All language subtitles for 4. S_D Structure Zones (Walkthrough)

all right so now we should be ready to essentially apply all of that

theoretical concepts that we've gone through from every lesson that you have

now watched so far in this technical analysis module and we can start to

slowly apply that to the charts on these realistic uh

price action examples so obviously the main way we're going to be

concentrating on uh using supply and demand zones is by looking at those ones

that lead to breaks of structure so we're just going to keep it super simple

take one time frame at a time again as always starting from you know

our top time frame and then slowly working our uh way down so

this was the range that we were looking at but um what i'm actually going to do

is just quickly go through back a little bit of price action just to show you you

know again how this literally just applies to any time frame you are

looking at so if we look at this big uh weekly breaker structure here to the

downside um as we can see right talked about the decisional and the extreme

right obviously somewhere up here is that extreme weekly supply zone which

price has come up nowhere there since it was created uh back up here in around

may 2014 but then what do we have down here we

had this buy before the cell that pivot created demand so if i draw this on

right so you can draw it from the bullish candle right all the way up to

the wick so i'll just zoom straight in so you can see what i'm doing right this

bullish candle to the wick there and i'm just putting my

weekly template all right and that is your essentially your pivot created

supply that led to the break of this major weekly low here and then we can

drag that across and we can see that's where price spiked up right takes a

little while to play out so a little while on the weekly chart right just a

few candles but of course if you're sitting through this on live chat and

that's from what the 22nd of january until about uh towards the end of april

before that price actually starts to move so this is another thing you're

gonna have to bear in mind when using multi-timeframe analysis when in the

live market price can enter a weekly zone but you can be trading you know day

to day for months at a time before that zone actually starts to play out right

you have to kind of think of you know that cruise liner in the ocean trying to

turn around if you're looking at the charts you know

every minute day by day it's going to take a hell of a long time and sometimes

you can forget where we are within the hard time frames and actually this is

what's happening it's generating liquidity it's taking time um whilst

those orders are exchanging hands before eventually that weekly supply then takes

control and then you end up seeing that weekly trend change right where we then

get uh

that weekly uh break of structure there to the downside and then the weekly

chart switches bearish again right when we're back down here

when when the weekly chart was bearish from this huge run back down in 2014 and

then what happened price took the low it goes below the low which means that we

then had a high wiki being the highest high up here and we got that break of

structure uh to the upside right so then when price trickled down for almost two

years what then happened it came down to the extreme so we draw this on all right

so we have essentially this entire range right you can take the whole range or

you can start to refine it a little bit because really what this range will be

is more like a monthly pivot or a monthly candle so we want to be a little

bit more accurate we can kind of see you know if you look at the price action uh

what happened what price came up right it's come back down mitigated any demand

within there it's had a minor break of that high there it's come back down and

it's mitigated any of the demand in here and then the move went so really this is

where we can then refine that range it's kind of where that last pivot was of

whoops of where that kind of last sell before the buy

came in with that demand that true weekly demand stepped in

for price to then lead on to causing that break of structures upside and

causing that weekly trend change so you can see you know the the the the larger

the zone that you take you will see price react to it but it can be quite a

while before we actually get that that large shift in price traction right so

this is going to way you're going to have to it's going to be

different for every trader i've kind of tried to speak about this a little bit

before when we've been going through the the theory videos that there are you

know multiple ways in which you can draw your supply and demand

and it's just going to depend on each individual trailer so what i mean by

that is we've taken quite a large pivot here right the largest cell before the

buy and that's a completely valid demand zone but it says large zone right if i

just measure that in pips that's 300 and you know roughly 330 pip

range to play with it so the moment we come down in here right and we start to

react you can start to look for longs and you can trade these reactions

because on the weekly chart that only looks like a tiny little move but in

reality let's see that moved you know

what's that 30 pips i'm sorry 301

yeah 301 pips that is that's a 301 pip move sorry so that's quite a lot to to

trade from an injury basis right if we can be entering in on the lower time

frames that's a decent move to be taken in but then we have to realize that

actually once you refine the zone to either the last level before the buy

then that's kind of where that true move can happen and that's where you can you

know increase your accuracy and your strike rate and your reward to risk

ratio so this is another little thing that we

haven't spoken too much about but if you refine your multiple can or pivot

zone into just that one candle the last cell before the buy this is completely

valid so if i zoom in and show you right to draw it like this but however another

way you can kind of um draw the zones which is essentially you keep refining

it to the next candle that is then engulfed so you see in this case if i

refine it to this candle the next candle then does close above it so there's kind

of not a super strict way in which you do it you can count that as valid so the

last cell before the buy or you can refine it to the next candle that is

then engulfed right so technically you know if you're being super super strict

demand should be drawn from a bearish candle or a bearish range that then

causes the bullish move so in this case you're drawing demand on a bullish

candle a bullish candle before a bullish candle so if you're being

very strict and very you know true to the true way demand and supply should be

drawn this may not be valid but this is a very

very uh valid refinement in my opinion and i've tested

this load it works more than well and just to keep refining that to the candle

that then gets in golf decay so both are valid um it's up to you to find what

works for you in this case so as we can see um you

know price took this low here so in fact it was actually bearish right because we

took that high so that's when we switched bullish but then we switched

bearish again we came down to mitigate that demand and then that led to another

uh break of structure over here so why not draw that on

right and then that pretty much brings us to the range that we've been mainly

concentrating on this whole time right but one thing did you notice

why or let's okay let's take this a little bit so when we had this pool back

here right we're clearly in a weekly bullish trend right we created that

higher high we had a nice shallow pullback right with all that

momentum how likely are we to pull back to the eq potentially not so likely

after that first initial trend change and we mitigated you know that that last

area of demand right we've seen that big injection of bullish capital that demand

