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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,000 Putin, all the time I dealt with him, 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:10,840 you knew you were dealing with a difficult and dangerous 3 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:12,640 and potentially very bad man. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,880 He mourns the loss of the Soviet Union. 5 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,120 He wants to recover territory where he can. 6 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,160 He's very hostile to the West and Western values. 7 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:32,400 Vladimir Putin has rocked the foundations of European security. 8 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:55,640 This is the story of Putin's path to war. 9 00:00:55,640 --> 00:01:00,000 How and why he wrong-footed the West through a decade of clashes... 10 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:03,680 ..told by the leaders who locked horns with him. 11 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,600 I was clear, there could be no business as usual with Russia. 12 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:28,440 In this episode, as the uprisings of the Arab Spring tear through 13 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:32,680 the Middle East, the West tries to enlist Putin as peacemaker. 14 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:37,000 Having been an irrelevant factor in the Middle East for so long, 15 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:38,840 suddenly the Russians are back. 16 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:43,080 But the Russian President, exploiting the West's inaction, 17 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:48,200 shows just how far he's willing to go to keep his allies in power. 18 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,280 Putin doesn't care about the loss of life. 19 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:53,400 He doesn't care about the damage he inflicts. 20 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,200 He doesn't care about what he does to civilians. 21 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:14,080 By February 2011, the revolutions of the Arab Spring had 22 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:16,520 overthrown dictators. 23 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,480 First in Tunisia, then in Egypt. 24 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,240 Fearing he could be next, 25 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:28,440 Libya's Colonel Gaddafi ordered his forces to slaughter his opponents. 26 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,280 Allahu Akbar, Allahu Akbar. 27 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:51,040 Western leaders thought military intervention was the only way 28 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:55,080 to stop a massacre, but they wanted UN approval. 29 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,320 The obstacle was Russia. 30 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:13,080 American Vice President Joe Biden flew to Moscow. 31 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:18,360 The Soviets and the Russians never had supported 32 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,640 intervention in the domestic affairs of ANY country. 33 00:03:21,640 --> 00:03:24,840 And so we set out on a rather ambitious idea to try 34 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:29,800 to get the Russians to abstain on a Security Council resolution. 35 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:31,640 I thought it was going to fail. 36 00:03:31,640 --> 00:03:33,080 Prime Minister. 37 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,160 Vladimir Putin was now Prime Minister, 38 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,720 after serving two terms as President - 39 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:40,040 the legal limit. 40 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:45,960 It's in our self-interest and I hope in the self-interest of Russia 41 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,080 that our relationship's closer. 42 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,760 It's always interesting to meet with Putin. 43 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:54,440 He's a very engaging guy. 44 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,160 He speaks very bluntly. 45 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:59,280 We did have a general discussion about the Arab Spring. 46 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,000 It was just classic Vladimir Putin, 47 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:07,680 articulating that he's against people rising up against dictators. 48 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,320 This is not the business of the external world. 49 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,760 These are the leaders of these countries. 50 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,280 We have to respect sovereignty. 51 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:19,360 Even before the Arab Spring, President...President Putin 52 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:23,240 had said that about earlier events in history. 53 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:25,360 He called them colour revolutions. 54 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:28,600 Georgia 2003, Ukraine 2004, 55 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:32,280 where in his view, it wasn't just citizens rising up 56 00:04:32,280 --> 00:04:36,840 for democracy, it was the US sponsoring regime change. 57 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,960 Mr President. Nice to see you. Great to see you, man. 58 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,800 Biden also went to see Dmitry Medvedev. As Russia's President, 59 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:50,720 he was in charge of foreign policy. 60 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,720 Good. That's good. Good meeting. 61 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,960 The Vice President framed things very broadly, to say that we 62 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,120 didn't start the Arab Spring generally, 63 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:16,800 we didn't start what was happening in Libya specifically. 64 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:20,040 But we cannot let innocent people just be slaughtered. 65 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,560 We are not being passive in this effort. 66 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:27,560 When we got to the idea of doing something to stop the killing, 67 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,280 President Medvedev jumped in pretty quickly. 68 00:05:30,280 --> 00:05:33,120 He basically said, yes, you're right. 69 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,080 But he also said there have to be parameters here, 70 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,520 we're not in the business of regime change, 71 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:40,800 we're in the business of saving lives. 72 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:43,720 I was pleasantly shocked 73 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,760 and surprised that there was a difference, 74 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,680 that Medvedev was supporting our position. 75 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:58,240 A vote at the United Nations would be the test of who was really 76 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,120 calling the shots in Moscow. 77 00:06:01,280 --> 00:06:04,000 The question of course was Russia. 78 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,920 Because Russia has always had a close relationship with Libya. 79 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:13,440 I suspected that Russia could at some moment actually 80 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:15,080 oppose our drive. 81 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,560 I introduced the British draft, 82 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,480 which had the no-fly zone, that had increased sanctions 83 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:24,600 against Gaddafi, condemnation of the violence against civilians, etc. 84 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:29,360 But the Russians were not really engaging in the detail 85 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,920 of the negotiation, which was very unusual 86 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:36,960 because the Russians are very big players in the UN Security Council. 87 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,200 Very active, normally in a negative way, but very active. 88 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:51,720 A decisive vote at the Security Council, ten countries 89 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,400 backing military action against Colonel Gaddafi's regime. 90 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:59,080 Five countries, including Russia and China, abstained, 91 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:00,800 but without using a veto. 92 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,440 Medvedev's decision not to veto 93 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,840 allowed the West to start bombing Libya. 