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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,719 --> 00:00:04,319 okay so hopefully you should now be starting to get quite familiar with the 2 00:00:04,319 --> 00:00:09,360 supply and demand concepts that we have looked at so far so let's do a quick you 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:13,840 know two-minute crash course on supply and demand right so typically with 4 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:16,720 demand we have kind of two ways that we look for it we either have a range 5 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:20,080 created demand where price is stuck within a range we then see that rapid 6 00:00:20,080 --> 00:00:23,600 breakout to the upside and as price initiates 7 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,560 to the upside and we can clearly see that somewhere within that range demand 8 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:30,160 then step into the market or we have pivot created demand where we 9 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:34,559 essentially see a sharp sell before the buy as price and rapidly expands to the 10 00:00:34,559 --> 00:00:39,120 upside in both cases creating um demand where of course you know we can overdraw 11 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,320 the zones from there um and we would look for price to either return to those 12 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,840 zones to then look for buyers to catch that next polish leg and so on with the 13 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:50,160 pivot created demand there however if you were to draw on you know with all of 14 00:00:50,160 --> 00:00:52,559 those demand zones within the market they're pretty much going to be 15 00:00:52,559 --> 00:00:57,120 everywhere because as we know price is constantly causing imbalances 16 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,239 between supply and demand um otherwise the market would never really move 17 00:01:00,239 --> 00:01:03,920 anywhere right it would just stay in a range pretty much for 18 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:08,159 eternity so what was the main thing that we've looked at so far 19 00:01:08,159 --> 00:01:13,680 to essentially validate uh where we're going to see those strong demand zones 20 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:16,479 well the main thing that we've looked at is those structural zones right so we 21 00:01:16,479 --> 00:01:20,320 want to see where demand stepped in to cause a break of structure so in terms 22 00:01:20,320 --> 00:01:23,600 of continuation let's say we're in a british market and 23 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:28,159 price is creating a series of higher highs higher lows and then higher highs 24 00:01:28,159 --> 00:01:32,320 right so it caused a break of structure we're trying to then identify where did 25 00:01:32,320 --> 00:01:36,240 that demand step in around here that led to the bullish move to cause that higher 26 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,840 high to cause that break of structure right so we'd look for a zone somewhere 27 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,280 within here and then that then validates that this area of demand whether it's 28 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:47,200 range created pivot created a single candle or fractal refinement whatever 29 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:52,240 we're just trying to use that break of structure to to increase the probability 30 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:56,240 that this is a strong zone so that when price returns it will hold and it will 31 00:01:56,240 --> 00:02:00,320 give us a sustained leg for us to try and buy and ride that next bullish leg 32 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:04,880 to the upside right uh and then the same for a reversal so if price was making 33 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:08,800 lower lows and lower highs in a bearish market but then suddenly uh price makes 34 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:12,000 a higher high right so we get that breaker structure to the upside we take 35 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,280 out that lower high to form a higher high we then look for where did that 36 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,440 demand step into the market that then helps us validate this potentially is a 37 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,200 strong zone because it caused a break of structure takes a lot of money to do 38 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:27,360 that right so then when price returns to that area of demand we can then hope 39 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,800 that that zone will hold for us to capsize on that next bullish leg and 40 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,599 then very quickly we have the same for supply right so price would be in the 41 00:02:33,599 --> 00:02:37,200 range it would initiate out that range to the downside that would then give us 42 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,720 our range created supply where we would then look for price to pull back and 43 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:44,160 potentially make another bearish leg or we would have the the buy before the 44 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:47,040 sale right pivot created supply and again we would hope that when price 45 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,640 returns to it it will continue but we don't just want to trade any old supply 46 00:02:50,640 --> 00:02:53,760 zone that we see in the market we want to look for what ones that cause breaks 47 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:58,080 of structure so for a continuation that would be in a bearish market where 48 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:02,239 prices making lower lows and lower highs and a lower low so it obviously caused a 49 00:03:02,239 --> 00:03:05,920 break of structure to to form that lower low so then we want to look at whether 50 00:03:05,920 --> 00:03:09,200 that supply step in the market right to form that lower high and then that's 51 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,560 where we can look for price to then potentially continue that bearish leg 52 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,599 and then again over a reversal if we're in a bullish market with price creating 53 00:03:15,599 --> 00:03:19,040 higher highs and higher lows and then price then formed a lower low right 54 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:22,159 causing that break of stretches the downside causing that first initial 55 00:03:22,159 --> 00:03:25,120 change of character we would then try and anticipate where that supply stepped 56 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:30,080 in the market and then look to sell from this area here right because those areas 57 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:34,080 of supply caused the break of structure and the same for demand so that's kind 58 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:38,239 of the the first out of two ways right that we've really looked to try and 59 00:03:38,239 --> 00:03:41,599 validate where those strong zones are in the market right all those things being 60 00:03:41,599 --> 00:03:46,720 equal we're trying to identify those areas of supply and demand that led to a 61 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:51,120 break of structure so as you guys probably know from the the 62 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,920 title of this video and from what we've already mentioned 63 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:58,080 in some of the earlier theory videos the second main way we look at is what is 64 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:02,640 called a flip zone so let's just slowly go through this now so 65 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:06,720 this first example here of the supply and obviously the demand this is pretty 66 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:10,239 much just what we've gone through so this is our standard sort of structural 67 00:04:10,239 --> 00:04:14,560 zone scenario that we look at so in the first case with supply 68 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,720 what do we have we have price uh moving to the upside right in a bullish 69 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,079 market with a