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What's up, everyone? Alright.
So, today, we're going to get
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into lesson four which is
technical analysis. Now, this
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is kind of the meat of the
class as traders. We are so
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focused on the technicals. It
doesn't matter whether you're
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trading stocks or
cryptocurrency. Technical
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analysis is what we use to find
strong entry points with a
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minimal amount of risk and a
maximum amount of profit
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potential. So, the topics for
today when it comes to
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technical technical analysis,
We're going to define what it
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is so you guys understand it.
We're going to show you
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candlestick price charts. These
are the same charts that we use
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when we're trading stocks and
so many of you are already
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familiar with them but we'll
just do a brief review of
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candlestick charts. We're
going to talk about performing
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technical analysis and then
we're going to get into talking
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about common price patterns.
So, these are the candlestick
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patterns that we utilize to
find strong entry points.
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Alright, so Arch is with me
here again today and I'm
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going to let him talk a little
bit about technical analysis.
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Yeah. So, let's get right into
it. Technical analysis is a
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very popular way of evaluating
price charts. Yeah. And it's a
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methodology that helps you
analyze historical data to help
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you predict what prices may do
in the future. So, we're
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eventually evaluating all of
the trades that have taken in
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the past and we may use
something like a candlestick
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chart to do that. Uh our goal
is to really use that
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information to our advantage by
helping us locate good entries
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and exits on our trades.
There's probably hundreds of
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hundreds or thousands of
different technical analysis
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trading strategies but
ultimately our goal is the same
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and that's to find a trading
edge that's going to help us
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put the probabilities in our
favor so as you gain experience
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as a technical analyst you're
you'll likely be able to spot
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these major trading
opportunities that become
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visibly evident on the chart
yeah technical analysis is also
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really a universal concept that
works practically in any market
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so it works in stocks futures
cryptocurrencies and if you
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understand technical analysis
from stocks or another any
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other kind of trading that's
really great because those
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skills can also be applied in
cryptocurrencies but even if
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you don't don't worry because
we'll teach you how those
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concepts can be applied in this
presentation. Yeah and you know
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one of the things is that I
noticed for myself when I was
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learning how to trade I kind of
had this hunt for the holy
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grail like even when you look
at this slide here you can see
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these like oscillating
indicators and they go from you
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know green down and up and you
think, jeez, maybe if I find
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the perfect combination of
technical indicators, they'll
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just, they'll do the hard work.
They'll tell me when to buy and
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when to sell and the reality is
it doesn't exist. I search for
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it for a long time but what you
can do is you can use them to
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help you put the odds in your
favor to help you get that
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edge. They're not going to do
all the work for you but they
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can help you. Now, those are
technical indicators and we use
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a couple of technical
indicators which will talk
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about more this class and
primarily we rely on
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candlestick chart patterns
rather than the indicators
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themselves and that's because a
technical indicator is always
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going to lag behind price
action a technical indicator
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takes its information from the
price but it requires the price
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to go up and down before that
indicator is going to give you
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a signal so the price has to
happen first now if we just
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look straight at the
candlestick chart we're looking
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right at the price and so we
don't have any of we don't have
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any lag or any delay if we can
immediately make an
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interpretation. So, you know,
that's the goal but technical
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analysis includes all these
technical indicators and
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reading candlestick charts. So,
this is the breakdown of a
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candlestick. Now, every
candlestick that you see
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represents a period of time. A
green candlestick right here
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has four pieces of information
it's telling us. It's telling
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us the open price which is the
bottom of the candle it's
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telling us the close which is
the top of the candle right
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here so this body right here
this is obviously the the stock
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moved up during this period of
time down here is the lower
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candle wick or the lower shadow
this is the low of that period
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so let's say this candlestick
represents 15 minutes of time
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within that 15 minute period at
the beginning the price was
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right here at the end the price
was here and sometime during
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that 15-minute period, it
dropped down to here, it spiked
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up to here but then it closed
right here. So, those are the
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four pieces of information. The
open, the close, the high, and
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the low. Now, with the red
candle, we see the same thing.
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We see the open price and then
the close price. The only
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difference is that they're
inverted because the stock went
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down. So, that's how we need
the the candles to be colored
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to know whether the price was
going up or down. I mean,
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visually, you can some see it
but if a stock is kind of
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sideways without the color, you
wouldn't know whether the top
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was the open or the close. So,
what's really interesting is
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that when we take these four
pieces of information, they can
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actually communicate a lot to
us. So, imagine for example, if
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this candlestick had a high
shadow that went way up here.
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Let's say it went way off the
chart. What that would tell us
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is that inside that
fifteen-minute window, the
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stock squeezed up but it came
back down and the one hand you
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could think well that shows
strength but it actually shows
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weakness because it came back
down so we call those topping
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tail candles because they've
got this long upper wick
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inverted is a bottoming tail a
stock squeeze down but then it
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got bought back up and that's
actually showing some strength
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so just the actual shape of the
candlestick can help us make
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some interpretation about the
market sentiment around this
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particular stock and I'll I'll
I should should preface that by
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saying that these candles
patterns are most significant
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when they appear in the context
of a strong move to the upside
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or a strong move to the
downside we don't really look
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at candlestick patterns during
sideways consolidation because
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the fact that the stock is
already sideways tells us you
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know the market is a little bit
indifferent alright so now
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let's look at a couple of
candlestick charts I'll let
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Arch walk you through this yeah
so here we have the Bitcoin
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daily chart on the left and we
have the four hour chart on the
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right the daily chart really
helps you get an understanding
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of the bigger picture of the
the price move. Right. From
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current current data we could
see that Bitcoin's been pretty
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weak on the daily chart lately.
So that should kind of give you
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an hint to be extremely
cautious when taking any kind
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of long positions since it's
kind of in a sustained
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downtrend at this time. Uh
however you can incorporate
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another time frame such as the
the four hour chart to get a
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better understanding of what's
happening in the shorter term
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picture. So when we look at the
four hour chart year it shows
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us that the sellings kind of
ended and we're now steadily
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grinding higher. So, that's how
you're going to use the time
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frames to your advantage to
kind of get an understanding of
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what's really going on. Right
and you can see, I mean, this
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is a a four-hour chart. So,
that means each candlestick
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represents four hours of time
and you can use any time
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period. The most respected time
period for most traders for day
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traders would be a one-minute
chart and a five-minute chart.
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Now, a lot of traders who do
sort of slightly longer hold
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times will use 15-minute charts
and 60-minute chart and swing
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traders usually focus primarily
on daily charts or maybe
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something like a four-hour
chart just to get zoomed in a
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little bit closer but you can
see here is this bottomed out
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at the bottom it went from 6,
000 all the way back up to 9,
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000 I mean that's a pretty
legitimate bounce and on the
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daily chart you you know you
may have said okay here's a
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little bottoming tail right so
the stock dropped down but then
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it squeeze back up so that
shows strength and maybe would
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have seen that as an indicator
to buy maybe around 8000 but of
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course if you got in there
you're already getting in 2000
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points off the low of the drop
so that's the advantage of
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using a shorter time period you
can kind of get that early
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indicator that the tide is
starting to shift and here you
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can see that peaking volume at
the bottom right here the sell
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off the bounce then a first
pull back gets bought up so
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possible entry maybe around
seventy-seven fifth it's not a
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lot earlier than waiting for a
daily trigger but you know it's
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a little bit earlier would have
given you a little bit of a
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jump right there so let's look
at another chart here we're
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going in zooming in a little
closer this is the one hour
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chart and the 15-minute chart
again as a day trader there are
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times where I've gone all the
way down and it's not going to
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sound crazy to a one second
chart so each candle is
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actually one second of time and
obviously we do that it's
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there's a million candles in
the day but if you want to get
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very very precise entries for
quick trades you can go all the
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way down to one second chart
it's not very common typically
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you know 15 minute 5 minute 1
minute would be more typical
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but yeah yeah especially with
cryptocurrencies you kind of
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focus on at least the at least
the five or the fifteen because
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when you really get into those
lower time frames with these
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these things are very trendy
but they at the same time they
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don't break out within a matter
of seconds or minutes.
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Sometimes it takes really an
hour or a couple of hours for
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that move to get going. So
that's why I like to I prefer
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to use the the fifteen and the
1 hour for the shorter time
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frame trading because not only
do you get an understanding of
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the trend but you can still
nail those those precise
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entries using these shorter
time frames. Yeah and something
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that we'll talk about in a
moment. If you kind of look at
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this, you can sort of visualize
this almost invisible line
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right up here. If it can next
this. and this. and then comes
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up to here this is what we
would call a trend line and so
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if you did that take that
technical analysis where you
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drew that line on here then
right in this area you might be
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starting to think well jeez
it's hitting this trend line
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maybe I should be a little
careful and that would have
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gotten you out of that trade
before this drop right so you
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know that's something that
we'll talk about a little bit
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more that gets into the next
level of technical analysis so
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Let me let you Arch walk us
through this slide. Yeah. So,
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now that you guys have a better
understanding of what
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candlestick charts are, we
could really get into the the
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technical analysis tools that
you can use to begin performing
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your own technical analysis.
So, there's many ways to
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perform technical analysis
using a pretty enormous library
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of tools and indicators that
are currently out there but
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personally, I like to keep it
very simple and I found these
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tools to be incredibly helpful
in performing technical
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00:11:05,188 --> 00:11:08,388
analysis. So these include
trend lines, support and
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resistance levels, volume, and
moving averages. Four big ones.
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00:11:11,948 --> 00:11:14,588
Learning how to incorporate
learning how to incorporate all
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of these tools into your
arsenal can really help you
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00:11:16,908 --> 00:11:19,668
develop an edge over the
market. And as mentioned
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00:11:19,668 --> 00:11:22,908
there's plenty of other tools
and indicators you can use. Uh
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but using too many can really
become contradictory and it
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00:11:26,508 --> 00:11:30,548
might give you contradictory
information. So you really
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00:11:30,548 --> 00:11:33,148
want to limit the amount of
indicators and tools that you
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use. Yeah. It's called analysis
says paralysis. So, you have so
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many technical indicators and
you, I mean, you could stack
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dozens and dozens on a chart to
the point where they they could
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all be agreeing but it doesn't
necessarily mean it's a buy or
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00:11:48,248 --> 00:11:50,608
they could all be disagreeing
and you just gotta sit there
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confused and that's what's more
likely to happen. Some will say
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yes, some will say no. You sit
there missing opportunities
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because you're overthinking it.
So, the four big ones, trend
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lines, support resistance
levels, volume, and moving
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00:12:01,928 --> 00:12:05,148
averages. Those are what we use
when we're trading stocks and
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00:12:05,148 --> 00:12:08,308
they're the same with trading
cryptocurrencies. So, when it
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00:12:08,308 --> 00:12:11,388
comes to the trend line, this
is where we actually connect
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those two dots with a line and
so from any trading software
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00:12:17,348 --> 00:12:19,908
any charting software, you'll
be able to go down to your
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drawing tools and you'll be
able to click on trend lines
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00:12:23,108 --> 00:12:26,748
and when you do that, you click
once for the first. and you
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00:12:26,748 --> 00:12:30,388
click a second time for the
second. So, one of the ways
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00:12:30,388 --> 00:12:35,248
that I typically use trend
lines is I try to find the
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00:12:35,248 --> 00:12:40,008
place where the line connects
to as many dots as possible.
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00:12:40,008 --> 00:12:44,208
So, I'll maybe click the first.
