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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,799 --> 00:00:05,920 alrighty so today we're gonna do essentially a back testing exercise um 2 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:11,440 on euro dollar uh for the month of september 2021 and we're not going to go 3 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:16,720 any lower than the m15 okay so essentially kind of the main goal was a 4 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:19,680 couple main goals for this exercise on this lesson 5 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,800 one is obviously just to kind of you know practice of how we put all of the 6 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:26,720 concepts together uh to combine it into you know what essentially makes up the 7 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,880 strategy as a whole um so we're gonna do this full chart walkthrough uh for the 8 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:34,079 month of september um and just really see you know how we 9 00:00:34,079 --> 00:00:39,120 apply uh the concepts to the chart but the other kind of main thing i i i want 10 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,640 for you guys to hopefully get from this is that literally just training one pair 11 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:47,680 alone so just you're a dollar going no lower than the m15 uh and just in one 12 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,920 month uh hopefully i'm gonna be able to show 13 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:54,640 you kind of the insane insane amount of opportunity uh and potential that there 14 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:59,440 is um you know even just within those parameters so 15 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,719 yeah we're just going to hop on and play through this so some of you may 16 00:01:02,719 --> 00:01:05,680 be familiar with the software already some of you won't uh essentially it's 17 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,119 just um a software that allows you to back test 18 00:01:09,119 --> 00:01:12,960 uh with bar replay on mt4 i'll link it below in the description below but i 19 00:01:12,960 --> 00:01:16,159 believe i did talk about this in the testing module as well 20 00:01:16,159 --> 00:01:20,080 um but yeah so only downside to this really compared to 21 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:24,080 training view is that we can't you know do some nice clear analysis in terms of 22 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:27,759 drawing nice lines and boxes and all the templates and stuff analyzing on mt4 is 23 00:01:27,759 --> 00:01:33,040 extremely clunky it's horrible um so i'm going to do my best to kind of 24 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,680 go through this nice and slowly a little slower than what i would if i was just 25 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:39,040 back testing for myself just so you guys can obviously try and follow along as 26 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,920 clearly as possible and you don't get too lost because i'm 27 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,320 not going to be able to kind of perfectly draw on every bit of structure 28 00:01:44,320 --> 00:01:47,840 like we would on training view um so sometimes it can get a little bit messy 29 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:52,240 but i'm going to do my best to kind of go through it uh nice and slowly so yeah 30 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:54,399 like i said we're going gonna do september 31 00:01:54,399 --> 00:01:57,439 the whole month of september so this might be a bit of a long video but 32 00:01:57,439 --> 00:02:00,479 hopefully you guys will take a fair amount of value from it um i'll probably 33 00:02:00,479 --> 00:02:03,360 go quite slow at the start and then if it starts to drag on a bit i'll probably 34 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:07,920 speed things up uh just for the sake of time but yeah hopefully you guys can um 35 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,479 yeah take some money from that last thing i'll say is kind of i get a lot of 36 00:02:10,479 --> 00:02:13,920 questions about you know 37 00:02:13,920 --> 00:02:16,239 you know people saying they want to trade the hard time frames whether that 38 00:02:16,239 --> 00:02:18,800 be because they have a job or they just prefer the kind of more slower and 39 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:22,720 hands-off approach etc etc and they ask me you know how should they trade it 40 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,400 what should their trade plan be well you know the simple answer also the 41 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:30,080 correct answer is it's exactly the same the concepts are universal they 42 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,120 literally apply to any time frame you want you know you could trade the three 43 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,640 day the two and a half hour and the 33 minute if you wanted to 44 00:02:36,640 --> 00:02:40,239 would necessarily recommend it but you know in theory it's all the same right 45 00:02:40,239 --> 00:02:43,360 price has no time time there's no price it's just orders going through the 46 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,959 market right and we're just making sense of that order flow by using japanese 47 00:02:46,959 --> 00:02:50,239 candlestick charts all right so we bring a method to the madness by kind of 48 00:02:50,239 --> 00:02:53,599 picking those three time frames our higher time frame our medium time frame 49 00:02:53,599 --> 00:02:57,120 and our lower time frame right which for me is generally the four hour the m15 50 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:02,159 and the m1 but in this case we we're replacing the 4r the m15 and the m1 with 51 00:03:02,159 --> 00:03:06,400 the daily the hour and the m15 okay so the daily becomes our time frame 52 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,599 the four hour becomes your medium time frame right so we're using the daily and 53 00:03:09,599 --> 00:03:13,040 the four hour for our pois and for our structure and then we're pretty much 54 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:17,040 just using the m15 for lower time frame execution right so we're not paying a 55 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,319 massive attention to structure in that time frame but more so kind of how we 56 00:03:20,319 --> 00:03:23,680 can trade uh you know from from each four hour poi 57 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:28,720 to the next four or four hour poi um now what you'll see is i'm gonna be 58 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,840 you know reasonably aggressive here and you'll see that you know you don't only 59 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,920 have to enter positions when price is in your higher time frame poi so when 60 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:39,760 prices in a four-hour poi or above right you don't have to stick to those now if 61 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:43,200 you choose to only trade there your strike quote will most likely be higher 62 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,000 right if you want that higher strike rate and you'll have to set your hands a 63 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:49,599 little bit more um and you can still make an incredible return but i am going 64 00:03:49,599 --> 00:03:52,720 to be a little bit more aggressive just to show you kind of when when i will and 65 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:57,280 when i wouldn't sort of you know chase i don't say chase but trade the m15 so i 66 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,239 lower time frame execution time frame when i will trade that kind of further 67 00:04:00,239 --> 00:04:03,680 in the leg you know when it isn't in a four-hour ply but we're essentially just 68 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,120 trading towards the next four-hour poi okay so 69 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:09,599 yeah i kind of wanted to make that clear that the trade plan is literally the 70 00:04:09,599 --> 00:04:13,680 exact same um you just have different time frames right so this is the m15 71 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:16,639 this is my lower timeframe execution time frame this is the four hour so this 72 00:04:16,639 --> 00:04:20,400 is my medium time frame uh well yeah my medium time frame and we're looking for 73 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,280 pois and kind of mapping my structure and then we have our daily which is 74 00:04:23,280 --> 00:04:28,080 again is the higher time frame we'll be looking for structure and poise too okay 75 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,840 now the only other thing i'll add that kind of is a big difference between 76 00:04:31,840 --> 00:04:36,880 sort of you know trading this way going low no lower than the m15 uh compared to 77 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:40,800 kind of you know if you trade sort of my way with m1 entries is that session 78 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:45,280 