94 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:17,920 But his Prime Minister could not stay silent for long. 95 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:33,760 Prime Minister Putin never publicly criticised President Medvedev. 96 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:39,000 And that level of disdain for what his own president did, 97 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:42,280 I don't remember a moment in history when that happened. 98 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,240 The Russian President was quick to hit back. 99 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,120 The US President picked up the phone to his counterpart. 100 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:11,400 Obama wanted to reassure him that we're going to commit to 101 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:15,800 implementing the objectives that we set out at the very beginning 102 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:17,920 of this operation, 103 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:21,760 to stop what we thought was going to be genocide. 104 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:25,360 Not regime change, not the overthrow of Gaddafi. 105 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:31,000 But soon Obama and his allies hardened their stance. 106 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:34,520 It is US policy that Gaddafi needs to go. 107 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:38,680 It is impossible to imagine a future for Libya with Gaddafi 108 00:08:38,680 --> 00:08:41,280 still in power. He must go. 109 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:48,120 As the West's bombing of Libya intensified, 110 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:51,520 leaders of the world's largest economies met. 111 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,360 Medvedev and Obama spoke in private. 112 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,800 I can't remember a time I'd ever seen Medvedev 113 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,400 so angry with President Obama. 114 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:13,000 He felt betrayed that we had gone farther in Libya than he had planned 115 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:17,440 and what had happened in Libya was confirming what Prime Minister Putin 116 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:21,560 was saying, that this was going to be another regime change play, 117 00:09:21,560 --> 00:09:24,960 just like Afghanistan, and especially Iraq. 118 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:28,000 And he was planning to run for re-election. 119 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,280 His main argument for re-election was, 120 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:35,880 I have developed this new relationship with the United States 121 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:39,760 and with the West that is good for Russia's national interest. 122 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:43,320 And he knew as a result of what happened on the ground 123 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,080 in Libya that he was losing that argument to the one guy 124 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,680 he couldn't lose that argument to, Vladimir Putin. 125 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:52,280 Putin. 126 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:17,240 Within a month of announcing his bid to return to the Kremlin, 127 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,760 Putin's dire predictions came true. 128 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,440 Gaddafi was hunted down and brutally murdered, 129 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,480 and Libya lurched into chaos. 130 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,920 The next leader under threat was Russia's long-time ally, 131 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,880 President Bashar al-Assad of Syria. 132 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:44,400 His forces were ruthlessly cracking down on any protests. 133 00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:00,480 It was our calculation that there could not be 134 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:02,960 any peace settlement in Syria 135 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,960 without the Russians putting pressure on the Assad regime 136 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:08,400 to make it happen. We didn't have the leverage. 137 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:15,320 Syria had signed arms contracts with Russia, worth $4 billion. 138 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,880 And the country was home to Russia's only naval base 139 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,680 outside the former Soviet Union. 140 00:11:22,680 --> 00:11:24,400 Our strategy was to focus on them. 141 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,280 Convince the Russians, they'll convince the Syrians. 142 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:34,600 The West's first chance to test the water with Russia was at the UN. 143 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:39,520 I really remember that we went to the Russian mission because 144 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:43,040 they have the official portrait of Putin, you know, like in, well, 145 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:47,960 you have the Queen, they have Putin. And Putin, the official portrait 146 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,920 of Putin is, he has sort of totally empty eyes. 147 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,480 It's terrifying, because suddenly you say, oh, my God, 148 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,680 if I was in a cellar, you know, tied to a chair 149 00:11:57,680 --> 00:12:01,160 in front of him, I would really be terrified by this guy. 150 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:07,200 We had a late-night negotiation with the Russian ambassador, 151 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:11,760 Vitaly Churkin, and we reached agreement on a text, 152 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:17,840 which talked about if Assad didn't stop attacking civilians, then 153 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:21,040 the Security Council would consider further steps. 154 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:25,200 So a sort of...a small stepping stone towards coercive measures. 155 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:30,400 We had the feeling Churkin might play along. He had 156 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:35,520 said to us, "I will try to sell it to Moscow." 157 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:40,000 And I rang Churkin at eight o'clock in the morning on the day 158 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:44,400 of the vote and said, "Have you received instructions from Moscow? 159 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,080 "How are you going to vote?" 160 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,760 And he said, "I think it'll be OK." 161 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,160 So I put the phone down and thought that was great. 162 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:54,440 And then 20 minutes later he rang me back and said, 163 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,880 "This text is totally unacceptable, and we will veto it." 164 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,080 What we see is the policy of regime change 165 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,240 and we believe this is very dangerous. 166 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:09,360 Vitaly Churkin really became the voice of his master. 167 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:12,560 And we felt all the Russian mission was becoming 168 00:13:12,560 --> 00:13:15,160 a sort of a stronghold, 169 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:21,000 that obviously they had decided that Syria was their vital interest. 170 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:25,440 That was the moment where we could feel this is 171 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,760 the Putinisation of Russian foreign policy. 172 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:40,120 Having seen leaders toppled across the Middle East, Putin was 173 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:43,080 soon facing protests against his own rule. 174 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:49,200 The biggest demonstrations in Moscow since the end of the Soviet Union. 175 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,560 He still won the election by a landslide. 176 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:15,680 Three months later, Putin arrived at the annual G20 Summit. 177 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:21,120 It was Obama's first chance to talk to him about Syria face-to-face. 178 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,680 Putin was 45 minutes late. 179 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:28,360 So it already had a tense feeling by the time he showed up. 180 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:32,040 You know, as I listened to Putin in Los Cabos, describing 181 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,480 Assad as the only person that could bring stability 182 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:39,760 and order to Syria, I heard Chechnya as his model. 