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The war may end by the summer of 2023, but in the meantime the situation is not
changing so actively. Kirill Budanov, the head of Ukrainian intelligence, made this prediction:
"Gradually we will move forward, they will lose occupied territories. Somewhere they
will continue to strike with their Iranian Shahid drones and a smaller
number of missiles, because Russia does not have so many of them left."
In his opinion, the fighting will subside a bit in the winter because of the weather:
"It makes sense, too, because there will be physical and geographic problems in the winter,
as they say. We are still waiting for such a winter, more or less warm, so the ground will
be viscous, and in principle already now wheeled vehicles on the battlefield almost don't work,
only tracked ones. It will only become more complicated with the beginning of heavy rains.
The rains are somewhat slowing down the advance of the defenders in Luhansk Region,
but the Defense Forces continue to advance.
Ukrainians will soon receive good news from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
At the moment the enemy is gradually leaving the right bank of the Dnieper
and trying to concentrate forces on the left bank. This is not as active as the
counteroffensive in the Liman direction, but the enemies are retreating every day.
The other day the British Defense Ministry published intelligence indicating that the
Russian command is seriously considering a plan for a large-scale withdrawal of troops from the
Kherson region. The enemy's main problem is the lack of full-fledged crossings over the Dnieper
River, which were destroyed as a result of strikes by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to push back the front line in the Kherson
direction. At the same time, the enemy is entrenched in defensive lines on the
left bank of the Dnieper, where it is trying to concentrate its forces.
The Russian army continues to evacuate from the right bank of the Dnieper,
but this is not happening as quickly as they would like, as the bridges over the river are destroyed.
The enemy wants to retreat faster, but there are no bridges. Consequently, it can be said that
the Russian military is leaving the right bank, concentrating on the defense of the left bank.
They only use alternative crossings and cannot use full-fledged bridges.
The Russian military continues informational blackmail, spreading
rumors that the AFU is allegedly planning to hit Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant.
In fact, the occupiers themselves mined the critically important facility, firing all
personnel before doing so. How this situation will end, I suppose we will know very soon.
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