timing is nowhere near as important so if you execute on a time frame sort of 79 00:04:45,280 --> 00:04:48,880 below the m15 i would say sort of more like you know the m10 or the m5 then 80 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,320 session timing does start to become a lot more important ie training during 81 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,919 london and new york when volume is high but with the m15 you can get away with 82 00:04:55,919 --> 00:04:59,680 it a little bit more uh with executing during the asian session but 83 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,000 we'll get into that as we go kind of want to just jump into it now before i 84 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:05,840 ramble on any longer because yeah this will take a fair amount of time probably 85 00:05:05,840 --> 00:05:08,880 to get through so before we kind of start to you know look for positions 86 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:13,360 let's do um some analysis of the higher time frame so let's take a look at the 87 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,320 daily chart all right unfortunately i can't draw an 88 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,919 mt4 as far as i'm aware but essentially you can see right we took out this high 89 00:05:19,919 --> 00:05:23,120 low here where my mouse is we broke structure to the downside right we had 90 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:27,919 to swing low lower high uh we've had a swing low to the downside it's arguable 91 00:05:27,919 --> 00:05:30,960 right whether this high was a swing high or not but we can see with the benefit 92 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,240 of hindsight and when price broke it um you know it continues to the downside so 93 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:37,120 that wasn't really true swing structure right if we can use a little bit of 94 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,639 discretion here that we can view this movement i'm tracking my mouse as one 95 00:05:40,639 --> 00:05:44,080 push down then we've had a pull back up here right and then we've had another 96 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:48,800 movement to the downside so again that's quite a sizeable pullback um and we have 97 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,639 now broken and closed above this high so this is kind of where in fact let's 98 00:05:52,639 --> 00:05:56,080 measure it right um 99 00:05:56,160 --> 00:06:00,240 so from the low to the high that's yeah over 90 pips right it's just over 100 100 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:04,960 pips so if you are 100 mechanical and strict um kind of with the rule that i 101 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:08,560 recommend in the course with the daily chart on euro dollar i would typically 102 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,400 say that if something is more than 90 pips then that is swing structure okay 103 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,160 but me personally i like to use a little bit of discretion on the daily chart and 104 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,600 higher right um but in this case let's just be strict 105 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,800 and say you know potentially the daily chart is bullish but i'd be very aware 106 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:27,280 that overall we're quite bearish and we're coming up in towards this daily um 107 00:06:27,280 --> 00:06:31,840 sort of supply area up here right if we were to draw a box in it um 108 00:06:31,840 --> 00:06:36,160 right and what else do we notice is that this 109 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:41,360 swept the high behind there right um so essentially we have a sweep zone i hate 110 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,479 the analysis on mt4 but you get the idea right 111 00:06:44,479 --> 00:06:47,919 so that's a pretty decent area where i'd definitely be looking we we could see 112 00:06:47,919 --> 00:06:50,800 you know a decent pullback or potentially a reversal from that level 113 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:54,080 but until we get there um yeah i think we can look to continue for longs 114 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:57,759 especially after we've broken this high now up in towards this daily supply 115 00:06:57,759 --> 00:07:01,840 supply level and then we can reassess how the four-hour and the 15 start to 116 00:07:01,840 --> 00:07:05,360 shape up around there so that's the daily chart kind of minimize that for 117 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,720 now and let's take a look at the four hour 118 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,599 chart so what i'm actually going to do 119 00:07:11,599 --> 00:07:15,599 is just see how where that overlays with the four-hour 120 00:07:15,599 --> 00:07:19,039 chart so we click that should appear okay so yeah so that's where we know 121 00:07:19,039 --> 00:07:21,919 roughly we need to start potentially being aware that before our chart may 122 00:07:21,919 --> 00:07:25,840 pull back or reverse from this area okay so 123 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:29,120 for our chart we can see we were bearish and then we 124 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,720 have clearly switched bullish okay so we've taken out let's zoom in a little 125 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:37,039 bit all right we've taken out this was a 126 00:07:37,039 --> 00:07:40,479 sizeable pullback okay so that is our swing breaker structure 127 00:07:40,479 --> 00:07:45,120 uh and then let's measure these oops wrong button still getting a bit 128 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:48,560 used to this all right there we go so that's over 40 129 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,919 pips was that 40 pips 130 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,960 uh it's a bit tight but either way we just want to get to where we are on the 131 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:59,120 current price action so i would say that is definitely a swing breaker structure 132 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,800 and then is this uh 40 pips 133 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:07,599 no okay so this would be my current uh swing low on the four-hour chart i 134 00:08:07,599 --> 00:08:11,599 believe it's a little bit harder to analyze on training view but 135 00:08:11,599 --> 00:08:14,240 i'm pretty comfortable with that okay so we've pulled back into this area of 136 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,599 demand right clearly broke these highs we're pulling back from this area of 137 00:08:17,599 --> 00:08:21,199 supply over here so old areas of supply become what they become reaction points 138 00:08:21,199 --> 00:08:23,759 for pullbacks okay so we're currently coming into 139 00:08:23,759 --> 00:08:27,120 this um uh four hour demand zone here now be a 140 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:31,120 bit cautious of the marzo's like this why one because it has a clean push you 141 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,560 see how it's a straight movement up so there's no structural liquidity zooming 142 00:08:34,560 --> 00:08:39,039 a little bit um in the in the uh 143 00:08:39,039 --> 00:08:42,880 in in the leg right so essentially what that can mean is this b can become 144 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:46,640 inducement for itself for lower prices also it didn't sweep any liquidity right 145 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,480 this low here didn't sweep a price structure low um so i'd be pretty 146 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,440 cautious of that and i actually quite like 147 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,320 the zone below so what i would do is i would keep an eye on both right we've 148 00:08:56,320 --> 00:09:00,880 already mitigated this level anyway but i much prefer 149 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:04,640 this level down here and the reason why like i said is because this can be 150 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,640 structural inducement for this wick zone here and also what is it it's a sweep 151 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:13,839 zone right because it swept the liquidity uh below those lows there so 152 00:09:13,839 --> 00:09:16,160 um yeah but we have to be mindful right 153 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:20,959 this is our swing low price could come all the way down to towards this wick 154 00:09:20,959 --> 00:09:24,880 two okay let's make sure this appears onto 155 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:29,600 our m15 chart so if we look at the m15 uh price has 156 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:32,880 uh broken sort of structures to downside and we are now pulling back in towards 157 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:37,680 our for our poi we've had a bit of a reaction from these levels here let's 158 00:09:37,680 --> 00:09:41,120 zoom in a little bit and see if we can see anything a little bit more clearly 159 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,160 uh there's nothing really