stepping in shallow back and then we get another break of structure giving us

this weekly high and this weekly low when we get the weekly break of

structure right what do we expect to expect a weekly pullback how can we

anticipate the weekly pullback we get a weekly change of character where we take

the high and then we take the low and then we get that daily trend change

which initiates the weekly pullback right what's another thing we can use to

anticipate where this weekly pullback is likely to occur supply and demand zones

right so obviously for a bullish a bearish pullback in a bullish trend we'd

expect price to come and mitigate supply right so

we're just running this in a little bit we can focus on this fresh weekly supply

zone that led to what led to that break of structure so if we draw on our weekly

zone and you can literally take the entire range from the lowest point to

the highest point and then draw that across you can see as soon as price came

in you start to see that sensitivity and price action you start to see some of

that supply from this range start to be filled right but obviously price can go

a little bit higher and it ends up mitigating the eq of that range you see

how it pretty much hits bang on the 50 of that entire range that is what you'll

see happen often a lot with these zones these range created zones or even just

one candle you will see that price loves to hit the eq and before it kind of you

know gets enough of those orders mitigates 50 of the range and then we

see that move there but how could we have also refined that range where you

could have refined it to more of the pivot right so you can see here if i

just do that now so from that candle this high to that low

what do we have well we have price come down

uh get the pen tool to work there we go price comes down right it comes up and

it comes down again and then you get that last buy range right before the

cell and that can kind of be your pivot there or you can refine it a little bit

more and you want to take the last buy before the sale which is also valid or

like i was just saying right because the next candle fails to close below that

wick um a lot of people can then refine it to that candle there and that can be

your most refined way essentially of refining

that range down to that one candle right so that would be i guess your most

refined uh sort of hallway but then if you want to be a bit more fractal and

refine it even further what can you do you can refine that to the wick right

um because obviously this is a bearish candle and like i was saying right

technically supplies should be a bullish candle before the sale right um i still

view this as valid this definitely works you'll find it from the testing it does

as well but then sometimes what you can do is if you see that it's it's you know

the only candle that is then engulfed like we have here was the bearish

counter before so it's two bearish candles right it doesn't make sense

because it should be the buy before the cell then what you'll often find not

always but what you'll often find when that happens is that you can then refine

it to the wick right could do that fractal refinement because on a lower

time frame this wick here will very likely have that bullish candle in this

wick right that then gets engulfed and then if you were to you know go and look

at that wick on a lower time frame that that up move here will be a bullish

candle followed by a bearish candle on the daily or the four hour right so on

and so forth so we're getting a little bit lost in the

detail here right these are very very extra kind of little refinements they

don't make a massive difference this is kind of for you more advanced guys are

you guys kind of further on in the journey it's not it's not the be all in

the end all what really matters here is that you've refined this whole range

which is probably more likely to be a big monthly candle right and you just

refine that down to either that last pivot right that kind of last

bullish bit before the for the cell or you can refine it all the way down to

that one candle okay just to be a little bit more accurate

and then we spike into here and then what can we expect right so now we

expect that pullback we get our change of character and we can expect price to

pull potentially back down into the discount now what can we look for for to

help increase the probability that that weekly higher low may be in

place when it's in the discount and we can wait for what that change of

character we get that minor bullish pullback price comes down to formula

minor low and then we take the high rise so what happened there is we had a minor

low took the high that's a weekly change of character which we know now was our

daily bullish trend change but how could we have anticipated ahead of time how

far we were likely to pull back well we can look at one the most unrefined way

would be to take this entire weekly range right

so you can see here as soon as price comes in there's a bit of a reaction but

some massive master zone right it's more of a monthly candle we want to refine

that down so what we can do is refine it to that last cell before the buy right

and you see in this case it gets engulfed so that's kind of your your

really true way in which you should um you know technically join us your your

uh demand zones now you see here how i've included the wick of that bear of

the bullish candle um you don't have to do this but you know it's the way i do i

would advise you do it because what's really happened right is price has been

selling selling and selling right that weekly counter closes but that doesn't

stop price keeps going down in this candle here and then the demand steps in

right so that's why i always include the wick because what can also happen right

is if you only draw the weekly zone just on the bearish candle

what can sometimes happen is price didn't in this case or at least so far

um price can come down it can come a little bit lower than your zone and it

can react to the demand that's within that wick and then price can go so

that's why i would always advise you do

cover the wick in that case okay so

very simple terms what's happened well we started a bullish trend right broke

that high we mitigated an old area of supply so that's what you'll find right

when you know excuse me when we were back all the way

over here price then led when that supply came in

it led to the break of structure if we were looking to trade the market

back then and we see that pullback right we could anticipate that price may want

to come up to that that origin that extreme supply zone that led to the

breaking structure down here right and then we can look for shorts then

continue that move but of course it doesn't have to do that but that doesn't

mean that this is now invalidated because the price then continues to

trend to the downside nope that supply will still be valid it just means that

we can use it at a latest later date right so then when we start to revisit

those prices over here we can then look left see okay we have an unmitigated

area of uh weekly supply so unmitigated essentially all that means is that it's

fresh price hasn't touched into it right um so now what you'll find in a bullish

market is that previous supply zones will just lead to pullbacks right so we

can expect a decent bearish reaction from here

but market structure and expectational order flow is more important in terms of

we expect this low to hold so although this is a strong area of supply because

it caused a break of structure because we are still in a bullish trend

now it's just to initiate the pullback we don't expect it to necessarily break

the slow right purely just from a weekly market perspective we expect this just

to initiate the pullback and for demand to stay in control and for this to hold

and for price to form a higher high now of course that doesn't have to happen

we could see this logo but that's the blind assumption that we run with until

proven otherwise that demand is in control in a bullish market okay so

that's one way you can draw the weekly demand zone as you can see that's what

price eventually led to react to but you could have also been looking um you know

at the last more of the decision all right this so before the buy or you

could have refined that further right to the actual candle that gets engulfed

right this you can see this candle then gets engulfed and that's absolutely

valid um you know make sure you include the wick and that as well the next

candle and you can see here right there's reactions from there and you can

use this as tradable knowledge but you have to understand that price could come

lower like it ended up doing to mitigate the actual origin or the extreme

or another way you could refine this uh single candle even further right because

remember when i said demand should really you know technically it should be

on a on a bearish candle before the bullish move this is still valid for me

but if you're being super strict it should be so then what some people do is

they will just do the fractal refinement instead

if we get it to work there we go down to this wick why right why would they do

that well because on a lower time frame that wick is going to have at some point

on one time frame it's going to be a bearish candle that then gets engulfed

right and then that's why we see this reaction here but it's just a

short-lived reaction uh in terms of the weekly chart and we go a little bit

lower because it wants to mitigate uh that extreme demand zone down here so

i'm going to keep it simple for now and just leave that one drawn on but i just

want to show you you know it's not always black and white um you know

sometimes in live market you can spot multiple zones you can see you know

various ways in which you can refine it um but that's what we'll use

multi-timeframe analysis to help us do right you don't have to just be stuck on

one time frame going you know do i show from this range do i take the one candle

do i take the wick do i take the cell before the buy right you can be aware of

all of it so you understand what's happening when price starts to react to

certain points in the market but what we will do is we will drill down into the

lower time frames and we will investigate what's within this big

weekly zone like this big cell before the buy and then we'll use those time

frames to help refine it even further but just purely from you know the weekly

chart we can just leave it that we can leave it unrefined we can leave it as a

big zone like this and we're just aware that all these four or five weeks when

prices tapping into here we can be aware at any point that weekly high low is

going to kick in but we'll look within here to look for those lower timeframe

zones right to help us time that potential weekly high low and that

potential weekly higher on so that's pretty much where we are at the

moment with the weekly chart so i'm going to leave that for there for now um

and we're going to dive down into the daily chart and see if we can

you know see how price action reacted with all of that weekly price action so

obviously that was the weekly zone here let's quick scroll across now we had see

as well you can refine us even further so could we refine this weekly zone to a

daily zone well you could take um you know this entire kind of cell before the

buy that whole pivot there right or we can refine it to uh that doji that

probably includes the top wick um or you could refine it even further to actually