and you can use either the top
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of the candle or you can use
the top of the body. There's
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00:12:48,488 --> 00:12:53,208
not really a hard set rule of
where to draw the line. My
224
00:12:53,208 --> 00:12:57,848
opinion on it is to draw the
line so it touches in the most
225
00:12:57,848 --> 00:13:02,048
places because if you draw a
line, let's say for instance, I
226
00:13:02,048 --> 00:13:06,368
I draw a line that connects
this spot right here with you
227
00:13:06,368 --> 00:13:09,528
know, this spot right here you
know I might have been the only
228
00:13:09,528 --> 00:13:12,728
person that drew that line
because it only touches in two
229
00:13:12,728 --> 00:13:16,688
places whereas when you draw a
line that touches in multiple
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00:13:16,688 --> 00:13:20,688
places the way this touches
here here and then it retouches
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00:13:20,688 --> 00:13:24,608
here and and maybe even if we
had drawn it a little bit lower
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00:13:24,608 --> 00:13:28,168
we would have seen it touch
right here that's when you
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00:13:28,168 --> 00:13:31,528
start to say this is a line
that's being respected I mean
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00:13:31,528 --> 00:13:35,208
I'm drawing it and I'm seeing
over the course of hours and
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00:13:35,208 --> 00:13:39,348
hours that we tapping that line
I'm not the only person that
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00:13:39,348 --> 00:13:43,788
drew it it's a respected trend
line and that's what we want so
237
00:13:43,788 --> 00:13:47,828
we draw them basically where we
can already sort of start to
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00:13:47,828 --> 00:13:51,428
visualize them and then we can
adjust them up or down slightly
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00:13:51,428 --> 00:13:55,788
until they connect to as many
places as possible and so what
240
00:13:55,788 --> 00:13:59,588
we know is that stocks will
often test these types of
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00:13:59,588 --> 00:14:03,188
resistance points now if the
stock is below it it's going to
242
00:14:03,188 --> 00:14:05,808
be considered resistance
because it's coming up again
243
00:14:05,808 --> 00:14:10,688
it. When it finally breaks,
often times we'll see a break
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and then we'll see stocks come
back down and retest the
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00:14:14,648 --> 00:14:18,968
breakout point. So, they drop
back down and then, if there
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00:14:18,968 --> 00:14:23,288
are enough buyers, it will curl
back up and it continues on and
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00:14:23,288 --> 00:14:27,008
and that's when you know that
that previous resistance is now
248
00:14:27,008 --> 00:14:30,128
actually going to become a
level of support. When you
249
00:14:30,128 --> 00:14:33,928
break through that line, it's
now support. So, it really can
250
00:14:33,928 --> 00:14:36,468
be very helpful to draw trend
lines whether it's with
251
00:14:36,468 --> 00:14:40,548
cryptocurrencies or stocks to
help you identify major levels
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00:14:40,548 --> 00:14:43,588
of possible supporter
resistance where you could see
253
00:14:43,588 --> 00:14:50,588
breakouts or breakdowns. So you
can see here this is a
254
00:14:50,588 --> 00:14:55,788
lightcoin chart. I'll let Arch
walk you through the taps of
255
00:14:55,788 --> 00:15:00,108
this trend line right here and
here. Yeah so this will be the
256
00:15:00,108 --> 00:15:03,388
four hour chart of Litecoin and
we see that we have two major
257
00:15:03,388 --> 00:15:06,508
trend lines currently plotted
on the chart. Uh both of these
258
00:15:06,508 --> 00:15:09,828
trend lines were connected
using the most extended points
259
00:15:09,828 --> 00:15:12,948
that we were able to find which
kind of really helps you
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00:15:12,948 --> 00:15:16,668
understand the borders of the
price action. Uh when we start
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00:15:16,668 --> 00:15:20,188
coming out of those that range
it kind of gives you a sign
262
00:15:20,188 --> 00:15:24,788
that the trend is starting to
change. So what what here was
263
00:15:24,788 --> 00:15:27,828
that the first screen box shows
that we tapped right into the
264
00:15:27,828 --> 00:15:31,108
line and we sharp sharply
rejected from there it tested
265
00:15:31,108 --> 00:15:34,148
the line again in the second
green box and again we found
266
00:15:34,148 --> 00:15:37,828
resistance there but we saw
that the price eventually
267
00:15:37,828 --> 00:15:41,068
stopped going down and it made
it back above that trend line
268
00:15:41,068 --> 00:15:43,948
with a bunch of sideways action
taking place but what that
269
00:15:43,948 --> 00:15:46,468
really means is that the
downtrend is likely over for
270
00:15:46,468 --> 00:15:49,548
the short term and we could
likely see a breakout over the
271
00:15:49,548 --> 00:15:51,948
top of the trend line and
that's exactly what Litecoin
272
00:15:51,948 --> 00:15:55,688
did just a few days ago after
this was taken. So, this is a
273
00:15:55,688 --> 00:15:58,408
great example of how you can
incorporate trend lines to
274
00:15:58,408 --> 00:16:02,608
perform this technical analysis
and get understanding of when
275
00:16:02,608 --> 00:16:06,208
prices are really ready to to
move. Yeah and on this slide, I
276
00:16:06,208 --> 00:16:11,288
probably, I would probably have
drawn a second trend line maybe
277
00:16:11,288 --> 00:16:15,288
from the top of this body
because if I had started a
278
00:16:15,288 --> 00:16:18,688
little lower, this would have
come up a smidge bit higher and
279
00:16:18,688 --> 00:16:21,568
it probably would have cut
through here and you would have
280
00:16:21,568 --> 00:16:24,928
seen the trend line would have
been right around here but even
281
00:16:24,928 --> 00:16:27,968
if I had drawn that you can see
right here there's a little bit
282
00:16:27,968 --> 00:16:32,048
of descending resistance
because there's sort of that
283
00:16:32,048 --> 00:16:36,928
level so on this candle here we
broke over that level so here
284
00:16:36,928 --> 00:16:40,368
we are kind of holding maybe
support around here and there
285
00:16:40,368 --> 00:16:44,088
was also maybe a second line
above it that was this sort of
286
00:16:44,088 --> 00:16:47,728
resistance point so there are
times where you'll see stocks
287
00:16:47,728 --> 00:16:51,648
kind of pinned between two
lines and it's just a matter of
288
00:16:51,648 --> 00:16:55,308
time will we break to the
upside or will we break to the
289
00:16:55,308 --> 00:17:00,628
side here's another example you
can see this Bitcoin chart this
290
00:17:00,628 --> 00:17:04,348
is a four hour chart again
trend line starting at the low
291
00:17:04,348 --> 00:17:09,148
point and then connecting right
here right around there and
292
00:17:09,148 --> 00:17:12,908
through here so I think if this
one is connected on these two
293
00:17:12,908 --> 00:17:16,068
points we do that because we're
like okay these are two obvious
294
00:17:16,068 --> 00:17:20,508
levels and as the stock starts
dropping down here that's
295
00:17:20,508 --> 00:17:22,908
usually the time that we would
draw this trend line because
296
00:17:22,908 --> 00:17:26,568
we're thinking when is the
going to find support. Is there
297
00:17:26,568 --> 00:17:29,568
anywhere it might find support
because that's a place I could
298
00:17:29,568 --> 00:17:33,168
potentially be a buyer, right?
So, if you drew this trend line
299
00:17:33,168 --> 00:17:36,248
and you saw, well, there might
be a little support down in
300
00:17:36,248 --> 00:17:39,248
here, that actually would have
been a fantastic entry because
301
00:17:39,248 --> 00:17:44,368
we bounced from 12000 back up
to over sixteen, $17, 000,
302
00:17:44,368 --> 00:17:47,568
right? So, that's a really good
bounce. Right. And that's how
303
00:17:47,568 --> 00:17:50,808
you would have spotted it is by
connecting that those two dots.
304
00:17:50,808 --> 00:17:54,268
So then, again. What's
interesting is it later, sorry,
305
00:17:54,268 --> 00:17:56,708
sorry. Uh what's interesting is
later found support at that
306
00:17:56,708 --> 00:17:59,468
same level but this time, we
didn't see that same kind of
307
00:17:59,468 --> 00:18:01,748
bounce, right? This time
instead, prices kind of
308
00:18:01,748 --> 00:18:05,188
consolidated on. That's true.
As buy buyers used it as a
309
00:18:05,188 --> 00:18:08,868
place for support but sellers
were still kind of in charge
310
00:18:08,868 --> 00:18:11,668
and ultimately, we saw that the
line broke hard and prices
311
00:18:11,668 --> 00:18:15,228
flush. Yup, that's definitely
true and so, in this case,
312
00:18:15,228 --> 00:18:18,948
after we'd had this drop, I
might have drawn another trend
313
00:18:18,948 --> 00:18:22,548
line from the low of this. to
the low of this one which would
314
00:18:22,548 --> 00:18:26,088
have brought the line just a
smidge a bit lower it probably
315
00:18:26,088 --> 00:18:28,648
would have been crossing right
in here but then you would have
316
00:18:28,648 --> 00:18:32,168
seen okay we've got these two
support lines so if they both
317
00:18:32,168 --> 00:18:36,328
break as they finally did here
we could get a really big drop
318
00:18:36,328 --> 00:18:40,848
and we're not going to see any
support now unless we draw some
319
00:18:40,848 --> 00:18:46,688
type of descending support line
coming down here but a lot of
320
00:18:46,688 --> 00:18:50,288
times I I try to be careful
about crossing too many lines
321
00:18:50,288 --> 00:18:52,768
because then again you're
getting a little obscure and
322
00:18:52,768 --> 00:18:56,428
you be connecting dots that are
obvious and that other people
323
00:18:56,428 --> 00:19:00,148
will connect because the only
reason that the stock bounces
324
00:19:00,148 --> 00:19:03,108
here is because other people
connected the same line and
325
00:19:03,108 --> 00:19:06,828
they saw potential for support
so if you're connecting obscure
326
00:19:06,828 --> 00:19:10,108
dots and noone else is doing it
you'll be the only one buying
327
00:19:10,108 --> 00:19:13,908
there the stocks going to keep
dropping so anyways yeah it's
328
00:19:13,908 --> 00:19:16,588
very easy to come up with these
trend lines that you might
329
00:19:16,588 --> 00:19:19,628
think are trend lines but
ultimately the goal is to find
330
00:19:19,628 --> 00:19:22,848
the trend line that everybody
else is watching so that you
331
00:19:22,848 --> 00:19:25,288
all you get the same the
reaction that you're looking
332
00:19:25,288 --> 00:19:28,408
for through the help of other
traders. So usually I say the
333
00:19:28,408 --> 00:19:32,128
validity comes from a trend
line tapping multiple times. So
334
00:19:32,128 --> 00:19:35,488
like this is a long one with
just two taps but then in here
335
00:19:35,488 --> 00:19:38,888
it starts to gain some validity
as it's really showing that
336
00:19:38,888 --> 00:19:42,968
this is a recognized level of
support. So most people would
337
00:19:42,968 --> 00:19:46,848
consider this bearish the way
the stock is consolidating at
338
00:19:46,848 --> 00:19:51,688
the trend line before of course
breaking down. Um yeah to add
339
00:19:51,688 --> 00:19:55,148
on to to which what you
mentioned sometimes it is okay
340
00:19:55,148 --> 00:19:57,548
to use those two points but I
like to only do it in
341
00:19:57,548 --> 00:20:01,428
situations where I'm using the
most extended points because
342
00:20:01,428 --> 00:20:04,388
ultimately I know that not all
trend lines are going to be
343
00:20:04,388 --> 00:20:07,628
respected but I still want to
have them plotted just in case
344
00:20:07,628 --> 00:20:11,308
that they do provide some kind
of support and that can help me
345
00:20:11,308 --> 00:20:14,268
kind of understand what's
really going on. So in this
346
00:20:14,268 --> 00:20:20,628
case we had those two extreme
lows plotted there and we we we
347
00:20:20,628 --> 00:20:23,688
created a trend line from that
but even though we didn't know
348
00:20:23,688 --> 00:20:26,528
whether it was going to come
into it was going to provide
349
00:20:26,528 --> 00:20:29,568
support since it was only two
points it's so helpful to kind
350
00:20:29,568 --> 00:20:32,448
of mark those places off
because you never know that
351
00:20:32,448 --> 00:20:36,008
that maybe a level that other
traders are are using. Yeah.
352
00:20:36,008 --> 00:20:40,848
That's true and one remember
you have to not forget that the
353
00:20:40,848 --> 00:20:45,768
reason technical analysis works
is because thousands,
354
00:20:45,768 --> 00:20:49,928
thousands, millions of people
are all using the same tool,
355
00:20:49,928 --> 00:20:54,788
right? So, I that's why those
four big tools of trend lines
356
00:20:54,788 --> 00:20:58,268
support resistance lines volume
and moving averages work so
357
00:20:58,268 --> 00:21:02,228
well they're the most common
technical indicators that even
358
00:21:02,228 --> 00:21:05,348
when you first load you know an
E trade account or whatever it
359
00:21:05,348 --> 00:21:08,228
is they're automatically on the
chart because they're what
360
00:21:08,228 --> 00:21:13,908
everyone uses so the fact that
a setup is really obvious is
361
00:21:13,908 --> 00:21:16,868
good because more people
recognize it more people will
362
00:21:16,868 --> 00:21:21,608
most likely buy at the logical
buy buy spot and you're
363
00:21:21,608 --> 00:21:24,168
going to see better
resolutions. So, you know, we
364
00:21:24,168 --> 00:21:28,408
really like to go for what's
obvious rather than trying to,
365
00:21:28,408 --> 00:21:32,128
you know, come up with some
very obscure combination of
366
00:21:32,128 --> 00:21:35,808
never before heard of technical
indicators because noone uses
367
00:21:35,808 --> 00:21:39,128
them which means those levels
won't be very respected and
368
00:21:39,128 --> 00:21:43,048
you'll most likely just get
yourself frustrated. Alright,
369
00:21:43,048 --> 00:21:45,568
so support and resistance
levels. Do you want to cover
370
00:21:45,568 --> 00:21:49,968
this one, Ash? Yeah, let's get
into it. So, we have here
371
00:21:49,968 --> 00:21:52,448
support and resistance levels
which are literally just
372
00:21:52,448 --> 00:21:56,208
horizontal lines that we can
plot on a chart based on what
373
00:21:56,208 --> 00:21:59,328
we identified to be major
trading levels. So, some
374
00:21:59,328 --> 00:22:02,368
examples of major trading
levels you might find on a
375
00:22:02,368 --> 00:22:06,288
chart include previous major
breakout and breakout points,
376
00:22:06,288 --> 00:22:09,968
extreme highs and extreme lows
as well as price levels that
377
00:22:09,968 --> 00:22:13,368
have been previously tested and
held on more than two
378
00:22:13,368 --> 00:22:16,488
occasions. So, it's important
to note that support levels can
379
00:22:16,488 --> 00:22:18,808
become resistance and
resistance can actually become
380
00:22:18,808 --> 00:22:23,128
support. Yeah. So, let's look
at a couple examples here of
381
00:22:23,128 --> 00:22:27,948
support and resistance lines.