standing out to 160 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:46,399 me um 161 00:09:46,399 --> 00:09:48,800 kind of spike through that zone that's failed and we've come off the decision 162 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:53,200 decisional down here all right we have had a bullish change 163 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,480 of character to the upside um 164 00:09:56,480 --> 00:10:00,640 but yeah it's not looking too strong to check because you see how impulsive this 165 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:04,160 movement is now we've had a corrective pullback so i've been a lot more 166 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:08,959 interested in trading from i just refine the zone down into this extreme candle 167 00:10:08,959 --> 00:10:12,240 down here right so you can see what i've now done 168 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:15,760 is this m15 candle that i'm desperately trying to draw this box around it's so 169 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:21,040 clunky on a t4 is essentially our refined m15 zone within our four hour 170 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:25,519 poi our four hour poi is a sweep zone it has structural inducement um so straight 171 00:10:25,519 --> 00:10:29,440 away right this becomes an area in which i'd be more than happy to set a risk 172 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:33,200 entry on a case so that's what we're gonna do actually is 173 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:36,959 we are gonna right so you have a few options when you set entries um 174 00:10:36,959 --> 00:10:40,480 especially risk entries as well is you kind of set it on the distance on 175 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:44,240 the edge of the zone excuse me you can set it on the eq so 176 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:48,800 the 50 level um or of course you could use a fixed stop loss for this video 177 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:53,519 what i'm going to do is i'm going to do a 25 rule so essentially what this is 178 00:10:53,519 --> 00:10:58,240 it's a fibonacci tool that has the 0.25 and 0.75 selected and essentially what 179 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:02,000 i'll do is if it's a long i'll enter on the top 25 percent and obviously if it's 180 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:07,040 a short right i'd enter on uh the bottom 25 percent um okay so 181 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:10,399 how the way i'm gonna do this right is stop just below the low and then i'm 182 00:11:10,399 --> 00:11:15,040 gonna have our entry on the 25 level there okay and i would be more than 183 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,680 happy uh with that so now we have our buy 184 00:11:17,680 --> 00:11:21,279 limit set okay so again quick recap of the hard time frames four hour clearly 185 00:11:21,279 --> 00:11:25,040 bullish we're looking to trade up and towards this daily extreme supply zone 186 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,839 we've come back down into this decisional however it's got a straight 187 00:11:27,839 --> 00:11:31,440 push there's no structural liquidity in the leg and we have a nice sweep zone 188 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:34,320 below that so kind of you know yeah it's a pretty decent zone there with 189 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:38,480 inducement in front of it and we have our nice m15 uh poi nested within that 190 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:42,720 four hour zone and we've now set a buy limit on there however we are rejecting 191 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,920 demand from here and we have had a bullish change of character however it's 192 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:49,519 very very corrective impulsive down i'm not really liking the look of that just 193 00:11:49,519 --> 00:11:53,519 yet and we are literally in you know bang on the start of the asian session 194 00:11:53,519 --> 00:11:59,040 so i'm gonna play price forward a little bit and see how we get on here on the 195 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:02,480 m15 okay it's looking like we're gonna okay 196 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:06,160 we've just taken that low um 197 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:08,959 yeah okay just seeing if we're gonna come into 198 00:12:08,959 --> 00:12:12,560 anything down here let's at least wait for a bullish change 199 00:12:12,560 --> 00:12:15,519 of character we don't get that just yet okay 200 00:12:15,519 --> 00:12:17,680 so we've had a pretty aggressive movement 201 00:12:17,680 --> 00:12:20,240 away from our four hour zone you can see it's just tapped into our four hours 202 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:25,200 only zoom in a little bit um all right so we've had aggressive 203 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:29,120 move away into our demand zone we've had a bullish change of character uh on the 204 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:33,760 m15 then we've shot up so have we mitigated anything of note we've come 205 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:38,079 into this level down here right this wick zone so that does make sense we are 206 00:12:38,079 --> 00:12:41,360 mitigating something right that was kind of the last mitigation there as well we 207 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:43,920 see so this is what i mean right a lot of the times i'm not going to have every 208 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:47,440 single poi drawn on my charts because it's just unnecessary but when price 209 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,920 reacts aggressively to something i'm going to look left and i'm going to 210 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:53,040 start to build a story right does this make sense yes we have a series of 211 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:56,800 mitigations we've swept a low coming into our zone we've had a bullish change 212 00:12:56,800 --> 00:13:00,000 of character it's also backed up by the four-hour poi and we've had an 213 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:03,360 aggressive move away now okay so i'm gonna leave my order on the 214 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,560 extreme just because i like that level um however you know that's a pretty 215 00:13:06,560 --> 00:13:09,760 decent move let's see what happens with the next candle 216 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:13,200 yeah okay i'm gonna set an entry order on this okay so if we 217 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:17,920 get our fibonacci level right from the high to the low 218 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,760 okay and then we can set a pi limit on that 219 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:25,839 uh okay so on 25 now you can cover that below there but i'm a little bit 220 00:13:25,839 --> 00:13:29,120 cautious of the wick so yeah let's give that 221 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,399 just below it's only about 5.1 pip pip stop 222 00:13:32,399 --> 00:13:37,040 uh so yeah we'll set that there now in terms of trade management i don't 223 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:40,480 think i spoke about this already but essentially my plan with this is i'm 224 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,800 going to use a little bit of discretion with it i'm not going to be super 225 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,839 mechanical uh kind of the main reason for that is it's a little bit harder on 226 00:13:45,839 --> 00:13:50,160 this software to kind of i can't set multiple tps like i work with with 227 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:54,959 partials when i use my trade assistant on mt4 for my live trading so 228 00:13:54,959 --> 00:13:57,440 um it's gonna be a little bit more difficult to kind of set that you know 229 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:02,560 you're selling essentially 25 or 4r and whatnot so i'm going to use essentially 230 00:14:02,560 --> 00:14:05,680 discretion here but obviously with logic we're going to target weak structure 231 00:14:05,680 --> 00:14:08,720 we're going to look at the nearest spawn demand zones etcetera 232 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,240 and we'll do it that way and hopefully you guys learned something from that so 233 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:17,040 right again to recap this i'm going to leave this extremely older 234 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:20,639 on just in case that does get hit we get stopped out here it's quite a straight 235 00:14:20,639 --> 00:14:24,800 push um but i do like it swept the liquidity behind that low um so yeah i'm 236 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:28,160 looking the entry so far but in terms of the higher time frames right uh we are 237 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,519 bullish we pulled back into that decisional which we've now swept and 238 00:14:31,519 --> 00:14:35,040 we've come down into kind of um it's not the extreme because the extreme the 239 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:38,000 