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Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu and the commander of occupation troops in Ukraine
Sergey Surovikin announced yesterday that the withdrawal of the Russian group of troops
from the city of Kherson begins. Obviously, the Russian aggressors have no credibility,
but I would remind you that it is not Ukraine that adjusts to
their statements - it is their statements that are a reaction to Ukraine's actions.
And these actions are very simple and clear. The AFU continues to implement
its operation to liberate the entire Kherson region and Kherson in particular.
This operation is successful, and whatever intrigues and cunning games the enemy may
try to play, it is only a matter of time before the city is liberated.
Liberating Kherson is very important. But rightly the questions arise:
what will this change on the front and what should Ukrainians be prepared for?
The first is the release of Russian troops. These are not just troops, but cadre and professional
units. I am talking about units of the Marines and paratroopers. This is about 10,000 soldiers,
maybe more. Russia will receive not thousands of inexperienced and unmotivated recruits, but
thousands of men hardened in months-long battles in the steppes of Kherson. This force cannot be
ignored. They will probably be transferred to the Zaporizhzhya direction and to the eastern front.
The good news here is that Ukrainian units are also being released.
Yes, no doubt some forces will remain in Kherson and along the river bank. Plus the rear units,
but the remaining brigades and battalions will be able to be redeployed to both the eastern and
northern borders of Ukraine. In addition, no one has ruled out the threat from the army of Belarus.
The second is that the occupiers will start shelling Kherson on a regular basis. The city
will in fact become a front-line city. The enemy will be able to hit it not only with artillery,
but even with mortars. This is all a great danger to the
civilian population and constant anxiety and risks for the Ukrainian defenders.
Third, the Russian Armed Forces will get experienced soldiers or future junior
commanders. It is no secret that the Russians are as bad as possible with junior commanders:
they simply do not exist. There is no one who can train hundreds of thousands of mobilized soldiers,
and no one who can be put in charge of squads, platoons, and companies.
Those cadres of the Russian military who have been fighting on the Kherson steppes for long
months have experience and an understanding of how the AFU fights. They can already be appointed as
squad leaders or, after an accelerated officer course, as platoon and company commanders.
Yes, the quality of such commanders will be worse than that of Ukrainians who take command
courses in the West. Nor should we forget the Russian Armed Forces' lack of motivation
and flexibility. But all the same, even such a half-measure can strengthen the occupation forces.
One way or another, the liberation of Kherson will be an important event in this war,
a great victory for the AFU and another disgrace for the Russian Armed Forces.
But we should still keep in mind the factors described above. Informed means armed!
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