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Zulu
The command of the Russian troops is aware that just as on the right bank of the Kherson region,
in the Svatove region they will have to make a "difficult" decision in the near
future. After all, the situation that emerges there has no clear contours,
but it is very tangible as an operational encirclement.
Therefore, we are now witnessing the build-up of Russian troops in the Svatovsk direction,
which must reinforce the area if it is to be held.
But it is already clear that it will not be possible to hold it.
For example, the occupants deployed a fairly fresh and very combat-ready
Battalion tactical group from the 1st Tank Army near Starobilsk. A fresh resource,
which is now a rarity in the occupier's forces. And it also has a complete set of equipment.
That is, the command of the Russian troops, aware of its losing position,
still saturates the location, so that then all the same to withdraw and escape... Or they are
preparing ways for a safer and more comfortable withdrawal of forces and assets to Starobilsk.
In my opinion, if the Ukrainian armed forces break through the Russian defenses near Svatovo,
the occupiers will not be able to hold off the counterattack by the AFU all the way to the
outskirts of Starobelsk. It will be another, rapid cascading collapse of their defenses.
In this regard, the deployment of very fresh and quite combat-ready resources of the Russian
forces near Starobelsk suggests that their command has begun to form the conditions for a decision.
Similarly, the story of the liberation of Kherson began in the same way.
However, the fighting is not over and new round of mobilization in Russia is expected.
And right now partially mobilized, at the firing ranges morally encouraged by the fact that they
will drive through Ukraine on modern tanks T-14 "Armata"... It increases morale and motivates a
horde of recruits in rags and rubber boots with outdated weapons on their shoulders.
But they won't see any "Armata" in Ukraine... T-62 tank, D-1 howitzer, Mosin rifle and helmet worn
by their ancestors - this is what is waiting for the vast majority of Russian recruits.
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