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It's just over mid-January 2023, and the Russian
occupation troops are already on a new record
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for losses.
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According to the General Staff of the AFU,
Russian casualties in the first half of January
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totaled 9,360 people.
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If their liquidation maintains the pace, there
will be a record.
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That is to say that losses in January 2023
in Russian troops may exceed 18,000 just liquidated,
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not to mention those wounded.
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And here, I think, it is worth remembering
what is going on in general among Russians
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with losses in the last few months, especially
after they have started so-called partial
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mobilization.
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After the start of the partial mobilization
in September, October, then November, and
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after that December, were alternately record
months for the occupiers in terms of losses.
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Altogether they lost 47,110 liquidated and
an unknown number wounded.
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And how many were wounded?
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This is the whole dilemma of the reports of
the General Staff of Ukraine - they do not
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indicate the number of wounded, and it is
extremely difficult to find out in reality.
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On the other hand, there are average casualty
rates, in the range of 1 in 3 or 1 in 4, although
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this is not an absolutely correct figure.
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Many analysts point to the weak medical component
of the Russian troops.
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The remoteness of hospitals, difficulties
with transportation, horrible first aide.
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Plus it is winter outside, and the enemy is
poorly equipped.
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A non-serious wound and a few hours in the
freezing cold waiting for help puts the wounded
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man in a completely different state.
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But even if we multiply that 47,000 by two,
not three or even four, we still have 94,000
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injured.
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It turns out that the amount of sanitary return
and irretrievable losses in the range of 150
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thousand people accumulated in just 3 months
of combat operations.
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That is, since the beginning of the mobilization
they have lost 50% of the plan of 300,000
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men.
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And who replaced those 150,000 in the combat
zone?
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And they replaced them with the rest of the
partial mobilization.
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That is, by the New Year the enemy had almost
completely exhausted the conditional resource
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of its autumn mobilization, because every
unit that had lost combat effectiveness should
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be compensated for.
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Based on the acceleration of the loss rate,
by the end of winter there will no longer
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be September biomass in the Russian military.
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That is, occupiers need to compensate for
losses of at least 50,000 per month in January
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and February.
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Only to maintain existing agony and current
problems."
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50 thousand is the compensatory indicator,
which is spent in a month, therefore, the
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full compensation should be at least 100 thousand.
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And this is only for the part that is in the
combat zone, so that the combat effectiveness
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of the units is not lost.
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And now the question arises - if Russia wants
a protracted war and at the same time to attack,
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how much cannon fodder is needed per month,
in addition to compensation and to form a
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new strike group?
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In order to implement the plan for a protracted
war, this number should be much larger in
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monthly terms, and for a new, large-scale
offensive operation and even exceed the mobilization
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of 150-200 thousand per month.
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Does Russia have such a possibility?
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Let's talk about this in the following videos...
5208
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