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I noticed an interesting thing in the
reports of the General Staff of Ukraine.
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In the first 2 months of the invasion enemy
losses in personnel were 3,900 and 5,800
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invaders respectively. In November the enemy's
losses for the month were 16,970 eliminated,
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and for only 16 days in December - 7,830 invaders.
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But something else is interesting: losses
of tanks and other armored vehicles.
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The Russian army lost 414 tanks
in April and 401 in March.
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During November the enemy lost 217 tanks, and
during the half of December only 55 tanks,
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having already destroyed personnel more than
in full March or May. What does this show?
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The enemy began to fight completely «meat»
throwing Ukrainian positions mobilized and
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convicts, although I do not see the difference
- they are all killers. Already there is a joke
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that under Bahmut the whole area is easier
to «pack» in one black plastic bag than to
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collect each occupier in a separate. Such is
the rate of loss that in 2 months the main
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formations will lose combat effectiveness
with a lack of personnel of more than 50%.
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In the last 2 days alone 1,000 eliminated
and at least twice that many more wounded.
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The heavy machinery, and therefore the offensive
potential, is running out. Before the full-scale
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invasion, Russia had 3,300 tanks - 2,970
destroyed and captured so far, which is 90%.
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But Russia had about 15,000 in storage, including
up to 5,000 obsolete T-55 and T-62 models,
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but their condition and recovery rate and
time play a role. The enemy compensates
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partially with equipment from Belarus,
as well as captured from the Ukrainians.
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The weather also plays a role
in the use of heavy equipment.
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The Siversk-Soledar-Bakhmut line is
not surrendered by the Ukrainian side.
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This is a strategically important line
of fortifications that allows us to
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effectively grind the mobilized potential of
the enemy: several lines of fortifications,
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"shot" artillery over the terrain,
and no hard cover to attack the enemy.
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Battles are literally fought in mud swamps.
Enemy losses only at Bakhmut may be up to 10,000.
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Artillery superiority remains on the side of the
enemy, although there is a high probability of
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"starvation" of shells for artillery. The
number of shells fired during the day has
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almost halved everywhere, this does not apply to
individual areas such as Bakhmut. Predictably,
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already at the end of this month, the
Russian army should feel a "starvation".
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According to the Pentagon and Defense Express,
Russia is already using 40-year-old shells,
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and the monthly capacity of the Russian
military-industrial complex does not
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cover its needs. For example, they are
capable of producing 22,000 152mm shells
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in a month - enough for less than a week
for the enemy's "firing ramparts" tactics.
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I think spring will be decisive in
many aspects, and the enemy knows it.
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Not surprisingly, the enemy is now continuing
another bout of vicious missile diarrhea.
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Another demonstration of total military
impotence and a final shift to pure terrorism.
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In this war, with each passing day, Russia's role
is becoming more and more pathetic and criminal.
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Despite the first wave of mobilization
and cons - it is incapable of fighting.
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It can still only shit from a distance, destroying
the civilian population and ruining electricity.
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Putin does not understand that the only effect of
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his "attacks" is the growing
contempt of the whole world.
5167
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