So, what we look for again are
382
00:22:27,948 --> 00:22:33,988
places where the stock has
ideally tapped multiple times
383
00:22:33,988 --> 00:22:38,268
so right up here at the high
we've got the first this candle
384
00:22:38,268 --> 00:22:42,228
squeezed up here and this is a
topping tail so often times
385
00:22:42,228 --> 00:22:46,668
I'll draw a a support or a
resistance line at the high of
386
00:22:46,668 --> 00:22:50,548
a move or high of day and so if
I draw that on there it creates
387
00:22:50,548 --> 00:22:54,748
this line right here and it's
very common that when a stock
388
00:22:54,748 --> 00:22:58,368
squeezes up if it creates this
this is called the cup
389
00:22:58,368 --> 00:23:01,408
formation it creates this cup
formation that what it's
390
00:23:01,408 --> 00:23:04,928
going to do is it's going to
double top at the resistance
391
00:23:04,928 --> 00:23:08,848
line and it's going to fail so
we anticipate that now that
392
00:23:08,848 --> 00:23:12,288
means we often like to buy at
the bottom of the cup which is
393
00:23:12,288 --> 00:23:15,848
what we would call the bullflag
entry so we're buying down here
394
00:23:15,848 --> 00:23:19,568
and we want to sell at the top
of the cup there are times
395
00:23:19,568 --> 00:23:21,488
where stocks or
cryptocurrencies are really
396
00:23:21,488 --> 00:23:24,488
strong and they squeeze through
that and they keep going but
397
00:23:24,488 --> 00:23:27,428
often they see a little bit of
resistance and this is the
398
00:23:27,428 --> 00:23:31,228
moment where stocks will either
pull back and completely fail
399
00:23:31,228 --> 00:23:35,188
the way this one did or well
there where they'll form a
400
00:23:35,188 --> 00:23:40,108
handle which is that little bit
of kind of pullback underneath
401
00:23:40,108 --> 00:23:43,148
the top of the cup so it's that
little handle right here and
402
00:23:43,148 --> 00:23:46,508
then from that point they
usually continue higher so
403
00:23:46,508 --> 00:23:49,988
drawing the resistance line at
high of day this gives us a
404
00:23:49,988 --> 00:23:54,808
predictive predictable level of
resistance right here similarly
405
00:23:54,808 --> 00:24:00,128
stock drops down the low of the
drop we pop on a support line
406
00:24:00,128 --> 00:24:04,168
now we see here on multiple
occasions the stock kind of
407
00:24:04,168 --> 00:24:08,488
drop below bounce back up drop
below bounce back up so we're
408
00:24:08,488 --> 00:24:13,408
sort of seeing some support in
this area and again one of the
409
00:24:13,408 --> 00:24:15,808
things that can be a little
challenging especially with
410
00:24:15,808 --> 00:24:20,328
cryptocurrencies is that
because there's so much fear
411
00:24:20,328 --> 00:24:26,268
and greed around these these
trades, these currencies, you
412
00:24:26,268 --> 00:24:29,868
can see whips where they break
below support and then they do
413
00:24:29,868 --> 00:24:33,628
come back up through it because
people panic out or people, you
414
00:24:33,628 --> 00:24:36,588
know, greed and they just panic
in. They buy in because they're
415
00:24:36,588 --> 00:24:39,868
afraid of missing out. They've
got FOMO and so we see a little
416
00:24:39,868 --> 00:24:43,668
bit more of the irrational
stuff like in this case, you
417
00:24:43,668 --> 00:24:47,908
know, you sort of see one, two,
three taps in this $10, 000
418
00:24:47,908 --> 00:24:51,508
level, probably a little bit of
psychological support there as
419
00:24:51,508 --> 00:24:56,568
well because it's a big round
no the low of this drop here
420
00:24:56,568 --> 00:24:59,848
you know we could draw that
over this is a good example
421
00:24:59,848 --> 00:25:04,248
also where once this support
level was broken as we came
422
00:25:04,248 --> 00:25:08,408
back up it was also resistance
so now it's forming the other
423
00:25:08,408 --> 00:25:11,928
side where first it was holding
us up and now it's a wall
424
00:25:11,928 --> 00:25:17,248
keeping us from going higher
you can see a little bit of
425
00:25:17,248 --> 00:25:20,448
trend line support and
resistance here or the support
426
00:25:20,448 --> 00:25:23,888
and resistance horizontal lines
on this four hour chart this
427
00:25:23,888 --> 00:25:28,768
drop he You can see we've got a
tap there and a tap there. So
428
00:25:28,768 --> 00:25:32,208
that's a really good example of
those two levels you know
429
00:25:32,208 --> 00:25:35,488
coming up and running into it.
Is there anything else you want
430
00:25:35,488 --> 00:25:41,328
to cover on this slide? Yeah so
we can also cover that the
431
00:25:41,328 --> 00:25:44,888
major breakout points also kind
of tend to provide some
432
00:25:44,888 --> 00:25:48,608
considerable support so on the
Bitcoin daily chart you can see
433
00:25:48,608 --> 00:25:51,528
that we have the major breakout
point listed and we really just
434
00:25:51,528 --> 00:25:54,488
identified as that that is the
the low of the green candle
435
00:25:54,488 --> 00:25:57,848
that really started a huge
upright that's where that big
436
00:25:57,848 --> 00:26:01,368
move really started and before
it kind of just gained
437
00:26:01,368 --> 00:26:04,488
incredible momentum so now that
we're finally back down to that
438
00:26:04,488 --> 00:26:07,768
level you can kind of expect it
to be an area where where some
439
00:26:07,768 --> 00:26:09,828
buyer are going to come in so
if you look on the four-hour
440
00:26:09,828 --> 00:26:13,668
chart we first pivoted into it
bounced a little bit drop
441
00:26:13,668 --> 00:26:16,708
through it but now we're
recovering back up and kind of
442
00:26:16,708 --> 00:26:19,428
consolidating over that level
so that kind of tells me that
443
00:26:19,428 --> 00:26:24,268
buyers are using that as a as a
level of support to place their
444
00:26:24,268 --> 00:26:26,748
trades on Bitcoin that's a good
point yes so this trend line
445
00:26:26,748 --> 00:26:30,268
here is carried over from the
daily so sometimes we'll
446
00:26:30,268 --> 00:26:33,348
actually we do this a lot we'll
draw trend lines on the daily
447
00:26:33,348 --> 00:26:36,908
chart and then when we're
trading intra day using a four
448
00:26:36,908 --> 00:26:40,888
hour hourly 15minute or 5
minute chart we can see okay
449
00:26:40,888 --> 00:26:44,128
this is that level that we
marked out over on the daily
450
00:26:44,128 --> 00:26:46,688
chart we're coming up to it and
so this is where you can
451
00:26:46,688 --> 00:26:49,488
kind of see us coming up to
that level right in here and
452
00:26:49,488 --> 00:26:52,408
that's the same with this trend
line coming up here but you can
453
00:26:52,408 --> 00:26:56,648
also draw these support and
resistance lines intra day on
454
00:26:56,648 --> 00:27:00,248
the four-hour chart as you see
them and again they're as
455
00:27:00,248 --> 00:27:04,888
respected as basically if
they're really well respected
456
00:27:04,888 --> 00:27:07,468
it's because they're really
obvious so the more obvious
457
00:27:07,468 --> 00:27:10,748
they are, the more likely they
are to be respected by other
458
00:27:10,748 --> 00:27:15,708
traders. That's a great point.
Here's a chart on Litecoin. You
459
00:27:15,708 --> 00:27:19,228
want to talk about this a
little bit? Yeah, so we kind of
460
00:27:19,228 --> 00:27:22,308
see similar support levels here
on Litecoin. We have the
461
00:27:22,308 --> 00:27:26,748
extreme lows from the previous
major sell offs, right? Where
462
00:27:26,748 --> 00:27:30,188
we saw that first Litecoin had
broken out incredibly sharply
463
00:27:30,188 --> 00:27:32,788
and then when we had that big
sell off time, we bounced
464
00:27:32,788 --> 00:27:35,268
pretty sharply off of that
level. So, you can kind of plot
465
00:27:35,268 --> 00:27:38,848
that level to be and expected
to be a support level if it's
466
00:27:38,848 --> 00:27:42,248
ever tested in the future and
that's what we saw following
467
00:27:42,248 --> 00:27:45,128
couple couple weeks later where
we once again spiked into that
468
00:27:45,128 --> 00:27:49,088
level and we used it as support
bounced higher but eventually
469
00:27:49,088 --> 00:27:52,528
we curled back down and we
plotted another support level
470
00:27:52,528 --> 00:27:56,488
at the at the new extreme low.
Yup. So, what we're seeing now
471
00:27:56,488 --> 00:27:59,848
is that Litecoin is kind of
using those those levels as
472
00:27:59,848 --> 00:28:03,768
support even though it's not
the most perfect support bounce
473
00:28:03,768 --> 00:28:07,188
there is. Uh it's those are the
best levels that you can really
474
00:28:07,188 --> 00:28:10,308
used to determine support that
there's not really much else
475
00:28:10,308 --> 00:28:14,628
you can identify on that chart
to be a major support level so.
476
00:28:14,628 --> 00:28:17,548
Yeah and this is what technical
trading is all about. It's it's
477
00:28:17,548 --> 00:28:21,068
looking at what are obvious
possible levels of support and
478
00:28:21,068 --> 00:28:23,828
we look at the lows of you
know, extreme drops and things
479
00:28:23,828 --> 00:28:27,428
like that. So, those are
carrying over into this
480
00:28:27,428 --> 00:28:31,228
four-hour chart here. So, you
can see especially in this
481
00:28:31,228 --> 00:28:33,988
area, a little bit of
consolidation bouncing between
482
00:28:33,988 --> 00:28:38,368
these levels and something that
again, is also worth noting is
483
00:28:38,368 --> 00:28:43,968
that we definitely see
resistance at whole dollars
484
00:28:43,968 --> 00:28:47,128
half dollars and just big
kind of lines in the sand that
485
00:28:47,128 --> 00:28:55,888
are psychological so 150200 or
even you know 210220 230 240
486
00:28:55,888 --> 00:28:59,408
it's not uncommon to see kind
of you know a little bit of a
487
00:28:59,408 --> 00:29:03,008
tap against these whole round
numbers and a fade off that
488
00:29:03,008 --> 00:29:07,668
level so when I get in to these
a lot of times I look for them
489
00:29:07,668 --> 00:29:11,668
to break and hold over those
levels and when I look for my
490
00:29:11,668 --> 00:29:15,828
target I like to sell just
underneath those psychological
491
00:29:15,828 --> 00:29:19,188
areas of resistance I wouldn't
want to sell exactly at 250 I
492
00:29:19,188 --> 00:29:23,388
would sell like 24980 you know
because I would expect we might
493
00:29:23,388 --> 00:29:26,708
come up and tap and then we
could get a sharp rejection off
494
00:29:26,708 --> 00:29:30,908
that psychological resistance
so in addition to obvious
495
00:29:30,908 --> 00:29:33,188
support and resistance levels
we also have some of the
496
00:29:33,188 --> 00:29:37,288
psychological ones which
initially not be as obvious but
497
00:29:37,288 --> 00:29:43,208
are definitely a factor. So,
here's actually a similar
498
00:29:43,208 --> 00:29:46,568
analysis on Ethereum. Uh this
one really helps us kind of
499
00:29:46,568 --> 00:29:50,168
understand the importance of
previous major breakout points.
500
00:29:50,168 --> 00:29:53,248
So, if you look on the
four-hour chart, that major
501
00:29:53,248 --> 00:29:55,968
breakout point that we have
identified there. It provided
502
00:29:55,968 --> 00:29:59,448
support not once but twice.
Right. Yeah. On the first
503
00:29:59,448 --> 00:30:03,368
bounce, we jumped literally
from that level and it bounced
504
00:30:03,368 --> 00:30:07,408
for over 30 percent from
literally that breakout point
505
00:30:07,408 --> 00:30:10,768
which means that other traders
had identified it and possibly
506
00:30:10,768 --> 00:30:14,228
placed orders at that price
point ahead of time so when
507
00:30:14,228 --> 00:30:16,828
price came into there their
orders would be filled and it
508
00:30:16,828 --> 00:30:19,748
turned out to be a remarkable
trade for anybody that that
509
00:30:19,748 --> 00:30:22,908
bought the the dip there
because just led to an
510
00:30:22,908 --> 00:30:27,708
incredible balance we also see
that there's a good example of
511
00:30:27,708 --> 00:30:32,268
support turning into resistance
on the four-hour chart we had
512
00:30:32,268 --> 00:30:36,468
the extreme low level plotted
which when Ethereum finally
513
00:30:36,468 --> 00:30:39,788
snap back into it it found
support or resistance where we
514
00:30:39,788 --> 00:30:43,008
have the the green box. Right.
Uh March. So these kind of
515
00:30:43,008 --> 00:30:47,768
levels really kind of help you
understand places where you be
516
00:30:47,768 --> 00:30:51,008
you might be able to buy and
sell for a trade. Yeah. Yeah
517
00:30:51,008 --> 00:30:54,808
these are all really good
examples. Uh and again once you
518
00:30:54,808 --> 00:30:57,888
kind of learn this language of
where to draw these trend
519
00:30:57,888 --> 00:31:00,808
lines. You can apply them to
any type of stock. You can
520
00:31:00,808 --> 00:31:04,728
apply them to Facebook, Amazon,
Netflix, the high-priced
521
00:31:04,728 --> 00:31:08,048
stocks. You can apply them to
the low price stocks. They are
522
00:31:08,048 --> 00:31:11,788
really well respected across
the and and in fact there's so
523
00:31:11,788 --> 00:31:15,748
well respected that there are
some there's algorithmic
524
00:31:15,748 --> 00:31:19,828
support at some of these levels
where there's computer systems
525
00:31:19,828 --> 00:31:23,268
that actually take into account
this is a place where the
526
00:31:23,268 --> 00:31:26,148
computers are going to be a big
buyer and so when we see
527
00:31:26,148 --> 00:31:29,308
support you know the stock is
dropping down or like jeez you
528
00:31:29,308 --> 00:31:32,548
know it's it's not dropping
anymore there's big buy orders
529
00:31:32,548 --> 00:31:35,228
where are they coming from
they're combination of
530
00:31:35,228 --> 00:31:39,768
algorithmic traders they're
also traders with deep pockets
531
00:31:39,768 --> 00:31:43,928
are very experienced that put
out orders days or weeks ago
532
00:31:43,928 --> 00:31:47,048
thinking if we retest this spot
this is where I would be a
533
00:31:47,048 --> 00:31:50,128
buyer even if I'm out to lunch
I want to get picked up right
534
00:31:50,128 --> 00:31:54,048
here for a bounce and you know
you saw it just like to the
535
00:31:54,048 --> 00:31:58,648
penny right here on this drop
dropping out of the against the
536
00:31:58,648 --> 00:32:04,088
support of the prior breakout
Alright. So, volume. Volume is
537
00:32:04,088 --> 00:32:08,288
something that I actively use
on every single trade I take.
