Original subtitles

Alright, let's do a little breakdown. See what happened

today on gold because gold had two of the best trades that I

pretty much had today. I figured we go over some stuff

that worked really well and some other things that didn't

but let's go ahead and just jump straight into the

breakdown and see how gold reacted today, right? Starting

off with the daily. Wanna mark up all of those liquidity

points, right? Make sure we can see where direction of the

market is Man, I don't know why it didn't let me change up

these lines.

As we can see right now, the majority of the momentum is

still looking short, right? So, we know overall, we should be

looking to go short to this daily level here. Now, looking

at the 4 hour, what do we see coming into the day, right? We

see that our last external sweep was actually to the lows

here. So, we trapped all of these. As you can see, sell

stop orders right here. A bunch of buyers came in once retail

start to try to sell. Right, and then we can look to take

out this liquidity point all the way up here. Once We have

taken out these lows right here. We can actually now

validate right this OB as an extreme. A lot of you are

probably wondering why. That's because this has left a nice

little imbalance as you can see right here. Right? And that

imbalance allows me to validate this OB above. We can react in

the imbalance as we have seen right here. Price came up.

Tapped into that imbalance came down. Tapped into this once

again came all the way back up and now we could do what

possibly fall again after taking out these previous day

lows right we also know that the daily momentum is still

looking short so there's still a good chance that we can

shorten this area here and keep going lower right now let's

jump into the one hour and see what's going on in the one hour

with this right so for the New York session we had some pretty

good trades come up and just go ahead and finish off marking

off it's liquidity.

Not going to really need that right now actually.

It looks like we might have swept these highs here. Equal

distant highs that's definitely going to get taken out.

Alright, so let's start to look around here because this is

where NY started to pop in. As you can see, right here is

around 8 AM. Alright, so this is where New York open started.

As you can see, price bought up and then gave the imbalance

came right back down to this extreme again and decided to

move back up into this gray area. Let me just Mark in.

And these 15 minute highs and lows really are not needed

right remember I said you really do not need to mark

these in if you want the more higher probable trades just

stick to the color coded one hour algo structure because the

algo structure is always going to be a lot more I I guess

probable the not over these 15-minute fractals, these

15-minute fractals can provide a lot of false signals.

Anyways, let's hop right into the 1 minute. Let's see what I

was seeing earlier today, right? So, as you can see, I

saw someone get this trade first thing in the morning

actually. If we look back in the VIP chat, someone actually

took this and I see why they took it, right? This, I did not

consider this to be asleep in the lows, right? And a lot of

people did. The reason why I didn't is it wasn't clear

enough for me. I couldn't really tell if these lows

really got taken out. Meaning, I was unsure whether or not

cell stop orders were getting triggered or not, right?

