnitude that would see this Revisited again

So we had

This level taken out here retracing back down into a short-term discount from low to high

Fairbanks into this here and then once more on Thursday

It rallies comes back down in

Retraces and this is where

I'll talk about what I was wrong about on

Thursday

But right about

The second part of the day

But Friday we just started consolidating had a little bit of movement on a lower time frame in London which I'll show you

And then off to the races because the market only had Friday to fulfill

They run into that guy

Everybody

Knew about this guy

Nobody knew when it was going to hit

Until

Around Thursday

That's kind of like what I was hinting at on Thursdays Trading

So on Thursday

I was looking for a run into this level here

And initially I was wrong

Took a trade

Got stopped out plus two points and while it wasn't a loss I was incorrect about it running to here but

But what I was expecting was and I mentioned this on Twitter

I was looking for a run up into here

And trade back down and I think I did this discussion on

The video on this YouTube channel also

Priceless video so I don't know what date that was or what the title was but just

Take my word for it I cover this and talk about what I was looking for and why

But I want to see this level taken out here and then drop down into that

To be a long

And look for high prices

It did that but it didn't give me the run first here then drop down cuz I wanted to see this

Taken out I was going to go short there after long so I was longing shorting reversing it writing it down here I was going to go along there and then hold for

3880 that was my plan for the week that's the

Video I wanted to talk about like right now that was what I wanted to cover on Friday as a review saying this is what I did and I didn't why I did it

But

It denied me

That run here

That's fine

This level here I got in sync with the marketplace made some cash and then on Friday did it again as well

Imbalance right there

That's what I used to justify the run up into

3850 and there's two setups that were made available if you were looking forward to and we'll cover that now

3880

This was the tweet

You can see the time

On the 23rd so right in here

What about in there

And the market consolidated

So because it's consolidating

I don't expect it to drop down because everybody wants it to go oversold they want to see some kind of harmonic pattern

Agartly a bullish

Divergence in some indicators something to that effect

When the market to this close to the Gap

For some premium array and you only have that day before the week closes

When everybody with any insight would know that this is where it's drawing back up into cuz it's a gap it's a real Gap

Actual gaps have a tendency of filling in

And it's an obvious Target so I know some of you hardliners in here that are very critical of me

Well this is everybody does this everybody does that okay we'll post your trade

Post it that you knew about it beforehand you outline it beforehand and you actually traded it because I

I already done that all right we're going to drop down into a 15 minute time frame

You can see the fair bag you got here

Drop down into it in London

Consolidated into another run into

That fair lady

In London

And

Aggressive run

Right at the 9:00 hour

Market was not going to give anybody an opportunity to see a deeper retracement

And inside this run I'll show you what it look like also but this is the

Low hanging fruit objective this is what I tweeted as if I posted on Twitter

The day before said we would look for 3880 why is that low hanging fruit

Low hanging fruit is the easy objective this is how I teach my students now obviously the Gap being closed entirely would be up

Well it may not have done that on Friday only had just Friday to get up to this level it may have just fell

Short of it

So the low end of the Fairbank app is down here

So what's the nice round new 10 level

Into the Gap the first one 3880

That's why I like to use 38

Case that we know it wasn't for some random number I told you to logic here I said how I used it

Determined

Really into one minute chart

You can see at the New York session

At 9:30 equities opening

We see a run aggressively here

Babe I got it drops down into it buying opportunity if you were

Trading with the New York

9:30 opening

And the Target that got the Shaded area up here

You could be a buyer here

Market rise up

Crease another fair value got there again thinking about that Weekly profile

Don't expect it to retrace

Don't expect it to have any kind of movement lower it's in a hurry folks it's been stagnant most of the week

Waiting for price to show a willingness to want to go higher once it showed that

It wasn't coming back to Old resistance broken turned support

Think about what I showed on the hourly chart

Rewind the video back to the hourly you can see how

The market did not once it broke above

It did not come back down to what logical support level would be seen with retail seeing old High

Broken let's wait for to come back and touch it again if that doesn't work folks it's not when you have time crunched like it is here

Friday was the day of delivery

Thursday

In the evening one minute after 11:00 my local time Eastern time in the United States