183 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:44,280 There was a violent situation in Chechnya and he didn't negotiate 184 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:47,600 a pacted transition between the opposition and the regime. 185 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:51,280 What he did is he just gave his guy more weapons and said, 186 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,240 "Kill as many people as you want," 187 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:57,480 and that is the way that he restored order in Chechnya. 188 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,040 And that was the argument I heard him make. 189 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,320 Relations between Obama and Putin were faltering. 190 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:11,720 But that summer, the British Prime Minister saw an opportunity 191 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:15,760 to repair the West's relationship with the Russian leader. 192 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:18,920 We used the Olympics to try and 193 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,080 further some bilateral relations. 194 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:23,400 I must have had dozens of meetings, 195 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,120 and one of those was Vladimir Putin, who was coming over, 196 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,840 and someone on my team said, "He's a judo enthusiast, 197 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:32,080 "why don't we take him to the judo?" 198 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,240 Putin congratulated David Cameron on the success of the British 199 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,120 opening ceremony, which was the talk of the moment. 200 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:42,640 And Cameron said, "Well, of course, 201 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,880 "I had great British assets to play with, Vladimir. 202 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,680 "I had Her Majesty the Queen and 007 and Mr Bean." 203 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:52,120 And then he offered Putin help preparing the Sochi Olympics, 204 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:53,520 which were coming next. 205 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,320 And I remember Putin saying, "Well, there's a Jewish saying, 206 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:59,080 "that if a problem can be solved by money, it is not a problem." 207 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:02,720 Then they turned to Syria. 208 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,880 While of course there have been some differences in the positions 209 00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:10,360 that we've taken over the Syrian conflict, 210 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:15,160 we both want to see an end to that conflict and a stable Syria. 211 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,400 So David Cameron said, "This isn't another Libya, 212 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:21,800 "we don't intend any kind of Western military action, 213 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:24,000 "we're not interested in us going to war in Syria, 214 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:25,240 "we want a political outcome." 215 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,240 And in response Putin said, "Well, I'm the same. 216 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,720 "We're at a moment in history uniquely 217 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,440 "when Russian troops are not deployed anywhere abroad, 218 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,400 "and I'm very proud of that, and that's the way I want it to stay. 219 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,760 "I don't intend any kind of Russian military 220 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:40,200 "adventurism in the Middle East either." 221 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,600 Putin said there was a lot of wrong with Assad's 222 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:46,240 leadership in Syria, they did lots of bad things 223 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,120 and he kept saying, 224 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,320 "Look, I'm not an Assad supporter, I'm not determined to keep him in 225 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:55,800 "power, but the point is I'm worried about what will happen if he goes, 226 00:16:55,800 --> 00:17:00,880 "and there will be a vacuum there which even worse people will fill." 227 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,280 We have seen what's happened in Iraq. 228 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:06,200 We have seen what has happened in Libya, 229 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,200 and when we were making another analysis, 230 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:12,480 what is the plan by Western countries in Syria, 231 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:16,080 we have seen that the only point they would like to make is to 232 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,320 bring down Assad. When we were asking the counterparts, 233 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:23,160 who is going to replace Assad, there was no answer. 234 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:26,360 It was, let us just bring him down, like with Gaddafi, 235 00:17:26,360 --> 00:17:28,880 let's kill Gaddafi and we will see what's going to happen. 236 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:32,720 They couldn't provide names - no plan, no names, nothing. 237 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,480 How did the meeting go? 238 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,760 So I went and sat with him watching this judo match, 239 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:43,800 which included a Russian judoka. 240 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:51,320 And it was very fascinating because the umpire called the result 241 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,760 one way, and Putin turned to me and said, "I don't think that's right." 242 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:03,920 Suddenly, the umpire was overruled by the other umpires 243 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:06,400 and turned out Putin was right, and knew more about judo 244 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:10,320 than the person who was umpiring the match. 245 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,360 Ippon! Oh, it's an ippon! 246 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,400 And then he won the final 247 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:22,360 and Putin was clearly absolutely thrilled by this. 248 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:26,320 Ladies and gentlemen, 249 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:29,000 please show your appreciation for your new Olympic champion. 250 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:30,320 But I remember saying to him, 251 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,040 you should go down and congratulate him and shake his hand. 252 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,520 And he said, "I can't do that." And I said, "No, you should, I think 253 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,240 "it's a perfectly good thing to do. Go, you should do it." 254 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,640 One of the most powerful men in the world... 255 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,000 ..meets Vladimir Putin. 256 00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:54,280 Later that evening he rang me from his aeroplane, to make a point 257 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,440 about how much he had enjoyed coming to the Olympics, how much it meant, 258 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:01,280 how he wanted to have a positive and purposeful relationship. 259 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,840 And it sounded like there had been some 260 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,200 celebrations on the flight back, to be frank. 261 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,000 He was saying things that I've never heard him 262 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:12,080 say before, about literally what a wonderful day it had been. 263 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,360 It was a new side to him. 264 00:19:15,360 --> 00:19:18,320 And that's when it really began to occur to us 265 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,960 that maybe we could pull something off here. 266 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,560 You know, maybe we have de-iced Putin. 267 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:33,840 In Syria, what had started as a government crackdown had now 268 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,960 become a bloody civil war. 269 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:42,760 Assad's regime was accused of cluster-bombing civilian areas. 270 00:19:47,360 --> 00:19:50,720 More than 60,000 people had been killed by the time 271 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,760 John Kerry took office as Secretary of State. 272 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:03,480 We condemn this indiscriminate killing of innocent civilians, 273 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,000 and we condemn it in the strongest terms. 