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Russian troops have definitively lost
their offensive and occupation potential,
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and in their current technical state Russia will
not be able to conduct large-scale offensive,
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invasive operations. The aggressor country
has not only exhausted its initial potential,
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but is also in a stage of irrevocable degradation.
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A couple of examples to back up my words.
Although there are actually many more examples.
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The first example is the battles near
Bakhmut, Avdeevka, and attempts to attack
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Ugledar and Belogorovka. Someone may argue
that this is an offensive and nothing else,
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to which I will ask in response -
what was the result of this offensive?
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Near Ugledar, in the area of little Pavlovka, the
Russians lost five battalion tactical groups...
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And nothing has changed... Bakhmut
and Avdeevka have been under enemy
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pressure for almost 5 months and, what
was the result? Were they able to occupy?
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Meanwhile, during this time,
what happened in the war zone?
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Ukrainian forces were de-occupied more
than 8,500 square kilometers of Kharkiv.
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More than a thousand square kilometers
of Kherson region on the left bank and
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in the near future another 6 thousand square
kilometers of the right bank will be released.
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That is, the AFU liberated and will soon
free more than 15 thousand square kilometers,
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while the Russians for five months are
fighting about Bahmut and reflexing on
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Avdeevka.... And this is
only 70 square kilometers.
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The second example is
artillery. Without artillery,
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the enemy can neither advance nor defend.
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During the full-scale invasion of Ukraine,
Russia had between 15 and 20 million shells
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in its warehouses. It was by June that the
near-shore supply depots in the Belgorod,
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Kursk, Rostov, and Voronezh regions
had exhausted themselves. And how the
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snowball accumulates a munitions
crisis in the Russian army.
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According to various estimates, Russians have
from 7 to 10 million rounds of ammunition in
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the depots themselves, 50% of which are
unusable due to unsatisfactory storage
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conditions and the usable part is in the depots
and storage centers with enormous delivery times.
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Yes, Russia is now supported by Belarus, Iran, and
North Korea, but this support will not solve the
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problems of Russian troops in the war zone. This
support will only prolong Russia's convulsions.
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The occupation troops have only hope for the AFU.
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Hope that the AFU will stop
convulsions of the Russian army.
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