Original subtitles

researching and researching more and bringing more value

this for the moment but yeah guys this is it for now I hope

don't get manipulated don't be don't be a market noob and just

you've enjoyed the lesson so far maybe now NFP is clearer

technicals could be an inducement so it goes back up.

to Where we're going long term? Are we going up? Are we going

during Monday and Tuesday. So just to clear up on that plan.

knowledge for it never ends. I'm always going to be

information and the data you might expect a shallow

Are we in New York session? Are we in the New York London

retracement so that's what you got to try and get into or if

don't know, let's just hit, you know, some random point on the

I said we've got Friday here end of week end of week right

going down, down, down, down, down, you can expect Monday and

chart that usually you can't explain. Just and that's mainly

trying to guess how far away the manipulation will occur is

technicals. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, whatever.

put a stop loss somewhere comfortable so maybe at the

definitely help. So my personal opinion forget trying to trade

always occurs especially when the numbers are huge as well

up, you can try to enter the market as a market execution,

Are you do you really want to risk and enter that point of

experience and just understand the effect of the data release

these are the three main times that we want to be looking at

that's what we're always doing. We're linking fundamentals to

whether it be whatever type of point of interest or whatever

enter straight away because that's the worst thing you can

down? How has NFP helped with that? Then when it gets to the

of NF they might take okay we've broken above this high so

you can get into wherever price goes let's just say this is now

goes back up triggers people in who don't understand the impact

this on over here let's say for example we're in a downtrend

now down trending you might not actually see any pullbacks like

gets to Friday for example and then that's when you see

Tuesday, think back to our technical section because

how much it moves and then eventually when everything

even until the next week and that's exactly what we've been

want Euro USD to go down right so what do you want to do the

hand side over here showing the numbers that come out and some

Now let's just say for example that we can see USD

is Monday or a Tuesday where in the beginning of the week we

to be getting into. So yeah guys I hope you've enjoyed

Blah, blah, blah. Monday and Tuesday, you can expect some

and content to you guys. So this is the section I'm

see what happened in the market as well in the charts,

on the lower time frames. When you get to a point of interest

And goes down and that's exactly what you what you want

NFP you don't trade. You find directional bias. So you've got

not even hit a clean point of interest, it might just, I

NFP if you have not done so in the past I have minimal

do especially on a big news event like this so yeah guys

entry the next week is always more safe and reliable so like

for you you can actually understand how to trade it yeah

movement is so what you could try to do is enter market sell

kind of retracement. Now, depending on how strong the

crossover? Or are we in London open? These are the three oops

you've got a very clean point of interest set your limit

see the break of structure. Enter like how I teach with the

so that means, so it might be hard to get into a limit,

going to be adding it into. It's going to be advanced

these lessons. I'm going to keep adding to these advanced

happens at the time is you're going to as soon as the news is

there, then you've got the new week. If you're seeing price

fundamental sections. As you know fundamentals never the

and how this can aid our directional bias finding an

next week, end of week, Monday and Tuesday, You can look down

there actually see Wait and see does timing link up as well.