foreign leg for me would be down here but this is a sweep zone right swept the 240 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,880 liquidity behind those loads led to a break of structure it's got this 241 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,760 inducement in front of it we've now tapped into it we look left doesn't make 242 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,800 sense yes there's a series of mitigations here on the m15 we've had an 243 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,160 aggressive move away we had a bullish change of character we also took out 244 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:53,360 multiple levels of supply right this supply level failed this supply level 245 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,320 failed so that's a pretty good indication a lot of momentum what i also 246 00:14:56,320 --> 00:15:00,480 like about this is the session timing right um 7 30 so around frankfurt open 247 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:03,360 london's technically eight but still the landing session more than happy to look 248 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:07,199 for trade entries around here so let's see if we get tagged in okay it's quite 249 00:15:07,199 --> 00:15:10,560 a big spike we are now within the trader case you can see this first or second 250 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:14,720 order here we've been tagged in uh and then let's see how this goes and see if 251 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,399 we can break that high okay all right i'm gonna cancel this order 252 00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:22,079 down the bottom now by limit okay 253 00:15:22,079 --> 00:15:26,959 so because we're trading pro uh for and pro daily trend um i'll give 254 00:15:26,959 --> 00:15:30,240 you the pro daily trend it's a bit you know a 255 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:33,759 bit of a debate whether or not look at the daily again 256 00:15:33,759 --> 00:15:36,240 you know whether or not this is a swing high or not but it's a pretty decent 257 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,600 break of structure so definitely targeting up and towards this daily 258 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:44,480 supply level here um so yeah let's minimize that and keep the for our so at 259 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,920 a minimum really we should be looking to target this for our high and if we can 260 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,399 see we can get a break of structure but we have to be aware that this is the 261 00:15:50,399 --> 00:15:53,759 decision all right so what can often happen with decisionals is you can get a 262 00:15:53,759 --> 00:15:57,199 reaction from here for price to push up and then come down lower in towards the 263 00:15:57,199 --> 00:16:00,560 extreme and then that's when you can see the move okay so we do have to be 264 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,680 aware of that um we have some supply zones up here as 265 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:08,000 well but technically this should be a week for our high that we can now look 266 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,920 to target so let's press forward a little bit more and see how this goes we 267 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:16,320 can start to think about scaling in so if i wasn't in a position already i'd 268 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,600 probably be looking um and getting in on this level here but it's quite near to 269 00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:22,480 my entry so i'm not going to be too aggressive 270 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,199 i'm kind of coming into the supply level here now 271 00:16:25,199 --> 00:16:30,399 uh we do have this sweep zone here it's quite an aggressive scaling to be 272 00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:33,120 honest um you know it hasn't really done anything 273 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,160 it's broken this high here you could chase it a little bit but it's 274 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,959 a little bit aggressive for me and we're coming into high impact news so we have 275 00:16:38,959 --> 00:16:44,240 the news down here we have um adp nfp essentially non-farm employment 276 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,440 that's usually the day before the true nfp so we might see a decent reaction 277 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,959 from that but it's not really something i want to trade through okay we've 278 00:16:50,959 --> 00:16:55,680 brought into that wick now okay news has shot that forward 279 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:59,600 uh see if we can clear this four hour high now 280 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,600 okay looking like we've cleared that high so i'm going to take some partials 281 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:08,400 on this trade okay let's close uh 50 of that trade 282 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,839 as it is pro trend i do think we can get up towards that daily supply zone so 283 00:17:11,839 --> 00:17:14,799 we'll close 50 of that trade okay 284 00:17:14,799 --> 00:17:17,919 uh right so let's zoom out where are we now 285 00:17:17,919 --> 00:17:21,919 we've had a break of four hour structure we haven't closed above it just yet um 286 00:17:21,919 --> 00:17:25,600 but we're coming well we already had a 287 00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:28,400 mitigation from the supplies on here that's reacted it's fair to put it alone 288 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,200 we pushed up now comes this daily supply zone but 289 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:34,320 there's not really anything clear on the four-hour chart we've got this big wick 290 00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:37,600 but it's all pretty messy um let's play this forward a little bit 291 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:43,600 more we do have this m15 flip zone here um but it's quite hard and leg not 292 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,240 something i'm in love with it but you see how it reacted to the supplies and 293 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:50,320 it's pushed up so you could look for potential scalings there uh let's play 294 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:54,240 this forward a little bit okay yeah that would have worked out 295 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:58,000 nicely uh we've pushed up higher now we are coming to daily supply but 296 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,760 that wouldn't really put me off until really we start to kind of break down uh 297 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,679 at least on the lower time frames um we could potentially look in for a scaling 298 00:18:05,679 --> 00:18:09,120 so because we're getting so much momentum here right uh this is where i'd 299 00:18:09,120 --> 00:18:12,799 be more than happy to kind of uh again i don't hesitate to use the 300 00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:16,160 word chase but we can follow price especially with this momentum going to 301 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:21,039 the upside this was the last mitigation um so yeah let's put an order on that 302 00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:23,360 let's see by limit 303 00:18:23,360 --> 00:18:29,840 so it looks quite big um 25 on 304 00:18:31,919 --> 00:18:35,760 cool double check our time frames are all good we spiked up above this for our 305 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:39,120 zone now so let's see if we can get in a little bit higher 306 00:18:39,120 --> 00:18:43,440 uh except that and then okay let's pay us forward we are coming towards the end 307 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,400 of the london session so it's not ideal now 308 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:50,080 uh okay we haven't made a higher high just 309 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:55,200 yet on the m15 so this is the last sort of m15 310 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:58,400 hello okay that would be tagged us in now coming through the asian session 311 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,360 spread out which isn't ideal so probably in reality i would have pulled that 312 00:19:01,360 --> 00:19:07,520 order until spread hours had calmed down but we didn't get spiked out fortunately 313 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,240 so it's kind of oh it looks like we're gonna get stopped out place forward to 314 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,000 the london session hopefully the volume will take us in okay so still in the 315 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,960 trade okay so london sessions kind of picking 316 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,559 up uh where are we on the four-hour chart 317 00:19:20,559 --> 00:19:23,600 there's just nothing clean there at all in terms of supply so i've been waiting 318 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,640 for