274 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:11,520 And it is just further evidence that Assad has to go. 275 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,920 Kerry flew to Moscow, hoping to convince Putin. 276 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:27,080 Things got off to a bad start when he was told to wait on the runway. 277 00:20:28,120 --> 00:20:31,160 I began to wonder, do the Russians always do this to put us 278 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,160 in a bad mood before these meetings? 279 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,760 We got out and walked around on the tarmac 280 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,280 just so he could stretch his legs. 281 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,920 We eventually got permission to drive into the city. 282 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,400 But we were told Putin's been delayed... 283 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:52,280 ..and I explained to Kerry, this is pretty standard operating procedure. 284 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,560 Don't over-react. He does this to everybody. 285 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,520 He did it to President Obama. 286 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,280 They took us on a tour of Red Square. 287 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:04,360 It was all decorated for the May 9th celebrations. 288 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:09,760 The Secretary of State waited three hours before he was 289 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:11,640 summoned to the Kremlin. 290 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:13,280 How are you? 291 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,840 I was struck by Putin's mood that day. 292 00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:20,000 He was not as provocative as he had been with Obama in Los Cabos 293 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:21,600 the year before. 294 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:26,720 We share some very significant common interests 295 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,280 with respect to Syria. 296 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:33,200 So it's my hope that today we'll be able to dig into that a little bit. 297 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:37,240 We wanted a signal from President Putin in that meeting, 298 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,320 and he gave us that signal. 299 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:43,120 It was very clear. He said, "Work with Lavrov. 300 00:21:43,120 --> 00:21:45,400 "He's my guy." He was sitting right there. 301 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:51,360 Putin's Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, took Kerry for a stroll 302 00:21:51,360 --> 00:21:54,160 around the grounds of his official guesthouse. 303 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,800 At the end of their walk, they said, "We're back in business. 304 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:03,360 "We're going to try to resuscitate multilateral negotiations 305 00:22:03,360 --> 00:22:04,720 "over Syria." 306 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,400 Kerry proposed a transitional government that would see 307 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,640 Assad depart, as the way to stop the bloodshed. 308 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:19,120 At the Secretary of State's request, I talked to Lavrov about what 309 00:22:19,120 --> 00:22:22,560 a transition government in Syria would look like... 310 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:28,440 ..and the key jobs that would have to be on a negotiating agenda. 311 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:34,480 After about 10 or 15 seconds, Foreign Minister Lavrov just 312 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:39,440 cut me off, and said, "You Americans are always trying 313 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:44,880 "social engineering, and you did it in Iraq too, and we will not 314 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:48,640 "stand for it in Syria, we will have nothing to do with this." 315 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:52,480 It is not for us to decide who should lead Syria. 316 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,440 It is for the Syrians to decide. 317 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,680 And we are not in the regime-change game. 318 00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:01,040 We are against interference in domestic conflicts, 319 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:05,840 and this is our position which should be of no surprise to anyone. 320 00:23:07,120 --> 00:23:10,280 The Secretary of State had been knocked back. 321 00:23:12,120 --> 00:23:15,640 But David Cameron, who'd been invited by Putin to the 322 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:19,880 site of the Winter Olympics, was determined to pursue his own pitch. 323 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,600 We flew to Sochi and it was a big deal for us. 324 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:28,120 We were trying to really lock Putin into a result which was Assad going. 325 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:34,400 Putin always had this big pile of briefing cards... 326 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,400 ..and he picks them up and he slaps them down on the table - 327 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,760 I can hear that slap to this day - and says, 328 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,640 "OK, David, let's talk." 329 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:48,320 He said, "I know you think I'm too supportive of Assad. I think 330 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:52,440 "your policy of backing the opposition means 331 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,680 "you're backing extremists like the Al-Nusra Front." 332 00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:56,760 And I said, "No, 333 00:23:56,760 --> 00:24:00,120 "our policy is to get a new provisional government, 334 00:24:00,120 --> 00:24:02,360 "we can ally with that provisional government, 335 00:24:02,360 --> 00:24:05,480 "and then we can take out the Al-Nusra Front and the dangerous 336 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,960 "Islamist extremists and terrorists that threaten us." 337 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,800 And Cameron said, "The Al-Nusra Front, I want to destroy them." 338 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,000 And Putin said, "David, now you're talking my language." 339 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:18,200 And then Cameron said, "OK, and we're going to create a political 340 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:22,160 "process, you're going to be on the world stage dictating what happens." 341 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:24,880 All this was music to Putin's ears. 342 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:29,200 I was suggesting a conference in Moscow where the transition 343 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,800 to a provisional authority would get the rubber stamp. 344 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,600 There was a potential opportunity. You could see the end of Assad, 345 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,400 you could see the end of the fighting and the bloodshed. 346 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,160 So there was an opening and there was hope. 347 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:50,800 After lunch, in a grand gesture, Vladimir Putin grabbed David 348 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,240 and dragged him off, wearing his shades, 349 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,360 looking like a man of action, into a jeep 350 00:24:55,360 --> 00:24:58,120 and drove him off in the opposite direction of all the rest of us. 351 00:24:58,120 --> 00:25:00,480 He drove at breakneck speed off to a helicopter. 352 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,000 We jumped on a helicopter, we flew up into the mountains. 353 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,680 Putin was inordinately proud of all that they were doing 354 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,040 to make sure the Winter Olympics was a success. 355 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,160 And then we landed at the site of the stadium. 356 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,880 And then we were reunited with a rather relieved 357 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,080 set of Foreign Office officials and security detail! 358 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:25,960 They probably thought I'd been kidnapped for a while. 359 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:33,760 A month later, when Putin arrived in the UK for a G8 Summit, 360 00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:35,400 the mood was shifting. 361 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,560 The West had just gone public with accusations that Assad's 362 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,160 forces were using chemical weapons in Syria, 363 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,280 and there were growing calls for military intervention. 