higher high pulls back to form a higher low and then makes a 70 00:04:22,079 --> 00:04:26,080 higher high but then what happens price falls down to make a lower low so we get 71 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:29,040 that change of character right we get that breaker stretches the downside the 72 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:31,840 change of character is just the first time we see that lower low right after a 73 00:04:31,840 --> 00:04:36,000 bullish market and then essentially that creates an area of supply where we wait 74 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,040 for price to pull back in and then anywhere within that supply zone we can 75 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,000 look to get short with our stops somewhere above the high to try and 76 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:47,680 capitalize on that next bearish leg so this red box um obviously represents the 77 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:51,280 supply zone now i've just drawn it on the most unrefined way so just taking 78 00:04:51,280 --> 00:04:56,400 the entire range taking the entire right the by just drawing the supply and on 79 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,600 that range right the entire buy before the cell that leads to that change of 80 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,800 character so that's the most unrefined way but of course we could look we're 81 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,479 trying to identify to the pivot right or potentially even a single candle or 82 00:05:06,479 --> 00:05:10,960 potentially even you know refine it to a fractal wick or or so on and so forth 83 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,440 right um it's a you know it doesn't matter so 84 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,639 much now i just want you to understand why i've drawn the box that way but this 85 00:05:16,639 --> 00:05:19,680 is just kind of that standard structural zone 86 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,600 entry model that we've been looking at right 87 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,720 where does that supply lead to that break of structure and whether it's a 88 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:27,199 continuation or in this case you know that that first initial change of 89 00:05:27,199 --> 00:05:32,080 character then we can look to sell from the supply that led to that break 90 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,360 of structure and then the exact same thing for demand right um we're just 91 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,160 looking for where did demand step in to cause that break of structure to the 92 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:41,199 upside and in this case i've just drawn it on the entire range right the last 93 00:05:41,199 --> 00:05:44,479 cell before the buy and then we look to buy it anywhere within that range but of 94 00:05:44,479 --> 00:05:48,479 course we can then uh refine that zone if i can get my 95 00:05:48,479 --> 00:05:51,600 mouse to grab it for me i'll have to play around with that right it's either 96 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,360 down to the pivot one candle fractal refinement so on and so forth right we 97 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:58,319 know the more refined we get the more we can increase our risk toward right 98 00:05:58,319 --> 00:06:01,440 because we can enter in lower but potentially we may get missed right so 99 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:06,160 that's essentially just our standard entry model that we've looked at so far 100 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:10,639 now the next thing that we can start to introduce um is obviously flip zones to 101 00:06:10,639 --> 00:06:14,000 increase um the probability or 102 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:19,039 just another way right of validating what may potentially be a strong zone so 103 00:06:19,039 --> 00:06:23,840 in this case in its most simplest form all we are looking at is where supply 104 00:06:23,840 --> 00:06:27,600 and demand are interacting where they essentially meet they have a bit of a 105 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:30,639 battle and then one of them essentially 106 00:06:30,639 --> 00:06:35,199 overpowers the other one and takes control so we're not just you know 107 00:06:35,199 --> 00:06:38,400 before we've only been looking at you know what causes the break of structure 108 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:43,199 but now we're looking at where does supply end up taking out demand and 109 00:06:43,199 --> 00:06:46,319 where does demand end up taking out supply 110 00:06:46,319 --> 00:06:50,240 so again just to make that clear before we've purely just been looking at 111 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,280 what causes breaks of structure right we've just been looking at what leads to 112 00:06:53,280 --> 00:06:57,360 breaks in market structure but now we're looking at what leads to 113 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:01,599 uh taking out demand you know where is the supply that took out demand and 114 00:07:01,599 --> 00:07:06,720 where is the demand that took out supply okay so let's look at this first case 115 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:10,720 so in this case all right prices make it higher high higher lows higher high 116 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,919 right so obviously for price to make that higher high what did it do it 117 00:07:13,919 --> 00:07:17,280 caused a breakage structure of this height so somewhere within this leg 118 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,319 demand stepped in to cause that higher high 119 00:07:20,319 --> 00:07:23,440 so that's what's denoted by this red box we have some demand 120 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,400 so at this point right in the market obviously we can't see anything else 121 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,919 just have to imagine that's not there but as price is pulling back into our 122 00:07:29,919 --> 00:07:32,880 demand zone all those things considered what would 123 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:37,120 we expect well we would expect the continuation of that bullish order flow 124 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:42,319 rate we would expect this demand zone here to continue price upwards to make a 125 00:07:42,319 --> 00:07:45,759 higher high right it needs to break this high here get a break of structure and 126 00:07:45,759 --> 00:07:50,080 make a higher high because that is what this demand zone's job is it's simple 127 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:54,560 job is for price to create a higher high to fulfill those buy orders and then 128 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:59,360 overpower supply to make a higher high but we will often see in the market 129 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:03,280 his price will come in it will fill those buy orders it will then attempt to 130 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,479 make a higher high right so we'll have a reaction 131 00:08:06,479 --> 00:08:10,319 but it will fail to make a higher high so it will fail to break this uh high 132 00:08:10,319 --> 00:08:14,000 here and then what will happen is price will then come down 133 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,440 it will take out where that reaction formed the start of their actions that 134 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:21,039 is what fr stands for a failed reaction all right so as soon as price goes below 135 00:08:21,039 --> 00:08:25,280 that dotted line right as soon as that happens the reaction has now failed 136 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:29,520 which means demand has failed to do its job right so the minute we are below 137 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:33,120 that dotted line literally the very micro pip that price 138 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,719 moves below uh where that initial reaction started 139 00:08:36,719 --> 00:08:40,560 where demand kicked in to try to make the higher high if it doesn't take out 140 00:08:40,560 --> 00:08:45,279 this high here and it fails to do its job and price starts to come back down 141 00:08:45,279 --> 00:08:50,320 the minute we break below that reaction means we get a failed reaction right so 142 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:54,240 