the candle that then gets engulfed and we can do something like that and then

if we drag it all the way across let's see if price does actually come up to

mitigate that so as you can see price then taps into that daily zone nested

within the weekly zone right so

price for them reacts from daily supply nested within weekly supply rights

mitigated the eq of the weekly range then what do we get we get that daily

change of character right when we break that minor daily low which would most

likely be what our four hour swing low so our four hour bearish trend change

and then eventually we come down into this daily low and we get a break and

close below that daily low to give us uh our daily bearish trend

change right so the daily is now confirmed bearish and

that is where we got our weekly change of character and now we can really start

to anticipate that weekly pullback down towards the discount of this

uh bullish weekly leg right and then down into our area of weekly demand

but what do we have purely from a daily chart perspective to potentially

anticipate where the daily chart may reverse from or at least get a bullish

reaction well we have this pivot created demand right this cell before the buy

that leads to the break of that weekly swing high so we can draw that across as

well and what do we get we get a very very nice daily reaction right but we

have to understand is this whole time it's just a decisional price can

definitely come down to any of these areas of demand within the extreme and

come down towards this weekly zone so these are still tradable because as you

can see we get really nice sustained daily move that you know at least from

an interstate perspective as well we can take advantage of but you have to manage

about the expectations in the back of your head that potentially it's just a

reaction point to then generate liquidity for price to then come lower

um right because once this area of demand has been mitigated remember what

does that mean it means all those buy orders all of that demand sitting within

here has now been filled and that causes this move here right whilst demand

temporarily over power supply but because we are still in a bearish market

because this is the daily swing high price fails to close above it right so

the daily has remained bearish right and then we come lower

because we're in that bearish trend the entire time

daily supply is in control so when we come up here and we fail to close above

we grab that liquidity and we start coming down we assume that this is a

weak low but what else what has also happened from a demand perspective well

all of those orders have been filled so now when price comes down right there's

nothing stopping it because this has already caused that move away so now

there's just pretty much a vacuum for price to smash through and that's why

you see these big bearish candles for the most part right because there's no

demand until we get down to here because what do we have down here

all right we have this inside bar right you can either take that hole it's

pretty messy price action but you have this whole big cell before the buy

candle right which you can see if you get another reaction from or you could

refine that down to the inside bar right still

include the wick or you could refine it to just the candle of the inside bar

there we go all right because remember an inside bar is just a range on a lower

time frame um and these are very good uh you know

uh candles to keep an eye out on now you can use an indicator because as you

can see here they're colored white for me i'll put a link to that in the notes

below the video and you can put those on your charts and it can really help you

just to spot them at a glance so

again this is an old area of demand it's still fresh

and we just expect a reaction we expect a pullback to initiate from there we do

not expect the daily to go on and make a higher high and have a trend change

right because we just expect the daily trend to continue until it doesn't right

we don't try and second guess too much so when price comes into this inside bar

that can help us to either manage any shorts we're in right well it

doesn't really matter it's just we just use it as training information right so

you can either use it to manage any shorts you're in to understand a

pullback's about to kick in or you can look to play those counter trend daily

pullbacks and you can look to potentially getting along here but just

managing your expectations that it's just a short term pullback a short time

they've moved and we're likely to come lower because now the demand has been

filled the demand has been cleared so now when price forms it's lower high it

does what it needs to do right

now it can smash straight through because there's nothing stopping in its

way until what until it encounters more demand to then initiate another bullish

move right so from a daily chart perspective what we have started to look

at within this massive weekly zone to help refine us right

well we do have this inside bar here but you can kind of see it was already

mitigated by this wick so it's not the best zone you can start to get a little

bit more fractal and you can look within the wick of that inside bar because that

would still be fresh so the wick of that inside bar is likely something on the

four-hour chart and if i draw it across you can see you just get a short-term

pause now it pauses there for three days so from a day shot perspective nothing

happened it looks like it instantly failed but from an intraday perspective

right we can use that as decent information but ultimately price came

lower to do what to mitigate this large candle here right because remember what

i was saying about um

the true areas of demand should be the sale before the buy so if you drew this

whole cell range which is really what we've done with the

demands and right and we just refine it on the daily down to the last sale

before the buy that is definitely valid right and if we draw this across we

haven't come down there yet you may see a reaction but for me personally i don't

view that as valid because when the stone was created where we had to sell

on the 2nd of november and then it was engulfed by the buy on the 3rd of

november right what happened the next day

well we had all of this demand created here and i would be looking at the

demand zone but the very next day price comes down it fills all of those orders

it smashes straight through right so the minute for me i see the demand zone has

been spiked through that means demand has all been absorbed right it's failed

price has gone lower and then the demand stepped in to go so for me personally i

would not view that as a valid demand zone and i would then um evolve that to

this candle here right this big doji here and then this is the candle that

gets engulfed now there's two reasons why we may want

to refine this daily zone to make it even

smaller and why it would be valid um one because it's obviously a massive

zone but two remember it should really technically be the bearish candidate for

the buy um no for me this is still valid but what you can then do is refine it to

the wick just to make it a bit smaller but also because within that wick there

will then be a bearish count on a lower timeframe that that led to that bullish

break and as you can see pricing came down into there and then that's when we

got what that daily change of character which was that four hour bullish trend

change and all of those signs start to then kick in right we come down towards

the bottom of that strong weekly low that needs to help hold right we've

mitigated the fractal daily wick we've got a daily change of character right

it's the four hour switching bullish and then this is when we come in to our

daily it's still bearish at this point right that's our daily strong lower high

it did cause a lower low so when price comes back up purely from a daily chart

expect a daily chart perspective what do we expect at this point we expect a

daily lower high to form right we expect a strong high to hold and we should

expect this to come down and take out this low right

so what could we look at at that point is we could look at some daily supply

zones and we have this pivot buy to sell candle here all right if i draw that on

and what happens price does pause there right whilst that battle between demand

supply is occurring right it's battling with each other it's it's pauses there

for one two three four days right but eventually price breaks up a bit higher

so this is where you can see that supply is starting to fail and demand is

starting to step in and eventually we do break up higher and we get that daily

bearish bullish trend change right but it all led from kind of you know

starting to use multi-timeframe analysis now that price shouldn't break this

weekly low the weekly's bullish it's come down to pretty much the extreme

daily nested within the weekly chart we've got a daily change of character

the four hours now bullish right supply started to fail and then we get that

break of structure and then the daily starts to change trend right so at this

point in time when price is here we can be looking for shorts and it would be

pro daily trend but we kind of have to use lower timeframe confirmations and

that potentially know that that reversal may be about to occur right

so then at this point right if we just look

at purely the daily chart i mean i've kind of missed some of the old price

section let's have a quick look back up here right have we just jumped back a

bit when price started to change down here right we got this daily break of

structure and then what do we have purely in terms of supply well we kind

of have this pivot created supply here but how can we refine that a little bit

more you can refine it to the inside bar that would be valid right and you can

see the price reacts and we push down further

then we get another break of structure right price then pulls back we have this

pivot created supply here right sometimes you have to include the wicks

as well it's a little bit messy price will spike up a little bit higher right

and mitigate something within here but generally you can see this is a whole

area of supply that led to the break of structure price pulls back up into it we

expect that lower height to form it tries to go down lower but then it fails

right so it pushes up a little bit higher um

it fails to close above that daily high so we do switch bearish but what did it

want to do it wanted to come up to try and mitigate some higher area of supply

then we came down lower and then we took out this low here right so there is

unmitigated areas of supply over here right this candle here and this kind of

up here in fact what i'll do is draw it on

so whenever these supply zones are created right they're not always going

to be mitigated straight away in that current bearish trend because you can

see price pulled up right it didn't come up to this one but what did it react off