at least the m15 to start to break down before i be really thinking about 319 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,160 shorts just yet uh these are weak highs right they fail to 320 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,039 make a low that looks like that liquidity is just going to get smashed 321 00:19:33,039 --> 00:19:35,840 wouldn't really want to be training short from here i mean you could take a 322 00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:39,600 hedge from that but yeah not for me because that low right hasn't even taken 323 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:43,200 up this low here so these loads have done nothing nice equal highs right that 324 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,799 to me just looks like it wants to get smashed now 325 00:19:46,799 --> 00:19:49,440 we haven't got the best entry right because it's quite a wide entry but if i 326 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,320 was looking at this now if i wasn't already in it what i like about this is 327 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,760 right we've pulled back we've mitigated this poi and i've essentially broken 328 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,720 this internal structure to the upside um come into the 329 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,840 london session i'll probably be looking at setting an order on this low but 330 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:06,240 obviously we're already in a trade that we haven't uh removed any risk from so 331 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,039 um i'll be leaving that there let's play this forward a little bit and see us 332 00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:11,520 develops 333 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:17,360 we can take out these highs and i'll partial some profits pretty heavy as 334 00:20:17,360 --> 00:20:20,799 well as we're coming into that daily supply zone now okay so look looking 335 00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:24,240 like that zone is holding um which obviously can happen 336 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,559 so you can trade from these but i'd be more something i'd be looking to trade 337 00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:29,840 and then one entry from not necessarily an m15 entry from because you're 338 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,679 training from that weak high um so really i think this will just be a 339 00:20:33,679 --> 00:20:38,080 reaction to provide liquidity right basically a more significant double top 340 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,919 for us than target so for me the risk to reward isn't really there with the m15 341 00:20:41,919 --> 00:20:44,720 yet because we haven't even had a change of character right we haven't taken out 342 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,320 the most recent internal low um so yeah that wouldn't really be as short for me 343 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,880 that i'd want to take it from australian 15. 344 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,120 just waiting for these highs to go okay the higher has gone now so i'm going to 345 00:20:53,120 --> 00:20:56,960 take some heavy partials on this trade because it's it's still pro trend but 346 00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,000 we're kind of coming into that daily level let's take off a bit more on this 347 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:04,159 one because we are higher up in the leg could take off eighty percent 348 00:21:04,159 --> 00:21:08,480 okay so we're pushing up higher now um 349 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:14,400 let's zoom out a little on the four hour so keep an eye on that 350 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,200 okay we're going to take some more partials as well from our previous entry 351 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,559 down here we'll just close 352 00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:24,960 uh 50 of what we've got left cool okay so let's place one more candle 353 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,640 see if we can get a good closure above there right so let's look for potential 354 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:33,440 more scalings right we have this last candle here 355 00:21:34,159 --> 00:21:38,159 so let's draw that on essentially what was happened right is we pulled back in 356 00:21:38,159 --> 00:21:42,000 and we didn't quite hit this cell to buy that we were looking at all right but 357 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,880 remember it doesn't always have to hit the refine pivot essentially it's hit 358 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,480 you know that would be like a 30 minute sell to buy right and that what that 359 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,520 means is when price that moves away it doesn't hit your poi you can then adjust 360 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,000 this to the range understand what's going on right it's mitigating this 361 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:57,520 level we've then broken stretch to the upside so this then becomes our last 362 00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:01,440 mitigation right swept the lows behind here right so that's a pretty nice sweep 363 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,320 zone again we are trading against the steady 364 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:08,159 supplies level but it's a massive level i'm more than happy to keep looking for 365 00:22:08,159 --> 00:22:11,440 aggressive entries with just in this case right 366 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:16,880 of course you don't have to do this if it doesn't meet kind of your style so 367 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,880 let's chuck on a fib tool on this poi right i'm just going to keep 368 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:25,200 scaling in until structure starts to break to the downside right the trend is 369 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:29,679 your friend um until it ends or whatever the 370 00:22:29,679 --> 00:22:33,840 phrases so stop us behind the low it's quite looks like it's gonna be quite big 371 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,679 eight point five pips yeah okay oh no we'll just we'll keep being mechanical 372 00:22:37,679 --> 00:22:40,400 we'll keep doing that rule i was gonna go to the eq just to kind of increase 373 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,159 the rr there a little bit but let's see what happens okay doesn't look 374 00:22:44,159 --> 00:22:46,290 like it wants to come back um 375 00:22:46,290 --> 00:22:50,720 [Music] just trying to work out 376 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,480 what i want to do here i'm going to delete this daily level 377 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,880 just because so we can actually see price action 378 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:02,240 um i'm aware of it but 379 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:06,080 yeah maybe come up into this four hour wick here see how we go 380 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,360 we zoom in we've also got some for our poi that have been created right yeah 381 00:23:09,360 --> 00:23:11,919 you can see this move here right we pulled back down 382 00:23:11,919 --> 00:23:15,520 we've come up so we do have a four-hour poi here 383 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,880 uh that we have to be wary of that we can potentially look for longs if price 384 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:22,400 was to come down and obviously we have these pois down here as well but we can 385 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:26,000 draw those on even when the price comes back to it so 386 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,120 yeah potentially you could look for a long from here continuation scaling but 387 00:23:29,120 --> 00:23:31,200 i'm a bit hesitant obviously we're getting quite a higher for the leg now 388 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,400 we are in that delhi supply zone this is a clean push right there's no inducement 389 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,600 in the leg it didn't really sweep any liquidity right it's taking the low 390 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,960 behind this candle but you know it's arguable is that an m15 391 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,000 sweep or that's more like that would be a sweeping m5 of the m1 right it's not 392 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:48,400 really structural liquidity uh on this time frame that's something i'm still 393 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,720 really kind of trying to actually figure out in my own trading at the moment 394 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:54,080 collecting a bit more data on that whether or not i would classify this as 395 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,120 a sweep it's something that i used to call a sweep right because i viewed that 396 00:23:57,120 --> 00:24:00,799 there would be