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right so now that we've looked at the theory of flip zones as always now it's
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time to actually you know apply those theoretical concepts to see how they
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actually play out in reality because of course we're not always going to get
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those nice perfect utopian examples in the market so
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if we just go back to the the chart layout that we've been using
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uh thus far right as we've been building upon these uh with each concept that
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we've looked at your chart may look something like this right with having
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your structure mapped out and your structural supply and demand zones
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drawn on so of course i'm going to go through every little bit of price action
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and draw on every single zone um but i'm just going to kind of go through
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reasonably briefly and kind of just show you how we can validate some of these
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structural zones even further by looking at potentially if they caused uh an s d
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flip as well so if we just look at this zone here right
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and now and imagine in the live market we were at this point back in
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the start of 2018 and price was approaching um you know making sort of
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new highs up here right weekly chart is clearly in a bullish market all right
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high high high low high high and we would be looking after we had that
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weekly break of structure where potentially the weekly may want to start
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to pull back or of course potentially reverse which is what ended up doing so
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what do we do we look left and we look at potential supply zones right and
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there can be supply all the way up this leg right all the way up to
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you know pretty much this swing high here so how can we increase the
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probability of knowing which one um is likely to hold and have a pullback well
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of course this is kind of the last buy before the cell that actually led to
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that previous break of structure so that's a pretty decent zone it is the
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decision zone but does it actually cause an s d flip well this is where we have
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to look left and start to build the story a little bit okay so if we look at
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this piece of structure down here what do we have we had the by for the cell
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that kind of broke that more minor low okay so we obviously have some weekly
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supply there so if i just refine that kind of whole
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range just to that last pivot candle there
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and then we have some weekly supply so then what happens when price came into
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that supply press pull back it reacted remember the reaction is key it tried to
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make a lower low but then boom right the demand stepped in in order to take out
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that supply so now we have a supply to demand flip right so now what we can do
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is draw on that entire range right from the reaction to the low point of the
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action and then we can draw that across as demands that may be used in a future
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point so then when we drag that across what can we see right price came down
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here had a little bit of a reaction and then
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eventually this pivot here right that blast by before the cell candle is where
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then the supply stepped in to take out that demand and take out the actual
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structural low so that is literally just what those flips are just kind of
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building the story um you can go back as far as you want and let you just see how
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it's just a constant exchange between supply and demand until one is taking
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control right until we then come down lower before the buyers start to
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step back in again i mean moving quickly just down here what did
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we have right we had um the supply down supply zone down here right from that
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pivot candle price comes into it right it's a very
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subtle one but it's a bit more of a small reaction one bearish candle and
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then burn the demand steps in right so at that point the reaction fails but it
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takes a little while before you actually get that change of character up there so
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what does that mean it means that we can then use
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this candle here as a potential flip right and then we do see um you know a
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reaction is a short-lived reaction right we never know how big the reactions are
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going to be whether it will be just a small bounce or you know a bit more of a
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sustained pullback or even a reversal that's obviously why we have to pair it
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with um a hell of a lot of other compliments right market structure
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multi-time free market structure um you know yeah all the concepts that we have
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been looking at so yeah that's pretty much just you know the basic premise of
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it um let's just kind of go to the more
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recent price action and have a look i mean even down here
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right there's just flips going on constantly right so we obviously have
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this uh buy before the cell that takes out this low here and then what happens
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pretty much the next few weeks price point pulls back into it it tries to
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make a lower low it fails to do so first take out the slow and then the demand
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steps in to take out the reaction and it leads to that breaker structure right so
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we get a lot of demand comes in that then starts that new uh bullish trend so
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yeah at some point literally anywhere within this entire range so from the
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reaction point down to this low is a valid flip zone right it's quite a large
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zone obviously we can be aware of it even when price ever reaches back down
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here or you know you can start to refine it to even that kind of last pivot there
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or potentially even the inside bar right so on and so forth or maybe you want to
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do the last fractal refinement so if this is the reaction point and we
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want to look at kind of where that last bit sort of failed um you could be then
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looking at those buy to sell wicks here right should probably be clear on the
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daily or arguably even potentially that last little bit up here but you can see
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you know all of those i've just drawn or valid whether you take the whole range
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you take the little pivot you take the inside bar or you're going to take these
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by to sell wix um obviously the more refined you go
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you may as well kind of use multi time frames to your advantage at
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that point right this is more a skill set you would need if you for whatever
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reason you were locked into one time frame and you couldn't drop down but
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because we do obviously have the benefit of being able to drop down time frames
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um this is when i'm personally just a little bit more looser and i'll just