538
00:32:08,288 --> 00:32:12,048
Now, when we were giving you
the walk through showing you
539
00:32:12,048 --> 00:32:15,568
Gdax and Coinbase and
everything, you're able to see
540
00:32:15,568 --> 00:32:19,368
the the ladder which is the the
level two is what we call it,
541
00:32:19,368 --> 00:32:22,608
the depth of the market and
then you're able to see the
542
00:32:22,608 --> 00:32:26,928
time in sales and the time in
sales is a transaction list.
543
00:32:26,928 --> 00:32:29,728
It's a list of every single
trade that goes through and
544
00:32:29,728 --> 00:32:33,068
it's just console running
twenty-four seven in the case
545
00:32:33,068 --> 00:32:38,668
of cryptocurrencies. So, volume
is and the volume bars are just
546
00:32:38,668 --> 00:32:42,748
that visual representation of
the amount of transactions that
547
00:32:42,748 --> 00:32:46,068
went through during each
candlestick period. Now, these
548
00:32:46,068 --> 00:32:51,948
are colored red or green not
based on buyers or sellers but
549
00:32:51,948 --> 00:32:55,428
based on the color of the
actual candlestick. So, that's
550
00:32:55,428 --> 00:32:58,908
kind of a little bit deceptive
because there are there could
551
00:32:58,908 --> 00:33:03,808
be times where you have a green
candlestick but a lot of the
552
00:33:03,808 --> 00:33:07,848
volume came from one big seller
who just happen to sell like
553
00:33:07,848 --> 00:33:12,408
50, 000 shares or 50, 000 coins
or whatever it is but for the
554
00:33:12,408 --> 00:33:16,008
most part we sort of just
acknowledge that we color the
555
00:33:16,008 --> 00:33:20,328
candle stick and the volume the
same color so the candlestick
556
00:33:20,328 --> 00:33:23,608
up here and then the volume
would be down here so that's
557
00:33:23,608 --> 00:33:28,488
the reason or that's how we
decide the color of them now
558
00:33:28,488 --> 00:33:32,388
again one of the nice thing
with volume in this sort of
559
00:33:32,388 --> 00:33:36,348
view is that you can visualize
when we have high volume and
560
00:33:36,348 --> 00:33:39,668
when we have low volume and one
of the things that we really
561
00:33:39,668 --> 00:33:43,188
like as active traders is to
see a lot of volume in the
562
00:33:43,188 --> 00:33:46,468
stocks or the cryptocurrencies
that we're trading so a place
563
00:33:46,468 --> 00:33:49,788
that we would be interested is
right here and without even
564
00:33:49,788 --> 00:33:53,308
seeing the chart we know that
the candles were going down
565
00:33:53,308 --> 00:33:55,908
right here and they were
starting to go down with
566
00:33:55,908 --> 00:33:58,788
increasing volume which
probably means the stock was
567
00:33:58,788 --> 00:34:02,408
dropping pretty fast and then
this must have probably there
568
00:34:02,408 --> 00:34:05,808
might have been a little false
bounce right here and then a
569
00:34:05,808 --> 00:34:09,328
more sustained bounce right
here as we start to come back
570
00:34:09,328 --> 00:34:12,448
up and then so what I would
visualize this chart looking
571
00:34:12,448 --> 00:34:15,968
like is the stock dropped down
it bounced up and then it
572
00:34:15,968 --> 00:34:18,968
kind of went sideways for a
while this is probably sideways
573
00:34:18,968 --> 00:34:22,088
it could be slightly down or
slightly up but it's most
574
00:34:22,088 --> 00:34:26,328
likely not anything too extreme
when we see extremes and volume
575
00:34:26,328 --> 00:34:30,908
those come with extremes in
price for the most part and
576
00:34:30,908 --> 00:34:33,668
high volume is what we like. We
like to see lots of trading
577
00:34:33,668 --> 00:34:37,428
taking place because that means
if we want to buy and sell in
578
00:34:37,428 --> 00:34:41,428
large quantities, there are
buyers on the other side that
579
00:34:41,428 --> 00:34:43,668
we can sell to and there's
sellers on the other side that
580
00:34:43,668 --> 00:34:46,388
we can buy from and so there's
going to be it's going to be
581
00:34:46,388 --> 00:34:51,308
very liquid, very easy to get
in and easy to get out. So,
582
00:34:51,308 --> 00:34:56,108
when it comes to technical
analysis, volume is what we
583
00:34:56,108 --> 00:35:00,328
kind of consider to be a
confirmation so we may see what
584
00:35:00,328 --> 00:35:03,768
we think is a nice strong
pattern and or we may see what
585
00:35:03,768 --> 00:35:07,808
we think is a a strong support
level and it's the volume that
586
00:35:07,808 --> 00:35:12,168
will confirm it the volume is
what tells us other traders are
587
00:35:12,168 --> 00:35:15,288
buying at the same place that
I'm buying that means I must be
588
00:35:15,288 --> 00:35:18,248
right that this is a breakout
spot I'm not the only one who
589
00:35:18,248 --> 00:35:22,048
saw it so volume is incredibly
important for confirming that
590
00:35:22,048 --> 00:35:27,848
these patterns that we thought
we saw are in fact legitimate
591
00:35:27,848 --> 00:35:32,528
so here we can see volume on
this chart and as you would
592
00:35:32,528 --> 00:35:36,048
expect some of the big breakout
days are going to have higher
593
00:35:36,048 --> 00:35:39,448
volume some of the big selling
days are also going to have
594
00:35:39,448 --> 00:35:45,368
higher volume what is kind of
interesting with Bitcoin and
595
00:35:45,368 --> 00:35:48,648
with some of the other
cryptocurrencies is that some
596
00:35:48,648 --> 00:35:54,408
of the big moves actually
occurred on fairly light volume
597
00:35:54,408 --> 00:35:58,108
for whatever reason there was
just an balance where there
598
00:35:58,108 --> 00:36:01,868
weren't a lot of traders but
the traders that were there
599
00:36:01,868 --> 00:36:06,548
were all buyers and the prices
just went up very very quickly
600
00:36:06,548 --> 00:36:09,748
which is a little different
from what we typically would
601
00:36:09,748 --> 00:36:13,588
see trading stocks although
it's it does happen from time
602
00:36:13,588 --> 00:36:18,508
to time that you will have
light volume breakouts they're
603
00:36:18,508 --> 00:36:22,308
typically just the result of
you know someone sees the
604
00:36:22,308 --> 00:36:26,848
breakout like right here and so
the only people buying here are
605
00:36:26,848 --> 00:36:30,248
obviously people that saw this
consolidation but it's just so
606
00:36:30,248 --> 00:36:34,288
happens that it wasn't as many
people as we're trading it back
607
00:36:34,288 --> 00:36:38,528
here so ideally we like to see
high volume at the breakout but
608
00:36:38,528 --> 00:36:41,408
ultimately the price is what's
most important so we want to
609
00:36:41,408 --> 00:36:44,928
see the price moving up and
moving up sharply but you can
610
00:36:44,928 --> 00:36:47,808
see here this is that
consolidation definitely kind
611
00:36:47,808 --> 00:36:50,928
of pick up from that though yes
when we did see that huge
612
00:36:50,928 --> 00:36:54,568
volume spike and it nearly took
the prices to all time highs
613
00:36:54,568 --> 00:36:58,008
that can kind of give you early
indicated insight into right an
614
00:36:58,008 --> 00:37:01,608
early and what may potentially
happen in the future. So, if we
615
00:37:01,608 --> 00:37:04,608
saw that much volume come in
and the prices nearly went to
616
00:37:04,608 --> 00:37:07,288
all-time highs. You can only
imagine what prices may do in
617
00:37:07,288 --> 00:37:09,928
the future, right? And. That's
true. Uh that's exactly what
618
00:37:09,928 --> 00:37:13,208
happened here is what we saw
the big volume spike. It took a
619
00:37:13,208 --> 00:37:16,448
few days of consolidation and
we moved out of that bullflag
620
00:37:16,448 --> 00:37:19,808
on. Uh not tremendous volume
but it was enough to really
621
00:37:19,808 --> 00:37:22,968
carry prices pretty far. So,
it's really important to keep
622
00:37:22,968 --> 00:37:27,168
an eye on volume to to get an
understanding of what price may
623
00:37:27,168 --> 00:37:30,868
do in the future. Yeah. Those
are good points and likewise,
624
00:37:30,868 --> 00:37:35,428
when we see drops or we see
periods of consolidation, we
625
00:37:35,428 --> 00:37:39,028
like to see that they're on
lighter volume in a lot of ways
626
00:37:39,028 --> 00:37:44,428
because that indicates more of
more churn rather than panic
627
00:37:44,428 --> 00:37:47,908
selling. So, you know, a little
bit of a drop but it pops back
628
00:37:47,908 --> 00:37:51,188
up and it's on light volume.
That's not as concerning as
629
00:37:51,188 --> 00:37:54,548
when we see a drop on really
heavy volume. Uh you know, like
630
00:37:54,548 --> 00:37:57,608
back here, this is something
that would be a little bit more
631
00:37:57,608 --> 00:38:00,928
concerning but you know this is
even though it's the highest
632
00:38:00,928 --> 00:38:05,368
red volume of the day we have
bigger red candles right here
633
00:38:05,368 --> 00:38:09,208
and up here you know a few
months later this just happened
634
00:38:09,208 --> 00:38:12,328
to at the time be a day where
some traders panicked out a
635
00:38:12,328 --> 00:38:15,968
little bit because it was a
relatively big drop for that
636
00:38:15,968 --> 00:38:21,768
time so let's see here's
another Bitcoin chart you
637
00:38:21,768 --> 00:38:25,488
want to walk us through this
one yeah so it's another great
638
00:38:25,488 --> 00:38:29,328
example of how you can kind of
use volume to your advantage to
639
00:38:29,328 --> 00:38:32,608
kind of get an understanding of
what may happen so we saw that
640
00:38:32,608 --> 00:38:35,528
prices that really started
selling off from the high of
641
00:38:35,528 --> 00:38:40,088
about 5, 000 we dropped all the
way down to 3, 000 which is
642
00:38:40,088 --> 00:38:42,848
pretty pretty steep drop but
what what you saw is that huge
643
00:38:42,848 --> 00:38:45,168
volume came into the buy side
right there so that really
644
00:38:45,168 --> 00:38:49,408
kind of tells you that maybe a
single party or many parties
645
00:38:49,408 --> 00:38:52,208
are really getting involved at
that point and they're they're
646
00:38:52,208 --> 00:38:56,008
taking ownership of Bitcoin at
those prices and they're really
647
00:38:56,008 --> 00:38:58,768
voting that this these prices
may go higher and that's why
648
00:38:58,768 --> 00:39:02,248
they bought so much so over the
next few days we saw just a
649
00:39:02,248 --> 00:39:06,348
little bit of and then you come
out come out of the bullflag
650
00:39:06,348 --> 00:39:10,708
and boom prices just took off
from there and really that that
651
00:39:10,708 --> 00:39:14,748
big volume spike of that day is
just critical and kind of kind
652
00:39:14,748 --> 00:39:18,148
of seeing that happen before it
does because it just gives you
653
00:39:18,148 --> 00:39:21,228
just great insight into the the
price action of the market.
654
00:39:21,228 --> 00:39:24,908
That's a good point. Despite
the selling, more buyers came
655
00:39:24,908 --> 00:39:28,228
in to step up to the plate to
buy it up on that dip and that
656
00:39:28,228 --> 00:39:32,308
is a real sign of strength. Uh
one of the this isn't quite a
657
00:39:32,308 --> 00:39:35,768
bull engulfing candle but a
bullish engulfing candle is
658
00:39:35,768 --> 00:39:38,928
when you have a red candle and
then the following day the
659
00:39:38,928 --> 00:39:42,888
green candle is fully bigger
than it it opens lower it
660
00:39:42,888 --> 00:39:46,568
closes higher and it's just
basically it totally shuts down
661
00:39:46,568 --> 00:39:49,528
that red day and this
definitely did it with the
662
00:39:49,528 --> 00:39:52,448
volume it almost did it with
the price and it certainly did
663
00:39:52,448 --> 00:39:57,728
over the next couple of days We
could see it here again on
664
00:39:57,728 --> 00:40:01,128
Ripple as well when we started
breaking out to all-time highs.
