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What is the phenomenon of the Ukrainian
defensive operation in Bakhmut?
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To begin with, urban combat is one of
the most difficult types of combat in
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the operational art, plus the terrain
itself is not easy for the occupants.
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When we scale the entire front and the Southern
and Eastern, Bakhmut is only a small area.
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And how is it that "endless cannon fodder"
has been storming such a small area with
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huge losses for 10 months? A plot where tens
of thousands of occupants were ground up in
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the soulless meat grinder of Bakhmut ?
And it's not just there. And Vuhledar,
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and other areas where they try to implement their
plans, where they suffer defeat after defeat.
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We can see that even where they have
had limited success, where they have
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been able to advance a little bit, this is
happening in small sections of the front.
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What to speak of any more significant
strategic operations that they have announced.
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For example, the capture of the city of Zaporozhye
or the return of the shamefully abandoned Kherson.
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The Russian occupiers, having entered the eastern
sector of the city, the dormitory district,
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advanced as far as the Bakhmutovka River and
got stuck. In order to reach the right bank,
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it is necessary to take a position,
to bring up equipment for forcing
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the water barrier, to start forcing,
with accumulated forces and means.
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How do you do that if the left
bank is shot 400 meters deep?
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The answer is simple - no way. They
will have to sit in the residential
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district until the end of time and chew
their puttees while receiving regular
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shelling that does not allow them to restore
combat effectiveness, accumulate ammunition
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and prepare to rush to the river crossing.
The southern location is under full control
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of the AFU. Russian troops tried to
break through the southern defenses,
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but they were very symbolically broken up right
in the local cemetery. In fact, it becomes a
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sacred place for them - they go to storm through
the cemetery and that's where they all stay.
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I can not talk about the short-term
prospect of a breakthrough of the
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defense of the southern sector of Bakhmut.
Russian troops currently do not have it,
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unless they pull in a more serious strike
force there and concentrate fire pressure.
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But they can't do that because they
don't have the necessary resources.
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On the Northern location of Bakhmut,
however, things are very complicated.
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That is where the most desperate
and hysterical pressure is being
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exerted by Russian troops right now. However,
natural barriers are also lines of defense,
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which make it possible to effectively
repel waves of assault minced meat.
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The logistical arteries of the Ukrainian
fighters have no chance of being cut by
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the occupiers in the short term. There are
enough resources for that, but they are now
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all concentrated in the north, east and south of
the city. Pull back the resources to storm the
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tracks - they will get a counterattack and lose
what they have been occupying for all 10 months.
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In turn, to increase the pressure on the
north and south, to break into the center,
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too, can not, because the weakening
would entail the collapse of the flanks.
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In other words, for the Russian troops
in Bakhmut now looms a kind of Ouroboros.
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Wherever and however they move, they
will be chewing their own tail or ass.
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And this situation can only be solved
by the redeployment of additional
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forces and resources. And not small, up to 30
Battalion tactical group, but there are none.
5278
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