it reacted more kind of off these buy-to-cell wicks down here right some

supply and a lower time frame and then we went down

but these old supply zones now that we are bullish what do they become they

become reaction points so they're not continuation points because when we are

bearish price can pull back up to them and continue the bearish trend

whoops but when we switch bullish and we get that bullish breaker

stretches the upside old fresh supply zones just become points where we can

anticipate pullbacks right but we don't expect them to have you know those

full-on trend reversal moves it's just to initiate a pullback that supply is

then used up creating the way for the trend to then continue right just think

about it as like it mitigates it it clears the path for that demand to then

continue up to the upside right so then again if i drag this across

what do we have we have the buy before the cell

price comes up over here and mitigate it it initiates a pullback but that whole

time what is happening price is pulling back then into demand and that's why

demand is respected more so we have this wick here

all right you can see priceline comes into that daily zone there

and then we get a break of structure now in this case the more you refine

remember i said you increase your your risk to reward right so we had this

origin demand zone down here where we're looking that led to

this break of structure here right we'd be looking for price to potentially come

down and mitigate that to form a higher low to then continue but it ends up not

doing that it just ends up taking if we don't refine it as much and i draw it to

the whole pivot right the cell before the buy we can see that that's what it

um i reacted from so this is something that you're just going to have to kind

of you know find within what makes makes

most sense to you you'll get it just with time experience and data collection

whether or not you're happy to always draw from the range

and then when you're looking at this in the live market and price pulls back

into your daily range you are aware that we could go lower we could come down to

this single candle or we could even come down right right right down to the wicks

to try and mitigate these wicks as long as this load is still held that's fine

price could come all the way down to these wicks before we go and that will

increase your risk reward um but you may potentially miss out on a lot of moves

so the reason you know what some of you may want to do is you may want to be a

bit more loose with your hard time frame ranges right take the bigger ranges but

then you're happy to then jump down to lower time frames um and just you know

wait for that autoflow to start kicking in on the four hour on the 15

minute to then get in a little bit earlier but you accept that could just

be a short-term reaction for price to then come lower and it may actually then

want to mitigate the actual candle of the zone and then we may go okay so

hopefully that makes sense um but it's just something that you you will kind of

start to get with time and practice so we get another break of structure to the

upside um and then we start to initiate that pullback so what is price reacting

to it's starting to react to kind of the apex of the top of the weekly range up

here now at first glance if you were to draw on the daily zone um you know you

have this whole buy to sell so of course you know that would be the the most

unrefined way of drawing the daily zone if you draw all across we've already had

a bit of a reaction there we even had a reaction there we've come up high and

filled more orders but i like to be a little bit more refined than that so

what i would do is refine it all the way up to the last buy before the cell which

you can see price reacted to um but then you may want to be even a bit more

accurate because as you can see the next candle didn't actually close out below

that low which if you've been super strict if you've been i keep saying if

you've been very very very strict technically it should do um this is

still valid the way i've drawn it like that as you can see it does work but if

you you know do it the way where it should be the next counter should be

engulfed then technically you should evolve the zone to this next bearish

candle here right because then that candle closes below

um but what did i say right when demand you

know again if i'm being super super strict this is still valid to me but if

you're being super super strict and you want your demand to be drawn on a

bullish candle then what can you do to understand what's going on on the lower

time frames is you can use frat door refinements and you can see what we have

we have buy to sell wicks right because price comes down with those wicks it

pulls back up right as we can see by the wick and then the candle comes down so

what is that on a lower time frame that's pivot created supply so if you

were to draw and get rid of the paintbrush tool your

your zone from those daily buy to sell wicks right that is the most refined way

of how we have then refined that whole buy to sell range down to that fractal

refinement and you can see here price didn't actually mitigate it there just

missed it and that is then what prices then reacting to is something on the

lower time frames where there was that that buy to sell pivot that is what

prices i'm reacting to here we start to get those changes of character and we

start to break to the downside um and then yeah this demand zone um you know

ends up initially failing so if i was to draw on this daily demand zone over here

all right what do we get we get an initial

reaction we'd expect a high load to form um but it doesn't end up happening

supply ends up starting to take control right and then we move to the downside

pull back up and then we get that daily trend change there right so there are

supply zones up here which we could see which when prices then start to pull

back to we can anticipate to look for shorts but you know as we said before

when you get that first initial trend change momentum is very high it's not

very likely price is going to want to pull all the way back up but this supply

zone is still valid right i haven't drawn it on for price at a later point

to come back up but if we if we were to right this is where price action is now

in the live market if we were to start breaking structure to the upside and

then come up to this old supply zone as long as price is still bullish when we

get there what am i expecting i'm expecting just a

reaction to initiate a pullback i'm not necessarily expecting that we're then

going to go on to form a lower low why because market structure is king not

supply and demand zones but market structure as long as market structure is

bullish at that point uh the expectation autoflow for me is

the blind assumption that we are going to stablish so we're just initiating a

pullback now of course that doesn't mean that you can you know start to

potentially anticipate ahead of time like this move up here that you know

potentially we are going to get that reversal of course you can but you need

to stack a hell of a lot of confidence when you're going to do that and use you

know zones and all the concepts that we use across multiple time frames to try

and anticipate right where that is potentially going to happen

so daily chart is bearish we can start to look at all those old demand zones to

petition to potentially anticipate where that move may start to kick in so

obviously there was this daily range here right which you can then refine

to the inside bar right just like that and then

we uh draw it across like that now as i said for me

personally i'm very very strict kind of with my zones and that the minute price

spikes the bottom of it if it's the one zone or you know the top of it of a

supply zone then for me technically it failed and it

didn't work now in this case it looks like we went straight through and we

failed um but this is a bit of an anomaly this one because i remember you

know obviously looking at this on the live market um and actually

it shows that that it did that on on our charts with the price action candles

that it did move below the zone but all that was is at 10 pm gmt right when we

had those spread hours when market liquidity is really thin and the spreads

blow out and that's essentially what just happened there this was created at

10 p.m um if you go and look on on sort of the lower timeframes it was just

because the spreads blew out and as soon as those spreads narrowed back again um

price was trading within that zone so um yeah don't worry too much if that

doesn't make any sense but essentially this was just more just uh

reflecting the spreads blowing out and it wasn't really per se price trading

below so i personally view that as this inside bar uh range holding and then

price actually pushing up a little bit higher but doesn't really matter too

much there but we are bearish right we continue to

break lower lows and what do we do we then come back up and we react to this

fractal wick here right it'll be a lot clearer on the lower time frames more

specifically probably the four hour time frame right and then we continue to move