Because I was unsure as to whether sell stop orders were

getting triggered or not. I did see this change of character

right here, right? But again, I decided not to take it only

because I didn't assume this to be the sweep of the lows. If

you did assume this to be the sweep of the lows as you can

see, this would have been your one-minute refinement. As you

see, this is the last place that left an imbalance before

change of character, right? So, this would been your most

optimal refinement in terms of grabbing gold longs right at

the opening right you would have targeted all the liquidity

points right so TP 1 that first M-15 fractal TP2 and then TP3

being that imbalance right so you would have maxed out at

around a 1 to 7. 3 R, which is generally pretty **** good

right now come over here we've now hopped in to this imbalance

right and why is that important right move one we also swept

15-minute fractal so we know we can reverse. Two, what else do

we know? We came in to all this area here in which caused the

break of this low and this low. So, I am expecting overall

selling to occur in this area here, right? If we come in,

what's going on after the sweep of this 15-minute fractal we

can see that we had 12/ 3 drives to the high right we go

back to those core foundational videos that means we had SP one

SP two SP three I've said it multiple times but I know a lot

of people probably forget that's perfectly fine but after

SPthree right we don't always necessarily have to wait for

confirmation right we can simply just enter after that

third drive especially if we're already sitting in some sort of

imbalance or OB which is why you guys saw me taking entries

the very top right here if you wanted a bit more confirmation

if you're doing a funding challenge wait for that change

of character right and then as you can see we build up this

inside range which I always talk about right here remember

if there's a liquidity build up inside of the AMD cycle it's a

lot more valid than when there's an liquidity build up

outside of the AMD cycle actually I've said this again

but if there's a liquidity build up outside of the AMD

cycle or post AMD cycle right that there's actually more of a

chance of this not and it actually billing through and

becoming a trap, right? I remember Euro USD had a setup

today but it built up too much liquidity, right? Remember I

was telling people that I was like, look, look, this thing's

building up way too much liquidity, don't take any

positions, right? Because the likelihood is all this

liquidity buildup is actually just going to trap a bunch of

traders. So, this was the first possible entry on gold today,

right? You could have gotten that second entry all the way

up here and or waited for that confirmation down here, right?

Which these were my main positions say where do these

shorts right here I actually had my stops resting above

these highs right and I took this all the way back down now

why did I decide to start buying up again if we come out

into the 15 minute or even hourly I believe

so it was in the 15 minute chart because we were

constantly breaking these M15 fractal highs I look to see if

there was any imbalance remaining and there was right

here right and if we look very closely there's that slight

imbalance coming in right here validating this OB, right? What

also is validating this OB are these breaks structure right

here on the N15 time frame, right? So, if we hop back into

the 1 minute again, First of all, can we scale in? Not that

I see, right? There weren't that many scaling opportunities

coming in here. However, the first opportunity I did see

because I want to go over some of the losses that happened

today, right? One like right here. Right first we have that

sweep we did have a nice change of character I even like that

we had as you can see a liquidity build up within the

AMD cycle this was a very valid good setup no question about it

right it left this nice little liquidity build up right left

this nice one minute OB on the bottom here and as you can see

it left a nice little imbalance there so I was aiming and

looking to you know capitalize on this position right what

happened price actually came and decided to mitigate this

then go higher I completely mis misread this and didn't see

that this was behind it remember I said a smart money

trap will trap especially if there's an unmitigated one

minute OB just resting right below it which is like this

right here right so a lot of the times we need to look back

left and see if there's something resting below which

there was here which is why this didn't work I actually got

trapped out in SL on this trade, right? Only thing I will

say that went against it a little bit was that liquidity

build up post AMD cycle right here we came up it came in it

built liquidity right these two little fractals right here told

me that we're building liquidity to what go down right

so that later told me that I need to reduce risk on this

trade so I actually reduce my position to. 25% rather than a

full% right but yeah this would have been a nice little SL but

I want people still to understand that it's still a

valid and quality setup right and that you should be taking

trades like these, even though it's an SL, right? It is

perfectly fined SL. ISL all the time, but I'm still profitable.

Anyways, we need to now break this low, right? In order to

start finding more AMD cycles again. So here, it's where we

finally break that low. Where do we continue? Right down to

this low here. Do we change character? Nope. Then we come

to this low. Did we change character? Yes. Alright. Now,

what are two refinements here. Here's that inside range we're

talking about. Now, if you remember correctly, not only

can we take the inside range but the inside range can also

be used as inducement, right? So, if you don't want to wait

for the inside range and you want to wait more so for the

the extreme, you can. Very similarly how did this built up

liquidity to this right this would have been that inside

range you could have taken right to mitigate to go higher

as you can see price did try to go higher right here but failed

right and instead came to the extreme and just not that up so

I guess that's not really the best example but as you can see

here right it tried to buy off this inside range it couldn't

do it but then it tapped into this and this is what I

actually entered right so I actually was looking at this

one while price was coming down into this OB go okay there's a

very good chance it's going to sweep this portion of liquidity

here you know before going higher so in other terms right

there's a very good chance we either would have had this

position line like right here right with a really wide stop

at around 22 pips or we would have tighten that up SL on that

first one for and then recovered basically everything

and I closed this one out already I closed out as soon as

we took out these highs right here that was my target I

didn't think this thing was actually going to fly the way

that it did right but as you can see this was really the

basis of how gold move today and these were the what I have

up on the chart right now are the only viable setups that

occurred during New York right like I said there will be

numerous trades for each pair throughout the day you just

have to you know understand that you can take loss right

here's a loss here here's a loss here but look at the wins

and the RR associated with those wins. They completely

knock out your losers, right? That's why I always say, take

every single setup. We'll go over these setups again. Here's

8 AM, right? We induce previous day lows, right? We induce

previous day lows. We know we need to come back up to the OB

up here to push it back down, right? So, my assumption is,

okay, let's buy this thing up, sell it back down. I already

have this assumption going for me, right? I, what did I put

into trade ideas today?

