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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,788 What's up, everyone? Alright. So, today, we're going to get 2 00:00:02,788 --> 00:00:06,068 into lesson four which is technical analysis. Now, this 3 00:00:06,068 --> 00:00:09,708 is kind of the meat of the class as traders. We are so 4 00:00:09,708 --> 00:00:12,428 focused on the technicals. It doesn't matter whether you're 5 00:00:12,428 --> 00:00:15,668 trading stocks or cryptocurrency. Technical 6 00:00:15,668 --> 00:00:20,268 analysis is what we use to find strong entry points with a 7 00:00:20,268 --> 00:00:23,388 minimal amount of risk and a maximum amount of profit 8 00:00:23,388 --> 00:00:27,308 potential. So, the topics for today when it comes to 9 00:00:27,308 --> 00:00:30,928 technical technical analysis, We're going to define what it 10 00:00:30,928 --> 00:00:33,408 is so you guys understand it. We're going to show you 11 00:00:33,408 --> 00:00:36,928 candlestick price charts. These are the same charts that we use 12 00:00:36,928 --> 00:00:39,528 when we're trading stocks and so many of you are already 13 00:00:39,528 --> 00:00:42,128 familiar with them but we'll just do a brief review of 14 00:00:42,128 --> 00:00:44,768 candlestick charts. We're going to talk about performing 15 00:00:44,768 --> 00:00:47,528 technical analysis and then we're going to get into talking 16 00:00:47,528 --> 00:00:50,968 about common price patterns. So, these are the candlestick 17 00:00:50,968 --> 00:00:55,968 patterns that we utilize to find strong entry points. 18 00:00:55,968 --> 00:00:59,588 Alright, so Arch is with me here again today and I'm 19 00:00:59,588 --> 00:01:04,228 going to let him talk a little bit about technical analysis. 20 00:01:04,228 --> 00:01:07,348 Yeah. So, let's get right into it. Technical analysis is a 21 00:01:07,348 --> 00:01:10,348 very popular way of evaluating price charts. Yeah. And it's a 22 00:01:10,348 --> 00:01:14,268 methodology that helps you analyze historical data to help 23 00:01:14,268 --> 00:01:16,908 you predict what prices may do in the future. So, we're 24 00:01:16,908 --> 00:01:19,908 eventually evaluating all of the trades that have taken in 25 00:01:19,908 --> 00:01:23,108 the past and we may use something like a candlestick 26 00:01:23,108 --> 00:01:25,948 chart to do that. Uh our goal is to really use that 27 00:01:25,948 --> 00:01:29,308 information to our advantage by helping us locate good entries 28 00:01:29,308 --> 00:01:32,668 and exits on our trades. There's probably hundreds of 29 00:01:32,668 --> 00:01:35,408 hundreds or thousands of different technical analysis 30 00:01:35,408 --> 00:01:38,928 trading strategies but ultimately our goal is the same 31 00:01:38,928 --> 00:01:41,488 and that's to find a trading edge that's going to help us 32 00:01:41,488 --> 00:01:45,008 put the probabilities in our favor so as you gain experience 33 00:01:45,008 --> 00:01:47,648 as a technical analyst you're you'll likely be able to spot 34 00:01:47,648 --> 00:01:50,568 these major trading opportunities that become 35 00:01:50,568 --> 00:01:54,608 visibly evident on the chart yeah technical analysis is also 36 00:01:54,608 --> 00:01:58,528 really a universal concept that works practically in any market 37 00:01:58,528 --> 00:02:02,608 so it works in stocks futures cryptocurrencies and if you 38 00:02:02,608 --> 00:02:06,388 understand technical analysis from stocks or another any 39 00:02:06,388 --> 00:02:09,068 other kind of trading that's really great because those 40 00:02:09,068 --> 00:02:11,988 skills can also be applied in cryptocurrencies but even if 41 00:02:11,988 --> 00:02:14,788 you don't don't worry because we'll teach you how those 42 00:02:14,788 --> 00:02:17,988 concepts can be applied in this presentation. Yeah and you know 43 00:02:17,988 --> 00:02:21,588 one of the things is that I noticed for myself when I was 44 00:02:21,588 --> 00:02:24,828 learning how to trade I kind of had this hunt for the holy 45 00:02:24,828 --> 00:02:27,668 grail like even when you look at this slide here you can see 46 00:02:27,668 --> 00:02:30,628 these like oscillating indicators and they go from you 47 00:02:30,628 --> 00:02:34,408 know green down and up and you think, jeez, maybe if I find 48 00:02:34,408 --> 00:02:37,688 the perfect combination of technical indicators, they'll 49 00:02:37,688 --> 00:02:40,608 just, they'll do the hard work. They'll tell me when to buy and 50 00:02:40,608 --> 00:02:43,968 when to sell and the reality is it doesn't exist. I search for 51 00:02:43,968 --> 00:02:48,688 it for a long time but what you can do is you can use them to 52 00:02:48,688 --> 00:02:52,208 help you put the odds in your favor to help you get that 53 00:02:52,208 --> 00:02:54,648 edge. They're not going to do all the work for you but they 54 00:02:54,648 --> 00:02:59,088 can help you. Now, those are technical indicators and we use 55 00:02:59,088 --> 00:03:01,608 a couple of technical indicators which will talk 56 00:03:01,608 --> 00:03:04,988 about more this class and primarily we rely on 57 00:03:04,988 --> 00:03:08,268 candlestick chart patterns rather than the indicators 58 00:03:08,268 --> 00:03:12,388 themselves and that's because a technical indicator is always 59 00:03:12,388 --> 00:03:16,868 going to lag behind price action a technical indicator 60 00:03:16,868 --> 00:03:21,508 takes its information from the price but it requires the price 61 00:03:21,508 --> 00:03:24,548 to go up and down before that indicator is going to give you 62 00:03:24,548 --> 00:03:28,268 a signal so the price has to happen first now if we just 63 00:03:28,268 --> 00:03:30,868 look straight at the candlestick chart we're looking 64 00:03:30,868 --> 00:03:33,848 right at the price and so we don't have any of we don't have 65 00:03:33,848 --> 00:03:37,128 any lag or any delay if we can immediately make an 66 00:03:37,128 --> 00:03:39,968 interpretation. So, you know, that's the goal but technical 67 00:03:39,968 --> 00:03:43,768 analysis includes all these technical indicators and 68 00:03:43,768 --> 00:03:48,288 reading candlestick charts. So, this is the breakdown of a 69 00:03:48,288 --> 00:03:52,248 candlestick. Now, every candlestick that you see 70 00:03:52,248 --> 00:03:57,328 represents a period of time. A green candlestick right here 71 00:03:57,328 --> 00:04:00,448 has four pieces of information it's telling us. It's telling 72 00:04:00,448 --> 00:04:03,868 us the open price which is the bottom of the candle it's 73 00:04:03,868 --> 00:04:07,148 telling us the close which is the top of the candle right 74 00:04:07,148 --> 00:04:10,948 here so this body right here this is obviously the the stock 75 00:04:10,948 --> 00:04:15,788 moved up during this period of time down here is the lower 76 00:04:15,788 --> 00:04:20,708 candle wick or the lower shadow this is the low of that period 77 00:04:20,708 --> 00:04:24,628 so let's say this candlestick represents 15 minutes of time 78 00:04:24,628 --> 00:04:28,228 within that 15 minute period at the beginning the price was 79 00:04:28,228 --> 00:04:32,208 right here at the end the price was here and sometime during 80 00:04:32,208 --> 00:04:35,848 that 15-minute period, it dropped down to here, it spiked 81 00:04:35,848 --> 00:04:39,088 up to here but then it closed right here. So, those are the 82 00:04:39,088 --> 00:04:42,488 four pieces of information. The open, the close, the high, and 83 00:04:42,488 --> 00:04:46,168 the low. Now, with the red candle, we see the same thing. 84 00:04:46,168 --> 00:04:49,448 We see the open price and then the close price. The only 85 00:04:49,448 --> 00:04:52,168 difference is that they're inverted because the stock went 86 00:04:52,168 --> 00:04:55,808 down. So, that's how we need the the candles to be colored 87 00:04:55,808 --> 00:04:58,568 to know whether the price was going up or down. I mean, 88 00:04:58,568 --> 00:05:02,388 visually, you can some see it but if a stock is kind of 89 00:05:02,388 --> 00:05:06,188 sideways without the color, you wouldn't know whether the top 90 00:05:06,188 --> 00:05:09,788 was the open or the close. So, what's really interesting is 91 00:05:09,788 --> 00:05:12,708 that when we take these four pieces of information, they can 92 00:05:12,708 --> 00:05:16,268 actually communicate a lot to us. So, imagine for example, if 93 00:05:16,268 --> 00:05:19,868 this candlestick had a high shadow that went way up here. 94 00:05:19,868 --> 00:05:23,108 Let's say it went way off the chart. What that would tell us 95 00:05:23,108 --> 00:05:25,868 is that inside that fifteen-minute window, the 96 00:05:25,868 --> 00:05:31,248 stock squeezed up but it came back down and the one hand you 97 00:05:31,248 --> 00:05:33,728 could think well that shows strength but it actually shows 98 00:05:33,728 --> 00:05:37,688 weakness because it came back down so we call those topping 99 00:05:37,688 --> 00:05:40,608 tail candles because they've got this long upper wick 100 00:05:40,608 --> 00:05:45,608 inverted is a bottoming tail a stock squeeze down but then it 101 00:05:45,608 --> 00:05:49,048 got bought back up and that's actually showing some strength 102 00:05:49,048 --> 00:05:53,888 so just the actual shape of the candlestick can help us make 103 00:05:53,888 --> 00:05:58,128 some interpretation about the market sentiment around this 104 00:05:58,128 --> 00:06:01,608 particular stock and I'll I'll I should should preface that by 105 00:06:01,608 --> 00:06:06,208 saying that these candles patterns are most significant 106 00:06:06,208 --> 00:06:10,368 when they appear in the context of a strong move to the upside 107 00:06:10,368 --> 00:06:12,928 or a strong move to the downside we don't really look 108 00:06:12,928 --> 00:06:17,248 at candlestick patterns during sideways consolidation because 109 00:06:17,248 --> 00:06:19,808 the fact that the stock is already sideways tells us you 110 00:06:19,808 --> 00:06:23,808 know the market is a little bit indifferent alright so now 111 00:06:23,808 --> 00:06:26,888 let's look at a couple of candlestick charts I'll let 112 00:06:26,888 --> 00:06:31,848 Arch walk you through this yeah so here we have the Bitcoin 113 00:06:31,848 --> 00:06:35,208 daily chart on the left and we have the four hour chart on the 114 00:06:35,208 --> 00:06:38,368 right the daily chart really helps you get an understanding 115 00:06:38,368 --> 00:06:41,888 of the bigger picture of the the price move. Right. From 116 00:06:41,888 --> 00:06:44,408 current current data we could see that Bitcoin's been pretty 117 00:06:44,408 --> 00:06:47,288 weak on the daily chart lately. So that should kind of give you 118 00:06:47,288 --> 00:06:50,528 an hint to be extremely cautious when taking any kind 119 00:06:50,528 --> 00:06:53,528 of long positions since it's kind of in a sustained 120 00:06:53,528 --> 00:06:57,048 downtrend at this time. Uh however you can incorporate 121 00:06:57,048 --> 00:06:59,928 another time frame such as the the four hour chart to get a 122 00:06:59,928 --> 00:07:02,448 better understanding of what's happening in the shorter term 123 00:07:02,448 --> 00:07:05,088 picture. So when we look at the four hour chart year it shows 124 00:07:05,088 --> 00:07:08,728 us that the sellings kind of ended and we're now steadily 125 00:07:08,728 --> 00:07:11,948 grinding higher. So, that's how you're going to use the time 126 00:07:11,948 --> 00:07:14,228 frames to your advantage to kind of get an understanding of 127 00:07:14,228 --> 00:07:16,668 what's really going on. Right and you can see, I mean, this 128 00:07:16,668 --> 00:07:19,388 is a a four-hour chart. So, that means each candlestick 129 00:07:19,388 --> 00:07:22,708 represents four hours of time and you can use any time 130 00:07:22,708 --> 00:07:27,668 period. The most respected time period for most traders for day 131 00:07:27,668 --> 00:07:31,148 traders would be a one-minute chart and a five-minute chart. 132 00:07:31,148 --> 00:07:35,628 Now, a lot of traders who do sort of slightly longer hold 133 00:07:35,628 --> 00:07:39,768 times will use 15-minute charts and 60-minute chart and swing 134 00:07:39,768 --> 00:07:43,928 traders usually focus primarily on daily charts or maybe 135 00:07:43,928 --> 00:07:46,368 something like a four-hour chart just to get zoomed in a 136 00:07:46,368 --> 00:07:49,608 little bit closer but you can see here is this bottomed out 137 00:07:49,608 --> 00:07:53,068 at the bottom it went from 6, 000 all the way back up to 9, 138 00:07:53,068 --> 00:07:57,968 000 I mean that's a pretty legitimate bounce and on the 139 00:07:57,968 --> 00:08:01,248 daily chart you you know you may have said okay here's a 140 00:08:01,248 --> 00:08:05,408 little bottoming tail right so the stock dropped down but then 141 00:08:05,408 --> 00:08:09,148 it squeeze back up so that shows strength and maybe would 142 00:08:09,148 --> 00:08:12,788 have seen that as an indicator to buy maybe around 8000 but of 143 00:08:12,788 --> 00:08:16,468 course if you got in there you're already getting in 2000 144 00:08:16,468 --> 00:08:20,788 points off the low of the drop so that's the advantage of 145 00:08:20,788 --> 00:08:24,148 using a shorter time period you can kind of get that early 146 00:08:24,148 --> 00:08:27,308 indicator that the tide is starting to shift and here you 147 00:08:27,308 --> 00:08:31,068 can see that peaking volume at the bottom right here the sell 148 00:08:31,068 --> 00:08:35,028 off the bounce then a first pull back gets bought up so 149 00:08:35,028 --> 00:08:38,528 possible entry maybe around seventy-seven fifth it's not a 150 00:08:38,528 --> 00:08:42,208 lot earlier than waiting for a daily trigger but you know it's 151 00:08:42,208 --> 00:08:44,488 a little bit earlier would have given you a little bit of a 152 00:08:44,488 --> 00:08:48,528 jump right there so let's look at another chart here we're 153 00:08:48,528 --> 00:08:51,568 going in zooming in a little closer this is the one hour 154 00:08:51,568 --> 00:08:56,648 chart and the 15-minute chart again as a day trader there are 155 00:08:56,648 --> 00:08:59,128 times where I've gone all the way down and it's not going to 156 00:08:59,128 --> 00:09:04,168 sound crazy to a one second chart so each candle is 157 00:09:04,168 --> 00:09:07,828 actually one second of time and obviously we do that it's 158 00:09:07,828 --> 00:09:11,508 there's a million candles in the day but if you want to get 159 00:09:11,508 --> 00:09:15,268 very very precise entries for quick trades you can go all the 160 00:09:15,268 --> 00:09:18,068 way down to one second chart it's not very common typically 161 00:09:18,068 --> 00:09:21,908 you know 15 minute 5 minute 1 minute would be more typical 162 00:09:21,908 --> 00:09:25,268 but yeah yeah especially with cryptocurrencies you kind of 163 00:09:25,268 --> 00:09:28,188 focus on at least the at least the five or the fifteen because 164 00:09:28,188 --> 00:09:30,908 when you really get into those lower time frames with these 165 00:09:30,908 --> 00:09:35,828 these things are very trendy but they at the same time they 166 00:09:35,828 --> 00:09:38,568 don't break out within a matter of seconds or minutes. 