665
00:40:01,128 --> 00:40:05,688
The volume just really kicked
up to another level and seeing
666
00:40:05,688 --> 00:40:09,248
that can just help you predict
that these prices are probably
667
00:40:09,248 --> 00:40:13,128
going higher and that's what
Ripple did with when those huge
668
00:40:13,128 --> 00:40:16,488
buyers stepped in. We got all
of that volume and these were
669
00:40:16,488 --> 00:40:19,768
fresh all-time highs. So, it
could've really helped you kind
670
00:40:19,768 --> 00:40:22,968
of predict a breakout in the
making. Now, it's interesting
671
00:40:22,968 --> 00:40:27,028
with this is that we had peak
volume here over 600 million
672
00:40:27,028 --> 00:40:30,908
coins traded on these high
volume days however remember at
673
00:40:30,908 --> 00:40:36,428
this time it was around 50
cents per coin so here you know
674
00:40:36,428 --> 00:40:40,668
it when it's up at $3 if we
were actually looking at this
675
00:40:40,668 --> 00:40:46,308
not just in dollar and not just
in number of coins but in the
676
00:40:46,308 --> 00:40:51,828
volume of of currency that that
changed hands you'd see that
677
00:40:51,828 --> 00:40:55,228
this was actually increasing
because the price went up and
678
00:40:55,228 --> 00:40:59,068
yeah the volume came down a
little bit in part because
679
00:40:59,068 --> 00:41:02,808
buying 10, 000 coins is much
more expensive on this day at
680
00:41:02,808 --> 00:41:07,888
250 than it was back here at 50
cents, but the transaction
681
00:41:07,888 --> 00:41:11,208
value is going up so that's
that's something that you may
682
00:41:11,208 --> 00:41:15,728
not see at first glance but you
should be aware of especially
683
00:41:15,728 --> 00:41:17,608
when you're looking at
something that went from 30
684
00:41:17,608 --> 00:41:23,368
cents to you know $4 or $5 that
can be a pretty bare sign as
685
00:41:23,368 --> 00:41:25,928
well right when you see that
declining volume kind of shows
686
00:41:25,928 --> 00:41:28,768
you that not as many buyers are
stepping up to the plate yeah
687
00:41:28,768 --> 00:41:32,028
even the prices are higher in
this type of move you really
688
00:41:32,028 --> 00:41:35,868
want to see the volume continue
to increase you prefer to kind
689
00:41:35,868 --> 00:41:39,068
of right right yeah that'll
kind of show you that prices
690
00:41:39,068 --> 00:41:41,388
may continue to go higher in
the future but in this case the
691
00:41:41,388 --> 00:41:44,628
volume just slowly wrap down so
that that should have kind of
692
00:41:44,628 --> 00:41:47,268
given you a hint that maybe
maybe this movement was coming
693
00:41:47,268 --> 00:41:49,348
to an end yeah I think
definitely when we see
694
00:41:49,348 --> 00:41:52,828
decreasing volume it is an
indicator that okay the move is
695
00:41:52,828 --> 00:41:57,148
getting overdone but if you
also were plotting the
696
00:41:57,148 --> 00:42:00,808
transactional volume the the
current the actual amount of
697
00:42:00,808 --> 00:42:04,288
dollars that are changing hands
you would see that it's
698
00:42:04,288 --> 00:42:08,368
probably actually flat or going
up slightly because the price
699
00:42:08,368 --> 00:42:11,888
went up so much so that's a
little on the bullish side so
700
00:42:11,888 --> 00:42:15,208
it does make it a little bit
mixed as to okay you know it's
701
00:42:15,208 --> 00:42:19,768
breaking out on decreasing
volume but the price more
702
00:42:19,768 --> 00:42:24,448
expensive so yeah it's a little
bit of an iffy one I would say
703
00:42:24,448 --> 00:42:27,488
in any case I'd be definitely
hesitant you know buying it
704
00:42:27,488 --> 00:42:31,028
anywhere up on this high level
because obviously just came
705
00:42:31,028 --> 00:42:34,548
from you know twenty thirty
cents
706
00:42:36,408 --> 00:42:39,508
here's the same example again
with the volume just just to
707
00:42:39,508 --> 00:42:42,948
kind of show you guys how
important recognizing that
708
00:42:42,948 --> 00:42:46,148
volume could really be because
here we saw that Ethereum
709
00:42:46,148 --> 00:42:49,708
really kicked up its volume on
that that first breakout. Yup.
710
00:42:49,708 --> 00:42:53,908
To just unseen levels. Uh we
had seen it seen that level of
711
00:42:53,908 --> 00:42:58,948
volume in the past but compared
to the past few weeks, it
712
00:42:58,948 --> 00:43:01,508
hadn't seen any volume like
that. So, when when you finally
713
00:43:01,508 --> 00:43:05,728
got that huge kick up in volume
as well as prices having just
714
00:43:05,728 --> 00:43:08,128
you all time highs. That that
could have provided you an
715
00:43:08,128 --> 00:43:10,848
indication that prices were
ready to to continue much
716
00:43:10,848 --> 00:43:13,288
further which which they did.
Right and this is an example
717
00:43:13,288 --> 00:43:15,968
here where we have our support
or our resistance level which
718
00:43:15,968 --> 00:43:19,528
was all time highs. We came up
and as you can see here, this
719
00:43:19,528 --> 00:43:23,328
is the 15-minute chart. So,
it's a zoom in of this day. We
720
00:43:23,328 --> 00:43:27,088
squeeze up. We break through
all-time highs but then, we
721
00:43:27,088 --> 00:43:30,248
reject them. So, it goes all
the way up to eight, what was
722
00:43:30,248 --> 00:43:34,568
it? 880, drops back down to
800. So, you know, fairly big
723
00:43:34,568 --> 00:43:38,628
false and then it curls back up
but it kind of struggles and
724
00:43:38,628 --> 00:43:44,148
churns around this daily kind
of support resistance level
725
00:43:44,148 --> 00:43:47,988
until finally this becomes
support and that becomes the
726
00:43:47,988 --> 00:43:52,388
low of the next leg up which
starts right here right so this
727
00:43:52,388 --> 00:43:57,868
was previous resistance which
becomes support so you again
728
00:43:57,868 --> 00:44:01,788
using all of your technical
indicators to help you get that
729
00:44:01,788 --> 00:44:04,608
edge so you're making the best
decisions about where to get
730
00:44:04,608 --> 00:44:10,208
in, where to set your stops,
etcetera. So, moving averages
731
00:44:10,208 --> 00:44:13,168
this is another one of the
indicators that I use a lot.
732
00:44:13,168 --> 00:44:17,728
So, what a moving average does
is it tells you the average
733
00:44:17,728 --> 00:44:22,088
price over a fixed period of
time and you can choose what
734
00:44:22,088 --> 00:44:26,008
period of time you look at. So,
the commonly used moving
735
00:44:26,008 --> 00:44:30,328
average lengths would be the 20
moving average, the 100, and
736
00:44:30,328 --> 00:44:34,508
the two hundred. So, a 20
moving average is the average
737
00:44:34,508 --> 00:44:38,228
over the last 20 candles and so
again this can be a little bit
738
00:44:38,228 --> 00:44:42,548
deceptive because the 20 moving
average on a daily chart well
739
00:44:42,548 --> 00:44:46,348
the average price over the last
20 days is different from the
740
00:44:46,348 --> 00:44:50,308
average price over the last 20
minutes if you're using a one
741
00:44:50,308 --> 00:44:54,668
minute candle so the 20 moving
average is not the same on all
742
00:44:54,668 --> 00:44:58,308
charts it's it it's really
relative to whichever time
743
00:44:58,308 --> 00:45:03,028
frame you're looking at so we
use the 20 the 100 the 200 for
744
00:45:03,028 --> 00:45:07,128
me an active day trader I also
use the nine because it's an
745
00:45:07,128 --> 00:45:09,768
even shorter period so it's
telling me the average price of
746
00:45:09,768 --> 00:45:14,488
just the last nine candles so
those are moving averages now
747
00:45:14,488 --> 00:45:18,128
within moving averages we have
two different types we have the
748
00:45:18,128 --> 00:45:21,248
simple moving average which
does exactly what I just said
749
00:45:21,248 --> 00:45:25,168
it's the average price over the
last X number of candles and
750
00:45:25,168 --> 00:45:28,448
then you have the exponential
moving average and what this
751
00:45:28,448 --> 00:45:33,228
does is it weights the more
recent price action heavily
752
00:45:33,228 --> 00:45:37,308
versus the older price action
and so that means when the
753
00:45:37,308 --> 00:45:40,588
simple moving average is going
like this as the stock goes up
754
00:45:40,588 --> 00:45:45,308
the exponential is going like
this it's moving faster and we
755
00:45:45,308 --> 00:45:48,828
like that I like that at least
for day trading stocks because
756
00:45:48,828 --> 00:45:53,428
it reacts faster it's to me
going to be more accurate so
757
00:45:53,428 --> 00:45:58,308
for me I use the nine the 20
and the 200 exponential moving
758
00:45:58,308 --> 00:46:02,108
averages and what do you use
for on your charts with crypto
759
00:46:02,108 --> 00:46:06,728
are you using simple or using
exponential? I'm using simple.
760
00:46:06,728 --> 00:46:10,608
Yeah. And I think I use the
twenty EMA but I the rest I use
761
00:46:10,608 --> 00:46:14,128
simple moving averages. So
again, it really comes down to
762
00:46:14,128 --> 00:46:18,168
personal preference but at the
same time, I'm using the
763
00:46:18,168 --> 00:46:21,848
indicators that I think are the
most widely used among day
764
00:46:21,848 --> 00:46:24,888
traders of stocks. So, day
traders of stocks I think are
765
00:46:24,888 --> 00:46:30,288
using the the nine, the twenty,
and the 200 exponential. The
766
00:46:30,288 --> 00:46:33,068
nine, the twenty, and the two
hundred Simple are also
767
00:46:33,068 --> 00:46:36,868
going to be very similar in
price. It's not that different.
768
00:46:36,868 --> 00:46:39,828
So again, me using the
exponential might give me a
769
00:46:39,828 --> 00:46:42,748
little bit of an edge over
someone else who's using the
770
00:46:42,748 --> 00:46:45,188
simple and it's probably the
same with cryptos. A lot of
771
00:46:45,188 --> 00:46:48,628
traders when they load up their
charts automatically will have
772
00:46:48,628 --> 00:46:51,988
simple moving averages
installed. So, it's what they
773
00:46:51,988 --> 00:46:55,548
come with. It's what they
initially learn and so they
774
00:46:55,548 --> 00:46:58,668
will be inherently more
respected because more traders
775
00:46:58,668 --> 00:47:02,088
are using them. Right, right.
One thing to notice you want to
776
00:47:02,088 --> 00:47:05,448
stick to one or the other
because there is similarities
777
00:47:05,448 --> 00:47:08,088
between the two but they can
still provide contradictory
778
00:47:08,088 --> 00:47:12,368
trading information so you
want to use the one that that
779
00:47:12,368 --> 00:47:16,088
you find works best for you
which in most cases it's the
780
00:47:16,088 --> 00:47:19,128
the exponential but most some
people also like to use the
781
00:47:19,128 --> 00:47:22,768
simple as well so what you see
here these are the moving
782
00:47:22,768 --> 00:47:26,488
averages plotted on this chart
and so you see right here this
783
00:47:26,488 --> 00:47:30,608
is a level of support the stock
is actually finding support at
784
00:47:30,608 --> 00:47:35,228
the average. Right here, the
stock is finding support at the
785
00:47:35,228 --> 00:47:38,908
moving average. This is very
common. So, now we see a couple
786
00:47:38,908 --> 00:47:42,028
of charts and we're starting to
add the layers of indicators.
787
00:47:42,028 --> 00:47:45,548
We've got the candle sticks.
We've got the volume. Now, we
788
00:47:45,548 --> 00:47:48,388
have our moving averages and of
course, we could draw on our
789
00:47:48,388 --> 00:47:52,188
trend lines as well and so you
can see as the stock squeezes
790
00:47:52,188 --> 00:47:56,428
up. It really holds this green
moving average. So, what we
791
00:47:56,428 --> 00:48:01,968
would typically say is that we
like to buy at support. This
792
00:48:01,968 --> 00:48:06,328
moving average is a pretty good
level of support and so entries
793
00:48:06,328 --> 00:48:09,808
at the moving average with
exits as the stock squeezes
794
00:48:09,808 --> 00:48:13,168
away getting back in at the
moving average exiting as it
795
00:48:13,168 --> 00:48:16,728
squeezes away back in at the
moving average exiting as it
796
00:48:16,728 --> 00:48:21,528
squeezes away maybe back in
here exiting again back in down
797
00:48:21,528 --> 00:48:25,328
here maybe you stop out maybe
you don't get in until it
798
00:48:25,328 --> 00:48:28,888
breaks back above because this
is three sharp days of drop but
799
00:48:28,888 --> 00:48:32,268
again you sort of get the idea
of we're seeing the stock or
800
00:48:32,268 --> 00:48:36,028
the the currency in this case
Bitcoin respecting these moving
801
00:48:36,028 --> 00:48:42,148
averages do you want to add
anything on this slide Um yeah
802
00:48:42,148 --> 00:48:45,348
so I I really like to
incorporate moving averages to
803
00:48:45,348 --> 00:48:48,508
kind of get an understanding
for the overall trend. So most
804
00:48:48,508 --> 00:48:51,908
frequently I like to use the
2020 EMA since it's so short
805
00:48:51,908 --> 00:48:55,108
term and it's going to react to
more immediate price term but
806
00:48:55,108 --> 00:48:59,388
the the hundred and the 200 can
really help to find major
807
00:48:59,388 --> 00:49:02,628
support and resistance levels
that previous previously
808
00:49:02,628 --> 00:49:05,708
haven't been tested like in
this case the 50 EMA or the
809
00:49:05,708 --> 00:49:09,468
hundred SMA had only been
tested on one occasion back in
810
00:49:09,468 --> 00:49:12,128
I think it was September or
October but it didn't get
811
00:49:12,128 --> 00:49:15,368
retested since but once we
finally did come back into it,
812
00:49:15,368 --> 00:49:18,848
we saw that the 100 provided a
decent level of support and
813
00:49:18,848 --> 00:49:21,728
then similarly, you can see the
same thing happened with the
814
00:49:21,728 --> 00:49:24,768
two hundred. Uh although they
weren't like sharp bounces
815
00:49:24,768 --> 00:49:28,168
precisely off of those levels.