364 00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,480 We took Putin upstairs, to the study that had been Margaret Thatcher's 365 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,520 office and had Margaret Thatcher's painting on the wall. 366 00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:58,680 Putin said, "Oh, truly she was an Iron Lady." 367 00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,760 And then in this very confined space - that room's small 368 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:06,040 and we're all sort of knee-to-knee, huddled around, having this 369 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,000 meeting - they got down to business. 370 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,520 Cameron said, "If chemical weapons are used in Syria, 371 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:12,800 "and we have evidence they're beginning to be used, 372 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,040 "the world cannot stand by." 373 00:26:15,120 --> 00:26:17,800 And Putin said, "What is this evidence? 374 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:19,440 "It's worthless. 375 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:21,120 "We haven't forgotten Iraq, 376 00:26:21,120 --> 00:26:23,680 "we haven't forgotten Colin Powell at the UN." 377 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,880 And then there was a moment where, to me, 378 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,120 in the room, Putin just seemed to lose patience with all of this. 379 00:26:31,120 --> 00:26:33,600 And I had a notebook in my pocket at that meeting 380 00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:34,760 to record what was said. 381 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,680 This is actually the notebook that I noted it down, in the margin. 382 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,600 "In a very quiet voice." 383 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:46,200 And Putin said, "I know you're a great country with a great history. 384 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,680 "And you all think I'm not democratic like you. 385 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,600 "I won't argue with you. 386 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:54,160 "I'm an ex-KGB man, I'm wicked and scary with claws and teeth 387 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,600 "and you're all so well-bred and so well-educated. 388 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:00,760 "But you remember Abu Ghraib, David? Did you see those pictures? 389 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,720 "It was medieval, what happened there. 390 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,720 "To get what you want in Syria, it will have to be the same again." 391 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:20,200 At the summit the next day, 392 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:24,640 Cameron hoped his fellow leaders would help change Putin's mind. 393 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,520 At the G8, you had seven very like minds, 394 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,200 who believed in democracy and the rule of law. 395 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,800 And in Putin you had someone who took a different view. 396 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:05,640 It was very much seven against one, and Putin digs in more. 397 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,800 I was in Cornwall on a family holiday. 398 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,000 It's the place we go every year. 399 00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,800 And I remember going into a little room in the house 400 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,840 where we were staying, where there was a television... 401 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,760 ..and seeing the pictures, and it was just terrible. 402 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,840 And the sight of, you know, those little children's bodies 403 00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:12,400 laid out on the floor. 404 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:16,760 It was just shocking. 405 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,600 And I think important to see it, not just to read about it, 406 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,440 but to look at the images yourself. 407 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,240 And I thought that the red line had been crossed, 408 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:29,720 that action should be taken. 409 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,840 I called President Putin. 410 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:52,600 By then it was as clear as it could be that it was a regime attack. 411 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,120 We were already getting the evidence. 412 00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:00,640 He said, "Oh, well, it's not in the regime's interest to carry 413 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,160 "out a chemical weapons attack. 414 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,920 "It's much more in the interest of the opposition. 415 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:06,240 "We haven't seen the evidence." 416 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,800 And I knew he was seeing the same evidence as me. 417 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,600 And that was the first time I thought, "This guy's just lying, 418 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,120 "and will say anything." You know, 419 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,760 deny, deny, deny, even though it was perfectly clear what had happened. 420 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,640 The Prime Minister recalled Parliament 421 00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:26,680 to vote on military action. 422 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,080 Expecting problems from the Labour opposition, 423 00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,400 he began to canvass his own MPs. 424 00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,840 There's quite a lot of people on my own side, 425 00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,840 in the Conservative parliamentary party, who don't support 426 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:45,040 action against the use of chemical weapons. 427 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,920 I had endless meetings with Conservative MPs, saying, 428 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,680 "This isn't the Iraq War. This is Syria. 429 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,560 "This is the use of chemical weapons." 430 00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:55,320 But I was struggling to convince some of my own colleagues. 431 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,600 Hands off Syria! Hands off Syria! 432 00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:01,840 Britain had gone to war in Iraq without UN approval. 433 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:07,400 Cameron consulted his ambassador about what might be possible 434 00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:08,840 this time. 435 00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,840 I sent some advice to Downing Street 436 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:18,720 about how we could create a UN moment which would make 437 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,440 clear that the Russians would veto 438 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:25,440 any attempt to get authorisation through the UN Security Council 439 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,200 for missile strikes. 440 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,120 I said, "What I could do is draft a resolution 441 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:34,320 "and show it privately to the Russians on Tuesday evening, 442 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:39,200 "and get them, essentially, to set out their view on it." 443 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,360 And the meeting ended fairly quickly, 444 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,920 and I reported back to London to say that the Russians had made 445 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:49,840 clear they could not accept the resolution. 446 00:31:56,200 --> 00:32:00,040 Cameron hoped he'd done enough to persuade Parliament to 447 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,360 vote for air strikes. 448 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,480 The ayes to the right - 272. 449 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:07,920 The noes to the left - 285. 450 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,440 Thank you. So the noes have it. 451 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:21,480 Unlock! 452 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,840 It was a pivotal moment for David Cameron's premiership, 453 00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,680 and for British foreign policy, because after that, he said 454 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,800 to us very clearly, "We're not doing anything else 455 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,400 "adventurous on foreign policy that gets us into trouble with 456 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:33,520 "my people in Parliament. 