Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
0
00:00:16,109 --> 00:00:18,260
First, a video.
1
00:00:24,657 --> 00:00:27,459
Yes, it is a scrambled egg.
2
00:00:29,411 --> 00:00:30,744
But as you look at it,
3
00:00:30,768 --> 00:00:34,879
I hope you'll begin to feel
just slightly uneasy.
4
00:00:36,649 --> 00:00:39,987
Because you may notice
that what's actually happening
5
00:00:40,011 --> 00:00:42,236
is that the egg is unscrambling itself.
6
00:00:42,260 --> 00:00:44,959
And you'll now see the yolk
and the white have separated.
7
00:00:44,983 --> 00:00:48,006
And now they're going to be
poured back into the egg.
8
00:00:48,030 --> 00:00:50,498
And we all know in our heart of hearts
9
00:00:50,522 --> 00:00:53,537
that this is not the way
the universe works.
10
00:00:54,696 --> 00:00:57,801
A scrambled egg is mush --
tasty mush -- but it's mush.
11
00:00:57,825 --> 00:01:00,236
An egg is a beautiful, sophisticated thing
12
00:01:00,260 --> 00:01:02,499
that can create even more
sophisticated things,
13
00:01:02,523 --> 00:01:03,840
such as chickens.
14
00:01:04,332 --> 00:01:06,236
And we know in our heart of hearts
15
00:01:06,260 --> 00:01:10,024
that the universe does not travel
from mush to complexity.
16
00:01:10,450 --> 00:01:12,845
In fact, this gut instinct
17
00:01:12,869 --> 00:01:15,741
is reflected in one of the most
fundamental laws of physics,
18
00:01:15,765 --> 00:01:18,590
the second law of thermodynamics,
or the law of entropy.
19
00:01:19,162 --> 00:01:20,921
What that says basically
20
00:01:20,945 --> 00:01:24,072
is that the general
tendency of the universe
21
00:01:24,096 --> 00:01:27,699
is to move from order and structure
22
00:01:27,723 --> 00:01:30,387
to lack of order, lack of structure --
23
00:01:30,411 --> 00:01:31,875
in fact, to mush.
24
00:01:31,899 --> 00:01:35,122
And that's why that video
feels a bit strange.
25
00:01:35,685 --> 00:01:38,414
And yet, look around us.
26
00:01:39,454 --> 00:01:42,930
What we see around us
is staggering complexity.
27
00:01:43,549 --> 00:01:46,838
Eric Beinhocker estimates
that in New York City alone,
28
00:01:46,862 --> 00:01:50,416
there are some 10 billion SKUs,
or distinct commodities, being traded.
29
00:01:50,932 --> 00:01:54,900
That's hundreds of times
as many species as there are on Earth.
30
00:01:55,260 --> 00:01:59,236
And they're being traded by a species
of almost seven billion individuals,
31
00:01:59,260 --> 00:02:02,645
who are linked by trade,
travel, and the Internet
32
00:02:02,669 --> 00:02:06,358
into a global system
of stupendous complexity.
33
00:02:07,826 --> 00:02:09,302
So here's a great puzzle:
34
00:02:10,191 --> 00:02:14,838
in a universe ruled
by the second law of thermodynamics,
35
00:02:14,862 --> 00:02:16,666
how is it possible
36
00:02:16,690 --> 00:02:19,236
to generate the sort
of complexity I've described,
37
00:02:19,260 --> 00:02:23,048
the sort of complexity
represented by you and me
38
00:02:23,072 --> 00:02:24,761
and the convention center?
39
00:02:26,119 --> 00:02:28,072
Well, the answer seems to be,
40
00:02:28,096 --> 00:02:31,236
the universe can create complexity,
41
00:02:31,260 --> 00:02:32,815
but with great difficulty.