Yup. Um I'm pretty certain that
816
00:49:28,168 --> 00:49:30,768
the reason we're seeing these
bounces at these areas is
817
00:49:30,768 --> 00:49:33,808
because people are seeing that
we're coming into these major
818
00:49:33,808 --> 00:49:36,928
moving averages. Yes. As well
as other other technical
819
00:49:36,928 --> 00:49:39,368
indicators that we've outlined
earlier like the the major
820
00:49:39,368 --> 00:49:42,708
breakout point the whole the
round numbers. For sure. And
821
00:49:42,708 --> 00:49:45,388
one of the things that we talk
about we talk about this more
822
00:49:45,388 --> 00:49:48,228
in the day trade course. Uh we
also talk about it in a couple
823
00:49:48,228 --> 00:49:52,148
of our terminology video
lessons. There are some traders
824
00:49:52,148 --> 00:49:54,948
put a lot of respect on moving
average crossovers. There's the
825
00:49:54,948 --> 00:49:57,868
golden cross. There's also
something called the alligator
826
00:49:57,868 --> 00:50:01,828
indicator. So what they're
basically emphasizing is these
827
00:50:01,828 --> 00:50:05,508
moments. When moving averages
make really strong crosses like
828
00:50:05,508 --> 00:50:08,588
this that these are very
significant and so in this case
829
00:50:08,588 --> 00:50:13,208
obviously this is a bearish
signal and the crossover when
830
00:50:13,208 --> 00:50:16,088
it first happened was way off.
It's not even on the chart. So,
831
00:50:16,088 --> 00:50:18,848
traders like that would would
sort of have the attitude of
832
00:50:18,848 --> 00:50:23,168
I'm holding this I buy on a
crossover and I'm not going to
833
00:50:23,168 --> 00:50:26,728
sell until a crossover. The
problem with that obviously is
834
00:50:26,728 --> 00:50:29,728
that it's not very precise and
by the time you're selling down
835
00:50:29,728 --> 00:50:33,968
here, you're selling it like
50% off high of all-time highs.
836
00:50:33,968 --> 00:50:36,488
So, you're really not getting
the best exit. I mean, yeah,
837
00:50:36,488 --> 00:50:39,788
you held for for a long time
but we talk about that a little
838
00:50:39,788 --> 00:50:44,108
bit. It's not as helpful for
trading on the daily chart.
839
00:50:44,108 --> 00:50:46,988
It's a little more helpful for
intraday. Um some of the
840
00:50:46,988 --> 00:50:51,068
indicators are also commonly
used on Forex but again, mostly
841
00:50:51,068 --> 00:50:55,308
on intraday charts versus the
daily. So, now we're going to
842
00:50:55,308 --> 00:50:58,988
talk a little bit about common
price patterns. So, these are
843
00:50:58,988 --> 00:51:02,348
some of the things that I love
to talk about because I use
844
00:51:02,348 --> 00:51:06,228
these every single day when I'm
looking for trades. So, the
845
00:51:06,228 --> 00:51:09,408
most common price patterns that
we're going to talk about
846
00:51:09,408 --> 00:51:13,248
patterns of consolidation. It's
fairly self explanatory.
847
00:51:13,248 --> 00:51:17,688
Patterns including bull flags
and patterns including a bear
848
00:51:17,688 --> 00:51:22,568
flag. So, flag patterns are
essentially periods of
849
00:51:22,568 --> 00:51:26,688
consolidation but in a certain
context. So, we'll explain that
850
00:51:26,688 --> 00:51:30,008
context and what that looks
like. That now, we use these
851
00:51:30,008 --> 00:51:34,168
price patterns really to help
us understand low-risk entry
852
00:51:34,168 --> 00:51:37,728
points where we can minimize
our downside risk and maximize
853
00:51:37,728 --> 00:51:41,828
our potential. So, this right
here is a bullflag and this
854
00:51:41,828 --> 00:51:46,028
stock is consolidating sideways
but it's consolidating against
855
00:51:46,028 --> 00:51:49,348
a descending resistance line.
So, that trend line is coming
856
00:51:49,348 --> 00:51:52,308
down and it's going to come to
an apex point which is where
857
00:51:52,308 --> 00:51:56,508
the horizontal line and the
trend line meet and stocks
858
00:51:56,508 --> 00:52:00,028
generally will break out either
the upside or the downside
859
00:52:00,028 --> 00:52:03,028
either at that point or before
that point and in this case, it
860
00:52:03,028 --> 00:52:06,548
did it before that point and it
broke to the upside. Now, we
861
00:52:06,548 --> 00:52:09,648
don't always know when stocks
will break these levels whether
862
00:52:09,648 --> 00:52:13,608
it would break here or here or
here and we showed this example
863
00:52:13,608 --> 00:52:16,408
in one of the earlier classes
but it broke here and my
864
00:52:16,408 --> 00:52:19,848
typical entry is to buy the
first pullback which is right
865
00:52:19,848 --> 00:52:23,168
here. As a day trader, I often
call it the one-minute micro
866
00:52:23,168 --> 00:52:26,128
pullback. Sometimes, it's a
five-minute micro pullback but
867
00:52:26,128 --> 00:52:30,648
it's a short little pullback
after a fresh breakout. A bear
868
00:52:30,648 --> 00:52:34,768
flag is a flag that is
occurring after a drop. So, a
869
00:52:34,768 --> 00:52:38,308
stock that drops and pops up
and then consolidates a little
870
00:52:38,308 --> 00:52:42,308
bit usually before another drop
back down. So, this is a bear
871
00:52:42,308 --> 00:52:46,908
flag here. This is a bear flag
right here. So, here let's look
872
00:52:46,908 --> 00:52:50,668
at a little zoom in of
consolidation. So, this is a
873
00:52:50,668 --> 00:52:53,788
chart where we see this
sideways consolidation. So,
874
00:52:53,788 --> 00:52:57,148
this is churning. You have some
people buying. You have some
875
00:52:57,148 --> 00:53:01,588
people selling. It's it can be
kind of a sort of accumulation
876
00:53:01,588 --> 00:53:06,148
distribution just churn. It's
sideways and sideways can last
877
00:53:06,148 --> 00:53:09,168
for long periods of time and it
can break out to the upside or
878
00:53:09,168 --> 00:53:12,528
the downside so we don't really
like to buy when stocks are
879
00:53:12,528 --> 00:53:15,128
sideways or currencies are
sideways because we don't know
880
00:53:15,128 --> 00:53:19,928
how long they'll continue to be
sideways so instead we like to
881
00:53:19,928 --> 00:53:24,128
just sort of chart out the
consolidation map out the
882
00:53:24,128 --> 00:53:27,488
resistance lines on the top the
support lines on the bottom
883
00:53:27,488 --> 00:53:30,448
figure out where that apex
point is which should be right
884
00:53:30,448 --> 00:53:33,808
here and then make a decision
of okay well we're in
885
00:53:33,808 --> 00:53:37,508
consolidation so if the stock
breaks over this level, I
886
00:53:37,508 --> 00:53:40,668
want to buy. If it breaks below
this level, I'm either going to
887
00:53:40,668 --> 00:53:43,828
short it or if I'm still
holding it for some reason,
888
00:53:43,828 --> 00:53:47,948
maybe I would be selling it.
So, consolidation can turn into
889
00:53:47,948 --> 00:53:51,388
a bullflag or a bear flag but
there are times where the
890
00:53:51,388 --> 00:53:56,828
consolidation is so long that
it really isn't even a flag
891
00:53:56,828 --> 00:54:01,308
pattern at all. It's just going
sideways. It's not very
892
00:54:01,308 --> 00:54:04,588
interesting. It's maybe
drifting down a little or it's
893
00:54:04,588 --> 00:54:08,048
drifting up a but it's nothing
that we would buy. We would
894
00:54:08,048 --> 00:54:12,168
wait for a breakout or a
breakdown to occur and we would
895
00:54:12,168 --> 00:54:15,608
want to of course see the
associated volume that comes
896
00:54:15,608 --> 00:54:18,488
with that that tells us that
other traders are seeing what
897
00:54:18,488 --> 00:54:21,168
we think we're seeing, right?
They're seeing something worth
898
00:54:21,168 --> 00:54:25,848
buying. Right. Yeah, these
consolidations are really
899
00:54:25,848 --> 00:54:29,608
important to understand because
in simplest terms, what a
900
00:54:29,608 --> 00:54:32,408
consolidation really is, it's
it means that the the buyers
901
00:54:32,408 --> 00:54:35,368
and sellers are kind of evenly
matched and there's not much
902
00:54:35,368 --> 00:54:37,848
volatility going on in the
price but when the
903
00:54:37,848 --> 00:54:41,428
consolidation finally begins to
or when the price fund moves
904
00:54:41,428 --> 00:54:43,508
out of that consolidation zone.
It kind of means that the
905
00:54:43,508 --> 00:54:46,948
momentum is starting to build
and potentially uncoil in that
906
00:54:46,948 --> 00:54:50,868
direction and it's really that
that's when the pattern can
907
00:54:50,868 --> 00:54:53,988
turn into a bullflag or a bear
flag which could kind of help
908
00:54:53,988 --> 00:54:57,308
you locate these great trading
opportunities and we'll talk
909
00:54:57,308 --> 00:55:00,228
more about the specifics of the
bullflag and bear flag in the
910
00:55:00,228 --> 00:55:04,468
following slides. Yes. Alright.
So, here we have the bullflag.
911
00:55:04,468 --> 00:55:08,228
This is one of my go-to
patterns for trading small cap
912
00:55:08,228 --> 00:55:12,488
stocks. It works really really
well with caps. It doesn't work
913
00:55:12,488 --> 00:55:16,368
as well with large caps with
your Facebook, Amazon, Netflix,
914
00:55:16,368 --> 00:55:19,328
Google type of stocks but it
works very well with small
915
00:55:19,328 --> 00:55:23,568
caps. It works very well with
cryptocurrencies. So, what is a
916
00:55:23,568 --> 00:55:28,208
bullflag? Well, a bullflag is
when a stock pops up and
917
00:55:28,208 --> 00:55:33,128
creates a spike. That's the
flag pole. Then, the flag is
918
00:55:33,128 --> 00:55:37,768
sideways consolidation after
the spike. So, that's just this
919
00:55:37,768 --> 00:55:42,428
kind of period of digestion
just sort of churn and what we
920
00:55:42,428 --> 00:55:45,948
typically expect from a
bullflag is that this period of
921
00:55:45,948 --> 00:55:49,708
consolidation is where some
people are taking profit from
922
00:55:49,708 --> 00:55:53,228
the first move other people are
beginning to accumulate
923
00:55:53,228 --> 00:55:57,708
positions short sellers are
maybe starting to cover and
924
00:55:57,708 --> 00:56:02,028
then we coil and we breakout so
it's this period of tight
925
00:56:02,028 --> 00:56:06,428
coiling and then the breakout
which occurs as we break over
926
00:56:06,428 --> 00:56:12,088
this trend line right here so
Bowl flag can be as small as
927
00:56:12,088 --> 00:56:15,128
three candles. This right here
is a bull flag. We've got three
928
00:56:15,128 --> 00:56:18,088
candles going up, two candles
going down, and this is the
929
00:56:18,088 --> 00:56:21,208
first candle to make a new
high. It's a small flag but it
930
00:56:21,208 --> 00:56:24,648
is a bullflag and this right
here, this whole thing is also
931
00:56:24,648 --> 00:56:27,968
a bullflag. We've got three
four candles up and then, you
932
00:56:27,968 --> 00:56:32,328
know, a long period of sideways
consolidation but it's still a
933
00:56:32,328 --> 00:56:35,808
bullflag. So, it can occur on
all different time frames from
934
00:56:35,808 --> 00:56:40,508
the one minute to the fifteen,
60, four-hour daily chart and
935
00:56:40,508 --> 00:56:44,388
they can take anywhere from one
candlestick or two candlesticks
936
00:56:44,388 --> 00:56:49,388
to form to fifteen, 20, or 30.