167 00:09:38,568 --> 00:09:41,648 Sometimes it takes really an hour or a couple of hours for 168 00:09:41,648 --> 00:09:44,848 that move to get going. So that's why I like to I prefer 169 00:09:44,848 --> 00:09:48,328 to use the the fifteen and the 1 hour for the shorter time 170 00:09:48,328 --> 00:09:51,208 frame trading because not only do you get an understanding of 171 00:09:51,208 --> 00:09:54,688 the trend but you can still nail those those precise 172 00:09:54,688 --> 00:09:57,848 entries using these shorter time frames. Yeah and something 173 00:09:57,848 --> 00:10:00,488 that we'll talk about in a moment. If you kind of look at 174 00:10:00,488 --> 00:10:04,608 this, you can sort of visualize this almost invisible line 175 00:10:04,608 --> 00:10:08,948 right up here. If it can next this. and this. and then comes 176 00:10:08,948 --> 00:10:12,908 up to here this is what we would call a trend line and so 177 00:10:12,908 --> 00:10:15,548 if you did that take that technical analysis where you 178 00:10:15,548 --> 00:10:19,668 drew that line on here then right in this area you might be 179 00:10:19,668 --> 00:10:22,908 starting to think well jeez it's hitting this trend line 180 00:10:22,908 --> 00:10:25,668 maybe I should be a little careful and that would have 181 00:10:25,668 --> 00:10:29,388 gotten you out of that trade before this drop right so you 182 00:10:29,388 --> 00:10:31,388 know that's something that we'll talk about a little bit 183 00:10:31,388 --> 00:10:35,888 more that gets into the next level of technical analysis so 184 00:10:35,888 --> 00:10:41,808 Let me let you Arch walk us through this slide. Yeah. So, 185 00:10:41,808 --> 00:10:44,008 now that you guys have a better understanding of what 186 00:10:44,008 --> 00:10:46,728 candlestick charts are, we could really get into the the 187 00:10:46,728 --> 00:10:49,768 technical analysis tools that you can use to begin performing 188 00:10:49,768 --> 00:10:53,368 your own technical analysis. So, there's many ways to 189 00:10:53,368 --> 00:10:56,608 perform technical analysis using a pretty enormous library 190 00:10:56,608 --> 00:10:59,568 of tools and indicators that are currently out there but 191 00:10:59,568 --> 00:11:02,448 personally, I like to keep it very simple and I found these 192 00:11:02,448 --> 00:11:05,188 tools to be incredibly helpful in performing technical 193 00:11:05,188 --> 00:11:08,388 analysis. So these include trend lines, support and 194 00:11:08,388 --> 00:11:11,948 resistance levels, volume, and moving averages. Four big ones. 195 00:11:11,948 --> 00:11:14,588 Learning how to incorporate learning how to incorporate all 196 00:11:14,588 --> 00:11:16,908 of these tools into your arsenal can really help you 197 00:11:16,908 --> 00:11:19,668 develop an edge over the market. And as mentioned 198 00:11:19,668 --> 00:11:22,908 there's plenty of other tools and indicators you can use. Uh 199 00:11:22,908 --> 00:11:26,508 but using too many can really become contradictory and it 200 00:11:26,508 --> 00:11:30,548 might give you contradictory information. So you really 201 00:11:30,548 --> 00:11:33,148 want to limit the amount of indicators and tools that you 202 00:11:33,148 --> 00:11:37,288 use. Yeah. It's called analysis says paralysis. So, you have so 203 00:11:37,288 --> 00:11:40,728 many technical indicators and you, I mean, you could stack 204 00:11:40,728 --> 00:11:45,408 dozens and dozens on a chart to the point where they they could 205 00:11:45,408 --> 00:11:48,248 all be agreeing but it doesn't necessarily mean it's a buy or 206 00:11:48,248 --> 00:11:50,608 they could all be disagreeing and you just gotta sit there 207 00:11:50,608 --> 00:11:53,368 confused and that's what's more likely to happen. Some will say 208 00:11:53,368 --> 00:11:56,368 yes, some will say no. You sit there missing opportunities 209 00:11:56,368 --> 00:11:59,368 because you're overthinking it. So, the four big ones, trend 210 00:11:59,368 --> 00:12:01,928 lines, support resistance levels, volume, and moving 211 00:12:01,928 --> 00:12:05,148 averages. Those are what we use when we're trading stocks and 212 00:12:05,148 --> 00:12:08,308 they're the same with trading cryptocurrencies. So, when it 213 00:12:08,308 --> 00:12:11,388 comes to the trend line, this is where we actually connect 214 00:12:11,388 --> 00:12:17,348 those two dots with a line and so from any trading software 215 00:12:17,348 --> 00:12:19,908 any charting software, you'll be able to go down to your 216 00:12:19,908 --> 00:12:23,108 drawing tools and you'll be able to click on trend lines 217 00:12:23,108 --> 00:12:26,748 and when you do that, you click once for the first. and you 218 00:12:26,748 --> 00:12:30,388 click a second time for the second. So, one of the ways 219 00:12:30,388 --> 00:12:35,248 that I typically use trend lines is I try to find the 220 00:12:35,248 --> 00:12:40,008 place where the line connects to as many dots as possible. 221 00:12:40,008 --> 00:12:44,208 So, I'll maybe click the first. and you can use either the top 222 00:12:44,208 --> 00:12:48,488 of the candle or you can use the top of the body. There's 223 00:12:48,488 --> 00:12:53,208 not really a hard set rule of where to draw the line. My 224 00:12:53,208 --> 00:12:57,848 opinion on it is to draw the line so it touches in the most 225 00:12:57,848 --> 00:13:02,048 places because if you draw a line, let's say for instance, I 226 00:13:02,048 --> 00:13:06,368 I draw a line that connects this spot right here with you 227 00:13:06,368 --> 00:13:09,528 know, this spot right here you know I might have been the only 228 00:13:09,528 --> 00:13:12,728 person that drew that line because it only touches in two 229 00:13:12,728 --> 00:13:16,688 places whereas when you draw a line that touches in multiple 230 00:13:16,688 --> 00:13:20,688 places the way this touches here here and then it retouches 231 00:13:20,688 --> 00:13:24,608 here and and maybe even if we had drawn it a little bit lower 232 00:13:24,608 --> 00:13:28,168 we would have seen it touch right here that's when you 233 00:13:28,168 --> 00:13:31,528 start to say this is a line that's being respected I mean 234 00:13:31,528 --> 00:13:35,208 I'm drawing it and I'm seeing over the course of hours and 235 00:13:35,208 --> 00:13:39,348 hours that we tapping that line I'm not the only person that 236 00:13:39,348 --> 00:13:43,788 drew it it's a respected trend line and that's what we want so 237 00:13:43,788 --> 00:13:47,828 we draw them basically where we can already sort of start to 238 00:13:47,828 --> 00:13:51,428 visualize them and then we can adjust them up or down slightly 239 00:13:51,428 --> 00:13:55,788 until they connect to as many places as possible and so what 240 00:13:55,788 --> 00:13:59,588 we know is that stocks will often test these types of 241 00:13:59,588 --> 00:14:03,188 resistance points now if the stock is below it it's going to 242 00:14:03,188 --> 00:14:05,808 be considered resistance because it's coming up again 243 00:14:05,808 --> 00:14:10,688 it. When it finally breaks, often times we'll see a break 244 00:14:10,688 --> 00:14:14,648 and then we'll see stocks come back down and retest the 245 00:14:14,648 --> 00:14:18,968 breakout point. So, they drop back down and then, if there 246 00:14:18,968 --> 00:14:23,288 are enough buyers, it will curl back up and it continues on and 247 00:14:23,288 --> 00:14:27,008 and that's when you know that that previous resistance is now 248 00:14:27,008 --> 00:14:30,128 actually going to become a level of support. When you 249 00:14:30,128 --> 00:14:33,928 break through that line, it's now support. So, it really can 250 00:14:33,928 --> 00:14:36,468 be very helpful to draw trend lines whether it's with 251 00:14:36,468 --> 00:14:40,548 cryptocurrencies or stocks to help you identify major levels 252 00:14:40,548 --> 00:14:43,588 of possible supporter resistance where you could see 253 00:14:43,588 --> 00:14:50,588 breakouts or breakdowns. So you can see here this is a 254 00:14:50,588 --> 00:14:55,788 lightcoin chart. I'll let Arch walk you through the taps of 255 00:14:55,788 --> 00:15:00,108 this trend line right here and here. Yeah so this will be the 256 00:15:00,108 --> 00:15:03,388 four hour chart of Litecoin and we see that we have two major 257 00:15:03,388 --> 00:15:06,508 trend lines currently plotted on the chart. Uh both of these 258 00:15:06,508 --> 00:15:09,828 trend lines were connected using the most extended points 259 00:15:09,828 --> 00:15:12,948 that we were able to find which kind of really helps you 260 00:15:12,948 --> 00:15:16,668 understand the borders of the price action. Uh when we start 261 00:15:16,668 --> 00:15:20,188 coming out of those that range it kind of gives you a sign 262 00:15:20,188 --> 00:15:24,788 that the trend is starting to change. So what what here was 263 00:15:24,788 --> 00:15:27,828 that the first screen box shows that we tapped right into the 264 00:15:27,828 --> 00:15:31,108 line and we sharp sharply rejected from there it tested 265 00:15:31,108 --> 00:15:34,148 the line again in the second green box and again we found 266 00:15:34,148 --> 00:15:37,828 resistance there but we saw that the price eventually 267 00:15:37,828 --> 00:15:41,068 stopped going down and it made it back above that trend line 268 00:15:41,068 --> 00:15:43,948 with a bunch of sideways action taking place but what that 269 00:15:43,948 --> 00:15:46,468 really means is that the downtrend is likely over for 270 00:15:46,468 --> 00:15:49,548 the short term and we could likely see a breakout over the 271 00:15:49,548 --> 00:15:51,948 top of the trend line and that's exactly what Litecoin 272 00:15:51,948 --> 00:15:55,688 did just a few days ago after this was taken. So, this is a 273 00:15:55,688 --> 00:15:58,408 great example of how you can incorporate trend lines to 274 00:15:58,408 --> 00:16:02,608 perform this technical analysis and get understanding of when 275 00:16:02,608 --> 00:16:06,208 prices are really ready to to move. Yeah and on this slide, I 276 00:16:06,208 --> 00:16:11,288 probably, I would probably have drawn a second trend line maybe 277 00:16:11,288 --> 00:16:15,288 from the top of this body because if I had started a 278 00:16:15,288 --> 00:16:18,688 little lower, this would have come up a smidge bit higher and 279 00:16:18,688 --> 00:16:21,568 it probably would have cut through here and you would have 280 00:16:21,568 --> 00:16:24,928 seen the trend line would have been right around here but even 281 00:16:24,928 --> 00:16:27,968 if I had drawn that you can see right here there's a little bit 282 00:16:27,968 --> 00:16:32,048 of descending resistance because there's sort of that 283 00:16:32,048 --> 00:16:36,928 level so on this candle here we broke over that level so here 284 00:16:36,928 --> 00:16:40,368 we are kind of holding maybe support around here and there 285 00:16:40,368 --> 00:16:44,088 was also maybe a second line above it that was this sort of 286 00:16:44,088 --> 00:16:47,728 resistance point so there are times where you'll see stocks 287 00:16:47,728 --> 00:16:51,648 kind of pinned between two lines and it's just a matter of 288 00:16:51,648 --> 00:16:55,308 time will we break to the upside or will we break to the 289 00:16:55,308 --> 00:17:00,628 side here's another example you can see this Bitcoin chart this 290 00:17:00,628 --> 00:17:04,348 is a four hour chart again trend line starting at the low 291 00:17:04,348 --> 00:17:09,148 point and then connecting right here right around there and 292 00:17:09,148 --> 00:17:12,908 through here so I think if this one is connected on these two 293 00:17:12,908 --> 00:17:16,068 points we do that because we're like okay these are two obvious 294 00:17:16,068 --> 00:17:20,508 levels and as the stock starts dropping down here that's 295 00:17:20,508 --> 00:17:22,908 usually the time that we would draw this trend line because 296 00:17:22,908 --> 00:17:26,568 we're thinking when is the going to find support. Is there 297 00:17:26,568 --> 00:17:29,568 anywhere it might find support because that's a place I could 298 00:17:29,568 --> 00:17:33,168 potentially be a buyer, right? So, if you drew this trend line 299 00:17:33,168 --> 00:17:36,248 and you saw, well, there might be a little support down in 300 00:17:36,248 --> 00:17:39,248 here, that actually would have been a fantastic entry because 301 00:17:39,248 --> 00:17:44,368 we bounced from 12000 back up to over sixteen, $17, 000, 302 00:17:44,368 --> 00:17:47,568 right? So, that's a really good bounce. Right. And that's how 303 00:17:47,568 --> 00:17:50,808 you would have spotted it is by connecting that those two dots. 304 00:17:50,808 --> 00:17:54,268 So then, again. What's interesting is it later, sorry, 305 00:17:54,268 --> 00:17:56,708 sorry. Uh what's interesting is later found support at that 306 00:17:56,708 --> 00:17:59,468 same level but this time, we didn't see that same kind of 307 00:17:59,468 --> 00:18:01,748 bounce, right? This time instead, prices kind of 308 00:18:01,748 --> 00:18:05,188 consolidated on. That's true. As buy buyers used it as a 309 00:18:05,188 --> 00:18:08,868 place