42
00:02:33,870 --> 00:02:34,967
In pockets,
43
00:02:34,991 --> 00:02:37,308
there appear
what my colleague, Fred Spier,
44
00:02:37,332 --> 00:02:39,474
calls "Goldilocks conditions" --
45
00:02:39,498 --> 00:02:41,549
not too hot, not too cold,
46
00:02:41,573 --> 00:02:44,236
just right for the creation of complexity.
47
00:02:44,260 --> 00:02:46,527
And slightly more complex things appear.
48
00:02:46,551 --> 00:02:48,790
And where you have
slightly more complex things,
49
00:02:48,814 --> 00:02:51,186
you can get slightly more complex things.
50
00:02:51,210 --> 00:02:55,236
And in this way, complexity
builds stage by stage.
51
00:02:56,135 --> 00:02:58,413
Each stage is magical
52
00:02:58,437 --> 00:03:02,010
because it creates the impression
of something utterly new
53
00:03:02,034 --> 00:03:04,837
appearing almost out of nowhere
in the universe.
54
00:03:04,861 --> 00:03:08,092
We refer in big history to these moments
as threshold moments.
55
00:03:09,131 --> 00:03:12,236
And at each threshold,
the going gets tougher.
56
00:03:12,260 --> 00:03:15,502
The complex things get more fragile,
57
00:03:15,526 --> 00:03:17,236
more vulnerable;
58
00:03:17,260 --> 00:03:20,791
the Goldilocks conditions
get more stringent,
59
00:03:20,815 --> 00:03:23,802
and it's more difficult
to create complexity.
60
00:03:24,728 --> 00:03:28,032
Now, we, as extremely complex creatures,
61
00:03:28,056 --> 00:03:30,236
desperately need to know this story
62
00:03:30,260 --> 00:03:34,918
of how the universe creates complexity
despite the second law,
63
00:03:34,942 --> 00:03:39,974
and why complexity means
vulnerability and fragility.
64
00:03:40,745 --> 00:03:43,665
And that's the story
that we tell in big history.
65
00:03:43,689 --> 00:03:45,396
But to do it, you have do something
66
00:03:45,420 --> 00:03:48,125
that may, at first sight,
seem completely impossible.
67
00:03:48,149 --> 00:03:51,329
You have to survey the whole
history of the universe.
68
00:03:52,748 --> 00:03:53,748
So let's do it.
69
00:03:54,260 --> 00:03:56,169
(Laughter)
70
00:03:56,193 --> 00:03:59,639
Let's begin by winding the timeline back
71
00:03:59,663 --> 00:04:02,559
13.7 billion years,
72
00:04:02,583 --> 00:04:05,260
to the beginning of time.
73
00:04:12,581 --> 00:04:14,235
Around us, there's nothing.
74
00:04:14,986 --> 00:04:17,692
There's not even time or space.
75
00:04:18,474 --> 00:04:22,172
Imagine the darkest,
emptiest thing you can
76
00:04:22,196 --> 00:04:25,513
and cube it a gazillion times
and that's where we are.
77
00:04:25,992 --> 00:04:28,332
And then suddenly,
78
00:04:28,356 --> 00:04:29,364
bang!
79
00:04:29,388 --> 00:04:31,595
A universe appears, an entire universe.
80
00:04:31,619 --> 00:04:33,475
And we've crossed our first threshold.
81
00:04:33,499 --> 00:04:35,872
The universe is tiny;
it's smaller than an atom.
82
00:04:35,896 --> 00:04:37,236
It's incredibly hot.
83
00:04:37,260 --> 00:04:39,785
It contains everything
that's in today's universe,
84
00:04:39,809 --> 00:04:41,603
so you can imagine, it's busting.
85
00:04:41,627 --> 00:04:44,236
And it's expanding at incredible speed.
86
00:04:44,260 --> 00:04:46,173
And at first, it's just a blur,
87
00:04:46,197 --> 00:04:49,307
but very quickly distinct things
begin to appear in that blur.