I guess it kind of did that it came up right took out this and

instead it actually took out this portion here still made

its way coming up which I assumed now it's finally

decided to go back up again so instead of it taking out this

one come back down and going higher it actually took out

this then this thing up here came all the way back down then

rock it back up alright again let's go over the validation of

these trades one more time previous day lows got swept we

can look for that AMD cycle I wouldn't taken this personally

and I've I've told you guys why this looks like eagle distant

lows to me this did not look like a sweep so I would have

stayed out of this trade so I'm currently zero zero on trades

right now but now when does the market give us another

opportunity right well did it give us the ability to scale in

right here I would have waited for it to come back down to

this demand no we did not get a scale in opportunity now we

come up we swept right 15 minute highs AMD cycle no swept

15 minute highs AMD Kind of but it's not the best one, right? I

do see the sweep of these highs and then the break of structure

of these lows but there's no fractals associated with it.

Remember the more probable moves are going to have

fractals on, right? So that's why I consider this SP one, SP

two, SP three. How do we know not to start shorting when, you

know, price broke this then came back up to here and start

shorting it. Well, when price came up to sweep these highs

right here, right? That means we have to Take out these lows.

When price came out and swept these highs here, that means we

have to come and take out these lows, which we never did, until

over here, right? Well, we then took out these highs, these

highs were taken out by these lows. Once these lows got taken

out, right, and considering all the confluence in our favor,

right? So we have the AMD cycle, we also have, the high

time frame bias, which is short, so shorts are in our

favor, we also have previous day lows that taken out this

four-hour extreme with an imbalance that came into play

that tells that price can start shorting down, right? We had

three swipes to the high price cycle inducement to kind of

confirm all this as well. There was just a lot of good

confluence in this trade to tell me that this was going to

short. This, was this a high probability trade? No, it

wasn't. I'm going to tell you why it wasn't because the

15-minute structure points again are not algo structure.

The probability of this trade is lower than these shorts

right here. Notice this one higher probability trade per

say this was a clear sweep if this was a clear sweep this

would be a high probability trade we swept previous day

lows AKA external liquidity which is generally going to be

a more so high probability trade than anything we're also

playing the algo structure is this up here also playing the

algo structure it absolutely is this OB this imbalance is

related to this previous day low right so because these two

have a relation then that means this is going to have some

probability to it. Now, this has no relation to any sort of

algo structure given on the chart. Why? Cuz we're strictly

playing the breaks of these 15-minute highs. We're

forgetting about all the selling pressure coming in here

that's related to the algo structure that's actually

going to take majority of control. Probably wondering

now. Why did I buy right here? Right? Numerous, numerous

reasons, right? I was expecting the buying to occur here no

matter what. Two, I'm also expecting for fundamental

reasons for gold to go up in the long term, right? I figured

that this was going to be my my main buy position. It was just

going to ride all the way up. I thought this was just going to

be a hedge sell but no, we still came in to this OB here,

right? We came and mitigated that imbalance, right? This

inside still had nice price cycle inducement coming within,

right? I would have played this. It's still a valid trade.

Even though it's not highly probable because of this, it's

still a valid trade. So, we come back to this one over

here, is it highly probable? Probably, the most probable

trade that we have gone over today is this one, I would say

this one if it's swept. These two would be the only high

probable trades. This one and this one are a little bit less

probable because we're not playing that algo structure,

right? But the still valid. People certainly understand

that there's still validity to this, right? It all is based on

that same sweep, change of character, mitigation, right?

