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In Bakhmut they are disposing of the
Wagner Private Military Company ...
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In the last 24 hours there are reports
that the professional component among the
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Wagner Group mercenaries who storm Bakhmut
has changed significantly in the better,
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qualitative side, since the time of Soledar. So
we can assume that they threw pros into the fight?
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And this is indeed the case. Unlike
convicts who did not have even basic
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combat skills and who attacked AFU positions
en masse, now AFU positions are attacked by
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those who clearly have these skills. And
there is an explanation for this - the
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resources of the Wagner Group are depleted
and they are being finished off in Bakhmut.
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It should be noted that among the Wagner
Group, several groups should be distinguished.
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The first group, the most professional,
consisting of mercenaries with combat experience.
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But it is now located not in
Ukraine and not even in Russia,
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but in other countries, which are covered
by the interests of the Russian leadership.
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The largest group of Wagner is located in
the Central African Republic and Libya.
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I want to note that the African Wagner group
has hardly changed since the beginning of the
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war in Ukraine in 2022, only decreasing by
10% at the very beginning of the invasion.
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This is due to two reasons. First, many
mercenaries simply did not want to go to
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fight in Ukraine. It is much safer for them
in Africa than it is in Ukraine right now,
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and Moscow cannot force them
to leave an important foothold.
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Second, it is important for Russia to keep a
significant combat-ready contingent in Africa.
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There are more than 2,000 Russian mercenaries in
the Central African Republic supporting the local
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president. That is about three battalion-tactical
groups made up of really high-quality resources.
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There is a similar grouping in Libya. Russians are
compactly deployed at two airbases in the country.
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Representatives of Wagner Group also provide
air cover over these areas with MiG-29.
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Also the Wagner's fighters are present in
Mozambique, Mali, Sudan, Zimbabwe, Angola,
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Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar and Guinea, but
in the number of up to one battalion-squad.
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There is also information about the
appearance of Wagner's fighters in Eritrea.
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In total, there are up to 10,000
Russian mercenaries in Africa.
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The second group of Wagners represents a
professional core that survived in Russia.
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They were not used as cannon fodder, but were
kept within the second line in the combat zone,
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or used as instructors in training
camps in Russia, as well as in Belarus.
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The third group were cons. The same cannon
fodder that was used in Ukraine in the mode of
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"slaughter". They are not even Wagners in the
full sense of the word, because these combat
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units have only one task - to be eliminated
and take positions with their mortal bodies.
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In other words - to become a point
on the map, no more, no less.
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Now the cons are out. Well, they
ran out mostly after Soledar,
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and now they are completely gone.
Prigozhin cannot compensate for
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these losses, because hiring in penal
colonies is already closed for him,
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and there are not many people willing to join
the group to make up for the necessary losses.
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At the same time, it is no longer Prigozhin
who now commands the Bakhmut bridgehead,
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but the regular army, and they are chasing the
remaining Wagners in the first ranks for slaughter
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in the same format as before. And who will they
chase away if they run out of convicts? Of course
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those who have been sitting in the second line
all these months - the remnants of the backbone.
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It is obvious that the remnants of
the fighting potential of the Wagners,
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its Russian group, are now
being finished off in Bakhmut.
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In fact, after Bakhmut, the Wagner
group will never be the same as before,
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and the Russian Defense Ministry is making maximum
efforts to ensure that it is exactly the case.
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