88
00:04:49,743 --> 00:04:51,236
Within the first second,
89
00:04:51,260 --> 00:04:54,236
energy itself shatters
into distinct forces
90
00:04:54,260 --> 00:04:57,342
including electromagnetism and gravity.
91
00:04:57,366 --> 00:04:59,794
And energy does something
else quite magical:
92
00:04:59,818 --> 00:05:03,050
it congeals to form matter --
93
00:05:03,074 --> 00:05:05,404
quarks that will create protons
94
00:05:05,428 --> 00:05:07,566
and leptons that include electrons.
95
00:05:07,590 --> 00:05:09,693
And all of that happens
in the first second.
96
00:05:09,717 --> 00:05:13,946
Now we move forward 380,000 years.
97
00:05:14,260 --> 00:05:17,907
That's twice as long as humans
have been on this planet.
98
00:05:17,931 --> 00:05:22,671
And now simple atoms appear
of hydrogen and helium.
99
00:05:23,877 --> 00:05:25,480
Now I want to pause for a moment,
100
00:05:25,504 --> 00:05:28,236
380,000 years after the origins
of the universe,
101
00:05:28,260 --> 00:05:32,236
because we actually know quite a lot
about the universe at this stage.
102
00:05:32,773 --> 00:05:35,694
We know above all
that it was extremely simple.
103
00:05:35,718 --> 00:05:39,517
It consisted of huge clouds
of hydrogen and helium atoms,
104
00:05:39,541 --> 00:05:41,469
and they have no structure.
105
00:05:41,493 --> 00:05:43,860
They're really a sort of cosmic mush.
106
00:05:44,652 --> 00:05:46,322
But that's not completely true.
107
00:05:46,732 --> 00:05:48,236
Recent studies
108
00:05:48,260 --> 00:05:51,121
by satellites such as the WMAP satellite
109
00:05:51,145 --> 00:05:52,722
have shown that, in fact,
110
00:05:52,746 --> 00:05:55,495
there are just tiny differences
in that background.
111
00:05:55,519 --> 00:05:57,236
What you see here,
112
00:05:57,260 --> 00:06:01,566
the blue areas are about a thousandth
of a degree cooler
113
00:06:01,590 --> 00:06:02,982
than the red areas.
114
00:06:03,006 --> 00:06:04,379
These are tiny differences,
115
00:06:04,403 --> 00:06:06,673
but it was enough
for the universe to move on
116
00:06:06,697 --> 00:06:08,672
to the next stage of building complexity.
117
00:06:08,696 --> 00:06:09,888
And this is how it works.
118
00:06:10,895 --> 00:06:15,143
Gravity is more powerful
where there's more stuff.
119
00:06:15,817 --> 00:06:18,135
So where you get slightly denser areas,
120
00:06:18,159 --> 00:06:22,076
gravity starts compacting clouds
of hydrogen and helium atoms.
121
00:06:22,100 --> 00:06:25,650
So we can imagine the early universe
breaking up into a billion clouds.
122
00:06:25,674 --> 00:06:27,476
And each cloud is compacted,
123
00:06:27,500 --> 00:06:30,516
gravity gets more powerful
as density increases,
124
00:06:30,540 --> 00:06:33,634
the temperature begins to rise
at the center of each cloud,
125
00:06:33,658 --> 00:06:34,947
and then, at the center,
126
00:06:34,971 --> 00:06:37,809
the temperature crosses
the threshold temperature
127
00:06:37,833 --> 00:06:39,399
of 10 million degrees,
128
00:06:39,423 --> 00:06:41,828
protons start to fuse,
129
00:06:41,852 --> 00:06:44,236
there's a huge release of energy,
130
00:06:44,260 --> 00:06:45,693
and --
131
00:06:45,717 --> 00:06:46,733
bam!
132
00:06:46,757 --> 00:06:48,272
We have our first stars.