for support but sellers were still kind of in charge 310 00:18:08,868 --> 00:18:11,668 and ultimately, we saw that the line broke hard and prices 311 00:18:11,668 --> 00:18:15,228 flush. Yup, that's definitely true and so, in this case, 312 00:18:15,228 --> 00:18:18,948 after we'd had this drop, I might have drawn another trend 313 00:18:18,948 --> 00:18:22,548 line from the low of this. to the low of this one which would 314 00:18:22,548 --> 00:18:26,088 have brought the line just a smidge a bit lower it probably 315 00:18:26,088 --> 00:18:28,648 would have been crossing right in here but then you would have 316 00:18:28,648 --> 00:18:32,168 seen okay we've got these two support lines so if they both 317 00:18:32,168 --> 00:18:36,328 break as they finally did here we could get a really big drop 318 00:18:36,328 --> 00:18:40,848 and we're not going to see any support now unless we draw some 319 00:18:40,848 --> 00:18:46,688 type of descending support line coming down here but a lot of 320 00:18:46,688 --> 00:18:50,288 times I I try to be careful about crossing too many lines 321 00:18:50,288 --> 00:18:52,768 because then again you're getting a little obscure and 322 00:18:52,768 --> 00:18:56,428 you be connecting dots that are obvious and that other people 323 00:18:56,428 --> 00:19:00,148 will connect because the only reason that the stock bounces 324 00:19:00,148 --> 00:19:03,108 here is because other people connected the same line and 325 00:19:03,108 --> 00:19:06,828 they saw potential for support so if you're connecting obscure 326 00:19:06,828 --> 00:19:10,108 dots and noone else is doing it you'll be the only one buying 327 00:19:10,108 --> 00:19:13,908 there the stocks going to keep dropping so anyways yeah it's 328 00:19:13,908 --> 00:19:16,588 very easy to come up with these trend lines that you might 329 00:19:16,588 --> 00:19:19,628 think are trend lines but ultimately the goal is to find 330 00:19:19,628 --> 00:19:22,848 the trend line that everybody else is watching so that you 331 00:19:22,848 --> 00:19:25,288 all you get the same the reaction that you're looking 332 00:19:25,288 --> 00:19:28,408 for through the help of other traders. So usually I say the 333 00:19:28,408 --> 00:19:32,128 validity comes from a trend line tapping multiple times. So 334 00:19:32,128 --> 00:19:35,488 like this is a long one with just two taps but then in here 335 00:19:35,488 --> 00:19:38,888 it starts to gain some validity as it's really showing that 336 00:19:38,888 --> 00:19:42,968 this is a recognized level of support. So most people would 337 00:19:42,968 --> 00:19:46,848 consider this bearish the way the stock is consolidating at 338 00:19:46,848 --> 00:19:51,688 the trend line before of course breaking down. Um yeah to add 339 00:19:51,688 --> 00:19:55,148 on to to which what you mentioned sometimes it is okay 340 00:19:55,148 --> 00:19:57,548 to use those two points but I like to only do it in 341 00:19:57,548 --> 00:20:01,428 situations where I'm using the most extended points because 342 00:20:01,428 --> 00:20:04,388 ultimately I know that not all trend lines are going to be 343 00:20:04,388 --> 00:20:07,628 respected but I still want to have them plotted just in case 344 00:20:07,628 --> 00:20:11,308 that they do provide some kind of support and that can help me 345 00:20:11,308 --> 00:20:14,268 kind of understand what's really going on. So in this 346 00:20:14,268 --> 00:20:20,628 case we had those two extreme lows plotted there and we we we 347 00:20:20,628 --> 00:20:23,688 created a trend line from that but even though we didn't know 348 00:20:23,688 --> 00:20:26,528 whether it was going to come into it was going to provide 349 00:20:26,528 --> 00:20:29,568 support since it was only two points it's so helpful to kind 350 00:20:29,568 --> 00:20:32,448 of mark those places off because you never know that 351 00:20:32,448 --> 00:20:36,008 that maybe a level that other traders are are using. Yeah. 352 00:20:36,008 --> 00:20:40,848 That's true and one remember you have to not forget that the 353 00:20:40,848 --> 00:20:45,768 reason technical analysis works is because thousands, 354 00:20:45,768 --> 00:20:49,928 thousands, millions of people are all using the same tool, 355 00:20:49,928 --> 00:20:54,788 right? So, I that's why those four big tools of trend lines 356 00:20:54,788 --> 00:20:58,268 support resistance lines volume and moving averages work so 357 00:20:58,268 --> 00:21:02,228 well they're the most common technical indicators that even 358 00:21:02,228 --> 00:21:05,348 when you first load you know an E trade account or whatever it 359 00:21:05,348 --> 00:21:08,228 is they're automatically on the chart because they're what 360 00:21:08,228 --> 00:21:13,908 everyone uses so the fact that a setup is really obvious is 361 00:21:13,908 --> 00:21:16,868 good because more people recognize it more people will 362 00:21:16,868 --> 00:21:21,608 most likely buy at the logical buy buy spot and you're 363 00:21:21,608 --> 00:21:24,168 going to see better resolutions. So, you know, we 364 00:21:24,168 --> 00:21:28,408 really like to go for what's obvious rather than trying to, 365 00:21:28,408 --> 00:21:32,128 you know, come up with some very obscure combination of 366 00:21:32,128 --> 00:21:35,808 never before heard of technical indicators because noone uses 367 00:21:35,808 --> 00:21:39,128 them which means those levels won't be very respected and 368 00:21:39,128 --> 00:21:43,048 you'll most likely just get yourself frustrated. Alright, 369 00:21:43,048 --> 00:21:45,568 so support and resistance levels. Do you want to cover 370 00:21:45,568 --> 00:21:49,968 this one, Ash? Yeah, let's get into it. So, we have here 371 00:21:49,968 --> 00:21:52,448 support and resistance levels which are literally just 372 00:21:52,448 --> 00:21:56,208 horizontal lines that we can plot on a chart based on what 373 00:21:56,208 --> 00:21:59,328 we identified to be major trading levels. So, some 374 00:21:59,328 --> 00:22:02,368 examples of major trading levels you might find on a 375 00:22:02,368 --> 00:22:06,288 chart include previous major breakout and breakout points, 376 00:22:06,288 --> 00:22:09,968 extreme highs and extreme lows as well as price levels that 377 00:22:09,968 --> 00:22:13,368 have been previously tested and held on more than two 378 00:22:13,368 --> 00:22:16,488 occasions. So, it's important to note that support levels can 379 00:22:16,488 --> 00:22:18,808 become resistance and resistance can actually become 380 00:22:18,808 --> 00:22:23,128 support. Yeah. So, let's look at a couple examples here of 381 00:22:23,128 --> 00:22:27,948 support and resistance lines. So, what we look for again are 382 00:22:27,948 --> 00:22:33,988 places where the stock has ideally tapped multiple times 383 00:22:33,988 --> 00:22:38,268 so right up here at the high we've got the first this candle 384 00:22:38,268 --> 00:22:42,228 squeezed up here and this is a topping tail so often times 385 00:22:42,228 --> 00:22:46,668 I'll draw a a support or a resistance line at the high of 386 00:22:46,668 --> 00:22:50,548 a move or high of day and so if I draw that on there it creates 387 00:22:50,548 --> 00:22:54,748 this line right here and it's very common that when a stock 388 00:22:54,748 --> 00:22:58,368 squeezes up if it creates this this is called the cup 389 00:22:58,368 --> 00:23:01,408 formation it creates this cup formation that what it's 390 00:23:01,408 --> 00:23:04,928 going to do is it's going to double top at the resistance 391 00:23:04,928 --> 00:23:08,848 line and it's going to fail so we anticipate that now that 392 00:23:08,848 --> 00:23:12,288 means we often like to buy at the bottom of the cup which is 393 00:23:12,288 --> 00:23:15,848 what we would call the bullflag entry so we're buying down here 394 00:23:15,848 --> 00:23:19,568 and we want to sell at the top of the cup there are times 395 00:23:19,568 --> 00:23:21,488 where stocks or cryptocurrencies are really 396 00:23:21,488 --> 00:23:24,488 strong and they squeeze through that and they keep going but 397 00:23:24,488 --> 00:23:27,428 often they see a little bit of resistance and this is the 398 00:23:27,428 --> 00:23:31,228 moment where stocks will either pull back and completely fail 399 00:23:31,228 --> 00:23:35,188 the way this one did or well there where they'll form a 400 00:23:35,188 --> 00:23:40,108 handle which is that little bit of kind of pullback underneath 401 00:23:40,108 --> 00:23:43,148 the top of the cup so it's that little handle right here and 402 00:23:43,148 --> 00:23:46,508 then from that point they usually continue higher so 403 00:23:46,508 --> 00:23:49,988 drawing the resistance line at high of day this gives us a 404 00:23:49,988 --> 00:23:54,808 predictive predictable level of resistance right here similarly 405 00:23:54,808 --> 00:24:00,128 stock drops down the low of the drop we pop on a support line 406 00:24:00,128 --> 00:24:04,168 now we see here on multiple occasions the stock kind of 407 00:24:04,168 --> 00:24:08,488 drop below bounce back up drop below bounce back up so we're 408 00:24:08,488 --> 00:24:13,408 sort of seeing some support in this area and again one of the 409 00:24:13,408 --> 00:24:15,808 things that can be a little challenging especially with 410 00:24:15,808 --> 00:24:20,328 cryptocurrencies is that because there's so much fear 411 00:24:20,328 --> 00:24:26,268 and greed around these these trades, these currencies, you 412 00:24:26,268 --> 00:24:29,868 can see whips where they break below support and then they do 413 00:24:29,868 --> 00:24:33,628 come back up through it because people panic out or people, you 414 00:24:33,628 --> 00:24:36,588 know, greed and they just panic in. They buy in because they're 415 00:24:36,588 --> 00:24:39,868 afraid of missing out. They've got FOMO and so we see a little 416 00:24:39,868 --> 00:24:43,668 bit more of the irrational stuff like in this case, you 417 00:24:43,668 --> 00:24:47,908 know, you sort of see one, two, three taps in this $10, 000 418 00:24:47,908 --> 00:24:51,508 level, probably a little bit of psychological support there as 419 00:24:51,508 --> 00:24:56,568 well because it's a big round no the low of this drop here 420 00:24:56,568 --> 00:24:59,848 you know we could draw that over this is a good example 421 00:24:59,848 --> 00:25:04,248 also where once this support level was broken as we came 422 00:25:04,248 --> 00:25:08,408 back up it was also resistance so now it's forming the other 423 00:25:08,408 --> 00:25:11,928 side where first it was holding us up and now it's a wall 424 00:25:11,928 --> 00:25:17,248 keeping us from going higher you can see a little bit of 425 00:25:17,248 --> 00:25:20,448 trend line support and resistance here or the support 426 00:25:20,448 --> 00:25:23,888 and resistance horizontal lines on this four hour chart this 427 00:25:23,888 --> 00:25:28,768 drop he You can see we've got a tap there and a tap there. So 428 00:25:28,768 --> 00:25:32,208 that's a really good example of those two levels you know 429 00:25:32,208 --> 00:25:35,488 coming up and running into it. Is there anything else you want 430 00:25:35,488 --> 00:25:41,328 to cover on this slide? Yeah so we can also cover that the 431 00:25:41,328 --> 00:25:44,888 major breakout points also kind of tend to provide some 432 00:25:44,888 --> 00:25:48,608 considerable support so on the Bitcoin daily chart you can see 433 00:25:48,608 --> 00:25:51,528 that we have the major breakout point listed and we really just 434 00:25:51,528 --> 00:25:54,488 identified as that that is the the low of the green candle 435 00:25:54,488 --> 00:25:57,848 that really started a huge upright that's where that big 436 00:25:57,848 --> 00:26:01,368 move really started and before it kind of just gained 437 00:26:01,368 --> 00:26:04,488 incredible momentum so now that we're finally back down to that 438 00:26:04,488 --> 00:26:07,768 level you can kind of expect it to be an area where where some 439 00:26:07,768 --> 00:26:09,828 buyer are going to come in so if you look on the four-hour 440 00:26:09,828 --> 00:26:13,668 chart we first pivoted into it bounced a little bit drop 441 00:26:13,668 --> 00:26:16,708 through it but now we're recovering back up and kind of 442 00:26:16,708 --> 00:26:19,428 consolidating over that level so that kind of tells me that 443 00:26:19,428 --> 00:26:24,268 buyers are using that as a as a level of support to place their 444 00:26:24,268 --> 00:26:26,748 trades on Bitcoin that's a good point yes so this trend line 445 00:26:26,748 --> 00:26:30,268 here is carried over from the daily so sometimes we'll 446 00:26:30,268 --> 00:26:33,348 actually we do this a lot we'll draw trend lines on the daily 447 00:26:33,348 --> 00:26:36,908 chart and then when we're trading intra day using a four 448 00:26:36,908 --> 00:26:40,888 hour hourly 15minute or 5 minute chart we can see okay 449 00:26:40,888 --> 00:26:44,128 this is that level that we marked out over on the daily 450 00:26:44,128 --> 00:26:46,688 chart we're coming up to it and so this is where you can 451 00:26:46,688 --> 00:26:49,488 kind of see us coming up to that level right in here and 452 00:26:49,488 --> 00:26:52,408 that's the same with this trend line coming up here but you can 453 00:26:52,408 --> 00:26:56,648 also draw these support and resistance lines intra day on 454 00:26:56,648 --> 00:27:00,248 the four-hour chart as you see them and again they're as 455 00:27:00,248 --> 00:27:04,888 respected as basically if they're really well respected 456 00:27:04,888 --> 00:27:07,468 it's because they're really obvious so the more obvious 457 00:27:07,468 --> 00:27:10,748 they are, the more likely they are to be respected by other 458 00:27:10,748 --> 00:27:15,708 traders. That's a great point. Here's a chart on Litecoin. You 459 00:27:15,708 --> 00:27:19,228 want to talk about this a little bit? Yeah, so we kind of 460 00:27:19,228 --> 00:27:22,308 see similar support levels here on Litecoin. We have the 461 00:27:22,308 --> 00:27:26,748 extreme lows from the previous major sell offs, right? Where 462 00:27:26,748 --> 00:27:30,188 we saw that first Litecoin had broken out incredibly sharply 