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take a larger range like that and i'll just be aware that when price comes into
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here then i know i'm within a larger weekly demand zone right a supply to
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demand flip and then i'll drop down the time frames to obviously help refine
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those turning points in the market so yeah obviously that pretty much brings
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us to the current range we're at so let's just dump down a time frame and
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take a look at the daily chart i'll look at some of the more sort of obvious flip
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zones so if we kind of track back again a little
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bit and we look at this uh sort of supply zone here the steady
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supply zone that took out these lows here right so it's kind of
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the origin of that move that came down and then broke those lows um obviously
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mitigated a bit with this wick here so what can we do we can refine it to the
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fractal wick there and then if we drag it across what happened price came up
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into the supply zone it tried to make a lower low right we had that bearish
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pressure come in that's the reaction and then boom the demand stepped in so
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before we already had this demand drawn on right just as the decisional that
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caused the break of structure but it just gives a little bit more weight to
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it now because it actually took out a valid supplies on the right because that
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reaction validates that the supply zone you know is is
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worthy right because it tried to you can see the bearish pressure coming
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in as those sell orders are filled but then demand took that out right so
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that's where we get the supply to demand flip and then this gives us a decent
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reaction to play that daily pullback right
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i mean they just occur pretty much everywhere um
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so let's just start from the top of the
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price action that we've been uh going through so even this one's a
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little bit more advanced it's a little bit tricky to see but just kind of rain
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this in just so we can kind of focus on the actual
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uh price action so if you think back in the live market
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um right as price is moving up and then it
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pulls back and then it comes up here right this inside bar means what it
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means a bit of a range of lower time frame and then price comes out with this
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bullish candle so we have broken a minor high there right so this will have
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created um a very minor demand zone on that daily inside bar so that's what i
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would have drawn on that time right potentially expecting a small reaction
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and as price then comes back down to it potentially price should try to make a
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higher high so price comes into it it reacts right intraday you can see in the
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fractal refinement it tries to make the higher height with those buy to sell
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wicks and then what happens it fails price comes down lower so where you had
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this very minor sort of inside bar demand price comes in it reacts and then
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the supplier comes in to push through and give us that daily change of
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character which is what that four hour um
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four hour uh breaker structure would be to the
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downside right so then you have a potential flip supply zone here um price
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doesn't use it then but remember old supply zones can be used at any
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point in the future so you can just be aware that it's there and then if we
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drag it across right we can see it just missed it here but then eventually price
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tapped into it to then start that next long-term daily reversal back to the
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downside there all right again even when price action's
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not super clear right it's sometimes a little bit messy but there's obviously
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going to be demand of that work on a lower time frame the daily reacts to it
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pushes down comes back in there's your flip and then we go even lower right and
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then we pull back from that flip zone that we looked at earlier
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um yeah just so on and so forth um it just happens all the time right even
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down here right we have minor pullback that inside bar creates supply because
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it takes out that minor low price then pulls back into that supply right inside
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bar it reacts and then it pushes up through
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then that old demand becomes used for later to then initiate this pullback
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here right so on and so forth um yeah i mean i don't want to go through
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every single candle there's obviously a lot more in here that i haven't drawn on
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i don't want this video to go on for hours uh but even you know looking at
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the more recent price action what did we have we had this inside bar here right
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this daily supply it took out this low here price came into it it reacted and
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it pushed up through so that's obviously bringing us to the current life price
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action but this cell before the buy here i would definitely be looking at as a
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future um yeah future demand zone to get a potential pullback or a reversal
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obviously depending on how market structure is if and when price
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uh yeah reaches that level so tell you what let's jump down to the for
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our chart and have a look even more um let's go back to that daily flip zone
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that we were just looking at with the the buy to sell wick so just to give you
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a quick refresh of what i'm referring to was
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this up here right when we got that first um
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actual daily reversal right when we came up into that old daily and weekly supply
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i just zoom in for you guys so we can definitely see it because
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drawings are getting a little bit messy when we have them all drawn on but
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remember we had this inside bar that created the demand to take out that
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minor height so price comes back into it it reacts and then it pushes down right
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so we can see those biter cell wicks is a fractal refinement for what for the
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lower time frames so if we go and look on the four hour chart if i
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just scroll back across to that area what do we have it's going to be a
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little bit clearer right because we can actually see the demand zone so at that
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point when the minor daily high gets taken out what is that on the floor
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chart it's a four hour swing height so it's that four hour swing break of
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structure if we look at the origin of that move right the extreme demand zone
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pretty nice nice and clean four hour demand zone down here so what happens
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price comes down into that full for our demand zone it reacts remember the