liquidity behind this wick the prices then come down and swept 397 00:24:00,799 --> 00:24:04,720 but it's not as ideal it's kind of hard because i can't draw an mt4 but 398 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,679 essentially you want to see if you follow my mouse right i'm moving up 399 00:24:07,679 --> 00:24:11,679 a clear pullback then i'm moving up and then a break of that low right because 400 00:24:11,679 --> 00:24:15,520 it's a clear structural low whereas this for me isn't um so i'm not going to 401 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,640 classify that as a uh a 402 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,320 sweep from now let's see if that holds 403 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:26,159 okay price is pushing a little bit higher and we continued to the upside 404 00:24:26,159 --> 00:24:30,159 okay so it's looking pretty good 405 00:24:30,159 --> 00:24:33,919 um you know potentially we could look again at scaling in didn't quite come 406 00:24:33,919 --> 00:24:38,320 into that level this would be our level here 407 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:44,159 it's gonna delete this box cool so 408 00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,559 what's the session timing we're coming towards the end of the day yes we're 409 00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:50,320 looking for any entries around spread hours let's pose forward a little bit 410 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,200 okay we're pushing up higher now zoom out in the four-hour chart have we come 411 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,000 up to those highs yet 412 00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:00,159 not just yet so what i'm gonna do is i'm gonna essentially wait for the m15 to 413 00:25:00,159 --> 00:25:03,039 have a bearish change of character and i'm going to start to look to manage 414 00:25:03,039 --> 00:25:05,520 these positions a lot more aggressively because we are getting high up in that 415 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:10,320 leg now into those extreme supply zones through the asian session 416 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,200 let's see if we take this low here i'm going to get out 417 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:19,200 do we spike that low so look not yet 418 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:25,760 okay we've taken out that low um what i'm gonna do is just 419 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,520 because we've had now that bearish change of character let's close 420 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,840 um 421 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,919 how much we haven't even got four that's four let's left let's just uh let's just 422 00:25:35,919 --> 00:25:39,520 close it all get out of that and then we'll get out 423 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:44,080 of this um we'll cancel that buy limit just because we're getting pretty high 424 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,960 now probably could have left it on a little bit longer um we've got high 425 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:51,279 impact news as well what's that uh yeah nfp so this is a big news that's 426 00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:54,799 definitely not going to be holding uh positions into that 427 00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:58,320 so let's zoom in a little bit i show the m15 428 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,240 uh get rid of this cool 429 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,080 so what's happened in a hard time frames 430 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:07,200 we're coming up into this extreme supply level we're obviously still extremely 431 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,720 bullish uh the m15 has had a bearish change of 432 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,440 character um but it's looking pretty messy don't 433 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,159 want to look for any lungs don't look for any shorts and we've got nfp coming 434 00:26:16,159 --> 00:26:19,200 up okay if we didn't have nfp i'd probably 435 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:24,400 look at this zone here why because essentially we have 436 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:28,559 all right that supply there that swept the the 437 00:26:28,559 --> 00:26:32,320 high behind here and we're in four hour and daily supply the four hour supply is 438 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,760 not clean because it's essentially this big wick 439 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:40,720 here but that wick what did it do it swept the liquidity 440 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,640 behind these highs here right and then it led to this large move 441 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,960 here that break of structure so essentially the poi i'm referring to 442 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:51,039 right it's essentially that deadly zone as well as that big wick there 443 00:26:51,039 --> 00:26:53,840 i'm just going to delete it because it's messy and big but essentially i'm aware 444 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:58,320 of it okay um so yeah and therefore is still clearly 445 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,120 bullish i don't really want to be shorting against that just yet and we've 446 00:27:01,120 --> 00:27:05,600 got nfp so let's play nfp out and see how we go it's a bit slow let's 447 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,120 plus place forward okay boomer yeah we would have got 448 00:27:09,120 --> 00:27:12,559 absolutely smashed if we hadn't done that uh with a fair bit of slippage as 449 00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:16,240 well okay so the four hours continuing to be bullish um 450 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:20,640 we do have another poi now here as well so we can draw that on 451 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,760 um just make sure that's not selected when 452 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:27,679 i click clone okay so this is our for our poi here so 453 00:27:27,679 --> 00:27:30,640 let's pose forward into next week so essentially what we've got 454 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,320 right it's friday it's new york we've had nfp we've had a big move so whenever 455 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,200 that happens i'm done for the weekend right go and enjoy your life we'll work 456 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:41,039 on other things come back to the charts on monday so let's play this forward 457 00:27:41,039 --> 00:27:44,799 until monday and see where we are at okay so 458 00:27:44,799 --> 00:27:48,080 doing my analysis for the week ahead uh we know we're in that daily and for our 459 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:51,600 supply zone i would be very aware now that we're probably going to have a four 460 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,039 hour pullback at least um but potentially we could see you know before 461 00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:58,240 our bearish trend change because we are in remember 462 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:04,080 let's have a look that's the daily right so it's minimizer for our chart 463 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,799 we are within this daily zone now and actually let's have a look what's 464 00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:14,240 happened all right we just spiked that daily high 465 00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:17,679 so we've had that external range liquidity swept now um so yeah i 466 00:28:17,679 --> 00:28:20,960 probably expect a decent move and we can start to look back down and towards this 467 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,880 daily flip zone around here right this reacted to this supply so i think that 468 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:28,000 would be some pretty decent targets to look for that daily pullback uh into 469 00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:32,000 that low but i'm also cautious of right if we look at the trend we've had a 470 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,279 swing low swing high we've had a movement down 471 00:28:35,279 --> 00:28:38,159 right that was just a grab liquidity behind his eyes and then we continue to 472 00:28:38,159 --> 00:28:41,120 the downside so there's every possibility this could also be right a 473 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,320 sweep of liquidity but it's not super clear because that is a decent bit of 474 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,799 structure right that looks like a quiz a reasonably clear swing to me um so yeah 475 00:28:48,799 --> 00:28:52,000 i would be a bit unsure whether or not kind of we're going to see just 476 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:55,039 essentially a daily pullback from this sweep i'll pull back maybe into around 477 00:28:55,039 --> 00:28:57,840 this decisional supply zone this flip zone and then we'd form a high low and 478 