463 00:27:30,188 --> 00:27:32,788 and then when we had that big sell off time, we bounced 464 00:27:32,788 --> 00:27:35,268 pretty sharply off of that level. So, you can kind of plot 465 00:27:35,268 --> 00:27:38,848 that level to be and expected to be a support level if it's 466 00:27:38,848 --> 00:27:42,248 ever tested in the future and that's what we saw following 467 00:27:42,248 --> 00:27:45,128 couple couple weeks later where we once again spiked into that 468 00:27:45,128 --> 00:27:49,088 level and we used it as support bounced higher but eventually 469 00:27:49,088 --> 00:27:52,528 we curled back down and we plotted another support level 470 00:27:52,528 --> 00:27:56,488 at the at the new extreme low. Yup. So, what we're seeing now 471 00:27:56,488 --> 00:27:59,848 is that Litecoin is kind of using those those levels as 472 00:27:59,848 --> 00:28:03,768 support even though it's not the most perfect support bounce 473 00:28:03,768 --> 00:28:07,188 there is. Uh it's those are the best levels that you can really 474 00:28:07,188 --> 00:28:10,308 used to determine support that there's not really much else 475 00:28:10,308 --> 00:28:14,628 you can identify on that chart to be a major support level so. 476 00:28:14,628 --> 00:28:17,548 Yeah and this is what technical trading is all about. It's it's 477 00:28:17,548 --> 00:28:21,068 looking at what are obvious possible levels of support and 478 00:28:21,068 --> 00:28:23,828 we look at the lows of you know, extreme drops and things 479 00:28:23,828 --> 00:28:27,428 like that. So, those are carrying over into this 480 00:28:27,428 --> 00:28:31,228 four-hour chart here. So, you can see especially in this 481 00:28:31,228 --> 00:28:33,988 area, a little bit of consolidation bouncing between 482 00:28:33,988 --> 00:28:38,368 these levels and something that again, is also worth noting is 483 00:28:38,368 --> 00:28:43,968 that we definitely see resistance at whole dollars 484 00:28:43,968 --> 00:28:47,128 half dollars and just big kind of lines in the sand that 485 00:28:47,128 --> 00:28:55,888 are psychological so 150200 or even you know 210220 230 240 486 00:28:55,888 --> 00:28:59,408 it's not uncommon to see kind of you know a little bit of a 487 00:28:59,408 --> 00:29:03,008 tap against these whole round numbers and a fade off that 488 00:29:03,008 --> 00:29:07,668 level so when I get in to these a lot of times I look for them 489 00:29:07,668 --> 00:29:11,668 to break and hold over those levels and when I look for my 490 00:29:11,668 --> 00:29:15,828 target I like to sell just underneath those psychological 491 00:29:15,828 --> 00:29:19,188 areas of resistance I wouldn't want to sell exactly at 250 I 492 00:29:19,188 --> 00:29:23,388 would sell like 24980 you know because I would expect we might 493 00:29:23,388 --> 00:29:26,708 come up and tap and then we could get a sharp rejection off 494 00:29:26,708 --> 00:29:30,908 that psychological resistance so in addition to obvious 495 00:29:30,908 --> 00:29:33,188 support and resistance levels we also have some of the 496 00:29:33,188 --> 00:29:37,288 psychological ones which initially not be as obvious but 497 00:29:37,288 --> 00:29:43,208 are definitely a factor. So, here's actually a similar 498 00:29:43,208 --> 00:29:46,568 analysis on Ethereum. Uh this one really helps us kind of 499 00:29:46,568 --> 00:29:50,168 understand the importance of previous major breakout points. 500 00:29:50,168 --> 00:29:53,248 So, if you look on the four-hour chart, that major 501 00:29:53,248 --> 00:29:55,968 breakout point that we have identified there. It provided 502 00:29:55,968 --> 00:29:59,448 support not once but twice. Right. Yeah. On the first 503 00:29:59,448 --> 00:30:03,368 bounce, we jumped literally from that level and it bounced 504 00:30:03,368 --> 00:30:07,408 for over 30 percent from literally that breakout point 505 00:30:07,408 --> 00:30:10,768 which means that other traders had identified it and possibly 506 00:30:10,768 --> 00:30:14,228 placed orders at that price point ahead of time so when 507 00:30:14,228 --> 00:30:16,828 price came into there their orders would be filled and it 508 00:30:16,828 --> 00:30:19,748 turned out to be a remarkable trade for anybody that that 509 00:30:19,748 --> 00:30:22,908 bought the the dip there because just led to an 510 00:30:22,908 --> 00:30:27,708 incredible balance we also see that there's a good example of 511 00:30:27,708 --> 00:30:32,268 support turning into resistance on the four-hour chart we had 512 00:30:32,268 --> 00:30:36,468 the extreme low level plotted which when Ethereum finally 513 00:30:36,468 --> 00:30:39,788 snap back into it it found support or resistance where we 514 00:30:39,788 --> 00:30:43,008 have the the green box. Right. Uh March. So these kind of 515 00:30:43,008 --> 00:30:47,768 levels really kind of help you understand places where you be 516 00:30:47,768 --> 00:30:51,008 you might be able to buy and sell for a trade. Yeah. Yeah 517 00:30:51,008 --> 00:30:54,808 these are all really good examples. Uh and again once you 518 00:30:54,808 --> 00:30:57,888 kind of learn this language of where to draw these trend 519 00:30:57,888 --> 00:31:00,808 lines. You can apply them to any type of stock. You can 520 00:31:00,808 --> 00:31:04,728 apply them to Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, the high-priced 521 00:31:04,728 --> 00:31:08,048 stocks. You can apply them to the low price stocks. They are 522 00:31:08,048 --> 00:31:11,788 really well respected across the and and in fact there's so 523 00:31:11,788 --> 00:31:15,748 well respected that there are some there's algorithmic 524 00:31:15,748 --> 00:31:19,828 support at some of these levels where there's computer systems 525 00:31:19,828 --> 00:31:23,268 that actually take into account this is a place where the 526 00:31:23,268 --> 00:31:26,148 computers are going to be a big buyer and so when we see 527 00:31:26,148 --> 00:31:29,308 support you know the stock is dropping down or like jeez you 528 00:31:29,308 --> 00:31:32,548 know it's it's not dropping anymore there's big buy orders 529 00:31:32,548 --> 00:31:35,228 where are they coming from they're combination of 530 00:31:35,228 --> 00:31:39,768 algorithmic traders they're also traders with deep pockets 531 00:31:39,768 --> 00:31:43,928 are very experienced that put out orders days or weeks ago 532 00:31:43,928 --> 00:31:47,048 thinking if we retest this spot this is where I would be a 533 00:31:47,048 --> 00:31:50,128 buyer even if I'm out to lunch I want to get picked up right 534 00:31:50,128 --> 00:31:54,048 here for a bounce and you know you saw it just like to the 535 00:31:54,048 --> 00:31:58,648 penny right here on this drop dropping out of the against the 536 00:31:58,648 --> 00:32:04,088 support of the prior breakout Alright. So, volume. Volume is 537 00:32:04,088 --> 00:32:08,288 something that I actively use on every single trade I take. 538 00:32:08,288 --> 00:32:12,048 Now, when we were giving you the walk through showing you 539 00:32:12,048 --> 00:32:15,568 Gdax and Coinbase and everything, you're able to see 540 00:32:15,568 --> 00:32:19,368 the the ladder which is the the level two is what we call it, 541 00:32:19,368 --> 00:32:22,608 the depth of the market and then you're able to see the 542 00:32:22,608 --> 00:32:26,928 time in sales and the time in sales is a transaction list. 543 00:32:26,928 --> 00:32:29,728 It's a list of every single trade that goes through and 544 00:32:29,728 --> 00:32:33,068 it's just console running twenty-four seven in the case 545 00:32:33,068 --> 00:32:38,668 of cryptocurrencies. So, volume is and the volume bars are just 546 00:32:38,668 --> 00:32:42,748 that visual representation of the amount of transactions that 547 00:32:42,748 --> 00:32:46,068 went through during each candlestick period. Now, these 548 00:32:46,068 --> 00:32:51,948 are colored red or green not based on buyers or sellers but 549 00:32:51,948 --> 00:32:55,428 based on the color of the actual candlestick. So, that's 550 00:32:55,428 --> 00:32:58,908 kind of a little bit deceptive because there are there could 551 00:32:58,908 --> 00:33:03,808 be times where you have a green candlestick but a lot of the 552 00:33:03,808 --> 00:33:07,848 volume came from one big seller who just happen to sell like 553 00:33:07,848 --> 00:33:12,408 50, 000 shares or 50, 000 coins or whatever it is but for the 554 00:33:12,408 --> 00:33:16,008 most part we sort of just acknowledge that we color the 555 00:33:16,008 --> 00:33:20,328 candle stick and the volume the same color so the candlestick 556 00:33:20,328 --> 00:33:23,608 up here and then the volume would be down here so that's 557 00:33:23,608 --> 00:33:28,488 the reason or that's how we decide the color of them now 558 00:33:28,488 --> 00:33:32,388 again one of the nice thing with volume in this sort of 559 00:33:32,388 --> 00:33:36,348 view is that you can visualize when we have high volume and 560 00:33:36,348 --> 00:33:39,668 when we have low volume and one of the things that we really 561 00:33:39,668 --> 00:33:43,188 like as active traders is to see a lot of volume in the 562 00:33:43,188 --> 00:33:46,468 stocks or the cryptocurrencies that we're trading so a place 563 00:33:46,468 --> 00:33:49,788 that we would be interested is right here and without even 564 00:33:49,788 --> 00:33:53,308 seeing the chart we know that the candles were going down 565 00:33:53,308 --> 00:33:55,908 right here and they were starting to go down with 566 00:33:55,908 --> 00:33:58,788 increasing volume which probably means the stock was 567 00:33:58,788 --> 00:34:02,408 dropping pretty fast and then this must have probably there 568 00:34:02,408 --> 00:34:05,808 might have been a little false bounce right here and then a 569 00:34:05,808 --> 00:34:09,328 more sustained bounce right here as we start to come back 570 00:34:09,328 --> 00:34:12,448 up and then so what I would visualize this chart looking 571 00:34:12,448 --> 00:34:15,968 like is the stock dropped down it bounced up and then it 572 00:34:15,968 --> 00:34:18,968 kind of went sideways for a while this is probably sideways 573 00:34:18,968 --> 00:34:22,088 it could be slightly down or slightly up but it's most 574 00:34:22,088 --> 00:34:26,328 likely not anything too extreme when we see extremes and volume 575 00:34:26,328 --> 00:34:30,908 those come with extremes in price for the most part and 576 00:34:30,908 --> 00:34:33,668 high volume is what we like. We like to see lots of trading 577 00:34:33,668 --> 00:34:37,428 taking place because that means if we want to buy and sell in 578 00:34:37,428 --> 00:34:41,428 large quantities, there are buyers on the other side that 579 00:34:41,428 --> 00:34:43,668 we can sell to and there's sellers on the other side that 580 00:34:43,668 --> 00:34:46,388 we can buy from and so there's going to be it's going to be 581 00:34:46,388 --> 00:34:51,308 very liquid, very easy to get in and easy to get out. So, 582 00:34:51,308 --> 00:34:56,108 when it comes to technical analysis, volume is what we 583 00:34:56,108 --> 00:35:00,328 kind of consider to be a confirmation so we may see what 584 00:35:00,328 --> 00:35:03,768 we think is a nice strong pattern and or we may see what 585 00:35:03,768 --> 00:35:07,808 we think is a a strong support level and it's the volume that 586 00:35:07,808 --> 00:35:12,168 will confirm it the volume is what tells us other traders are 587 00:35:12,168 --> 00:35:15,288 buying at the same place that I'm buying that means I must be 588 00:35:15,288 --> 00:35:18,248 right that this is a breakout spot I'm not the only one who 589 00:35:18,248 --> 00:35:22,048 saw it so volume is incredibly important for confirming that 590 00:35:22,048 --> 00:35:27,848 these patterns that we thought we saw are in fact legitimate 591 00:35:27,848 --> 00:35:32,528 so here we can see volume on this chart and as you would 592 00:35:32,528 --> 00:35:36,048 expect some of the big breakout days are going to have higher 593 00:35:36,048 --> 00:35:39,448 volume some of the big selling days are also going to have 594 00:35:39,448 --> 00:35:45,368 higher volume what is kind of interesting with Bitcoin and 595 00:35:45,368 --> 00:35:48,648 with some of the other cryptocurrencies is that some 596 00:35:48,648 --> 00:35:54,408 of the big moves actually occurred on fairly light volume 597 00:35:54,408 --> 00:35:58,108 for whatever reason there was just an balance where there 598 00:35:58,108 --> 00:36:01,868 weren't a lot of traders but the traders that were there 599 00:36:01,868 --> 00:36:06,548 were all buyers and the prices just went up very very quickly 600 00:36:06,548 --> 00:36:09,748 which is a little different from what we typically would 601 00:36:09,748 --> 00:36:13,588 see trading stocks although it's it does happen from time 602 00:36:13,588 --> 00:36:18,508 to time that you will have light volume breakouts they're 603 00:36:18,508 --> 00:36:22,308 typically just the result of you know someone sees the 604 00:36:22,308 --> 00:36:26,848 breakout like right here and so the only people buying here are 605 00:36:26,848 --> 00:36:30,248 obviously people that saw this consolidation but it's just so 606 00:36:30,248 --> 00:36:34,288 happens that it wasn't as many people as we're trading it back 607 00:36:34,288 --> 00:36:38,528 here so ideally we like to see high volume at the breakout but 608 00:36:38,528 --> 00:36:41,408 ultimately the price is what's most important so we want to 609 00:36:41,408 --> 00:36:44,928 see the price moving up and moving up sharply but you can 610 00:36:44,928 --> 00:36:47,808 see here this is that consolidation definitely kind 611 00:36:47,808 --> 00:36:50,928 of pick up from that though yes when we did see that huge 612 00:36:50,928 --> 00:36:54,568 volume spike and it nearly took the prices to all time highs 613 00:36:54,568 --> 00:36:58,008 that can kind of give you early indicated insight into right an 614 00:36:58,008 --> 00:37:01,608 early and what may potentially happen in the future. So, if we 615 00:37:01,608 --> 00:37:04,608 saw that much volume come in and the prices nearly went to 616 00:37:04,608 --> 00:37:07,288 all-time highs. You can only