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reaction is key it fails to put in its higher height first to do its job then
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supply steps in takes that demand and causes that swing
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breaker structure there which is what that daily change of character so now
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what we have we can obviously take the entire range right like that
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just drag that across or we could refine it to the last bite before the cell
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right because that's completely fresh it's not mitigated and then if we put
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that on right we can then draw that across
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right so this is where we could have um helped us to
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time this move here right that that that daily move back then but remember um you
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know there's a always a lot more orders within here so even if sometimes
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a zone is just tapped on the distal price can still use more orders within
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the zone later on so if we drag that across we can see that then that's where
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that daily reversal then finally kicked in but remember
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if this zone has been tapped into the way can we can refine this for our zone
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to the the part of the orders that are still fresh is kind of what the daily
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refinement then helped us with right because if we then looked at the daily
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buy to cell wicks we could see at that point it didn't quite touch it and
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that's just another way you could kind of then refine that zone but don't worry
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massively about that it's a little bit more kind of you know getting lost in
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the detail here um it's you know it doesn't massively matter at this stage
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if that seems a little bit confusing so i'm just going to delete that just to
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try and keep the charts a little bit um yeah a little bit more clean so let's
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kind of go a bit more over to the more recent price action um
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from kind of where we were started to play around with the four-hour chart in
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the prior lesson so if you remember down here
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right where the price was bearish we got that lower low so we pretty much have
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that entire range or you can refine it to um you know even the wick right that
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four hour wick right because you can see that's where
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the the price actually pull back now this is a point hopefully if i haven't
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made it here already i'll make it clear again of
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you know you're going to see supply demands as everywhere right and we know
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you know it can seem a little bit confusing at first because you may be
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asking yourself you know do i take the entire range do i try and take one
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candle do i do fractal refinements the wick and you know you can draw on
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multiple ones but when you're in the live market
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don't stress about it too much because you use price action to help tell you
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you know what price is reacting to you just wait for it to happen right so at
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this point you know it's likely there's going to be you know i believe this was
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a daily inside bar candle as well you know it's likely there's there's a lot
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of four hour supply within here but we don't always have to know the exact
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candle exact area in which price is going to react because we just wait for
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price to show us away so when you start to see that for our change of character
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you would see in the 15-minute chart of the 15-minute chart starting to switch
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bearish then we can look left and go okay well actually do you know what
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oops didn't mean to go that back far back that far
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well well we've let price action tell us that
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it's that you know that that fractal wick that uh is being rejected and then
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we can kind of refine wherever we've drawn our whole four-hour zone on
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whether you know we had the entire range we can then refine it to that wick um
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because price action has told us that way so don't worry it's not this you
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know i don't have a super nice crystal ball and foresight of me knowing exactly
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which fractal refinement or candle price is always going to react to i will
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usually have multiple drawn on but then as price starts to react and starts to
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to kind of you know confirm what i'm saying then you can start to kind of
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make those refinements with a bit more accuracy right and that is why we use
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confirmations and multi-timeframe market structure to help us do that but
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anyway as we see price start to pull back what should it do right it should
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go on to make a lower low so then when we see price go up right what's happened
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it's taken out the reaction it's led to that four hour breaker structure which
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was the daily change of character so now we know anywhere within this whole buy
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to sell range um is a decent uh supply to demand flip zone right but of course
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what we can do is uh refine that to this candle here
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all right that four hour zone and then obviously price just shoots away so
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we're not going to use it then but it can still be used at a later date right
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it generally will remain valid so then we can use that flip zone right that for
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our zone within this larger daily flip zone because remember
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that zone we've just been looking at on the four-hour chart is literally this
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price action here so you can see how the time frame's clear all of that up that
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we're just looking at that previous four hour supply was this daily inside bar
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right price came into it it reacted and it went off so this is why you've got to
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use multiple time frames to your advantage so you know back in
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later on when prices come down here around july and we know we have this
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daily zone here we know it's a pretty decent zone to look for a potential
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pullback or even a potential reversal we can go okay let's try and refine us even
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more so just on the daily chart alone you could just refine that to the wick
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or we can jump down to a lower time frame so that's when we would go and
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investigate right this whole daily zone here like this kind of larger slightly
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lighter gray box i know it can get a little bit messy now we will then look
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okay how can we refine a bit more well we can see that this was the origin of
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that four hour flip zone so we could draw it on the candle or you
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know if you want to be even more refined you could draw it to the wick and
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essentially would be your 15-minute zone um
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which of course then you have to accept that price isn't always going to come
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down to the most refined point but that's when you can see that 15-minute