that means that demand is now failing and then price down moves down lower we 143 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,040 actually then take out the low so this is where we get the change of character 144 00:08:57,040 --> 00:09:00,080 which is essentially what we're looking over here so now what do we have we have 145 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:05,519 demand failing right and we also have a market structural low being taken 146 00:09:05,519 --> 00:09:09,760 so what that means is a lot of supply has stepped in somewhere to take out 147 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:14,000 demand and to take out the structural low right so you can see here all we 148 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,959 looked at was the structural logo whereas over here we have more 149 00:09:16,959 --> 00:09:20,959 confidence because we not only do we have structure being taken out but we 150 00:09:20,959 --> 00:09:24,080 actually have that demand being taken out okay 151 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,920 so then when price moves down and we have the failed reaction and we have the 152 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:31,200 change of character we have that structural load going somewhere up here 153 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:36,399 supply stepped in so where do we draw that supply zone just delete this in a 154 00:09:36,399 --> 00:09:39,600 minute right basically anywhere within that buy right where the reaction 155 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:43,440 started that buy before the cell that is our supply zone okay so the 156 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,240 reason why i've drawn it with a what looks like a bit of a weird box you guys 157 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,760 might not have seen that at this stage it's just something that i use 158 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:54,000 this tool here because essentially this box just represents supply but it's 159 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:57,760 a nice tool to use because it has a line in the equilibrium right that 50 level 160 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:01,120 the eq and what do we know we haven't talked about entries in a lot of depth 161 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,000 but we can enter anywhere within the zone but one of the things that we can 162 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:09,040 do is we can always look to enter on the eq just to increase our risk toward okay 163 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:11,120 so don't worry massively about this at the 164 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:15,200 minute right i've spoken a little bit about it a little bit of depth before 165 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,480 but you know the main point for now i want you guys to just concentrate on is 166 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,680 that we can enter anywhere within the zone okay so don't worry too much about 167 00:10:21,680 --> 00:10:24,880 how this box is drawn and we'll talk about this in a little more detail but 168 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:28,560 essentially it's just using um this fib tool here i'll just show you where it's 169 00:10:28,560 --> 00:10:33,680 drawn actually now let's see which one it is that i use i believe it 170 00:10:33,680 --> 00:10:37,760 would be one of the favorite ones so it's not in here 171 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:42,000 okay so it's a parallel channel is the one that i'm using in this one on the 172 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:45,600 left hand side so in the trend lines if you say parallel channel and i'll just 173 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:48,880 show you the settings on that so how the way you draw this is you would click at 174 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,519 the base of the candle wherever you wanted to draw it right and then you 175 00:10:51,519 --> 00:10:54,640 would hold it across if you hold shift it will draw a straight line right we 176 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,279 want to have it nice and accurate nice straight line and then you click again 177 00:10:57,279 --> 00:11:00,160 and then if you move it up to basically the height of the range that you want to 178 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:03,200 draw it and then boom there you have your supply zone but the reason why it's 179 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,560 useful is just because it gives that nice equilibrium level if you want to 180 00:11:06,560 --> 00:11:10,160 enter in the middle of the zone and if i just show you the settings 181 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:14,640 for that essentially that's how i've got it if you want to copy uh that template 182 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,440 but for now i said all i want you to focus on is 183 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:21,120 that this essentially just is another way of drawing a supply zone okay 184 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:25,519 so yeah and that's it this is basically the highest probability way that we have 185 00:11:25,519 --> 00:11:28,399 of looking for supply and demand and essentially 186 00:11:28,399 --> 00:11:32,160 it's just a flip plus a chalk that's the most simple way i can describe it okay 187 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,600 and all that means is that we have demand and then it flips to supply 188 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:39,760 because supply is now in control and it also causes that change of character so 189 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,959 that's why it's called a flip and a chalk so here all we have is a chock 190 00:11:42,959 --> 00:11:45,839 because we've just been looking at market structure being taken out right 191 00:11:45,839 --> 00:11:48,399 and then we look for what caused that change of character what caused that 192 00:11:48,399 --> 00:11:51,519 break of the the higher the low and then we look for price to come back into it 193 00:11:51,519 --> 00:11:54,880 right but here we do have the exact same thing 194 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:59,680 we have the chalk but before the chalk what happens well we see that battle 195 00:11:59,680 --> 00:12:03,120 between supply and demand and that's what key the key thing that you need to 196 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:06,959 see here is you need to see this reaction occur because you need to see 197 00:12:06,959 --> 00:12:09,839 the battle occurring if the battle doesn't occur then we're not as 198 00:12:09,839 --> 00:12:13,279 interested right what we want to see is this happen because what it means is 199 00:12:13,279 --> 00:12:17,519 that demand tried to hold and it tried to make the higher high but the fact 200 00:12:17,519 --> 00:12:20,720 that that reaction then failed and came down you have to think about what does 201 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,240 that mean in reality but what it means is that this supplier must be really 202 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:28,560 strong because this demand was significant right because if price 203 00:12:28,560 --> 00:12:32,720 like here right it just goes up and it just melts straight down yes it did take 204 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,600 out a strong low right because that low should hold and it should make a higher 205 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:38,399 high but if price is coming straight down 206 00:12:38,399 --> 00:12:41,760 maybe actually there wasn't that much that there wasn't that much demand in 207 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:46,160 this overall area so when supply comes down here maybe this means that this red 208 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,279 supply zone actually isn't that strong and then sometimes what can happen is 209 00:12:49,279 --> 00:12:52,959 price can come back in you can get short and it can keep going up 210 00:12:52,959 --> 00:12:55,600 so remember the whole point of this whole game we're playing is we're just 211 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,880 trying to validate supply and demand zones to try and see 212 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:03,440 which ones are strong and which ones are going to hold right so part