133
00:06:48,938 --> 00:06:52,796
From about 200 million years
after the Big Bang,
134
00:06:52,820 --> 00:06:56,227
stars begin to appear
all through the universe,
135
00:06:56,251 --> 00:06:57,322
billions of them.
136
00:06:57,759 --> 00:07:00,615
And the universe is now
significantly more interesting
137
00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:01,734
and more complex.
138
00:07:03,188 --> 00:07:06,304
Stars will create
the Goldilocks conditions
139
00:07:06,328 --> 00:07:08,227
for crossing two new thresholds.
140
00:07:08,631 --> 00:07:11,210
When very large stars die,
141
00:07:11,234 --> 00:07:13,555
they create temperatures so high
142
00:07:13,579 --> 00:07:17,212
that protons begin to fuse
in all sorts of exotic combinations,
143
00:07:17,236 --> 00:07:20,066
to form all the elements
of the periodic table.
144
00:07:20,090 --> 00:07:22,386
If, like me, you're wearing a gold ring,
145
00:07:22,410 --> 00:07:25,236
it was forged in a supernova explosion.
146
00:07:25,878 --> 00:07:29,077
So now the universe
is chemically more complex.
147
00:07:29,101 --> 00:07:31,466
And in a chemically more complex universe,
148
00:07:31,490 --> 00:07:33,934
it's possible to make more things.
149
00:07:33,958 --> 00:07:37,450
And what starts happening
is that, around young suns,
150
00:07:37,474 --> 00:07:39,236
young stars,
151
00:07:39,260 --> 00:07:41,451
all these elements combine,
they swirl around,
152
00:07:41,475 --> 00:07:44,255
the energy of the star stirs them around,
153
00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:49,004
they form particles, they form snowflakes,
they form little dust motes,
154
00:07:49,028 --> 00:07:51,224
they form rocks, they form asteroids,
155
00:07:51,248 --> 00:07:53,843
and eventually,
they form planets and moons.
156
00:07:53,867 --> 00:07:56,817
And that is how our
solar system was formed,
157
00:07:56,841 --> 00:07:59,236
four and a half billion years ago.
158
00:08:00,453 --> 00:08:05,826
Rocky planets like our Earth
are significantly more complex than stars
159
00:08:05,850 --> 00:08:08,612
because they contain
a much greater diversity of materials.
160
00:08:08,636 --> 00:08:11,417
So we've crossed a fourth
threshold of complexity.
161
00:08:12,931 --> 00:08:15,558
Now, the going gets tougher.
162
00:08:16,411 --> 00:08:20,689
The next stage introduces entities
that are significantly more fragile,
163
00:08:20,713 --> 00:08:22,625
significantly more vulnerable,
164
00:08:22,649 --> 00:08:25,236
but they're also much more creative
165
00:08:25,260 --> 00:08:28,236
and much more capable
of generating further complexity.
166
00:08:28,606 --> 00:08:32,030
I'm talking, of course,
about living organisms.
167
00:08:32,734 --> 00:08:34,877
Living organisms are created by chemistry.
168
00:08:34,901 --> 00:08:37,284
We are huge packages of chemicals.
169
00:08:38,115 --> 00:08:41,236
So, chemistry is dominated
by the electromagnetic force.
170
00:08:41,260 --> 00:08:43,499
That operates over smaller
scales than gravity,
171
00:08:43,523 --> 00:08:47,438
which explains why you and I
are smaller than stars or planets.
172
00:08:48,033 --> 00:08:50,327
Now, what are the ideal
conditions for chemistry?
173
00:08:50,874 --> 00:08:52,644
What are the Goldilocks conditions?
174
00:08:52,668 --> 00:08:55,025
Well, first, you need energy,
175
00:08:55,049 --> 00:08:56,236
but not too much.
176
00:08:56,665 --> 00:08:58,920
In the center of a star,
there's so much energy
177
00:08:58,944 --> 00:09:02,086
that any atoms that combine
will just get busted apart again.