imagine what prices may do in 617 00:37:07,288 --> 00:37:09,928 the future, right? And. That's true. Uh that's exactly what 618 00:37:09,928 --> 00:37:13,208 happened here is what we saw the big volume spike. It took a 619 00:37:13,208 --> 00:37:16,448 few days of consolidation and we moved out of that bullflag 620 00:37:16,448 --> 00:37:19,808 on. Uh not tremendous volume but it was enough to really 621 00:37:19,808 --> 00:37:22,968 carry prices pretty far. So, it's really important to keep 622 00:37:22,968 --> 00:37:27,168 an eye on volume to to get an understanding of what price may 623 00:37:27,168 --> 00:37:30,868 do in the future. Yeah. Those are good points and likewise, 624 00:37:30,868 --> 00:37:35,428 when we see drops or we see periods of consolidation, we 625 00:37:35,428 --> 00:37:39,028 like to see that they're on lighter volume in a lot of ways 626 00:37:39,028 --> 00:37:44,428 because that indicates more of more churn rather than panic 627 00:37:44,428 --> 00:37:47,908 selling. So, you know, a little bit of a drop but it pops back 628 00:37:47,908 --> 00:37:51,188 up and it's on light volume. That's not as concerning as 629 00:37:51,188 --> 00:37:54,548 when we see a drop on really heavy volume. Uh you know, like 630 00:37:54,548 --> 00:37:57,608 back here, this is something that would be a little bit more 631 00:37:57,608 --> 00:38:00,928 concerning but you know this is even though it's the highest 632 00:38:00,928 --> 00:38:05,368 red volume of the day we have bigger red candles right here 633 00:38:05,368 --> 00:38:09,208 and up here you know a few months later this just happened 634 00:38:09,208 --> 00:38:12,328 to at the time be a day where some traders panicked out a 635 00:38:12,328 --> 00:38:15,968 little bit because it was a relatively big drop for that 636 00:38:15,968 --> 00:38:21,768 time so let's see here's another Bitcoin chart you 637 00:38:21,768 --> 00:38:25,488 want to walk us through this one yeah so it's another great 638 00:38:25,488 --> 00:38:29,328 example of how you can kind of use volume to your advantage to 639 00:38:29,328 --> 00:38:32,608 kind of get an understanding of what may happen so we saw that 640 00:38:32,608 --> 00:38:35,528 prices that really started selling off from the high of 641 00:38:35,528 --> 00:38:40,088 about 5, 000 we dropped all the way down to 3, 000 which is 642 00:38:40,088 --> 00:38:42,848 pretty pretty steep drop but what what you saw is that huge 643 00:38:42,848 --> 00:38:45,168 volume came into the buy side right there so that really 644 00:38:45,168 --> 00:38:49,408 kind of tells you that maybe a single party or many parties 645 00:38:49,408 --> 00:38:52,208 are really getting involved at that point and they're they're 646 00:38:52,208 --> 00:38:56,008 taking ownership of Bitcoin at those prices and they're really 647 00:38:56,008 --> 00:38:58,768 voting that this these prices may go higher and that's why 648 00:38:58,768 --> 00:39:02,248 they bought so much so over the next few days we saw just a 649 00:39:02,248 --> 00:39:06,348 little bit of and then you come out come out of the bullflag 650 00:39:06,348 --> 00:39:10,708 and boom prices just took off from there and really that that 651 00:39:10,708 --> 00:39:14,748 big volume spike of that day is just critical and kind of kind 652 00:39:14,748 --> 00:39:18,148 of seeing that happen before it does because it just gives you 653 00:39:18,148 --> 00:39:21,228 just great insight into the the price action of the market. 654 00:39:21,228 --> 00:39:24,908 That's a good point. Despite the selling, more buyers came 655 00:39:24,908 --> 00:39:28,228 in to step up to the plate to buy it up on that dip and that 656 00:39:28,228 --> 00:39:32,308 is a real sign of strength. Uh one of the this isn't quite a 657 00:39:32,308 --> 00:39:35,768 bull engulfing candle but a bullish engulfing candle is 658 00:39:35,768 --> 00:39:38,928 when you have a red candle and then the following day the 659 00:39:38,928 --> 00:39:42,888 green candle is fully bigger than it it opens lower it 660 00:39:42,888 --> 00:39:46,568 closes higher and it's just basically it totally shuts down 661 00:39:46,568 --> 00:39:49,528 that red day and this definitely did it with the 662 00:39:49,528 --> 00:39:52,448 volume it almost did it with the price and it certainly did 663 00:39:52,448 --> 00:39:57,728 over the next couple of days We could see it here again on 664 00:39:57,728 --> 00:40:01,128 Ripple as well when we started breaking out to all-time highs. 665 00:40:01,128 --> 00:40:05,688 The volume just really kicked up to another level and seeing 666 00:40:05,688 --> 00:40:09,248 that can just help you predict that these prices are probably 667 00:40:09,248 --> 00:40:13,128 going higher and that's what Ripple did with when those huge 668 00:40:13,128 --> 00:40:16,488 buyers stepped in. We got all of that volume and these were 669 00:40:16,488 --> 00:40:19,768 fresh all-time highs. So, it could've really helped you kind 670 00:40:19,768 --> 00:40:22,968 of predict a breakout in the making. Now, it's interesting 671 00:40:22,968 --> 00:40:27,028 with this is that we had peak volume here over 600 million 672 00:40:27,028 --> 00:40:30,908 coins traded on these high volume days however remember at 673 00:40:30,908 --> 00:40:36,428 this time it was around 50 cents per coin so here you know 674 00:40:36,428 --> 00:40:40,668 it when it's up at $3 if we were actually looking at this 675 00:40:40,668 --> 00:40:46,308 not just in dollar and not just in number of coins but in the 676 00:40:46,308 --> 00:40:51,828 volume of of currency that that changed hands you'd see that 677 00:40:51,828 --> 00:40:55,228 this was actually increasing because the price went up and 678 00:40:55,228 --> 00:40:59,068 yeah the volume came down a little bit in part because 679 00:40:59,068 --> 00:41:02,808 buying 10, 000 coins is much more expensive on this day at 680 00:41:02,808 --> 00:41:07,888 250 than it was back here at 50 cents, but the transaction 681 00:41:07,888 --> 00:41:11,208 value is going up so that's that's something that you may 682 00:41:11,208 --> 00:41:15,728 not see at first glance but you should be aware of especially 683 00:41:15,728 --> 00:41:17,608 when you're looking at something that went from 30 684 00:41:17,608 --> 00:41:23,368 cents to you know $4 or $5 that can be a pretty bare sign as 685 00:41:23,368 --> 00:41:25,928 well right when you see that declining volume kind of shows 686 00:41:25,928 --> 00:41:28,768 you that not as many buyers are stepping up to the plate yeah 687 00:41:28,768 --> 00:41:32,028 even the prices are higher in this type of move you really 688 00:41:32,028 --> 00:41:35,868 want to see the volume continue to increase you prefer to kind 689 00:41:35,868 --> 00:41:39,068 of right right yeah that'll kind of show you that prices 690 00:41:39,068 --> 00:41:41,388 may continue to go higher in the future but in this case the 691 00:41:41,388 --> 00:41:44,628 volume just slowly wrap down so that that should have kind of 692 00:41:44,628 --> 00:41:47,268 given you a hint that maybe maybe this movement was coming 693 00:41:47,268 --> 00:41:49,348 to an end yeah I think definitely when we see 694 00:41:49,348 --> 00:41:52,828 decreasing volume it is an indicator that okay the move is 695 00:41:52,828 --> 00:41:57,148 getting overdone but if you also were plotting the 696 00:41:57,148 --> 00:42:00,808 transactional volume the the current the actual amount of 697 00:42:00,808 --> 00:42:04,288 dollars that are changing hands you would see that it's 698 00:42:04,288 --> 00:42:08,368 probably actually flat or going up slightly because the price 699 00:42:08,368 --> 00:42:11,888 went up so much so that's a little on the bullish side so 700 00:42:11,888 --> 00:42:15,208 it does make it a little bit mixed as to okay you know it's 701 00:42:15,208 --> 00:42:19,768 breaking out on decreasing volume but the price more 702 00:42:19,768 --> 00:42:24,448 expensive so yeah it's a little bit of an iffy one I would say 703 00:42:24,448 --> 00:42:27,488 in any case I'd be definitely hesitant you know buying it 704 00:42:27,488 --> 00:42:31,028 anywhere up on this high level because obviously just came 705 00:42:31,028 --> 00:42:34,548 from you know twenty thirty cents 706 00:42:36,408 --> 00:42:39,508 here's the same example again with the volume just just to 707 00:42:39,508 --> 00:42:42,948 kind of show you guys how important recognizing that 708 00:42:42,948 --> 00:42:46,148 volume could really be because here we saw that Ethereum 709 00:42:46,148 --> 00:42:49,708 really kicked up its volume on that that first breakout. Yup. 710 00:42:49,708 --> 00:42:53,908 To just unseen levels. Uh we had seen it seen that level of 711 00:42:53,908 --> 00:42:58,948 volume in the past but compared to the past few weeks, it 712 00:42:58,948 --> 00:43:01,508 hadn't seen any volume like that. So, when when you finally 713 00:43:01,508 --> 00:43:05,728 got that huge kick up in volume as well as prices having just 714 00:43:05,728 --> 00:43:08,128 you all time highs. That that could have provided you an 715 00:43:08,128 --> 00:43:10,848 indication that prices were ready to to continue much 716 00:43:10,848 --> 00:43:13,288 further which which they did. Right and this is an example 717 00:43:13,288 --> 00:43:15,968 here where we have our support or our resistance level which 718 00:43:15,968 --> 00:43:19,528 was all time highs. We came up and as you can see here, this 719 00:43:19,528 --> 00:43:23,328 is the 15-minute chart. So, it's a zoom in of this day. We 720 00:43:23,328 --> 00:43:27,088 squeeze up. We break through all-time highs but then, we 721 00:43:27,088 --> 00:43:30,248 reject them. So, it goes all the way up to eight, what was 722 00:43:30,248 --> 00:43:34,568 it? 880, drops back down to 800. So, you know, fairly big 723 00:43:34,568 --> 00:43:38,628 false and then it curls back up but it kind of struggles and 724 00:43:38,628 --> 00:43:44,148 churns around this daily kind of support resistance level 725 00:43:44,148 --> 00:43:47,988 until finally this becomes support and that becomes the 726 00:43:47,988 --> 00:43:52,388 low of the next leg up which starts right here right so this 727 00:43:52,388 --> 00:43:57,868 was previous resistance which becomes support so you again 728 00:43:57,868 --> 00:44:01,788 using all of your technical indicators to help you get that 729 00:44:01,788 --> 00:44:04,608 edge so you're making the best decisions about where to get 730 00:44:04,608 --> 00:44:10,208 in, where to set your stops, etcetera. So, moving averages 731 00:44:10,208 --> 00:44:13,168 this is another one of the indicators that I use a lot. 732 00:44:13,168 --> 00:44:17,728 So, what a moving average does is it tells you the average 733 00:44:17,728 --> 00:44:22,088 price over a fixed period of time and you can choose what 734 00:44:22,088 --> 00:44:26,008 period of time you look at. So, the commonly used moving 735 00:44:26,008 --> 00:44:30,328 average lengths would be the 20 moving average, the 100, and 736 00:44:30,328 --> 00:44:34,508 the two hundred. So, a 20 moving average is the average 737 00:44:34,508 --> 00:44:38,228 over the last 20 candles and so again this can be a little bit 738 00:44:38,228 --> 00:44:42,548 deceptive because the 20 moving average on a daily chart well 739 00:44:42,548 --> 00:44:46,348 the average price over the last 20 days is different from the 740 00:44:46,348 --> 00:44:50,308 average price over the last 20 minutes if you're using a one 741 00:44:50,308 --> 00:44:54,668 minute candle so the 20 moving average is not the same on all 742 00:44:54,668 --> 00:44:58,308 charts it's it it's really relative to whichever time 743 00:44:58,308 --> 00:45:03,028 frame you're looking at so we use the 20 the 100 the 200 for 744 00:45:03,028 --> 00:45:07,128 me an active day trader I also use the nine because it's an 745 00:45:07,128 --> 00:45:09,768 even shorter period so it's telling me the average price of 746 00:45:09,768 --> 00:45:14,488 just the last nine candles so those are moving averages now 747 00:45:14,488 --> 00:45:18,128 within moving averages we have two different types we have the 748 00:45:18,128 --> 00:45:21,248 simple moving average which does exactly what I just said 749 00:45:21,248 --> 00:45:25,168 it's the average price over the last X number of candles and 750 00:45:25,168 --> 00:45:28,448 then you have the exponential moving average and what this 751 00:45:28,448 --> 00:45:33,228 does is it weights the more recent price action heavily 752 00:45:33,228 --> 00:45:37,308 versus the older price action and so that means when the 753 00:45:37,308 --> 00:45:40,588 simple moving average is going like this as the stock goes up 754 00:45:40,588 --> 00:45:45,308 the exponential is going like this it's moving faster and we 755 00:45:45,308 --> 00:45:48,828 like that I like that at least for day trading stocks because 756 00:45:48,828 --> 00:45:53,428 it reacts faster it's to me going to be more accurate so 757 00:45:53,428 --> 00:45:58,308 for me I use the nine the 20 and the 200 exponential moving 758 00:45:58,308 --> 00:46:02,108 averages and what do you use for on your charts with crypto 759 00:46:02,108 --> 00:46:06,728 are you using simple or using exponential? I'm using simple. 760 00:46:06,728 --> 00:46:10,608 Yeah. And I think I use the twenty EMA but I the rest I use 761 00:46:10,608 --> 00:46:14,128 simple moving averages. So again, it really comes down to 762 00:46:14,128 --> 00:46:18,168 personal preference but at the same time, I'm using the 763 00:46:18,168 --> 00:46:21,848 indicators that I think are the most widely used among day 764 00:46:21,848 --> 00:46:24,888 traders of stocks. So, day traders of stocks I think are 765 00:46:24,888 --> 00:46:30,288 using the the nine, the twenty, and the 200 exponential. The 766 00:46:30,288 --> 00:46:33,068 nine, the twenty, and the two hundred Simple are also 767 00:46:33,068 --> 00:46:36,868 going to be very similar in price. It's not that different. 