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:02,159 continue or whether um you know we might see what we saw 479 00:29:02,159 --> 00:29:05,919 over here and continue down to the low so if i'm unclear right look at the 480 00:29:05,919 --> 00:29:08,080 four-hour chart what's the four-hour shot saying to us does that clear things 481 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,200 up for us a little bit well we're clearly bullish on the four-hour chart 482 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,840 we're coming into that extreme supply you can see with this big spike we've 483 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:18,640 swept liquidity behind these highs here um so until the four hour switch is 484 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,080 bearish i'm going to continue having that long bias but that doesn't mean 485 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:25,520 that we can't look to play the pullback so where is my current swing low well if 486 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:29,760 we look at this level here this was 487 00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,120 over it's just a 50 pit pool bright right so that's over 40 pips how big was 488 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,159 this that's only 22 pips right so this would 489 00:29:36,159 --> 00:29:40,320 be my last spin low here okay so let's draw that on and then we know if we take 490 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:44,159 out this low that would be the four hour switching bearish okay 491 00:29:44,159 --> 00:29:47,279 um we haven't had a bearish change of character so this is the last internal 492 00:29:47,279 --> 00:29:50,320 pullback on the four-hour chart so i need to see this low get wicked for that 493 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,960 for our chuck and then what can we expect if we have a four-hour change of 494 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,559 character we can expect that for our pullback and then we have a few demand 495 00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,440 zones to look at so we have this level here right where we can look for 496 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:04,480 potential high low okay um and then we also have this level 497 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,760 down here right starting to get a little bit messy but fortunately that's just 498 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,279 what we have to work with with mt4 okay so then 499 00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:15,600 we have this level as well so yeah essentially what we're looking 500 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,240 for is to see if we can break the slow on the four-hour chart that will give us 501 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:22,799 a four-hour chalk then we can look for pullbacks down in towards the swing low 502 00:30:22,799 --> 00:30:26,000 so when price is like this right it's training between a big m15 high and m15 503 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,760 low it's messy i'm just going to sit on my hands and wait for either the low or 504 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,720 the higher to go and then we can reassess 505 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,520 all right where price is that hasn't quite gone yet 506 00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:38,559 i'm not interested in any of this okay now we've broken out so let's delete 507 00:30:38,559 --> 00:30:43,919 this zone here clear things up a little bit 508 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,720 okay so we're taking out this low m15 has now obviously switched bearish we 509 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,159 have this large 4-hour poi i'm going to delete it just because i 510 00:30:52,159 --> 00:30:56,780 want to kind of tidy that up on m15 because it's such a large zone 511 00:30:56,780 --> 00:30:59,950 [Music] 512 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:07,200 okay so now we've had our for our chalk okay so now 513 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:11,039 we have a four hour poi to work with so that's getting a little bit clearer 514 00:31:11,039 --> 00:31:14,799 all right we have this biter cell here okay so that instantly becomes an area 515 00:31:14,799 --> 00:31:18,799 which i'm now interested in to look for shorts to play a potential pullback but 516 00:31:18,799 --> 00:31:22,559 i have to be aware there is some you know very minor demand down here so on 517 00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:28,000 the m15 if we make that appear in m15 let's see if we can find 518 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:31,919 any zones within here so let's paint the story a 519 00:31:31,919 --> 00:31:35,519 little bit this is our for our poi if we look at the m15 price section right we 520 00:31:35,519 --> 00:31:39,120 had a mitigation here from this buy to sell 521 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,880 okay so then i would be looking at this 522 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,360 candle within here right and we can look for 523 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,640 see this and that the way this these rectangles draw it's really 524 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,039 annoying because it doesn't it's not clear at all 525 00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:56,240 compared to so what i'm going to do is i'm just going to refine 526 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:59,760 this zone if i can do it 527 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,840 to 528 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:06,320 this m15 buy to sell within the four hour poi 529 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:10,399 and then hopefully update that on there as well cool okay 530 00:32:10,399 --> 00:32:13,519 um but we also have this level here i'd be 531 00:32:13,519 --> 00:32:16,799 happy to hit that right we're training down with a lot of momentum 532 00:32:16,799 --> 00:32:21,120 what i like about this as well is it swept liquidity behind these highs here 533 00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:24,159 all right so we came down and come up and swept 534 00:32:24,159 --> 00:32:27,679 that liquidity we've mitigated this previous buy to cell range here right 535 00:32:27,679 --> 00:32:30,320 this buy to sell we've come up and hit that and then we come down with a hell 536 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,760 of a lot of momentum so also session time we're coming to london session yeah 537 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:38,080 i'll be happy to whack a cell limit on there 538 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:43,480 all right let's measure the 25 75 rule 539 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,519 okay see how we get on with that 540 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,000 gonna be quite aggressive here because the training at the top of the move 541 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,120 there's plenty of wrist reward for this to pull back so yeah let's see how we 542 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,519 get on start the landing session we have a sweep zone playing a simple 543 00:32:55,519 --> 00:32:58,799 continuation um but yeah obviously aware that price could come up higher up 544 00:32:58,799 --> 00:33:01,919 towards that for our bike to sell but it does not have to 545 00:33:01,919 --> 00:33:08,720 so okay we're pushing down um i don't really want to chase price 546 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:12,159 just yeah this could become inducement for above 547 00:33:12,159 --> 00:33:18,320 see maybe we'll miss it okay leave this order on then 548 00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:22,640 come into new york ah just missed us 549 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,880 see we haven't broken the low yet so this could just be inducement so i'll 550 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:30,080 leave it on let's drag this across a little bit 551 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,440 all right we still could get tagged in here let's see 552 00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,760 it's not ideal though it's kind of getting into later the day london's 553 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:42,000 closing yeah london's closed now where is spread hours 554 00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,799 kind of don't really want to trade through spread hours so we don't get 555 00:33:44,799 --> 00:33:50,399 yeah i'm going to pull the order we can reset it after 10 p.m gmt so you see how 556 00:33:50,399 --> 00:33:53,840 the current price is here but the red line has jumped up that's the ask price 557 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,880 right so that's the spreads blowing out so don't want to be trade triggered into 558 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,720 any trades during this time until the spreads narrow um because you can get in 559 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:05,440 so at least wait til 11 o'clock okay 560 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,679 yeah no i don't train during the asia session but screw