All language subtitles for 15-01-2023ipfdjgwr899e9r9tuttttttttttt

I have good news and bad news.

In the grouping of Russian troops stationed
in Belarus, movement has begun.

But not the movement that panic-stricken people
have been expecting for half a year - preparation

for the throw to Kiev version 2.0, but withdrawal
of the Russians and replacement with less

prepared, raw biomaterial.

Thus, the process of rotating units of partially
mobilized units, which were compactly stationed

at five training ranges in Belarus, where
they were trained for fresh cannon fodder,

has begun.

The Belarus territory will host a less trained
and prepared contingent than the one that

has already undergone training.

Furthermore, the equipment and number of the
personnel do not indicate that it will become

the backbone of a strike force.

The formation of the strike force itself,
given the current composition of Russian forces

in Belarus, will require 3 to 4 months of
stable supply of forces and means to Belarus.

The fact of rotation only confirms that formation
of shock grouping is not planned in the nearest

future.

The good news is that the low level of invasion
threat from Belarus' territory remains unchanged,

provided that this threat is maintained.

Now let's turn to the negative side of this
process, which is the withdrawal of already

trained fighters to the combat zone in Ukraine.

Most likely, these units will be sent to the
Luhansk bridgehead to reinforce the group

deployed near Svatove.

On the other hand, after the chain of events
at Bakhmut and the maturing resource hunger,

I do not rule out that some of these freshly
trained occupants may end up there as well.

Another positive moment, the withdrawal from
the territory of Belarus, as well as the manning

of the units will not take place quickly and
this process will take part of February, and

during the second half of January, there is
little that can happen ... Reinforcements

will not have time to arrive or there will
be nobody to go to.

This note was written by me a few days ago.

Now, as expected, they have indeed begun to
drive them into Luhansk direction.

But there is a nuance.

They are now being driven directly from Belarus,
transiting through Russia, into the war zone.

That is, they do not even leave them to be
completed with equipment.

And I will remind you that in Belarus these
units were catastrophically understaffed.

Which indicated that there was no formation
of a strike force on their basis.

Which in turn minimized the threat of "invasion
version 2.0" from their territory by Russian

troops.

It is difficult to say whether these units
can be staffed directly in the combat zone,

but rather not, rather than - yes.

Thus, the transferred units will constitute...

marching battalions?

So the months of training at the Belarussian
firing ranges were just to prepare the meat

for roasting?

Well folks, let me tell you, watching the
events in Belarus, I imagined that of these

15 Battalion tactical group will try to make
something more or less combat-capable and

staffed.

While they were dragging their feet and sending
all the rest to the slaughter.

But no, they're still just shipping em off
to be cannon fodder.

And the best part?

These guys dutifully line up to sign their
own death warrants.