up lower and what we're reacting to to initiate those pullbacks we're reacting

to previous demands those right because this demand zone was more of the origin

right that led to that breaking structure that caused that change of

character so when price comes back into it what do

we get we can start to anticipate that we will get a bit more of a bullish move

all right nice pivot created the mars in there and you can even refine that even

further to the wick which will be more than likely a four hour zone but i'm

going to leave that there for now uh and then we push up a little bit higher

but we respect the trend right keep that level higher in place we sweep the spine

high just a bit of sweep of liquidity but of course we'll talk about that in

later lessons all right we mitigate uh that biter cell

there and then we drop down lower and create more supply which we have not

used yet and then we get a break of this low what happens price comes into this

uh inside bar here we've seen a bit of a reaction it's trying to go lower and at

the moment it looks like it's failing we haven't quite gone above this high yet

but i would anticipate we're probably going to see that failure of supply we

may get a deeper pullback potentially up to anywhere within this area here right

where there may be some daily supply or because we're starting to now take these

highs potentially that could just be you know prices starting to then move higher

and for price to go yeah up higher from there because what have we done we've

filled up more orders within this daily zone here right because that's a massive

daily zone anywhere within this wick all of that demand is going to be in there

we never know you know how much is going to be left within the zone but of course

the further price pushes towards that eq generally the more it will be mitigated

so here it just reacted from the edge just reacted from what we call the

distal um but there's still more orders within the zone as we can see prices

come lower to mitigate those to potentially now try and cause that daily

trend change so from a daily chart perspective appreciate it looks a little

bit messy when you start to draw on all of your zones um but yeah that's what

happens when you're kind of testing and just you know going over price action

when we are in the live market we are not going to have our charts looking

like this when we have every single zone drawn on generally what you want to do

is just focus on what is price reacting from now what are the fresh and

mitigated zones that they could come up to and just use whatever is going to

help you to build that story but yeah you don't really want your charts

looking like this in the live market because it's it can get a little bit

confusing especially when we're jumping through all the time frames and we want

to be able to focus um on true price action but

let's have down to the four-hour chart and see what we can do down there so you

may have already noticed that my weekly zones have now disappeared right all i

can see is daily zones that have drawn on and that's just because for me

personally i try and keep it as clean as possible and i have my weekly zone

setting so we jump back up uh and i click on one of these weekly zones

all right i have it so it only shows on on days and weeks just because i want to

try and keep my charts uh as neat as possible so

yeah let's hop down to the floor chat i'm not going to go through all of the

price action right because um all right this will be a four hour video and i

don't want you guys falling asleep um so let's just concentrate on some of the

more of the price action that we've really been concentrating uh in the

lessons so far so right we came down towards this weekly

low we know we have that daily area of demands that we're expecting uh price to

react from and then what do we get on the four-hour chart we start to see

those four-hour changes of character right where we take that minor low so

draw a bit more actually we take the low so then we take the high and we get that

for our change of character which is generally that that 15 minute british

trend change and then what happens we create this very very minor right it's

not a strong demand zone at all but you can draw on that what that last cell

before the buy that caused that four-hour change of character right and

price comes down into mitigate that gives us that another minor break of

structure right and then we come back in in this case we end up mitigating this

wick here right the mind is then holding and then

eventually it leads to supply failing and price pushing up higher so you can

see if you just run all of these zones the way that price will literally react

from them but it's market structure that is telling you you know whether that

that zone is going to hold or not or whether the mine is in control where

we're going but what i want to just do quickly is drop down to the 15-minute

chart and we can start to see you know what's going on down here on the

four-hour chart at the same time if we are anticipating what if we're

anticipating trying to catch this weekly high low write the weekly's pullback and