of that is 213 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:07,680 finding our supply zone and going what did this supply zone achieve 214 00:13:07,680 --> 00:13:11,360 did this supply zone achieve any anything significant 215 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:14,000 so in this case with the standard entry we've been looking at in structural 216 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:17,440 zones instead of just drawing on any old supply zone right where price initiated 217 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,720 out of a range or a pivot what we look for is what are the ones that cause 218 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,839 breaks of structure right because that is something significant in the market 219 00:13:23,839 --> 00:13:27,760 so we hope then that when price returns it was a lot of supply that had to step 220 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:31,040 in to take out that low therefore this supply zone should hold and we should 221 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:34,959 see that next leg down this is the same concept instead of just 222 00:13:34,959 --> 00:13:39,519 taking out a structural low it also had a battle with demand where actually this 223 00:13:39,519 --> 00:13:43,120 demand you know there was a lot of buy orders in here and it did try to do it 224 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:46,639 short it tried to take out this high and make a higher high so then when supply 225 00:13:46,639 --> 00:13:50,880 steps in and overpowers it and it flips to supply that's in control 226 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:55,360 that's just another sort of tick in the box to try and tell us that actually it 227 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,760 did take a lot of supply in the market to you know eradicate all of these buy 228 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:05,600 orders to overpower demand here and cause that break of market structure 229 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,720 okay so that's what you're always trying to ask yourself is what did this supply 230 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:13,199 zone achieve is it strong yes it is because it took out a strong level of 231 00:14:13,199 --> 00:14:17,279 demand you can see that demand tried to hold and it took out a structural low so 232 00:14:17,279 --> 00:14:21,040 that's like two ticks two ticks in the box right compared to over here where it 233 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,920 was just kind of one tick in the box right if that makes sense 234 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,079 so yeah let me try keep it super simple 235 00:14:26,079 --> 00:14:29,839 again so we have price making higher highs and high lows price pulls back 236 00:14:29,839 --> 00:14:33,839 into demand it tries to do its job it tries to make a higher high it fails to 237 00:14:33,839 --> 00:14:37,199 take out this high so it fails to make a higher high then as soon as price comes 238 00:14:37,199 --> 00:14:41,360 down at this point here as soon as we move below that dotted line below where 239 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:45,360 the reaction initiated from that means the reaction has now failed it's failed 240 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:49,199 to do its job but then when price goes even further and it takes out the actual 241 00:14:49,199 --> 00:14:52,079 structural low and we get that change of character 242 00:14:52,079 --> 00:14:55,600 we now have both of those you know those criteria ticked off the 243 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:59,120 box right so then we can then mark out that by to cell range we can take the 244 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,639 whole range like this we can just like any old supply zone right we can refine 245 00:15:02,639 --> 00:15:06,079 it to the last pivot we could refine it to a single candle 246 00:15:06,079 --> 00:15:08,880 right within that pullback or we could even you know do the fractal refinement 247 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,160 so on and so forth right the same rules always apply but for the sake of the 248 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,880 example i'm just going to keep it to the whole range right just to show you that 249 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:19,120 you can get short anywhere within that range right it's all valid anywhere 250 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:23,040 within that range but the more refined you are right morris reward but more 251 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,440 increased probability of missing the trade okay 252 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,399 and that is how we look to get short so that's essentially your flip and your 253 00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:31,120 truck looking for that battle between buyers and sellers looking for the 254 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:34,320 breaker structure and then that's our area of supply that we can then look to 255 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:37,920 get short from and then the exact same thing with demand right 256 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:42,000 in this case it's a change of character surprises making lower lows lower high 257 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:45,279 and a lower low so for price to cause that lower low to break that structure 258 00:15:45,279 --> 00:15:49,680 there right we look for the supply that caused price to make that lower low so 259 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,519 then what is the blind expectation when price comes back to the supply zone well 260 00:15:53,519 --> 00:15:57,759 we would expect price to pull back into it and then for supply to do its job it 261 00:15:57,759 --> 00:16:01,279 should make a lower low right it should cause this load to be taken out it 262 00:16:01,279 --> 00:16:05,199 should cause a break of structure and it should cause a lower low if supply is to 263 00:16:05,199 --> 00:16:09,600 do its job but in this case it tries to do its job but then somewhere within 264 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:13,519 here demand steps in to then cause the reaction to fail right as soon as we're 265 00:16:13,519 --> 00:16:16,800 above that dotted line where the reaction initiated from right this 266 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:20,720 circle here as soon as we're above it now you know that the reaction failed 267 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:25,279 and then price continues to go up so now we also have structure failing right the 268 00:16:25,279 --> 00:16:28,959 bearish structure is failing so we now have bullish structure we also have a 269 00:16:28,959 --> 00:16:33,759 failed reaction so what that means is we now have a strong area of demand because 270 00:16:33,759 --> 00:16:39,040 not only did it overpower supply but it also caused structure to fail and we got 271 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:42,880 that higher high so exact same thing again right as we looked up here but the 272 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:46,399 opposite so then we can mark out this whole cell before the buy range as our 273 00:16:46,399 --> 00:16:49,440 area of demand or of course we can refine it you know to a pivot to a 274 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:54,079 single candle or a fractal refinement um yeah so on and so forth and that's it 275 00:16:54,079 --> 00:16:57,519 really so before right like i said again we're 276 00:16:57,519 --> 00:16:59,920 just gonna keep going over this and just hammering it in right until we really 277 00:16:59,920 --> 00:17:03,120 just drill this into our subconscious but all we looked at before this lesson 278 00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:06,959 so far was essentially you know your standard break of structure right in 279 00:17:06,959 --> 00:17:10,000 this case obviously it's reversal but it works the same for a continuation we're 280 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,520 just looking for where does supply cause a lower low right 281 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,640 it caused a break of structure we look for price to come back in and then we 282 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:19,600 look to sell because we hope that it was strong enough because it caused that 283 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:23,679 