well. Obviously, look back, look back onto each NFP day,

that. Now the third step, once you see the manipulation clear

fundamentals are for the EU sales at the moment because

due to the volatility at the time. Um what you could do is

and how to trade it. I even had a document of every single

same guy you can see you can always look back as well see

into that soon so during NFP like I said you've got this

times price would severely increase when the numbers were

seeing in seeing during July and and the August time as

because, because of how much it's moving, you might

interest at that time? I would heavily heavily advise against

it most likely will come to take you back out because of

hard to do unless we have many confirmations. But even then I

month just explaining what NFP number came out, what was the

there then we're returning let's just say for example this

break even so what this may mean is I'm just going to draw

this trade you're set for for the week ahead pretty much and

see what's happened. This is something that I always observe

thinking of entering so NFP is released at 1 thirty. But price

gets to your point of interest let's just say at one twenty

so we're expecting USD to rise so first of all the what what

estimate, the whisper number, and then actual effect of it on

then this will most likely keep on going and going and going

if price action has cleared up a bit and you see that we're

misunderstand the points of interest, it might, it might

for Friday now what what can you expect is of course you

what the NFP means and the impact it has on on the charts

position yourself into your trade in the days before so you

wrong all it is is manipulation you just need to understand

now we can go for dollar for EU buys and this is completely

what people expect and so okay boom let's sell and then it

ideal situation is if possible try to get in any of the trades

of course USD pairs at the time because we're looking at NFP

and we're in a downtrend at the moment or the block filled

always got to look at it something relative of what the

whether it be to the downside or to upside. So this fake move

released you know you might get massive move down and that's

would advise against entering straight away. So if you're

can try to be risk free obviously this days before

essentially now like I said here if you're trading NFP it's

you can do about this to actually get into any trades is

safe wait for the fake out manipulative move which almost

clears up boom we start dropping properly what usually

there might be massive wicks and massive movements that

can't take you out but this is what you'd expect to happen it

might not always hit the cleanest point of interest. So

mentals might make a third section or just keep adding to

Tuesday it breaks down retraces goes down then now you're in

previous highway you can expect price to not go back up to and

good numbers for NFP of course this is backed from previous

massive manipulations and if you close enough to your entry

for this is EU we're expecting USD to rise that means EU drops

need to take partials and go to break even for sure because

that's what we're looking at. Usd just rose because of the

know by Friday we want we're expecting very good numbers we

well at the same time. There's many weeks where I would simply

you normally would because of how impactful the the price

numbers as well that might come out you know what the Fed has

when the numbers released. Yeah I'm going to be getting more

quite a few hours. I believe it's a five hour stream. So if

what it looks like oops here for example it says NFP rose

there's a lot of manipulation at the time perhaps

943K that month so there will be a live report on the left

was almost a million jobs added now this might seem crazy where

way way above 100000 that's something positive but you've

terms of the website I use the FX3 live NFP report so this

markets at the time. So the biggest movers of the market is

they were substantially smaller than what they expected. With

consolidation for the maybe the next few days and then in other

I believe before when I was learning everything about NFP

markets but I wouldn't even enter. So trade in on the

stream they do NFP live stream here from FX Street so he's the

NFP you really can't be trade in straight away especially

just watch watch the news. Watch what was going on with

commentary at the same time and then in of the live stream live

for for the US but in particular what moves a lot

this live stream and then understand the effect on the

previous NFP numbers and actually go on the charts and

substantially bigger than what they were expected or perhaps

terminal not many of you might have access to that but in

times. However, what I'd always recommend is to look at the

the markets and what happened. Usually what I'd always see is

said what's their stance on tapering everything like that

actually check this out. Um it's perfect for studying as

weeks before whenever it may be take some partials and set to

that day is gold. Which is XAU USD on charts.

fundamentally is getting stronger and we expect some

you think oh because we had that massive increase and it's

second website that I look at obviously the Bloomberg

general just base number that you can use during normal

you've got time and you're not working on a Friday or anything

economy is doing at the moment so this 100 thousand is a

what's going on across the world than the macroeconomics.

outcome of both of both the situations And it lasts for

believe over 10 years. He's done almost every single month

it's going. And then in terms of the websites I've got the

what he actually predicts a few minutes before and then the

was more money circulating in the economy therefore

rise substantially I believe in the in the most recent one it

on. Um even explains fundamentals and where he sees

Street live NFP report they have like an instant feed

businesses are thriving that's when we started seeing the NFP

numbers and the numbers that come out. So you see here it's

FX three NFP live stream. Um there's always this one guy

just wanted to explain a bit more about the predicted

as a stream. And he just goes through everything that's going

and a live stream. So the live stream that I always use is the

to the NFP? During NFP I will usually have up two websites

explaining what goes on and everything like that before I

coming through and there's always analysts that are

you can expect DXI DXY to drop. However you've got to consider

as the economy started opening up we had the QE program there

lost jobs. Therefore unemployment rose and NFP every

it's quite well known above 100000 is something positive.

News websites too. So now what happens when you actually get

single month you can expect a severe drop right? But as soon

believe it can also be accessed online through a bunch of FX

actually find out the whisper number online. Uh personally I

actually move on to you know the websites and everything I

general fundamentals of where I see USD going. Then you can

checklist of things to do. First of all is understand the

So for example at the moment a lot of us in the past year have

you don't have access to Bloomberg Terminal it's FX

that you know he's been doing it for many many years now. I

Personally I'm always going to advise especially newcomers to

So preparing for NFP usually to prepare for NFP I have a

Bloomberg terminal live feed and then another great one if

has and where we can see the directional bias heading.

Anything less than that it it's been a very poor NFP therefore

find this through my Bloomberg terminal that I have. Uh but I

the course and new students that are mentoring right now

don't actually trade NFP but understand the implication it

I'll never advise you to do. Obviously we're here for the

especially if you do not risk stick to risk management which

manipulation that occurs you'll be in for a very nice return.

stable market, a number above a hundred thousand new jobs added

their economy. Therefore, more investors want to invest with

determined factors and data released previously now the

Now remember, if you choose to trade this news event, you are

So the thing is this can either make or break accounts so if

US dollar and therefore that strengthens. Usually in a

economy grows when NFP numbers are positive so USD or DXY will

exposing yourself to very high amounts of risk because if you

standard direction and can trade past the massive

long run and not just a short term fix.

adaptive and consider world events and the expected number.

in that month is something positive. But we must always be

strengthen as you can expect this has a roll on effect on

will always estimate the data beforehand based on other

You know, it has a role and effect on every other part of

got a positive or negative figure figure now economists

hoping to get better data releases for them. Then the

consumers and the residents in in the US they were highlighted

Latin American sector, the white Americans, African

every month. Now of course this is UK time so obviously convert

actually consist of? So the first part is a new amount of

last bit is a manufacturing payroll sub component. So

when the Fed have talked they've actually highlighted

was the American part of the economy part of all the

so you can you know if there's because sometimes especially

analyzing the data is very simple pretty much it's have we

the fact that certain sectors in the economy and I believe it

to not be very great in employment numbers so they were

jobs added then you've got unemployment rate. The

American, you got different types of ages genders as well

each sector of the United States. You know you've got the

it to where to wherever you are. So what does the report

employment sectors so it actually breaks it down into

causes some of the biggest price moves in a month. It's so

that you'd like. So NFP. The non-farm payroll report is a

they can make therefore the more spending that going to

So this report is released at 130 on the first Friday of

You know the more people that are employed the more money

influential because it accounts for 80% of the GDP workforce.

happen and then of course that's economic stimulation

key economic indicator for the United States representing a

total number of jobs added in that month. It consistently

you know a really good understanding on how the

economy is growing and how it serves its its people in a way.

NFP is one of the or the employment figures are one of

we're going to be looking at NFP unemployment. So moving on

the biggest economic drivers especially because it gives a

from what we saw last time we obviously realise that you know

Yes hello guys and welcome to the next video. So in this one

take care and I'll see you in the next section.