a bullish trend into the discount into the demand the extreme demand that led

to the weekly break of structure what do we have on a whoops this should be my

daily chart so i was getting confused right so then this is the daily area

that we're looking at right let me drag this back across

prices then come down into that daily wick right that fractal refinement

pretty much the extreme that also led to that weekly move within the weekly zone

so we're anticipating now that potentially we want to try and catch the

weekly high low so if we look at the four-hour chart if

i sync this up this is what we're just looking at

so the four-hour charts now come into that daily zone and what did we get we

got a four-hour change of character and that created a sale before the buy

remember it's not a super strong zone because all it led to was a break of

minor structure right very very minor structure in this case but it's it's

useful with your trading right because this represents more what's going on the

lower time frame so zoom into the 15-minute chart and see what all of that

represents all right we've covered this a few times

before in the market structure lessons right

and now this is where we can see what did we get

the 15-minute chart was clearly bearish right creating that lower high which

then led to the lower low and then we took the low and we took the high so we

got that 15 minute change of character anticipating that the 15 minute chart is

going to pull back but then end up leading to the four hour change of

character let me zoom right in so you guys can see this

which is where i've drawn the orange line so that four hour change of

character denoted by the the dotted line there which you can see is that bit

there on the four-hour chart right we get that initiation up it creates that

four-hour poi for our demand zone it's a week for our demand zone right just

because it's a little zone but we're pairing this with everything on the hard

time frames and that's why it becomes an area of interest for us to potentially

start framing trade ideas to anticipate that big weekly move so what happens we

get this big trend change on the m15 chart

we create that m15 demand zone right at the extreme all right so we take that

pivot supply zone with those two candles sorry pivot demand zone i should say

definitely not supply right and then price comes down and it mitigates this

blue zone the m15 zone and then we have literally if you set your limit order

there caught the bottom of this weekly move let's see with how many pips

so in this case stop on the distal stop just below the

low just be conservative john let's be even more conservative let's say 10 pips

because we want to cover the true swing low and then you have caught that move

from all the way down here so you literally caught that exact weekly

bottom and then you know it peaked at what 500

let's say 567 pips with 10 pip stops that's over 56r right and you could have

just obviously wouldn't be easy in reality with psychology and what not you

have to deal with and patience but you know that's in theory is how you can

catch and time that weekly move right and you're not jumping on every little

m15 change of character no you're waiting for the m15 to truly switch

trend to get a bullish break of structure to get that four hour change

of character within the daily extreme zone within the fractal refinement wake

within the weekly zone right right at the extreme origin of the weekly move

and then you wait for price to come back in and then you've got that weekly

demand zone right at the origin there now this is another case where if you

had refined your zone to just a candle you wouldn't have got in okay which is

fine it's absolutely fine you'll see loads of times as well when price does

mitigate this it will just come with time and testing but perhaps you don't

want to enter on a 15-minute chart and you want a little bit more

confirmation than what you can do and this kind of reflects more my current

style of training is i won't over refine the m15 what i'll happily do is i'll

draw the whole range i'll draw that whole pivot and i'll start to be aware

you know i'll set my alert on the edge of the zone and as soon as price taps in

that zone i then drop down to the lower time frames and i start to look for my

entry models down there right like we just went with three before on a theory

video just before this video where i showed you the m15 pulls back to form

that high low and we jump down to the m1 and we start looking for you know the

same thing on the m1 right so in this case i'm not gonna well i can't go down

to m1 just because of how far back this is the the price data won't load on the

m1 chart but you can see here what happened right we took that m15 low then

we took the high so we had that change of character and then literally straight

away right you don't always have to wait for price to come back at a later date

but straight away that sell before the buy creates demand right when this

bullish candle here closes above it and then what happens in the next 15 minutes

price taps into that demand that was just created and then we're off it's

right so sometimes it's really really quick and we'll be looking at this

potentially on the m1 or you could even you don't have to again you could just

wait for that extra confirmation right prices come into here we've got the

change of character we've created another area of m15 demand boom i'm

going to set my entry order there again we'll cover entries and

stuff in a much later date but i just think it's useful to kind of get your

brain thinking and just show you the true potential of you know how you're

using all of these concepts you don't even have to go learning m15 to get

insane risk to reward okay and you know it's a very very sort

of more hands-off approach you don't have to be playing around um on the m1

time frames okay um but yeah just kind of wanted to show you that how that

weekly starts to change but we can all see it all starts first on those lower

timeframes down there so we're going too much further into this but we'll go

through the four-hour chat a bit more and take a look at some of the examples

that we should be quite familiar with when we were marking our uh four-hour

swing structure so this dotted line of course is that daily

change of character it's that four-hour bullish trend change so what do we know

about all of those fresh unmitigated for our supply zones from previous price

action what do they become they become areas for us to anticipate where for our

pullbacks may be about to kick in so you can see here if you refine it to that

one candle right it's it's a but it's a a bearish candle within supply but

technically it should be into the bullish candle or you want to take that

whole range right you want to take the whole so before the buy you can start to

see how it initiates those pullbacks right or potentially you want to refine

it to that wick right and you can see that would have been a bullish pivot

where the true momentum steps in on the lower time frame and that is what

initiates that pullback but because we are bullish what does that mean it means

demand is going to be in control so let me just grab this a little bit quicker

all right uh price action's a little bit messy in this area but we can see this

whole time the miner is keeping control we start to get substructure breaks to

the upside and even within those substructure breaks you can see

what's happening i'll just draw on rather put the boxes

just to save time here but we get that pivot created demand right price comes

into it fills up those orders we get pivot created demand price comes into it

and it falls as orders so you can see that whole time that yes there's some

supply within here right price pulls back up into that supply zone and it

tries to push lower but ultimately we're in the bullish trend so demand zone is

staying in control we move away create more demand right in control move away

we create more demand to bring control and then we get another bullish break

structure to the upside so then that old supply over here

right it's just a reaction point for price to react off so we have this buy

before the cell that is valid to draw it that way for me personally it doesn't

make sense because after it was created the price spiked up through it and took

the orders so for me those wicks show where the true supply is because

price went up and then sold off and it's that pivot that i personally am

interested in so i refine it to that wick there and that for me is the

fractal refinement and that is where price tries to pull back as it fills up

those orders but what happens price you know demand stays in control we start to

move up higher don't quite make it come down we sweep liquidity and then that's

enough to fuel the move to get that true next break of structure and then the

daily switch is bullish and we come up into this daily area of supply where we

can start to refine that daily down to four hour areas of supply right

and this is how you can play on so on so forth right so we have the whole range

like that or you can refine it to the inside bar right

and we can see we get a bit of reaction but price spikes up literally just a

little bit higher so for me that's invalidated and what i would say was the

true supply zone that caused that pullback was this big cell before the

buy there and that's what initiated that pool back there so at that point i would

be looking for price to come down towards this for our demand zone um or

even if you took the the the actual pivot of the two candles right but we

can see actually let's see if it comes down

later so if i draw that on there

down to the lower of that candle so we take the whole pivot actually no price

here price does miss at that point but we just react to the daily zone right so

this is why you have to use multiple time frames to truly see what's going on

otherwise sometimes you may miss moves because if you're saying i'm not going

to get long until this four hour zone is hit or even the there's the single

candle but you're not you know looking well actually we've reacted to the daily

range what have we then got we've got a four hour change of character we've got

a forum but it's trend change you're gonna miss out on all of that okay

um yeah so on and so forth really you know it's the same thing again and

again and again we break another break of structure daily breaking structure as

well you can see with a mitigated an old an old daily area of supply and what

happens price comes down into this four hour decisional demand zone there right

we then get that change of character to the upside we pull back in intraday i

can pretty much guarantee there will be a 15 minute or five minute area of

demand we then can get in long and then we can target that weak high there to

anticipate the higher high where do we know that pullbacks likely to kick in

when we mitigate an old area of supply which you can see we drawn earlier right

that daily area of supply we mitigate that then we do have areas as demand

right that would be a decision area of demand right that's sell before the buy

and what happens well you can see we got a reaction price came down that big wick

means price moved up right it tried to go up higher but it ultimately failed so

why is demand starting to fail well because we've come up into an area of

daily supply so that's starting to overpower

for our demand right and then that leads to what a four hour

change range which is the daily change of character

so then what happens when we get that burst trend change well we can

anticipate that now supply is in control so what do we draw on the buy before the

cell at the extreme price comes up into that supply zone then what do we get we

get that four hour change of character right it switches in bearish and then we

can start to look at those internal areas of supply yes they didn't cause

swing structure breaks but they cause minor breaks of structure to the

downside right took out that minor low you can even refine it to that candle

there right price pulls back up in boom we've got all the confirmation that we

need now to at a minimum target this week four hour low right supply is

clearly in control and then we move down and take out that low we come into that

area of daily demand because at this time the daily is still bullish right

i'll show you two time frames at once would probably

be useful wouldn't it so this whole section of four hour price

action here as you can see is this daily section of price action here so at this

point the daily chart is still bullish right we had that higher high and we're

just anticipating that we're going to get that daily high low and we're going

to continue that move we're going to continue that weekly move right

but that doesn't mean that we can't trade the four hour in intraday price

section short down into these regions until the four hours which is bullish

again and this is how we can do that right we can see the four hour being

bearish within here and again we get that breaker structure we then mitigate

this area of daily demand we then get that change of character to the upside

and we can see demand and control right but then what happens if i zoom in a

little bit we have another four hour area of supply

right make sure you include the wick as well

we drag it across price comes into that area spikes it we get a change of

character to the downside supply starts to fail that internal

supply we get that change of character price then pulls back up into this by

the buy before the cell so then mitigating that demand yes it's a little

bit messy but this is how you can clear it all up on the lower timeframes as

well but it's just so you can see what's happening we pulled up into that supply

zone supply is now filled demands all being cleared out right with these wicks

here it's filled all the demand and we're there so now when it's mitigated

the supply and all of those sellers step in what happens pretty much apart from

this demand down here which we can see we do get a bit of a reaction from but

not enough because supply is completely in control now and we smash straight

through we mitigate some more orders right within that daily zone we

can refine that to the four hour candles within here to initiate another pullback