178
00:09:02,110 --> 00:09:03,236
But not too little.
179
00:09:03,642 --> 00:09:04,873
In intergalactic space,
180
00:09:04,897 --> 00:09:07,780
there's so little energy
that atoms can't combine.
181
00:09:08,378 --> 00:09:10,236
What you want is just the right amount,
182
00:09:10,260 --> 00:09:12,260
and planets, it turns out, are just right,
183
00:09:12,284 --> 00:09:14,791
because they're close to stars,
but not too close.
184
00:09:15,394 --> 00:09:18,989
You also need a great diversity
of chemical elements,
185
00:09:19,013 --> 00:09:22,021
and you need liquids, such as water.
186
00:09:22,045 --> 00:09:23,092
Why?
187
00:09:23,116 --> 00:09:26,988
Well, in gases, atoms move
past each other so fast
188
00:09:27,012 --> 00:09:28,465
that they can't hitch up.
189
00:09:28,950 --> 00:09:30,672
In solids,
190
00:09:30,696 --> 00:09:33,236
atoms are stuck together, they can't move.
191
00:09:33,260 --> 00:09:34,978
In liquids,
192
00:09:35,002 --> 00:09:38,040
they can cruise and cuddle
193
00:09:38,064 --> 00:09:40,366
and link up to form molecules.
194
00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,395
Now, where do you find
such Goldilocks conditions?
195
00:09:43,934 --> 00:09:45,926
Well, planets are great,
196
00:09:45,950 --> 00:09:49,236
and our early Earth was almost perfect.
197
00:09:50,037 --> 00:09:52,085
It was just the right
distance from its star
198
00:09:52,109 --> 00:09:54,236
to contain huge oceans of liquid water.
199
00:09:54,260 --> 00:09:56,236
And deep beneath those oceans,
200
00:09:56,260 --> 00:09:58,236
at cracks in the Earth's crust,
201
00:09:58,260 --> 00:10:01,236
you've got heat seeping up
from inside the Earth,
202
00:10:01,260 --> 00:10:03,387
and you've got a great
diversity of elements.
203
00:10:03,411 --> 00:10:05,957
So at those deep oceanic vents,
204
00:10:05,981 --> 00:10:08,236
fantastic chemistry began to happen,
205
00:10:08,260 --> 00:10:11,260
and atoms combined in all sorts
of exotic combinations.
206
00:10:12,260 --> 00:10:16,625
But of course, life is more
than just exotic chemistry.
207
00:10:17,054 --> 00:10:20,811
How do you stabilize those huge molecules
208
00:10:20,835 --> 00:10:22,192
that seem to be viable?
209
00:10:22,950 --> 00:10:27,306
Well, it's here that life introduces
an entirely new trick.
210
00:10:28,220 --> 00:10:30,755
You don't stabilize the individual;
211
00:10:30,779 --> 00:10:32,882
you stabilize the template,
212
00:10:32,906 --> 00:10:35,011
the thing that carries information,
213
00:10:35,035 --> 00:10:37,252
and you allow the template to copy itself.
214
00:10:37,276 --> 00:10:40,427
And DNA, of course,
is the beautiful molecule
215
00:10:40,451 --> 00:10:42,777
that contains that information.
216
00:10:42,801 --> 00:10:45,616
You'll be familiar
with the double helix of DNA.
217
00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:48,156
Each rung contains information.
218
00:10:48,180 --> 00:10:52,753
So, DNA contains information
about how to make living organisms.
219
00:10:53,315 --> 00:10:55,239
And DNA also copies itself.
220
00:10:55,263 --> 00:10:56,469
So, it copies itself
221
00:10:56,493 --> 00:10:59,175
and scatters the templates
through the ocean.
222
00:10:59,199 --> 00:11:00,993
So the information spreads.