Sweep, change of character, mitigation. It's the same thing

happening over and over and then this thing just ****

rocketed. Now, GU was really, really confusing today and

there were quite a bit of SLs on GU. Right? If we come in

here, do a quick little analysis of GU because a to

meet with somebody in like 10 minutes here.

We can see that the momentum is up in terms of the high time

frame top into the four hour alright bring this out we can

see at first we've already slept previous day highs right

here this is why I have my session breaks on so I can

recognize that quicker, right? We're now sweeping highs of the

day.

Sweeping highs of the day and that is what caused that push

down right here.

Hopefully me just doing these types of analysis for you

really help you I assume they didn't I I think I drew this

one out on the trade ideas I figured GU was going to short

here yeah right I knew this thing was going to come up into

any of this area after being here come up and short which is

why you know I had that all drawn out right here it came

all the way up and now it came back down and shorted as I

expected

we had this and then all of this was imbalance first thing

first what's more probable the imbalance or the OB the OB no

question about the OB is the extreme the imbalance is always

going to be a little bit less probable so understand that

positions you take in here you should risk less whereas

positions in here you should risk more right that's all the

algo structure I just want to play the algo structure right

now so let's go ahead and take a look first things first what

did price come and take out what validated all this price

came and took out internal liquidity and lows the day 90%

continuations 5050% chance right here so as soon as we

induce this I knew once we induce this we were going to

reverse back into here and then start shorting back off again

until taking out these lows to reverse back up right so let's

get into it first position that I saw today coming into GE

right here is eight o'clock right as Saw this sweep and we

came and swept down here, right? This low was taken out

by this high, not a bad trade at all. Take it. This is not a

bad trade. Right? Unfortunately, we got trapped

out but this was a good trade on GU today. Was it high

probability? No, it was orange. Right? But it was still a valid

good trait. Come back down into it right here we take out these

lows then we change character here again I would have waited

again for the mitigation of this price never came back down

to mitigate so unfortunate one SL on GU today like I said

today was really whack anyways let's come back into here we're

now coming into the imbalance right I accidentally clicked

that. Sweet, no change of character. Sweet, we have a

change of character. But no imbalance right the only

imbalance that there would be be these highs can you take it

yes it's valid most definitely is valid but the imbalance is

always a little bit more risky so that would be an SL today

was really really bad for GU anyways sweet no change of

character that was really messy

No change of character. Sweet. Change of character. I thought

this was another beautiful trade. Look what happened. SL.

We are now at three SLs in a row. Do we freak out? No. Don't

freak out. This type of things will happen as you can see. We

are following the rules. We're doing the same thing we always

do. This is the first day I've seen in a really long time

where I've seen just consecutive SLs just stack.

Right? We're doing nothing different. We're trading the

same setups, right? We just cannot get upset about these

types of losses. I didn't take this trade down here. I took

this one and I took this one. Both were SLs today. Am I still

profitable in the day? Yeah. I traded gold. So I made a ****

load of money because of that, right? So I didn't have to

worry about these SLs on GU. Did it mess with my psychology

a bit though? Absolutely. When you take three or even just two

Ls in a row like that, it can really hinder your psychology

make you not want to trade anymore. Right? Anyways, did

this eventually confirm? Here's that last sweep. Here's that

last change of character here. We know we can what? React

anywhere in here. I saw people getting this in here. I was

waiting for the extreme. Right? I was hoping that this high

right here was going to be inducement into this area here

and I never got tapped. Price never came in but I saw a lot

of people getting these. Now, if you want to be more

aggressive than me, you can use the Fibonacci. Here's a new

refinement you can use. Once we have the suite, once we have

the change of character, go high to low or this would be

low to high right? And what do we do? You just have to wait

for price to retrace back into the 38. 2 level to even start

taking the position. So, you could have started taking

positions here. Just know that your stop loss is still placed

up here. This probably would have only been a one to three,

one. 1. three point five, one to three point five, right? So,

not crazy R but you're still on the right side of the market

directionally. Yeah, I saw someone take this trade right

over here. Good job. I think it was Playboy Charities.

