All language subtitles for 01 - Visualize what covariance means

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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,004 --> 00:00:01,007 - [Instructor] When you analyze data, 2 00:00:01,007 --> 00:00:04,004 it is often important to see how two sets of values 3 00:00:04,004 --> 00:00:07,000 vary in relation to one another. 4 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:08,000 One way to do that 5 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,008 is to calculate the covariance of the data sets. 6 00:00:11,008 --> 00:00:14,007 The covariance formula looks a little intimidating, 7 00:00:14,007 --> 00:00:18,000 but I'll break it down for you step by step. 8 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,000 If you have two sets of values and columns, 9 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,002 you can find the average of each column. 10 00:00:22,002 --> 00:00:25,008 And the average is indicated by a bar 11 00:00:25,008 --> 00:00:27,006 above the variable name. 12 00:00:27,006 --> 00:00:28,007 So you see X bar, 13 00:00:28,007 --> 00:00:31,004 which is the average of all the X values, column one. 14 00:00:31,004 --> 00:00:35,004 And Y bar is the average or mean of all of the Y values. 15 00:00:35,004 --> 00:00:38,002 That would be your second column. 16 00:00:38,002 --> 00:00:40,006 Then, to average the covariance of a pair of values, 17 00:00:40,006 --> 00:00:42,009 you subtract the mean of column one 18 00:00:42,009 --> 00:00:44,008 from the first value in column one, 19 00:00:44,008 --> 00:00:46,008 and subtract the mean of column two 20 00:00:46,008 --> 00:00:48,009 from the first value of column two, 21 00:00:48,009 --> 00:00:51,003 and then multiply those values together 22 00:00:51,003 --> 00:00:54,002 for each pair of data points. 23 00:00:54,002 --> 00:00:56,000 You find the sum of all of those values 24 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:00,001 and then, finally, you divide by the number of data pairs. 25 00:01:00,001 --> 00:01:02,001 So if you have 10 pairs of values, 26 00:01:02,001 --> 00:01:05,003 you would divide that sum by 10. 27 00:01:05,003 --> 00:01:08,003 And the result is given in terms of the original data, 28 00:01:08,003 --> 00:01:11,003 such as dollars, per mile driven, 29 00:01:11,003 --> 00:01:15,002 or perhaps customers versus dollar spent. 30 00:01:15,002 --> 00:01:18,009 The next question is how you interpret covariance values. 31 00:01:18,009 --> 00:01:22,005 If the value is zero, which is rare, but can happen, 32 00:01:22,005 --> 00:01:25,005 the data sets don't vary together at all. 33 00:01:25,005 --> 00:01:27,006 If you have a positive covariance, 34 00:01:27,006 --> 00:01:30,002 the data sets tend to move in the same direction. 35 00:01:30,002 --> 00:01:32,003 So if one value goes up, 36 00:01:32,003 --> 00:01:34,000 such as personal income, 37 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:35,005 then the other value would go up, 38 00:01:35,005 --> 00:01:38,007 such as amount spent at your store. 39 00:01:38,007 --> 00:01:41,001 If the values show a negative covariance, 40 00:01:41,001 --> 00:01:44,006 then they tend to move in opposite directions. 41 00:01:44,006 --> 00:01:46,006 Finally, then, you can ask, 42 00:01:46,006 --> 00:01:48,005 is my covariance significant? 43 00:01:48,005 --> 00:01:49,007 And I have to admit 44 00:01:49,007 --> 00:01:53,001 that this is a difficult question to answer. 45 00:01:53,001 --> 00:01:55,001 In general, values close to zero 46 00:01:55,001 --> 00:01:58,004 do indicate little relationship. 47 00:01:58,004 --> 00:02:00,006 And also, large positive or negative values 48 00:02:00,006 --> 00:02:02,005 can be significant. 49 00:02:02,005 --> 00:02:04,003 So look at the covariance 50 00:02:04,003 --> 00:02:07,002 in relation to the means of each data set. 51 00:02:07,002 --> 00:02:13,001 If you have a positive covariance of 500 and a mean of 100, 52 00:02:13,001 --> 00:02:16,006 then the covariance is five times greater than the mean, 53 00:02:16,006 --> 00:02:18,005 and that might be significant. 54 00:02:18,005 --> 00:02:21,001 But that kind of analysis does come down 55 00:02:21,001 --> 00:02:23,005 to individual interpretation. 56 00:02:23,005 --> 00:02:25,008 In practice, what most analysts do 57 00:02:25,008 --> 00:02:29,001 is convert covariances to correlations. 58 00:02:29,001 --> 00:02:30,007 But before we take that step, 59 00:02:30,007 --> 00:02:32,007 I will show you how to calculate covariance 60 00:02:32,007 --> 00:02:34,000 for different sets of values. 4602

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