223
00:11:01,017 --> 00:11:03,655
Notice that information
has become part of our story.
224
00:11:04,137 --> 00:11:07,782
The real beauty of DNA though
is in its imperfections.
225
00:11:07,806 --> 00:11:11,734
As it copies itself,
once in every billion rungs,
226
00:11:11,758 --> 00:11:13,503
there tends to be an error.
227
00:11:13,527 --> 00:11:18,236
And what that means
is that DNA is, in effect, learning.
228
00:11:18,260 --> 00:11:21,580
It's accumulating new ways
of making living organisms
229
00:11:21,604 --> 00:11:23,224
because some of those errors work.
230
00:11:23,248 --> 00:11:24,446
So DNA's learning
231
00:11:24,470 --> 00:11:27,704
and it's building greater
diversity and greater complexity.
232
00:11:27,728 --> 00:11:30,910
And we can see this happening
over the last four billion years.
233
00:11:30,934 --> 00:11:33,109
For most of that time of life on Earth,
234
00:11:33,133 --> 00:11:35,370
living organisms have been
relatively simple --
235
00:11:35,394 --> 00:11:36,782
single cells.
236
00:11:36,806 --> 00:11:40,236
But they had great diversity,
and, inside, great complexity.
237
00:11:40,671 --> 00:11:43,575
Then from about 600
to 800 million years ago,
238
00:11:43,599 --> 00:11:45,690
multi-celled organisms appear.
239
00:11:45,714 --> 00:11:48,215
You get fungi, you get fish,
240
00:11:48,239 --> 00:11:49,754
you get plants,
241
00:11:49,778 --> 00:11:52,489
you get amphibia, you get reptiles,
242
00:11:52,513 --> 00:11:54,943
and then, of course,
you get the dinosaurs.
243
00:11:55,999 --> 00:11:58,508
And occasionally, there are disasters.
244
00:11:59,586 --> 00:12:01,975
Sixty-five million years ago,
245
00:12:01,999 --> 00:12:03,963
an asteroid landed on Earth
246
00:12:03,987 --> 00:12:05,777
near the Yucatan Peninsula,
247
00:12:05,801 --> 00:12:08,769
creating conditions equivalent
to those of a nuclear war,
248
00:12:08,793 --> 00:12:10,682
and the dinosaurs were wiped out.
249
00:12:11,166 --> 00:12:14,236
Terrible news for the dinosaurs,
250
00:12:14,260 --> 00:12:18,015
but great news
for our mammalian ancestors,
251
00:12:18,039 --> 00:12:19,236
who flourished
252
00:12:19,260 --> 00:12:22,917
in the niches left empty by the dinosaurs.
253
00:12:22,941 --> 00:12:27,996
And we human beings are part
of that creative evolutionary pulse
254
00:12:28,020 --> 00:12:30,356
that began 65 million years ago
255
00:12:30,380 --> 00:12:32,260
with the landing of an asteroid.
256
00:12:33,796 --> 00:12:36,510
Humans appeared about 200,000 years ago.
257
00:12:36,534 --> 00:12:40,882
And I believe we count
as a threshold in this great story.
258
00:12:40,906 --> 00:12:42,113
Let me explain why.
259
00:12:42,700 --> 00:12:45,731
We've seen that DNA learns in a sense,
260
00:12:45,755 --> 00:12:47,542
it accumulates information.
261
00:12:47,566 --> 00:12:49,236
But it is so slow.
262
00:12:50,128 --> 00:12:53,600
DNA accumulates information
through random errors,
263
00:12:53,624 --> 00:12:55,760
some of which just happen to work.
264
00:12:56,490 --> 00:12:59,124
But DNA had actually generated
a faster way of learning:
265
00:12:59,148 --> 00:13:01,926
it had produced organisms with brains,
266
00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:05,169
and those organisms
can learn in real time.
267
00:13:05,193 --> 00:13:07,519
They accumulate information, they learn.