Congratulations. That was hype and then it came and hit its

target, right? Now, did we have confirmation to flip back up

after this? Yeah, we had to sweep, change of character, we

never came back down to mitigate, unfortunate, right?

Can we take sales in any of this area here? No, price

already extended into here. We need to sweep these highs if we

were going to think about even selling again, right? So now,

we have this in this is our range until we can start

looking to do anything else with price. As you can see, I

practically got nothing on GU during New York. If anything, I

just took loss. Am I going to go chase everything else in

here? No, I accept it. I have to. All all that's going to

happen if I keep trying to chase and make back this money

that I lost. I'm just going to lose more in all this ****

nonsense. You do not want to get lost in it. If you get lost

in all this, that's on you, right? You really have to keep

a good psychology. We know this was a good trade. As long as

you know you're trading a good setup, there's no reason to be

upset. If you traded a bad setup and lost. Yeah, pinch

yourself a bit. You shouldn't be, right? Only take good

steps. Even this setup right here, I wouldn't be upset with

anybody taking because it's still valid. Right? I still

like the validity in this trade right here. You still had came

into this MS had to sweep change of character, right? We

came in to the only place that we know that has imbalance in

it. So, 1. 5 S, I mean, it would have been a fantastic

trade if it worked out. But we just have to know that it was

valid, it was valid, and we also have to remember, again,

probabilities, right? Where was our highest probability trait?

It was actually the one I took an SL on here. Right? We came

into the actual movie. We had that sweep. We had that change

of character. I made a really nice demand stack. Right? There

was nothing wrong with this. At all. There was nothing wrong

with it. Right? Really quick reaction. Came back coming. It

just blew through it. Trap people out and that's going to

happen. Right? Take a quick look at EU.

Looks like what we came and took out daily highs right here

I can almost guarantee

If we come look at these daily highs up here, we probably have

some sort. Of change of character.

They're actually right here. Believe it or not. So, this

gets swept right here. I didn't really talk about this

refinement much but whenever we have this three-bar move,

right? We can take this as the sweet change of character. And

then this extreme be the mitigation but I know a lot of

us aren't going to be or a lot of you aren't going to be

playing that more so a lot of you are going to be playing

this is the sweep this is the change of character right and

then perhaps from there you can take This is order flow. This

left an imbalance so it still remains to be valid and it's

within the A and D cycle. So if you were to play it safe, this

sweep, this change of character, you more so would

have gone this move here. And you're probably wondering what

about the proximity? The proximity doesn't matter when

price leaves an imbalance like so in the AMD cycle. Also, if

there is an inside range,

This is just the refinement of that inside range. You want to

take that whole range, you could've, right? And it would

have been more so like this. Alright, whatever you're more

comfortable doing. Then we would have traded all this all

the way back down to here, right? Now, this is the trade I

told people to stay out of. Why? We did have a nice sweep

change character here. First of all, is this a highly probable

AMD cycle? No, we didn't have a red fractal on the top. So,

it's not a highly probable AMD cycle. Second, what was the

next thing wrong with it, right? Well, we sweep previous

day lows. We swept previous day internal liquidity and we came

into that imbalance here. The problem with it was is that we

saw this entire liquidity buildup happen right above it.

Whenever price builds up liquidity post AMD cycle, it is

going to **** you. One 100 times over. It's going to

happen a million times. We come all the way down here. Do we

have any sort of AMD cycle?

Sweep. Sweep. Sweep. Sweep. Change of character. Here we

finally have it. Where were you taken? Probably this right

here. Right? Looks like it didn't get tapped here but is

there an imbalance right in there? Coulda had it all the

way up to here where that imbalance finally stops. Yes,

you could have gotten some longs here. This would have

been a good position. You most likely would have started to go

break even after the after these highs got taken. Once you

gone break even. It's up to you as to whether or not you

want to take partials. I probably wouldn't have. I

probably would have hit the majority of my position all

break even here. New York had the **** day for EU and GU. As

you can see, EU had nothing. EU had nothing, nothing in a BE.