768 00:46:36,868 --> 00:46:39,828 So again, me using the exponential might give me a 769 00:46:39,828 --> 00:46:42,748 little bit of an edge over someone else who's using the 770 00:46:42,748 --> 00:46:45,188 simple and it's probably the same with cryptos. A lot of 771 00:46:45,188 --> 00:46:48,628 traders when they load up their charts automatically will have 772 00:46:48,628 --> 00:46:51,988 simple moving averages installed. So, it's what they 773 00:46:51,988 --> 00:46:55,548 come with. It's what they initially learn and so they 774 00:46:55,548 --> 00:46:58,668 will be inherently more respected because more traders 775 00:46:58,668 --> 00:47:02,088 are using them. Right, right. One thing to notice you want to 776 00:47:02,088 --> 00:47:05,448 stick to one or the other because there is similarities 777 00:47:05,448 --> 00:47:08,088 between the two but they can still provide contradictory 778 00:47:08,088 --> 00:47:12,368 trading information so you want to use the one that that 779 00:47:12,368 --> 00:47:16,088 you find works best for you which in most cases it's the 780 00:47:16,088 --> 00:47:19,128 the exponential but most some people also like to use the 781 00:47:19,128 --> 00:47:22,768 simple as well so what you see here these are the moving 782 00:47:22,768 --> 00:47:26,488 averages plotted on this chart and so you see right here this 783 00:47:26,488 --> 00:47:30,608 is a level of support the stock is actually finding support at 784 00:47:30,608 --> 00:47:35,228 the average. Right here, the stock is finding support at the 785 00:47:35,228 --> 00:47:38,908 moving average. This is very common. So, now we see a couple 786 00:47:38,908 --> 00:47:42,028 of charts and we're starting to add the layers of indicators. 787 00:47:42,028 --> 00:47:45,548 We've got the candle sticks. We've got the volume. Now, we 788 00:47:45,548 --> 00:47:48,388 have our moving averages and of course, we could draw on our 789 00:47:48,388 --> 00:47:52,188 trend lines as well and so you can see as the stock squeezes 790 00:47:52,188 --> 00:47:56,428 up. It really holds this green moving average. So, what we 791 00:47:56,428 --> 00:48:01,968 would typically say is that we like to buy at support. This 792 00:48:01,968 --> 00:48:06,328 moving average is a pretty good level of support and so entries 793 00:48:06,328 --> 00:48:09,808 at the moving average with exits as the stock squeezes 794 00:48:09,808 --> 00:48:13,168 away getting back in at the moving average exiting as it 795 00:48:13,168 --> 00:48:16,728 squeezes away back in at the moving average exiting as it 796 00:48:16,728 --> 00:48:21,528 squeezes away maybe back in here exiting again back in down 797 00:48:21,528 --> 00:48:25,328 here maybe you stop out maybe you don't get in until it 798 00:48:25,328 --> 00:48:28,888 breaks back above because this is three sharp days of drop but 799 00:48:28,888 --> 00:48:32,268 again you sort of get the idea of we're seeing the stock or 800 00:48:32,268 --> 00:48:36,028 the the currency in this case Bitcoin respecting these moving 801 00:48:36,028 --> 00:48:42,148 averages do you want to add anything on this slide Um yeah 802 00:48:42,148 --> 00:48:45,348 so I I really like to incorporate moving averages to 803 00:48:45,348 --> 00:48:48,508 kind of get an understanding for the overall trend. So most 804 00:48:48,508 --> 00:48:51,908 frequently I like to use the 2020 EMA since it's so short 805 00:48:51,908 --> 00:48:55,108 term and it's going to react to more immediate price term but 806 00:48:55,108 --> 00:48:59,388 the the hundred and the 200 can really help to find major 807 00:48:59,388 --> 00:49:02,628 support and resistance levels that previous previously 808 00:49:02,628 --> 00:49:05,708 haven't been tested like in this case the 50 EMA or the 809 00:49:05,708 --> 00:49:09,468 hundred SMA had only been tested on one occasion back in 810 00:49:09,468 --> 00:49:12,128 I think it was September or October but it didn't get 811 00:49:12,128 --> 00:49:15,368 retested since but once we finally did come back into it, 812 00:49:15,368 --> 00:49:18,848 we saw that the 100 provided a decent level of support and 813 00:49:18,848 --> 00:49:21,728 then similarly, you can see the same thing happened with the 814 00:49:21,728 --> 00:49:24,768 two hundred. Uh although they weren't like sharp bounces 815 00:49:24,768 --> 00:49:28,168 precisely off of those levels. Yup. Um I'm pretty certain that 816 00:49:28,168 --> 00:49:30,768 the reason we're seeing these bounces at these areas is 817 00:49:30,768 --> 00:49:33,808 because people are seeing that we're coming into these major 818 00:49:33,808 --> 00:49:36,928 moving averages. Yes. As well as other other technical 819 00:49:36,928 --> 00:49:39,368 indicators that we've outlined earlier like the the major 820 00:49:39,368 --> 00:49:42,708 breakout point the whole the round numbers. For sure. And 821 00:49:42,708 --> 00:49:45,388 one of the things that we talk about we talk about this more 822 00:49:45,388 --> 00:49:48,228 in the day trade course. Uh we also talk about it in a couple 823 00:49:48,228 --> 00:49:52,148 of our terminology video lessons. There are some traders 824 00:49:52,148 --> 00:49:54,948 put a lot of respect on moving average crossovers. There's the 825 00:49:54,948 --> 00:49:57,868 golden cross. There's also something called the alligator 826 00:49:57,868 --> 00:50:01,828 indicator. So what they're basically emphasizing is these 827 00:50:01,828 --> 00:50:05,508 moments. When moving averages make really strong crosses like 828 00:50:05,508 --> 00:50:08,588 this that these are very significant and so in this case 829 00:50:08,588 --> 00:50:13,208 obviously this is a bearish signal and the crossover when 830 00:50:13,208 --> 00:50:16,088 it first happened was way off. It's not even on the chart. So, 831 00:50:16,088 --> 00:50:18,848 traders like that would would sort of have the attitude of 832 00:50:18,848 --> 00:50:23,168 I'm holding this I buy on a crossover and I'm not going to 833 00:50:23,168 --> 00:50:26,728 sell until a crossover. The problem with that obviously is 834 00:50:26,728 --> 00:50:29,728 that it's not very precise and by the time you're selling down 835 00:50:29,728 --> 00:50:33,968 here, you're selling it like 50% off high of all-time highs. 836 00:50:33,968 --> 00:50:36,488 So, you're really not getting the best exit. I mean, yeah, 837 00:50:36,488 --> 00:50:39,788 you held for for a long time but we talk about that a little 838 00:50:39,788 --> 00:50:44,108 bit. It's not as helpful for trading on the daily chart. 839 00:50:44,108 --> 00:50:46,988 It's a little more helpful for intraday. Um some of the 840 00:50:46,988 --> 00:50:51,068 indicators are also commonly used on Forex but again, mostly 841 00:50:51,068 --> 00:50:55,308 on intraday charts versus the daily. So, now we're going to 842 00:50:55,308 --> 00:50:58,988 talk a little bit about common price patterns. So, these are 843 00:50:58,988 --> 00:51:02,348 some of the things that I love to talk about because I use 844 00:51:02,348 --> 00:51:06,228 these every single day when I'm looking for trades. So, the 845 00:51:06,228 --> 00:51:09,408 most common price patterns that we're going to talk about 846 00:51:09,408 --> 00:51:13,248 patterns of consolidation. It's fairly self explanatory. 847 00:51:13,248 --> 00:51:17,688 Patterns including bull flags and patterns including a bear 848 00:51:17,688 --> 00:51:22,568 flag. So, flag patterns are essentially periods of 849 00:51:22,568 --> 00:51:26,688 consolidation but in a certain context. So, we'll explain that 850 00:51:26,688 --> 00:51:30,008 context and what that looks like. That now, we use these 851 00:51:30,008 --> 00:51:34,168 price patterns really to help us understand low-risk entry 852 00:51:34,168 --> 00:51:37,728 points where we can minimize our downside risk and maximize 853 00:51:37,728 --> 00:51:41,828 our potential. So, this right here is a bullflag and this 854 00:51:41,828 --> 00:51:46,028 stock is consolidating sideways but it's consolidating against 855 00:51:46,028 --> 00:51:49,348 a descending resistance line. So, that trend line is coming 856 00:51:49,348 --> 00:51:52,308 down and it's going to come to an apex point which is where 857 00:51:52,308 --> 00:51:56,508 the horizontal line and the trend line meet and stocks 858 00:51:56,508 --> 00:52:00,028 generally will break out either the upside or the downside 859 00:52:00,028 --> 00:52:03,028 either at that point or before that point and in this case, it 860 00:52:03,028 --> 00:52:06,548 did it before that point and it broke to the upside. Now, we 861 00:52:06,548 --> 00:52:09,648 don't always know when stocks will break these levels whether 862 00:52:09,648 --> 00:52:13,608 it would break here or here or here and we showed this example 863 00:52:13,608 --> 00:52:16,408 in one of the earlier classes but it broke here and my 864 00:52:16,408 --> 00:52:19,848 typical entry is to buy the first pullback which is right 865 00:52:19,848 --> 00:52:23,168 here. As a day trader, I often call it the one-minute micro 866 00:52:23,168 --> 00:52:26,128 pullback. Sometimes, it's a five-minute micro pullback but 867 00:52:26,128 --> 00:52:30,648 it's a short little pullback after a fresh breakout. A bear 868 00:52:30,648 --> 00:52:34,768 flag is a flag that is occurring after a drop. So, a 869 00:52:34,768 --> 00:52:38,308 stock that drops and pops up and then consolidates a little 870 00:52:38,308 --> 00:52:42,308 bit usually before another drop back down. So, this is a bear 871 00:52:42,308 --> 00:52:46,908 flag here. This is a bear flag right here. So, here let's look 872 00:52:46,908 --> 00:52:50,668 at a little zoom in of consolidation. So, this is a 873 00:52:50,668 --> 00:52:53,788 chart where we see this sideways consolidation. So, 874 00:52:53,788 --> 00:52:57,148 this is churning. You have some people buying. You have some 875 00:52:57,148 --> 00:53:01,588 people selling. It's it can be kind of a sort of accumulation 876 00:53:01,588 --> 00:53:06,148 distribution just churn. It's sideways and sideways can last 877 00:53:06,148 --> 00:53:09,168 for long periods of time and it can break out to the upside or 878 00:53:09,168 --> 00:53:12,528 the downside so we don't really like to buy when stocks are 879 00:53:12,528 --> 00:53:15,128 sideways or currencies are sideways because we don't know 880 00:53:15,128 --> 00:53:19,928 how long they'll continue to be sideways so instead we like to 881 00:53:19,928 --> 00:53:24,128 just sort of chart out the consolidation map out the 882 00:53:24,128 --> 00:53:27,488 resistance lines on the top the support lines on the bottom 883 00:53:27,488 --> 00:53:30,448 figure out where that apex point is which should be right 884 00:53:30,448 --> 00:53:33,808 here and then make a decision of okay well we're in 885 00:53:33,808 --> 00:53:37,508 consolidation so if the stock breaks over this level, I 886 00:53:37,508 --> 00:53:40,668 want to buy. If it breaks below this level, I'm either going to 887 00:53:40,668 --> 00:53:43,828 short it or if I'm still holding it for some reason, 888 00:53:43,828 --> 00:53:47,948 maybe I would be selling it. So, consolidation can turn into 889 00:53:47,948 --> 00:53:51,388 a bullflag or a bear flag but there are times where the 890 00:53:51,388 --> 00:53:56,828 consolidation is so long that it really isn't even a flag 891 00:53:56,828 --> 00:54:01,308 pattern at all. It's just going sideways. It's not very 892 00:54:01,308 --> 00:54:04,588 interesting. It's maybe drifting down a little or it's 893 00:54:04,588 --> 00:54:08,048 drifting up a but it's nothing that we would buy. We would 894 00:54:08,048 --> 00:54:12,168 wait for a breakout or a breakdown to occur and we would 895 00:54:12,168 --> 00:54:15,608 want to of course see the associated volume that comes 896 00:54:15,608 --> 00:54:18,488 with that that tells us that other traders are seeing what 897 00:54:18,488 --> 00:54:21,168 we think we're seeing, right? They're seeing something worth 898 00:54:21,168 --> 00:54:25,848 buying. Right. Yeah, these consolidations are really 899 00:54:25,848 --> 00:54:29,608 important to understand because in simplest terms, what a 900 00:54:29,608 --> 00:54:32,408 consolidation really is, it's it means that the the buyers 901 00:54:32,408 --> 00:54:35,368 and sellers are kind of evenly matched and there's not much 902 00:54:35,368 --> 00:54:37,848 volatility going on in the price but when the 903 00:54:37,848 --> 00:54:41,428 consolidation finally begins to or when the price fund moves 904 00:54:41,428 --> 00:54:43,508 out of that consolidation zone. It kind of means that the 905 00:54:43,508 --> 00:54:46,948 momentum is starting to build and potentially uncoil in that 906 00:54:46,948 --> 00:54:50,868 direction and it's really that that's when the pattern can 907 00:54:50,868 --> 00:54:53,988 turn into a bullflag or a bear flag which could kind of help 908 00:54:53,988 --> 00:54:57,308 you locate these great trading opportunities and we'll talk 909 00:54:57,308 --> 00:55:00,228 more about the specifics of the bullflag and bear flag in the 910 00:55:00,228 --> 00:55:04,468 following slides. Yes. Alright. So, here we have the bullflag. 