but ultimately we get that change of character again right change of

character there and then pull back up into that newly created supply right

within that buy before the cell and then again

all the demand within us wick has been cleared out by this week here so then

when we mitigate supply up here we're then ready to tank straight down through

so it's gonna get rid of those messy orange lines

in fact we'll just leave that there just so we can have the four our zones

drawn on okay and then yeah we go one further and

further and further um we have you know a very very aggressive set off here and

then we come down and mitigate those old areas of demand push a little bit lower

and we start to get those pullbacks um yeah so on and so forth let's try and

just look at a few more interesting areas of price action because i think

you guys are probably hopefully starting to get the hang of things now right we

come down into this daily extreme the old extreme that initiated that weekly

high low but if you remember from a

uh a market structure standpoint

what did we expect when the weekly mitigated this area of demand we

expected the weekly chart to form that higher high now the minute it starts to

come down with a lot of momentum the daily is bearish we can anticipate with

a pretty strong you know and high degree of accuracy and high degree of

probability that this weekly low is a weak low because it failed to do its job

it failed to take out the high so when we start to come down the daily is

bearish with a lot of momentum we can expect purely from a market structure

standpoint that this low is likely to get run which is what ended up happening

okay now that whole time when that's about to

happen you could have drawn on your charts right this weekly candle as just

a pivot demand zone right and that's more than valid to do but remember it's

it's just a demand zone it is not a strong zone right because it did not do

its job it did not cause a break of structure it didn't even really cause a

minor breaker structure from this high here right because it never had a candle

closure above it okay now the reason why some of you may

want to draw the song because you may be thinking why would i bother to draw on a

weak zone on a low that we expect to get taken well the reason why is because

it's a weekly zone and like i said even if it's a weak zone i

know it's really confusing because weak and weekly sound the same

especially english is not your first language but the reason why i would

personally still draw this on even though i'm expecting price to ultimately

go through it is because nearly every zone will have some form of a reaction

as we can see here right we had that bullish reaction with this candle

on the week of the 26th of july and how big was that let's have a quick

look that was a you know 160 pip move but from an intraday standpoint right

that's what happened here this is this entire move which we can take advantage

of and we can trade and you know we can

make a hell of a lot of percentage uh money and are doing that so that's why

we draw on but i'm always managing my expectation that this move is very

likely to be short-lived it's likely to just be a daily pullback running some of

this trend line liquidity for price to then come down lower right and

ultimately take out that low right so that's why i would personally draw it on

but i am aware in the back of my mind the difference between this weekly zone

here which is a strong zone that led to a break of structure compared to this

just being a pivot zone which i expect a very short-term bullish bounce from just

a bit of a reaction point okay so i did just kind of want to cover that

but yeah this whole zone is still valid right there can still be orders even

down into around this wick that price ultimately may want to come down to

before potentially that weekly high low goes and we could go to the upside or of

course we could be switching bearish now and we could start a new trend

no idea don't need to know to make money and this is that whole point right we

just trade what we see and we run with blind assumptions until

we're told by the market otherwise but what i'm going to do is just well i

shall just leave it on that's fine so let's just investigate some of this

price action area and then we'll start to to wrap it up so remember when we're

going over this on the 4-hour chart and even the multi-time analysis right when

prices start to get a bit more corrective what was happening price was

pulling back up into supply taking the low then we were getting pullbacks right

we pulled back up into this range created supply right doesn't quite come

back up into the refined one um but then we start to get that change of character