457 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:35,680 "I need them for the EU referendum that's coming." 458 00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,560 I drove down to work early in the morning. 459 00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,080 There was very little traffic - it was lovely. 460 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:10,800 Erm, late summer day. 461 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:17,920 Early afternoon, the President spoke at the Rose Garden. 462 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:23,360 Good afternoon, everybody. 463 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,040 And we thought the President was going to announce the strikes. 464 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,200 Literally, we were standing there waiting for him 465 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,240 to say we've undertaken strikes. 466 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:35,800 I will seek authorisation for the use of force from the American 467 00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:38,440 people's representatives in Congress. 468 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:41,880 We were left sort of open-jawed and dumbfounded. 469 00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:44,560 It was not at all what we were expecting. 470 00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:32,600 The atmospherics, when he's landing for the G20, were tense. 471 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,840 There was no formal meeting set, which is extremely 472 00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,240 unusual for one of these meetings. 473 00:34:41,240 --> 00:34:44,240 Usually, everything's crafted out ahead of time. 474 00:34:44,240 --> 00:34:46,800 We had nothing on the agenda with President Putin. 475 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:53,920 And as we talked about it on the drive in the car, 476 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,720 it's like, "When are you going to get around to talking to Putin?" 477 00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:01,360 Obama said, "We'll figure it out." 478 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:14,880 Are we ready, yeah? 479 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:21,840 As the official business got under way, one issue couldn't be avoided. 480 00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:48,720 I remember very well that in that dinner, 481 00:35:48,720 --> 00:35:50,960 when we were discussing Syria, 482 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:55,200 President Zuma from South Africa, or President Dilma Rousseff 483 00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:59,920 from Brazil, they were opposing any kind of foreign intervention 484 00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:02,280 against the Assad regime. 485 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,520 They were supporting the position of Putin. 486 00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:09,840 And the same was coming from China or India. 487 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:42,040 Putin was capitalising on the fact that there were some threats, 488 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:46,080 but that those threats were not, er, materialising. 489 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:50,800 So it was clear, after that discussion, that the United States' 490 00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:54,160 position - I would say the West's position - was isolated. 491 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,640 Nut Rocker 492 00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,200 The row over dinner meant a light show Putin had 493 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,720 organised for his guests didn't start until 1am. 494 00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:24,600 Putin was almost playing up to being this sort of new 495 00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,440 Russian emperor. It was incredibly lavish, 496 00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,240 this vast son et lumiere and fireworks 497 00:37:30,240 --> 00:37:32,960 at this enormous palace, and it was getting colder and colder. 498 00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,120 The Russians were sort of piling more 499 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,240 and more blankets onto everyone to try and stop them from freezing. 500 00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:43,840 And my bilateral with Putin was set for sort of two in the morning. 501 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,360 And all the meetings I was in with Putin, this is probably 502 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:52,800 the most bad-tempered. 503 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,520 So the Prime Minister began, I think, hoping to get to 504 00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,440 bed by saying, you know, "There's no need for us 505 00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:02,000 "to rehearse all the arguments on Syria again, Vladimir." 506 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,520 But Putin couldn't resist sticking his thumb in the wounds. 507 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,080 So, I remember him saying, "Well, I'd just like you to know I'm 508 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,000 "very grateful to all of your Conservative backbench MPs 509 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,600 "who voted against you on Syria." 510 00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:17,280 And so David Cameron sort of, in some sense, took the bait 511 00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:20,600 and wanted some way to hit back at Putin. So he changed the subject 512 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,680 to LGBT rights and said, 513 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:26,400 "Well, there is something I need you to know, Vladimir." 514 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:30,800 I pitched it as, "Look, this is going to be an issue for you, 515 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:35,120 "Mr President, because you're chairing these Olympics, and you're 516 00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:37,960 "going to have a lot of people very concerned about the 517 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:42,200 "approach that Russia takes." And he took this very badly. 518 00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:44,200 And they got into a bicker fest, 519 00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:47,680 late at night - two proud men who always like to have the last word. 520 00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:50,360 I remember Putin saying, "Well, I didn't make the Russian laws, 521 00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:53,000 "I just have to implement them," and Cameron saying, 522 00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:54,560 "Oh, come on, Vladimir. We know that 523 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:57,000 "what you want around here is what happens around here." 524 00:38:57,000 --> 00:38:59,880 Putin said, "Well, look, David, don't you know there's a demographic 525 00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:02,600 "crisis in Russia? We've got an ageing population. 526 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:05,440 "We need more births, we need more babies. If I give gay rights 527 00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:07,400 "and gay marriage to the Russian people, 528 00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:08,960 "we'll have even fewer babies." 529 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:11,600 It was becoming increasingly clear that the relationship was no 530 00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,680 longer a load-bearing one, it was just a pretty angry one. 531 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:21,520 Overnight, Obama was receiving troubling news from Congress. 532 00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:26,960 We were getting reports about the way the votes were going. 533 00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:30,760 I remember hearing this is pretty soft support, 534 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,160 we're going to be in trouble here. 535 00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:36,000 The summit was nearly over 536 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,920 when he finally snatched a moment with Putin. 537 00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:44,160 And Putin made this offer to cooperate with us. 538 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:47,160 "We'll help you and the international community 539 00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,240 "get rid of chemical weapons. 540 00:39:49,240 --> 00:39:52,440 "And, in return, you're not going to use force inside Syria." 541 00:39:53,720 --> 00:39:56,680 The President was really intrigued by it. 542 00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:01,960 There were many people inside the Obama government that wanted 543 00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,640 to use force and thought it was necessary 544 00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,080 and thought that, if he didn't, it would be very 545 00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:10,680 bad for his credibility, because he had drawn a red line. 546 00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:13,960 Putin had suddenly offered him this way out. 547 00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:17,440 And it was my analysis that, if he said it to you personally, 548 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:20,760 Mr President, that he was going to make good on the deal. 549 00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:26,960 Putin had seized his chance to play peacemaker 550 00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,080 and protect his ally. 551 00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,600 There would be no air strikes. 