I said 38 years the next drawing that's my weekly objective

Making it public that way you know

There it is

And here's where it went to

You have obviously a set up here

And you have a set up here no retracements

No funny money just straight to

The draw of that daily Gap

So what's the benefit of

Knowing what the weekly profile is going to be

Knowing where to draw on liquidity is where's it likely to go

It's not my goal here

To devalue my private mentorship because they were told this

Beforehand

Before the week was going on we were looking for that

Okay that's the only distinction that separates

This public

Mentorship versus those individuals that have joined and you can't join folks but and please don't

Get upset because I'm actually teaching you how to do these things so you don't need me to do that but that mentorship

Was there and made available to people that needed that holding of a hand

This is what I think it should do next and then you study with that that logic here I'm going to talk about what has already happened

The comment section is open my students are welcome to come here and post down there and say I was a liar

If I didn't say this is where the market was going to go

You were told

The very night before but they known days before

Okay so it's not a oh it's going to the Gap and I'm lucky here and we knew about it beforehand but the

Project that I use

To tell that Community I'm teaching that here publicly as a mentorship

This is this is the understanding it's not going to fluctuate it's not going to be willy-nilly wishy washy it's going to be straight

To the point

In the point requires a lot of explanation

You should want that

If you're satisfied with this is what it looks like you Buy Here Sell Here stop here there's you're never going to find consistency

But that because what makes that set up high probability

That's what's lacking look around on YouTube look around in every teaching circuit

Everybody wants to do the Flash and a pen

Cliff Notes version of what I teach and that's why their students

Suck

Because they have no idea what's going on

Unless they hear me talk about it

In my personal private group then they go and they make their little videos and it's a little courses and they make little commentaries

But it's my stuff that you're saying

So what I have done is taking that away

And laid out here publicly

And you'll start seeing

Who's been copying who so

Granite Friday was a you know is a blistering run higher

Most of you probably didn't participate in it but I did talk about this very approach

To engage in a fair value Gap when the market does not do

A drop down when it's bullish for a Jew to swing and take out sell stops cuz sometimes it's going to create these opportunities how could you

You know it was going to do this

I taught you that in this lecture

Because of the weekly profile that got that was looming above

The daily chart with the Shaded here the fact that we only had Friday to get to it

In the market was just basically saying we're not going lower

We're not going to go any lower and it kept taking out by side but not drawing down and completely breaking

Lower

It would go for a short-term area of sell side

But then immediately rebound and go higher to take out by side again so what that was indicating to me as the analyst

They're gravitating towards this Gap

So

You wait each day now I thought that we could have started to run up to it Thursday a little bit better than we did

Like I was expecting a whole lot more energy

On Thursday

But because we didn't get that and that's why Friday was it

That was the big hurray that was the floodgates opening up and you better be on board or get the hell out of the way

And he have it

Now obviously this lesson

Is it going to answer everything for all of you you're going to have a million new questions and guess what

Wonderful that's being mentored because I promise you as we go forward those questions will get

Answered and I don't have to do it in a response in a comment

Just write it down in your Journal

Questions that need to be addressed

And you watch and see because the way I talk and teach and show examples

You will get that answer

But it has to come in the natural progression of me teaching the way I teach cuz I'm not going to change gears I'm not going to

Going to have it your way mentorship Mentor okay I'm not going to be that that person for you okay

I like things my way they name streets after me one way

And unfortunately that rubs a lot of people wrong but I promise you if you submit to what I'm doing and teaching you

You're going to get what you're looking for

You're not going to get it on a timeline you want but you're going to get it

Perfectly packaged you'll understand everything as the what it is you're trying to do what you're looking for when not to do

Something why should you be sitting still why should you be avoiding specific markets you're going to know all that stuff

And that's what makes a consistent

Profitable

Trader

Because anything apart from when I'm teaching you here

It's gambling

Genesis circumstances that led to you just being right that time

And you going to Tribute that to

Retail things indicators

Volume profile

Elliott wave harmonic supply and demand whatever

Put a fill in the blank it's it's all that stuff

And I know that that's what makes a lot of you upset with me because maybe you're making money

With some of that stuff but I promise you if you go back and look at your examples where you made money align it with this and you'll see why

Paid really worked

And when you failed

Look at what I'm teaching and you'll see that's the reason why your trades are feeling

I know it sounds arrogant I know that sounds very pompous

But it doesn't change the fact

It is what it is

Until next time

Be safe