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demand holding on later on right so then price reacts from here
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and then what you get you get the buy before to sell where uh demand flips to
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supply and then we push down and then price comes back into supply here right
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it reacts but it fails to do its job and then it pushes up higher so then what
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you can do is then draw on your demand zone right
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you can take the whole range or refine it to that last candle so this demand
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should hold right because it took out the supply zone price comes into it
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right it reacts and then it pushes down so then you have a fractal refinement
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within here right where demand has then flipped back to supply and supply is in
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control and then boom what happens right this was a news announcement where we
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had a bit of volatility and manipulation but you can see right even though you
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know the markets are random we never know which way price is going to go and
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when it's going to go but what isn't random is where you know
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a lot of those big orders are sitting in the market so though we get this big
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volatile spike during a news announcement that happened back on the
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18th of august right 6 p.m so probably around fomc or something like that what
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happens price spikes up it seeks where those orders are
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we know we've just worked out we've just painted the story of why these vital
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cell wicks are relevant and then boom enough supply to continue that movement
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down right and then what we would have this whole
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large buy to sell candle is in fact supply price comes into it tries to make
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that lower low and it flips to the upside right so now we have a four hour
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flip zone all the way down here all right so on and so forth
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again we've got this biter cell candle here right a bit more of a decision on
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the middle of the leg not the cleanest of zones but it did lead eventually to
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that break of structure all right so as price comes up into that
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zone we tap into it we'll react we should try to make a lower low we do
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spike that low so we do get a four hour change of character but it's not
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convincing right it doesn't close below in fact this kind of you know sell
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before the buy this demand here ends up holding and what that ends up doing is
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actually taking out the reaction so as we come up here we now have a failed
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reaction right on the four hour chart so it's not you know at that point when we
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have a failed reaction i've said this before right when we come up here it's a
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good sign that this supply zone is going to fail but it's not a guarantee because
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price could come up you know all the way up to the towards this wick essentially
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fill up more orders right you can see here it tries to fill up more orders you
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can see that selling pressure come in but when we do get that first initial
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reaction failing it just gives us a high probability that
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it will fail it's just not a guarantee okay so when you see that happen you see
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price try to go lower it fails demand is holding still right this demand zone is
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holding price pushes up higher it closes above that failed reaction then what do
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we have we have a flip zone right so there's potential now that we can look
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for longs within here right and then we can try and target this higher high and
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potentially even higher right so on and so forth so
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yeah hopefully that starts to make a little bit more sense um just go and
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practice on this on your charts go through all the zones that you've looked
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at kind of the structural zones that you've drawn on and just see you know
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was there was there um you know flips within there
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and that can potentially validate the ones that failed and the ones that that
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worked did it increase the probability um and can you just spot them even more
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i mean there's even like you know a really clear one here on the four-hour
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chart so obviously clearly bearish right we create supply to break those lower
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lows right so we have the supply um within here price comes into that supply
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right it reacts remember the reaction is key it tries to go lower and then price
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breaks up to the upside so now what do we have we have that supply to demand
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flip price then pulls back all right we come
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in we get plenty of time as we start to get those lower time frame changes of
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character right break to the upside there'll be plenty of buying
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opportunities to get in long now if you can get this you get that four hour
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pullback pro trend into a flip zone you know below the eq and you could get your
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lower time frame entry you're golden you've done the hard work that you want
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to do be doing is targeting those four hour swing highs and that is how you
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make a ton of our a ton of percentage and it's those trades those pro swing
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trades that is really going to give you not even those compounding
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compounding growths of your account but really those big large quantum leaps
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right but suddenly you're going to start banking those 20 30 40 50 are based on
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logic right now again not saying these will be easy you're still gonna have to
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deal with the psychology of kind of you know holding on to those big trades and
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trying to hold on as much volume as possible and obviously these these pro
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swing trades um are not always going to come along every single day right but i
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can show you example on every single one of these four hour pullbacks and these
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higher lows or lower highs in the bearish trending market of how you can
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get into them time and time again so i'll tell you what
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no don't just take my word for it let's actually go through this recent like a
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price action and i'll just show you session by session right
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the exact same things happen again the exact same patterns that we've looked at
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in the theory module right of how we just look for those pullbacks into our
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higher timeframe areas of value and then we look for our lower timeframe
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confirmation right flips upon flips upon flips we just use more refinement and
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more refinement to get in and then use our knowledge on the hard time frame
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structure to target those higher highs or target those lower lows so what i'll
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do is i'll probably split this video into two videos just so it doesn't go on
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for super long yeah and i will see you in the next one
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