It really is Right. It doesn't
937
00:56:49,388 --> 00:56:53,868
matter. One thing to note that
when you're buying this kind of
938
00:56:53,868 --> 00:56:57,188
bullflag pattern, you really
want to see a spike in volume
939
00:56:57,188 --> 00:56:59,988
where where you're seeing
breakout because that's telling
940
00:56:59,988 --> 00:57:02,748
you that other traders are also
getting involved at that same
941
00:57:02,748 --> 00:57:06,148
point and that's that's a very
bullish sign to see increasing
942
00:57:06,148 --> 00:57:10,728
volume as that breakout is
Happening because yeah as as
943
00:57:10,728 --> 00:57:13,288
mentioned it really just means
that other traders are piling
944
00:57:13,288 --> 00:57:16,328
into that same trade and it's
it's a pretty good chance that
945
00:57:16,328 --> 00:57:18,528
prices are going to continue
higher. So that's the important
946
00:57:18,528 --> 00:57:21,208
thing to remember in general
about the market is that the
947
00:57:21,208 --> 00:57:25,448
market is an island where
millions of traders are coming
948
00:57:25,448 --> 00:57:28,768
together and so the prices and
everything that we're seeing
949
00:57:28,768 --> 00:57:32,248
it's a reflection of market
sentiment and that sentiment is
950
00:57:32,248 --> 00:57:35,888
created by traders who think
this is a place I want to buy
951
00:57:35,888 --> 00:57:38,628
and so they start buying and
the price starts going and more
952
00:57:38,628 --> 00:57:42,188
traders start buying and it
keeps going up. It's just so
953
00:57:42,188 --> 00:57:46,548
interesting how the the the
market really is just a
954
00:57:46,548 --> 00:57:49,668
collection of a it's a
reflection of the emotions that
955
00:57:49,668 --> 00:57:52,828
traders experience. The fear,
the greed, the excitement, the
956
00:57:52,828 --> 00:57:56,628
exuberance. It's all on the
charts and so we look for
957
00:57:56,628 --> 00:58:00,428
opportunities where we think
that the excitement is going to
958
00:58:00,428 --> 00:58:04,708
build and peak and create these
breakouts and so in this case
959
00:58:04,708 --> 00:58:08,208
it was right here and then
again right here on the second
960
00:58:08,208 --> 00:58:12,008
pullback. So, we'll zoom in
here. You can walk us through
961
00:58:12,008 --> 00:58:15,928
this Ethereum chart. Yeah. So,
what's cool is that these
962
00:58:15,928 --> 00:58:18,808
patterns can really take place
on any time frame. You can find
963
00:58:18,808 --> 00:58:21,888
them on the five-minute chart,
the one-hour chart, and in this
964
00:58:21,888 --> 00:58:24,528
case, we saw it on the daily
chart. So, we initially saw
965
00:58:24,528 --> 00:58:28,608
that Ethereum went from a low
of about $8 all the way up to
966
00:58:28,608 --> 00:58:32,048
four hundred. So, that kind of
created the pull of the flag
967
00:58:32,048 --> 00:58:35,768
but over the course of four or
five months or actually took a
968
00:58:35,768 --> 00:58:39,048
while. Uh we consolidated for
quite some time and what's
969
00:58:39,048 --> 00:58:41,808
interesting is that the
consolidation kind of really
970
00:58:41,808 --> 00:58:45,848
began to tighten up as we came
into I see October right there
971
00:58:45,848 --> 00:58:50,208
so once that started happening
that really told you that
972
00:58:50,208 --> 00:58:54,048
buyers are holding up the price
on every little dip and you're
973
00:58:54,048 --> 00:58:57,888
not really seeing much
volatility take place and it
974
00:58:57,888 --> 00:59:01,288
kind of shows you this coiling
pattern that's happening so in
975
00:59:01,288 --> 00:59:04,608
this case we have the the flag
marked off with the two the two
976
00:59:04,608 --> 00:59:07,968
points the two extended points
we noted and then once we
977
00:59:07,968 --> 00:59:11,688
finally started curling out of
that line the breakout really
978
00:59:11,688 --> 00:59:15,868
just gains so much because
what's really happening here is
979
00:59:15,868 --> 00:59:19,508
buyers are seeing that prices
are not going lower. Right. And
980
00:59:19,508 --> 00:59:22,588
that's where everybody starts
to pile up and and that that
981
00:59:22,588 --> 00:59:26,108
just turns into a major
breakout point and can really
982
00:59:26,108 --> 00:59:29,428
lead to some interesting
trades. So, in the next slide,
983
00:59:29,428 --> 00:59:32,708
we could see how that how that
pattern really unfolded over
984
00:59:32,708 --> 00:59:35,628
the the following few months.
Sure, I'll show that one. Um
985
00:59:35,628 --> 00:59:39,588
let me just show you guys one
thing here. In in the context
986
00:59:39,588 --> 00:59:43,848
of this one chart, you can see
how you have it's almost like
987
00:59:43,848 --> 00:59:47,448
fractals because you have
within this is a flag pole
988
00:59:47,448 --> 00:59:52,288
right here for this long flag
that occurred right through
989
00:59:52,288 --> 00:59:56,048
here so this is all one flag
but then just inside the flag
990
00:59:56,048 --> 01:00:00,488
pole we've got this bull flag
right here right that's a flag
991
01:00:00,488 --> 01:00:04,048
and we've got another one right
here that's pretty well defined
992
01:00:04,048 --> 01:00:07,648
that's a flag and we've got
another one right here so all
993
01:00:07,648 --> 01:00:10,488
of these are little
opportunities that eventually
994
01:00:10,488 --> 01:00:15,348
ended up you know forming one
large flagpole that created
995
01:00:15,348 --> 01:00:19,348
this you know large pattern out
here but you can zoom in and
996
01:00:19,348 --> 01:00:24,828
see this on smaller time frames
and whether it's intra day or
997
01:00:24,828 --> 01:00:28,708
it's daily in in short little
weekly periods like this or you
998
01:00:28,708 --> 01:00:31,708
can step back and see them on
this very high level where you
999
01:00:31,708 --> 01:00:35,148
see this long period of
consolidation and in that case
1000
01:00:35,148 --> 01:00:37,948
you know buying down here is
buying the dips of the moving
1001
01:00:37,948 --> 01:00:41,108
average and then selling
through the breakout especially
1002
01:00:41,108 --> 01:00:47,128
as we get over this descending
resistance line. Alright, so
1003
01:00:47,128 --> 01:00:50,168
you want to walk us through
this Ethereum Daily Chart. So,
1004
01:00:50,168 --> 01:00:52,808
this is well basically and I'll
let you walk us through it but
1005
01:00:52,808 --> 01:00:55,448
this is the continuation. So,
this was the chart we were just
1006
01:00:55,448 --> 01:01:00,888
looking at where we saw right
here was the breakout point and
1007
01:01:00,888 --> 01:01:04,488
now we're looking at it a few
months later and this was what
1008
01:01:04,488 --> 01:01:07,568
that breakout produced, right?
Right. So, you really see the
1009
01:01:07,568 --> 01:01:11,928
result of what that breakout
did for prices. You know, it it
1010
01:01:11,928 --> 01:01:14,768
kind of once the uncoiling
finally happened. The buyers
1011
01:01:14,768 --> 01:01:17,688
really just let loose on the
price and we went from three
1012
01:01:17,688 --> 01:01:20,128
eighty all the way to about
fifteen hundred. So, it really
1013
01:01:20,128 --> 01:01:23,968
shows you the power of those
kind of patterns and what it
1014
01:01:23,968 --> 01:01:27,528
can help you how it can help
you to predict these huge
1015
01:01:27,528 --> 01:01:30,008
potential future moves
especially in cryptocurrencies
1016
01:01:30,008 --> 01:01:33,208
where we see so much momentum
once the momentum really gets
1017
01:01:33,208 --> 01:01:37,488
going things prices just seem
to let loose yeah yeah I mean
1018
01:01:37,488 --> 01:01:40,528
this is where we saw that
really big move and again this
1019
01:01:40,528 --> 01:01:43,688
kind of interesting because
it's actually on lighter volume
1020
01:01:43,688 --> 01:01:47,288
than we saw you know on this
candle back here but this might
1021
01:01:47,288 --> 01:01:51,208
be sort of that early indicator
of the stock the the currency
1022
01:01:51,208 --> 01:01:54,148
dropped and lots of buyers
stepped up to the plate they
1023
01:01:54,148 --> 01:01:57,428
bought it up and then here we
get the breakout a few months
1024
01:01:57,428 --> 01:02:01,148
later so it's kind of
interesting to see that similar
1025
01:02:01,148 --> 01:02:05,268
indicator alright so here we
have a Bitcoin chart we've got
1026
01:02:05,268 --> 01:02:09,748
our moving averages on here and
you can see nice flag right
1027
01:02:09,748 --> 01:02:14,388
here this consolidation this is
a resistance line we draw this
1028
01:02:14,388 --> 01:02:17,948
was the breakout the volume
that comes in down here we
1029
01:02:17,948 --> 01:02:21,868
spike up we have another small
pullback right here another
1030
01:02:21,868 --> 01:02:26,088
breakout another pullback here
and another breakout small
1031
01:02:26,088 --> 01:02:30,488
pullbacks here and small
pullbacks here. So, you can you
1032
01:02:30,488 --> 01:02:34,888
can make a living trading just
this pattern because it is one
1033
01:02:34,888 --> 01:02:37,928
of the strongest patterns and
it's a universal pattern. You
1034
01:02:37,928 --> 01:02:40,408
know it for socks, you know it
for cryptos because it occurs
1035
01:02:40,408 --> 01:02:44,288
in the same exact way. Is there
anything else you want to add
1036
01:02:44,288 --> 01:02:47,808
on this? I see that nice bounce
on the 200 right down here.
1037
01:02:47,808 --> 01:02:50,688
Yeah, that was great as well.
Really incorporating all of
1038
01:02:50,688 --> 01:02:53,848
these these different technical
tools and indicators can really
1039
01:02:53,848 --> 01:02:56,548
just help you develop such a
great edge over the market you
1040
01:02:56,548 --> 01:03:00,188
know just just the bullflag
pattern itself is a great way
1041
01:03:00,188 --> 01:03:03,068
to go about trading these
cryptocurrencies since what
1042
01:03:03,068 --> 01:03:06,108
they really just help you
understand is they help you
1043
01:03:06,108 --> 01:03:08,508
predict these major breakout
points because once you get out
1044
01:03:08,508 --> 01:03:11,148
of that consolidation everybody
starts jumping on the train and
1045
01:03:11,148 --> 01:03:13,988
that's when prices start going
so you really want to learn to
1046
01:03:13,988 --> 01:03:17,788
be able to identify these
breakout points using using
1047
01:03:17,788 --> 01:03:20,828
these flag patterns and you
want to sell into the breakouts
1048
01:03:20,828 --> 01:03:23,708
and that's really going to help
you potentially create
1049
01:03:23,708 --> 01:03:26,848
substantial trading profits.
Yeah. The interesting thing to
1050
01:03:26,848 --> 01:03:30,208
note is that these patterns
sometimes can be very short
1051
01:03:30,208 --> 01:03:33,488
term like in this case the
Bitcoin flag it it worked for
1052
01:03:33,488 --> 01:03:36,368
quite some time but eventually
we saw that prices finally back
1053
01:03:36,368 --> 01:03:39,368
down. So you really have to be
disciplined about making sure
1054
01:03:39,368 --> 01:03:42,448
that if you're taking this kind
of trade that you're also
1055
01:03:42,448 --> 01:03:45,968
taking profits and if you fail
to have maybe taking profits up
1056
01:03:45,968 --> 01:03:48,888
there you really want to make
sure that just don't let the
1057
01:03:48,888 --> 01:03:51,128
trade go red at least. It's
absolutely and that's
1058
01:03:51,128 --> 01:03:53,768
definitely true. This is a
technical analysis is short
1059
01:03:53,768 --> 01:03:56,988
term trading. It's not
investing. It's not buying for
1060
01:03:56,988 --> 01:04:00,308
the next three or four years.
These are very short-term
1061
01:04:00,308 --> 01:04:05,428
opportunities and we use larger
position sizes to profit on the
1062
01:04:05,428 --> 01:04:08,588
short-term opportunities and we
certainly larger than we feel
1063
01:04:08,588 --> 01:04:11,828
comfortable investing for six
months or a year. So, that
1064
01:04:11,828 --> 01:04:15,628
compensates for it and and
ultimately, most of us make
1065
01:04:15,628 --> 01:04:18,828
more on these short-term
opportunities because of the
1066
01:04:18,828 --> 01:04:23,068
additional leverage of share
size that we use or coin size
1067
01:04:23,068 --> 01:04:25,728
to the where we probably make
more on these than we would if
1068
01:04:25,728 --> 01:04:28,288
we were doing long-term
investments on the same
1069
01:04:28,288 --> 01:04:32,968
instruments. Right, right. When
you're incorporating your risk
1070
01:04:32,968 --> 01:04:37,688
management, you can really take
take advantage of large share
1071
01:04:37,688 --> 01:04:40,008
size because at the end of the
day, when you have such a tight
1072
01:04:40,008 --> 01:04:43,728
stop, you're not going to lose
too much versus what you stand
1073
01:04:43,728 --> 01:04:46,808
to gain. Exactly. So, here we
see the same pattern unfold on
1074
01:04:46,808 --> 01:04:50,128
the one-hour Litecoin chart. We
saw that we had a giant balance
1075
01:04:50,128 --> 01:04:54,488
from a few days ago, prices
began to consolidate but once
1076
01:04:54,488 --> 01:04:57,168
they finally broke out of that
consolidation, prices started
1077
01:04:57,168 --> 01:04:59,568
traveling higher and that just
provided a great trading
1078
01:04:59,568 --> 01:05:02,448
opportunity for anybody that
bought that flag breakout but
1079
01:05:02,448 --> 01:05:05,688
once again we we see that this
flag pattern even though it
1080
01:05:05,688 --> 01:05:08,928
originally worked it did come
back so you you really have to
1081
01:05:08,928 --> 01:05:11,448
have that trading mindset when
trading these kind of patterns
1082
01:05:11,448 --> 01:05:14,088
because they may work in the
short term but that doesn't
1083
01:05:14,088 --> 01:05:16,288
mean that it's going to work
that the prices are going to
1084
01:05:16,288 --> 01:05:18,568
continue moving in your favor
so. Right. You have to take
1085
01:05:18,568 --> 01:05:20,648
advantage of taking your
profits when you can. And one
1086
01:05:20,648 --> 01:05:23,648
of the things that we'll talk
about more in the class on
1087
01:05:23,648 --> 01:05:26,048
trade execution. We'll talk
about stops and things like
1088
01:05:26,048 --> 01:05:30,308
that but generally speaking we
you always want to know as per
1089
01:05:30,308 --> 01:05:34,028
risk management, your max loss
on a trade and we typically
1090
01:05:34,028 --> 01:05:38,948
would set the proper stop as
the low of the flag or the low
1091
01:05:38,948 --> 01:05:41,588
of the most recent pullback
which if you're a buyer up
1092
01:05:41,588 --> 01:05:46,108
here, your stop would probably
be down here as a tight stop.