268
00:13:07,543 --> 00:13:10,368
The sad thing is, when they die,
269
00:13:10,392 --> 00:13:12,090
the information dies with them.
270
00:13:12,479 --> 00:13:16,466
Now what makes humans different
is human language.
271
00:13:16,490 --> 00:13:19,253
We are blessed with a language,
a system of communication,
272
00:13:19,277 --> 00:13:21,898
so powerful and so precise
273
00:13:21,922 --> 00:13:25,080
that we can share what we've learned
with such precision
274
00:13:25,104 --> 00:13:27,993
that it can accumulate
in the collective memory.
275
00:13:28,017 --> 00:13:29,236
And that means
276
00:13:29,260 --> 00:13:33,039
it can outlast the individuals
who learned that information,
277
00:13:33,063 --> 00:13:36,236
and it can accumulate
from generation to generation.
278
00:13:36,260 --> 00:13:40,316
And that's why, as a species,
we're so creative and so powerful,
279
00:13:40,340 --> 00:13:42,396
and that's why we have a history.
280
00:13:43,015 --> 00:13:46,316
We seem to be the only species
in four billion years
281
00:13:46,340 --> 00:13:47,582
to have this gift.
282
00:13:48,057 --> 00:13:51,622
I call this ability collective learning.
283
00:13:51,995 --> 00:13:53,384
It's what makes us different.
284
00:13:53,686 --> 00:13:57,236
We can see it at work
in the earliest stages of human history.
285
00:13:57,949 --> 00:14:01,236
We evolved as a species
in the savanna lands of Africa,
286
00:14:01,260 --> 00:14:04,720
but then you see humans migrating
into new environments,
287
00:14:04,744 --> 00:14:06,894
into desert lands, into jungles,
288
00:14:06,918 --> 00:14:09,354
into the Ice Age tundra of Siberia --
289
00:14:09,378 --> 00:14:10,823
tough, tough environment --
290
00:14:10,847 --> 00:14:13,180
into the Americas, into Australasia.
291
00:14:13,204 --> 00:14:15,241
Each migration involved learning --
292
00:14:15,265 --> 00:14:17,748
learning new ways of exploiting
the environment,
293
00:14:17,772 --> 00:14:19,946
new ways of dealing
with their surroundings.
294
00:14:19,970 --> 00:14:21,786
Then 10,000 years ago,
295
00:14:21,810 --> 00:14:24,805
exploiting a sudden
change in global climate
296
00:14:24,829 --> 00:14:26,401
with the end of the last ice age,
297
00:14:26,425 --> 00:14:28,006
humans learned to farm.
298
00:14:28,623 --> 00:14:31,059
Farming was an energy bonanza.
299
00:14:31,083 --> 00:14:34,910
And exploiting that energy,
human populations multiplied.
300
00:14:34,934 --> 00:14:38,521
Human societies got larger,
denser, more interconnected.
301
00:14:39,101 --> 00:14:42,452
And then from about 500 years ago,
302
00:14:42,476 --> 00:14:44,515
humans began to link up globally
303
00:14:44,539 --> 00:14:46,920
through shipping, through trains,
304
00:14:46,944 --> 00:14:49,236
through telegraph, through the Internet,
305
00:14:49,260 --> 00:14:54,451
until now we seem to form
a single global brain
306
00:14:54,475 --> 00:14:56,607
of almost seven billion individuals.
307
00:14:56,631 --> 00:14:59,793
And that brain is learning at warp speed.
308
00:15:00,572 --> 00:15:03,144
And in the last 200 years,
something else has happened.
309
00:15:03,168 --> 00:15:05,834
We've stumbled on another energy bonanza
310
00:15:05,858 --> 00:15:06,985
in fossil fuels.
311
00:15:07,009 --> 00:15:09,712
So fossil fuels and collective
learning together
312
00:15:09,736 --> 00:15:13,260
explain the staggering complexity
we see around us.