All in New York. And in London was just **** having a party.

Anyways, let's come back to GU, right? So if you're trading

EUGU today, EU woulda had one break even. Gu woulda had three

SLs. So already right away we already know EU and GU are ****

dead. Right? Now you could have gotten like I said these cells

right here if you want to be a little bit more risky but again

if you're playing the highest probable extremes you know you

woulda hit three SLs. Come over to gold. Even with all that

**** to have on EU and GU. Gold still would have recovered you.

Even after taking this loss in this loss here. Right? So,

today was a really, really rough New York session. So, if

anyone had a really bad day today, please understand that

like this today of days like these really **** suck. Um

another thing to note and I did talk about this briefly in the

VIP chat. Whenever Powell is speaking, not during but more

so before and after he is speaking, the market will

always move differently, right? It will not respect the same

technical analysis it always usually does. Now, during times

NFPs, CPI, the market actually moves better. I I don't really

know the reasoning behind it just through constant

experience and back testing. It's just what I've seen. It's

just very very bad to be trading while Powell is even

speaking that day. Cuz then **** with EUGU happens. Right?

Why do I like Asia so much? A lot of people have been asking

me. There's no news. So it's just pure price action. Right?

There's nothing affecting my analysis. So I I today's

breakdown was at least a little bit helpful and gave you guys a

little bit more of a vote of confidence. Um as you can see,

gold really was the best thing to be trading today. EU and GU

are just an absolute slap on the wrist. I mean, there's not

much we can really do to avoid situations like that but all I

can say is keep taking the same setups over and over. Just be

patient. Don't force trades for is the more you're going to the

more you force trades you have like any type of psychological

issue you're enduring right now is most likely the reason why

you're not profitable if you're not profitable or can't pass a

challenge right I feel like most of you understand

everything conceptually which is great but anyone can really

understand these concepts. It's really not rocket science. The

hardest part again is really just that psychological aspect

of things and you know over time and just with experience

of forward testing all this it does become a lot easier. I

will say as you do build up more capital and you gain more

money, trading gets 10 times easier because you're not

worried about making money in the market. You're just worried

about getting one good position. All I worry about in

one month's time is hitting one one to three and I'm set for

the month, right? So, I that's why I don't stress about like

certain positions or if I don't take the position like I simply

just wait and I wait and I always say it on my Instagram

story just sit on your sit on your hands like it's the it's

the biggest super power you can have is sitting on your hands

and just looking and watch like I don't know what you well do

whatever you have to do to take up the time on the charts like

I mean don't stay focused and look at the charts 100%, but I

don't know keep do something else to you know maybe not make

you trade or something because I see a lot of people taking

unnecessary positions. Things that are like in here like oh

are these continuations right here? Like yeah but they're not

good. It's not a highly probable trade. You can take

trades all in these breaks the structures and try and continue

with them. But you're forcing that, right? If you just wait,

notice where I'm taking positions are mainly at the

extremes of price, right? And as you can see, this was not

really at the extreme. I guess that's the reason why it didn't

work out so well, right? They also we went over this but it

didn't work out so well because these are 15-minute structure

breaks, not huge algorithm structure breaks, right? Now,

say this was a one-hour structure break of orange or or

gray. One hundred percent I would've loaded up a lot more

on this position, right? I'm telling you guys, if you

haven't watched through all the videos from the beginning to

the end, please do because I really do, you know, I've I've

did it purposely to where I'm constantly adding in, you know,

newer and more complex refinements as we go. There

there are more things I have to show you guys in terms of

refinements especially when it comes to the seconds time frame

and I will get to it but what I notice happens is when I

introduce something new, people stop studying the basics and

foundations such as like injections which I actually

still do use. Um But they are all important. I promise you,

everything that I show you has importance, right? And I really

try and make it as clear as I possibly can. But other than

that yeah it was pretty much a breakdown of pretty much

everything today. Um again this is just a really **** **** day

happens. I knew this was going to short here. It just didn't

give a good quality setup unfortunately. So anyways have

a good rest of your day. I'll see you guys in Asia so in the

next like 4 hours.