brake structure same as demand right it took out a lower high to form a higher 284 00:17:23,679 --> 00:17:27,919 high so that's one way of validating a strong level here we have the exact same 285 00:17:27,919 --> 00:17:32,480 it does cause that change of character but it also takes out demand 286 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,679 now how do we know you know 287 00:17:35,679 --> 00:17:38,640 what again the thing that's really important about this 288 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,480 and it can be quite subtle in the live market is you need to see the reaction 289 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:46,640 for it to be a flip because if price just does this right it comes up yes it 290 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,919 creates demand to make a higher high but if price just comes straight down right 291 00:17:49,919 --> 00:17:52,960 just in pretty much a straight line like multiple candles that just come down and 292 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:56,080 you don't see any reaction then that is not a flip 293 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:59,120 because there is no you know you need to see that battle you need to see that 294 00:17:59,120 --> 00:18:02,160 reaction and the reason why you want to see that reaction is what i was saying 295 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,440 earlier is because you want to know that actually this demand was somewhat 296 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:09,200 significant that there was strong buying pressure in here that price did try to 297 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:13,440 make a higher high but then the supply stepped in to smash through okay and 298 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:18,400 that is the subtle but key difference right so your flip plus your chalk this 299 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,919 really is kind of your a plus setup in terms of 300 00:18:21,919 --> 00:18:26,400 your execution entry in terms of wanting to see not only the reaction failing 301 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:31,360 right so seeing the supply to demand flip in this case but also that it leads 302 00:18:31,360 --> 00:18:34,480 to that change of character that leads to a break of structure at the same time 303 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:38,000 right because that is essentially your structural zone and your flip zone 304 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,600 combined together so then when price comes back within here that is a very 305 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,039 high probability zone okay now the final one we're going to 306 00:18:45,039 --> 00:18:48,960 look at is a bit more aggressive all right so this is your a plus setup 307 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,720 this is the best this is a bit more aggressive because we only have the flip 308 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:56,480 so you can see here this is only a flip this is only a shock right but this is 309 00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:59,440 obviously both of them okay pretty simple stuff 310 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,640 um so what's the subtle difference here because sometimes this can be a little 311 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:06,000 bit tricky to see in the live market the difference between them but it's very 312 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,679 it's very very similar so we have price creating a higher high pulls back to 313 00:19:09,679 --> 00:19:13,360 form a higher low then we make a higher high so obviously to cause that breaker 314 00:19:13,360 --> 00:19:16,960 structure to the upside to form that higher high right we must most likely 315 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:21,440 have a demand zone that caused a higher high so then when price comes back in 316 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,600 it if demand is going to do its job what 317 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,960 should it do it should form a higher high it should take out this high but if 318 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,080 price goes up higher you see the reaction happen remember seeing the 319 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:33,840 reaction is so key you need to see price trying to make that higher high so that 320 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,360 it validates that there is an area of demand here so as price goes up higher 321 00:19:37,360 --> 00:19:40,799 and then as soon as it comes down and as soon as it's below that dotted line 322 00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:44,880 right below where the initial reaction essentially originated from where that 323 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:49,120 reaction initiated from as soon as price comes below it as long as price never 324 00:19:49,120 --> 00:19:52,799 took out that high right so it didn't do its job the minute we are below that 325 00:19:52,799 --> 00:19:56,400 dotted line you now know that the reaction has 326 00:19:56,400 --> 00:20:00,640 failed okay so what that means is just like before 327 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,559 this whole area this buy before the cell once we go below that failed reaction 328 00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:09,200 this whole area denoted by the box is your area of supply that took out demand 329 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,520 okay so what you can see in the difference 330 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:15,039 here is price doesn't cause a change of character yet right so it's still 331 00:20:15,039 --> 00:20:18,720 technically within the demand zone right if i draw the the zone across it's still 332 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:22,480 within here right so you there could be still some 333 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,720 demand orders lower in the zone that now could be filled and it could go up now 334 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:30,240 right there could be this is the risk of this setup there could be some nice buy 335 00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:33,919 orders left within here right that wasn't initially tapped into from that 336 00:20:33,919 --> 00:20:37,200 first initial reaction and this is the risk because you could be looking to get 337 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:41,679 short but price price could go up higher from here okay because what we don't 338 00:20:41,679 --> 00:20:46,080 have the change of character we don't have uh that entire supply zone failing 339 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,120 right like we did over here before price comes 340 00:20:49,120 --> 00:20:52,640 back in for you to short so this is why this is riskier because you only have 341 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,840 the flip you only have the failed reaction you don't have the change of 342 00:20:55,840 --> 00:21:00,240 character to truly truly give you that extra confirmation that price has taken 343 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:04,400 out the entire supply zone and then we come back in and we go okay 344 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,679 so hopefully it's a bit kind of you know you can see why this is riskier because 345 00:21:07,679 --> 00:21:10,640 you're you're trying to get short and there's the potential that price 346 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:14,720 could fill some orders within here and it could go up higher okay so obviously 347 00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:18,240 again this will come with testing what makes most sense to you and just 348 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:22,880 time in the market for whether you are happy to take just flips or if you want 349 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,000 to see a flip and a change of character right you want to see that broken 350 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:30,400 structure as well so you know the obvious advice i can give you guys 351 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:34,640 is as especially as you're starting out only focus on the flip with the change 352 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:38,640 of character so stay away from just flips at the start because they are much 353 