313
00:15:16,505 --> 00:15:17,505
So --
314
00:15:18,668 --> 00:15:19,985
Here we are,
315
00:15:20,009 --> 00:15:21,533
back at the convention center.
316
00:15:21,557 --> 00:15:26,263
We've been on a journey,
a return journey, of 13.7 billion years.
317
00:15:26,967 --> 00:15:29,436
I hope you agree this is a powerful story.
318
00:15:29,460 --> 00:15:34,125
And it's a story in which humans
play an astonishing and creative role.
319
00:15:34,466 --> 00:15:36,681
But it also contains warnings.
320
00:15:37,474 --> 00:15:41,807
Collective learning is a very,
very powerful force,
321
00:15:41,831 --> 00:15:46,236
and it's not clear
that we humans are in charge of it.
322
00:15:47,123 --> 00:15:50,192
I remember very vividly
as a child growing up in England,
323
00:15:50,216 --> 00:15:52,236
living through the Cuban Missile Crisis.
324
00:15:52,847 --> 00:15:56,458
For a few days, the entire biosphere
325
00:15:56,482 --> 00:15:58,781
seemed to be on the verge of destruction.
326
00:15:59,474 --> 00:16:02,639
And the same weapons are still here,
327
00:16:02,663 --> 00:16:04,236
and they are still armed.
328
00:16:05,004 --> 00:16:08,236
If we avoid that trap,
others are waiting for us.
329
00:16:08,647 --> 00:16:11,236
We're burning fossil fuels at such a rate
330
00:16:11,260 --> 00:16:14,671
that we seem to be undermining
the Goldilocks conditions
331
00:16:14,695 --> 00:16:16,923
that made it possible
for human civilizations
332
00:16:16,947 --> 00:16:20,029
to flourish over the last 10,000 years.
333
00:16:20,633 --> 00:16:22,909
So what big history can do
334
00:16:22,933 --> 00:16:26,254
is show us the nature
of our complexity and fragility
335
00:16:26,278 --> 00:16:28,202
and the dangers that face us,
336
00:16:28,226 --> 00:16:31,806
but it can also show us
our power with collective learning.
337
00:16:32,586 --> 00:16:34,538
And now, finally --
338
00:16:35,657 --> 00:16:37,812
this is what I want.
339
00:16:39,448 --> 00:16:42,480
I want my grandson, Daniel,
340
00:16:42,504 --> 00:16:45,261
and his friends and his generation,
341
00:16:45,285 --> 00:16:47,078
throughout the world,
342
00:16:47,102 --> 00:16:49,942
to know the story of big history,
343
00:16:49,966 --> 00:16:52,005
and to know it so well
344
00:16:52,029 --> 00:16:55,695
that they understand
both the challenges that face us
345
00:16:55,719 --> 00:16:58,236
and the opportunities that face us.
346
00:16:58,260 --> 00:17:00,140
And that's why a group of us
347
00:17:00,164 --> 00:17:03,176
are building a free, online syllabus
348
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:04,518
in big history
349
00:17:04,542 --> 00:17:06,693
for high-school students
throughout the world.
350
00:17:07,225 --> 00:17:09,661
We believe that big history
351
00:17:09,685 --> 00:17:12,236
will be a vital
intellectual tool for them,
352
00:17:12,260 --> 00:17:15,103
as Daniel and his generation
353
00:17:15,127 --> 00:17:17,475
face the huge challenges
354
00:17:17,499 --> 00:17:19,554
and also the huge opportunities
355
00:17:19,578 --> 00:17:23,033
ahead of them at this threshold moment
356
00:17:23,057 --> 00:17:26,236
in the history of our beautiful planet.
357
00:17:26,993 --> 00:17:28,541
I thank you for your attention.
358
00:17:28,565 --> 00:17:33,260
(Applause)
28363
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.