1093
01:05:46,108 --> 01:05:49,788
Down here would be a looser
stop and again, you determine,
1094
01:05:49,788 --> 01:05:53,028
do I really want a tight stop
or one that's got more space
1095
01:05:53,028 --> 01:05:57,028
based on what the profit
potential is. So, tight stops
1096
01:05:57,028 --> 01:06:00,168
when the profit potential is a
little limited and maybe a
1097
01:06:00,168 --> 01:06:03,408
wider stop when the potential
if it works is that you have a
1098
01:06:03,408 --> 01:06:07,288
a real home run type of trade
so here's another one where we
1099
01:06:07,288 --> 01:06:10,648
have this consolidation this is
really interesting too because
1100
01:06:10,648 --> 01:06:14,008
this is occurring right
underneath a trend line level
1101
01:06:14,008 --> 01:06:18,408
of resistance we tap it we fall
we come back and retest it we
1102
01:06:18,408 --> 01:06:21,608
fall we test it again and we
fall and this is also one of
1103
01:06:21,608 --> 01:06:25,448
the things that we call a flat
top breakout this one's not
1104
01:06:25,448 --> 01:06:29,548
quite a flat top but it's not
uncommon to multiple tests of
1105
01:06:29,548 --> 01:06:33,508
almost the same price and the
more times that gets tested,
1106
01:06:33,508 --> 01:06:36,228
eventually, we're going to
break through it. Now, it
1107
01:06:36,228 --> 01:06:39,348
doesn't mean we'll stay above
it. Here's the break and then
1108
01:06:39,348 --> 01:06:42,508
it drops back below because a
lot of people are anticipating
1109
01:06:42,508 --> 01:06:46,388
the break and so when it does
happen, they take profit or
1110
01:06:46,388 --> 01:06:49,028
they take profit at the
earliest sign of weakness
1111
01:06:49,028 --> 01:06:51,708
because they're like, okay, I
got as much as I could get and
1112
01:06:51,708 --> 01:06:54,268
now you have an imbalance where
people are taking profit,
1113
01:06:54,268 --> 01:06:57,068
they're selling especially in
this case, people who maybe in
1114
01:06:57,068 --> 01:07:00,968
from way down here they're
taking profit and now you get
1115
01:07:00,968 --> 01:07:05,648
this period of of sell off.
Yeah I really wanted to include
1116
01:07:05,648 --> 01:07:08,888
this example to kind of help
you guys understand that these
1117
01:07:08,888 --> 01:07:12,168
flag patterns can really form
even pretty far off of the lows
1118
01:07:12,168 --> 01:07:15,168
like in this case we had
bounced pretty hard and we we
1119
01:07:15,168 --> 01:07:19,008
were pretty far from the lows
and even then we still saw the
1120
01:07:19,008 --> 01:07:22,928
flag breakout occur but of
course it ultimately began it
1121
01:07:22,928 --> 01:07:25,808
was sold off but even then you
could have still taken
1122
01:07:25,808 --> 01:07:28,608
advantage of this as a trade
because if we had placed our
1123
01:07:28,608 --> 01:07:32,688
stop at that previous low right
before the breakout this trade
1124
01:07:32,688 --> 01:07:36,928
actually still turn into a two
1profit loss ratio trade. Yeah.
1125
01:07:36,928 --> 01:07:40,688
So but it it really helps you
to understand that even though
1126
01:07:40,688 --> 01:07:43,288
it's a good looking flag
pattern. It's not just going to
1127
01:07:43,288 --> 01:07:46,528
keep going. So you really have
to be disciplined about taking
1128
01:07:46,528 --> 01:07:48,728
your profits when you're in
this kind of situation.
1129
01:07:48,728 --> 01:07:52,608
Absolutely. So now we'll talk a
little bit about bare flags.
1130
01:07:52,608 --> 01:07:55,888
Bear flags are the opposite of
both flags. They're the exact
1131
01:07:55,888 --> 01:07:59,448
opposite. So with the bare flag
instead of the stock popping up
1132
01:07:59,448 --> 01:08:02,368
the stock sells off. That
creates the flag pull going
1133
01:08:02,368 --> 01:08:06,748
down and then after the drop,
we have sideways consolidation.
1134
01:08:06,748 --> 01:08:10,348
Typically, it's consolidation
before the next leg down. So,
1135
01:08:10,348 --> 01:08:14,508
it's kind of stair stepping
down. Now, obviously, we have
1136
01:08:14,508 --> 01:08:18,828
this problem right now with
cryptocurrencies where it's not
1137
01:08:18,828 --> 01:08:23,748
practical or possible in most
cases to short them. So, you
1138
01:08:23,748 --> 01:08:26,988
really can't there's some ways
you can but for the most part,
1139
01:08:26,988 --> 01:08:31,348
you can't trade against the
value of the of these
1140
01:08:31,348 --> 01:08:35,968
underlying assets. So, these
aren't necessarily going to be
1141
01:08:35,968 --> 01:08:39,208
short setups that you would
trade to the short side they're
1142
01:08:39,208 --> 01:08:42,928
more just a pattern to be aware
of especially if you're holding
1143
01:08:42,928 --> 01:08:46,248
it to the long side that this
is a bearish pattern it's you
1144
01:08:46,248 --> 01:08:48,448
don't usually want to be
holding it and something that
1145
01:08:48,448 --> 01:08:51,488
you may be able to apply in the
future if it becomes more easy
1146
01:08:51,488 --> 01:08:55,488
to you know borrow and and and
short cryptocurrencies I don't
1147
01:08:55,488 --> 01:08:58,928
know if there's any indication
that that'll happen but just
1148
01:08:58,928 --> 01:09:03,948
something to be mindful there
so this here is a stock or the
1149
01:09:03,948 --> 01:09:07,508
currency Bitcoin dropped down
and then it bounced up this
1150
01:09:07,508 --> 01:09:12,828
right here is sort of that that
telltale sign of a bear flag
1151
01:09:12,828 --> 01:09:17,668
it's an ascending support line
but after it's in the context
1152
01:09:17,668 --> 01:09:21,588
of this recent drop so it's
kind of moving up and then this
1153
01:09:21,588 --> 01:09:26,108
is the apex point where we drop
back down right so not the
1154
01:09:26,108 --> 01:09:30,708
prettiest pattern for traders
who want to see this going up
1155
01:09:30,708 --> 01:09:34,128
is there anything you to add on
this one. Right, right. Yeah,
1156
01:09:34,128 --> 01:09:36,368
just add on to what you were
saying. It's just really great
1157
01:09:36,368 --> 01:09:39,488
to be aware of this pattern
since you really can't short
1158
01:09:39,488 --> 01:09:42,448
the cryptocurrency but in case
you're long, you want to be
1159
01:09:42,448 --> 01:09:44,808
aware that this this type of
pattern really means that
1160
01:09:44,808 --> 01:09:48,728
prices could go lower. So, it
may help you exit a position
1161
01:09:48,728 --> 01:09:51,808
before taking further losses.
Right. Yeah. That at this point
1162
01:09:51,808 --> 01:09:55,168
would be sort of the the best
value and here's another big
1163
01:09:55,168 --> 01:09:59,528
drop. This is ends up actually
being a pretty nice bounce back
1164
01:09:59,528 --> 01:10:03,388
up but it of is just a long
period of sideways
1165
01:10:03,388 --> 01:10:09,308
consolidation below the
original breakdown point so
1166
01:10:09,308 --> 01:10:13,268
this is the breakdown point
here the drop consolidation and
1167
01:10:13,268 --> 01:10:16,228
then a further drop here and
again doesn't mean these are
1168
01:10:16,228 --> 01:10:19,988
going to zero it's just a short
term correction and pullback
1169
01:10:19,988 --> 01:10:22,988
before you know possibly
turning around as you see here
1170
01:10:22,988 --> 01:10:27,308
and making its way back up
right right so say if you're
1171
01:10:27,308 --> 01:10:30,888
long term invested or something
in Bitecoin and you saw that
1172
01:10:30,888 --> 01:10:33,928
what you could really do to
take advantage of it is maybe
1173
01:10:33,928 --> 01:10:36,368
you would have sold out your
position there and then have
1174
01:10:36,368 --> 01:10:39,288
the opportunity to buy it back
for for much lower prices.
1175
01:10:39,288 --> 01:10:43,408
Right. Yeah. So, alright. So,
what we've done is we walked
1176
01:10:43,408 --> 01:10:47,328
you through the four important
technical indicators that you
1177
01:10:47,328 --> 01:10:50,448
really need to understand to
start to become proficient at
1178
01:10:50,448 --> 01:10:54,728
technical analysis. We talked
about trend lines, ascending,
1179
01:10:54,728 --> 01:10:58,408
and descending. We talked about
support lines, the horizontal
1180
01:10:58,408 --> 01:11:01,668
lines, support and resistance,
we talked about our moving
1181
01:11:01,668 --> 01:11:06,308
averages exponential and simple
and we talked about volume and
1182
01:11:06,308 --> 01:11:09,908
then of course we talked about
the actual candlestick patterns
1183
01:11:09,908 --> 01:11:14,148
of bullflags bare flags and the
consolidation patterns so these
1184
01:11:14,148 --> 01:11:17,708
are going to equip you to start
becoming a more confident
1185
01:11:17,708 --> 01:11:21,748
trader but remember you have to
practice all of this stuff I
1186
01:11:21,748 --> 01:11:25,428
remember for me as a beginner
trader and not even just as a
1187
01:11:25,428 --> 01:11:29,028
beginner I've been trading
probably for over a year when I
1188
01:11:29,028 --> 01:11:32,528
had a day I remember sitting
down and looking at a chart and
1189
01:11:32,528 --> 01:11:35,528
feeling like, I don't see
anything. I'm looking at an
1190
01:11:35,528 --> 01:11:38,648
entire chart. I don't see a
single pattern. I don't see
1191
01:11:38,648 --> 01:11:43,328
anything to buy or sell. It
takes a while to sort of adjust
1192
01:11:43,328 --> 01:11:46,368
your eye to visualize these
patterns. It's like looking at
1193
01:11:46,368 --> 01:11:50,448
a magic eye poster. You don't
see anything and then, it's all
1194
01:11:50,448 --> 01:11:53,328
right there and so, we're
trying to help you get to the
1195
01:11:53,328 --> 01:11:56,928
point where you know, you can
start to kind of visualize
1196
01:11:56,928 --> 01:12:00,668
through everything the patterns
And being in the chat room,
1197
01:12:00,668 --> 01:12:02,868
we're going to show you these,
we're going to point them out
1198
01:12:02,868 --> 01:12:05,308
every time we see them, and
it's going to become second
1199
01:12:05,308 --> 01:12:08,988
nature, but know that it takes
some time, just like anything
1200
01:12:08,988 --> 01:12:12,188
else, mastering the skill of
technical analysis is something
1201
01:12:12,188 --> 01:12:16,188
that takes time, and so you
gotta study up. Right, right,
1202
01:12:16,188 --> 01:12:18,748
and I would say that
cryptocurrencies, especially,
1203
01:12:18,748 --> 01:12:22,508
for some reason, they're
extremely technical traders.
1204
01:12:22,508 --> 01:12:26,268
Yeah. And that's likely because
there's not much fundamentals
1205
01:12:26,268 --> 01:12:29,448
driving the price. It's
ultimately just the technicals
1206
01:12:29,448 --> 01:12:32,568
that are driving the price back
and forth. So, if you're really
1207
01:12:32,568 --> 01:12:34,648
interested in trading
cryptocurrencies, you should
1208
01:12:34,648 --> 01:12:37,688
make sure that you're really
focusing on your technical
1209
01:12:37,688 --> 01:12:40,248
analysis skills because that's
that's what's really going to
1210
01:12:40,248 --> 01:12:42,408
help you develop your your
trading edge. If you can
1211
01:12:42,408 --> 01:12:46,008
recognize these these patterns
for what they are and take the
1212
01:12:46,008 --> 01:12:48,808
trade before the pattern takes
place, you could, you could be
1213
01:12:48,808 --> 01:12:51,528
involved in some great trades.
Yeah. But at the end of the
1214
01:12:51,528 --> 01:12:54,328
day, you still have to
incorporate all of your trading
1215
01:12:54,328 --> 01:12:57,808
roles such as risk management
and you you want to make sure
1216
01:12:57,808 --> 01:13:03,108
that you never even though a
pattern may look like the best
1217
01:13:03,108 --> 01:13:06,028
pattern you've ever seen and
you still have to understand
1218
01:13:06,028 --> 01:13:08,788
that there's the possibility
that the pattern doesn't work
1219
01:13:08,788 --> 01:13:11,548
because at the end of the day,
it's it's just a pattern. So,
1220
01:13:11,548 --> 01:13:14,748
as as important technical
analysis is, you you still have
1221
01:13:14,748 --> 01:13:18,668
to take it with a grain of salt
at times because these are just
1222
01:13:18,668 --> 01:13:21,308
traders emotions that are
reflecting on the chart. Yup.
1223
01:13:21,308 --> 01:13:24,308
Yup. That's absolutely true.
Alright, everyone. So, I hope
1224
01:13:24,308 --> 01:13:27,188
you guys have enjoyed this
class and we'll put together
1225
01:13:27,188 --> 01:13:29,488
some for you. You guys can do
the homework and then we'll get
1226
01:13:29,488 --> 01:13:33,688
into chapter five. Alright,
we'll see you guys soon. See
1227
01:13:33,688 --> 01:13:36,048
you guys.
116375
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