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,919 lower probability they are a lot more aggressive right because you're getting 354 00:21:41,919 --> 00:21:44,640 in where price could just go higher it could fill up some orders within here 355 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:48,400 and go so you may take more losses now as you get more experienced and you're 356 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,679 good at picking higher time frame areas of value and you're good at putting all 357 00:21:51,679 --> 00:21:54,320 of the confluence together then you can get a bit more aggressive and 358 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,520 potentially look at flips on their own if you want to because sometimes what 359 00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:01,120 will happen is just this exact sample here where we'll get the failed reaction 360 00:22:01,120 --> 00:22:04,400 price will come back in you may go okay i don't want to get short from here i 361 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,760 want to wait for the change of character first and then price can just go right 362 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,799 and then it doesn't always come back up to this level and you may have to look 363 00:22:10,799 --> 00:22:14,400 for entries further down which obviously isn't always ideal so you may not get an 364 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,679 entry that's okay you don't have to enter every move remember but just 365 00:22:17,679 --> 00:22:20,640 sometimes you will miss the move right from the level that you may want to get 366 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,400 into if you wait for this extra confidence such as something that you 367 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:28,240 know you like again right you're gonna have to just get this with time and what 368 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,600 you are comfortable with so yeah that pretty much wraps it up in 369 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:34,240 terms of kind of the flip zones 370 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,960 this is obviously what we've been looking at so far just a very clear 371 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,919 structural zone we're just looking at where supply demand led to a breakage 372 00:22:39,919 --> 00:22:44,080 structure to try and validate the zone this is the exact same thing 373 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:48,000 except we look for the battle between supply and demand first right that the 374 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:52,080 major key here is to see that reaction we want to see demand try to do its job 375 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:56,080 but then supply step in cause a reaction to fail and the change of character and 376 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,440 then we look to get short when price comes back into there same for demand 377 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,960 here we're only looking for the reaction to fail so that what that means in 378 00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,559 reality right is the minute that price is below that dotted line below where 379 00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:10,400 the reaction initiated right you can then draw your supply zone on right this 380 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,880 box here right and you can basically get ready to get to sell whether you put 381 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:18,480 your order or you wait for price to come in and you just sell it market 382 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,080 um but you're essentially getting short before we have the confirmation that 383 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:25,280 price has taken out the low so you're running the risk that price could fill 384 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:29,039 up some demand within here right lower in the zone and then it could be enough 385 00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:32,559 to actually go that's why it is riskier okay so now what we're going to do is 386 00:23:32,559 --> 00:23:35,679 we're just going to apply these flip zones 387 00:23:35,679 --> 00:23:38,960 just to that uh price action model that you guys should be very very familiar 388 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,559 with now we'll quickly go over this and then um yeah then we'll hop onto the 389 00:23:42,559 --> 00:23:45,840 charts in the next lesson and we'll do a full walkthrough just to see how the 390 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:52,400 theory actually applies uh in reality so what do we have here well let's just go 391 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,600 through this so we have the four hour chart with this thick line um clearly 392 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,360 bullish right so we are making a series of higher highs and higher lows so we 393 00:23:59,360 --> 00:24:03,440 come up into this old supply zone right from previous price action price then 394 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:07,360 fills up that supply and it's enough to initiate a pullback so we get a swing 395 00:24:07,360 --> 00:24:11,520 pullback and then price forms a higher low and it moves to the upside and we 396 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:15,120 get that break of structure right we get price forming a high high so what do we 397 00:24:15,120 --> 00:24:18,880 look at before because price uh calls that high high and cause that 398 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:22,400 breaking structure that gives us that structural area of demand right so 399 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,760 that's just standard and that is what this is but the slight difference here 400 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:30,080 is that we understand that it's also a supply to demand flip which increases 401 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,919 the probability even more because not only did it cause a break of structure 402 00:24:33,919 --> 00:24:38,880 what did it do it took out supply and the supply is valid because you can 403 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,799 see the reaction right it tried to do its job it tried to form a lower low but 404 00:24:42,799 --> 00:24:46,799 what happened demand stepped in and caused price to fail because it didn't 405 00:24:46,799 --> 00:24:52,080 let supply do its job remember a supply zone supply zone's job is to 406 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,520 try and form a lower low so if demand steps in before it can do that and 407 00:24:55,520 --> 00:25:00,480 causes a higher high then we have both a break of structure and we have a failed 408 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,240 reaction we have supply flipping to demand demand is in control and that 409 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:08,880 increases the probability of the zone so this zone is a flip and a chuck right 410 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:12,400 so price continues its next swing leg it has a bit of a minor pullback and it 411 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,760 goes up higher and then we come into another four-hour zone right so this 412 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:19,039 could be a flip zone it you know it doesn't matter too much but price is in 413 00:25:19,039 --> 00:25:22,159 here so now what do we expect well we expect there's a possibility that we 414 00:25:22,159 --> 00:25:26,480 could now get a four-hour pullback right um into the discount of this zone and 415 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,919 potentially to come down and mitigate that extreme demand zone that extreme 416 00:25:29,919 --> 00:25:33,679 flip zone so what can we do to 417 00:25:33,679 --> 00:25:36,960 increase the probability that this pullback is starting and that we're not 418 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,880 going to get potentially short in a full signal because price could easily just 419 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:45,760 pull back right and it could keep going up higher well we can wait for a four 420 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,360 hour change of character to take out that four hour minor low right what is 421 00:25:49,360 --> 00:25:53,120 that four hour change of character most likely right