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Russian troops have definitively lost their offensive and occupation potential,
and in their current technical state Russia will not be able to conduct large-scale offensive,
invasive operations. The aggressor country has not only exhausted its initial potential,
but is also in a stage of irrevocable degradation.
A couple of examples to back up my words. Although there are actually many more examples.
The first example is the battles near Bakhmut, Avdeevka, and attempts to attack
Ugledar and Belogorovka. Someone may argue that this is an offensive and nothing else,
to which I will ask in response - what was the result of this offensive?
Near Ugledar, in the area of little Pavlovka, the Russians lost five battalion tactical groups...
And nothing has changed... Bakhmut and Avdeevka have been under enemy
pressure for almost 5 months and, what was the result? Were they able to occupy?
Meanwhile, during this time, what happened in the war zone?
Ukrainian forces were de-occupied more than 8,500 square kilometers of Kharkiv.
More than a thousand square kilometers of Kherson region on the left bank and
in the near future another 6 thousand square kilometers of the right bank will be released.
That is, the AFU liberated and will soon free more than 15 thousand square kilometers,
while the Russians for five months are fighting about Bahmut and reflexing on
Avdeevka.... And this is only 70 square kilometers.
The second example is artillery. Without artillery,
the enemy can neither advance nor defend.
During the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia had between 15 and 20 million shells
in its warehouses. It was by June that the near-shore supply depots in the Belgorod,
Kursk, Rostov, and Voronezh regions had exhausted themselves. And how the
snowball accumulates a munitions crisis in the Russian army.
According to various estimates, Russians have from 7 to 10 million rounds of ammunition in
the depots themselves, 50% of which are unusable due to unsatisfactory storage
conditions and the usable part is in the depots and storage centers with enormous delivery times.
Yes, Russia is now supported by Belarus, Iran, and North Korea, but this support will not solve the
problems of Russian troops in the war zone. This support will only prolong Russia's convulsions.
The occupation troops have only hope for the AFU.
Hope that the AFU will stop convulsions of the Russian army.
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