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The British Royal Institute for Defence
Studies analyzed the course of the war
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in Ukraine and concluded that the
plan to occupy the country included
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both military action and "bloody
mopping up" of the population.
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The military part included:
- Destroying the air force,
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navy, and air defense assets;
- «shackling» of the armed
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forces of Ukraine in the Donbas;
- physically eliminating the political
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and military leadership, and occupying
the main political centers of the country.
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The second part, exceptionally vile, was
a purge in the spirit of the Soviet Union
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and Stalinist repression. It provided for the
division of all Ukrainians into four groups,
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where the patriotic part was to be liquidated,
dissenters must be allowed through the filtration
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camps and deported to Siberia, and neutral
citizens were asked to induce cooperation.
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According to the plan, Russian troops
were to capture the major cities on the
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left bank of the Dnieper, as well as
Kiev, Kherson, Nikolaev, and Odessa.
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After ten days the occupying army planned
to proceed to "stabilization measures" - the
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destruction of scattered resistance, in
parallel creating occupation administrations.
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The Russian blitzkrieg ruled out the destruction
of critical infrastructure and transport routes,
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since the occupiers were
about to use them themselves.
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I would add several points to the report:
- 10 months later, Putin's army continues
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to lose previously occupied territory;
- Russian troops are unable to achieve
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meaningful results despite the
mobilization of some 300,000
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men, half of whom are already at the front;
- Russia is fighting with 1980s strategies
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and weapons;
- retention
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under occupation of occupied territories is
threatened not only by the Ukrainian army,
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but also by partisans with the local population;
– to continue the offensive against the
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well-armed, equipped and motivated army
of Ukrainian defenders of about 1 million
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soldiers implies a multiplication of the number of
invaders, which will be very difficult to do even
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with general mobilization. They can pick them up,
but what do they get in a fight with, a shovel?
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So now it is extremely important for Putin and
his generals to fix an "intermediate" result
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through negotiations. But since such «idea» in
Ukraine and in the West does not inspire anyone,
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it is obvious that the prospect of
blowing up another propaganda hysteria
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about «protection of their territories»
and «homeland in danger» is already being
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considered early next year to justify
martial law and general mobilization.
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Meanwhile, the Russian Ministry of Fertilization
of the Ukrainian land has announced a collection
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of musical instruments to be sent to the front.
People are asked to bring balalaikas, accordions,
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Harmonicas, and guitars for "inspiration for
the feat" without charge. So I imagine in the
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new video: the trench, flying shells and
Russian occupant playing on the Harmonica.
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I wonder if the chief conductor will be given a
drum? Because Donbass was waiting for his "tour".
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