it's not guaranteed 422 00:25:53,120 --> 00:25:57,200 but most likely going to be on a lower time frame say the m15 that four hour 423 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:01,600 minor low is most likely going to be a m15 swing low right so when price then 424 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:03,760 gives us that four hour change of character 425 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:08,799 that is most likely going to be an m15 break of swing structure to the downside 426 00:26:08,799 --> 00:26:11,520 so we get a four-hour change of character which is most likely going to 427 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:16,240 be now the 15-minute right the blue line being in a bearish trend right and that 428 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,200 is when that gives us a lot of confirmation when this happens that 429 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:23,200 potentially now the m15 is bearish to initiate that four-hour pullback right 430 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:27,200 so that's not a full signal and that we don't go on to make higher highs 431 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:31,120 now what can else can we use to increase the probability uh 432 00:26:31,120 --> 00:26:33,679 of this pullback occurring and for where we 433 00:26:33,679 --> 00:26:37,279 could potentially look to short well we can look for m15 supply that comes into 434 00:26:37,279 --> 00:26:40,880 the market so before we just looked at where did that supply cause that break 435 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,640 of the swing low right then we get that structural supply zone and that is where 436 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,200 we look to get short how can we increase that probability 437 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:51,039 even more well now we understand what flip zones are right so in this 438 00:26:51,039 --> 00:26:54,320 four-hour leg up here where we had this four-hour minor pullback to then move to 439 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,919 continue the swing leg right up into that supply zone it's very likely that 440 00:26:57,919 --> 00:27:01,679 that minor for our pullback if we were to jump down onto a 15-minute time frame 441 00:27:01,679 --> 00:27:05,520 uh was a m15 demand zone right that caused an m15 442 00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:08,159 higher high so when then price pulls back into that 443 00:27:08,159 --> 00:27:12,880 demand zone we want to look for was there a reaction did demand try to do 444 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,559 its job did it try to form a higher high right as long as it doesn't take out 445 00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:20,240 that high and it fails to make a higher high and then price comes down the 446 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:23,840 moment it breaks below that low there where the 447 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:28,080 reaction initiates from right so we go below the dotted line we get that failed 448 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:32,480 reaction we now know that it slightly supplies in control and this demand zone 449 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:36,159 is failing but if we also get the change of character at the same time now we 450 00:27:36,159 --> 00:27:40,320 have a flip and a chalk right so that's now our a plus setup so then we can look 451 00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:44,080 for price to come back into the supply zone that not only caused a structural 452 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:48,799 load to break but also closed uh cause significant demand to fail we now have 453 00:27:48,799 --> 00:27:53,200 that chalk and that flip that demand to supply flip right and now this is a high 454 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:58,799 probability m15 zone to play the m15 bearish trend short 455 00:27:58,799 --> 00:28:02,720 to play that four hour pullback right and that is you know how we can validate 456 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,760 those zones even more to play that and increase the probability that this will 457 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,640 go and that it's not a full signal and we're not going to get stopped out if 458 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:12,080 price was to continue higher okay so hopefully that makes sense then 459 00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:15,200 obviously price then has a deeper four-hour pullback into the discount of 460 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,559 the leg down in towards our four-hour flip zone 461 00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:22,320 because remember this demand did what it took out the supply zone right it had 462 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,679 the reaction and then demand stepped in to take out that reaction and cause that 463 00:28:25,679 --> 00:28:29,760 break of structure so now we know this is extremely for our uh strong for our 464 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,799 zone so we could get long here but maybe you know we're not sure i mean we want 465 00:28:32,799 --> 00:28:35,440 to wait for a little bit more confirmation that the four hour higher 466 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:39,600 low is in place so what can we wait for well before what we looked at 467 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,919 is purely just a market structure break so we wanted to see the m15 make that 468 00:28:43,919 --> 00:28:48,000 first higher high right after a series of lower highs so we wanted to see that 469 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,919 change of character right which is then what we get over here 470 00:28:51,919 --> 00:28:56,399 what else what also can we then increase our probability um 471 00:28:56,399 --> 00:28:59,760 that you know that that four hour high low is in place and the m15 is switching 472 00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,559 bullish where we would look for that demand zone to be created right and we 473 00:29:02,559 --> 00:29:05,840 would look for the demand that led to that change of character that led to 474 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,720 that breaking structure that led to that higher high right and that would give us 475 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:12,000 a strong demand zone now also do we know right that can 476 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,720 increase the probability of that being a strong zone well we look for one that 477 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,320 also took out supply so how do we know that it took out a 478 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,840 significant supply zone but we need to see that reaction first right we need to 479 00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:25,200 see that battle and that is really key so when price pulls back up into the 480 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:28,880 supply zone right this m15 should be a strong supply zone because it caused the 481 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,320 break of this low right to form that lower low so now we have a structural 482 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:36,559 supply zone right here price comes into that supply zone it 483 00:29:36,559 --> 00:29:40,480 tries to do its job it tries to make a lower low but it fails to take out that 484 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:44,399 low right it fails to do its job and then demand steps in to not only cause 485 00:29:44,399 --> 00:29:47,600 the reaction to fail because remember the minute we are above the reaction 486 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,799 right we don't need the change of character we just need to go break above 487 00:29:50,799 --> 00:29:54,640 where that reaction initiated from as soon as we're above it above that dotted 488 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:58,559 line we now know it's very likely that that supply is going to fail 489 00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:03,039 it's not confirmed until we break above the zone but we know once the reaction 490 00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:07,760 goes it's very likely that it will fail right and then if we also get a change 491 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,200 