552 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:13,000 But Obama had secured Putin's promise that Syria's 553 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:17,520 chemical weapons would be removed and destroyed. 554 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:20,760 It's actually one of the decisions that I'm most proud of. 555 00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:23,320 In part, because it... 556 00:41:25,240 --> 00:41:29,720 ..pushed against the conventional wisdom in this town, 557 00:41:29,720 --> 00:41:36,040 and the ease with which military actions gain momentum, 558 00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:39,480 the greater difficulty in pulling back 559 00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:43,760 and ensuring that diplomacy is given a chance. 560 00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:50,080 This surprising alliance between Putin 561 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:53,600 and Obama provided a diplomatic opportunity 562 00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:58,320 to bring the Syrian government and opposition to the negotiating table. 563 00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:04,040 Everybody agreed that the Americans will make sure that the 564 00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:08,520 opposition will be there, and the Russians will make sure 565 00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:11,240 that the Syrian government will be there. 566 00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:17,640 The key goal of the negotiation was to stand up 567 00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,320 a transition governing body. 568 00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:24,320 We thought the Russians might resist that, but they didn't. 569 00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:27,600 They accepted the American... 570 00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:30,280 ..suggestion that that be the key issue. 571 00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,440 I warned the Americans 572 00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:37,000 and the Russians that you'll be bringing your allies 573 00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:42,800 kicking and screaming. They will not be coming in good faith. 574 00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,480 It took four months for the Americans 575 00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:50,400 and Russians to bring the warring parties together. 576 00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,560 After a first round of talks ended in deadlock, 577 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,800 the two sides reconvened. 578 00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,000 The Syrian opposition REALLY surprised us. 579 00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:09,280 They prepared a formal proposal in writing 580 00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:11,840 for Brahimi, 581 00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:14,720 which said, "We came here 582 00:43:14,720 --> 00:43:19,160 "to negotiate a transition governing body with full executive authority. 583 00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,120 "We are prepared to discuss... 584 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:27,240 "..each position without preconditions, 585 00:43:27,240 --> 00:43:32,360 "including the position of president." 586 00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:36,800 I said, "Are you really prepared to negotiate 587 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:40,360 "that Assad stay on, at least for a time?" 588 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:44,120 And they said, "It depends what else we get in the deal." 589 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:48,120 I presented it to Ambassador Jaafari - 590 00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:51,280 the head of the government delegation - 591 00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,320 and he refused to look at it. 592 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:58,280 I started reading it, so Mr Jaafari said, 593 00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:02,120 "We are not hearing a word of what he has to say. 594 00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:05,760 "We are not interested in this." 595 00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:10,280 So, at that moment, Mr Lakhdar Brahimi looked at him and he told 596 00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:13,920 him, "Look, it's very clearly, 597 00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:17,640 "you are not authorised on behalf of the regime to make any decision, 598 00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:19,520 "and we cannot continue this way." 599 00:44:21,720 --> 00:44:24,840 In a last-ditch attempt to save the talks, 600 00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:28,040 the Americans went to see the Russians. 601 00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:31,240 The whole Russian delegation was there, and it was led by 602 00:44:31,240 --> 00:44:35,240 First Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov, a great big fellow. 603 00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,480 And I remember, still, Gatilov 604 00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:42,360 just looking straight at us and saying, 605 00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,600 "No. We're not going to put pressure on the Syrian Government to 606 00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:49,680 "negotiate anything." And that was the end of the negotiation. 607 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,960 In Syria, the situation was desperate. 608 00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,720 Isis was now rampaging through the country, 609 00:45:02,720 --> 00:45:05,880 having already captured huge swathes of Iraq. 610 00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:14,640 Jihadists in eastern Syria greet the announcement of a strict 611 00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:17,880 Islamic caliphate stretching across the border with Iraq 612 00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:21,000 and ruled by the extremist group Isis. 613 00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:57,880 How to combat Isis was top of the agenda at the next year's 614 00:45:57,880 --> 00:45:59,920 UN General Assembly. 615 00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:06,040 Putin, out in the cold after invading Crimea, 616 00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:09,400 decided to attend for the first time in a decade. 617 00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:13,640 Here, he had the world's attention. 618 00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:38,880 Putin's speech made no mention of what he was about to do. 619 00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:44,960 Two days later, he sent his air force into action in Syria. 620 00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:51,920 We weren't expecting it. It came out of the blue. 621 00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:54,080 It was a significant shock. 622 00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,560 It was on a morning when I think we had a Security Council meeting. 623 00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:04,280 So it totally blew our agenda off schedule. 624 00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:10,320 We were not the only ones who were wrong-footed by this. 625 00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:14,560 Foreign Minister Lavrov did not appear to be comfortable with 626 00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:17,880 the situation he was in that morning. 627 00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:19,960 He was irritable. 628 00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,840 He didn't want to engage, which wasn't his style. 629 00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:26,640 He was usually very happy to harangue you at length. 630 00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:31,280 So to see him so rattled and ruffled was very unusual. 631 00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:38,000 The impression was very clear that Lavrov had not been in this loop. 632 00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:21,160 Concerned that Russia was becoming the major 633 00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:24,280 player in the Middle East, David Cameron sent his new 634 00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:29,320 National Security adviser to see his US counterpart, Susan Rice. 635 00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:34,960 The Russian military intervention immediately solidified 636 00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:39,000 Russia's defence of President Assad, and indeed 637 00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:43,640 strengthened their status, if you like, in the Middle East as a whole. 