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Russia. The military comes to inform the
parents of the occupier of his death,
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congratulates them and gives them
a badge in return for their son.
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The mother weeps, the relatives are heartbroken.
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And the most shocking thing is that all this is of
their own free will. It’s not in their house that
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the war has come, leaving them no choice. They
are the ones who go to a foreign country to kill
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and die. They have a choice. They can stop all
this and leave the Ukrainians alone at any time.
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They can stop and just live and let
others live. But they don't stop.
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Absolute surrealism. Killed, tormented, suffering,
and still dutifully sent to the meat grinder.
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The other day I paid attention to the possibility
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of an attack on Kyiv from Belarus,
given the grouping of Russian troops
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currently stationed there and even in
combination with the army of Belarus.
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Then I stressed, if they did
not succeed last time with
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40,000 elite troops, will they be
able to do it with 12,000 recruits?
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But there is another very important aspect.
Not only the quantitative resource of manpower,
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or its professional component, but also the
technical one. But about everything in order.
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So, if on February 24, 40 thousand
elite occupants could not take Kyiv,
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then how many recruits should we send to storm it?
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Clearly not 40 thousand. Let's assume 60 thousand.
60 thousand is, roughly speaking, 75 Battalion
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tactical group. And now the most interesting -
what is the equipment of Battalion tactical group?
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And that is on average: 11 tanks, 33 Armoured
fighting vehicles, 12 Self-propelled artillery,
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12 Multiple rocket launchers, 3 SAM
systems and 3 electronic warfare.
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There may be variations depending on the
functional purpose, but in general so.
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That is, for the 75 Battalion
tactical group preparing for the
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invasion of Ukraine it is necessary to have
825 tanks, 2,475 Armored fighting vehicles,
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900 self-propelled artillery and multiple rocket
launchers, 225 SAM systems and electronic warfare.
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Such a resource on the territory of Belarus and
close to today there is no. Even the 10th part
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of it. Yes, they are taking equipment
to Belarus, but not in such quantity.
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But, let's say they do, then what?
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And then - forming a shock group that also
takes a certain amount of time and resource.
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If all the above for these
75 Battalion tactical group
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ignore and send to Ukraine marching
battalions, it will be a grinder.
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A senseless and merciless meat grinder that
will end even faster than the confrontation
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on the northern bridgehead in
February-March of this year.
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Therefore, we watch very carefully what
is happening in Belarus and do not panic.
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The Ukrainian armed forces
have everything under control.
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