of character then we know this is a very strong demand zone because it took out 492 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:15,200 strong supply and it took out structure it caused that break of structure to the 493 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:19,200 upside so now we have a flip and a chalk with the zone and that is a very high 494 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,720 probability zone so what we can do is wait for the m15 to pull back to get an 495 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:26,159 m15 high low and we could just buy straight away there on the m15 zone and 496 00:30:26,159 --> 00:30:29,440 that is more than valid but maybe we want to wait for a little bit more even 497 00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,000 more confirmation or even more refinement so we can drop down to a 498 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,000 lower time frame to confirm that this zone is going to hold and we are going 499 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:40,640 to get an m15 high low in this area so let's say we jump down to one time frame 500 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:43,200 right exact exact same thing i'm not going to be as pedantic this time i'm 501 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,919 just going to explain this one quickly right we obviously have supply making 502 00:30:45,919 --> 00:30:49,440 lower lows and lower highs it must have created supply to take out that low so 503 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,200 the price pulls back up into the supply if that bearish trend is continue what 504 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:57,279 should happen it should form a lower low price then fails to do so demand steps 505 00:30:57,279 --> 00:31:00,960 in and it takes out the reaction right so we get the failed reaction but we 506 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:04,320 also get the change of character so not only has price taken that's a 507 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:08,320 strong supply but it has also taken up structure to form a higher high so now 508 00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:13,279 we have done is validated a very strong m1 demand zone for us to then buy right 509 00:31:13,279 --> 00:31:18,000 from this area which has confirmed the m15 high low and that m15 high low did 510 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:21,360 what it confirmed potentially we have the four hour high low so then when we 511 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:25,840 buy in this area we have an extremely strong high probability swing trade 512 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:30,559 right with lower time frame precision to now target this weak four-hour high 513 00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:35,360 because it failed to do its job right now let's say that price does actually 514 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:39,600 go on to make that higher high you have to think about that whole cycle has now 515 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:44,480 restarted because what has happened from this area of supply here well it's tried 516 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:48,320 to do its job right it initiated that pullback but its job isn't just to start 517 00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:52,159 a pullback supply wants to try and create a lower low right but for it to 518 00:31:52,159 --> 00:31:55,679 do that that supply zone needs to lead to a break of structure that is slow 519 00:31:55,679 --> 00:31:59,679 here right this supply zone up here needs to try and take out this low but 520 00:31:59,679 --> 00:32:03,039 all that's happened is it's pulled back right and then price has gone on and 521 00:32:03,039 --> 00:32:06,880 it's taken out that reaction right to cause not only a break of structure but 522 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,960 also a failed reaction of this supply zone here so then what would happen when 523 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,720 we would later on is somewhere around here we would try and identify 524 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,799 where that four hour zone was right that led to that break of structure that led 525 00:32:18,799 --> 00:32:22,399 to that zone being taken out and then we can do the exact same process over and 526 00:32:22,399 --> 00:32:25,200 over again right dropping down through the time frames looking for that flip 527 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:30,159 zone right takes out supply here reacts change of character demand flip all 528 00:32:30,159 --> 00:32:34,640 right draw on the demand price comes in and we get long target the high so on 529 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:38,960 and yeah so forth so that wraps up the theory um 530 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,440 hopefully it starts to make a little bit sense you can watch this as many times 531 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,799 as you need to um you know recreate these diagrams as well something i'd 532 00:32:44,799 --> 00:32:47,200 always highly recommend that goes for all of the ones that we've looked at so 533 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:50,559 far on the course you know i've obviously provided um 534 00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:53,279 you know the screenshots of these annotations below each video but i would 535 00:32:53,279 --> 00:32:56,559 really recommend doing the exercise of making your own ones drawing them out 536 00:32:56,559 --> 00:33:00,240 because just the process of doing it will really kind of help to yeah just to 537 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,679 put it deep in your subconscious and help you identify where there may be any 538 00:33:03,679 --> 00:33:07,840 subtle gaps in your knowledge thus far but anyway i'll leave that there in the 539 00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:10,640 next video we're going to hop on the charts and obviously take a look at how 540 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,679 this plays in reality because of course we're not always going to get these nice 541 00:33:13,679 --> 00:33:18,320 perfect utopian examples but price moves really slowly um and we don't get any 542 00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,120 full signals right of course it's going to be a little bit trickier in the live 543 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,600 market but yeah let's take our time on the markets 544 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,960 and we'll give it a go and see if we can identify those but 545 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:30,399 what i will actually say just before hitting this is if you guys feel a bit 546 00:33:30,399 --> 00:33:34,320 confident is have a quick uh go on the charts now whatever currency pay you've 547 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,519 been using thus far with all of the exercises to draw on your zones 548 00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:40,640 obviously you should now have your structural zones drawn on just go over 549 00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,360 and have a play and see if you can identify 550 00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:47,760 where these flips are happening so look at old supply zones and look at 551 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:50,960 where demand took them out and see how they react does it make those demand 552 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:54,159 zones hold even stronger um yeah and obviously look at where you know demand 553 00:33:54,159 --> 00:33:57,440 takes out supply sorry where supply takes a demand um yeah and so on and so 554 00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,080 forth because then when i go back through them when you're a dollar um 555 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,679 yeah it will just uh you know make the exercise even more useful if you do it 556 00:34:03,679 --> 00:34:06,559 before i go through and then you can see how 557 00:34:06,559 --> 00:34:10,000 yeah my thought processes as we go through it together but yeah i'll leave 558 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:13,280 that there have a go with it and see how you get on 559 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,440 all right60335

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