638 00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:47,200 When I asked whether there was likely to be a stronger 639 00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:49,200 response from Washington, 640 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:53,240 she said that she didn't expect that to be the case, that the Americans 641 00:49:53,240 --> 00:49:57,320 had not intervened militarily in Syria for four years, 642 00:49:57,320 --> 00:50:01,400 why would they do so after the Russians had got involved 643 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:03,280 directly themselves? 644 00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,840 The West had decided not to hold Putin back in Syria. 645 00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:18,560 It was soon clear just how dangerous this could be. 646 00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:25,720 It was a critical day for me because that day, 647 00:50:25,720 --> 00:50:30,680 I formed the new government after the first November election. 648 00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:38,080 Around 9.30, I received a call from Chief of Staff that a Russian 649 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,400 plane was shot down. 650 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:47,440 It was... aeroplane crossing our airspace. 651 00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:52,680 This was seen as a risk by our air force. 652 00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:58,760 And also, Turkish border is, at the same time, Nato border. 653 00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:04,720 The, er, statements coming from Russian side was not very positive. 654 00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:35,120 Russian retaliation would risk a direct conflict with Nato. 655 00:51:36,720 --> 00:51:38,400 It's the first time 656 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:44,960 since the Korean War that Nato has downed a Russian plane. 657 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:48,240 I decided to convene the North Atlantic Council. 658 00:51:48,240 --> 00:51:51,880 We're not normally talking about combat 659 00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:55,480 engagements between a Nato ally 660 00:51:55,480 --> 00:52:00,280 and Nato's largest, most militarily capable neighbour, Russia. 661 00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:04,920 I said, "Look, it's the sovereign right of Turkey to 662 00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:07,840 "protect its borders, including its airspace." 663 00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:11,120 I was also a bit kind of - quote, unquote - "panicky" 664 00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:14,240 because you never know what the Russians would do. 665 00:52:14,240 --> 00:52:21,120 The Turkish ambassador explained how Turkey had warned the Russian pilot. 666 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:24,800 He shared with us an audio where actually, 667 00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:26,800 we were able to hear the warning. 668 00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:37,600 The Turkish controller, in Turkish-accented English, warned 669 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:40,440 repeatedly, time after time after time, 670 00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:42,840 with no response from the Russian pilot. 671 00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,080 My Central and Eastern European colleagues and Baltic colleagues, 672 00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:49,240 I mean, they were applauding me... 673 00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:53,840 ..for shooting down the Russian airplane. 674 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,920 This is how you should deal with the Russians. 675 00:52:56,920 --> 00:53:00,600 This is what is called position of strength in practice, 676 00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:03,480 not as a concept, but in practice, 677 00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:06,280 so they were kind of jubilant about it. 678 00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:11,520 While Turkey was arguably right to defend its airspace, 679 00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:17,280 it also launched the entire alliance on what could be a dangerous path. 680 00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:22,800 My main task was to prevent that this incident 681 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:25,920 led to something that was bigger, more dangerous and risked 682 00:53:25,920 --> 00:53:27,440 coming out of control. 683 00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:33,680 Nato released a statement calling for calm. 684 00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:36,480 The situation was defused. 685 00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:40,640 Neither Turkey nor Russia had the appetite for a full-scale war. 686 00:53:42,720 --> 00:53:45,160 But in the months that followed, 687 00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:48,640 Russian bombing in Syria increased dramatically. 688 00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:14,880 Putin's planes were not only bombing terrorists. 689 00:54:14,880 --> 00:54:17,920 Civilians were also being hit. 690 00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:23,320 Nowhere was this more evident than the opposition-controlled 691 00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:25,240 city of Aleppo. 692 00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:29,640 What was going on in Aleppo was truly shocking. 693 00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:35,120 We had evidence of strikes on hospitals which had been 694 00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:39,600 partially destroyed, and then Russian aircraft going 695 00:54:39,600 --> 00:54:42,560 back for a second strike on the same targets. 696 00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:50,040 So I had this conversation with Sergey Lavrov. 697 00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:53,880 "Sergey, you are not attacking Isis. 698 00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:57,960 "You're attacking schools, hospitals." 699 00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:02,320 The Lavrov response was just flat denial. 700 00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:04,400 "We're attacking Isis targets." 701 00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:07,000 He would demand evidence, and when you presented him 702 00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:11,320 evidence, he would deny it. "It's just bogus, made-up." 703 00:55:11,320 --> 00:55:14,960 Lavrov's a bully and a physical intimidator. 704 00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:18,840 He gets up close to you, he's a very big man and he'll just repeat 705 00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:24,480 his position and snarl at you that this is the case and you're wrong. 706 00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:05,160 The French President and German Chancellor confronted Putin. 707 00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:28,880 Putin was very clear, very sober, very brutal, 708 00:56:28,880 --> 00:56:34,520 saying, "When you look at Aleppo, there are a number of Chechen 709 00:56:34,520 --> 00:56:40,120 "fighters, and I don't want these Chechen fighters to return to 710 00:56:40,120 --> 00:56:43,640 "Chechnya, to my country, to destabilise Russia. 711 00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:47,000 "And therefore, I'm ready to bomb all of Aleppo to make 712 00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:49,360 "sure that these people don't survive." 713 00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:15,200 What the Russian president said was enormous... 714 00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:19,160 ..not only in its brutality, 715 00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:23,960 also because he went ahead bombing and destroying Aleppo. 716 00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:28,640 And we see it several years later now in Ukraine. 717 00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:36,880 Two years after he first ordered air strikes in Syria, 718 00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:39,520 Putin was ready to declare victory. 719 00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:14,720 Putin, who had long-railed against intervening on foreign soil, 720 00:58:14,720 --> 00:58:17,160 had done just that. 721 00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:21,880 He'd beaten the West at its own game and kept his man in power. 722 00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:26,960 Russia was back with a vengeance. 723 00:58:28,320 --> 00:58:33,000 Obama's red line in Syria had been effectively ignored, 724 00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:35,000 and we hadn't responded. 725 00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:38,200 Putin will have taken a very clear lesson from that. 726 00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:40,600 And I think many of us felt privately 727 00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:42,480 that he'd pulled a blinder. 728 00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:48,160 Next time, Putin ramps up his aggression... 729 00:58:49,320 --> 00:58:53,120 ..as the West faces its greatest test in decades. 730 00:58:53,120 --> 00:58:58,600 The issue for Putin was his project to rebuild the Soviet Empire. 61412

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