and then we set off so let me make this kind of point again

did try to make it earlier but just to make sure kind of drive this home the

difference between when you want to refine and when you don't

right so we have this obviously this range created supply on

the four-hour chart why is it range created supply well

because it's the buy right that buying range before the cell that led to the

breaker structure so that whole area is valid for our demand strong four hours

sorry that whole area is valid supply right it's a strong area of supply

because it led to a break of structure but you can refine it

right to that last candle that was then engulfed and that would be more than

valid as well but sometimes price is going to miss you and it's going to go

and that's more than fine but what you can do is just take the whole range and

then look for those lower time frame confirmations and wait for price to

start to break stretch to the downside which is what ends up happening here

right we break that stretch to the downside and we take that low there and

then we start to go and what you can actually see now is that in reality

price was reacting from this

cell to buy wix right within here and it starts to go which would be probably

more than let's have a let's investigate that in a

15-minute chart actually let's see if we can see it might be learning the

15-minute chart but let's go back to where was that the

14th of july so around this area here yeah i mean

with that before i even zoom in you can see just clearly on the 15-minute chart

where out of supply stepped in right and what was that well if we joined the 15

minute chart it was a super super clean uh m15 bullish candle right before the

sale where the hell of a lot momentum came in and that's what price came up to

mitigate right so if you're kind of thinking there and

this you're kind of new to supply and demand and you're thinking how am i

going to see all these little fractal refinements and know which one's going

to react to or do i take the whole range or do i take that last candle or do i

take just the wick of that candle you know don't panic alright it'd be fine i

promise you this will become so much easier with time and experience

but what will happen is we're just understanding what's going on here so we

understand what those buy to sell wicks mean on the lower time frame but we

don't have to you know have perfect guesses that that's where price is going

to reverse from because we're always going to be constantly using multi-time

frames to help us refine this four-hour zone into you know three or four

potential m15 zones within that whole zone right so this big gray box here is

that four hours range i've just been spoken about and what we can do is we

can leave it there and then we can go okay well i'm going to jump down to

lower time frames and i'm going to refine that four hour zone to a few more

points that look good on the m15 right and i go okay i've got these kind of

three points that i'd be interested in obviously i always would love to be

trading from the extreme because that's going to give me you know generally the

highest strike rate and risk reward because if this zone fails well then i'm

wrong anyway because price is most likely switching bullish on the

four-hour chart right but now with what we've done is we've taken that whole

whole four-hour range that whole

buy-to-cell range right we've now refined that down to 3 and 15 zones now

which m15 zone is going to hold i have no idea but i don't need to know because

i can just trade all three of them when price comes into there and i can wait

for price to confirm what i need to see with my entry models on the lower

timeframes as price comes into there right so on the lower time frame we're

just going to break a structure to the downside here or pull back up into an m1

supply zone and then we can take that short and then we're in the move okay

but yes price easily could have had a short term move reacted from demand from

here but we can remove risk we can pay ourselves a bit we can take partial

profits and we can even look to get long here excuse me and take the hedge and

trade up higher to our next zone and then we just look for the same thing to

happen again and again it may be short-lived it may react from demand and

it may come up higher finally react from the extreme and then we go

and we have no idea but we just continue to be neutral

identify higher probability areas of where we expect lower highs or higher

loans to form we wait for our entry models we wait for confirmation we enter

we manage our risk right accordingly uh and then we pay ourselves along the way

um and we just keep doing it again and again and again and this is kind of what

i mean by no one knows where the market will go and you don't

need to know to make money you just identify higher probability areas you

try and get on the right side of the market as much as possible by using

market structure you then use multi-time frame analysis

supply and demand zones right premium discount just to help increase the

probability and how far you can push those moves um as much as possible okay

now again charts are starting to look very very messy and we haven't even you

know drawn on that many zones there's a lot of zones i haven't drawn on and i

haven't put all the time frame stuff on but yeah don't worry in the live market

we will have our charts as clear clean as possible this is just a really good

exercise you know to see um yeah how the charts start to to play out now i won't

do any more just because i want this video to go on for hours um we're gonna

get a lot more practice with this as we go through the next lessons as we apply

more and more concepts uh but also of course with the weekly uh you know the

the live market stuff week in week out as we cover the live price action as it

forms um yeah you'll just see it you know in real practice as we go through

this and you'll see it play out again and again and again

and you'll just start to get really familiar with this so yeah this is now

your time to do the work jump on your charts hopefully you still got this

layout saved down um and just start to take you know just take one time frame

at a time literally just a weekly chart um you know just just look at it look at

all the big zones that it reacts to look at the ones that fail then i would

recommend that you just kind of take one sort of area on the weekly chart like

this big range here and then you can draw down into lower time frames draw on

all your daily zones right see which ones work see which ones don't and then

you know refine those daily zones on the four-hour chart you can draw all the

other ones on right so on and so forth and then you know this is kind of how

you how you'll really start to get to grips with it is if you go and look at

the true turning point so all of the swing points right on the four-hour

chart or whatever time frame then don't just jump down into there and

investigate that on the lower time frame investigate it on the 15-minute chart of

how could i have anticipated that turning right and how could i've got in

so let's look at this this move up here right we've got that breaker structure

uh where were we uh up here all right and go well how could i have

anticipated that on the 15 minute chart well that dotted line that four hour

change of character was what it was a 15 minute

uh breaking structure that 15 minute bearish trend change so then that whole

time now the 15 minute is playing within what this bearish range so how can we

anticipate where to catch that 15 minute lower high and then you start to draw on

all of your supplies right there's always not always but a lot of times

there's going to be multiple and you'll see which ones are going to hold and

which ones aren't so what do we have let's actually just look at this and

then we'll kind of wrap it up there

all right so we have this decisional now decisions can play out they're not

always the best because they're not always well priced but they can get a

tradable reaction and then it can clear supply for prices and pull up a little

bit higher i know what we have we have this buy before the cell here that we

can also look to potentially take a short from which we can see

price initially has a reaction to but then it pushes up deeper to catch more

orders so what you may want to do right instead of having that large zone is

refine it to just a wick and that will be you know likely a five minute or a

one minute zone and then you've got a fractal refinement even more then supply

has been filled demand starts to have reactions but fail and supply is in

control and it comes down right but it fails to take out that low

but we then get another reaction from what this 15-minute supply zone there

fails to take out the low so now what do we have well we are within this bearish

15-minute range right that's the high that is the low we've tried to wrap from

supply but we've failed we've come up higher we've tried to reference from

supply we've failed we've come up higher but this supply here does hold we tried

to go lower again but we failed so what does that mean it means these are weak

highs right so let's clear this up a little bit now

let's put the range that we're playing within

now we get that breaker structure so then what happens this becomes our

well it becomes our 15-minute high right that would be our 15-minute high that we

need to see hold price tag tries to come up higher it fails to close above it so

that means we remain bearish we get to grab a liquidity and we go and what did

price react from well this is where you could have had this whole unmitigated by

before the cell right or you could refine to the doji

but it would ultimately actually uh reacted from because it just misses

that was what it was these buy

before the cell wicks here that price reacted to now again you're going to

think well which one do i draw my zone from how am i going to know if it's

going to be the whole range or it's just going to be this wick up here or the

spider cell works here right because there's going to be zones

all over the place but again you don't always need to know

because if you're looking and you just know that this general area is where

you're expecting potentially a lower height to form you can then sit on the

lower time frames and wait for the lower time frames to start to switch bearish

all right and then you can look for your entry models within there right which

we'll cover at a later date and that's why you know you don't have to always

know but it's more that when you see price violent react and you see price

start to break structure and other time frames and you see demand start to take

control and the lower time frame supply starts to fail you can then look left

and you can understand why price is doing that it has mitigated something

significant right it's not just reacting to thin air and it can then give you a

lot more confidence that that stuff you're seeing on the lower time frame

isn't giving you full signals and this is a strong lower high to want to trade

and then that can increase your probability now of course there are

other things that we can do to anticipate ahead of time which zones are

going to be higher probability because in this case this buy to sell wix was

actually a demand uh a surprise demand flip which will

cover that later they don't i don't worry about that too much just now but

there are things that we can do right that will help us ahead of time to

anticipate that but yeah i do just really want to drive the home the point

home now is we will never truly know which zone is going to cause the move to

cause the next swing run but we can outline them ahead of time and then we

can start to you know rank them in the back of our heads well which ones are

the highest probability because you know back here when price breaks

that low and then we've got you know one two

uh three you know potentially up in this wick and then you can refine all those

zones to even smaller ways you kind of end up with you know five six possible

combinations of where price may react it doesn't matter which one which is the

one that ultimately goes because look how many training opportunities we get

this entire time right we can start to trade you know these demand zones here

short little quick moves we can play ping pong we don't have to do that

but we can do intraday we want we can start playing the ranges but again

imagine this is the monthly chart right or the weekly chart

these are going to be big moves we can take advantage of it's just having an

understanding that although this is a you know this is

right here this is an m15 demand zone and that's why you often see a reaction

to the upside because you understand market structure because you understand

that although it took this high out all that high is a substructure high right

because price had a clean move down and it pulled back and then it took out that

substructure high so it didn't take a lot of money to take out a high like

that that is not a significant high right so when price comes back in yes

there's a reaction but ultimately supply is now in control right we're getting

those series of mitigations and we're coming to the downside right now in this

case price then does push back up but supplies in control again and then old

areas of demand here right demand there small time reaction we come back down

all right so on and so forth

and then we have old areas of supply yeah anyway i'm beating the beating this

to death a little bit um i want to leave that there now before kind of this goes

on a little bit too long yeah hopefully you guys have started to take some value

from that play around with it um yeah start to draw your zones on there if

you're getting a little bit overwhelmed just keep it simple again just go back

up to the weekly time frame just concentrate on the big swing points of

the market right don't even worry too much about kind of the decisions

everything in the middle concentrate on those big swings initially um you know

the real obvious ones on the daily chart and then you know even if you literally

just had this daily zone drawn down here within a weekly chart then go down to

the four-hour chart and just anticipate how you could use the 4 out of 15 maybe

even lower to anticipate all of those big daily swings right

yes we can trade all this in the middle and you will learn how to do that but

it's a lot more advanced it's a lot more messy what i would advise now and my

best advice would be is just go down to all of these big swing points right

where all your big circles are and just concentrate on those because those are

the the the highest property areas for us to be looking to position ourselves

because they're going to give us the right the highest risk to reward

positions rather than trying to trade the mess in the middle you will learn

how to do that if you wish to do so but those big spring points are really

where you know that that that big professional um you know high risk

reward high strike rate training is going to occur so i'll leave that there

before i talk any longer um yeah see how you get on as always post shots in the

community if you want any feedback yeah and just make sure you enjoy it

alright