911 00:55:04,468 --> 00:55:08,228 This is one of my go-to patterns for trading small cap 912 00:55:08,228 --> 00:55:12,488 stocks. It works really really well with caps. It doesn't work 913 00:55:12,488 --> 00:55:16,368 as well with large caps with your Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, 914 00:55:16,368 --> 00:55:19,328 Google type of stocks but it works very well with small 915 00:55:19,328 --> 00:55:23,568 caps. It works very well with cryptocurrencies. So, what is a 916 00:55:23,568 --> 00:55:28,208 bullflag? Well, a bullflag is when a stock pops up and 917 00:55:28,208 --> 00:55:33,128 creates a spike. That's the flag pole. Then, the flag is 918 00:55:33,128 --> 00:55:37,768 sideways consolidation after the spike. So, that's just this 919 00:55:37,768 --> 00:55:42,428 kind of period of digestion just sort of churn and what we 920 00:55:42,428 --> 00:55:45,948 typically expect from a bullflag is that this period of 921 00:55:45,948 --> 00:55:49,708 consolidation is where some people are taking profit from 922 00:55:49,708 --> 00:55:53,228 the first move other people are beginning to accumulate 923 00:55:53,228 --> 00:55:57,708 positions short sellers are maybe starting to cover and 924 00:55:57,708 --> 00:56:02,028 then we coil and we breakout so it's this period of tight 925 00:56:02,028 --> 00:56:06,428 coiling and then the breakout which occurs as we break over 926 00:56:06,428 --> 00:56:12,088 this trend line right here so Bowl flag can be as small as 927 00:56:12,088 --> 00:56:15,128 three candles. This right here is a bull flag. We've got three 928 00:56:15,128 --> 00:56:18,088 candles going up, two candles going down, and this is the 929 00:56:18,088 --> 00:56:21,208 first candle to make a new high. It's a small flag but it 930 00:56:21,208 --> 00:56:24,648 is a bullflag and this right here, this whole thing is also 931 00:56:24,648 --> 00:56:27,968 a bullflag. We've got three four candles up and then, you 932 00:56:27,968 --> 00:56:32,328 know, a long period of sideways consolidation but it's still a 933 00:56:32,328 --> 00:56:35,808 bullflag. So, it can occur on all different time frames from 934 00:56:35,808 --> 00:56:40,508 the one minute to the fifteen, 60, four-hour daily chart and 935 00:56:40,508 --> 00:56:44,388 they can take anywhere from one candlestick or two candlesticks 936 00:56:44,388 --> 00:56:49,388 to form to fifteen, 20, or 30. It really is Right. It doesn't 937 00:56:49,388 --> 00:56:53,868 matter. One thing to note that when you're buying this kind of 938 00:56:53,868 --> 00:56:57,188 bullflag pattern, you really want to see a spike in volume 939 00:56:57,188 --> 00:56:59,988 where where you're seeing breakout because that's telling 940 00:56:59,988 --> 00:57:02,748 you that other traders are also getting involved at that same 941 00:57:02,748 --> 00:57:06,148 point and that's that's a very bullish sign to see increasing 942 00:57:06,148 --> 00:57:10,728 volume as that breakout is Happening because yeah as as 943 00:57:10,728 --> 00:57:13,288 mentioned it really just means that other traders are piling 944 00:57:13,288 --> 00:57:16,328 into that same trade and it's it's a pretty good chance that 945 00:57:16,328 --> 00:57:18,528 prices are going to continue higher. So that's the important 946 00:57:18,528 --> 00:57:21,208 thing to remember in general about the market is that the 947 00:57:21,208 --> 00:57:25,448 market is an island where millions of traders are coming 948 00:57:25,448 --> 00:57:28,768 together and so the prices and everything that we're seeing 949 00:57:28,768 --> 00:57:32,248 it's a reflection of market sentiment and that sentiment is 950 00:57:32,248 --> 00:57:35,888 created by traders who think this is a place I want to buy 951 00:57:35,888 --> 00:57:38,628 and so they start buying and the price starts going and more 952 00:57:38,628 --> 00:57:42,188 traders start buying and it keeps going up. It's just so 953 00:57:42,188 --> 00:57:46,548 interesting how the the the market really is just a 954 00:57:46,548 --> 00:57:49,668 collection of a it's a reflection of the emotions that 955 00:57:49,668 --> 00:57:52,828 traders experience. The fear, the greed, the excitement, the 956 00:57:52,828 --> 00:57:56,628 exuberance. It's all on the charts and so we look for 957 00:57:56,628 --> 00:58:00,428 opportunities where we think that the excitement is going to 958 00:58:00,428 --> 00:58:04,708 build and peak and create these breakouts and so in this case 959 00:58:04,708 --> 00:58:08,208 it was right here and then again right here on the second 960 00:58:08,208 --> 00:58:12,008 pullback. So, we'll zoom in here. You can walk us through 961 00:58:12,008 --> 00:58:15,928 this Ethereum chart. Yeah. So, what's cool is that these 962 00:58:15,928 --> 00:58:18,808 patterns can really take place on any time frame. You can find 963 00:58:18,808 --> 00:58:21,888 them on the five-minute chart, the one-hour chart, and in this 964 00:58:21,888 --> 00:58:24,528 case, we saw it on the daily chart. So, we initially saw 965 00:58:24,528 --> 00:58:28,608 that Ethereum went from a low of about $8 all the way up to 966 00:58:28,608 --> 00:58:32,048 four hundred. So, that kind of created the pull of the flag 967 00:58:32,048 --> 00:58:35,768 but over the course of four or five months or actually took a 968 00:58:35,768 --> 00:58:39,048 while. Uh we consolidated for quite some time and what's 969 00:58:39,048 --> 00:58:41,808 interesting is that the consolidation kind of really 970 00:58:41,808 --> 00:58:45,848 began to tighten up as we came into I see October right there 971 00:58:45,848 --> 00:58:50,208 so once that started happening that really told you that 972 00:58:50,208 --> 00:58:54,048 buyers are holding up the price on every little dip and you're 973 00:58:54,048 --> 00:58:57,888 not really seeing much volatility take place and it 974 00:58:57,888 --> 00:59:01,288 kind of shows you this coiling pattern that's happening so in 975 00:59:01,288 --> 00:59:04,608 this case we have the the flag marked off with the two the two 976 00:59:04,608 --> 00:59:07,968 points the two extended points we noted and then once we 977 00:59:07,968 --> 00:59:11,688 finally started curling out of that line the breakout really 978 00:59:11,688 --> 00:59:15,868 just gains so much because what's really happening here is 979 00:59:15,868 --> 00:59:19,508 buyers are seeing that prices are not going lower. Right. And 980 00:59:19,508 --> 00:59:22,588 that's where everybody starts to pile up and and that that 981 00:59:22,588 --> 00:59:26,108 just turns into a major breakout point and can really 982 00:59:26,108 --> 00:59:29,428 lead to some interesting trades. So, in the next slide, 983 00:59:29,428 --> 00:59:32,708 we could see how that how that pattern really unfolded over 984 00:59:32,708 --> 00:59:35,628 the the following few months. Sure, I'll show that one. Um 985 00:59:35,628 --> 00:59:39,588 let me just show you guys one thing here. In in the context 986 00:59:39,588 --> 00:59:43,848 of this one chart, you can see how you have it's almost like 987 00:59:43,848 --> 00:59:47,448 fractals because you have within this is a flag pole 988 00:59:47,448 --> 00:59:52,288 right here for this long flag that occurred right through 989 00:59:52,288 --> 00:59:56,048 here so this is all one flag but then just inside the flag 990 00:59:56,048 --> 01:00:00,488 pole we've got this bull flag right here right that's a flag 991 01:00:00,488 --> 01:00:04,048 and we've got another one right here that's pretty well defined 992 01:00:04,048 --> 01:00:07,648 that's a flag and we've got another one right here so all 993 01:00:07,648 --> 01:00:10,488 of these are little opportunities that eventually 994 01:00:10,488 --> 01:00:15,348 ended up you know forming one large flagpole that created 995 01:00:15,348 --> 01:00:19,348 this you know large pattern out here but you can zoom in and 996 01:00:19,348 --> 01:00:24,828 see this on smaller time frames and whether it's intra day or 997 01:00:24,828 --> 01:00:28,708 it's daily in in short little weekly periods like this or you 998 01:00:28,708 --> 01:00:31,708 can step back and see them on this very high level where you 999 01:00:31,708 --> 01:00:35,148 see this long period of consolidation and in that case 1000 01:00:35,148 --> 01:00:37,948 you know buying down here is buying the dips of the moving 1001 01:00:37,948 --> 01:00:41,108 average and then selling through the breakout especially 1002 01:00:41,108 --> 01:00:47,128 as we get over this descending resistance line. Alright, so 1003 01:00:47,128 --> 01:00:50,168 you want to walk us through this Ethereum Daily Chart. So, 1004 01:00:50,168 --> 01:00:52,808 this is well basically and I'll let you walk us through it but 1005 01:00:52,808 --> 01:00:55,448 this is the continuation. So, this was the chart we were just 1006 01:00:55,448 --> 01:01:00,888 looking at where we saw right here was the breakout point and 1007 01:01:00,888 --> 01:01:04,488 now we're looking at it a few months later and this was what 1008 01:01:04,488 --> 01:01:07,568 that breakout produced, right? Right. So, you really see the 1009 01:01:07,568 --> 01:01:11,928 result of what that breakout did for prices. You know, it it 1010 01:01:11,928 --> 01:01:14,768 kind of once the uncoiling finally happened. The buyers 1011 01:01:14,768 --> 01:01:17,688 really just let loose on the price and we went from three 1012 01:01:17,688 --> 01:01:20,128 eighty all the way to about fifteen hundred. So, it really 1013 01:01:20,128 --> 01:01:23,968 shows you the power of those kind of patterns and what it 1014 01:01:23,968 --> 01:01:27,528 can help you how it can help you to predict these huge 1015 01:01:27,528 --> 01:01:30,008 potential future moves especially in cryptocurrencies 1016 01:01:30,008 --> 01:01:33,208 where we see so much momentum once the momentum really gets 1017 01:01:33,208 --> 01:01:37,488 going things prices just seem to let loose yeah yeah I mean 1018 01:01:37,488 --> 01:01:40,528 this is where we saw that really big move and again this 1019 01:01:40,528 --> 01:01:43,688 kind of interesting because it's actually on lighter volume 1020 01:01:43,688 --> 01:01:47,288 than we saw you know on this candle back here but this might 1021 01:01:47,288 --> 01:01:51,208 be sort of that early indicator of the stock the the currency 1022 01:01:51,208 --> 01:01:54,148 dropped and lots of buyers stepped up to the plate they 1023 01:01:54,148 --> 01:01:57,428 bought it up and then here we get the breakout a few months 1024 01:01:57,428 --> 01:02:01,148 later so it's kind of interesting to see that similar 1025 01:02:01,148 --> 01:02:05,268 indicator alright so here we have a Bitcoin chart we've got 1026 01:02:05,268 --> 01:02:09,748 our moving averages on here and you can see nice flag right 1027 01:02:09,748 --> 01:02:14,388 here this consolidation this is a resistance line we draw this 1028 01:02:14,388 --> 01:02:17,948 was the breakout the volume that comes in down here we 1029 01:02:17,948 --> 01:02:21,868 spike up we have another small pullback right here another 1030 01:02:21,868 --> 01:02:26,088 breakout another pullback here and another breakout small 1031 01:02:26,088 --> 01:02:30,488 pullbacks here and small pullbacks here. So, you can you 1032 01:02:30,488 --> 01:02:34,888 can make a living trading just this pattern because it is one 1033 01:02:34,888 --> 01:02:37,928 of the strongest patterns and it's a universal pattern. You 1034 01:02:37,928 --> 01:02:40,408 know it for socks, you know it for cryptos because it occurs 1035 01:02:40,408 --> 01:02:44,288 in the same exact way. Is there anything else you want to add 1036 01:02:44,288 --> 01:02:47,808 on this? I see that nice bounce on the 200 right down here. 1037 01:02:47,808 --> 01:02:50,688 Yeah, that was great as well. Really incorporating all of 1038 01:02:50,688 --> 01:02:53,848 these these different technical tools and indicators can really 1039 01:02:53,848 --> 01:02:56,548 just help you develop such a great edge over the market you 1040 01:02:56,548 --> 01:03:00,188 know just just the bullflag pattern itself is a great way 1041 01:03:00,188 --> 01:03:03,068 to go about trading these cryptocurrencies since what 1042 01:03:03,068 --> 01:03:06,108 they really just help you understand is they help you 1043 01:03:06,108 --> 01:03:08,508 predict these major breakout points because once you get out 1044 01:03:08,508 --> 01:03:11,148 of that consolidation everybody starts jumping on the train and 1045 01:03:11,148 --> 01:03:13,988 that's when prices start going so you really want to learn to 1046 01:03:13,988 --> 01:03:17,788 be able to identify these breakout points using using 1047 01:03:17,788 --> 01:03:20,828 these flag patterns and you want to sell into the breakouts 1048 01:03:20,828 --> 01:03:23,708 and that's really going to help you potentially create 1049 01:03:23,708 --> 01:03:26,848 substantial trading profits. Yeah. The interesting thing to 1050 01:03:26,848 --> 01:03:30,208 note is that these patterns sometimes can be very short 1051 01:03:30,208 --> 01:03:33,488 term like in this case the Bitcoin flag it it worked for 1052 01:03:33,488 --> 01:03:36,368 quite some time but eventually we saw that prices finally back 1053 01:03:36,368 --> 01:03:39,368 down. So you really have to be disciplined about making sure 1054 01:03:39,368 --> 01:03:42,448 that if you're taking this kind of trade that you're also 1055 01:03:42,448 --> 01:03:45,968 taking profits and if you fail to have maybe taking profits up 1056 01:03:45,968 --> 01:03:48,888 there you really want to make sure that just don't let the 1057 01:03:48,888 --> 01:03:51,128 trade go red at least. It's absolutely and that's 1058 01:03:51,128 --> 01:03:53,768 definitely true. This is a technical analysis is short 1059 01:03:53,768 --> 01:03:56,988 term trading. It's not investing. It's not buying for 1060 01:03:56,988 --> 01:04:00,308 the next three or four years. These are very short-term 1061 01:04:00,308 --> 01:04:05,428 opportunities and we use larger position sizes to profit on the 1062 01:04:05,428 --> 01:04:08,588 short-term opportunities and we certainly larger than we feel 1063 01:04:08,588 --> 01:04:11,828 comfortable investing for six months or a year. So, that 1064 01:04:11,828 --> 01:04:15,628 compensates for it and and ultimately, most of us make 1065 01:04:15,628 --> 01:04:18,828 more on these short-term opportunities because of the 1066 01:04:18,828 --> 01:04:23,068 additional leverage of share size that we use or coin size 1067 01:04:23,068 --> 01:04:25,728 to the where we probably make more on these than we would if 1068 01:04:25,728 --> 01:04:28,288 we were doing long-term investments on the same 1069 01:04:28,288 --> 01:04:32,968 instruments. Right, right. When you're incorporating your risk 1070 01:04:32,968 --> 01:04:37,688 management, you can really take take advantage of large share 1071 01:04:37,688 --> 01:04:40,008 size because at the end of the day, when you have such a tight 1072 01:04:40,008 --> 01:04:43,728 stop, you're not going to lose too much versus what you stand 1073 01:04:43,728 --> 01:04:46,808 to gain. Exactly. So, here we see the same pattern unfold on 1074 01:04:46,808 --> 01:04:50,128 the one-hour Litecoin chart. We saw that we had a giant balance 1075 01:04:50,128 --> 01:04:54,488 from a few days ago, prices began to consolidate but once 1076 01:04:54,488 --> 01:04:57,168 they finally broke out of that consolidation, prices started 1077 01:04:57,168 --> 01:04:59,568 traveling higher and that just provided a great trading 1078 01:04:59,568 --> 01:05:02,448 opportunity for anybody that bought that flag breakout but 1079 01:05:02,448 --> 01:05:05,688 once again we we see that this flag pattern even though it 1080 01:05:05,688 --> 01:05:08,928 originally worked it did come back so you you really have to 1081 01:05:08,928 --> 01:05:11,448 have that trading mindset when trading these kind of patterns 1082 01:05:11,448 --> 01:05:14,088 because they may work in the short term but that doesn't 1083 01:05:14,088 --> 01:05:16,288 mean that it's going to work that the prices are going to 1084 01:05:16,288 --> 01:05:18,568 continue moving in your favor so. Right. You have to take 1085 01:05:18,568 --> 01:05:20,648 advantage of taking your profits when you can. And one 1086 01:05:20,648 --> 01:05:23,648 of the things that we'll talk about more in the class on 1087 01:05:23,648 --> 01:05:26,048 trade execution. We'll talk about stops and things like 1088 01:05:26,048 --> 01:05:30,308 that but generally speaking we you always want to know as per 1089 01:05:30,308 --> 01:05:34,028 risk management, your max loss on a trade and we typically 1090 01:05:34,028 --> 01:05:38,948 would set the proper stop as the low of the flag or the low 1091 01:05:38,948 --> 01:05:41,588 of the most recent pullback which if you're a buyer up 1092 01:05:41,588 --> 01:05:46,108 here, your stop would probably be down here as a tight stop. 1093 01:05:46,108 --> 01:05:49,788 Down here would be a looser stop and again, you determine, 1094 01:05:49,788 --> 01:05:53,028 do I really want a tight stop or one that's got more space 1095 01:05:53,028 --> 01:05:57,028 based on what the profit potential is. So, tight stops 1096 01:05:57,028 --> 01:06:00,168 when the profit potential is a little limited and maybe a 1097 01:06:00,168 --> 01:06:03,408 wider stop when the potential if it works is that you have a 1098 01:06:03,408 --> 01:06:07,288 a real home run type of trade so here's another one where we 1099 01:06:07,288 --> 01:06:10,648 have this consolidation this is really interesting too because 1100 01:06:10,648 --> 01:06:14,008 this is occurring right underneath a trend line level 1101 01:06:14,008 --> 01:06:18,408 of resistance we tap it we fall we come back and retest it we 1102 01:06:18,408 --> 01:06:21,608 fall we test it again and we fall and this is also one of 1103 01:06:21,608 --> 01:06:25,448 the things that we call a flat top breakout this one's not 1104 01:06:25,448 --> 01:06:29,548 quite a flat top but it's not uncommon to multiple tests of 1105 01:06:29,548 --> 01:06:33,508 almost the same price and the more times that gets tested, 1106 01:06:33,508 --> 01:06:36,228 eventually, we're going to break through it. Now, it 1107 01:06:36,228 --> 01:06:39,348 doesn't mean we'll stay above it. Here's the break and then 1108 01:06:39,348 --> 01:06:42,508 it drops back below because a lot of people are anticipating 1109 01:06:42,508 --> 01:06:46,388 the break and so when it does happen, they take profit or 1110 01:06:46,388 --> 01:06:49,028 they take profit at the earliest sign of weakness 1111 01:06:49,028 --> 01:06:51,708 because they're like, okay, I got as much as I could get and 1112 01:06:51,708 --> 01:06:54,268 now you have an imbalance where people are taking profit, 1113 01:06:54,268 --> 01:06:57,068 they're selling especially in this case, people who maybe in 1114 01:06:57,068 --> 01:07:00,968 from way down here they're taking profit and now you get 1115 01:07:00,968 --> 01:07:05,648 this period of of sell off. Yeah I really wanted to include 1116 01:07:05,648 --> 01:07:08,888 this example to kind of help you guys understand that these 1117 01:07:08,888 --> 01:07:12,168 flag patterns can really form even pretty far off of the lows 1118 01:07:12,168 --> 01:07:15,168 like in this case we had bounced pretty hard and we we 1119 01:07:15,168 --> 01:07:19,008 were pretty far from the lows and even then we still saw the 1120 01:07:19,008 --> 01:07:22,928 flag breakout occur but of course it ultimately began it 1121 01:07:22,928 --> 01:07:25,808 was sold off but even then you could have still taken 1122 01:07:25,808 --> 01:07:28,608 advantage of this as a trade because if we had placed our 1123 01:07:28,608 --> 01:07:32,688 stop at that previous low right before the breakout this trade 1124 01:07:32,688 --> 01:07:36,928 actually still turn into a two 1profit loss ratio trade. Yeah. 1125 01:07:36,928 --> 01:07:40,688 So but it it really helps you to understand that even though 1126 01:07:40,688 --> 01:07:43,288 it's a good looking flag pattern. It's not just going to 1127 01:07:43,288 --> 01:07:46,528 keep going. So you really have to be disciplined about taking 1128 01:07:46,528 --> 01:07:48,728 your profits when you're in this kind of situation. 1129 01:07:48,728 --> 01:07:52,608 Absolutely. So now we'll talk a little bit about bare flags. 1130 01:07:52,608 --> 01:07:55,888 Bear flags are the opposite of both flags. They're the exact 1131 01:07:55,888 --> 01:07:59,448 opposite. So with the bare flag instead of the stock popping up 1132 01:07:59,448 --> 01:08:02,368 the stock sells off. That creates the flag pull going 1133 01:08:02,368 --> 01:08:06,748 down and then after the drop, we have sideways consolidation. 1134 01:08:06,748 --> 01:08:10,348 Typically, it's consolidation before the next leg down. So, 1135 01:08:10,348 --> 01:08:14,508 it's kind of stair stepping down. Now, obviously, we have 1136 01:08:14,508 --> 01:08:18,828 this problem right now with cryptocurrencies where it's not 1137 01:08:18,828 --> 01:08:23,748 practical or possible in most cases to short them. So, you 1138 01:08:23,748 --> 01:08:26,988 really can't there's some ways you can but for the most part, 1139 01:08:26,988 --> 01:08:31,348 you can't trade against the value of the of these 1140 01:08:31,348 --> 01:08:35,968 underlying assets. So, these aren't necessarily going to be 1141 01:08:35,968 --> 01:08:39,208 short setups that you would trade to the short side they're 1142 01:08:39,208 --> 01:08:42,928 more just a pattern to be aware of especially if you're holding 1143 01:08:42,928 --> 01:08:46,248 it to the long side that this is a bearish pattern it's you 1144 01:08:46,248 --> 01:08:48,448 don't usually want to be holding it and something that 1145 01:08:48,448 --> 01:08:51,488 you may be able to apply in the future if it becomes more easy 1146 01:08:51,488 --> 01:08:55,488 to you know borrow and and and short cryptocurrencies I don't 1147 01:08:55,488 --> 01:08:58,928 know if there's any indication that that'll happen but just 1148 01:08:58,928 --> 01:09:03,948 something to be mindful there so this here is a stock or the 1149 01:09:03,948 --> 01:09:07,508 currency Bitcoin dropped down and then it bounced up this 1150 01:09:07,508 --> 01:09:12,828 right here is sort of that that telltale sign of a bear flag 1151 01:09:12,828 --> 01:09:17,668 it's an ascending support line but after it's in the context 1152 01:09:17,668 --> 01:09:21,588 of this recent drop so it's kind of moving up and then this 1153 01:09:21,588 --> 01:09:26,108 is the apex point where we drop back down right so not the 1154 01:09:26,108 --> 01:09:30,708 prettiest pattern for traders who want to see this going up 1155 01:09:30,708 --> 01:09:34,128 is there anything you to add on this one. Right, right. Yeah, 1156 01:09:34,128 --> 01:09:36,368 just add on to what you were saying. It's just really great 1157 01:09:36,368 --> 01:09:39,488 to be aware of this pattern since you really can't short 1158 01:09:39,488 --> 01:09:42,448 the cryptocurrency but in case you're long, you want to be 1159 01:09:42,448 --> 01:09:44,808 aware that this this type of pattern really means that 1160 01:09:44,808 --> 01:09:48,728 prices could go lower. So, it may help you exit a position 1161 01:09:48,728 --> 01:09:51,808 before taking further losses. Right. Yeah. That at this point 1162 01:09:51,808 --> 01:09:55,168 would be sort of the the best value and here's another big 1163 01:09:55,168 --> 01:09:59,528 drop. This is ends up actually being a pretty nice bounce back 1164 01:09:59,528 --> 01:10:03,388 up but it of is just a long period of sideways 1165 01:10:03,388 --> 01:10:09,308 consolidation below the original breakdown point so 1166 01:10:09,308 --> 01:10:13,268 this is the breakdown point here the drop consolidation and 1167 01:10:13,268 --> 01:10:16,228 then a further drop here and again doesn't mean these are 1168 01:10:16,228 --> 01:10:19,988 going to zero it's just a short term correction and pullback 1169 01:10:19,988 --> 01:10:22,988 before you know possibly turning around as you see here 1170 01:10:22,988 --> 01:10:27,308 and making its way back up right right so say if you're 1171 01:10:27,308 --> 01:10:30,888 long term invested or something in Bitecoin and you saw that 1172 01:10:30,888 --> 01:10:33,928 what you could really do to take advantage of it is maybe 1173 01:10:33,928 --> 01:10:36,368 you would have sold out your position there and then have 1174 01:10:36,368 --> 01:10:39,288 the opportunity to buy it back for for much lower prices. 1175 01:10:39,288 --> 01:10:43,408 Right. Yeah. So, alright. So, what we've done is we walked 1176 01:10:43,408 --> 01:10:47,328 you through the four important technical indicators that you 1177 01:10:47,328 --> 01:10:50,448 really need to understand to start to become proficient at 1178 01:10:50,448 --> 01:10:54,728 technical analysis. We talked about trend lines, ascending, 1179 01:10:54,728 --> 01:10:58,408 and descending. We talked about support lines, the horizontal 1180 01:10:58,408 --> 01:11:01,668 lines, support and resistance, we talked about our moving 1181 01:11:01,668 --> 01:11:06,308 averages exponential and simple and we talked about volume and 1182 01:11:06,308 --> 01:11:09,908 then of course we talked about the actual candlestick patterns 1183 01:11:09,908 --> 01:11:14,148 of bullflags bare flags and the consolidation patterns so these 1184 01:11:14,148 --> 01:11:17,708 are going to equip you to start becoming a more confident 1185 01:11:17,708 --> 01:11:21,748 trader but remember you have to practice all of this stuff I 1186 01:11:21,748 --> 01:11:25,428 remember for me as a beginner trader and not even just as a 1187 01:11:25,428 --> 01:11:29,028 beginner I've been trading probably for over a year when I 1188 01:11:29,028 --> 01:11:32,528 had a day I remember sitting down and looking at a chart and 1189 01:11:32,528 --> 01:11:35,528 feeling like, I don't see anything. I'm looking at an 1190 01:11:35,528 --> 01:11:38,648 entire chart. I don't see a single pattern. I don't see 1191 01:11:38,648 --> 01:11:43,328 anything to buy or sell. It takes a while to sort of adjust 1192 01:11:43,328 --> 01:11:46,368 your eye to visualize these patterns. It's like looking at 1193 01:11:46,368 --> 01:11:50,448 a magic eye poster. You don't see anything and then, it's all 1194 01:11:50,448 --> 01:11:53,328 right there and so, we're trying to help you get to the 1195 01:11:53,328 --> 01:11:56,928 point where you know, you can start to kind of visualize 1196 01:11:56,928 --> 01:12:00,668 through everything the patterns And being in the chat room, 1197 01:12:00,668 --> 01:12:02,868 we're going to show you these, we're going to point them out 1198 01:12:02,868 --> 01:12:05,308 every time we see them, and it's going to become second 1199 01:12:05,308 --> 01:12:08,988 nature, but know that it takes some time, just like anything 1200 01:12:08,988 --> 01:12:12,188 else, mastering the skill of technical analysis is something 1201 01:12:12,188 --> 01:12:16,188 that takes time, and so you gotta study up. Right, right, 1202 01:12:16,188 --> 01:12:18,748 and I would say that cryptocurrencies, especially, 1203 01:12:18,748 --> 01:12:22,508 for some reason, they're extremely technical traders. 1204 01:12:22,508 --> 01:12:26,268 Yeah. And that's likely because there's not much fundamentals 1205 01:12:26,268 --> 01:12:29,448 driving the price. It's ultimately just the technicals 1206 01:12:29,448 --> 01:12:32,568 that are driving the price back and forth. So, if you're really 1207 01:12:32,568 --> 01:12:34,648 interested in trading cryptocurrencies, you should 1208 01:12:34,648 --> 01:12:37,688 make sure that you're really focusing on your technical 1209 01:12:37,688 --> 01:12:40,248 analysis skills because that's that's what's really going to 1210 01:12:40,248 --> 01:12:42,408 help you develop your your trading edge. If you can 1211 01:12:42,408 --> 01:12:46,008 recognize these these patterns for what they are and take the 1212 01:12:46,008 --> 01:12:48,808 trade before the pattern takes place, you could, you could be 1213 01:12:48,808 --> 01:12:51,528 involved in some great trades. Yeah. But at the end of the 1214 01:12:51,528 --> 01:12:54,328 day, you still have to incorporate all of your trading 1215 01:12:54,328 --> 01:12:57,808 roles such as risk management and you you want to make sure 1216 01:12:57,808 --> 01:13:03,108 that you never even though a pattern may look like the best 1217 01:13:03,108 --> 01:13:06,028 pattern you've ever seen and you still have to understand 1218 01:13:06,028 --> 01:13:08,788 that there's the possibility that the pattern doesn't work 1219 01:13:08,788 --> 01:13:11,548 because at the end of the day, it's it's just a pattern. So, 1220 01:13:11,548 --> 01:13:14,748 as as important technical analysis is, you you still have 1221 01:13:14,748 --> 01:13:18,668 to take it with a grain of salt at times because these are just 1222 01:13:18,668 --> 01:13:21,308 traders emotions that are reflecting on the chart. Yup. 1223 01:13:21,308 --> 01:13:24,308 Yup. That's absolutely true. Alright, everyone. So, I hope 1224 01:13:24,308 --> 01:13:27,188 you guys have enjoyed this class and we'll put together 1225 01:13:27,188 --> 01:13:29,488 some for you. You guys can do the homework and then we'll get 1226 01:13:29,488 --> 01:13:33,688 into chapter five. Alright, we'll see you guys soon. See 1227 01:13:33,688 --> 01:13:36,048 you guys. 116375

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