it let's put it on 561 00:34:07,679 --> 00:34:11,599 let's trade this now back to where it was 25 stop behind the 562 00:34:11,599 --> 00:34:14,159 high right so again remember we're trying to 563 00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:18,960 trade this for our pullback um this is a sweep zone mitigated this buy to sell 564 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,960 it's got plenty of inducement below it all right so let's drag it across so you 565 00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:26,240 guys can see what i'm actually training 566 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:31,119 okay we're in the trade um we're straight out 567 00:34:31,119 --> 00:34:34,000 okay cool not to worry what's this happen we've still got this 568 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,760 level up above in fact i'm definitely going to set a limit on this one and 569 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,480 this is what i was trying to say at the start right if you want to have the 570 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,079 highest strike rate possible right you want to be trading 571 00:34:44,079 --> 00:34:47,359 from um m15 572 00:34:47,359 --> 00:34:50,320 is nested within those four apis right because that's going to give you the 573 00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,280 highest probability right but i was happy to be aggressive in this case and 574 00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,560 kind of follow price action as it was going because it does not have to pull 575 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,280 back or even you know we could get a tradable 576 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,800 reaction from here get you know five or six r and then take our profits and then 577 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,920 let price pull back and then we can look to get short hair okay so this is quite 578 00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:09,359 a small zone so i don't particularly i mean how many there's less than three 579 00:35:09,359 --> 00:35:11,920 pips right i don't really want to refine it anymore 580 00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,680 than that uh i'm a bit wary of these equal highs 581 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:19,760 here but you know remember my personal view and liquidity is react to it rather 582 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,720 than necessarily anticipate it's going to be swept because liquidity is 583 00:35:22,720 --> 00:35:25,839 everywhere in the market um you know if you're always scared of 584 00:35:25,839 --> 00:35:29,680 it then you're going to find yourself missing a lot of trades i'm gonna try 585 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,720 and do my best to keep these tools deleted actually so we can try and keep 586 00:35:32,720 --> 00:35:35,520 the charts nice and clear so again we've had a four-hour bearish change of 587 00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,960 character we know we're coming off the extreme four-hour and daily supply to 588 00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,960 the left we swept that daily swing high as well um so there's potential we're 589 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,440 going to get that pullback now right we're putting it back up into this four 590 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:49,680 hour buy to sell uh we've got an entry on a refined m15 supply zone within the 591 00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:53,760 four hour buy to sell right that's where the last mitigation was um but it's not 592 00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,960 ideal right there's really perfect equals there so potentially we might 593 00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,359 come up into this extreme but we can look for energy up there if we push up 594 00:35:59,359 --> 00:36:03,839 higher and we have some nice clear lows to target um down towards us for our poi 595 00:36:03,839 --> 00:36:08,640 but potentially even lower into the extreme so let's play us forward and see 596 00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:13,640 how we get on okay 597 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,040 all right so we're tagged in but what i was just 598 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,480 thinking of is what we probably could have waited for if you see how price 599 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,359 moved up and then i had a little pull back here right this camera here failed 600 00:36:23,359 --> 00:36:26,640 to break the previous candles high that means that now if price comes down and 601 00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,680 wicks this low we would have then had an m15 602 00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:32,800 bearish chalk right an internal change of character um and then we could have 603 00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,599 looked to set a confirmation entry on this level which probably would have 604 00:36:35,599 --> 00:36:38,720 been a hell of a lot nicer especially that amount of momentum coming in and we 605 00:36:38,720 --> 00:36:42,800 are counter the four-hour trend remember so that definitely would have been a 606 00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,920 safer entry um 607 00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,400 okay now there's a flip zone as well right because you see what's happened 608 00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,200 here we zoom in 609 00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:57,119 all right we had this demand here right that pushed up to that high 610 00:36:57,119 --> 00:37:01,920 price has come in it's reacted and pushed down so now you can look to sell 611 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:05,760 i'm gonna delete this to keep it clear should we just drag it across you can 612 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:09,440 look just i mean this is a bit of a messy candle but you can essentially 613 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,599 sell within this candle we'll also swap liquidity behind these highs here 614 00:37:13,599 --> 00:37:17,200 all right boom 615 00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,200 so hard to draw on this but yeah anyway you guys know what i'm trying to do 616 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,240 right except the liquidity behind that high and then prices push down so we 617 00:37:24,240 --> 00:37:27,839 have a change of character taking out this low we have this demand flipping to 618 00:37:27,839 --> 00:37:30,960 supply right and now you would look to get inspired to sell you could refine it 619 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,839 even more potentially to that wick but um yeah that essentially would be an 620 00:37:33,839 --> 00:37:37,040 entry i'd be looking at i'll tell you what let's let's take it let's um 621 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,680 because we're trading right from the extreme right there's a lot of wrist 622 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:44,160 reward here um yeah i like this for scaling i'll be happy to take that 623 00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,920 so let's use the fib tool to try and be consistent with that right so 624 00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:52,320 essentially we'll draw it on this flip range here we haven't quite come into 25 625 00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,560 um yeah you see how this candle here this 626 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:57,359 is when we close below the reaction so we've got to change the character as 627 00:37:57,359 --> 00:38:00,720 soon as we wicked it with this candle right but we didn't close below the 628 00:38:00,720 --> 00:38:04,320 reaction until this candle here so this is why i'm not happy to set the order we 629 00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,920 have already tapped into the buy to sell so yeah potentially it might not get 630 00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:11,200 triggered but let's see 631 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,640 25 percent put a stop just above the high 632 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:19,920 all right it gives us about three pips so it's quite tight but zoom out again 633 00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,800 okay cool so hopefully you guys can understand the logic behind this right 634 00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,000 playing this for our pullback from the buy to sell we've hit our refine zone uh 635 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,280 and now we're scaling in with the chalk and flip but this also could have been a 636 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,320 much safer first entry especially as we're training counter to the before our 637 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:36,880 train right um see what happens oh that was close what's the session timing 638 00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:41,280 probably should have given a bit more of a pit buffer but okay it's not too bad 639 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,000 see how we go 640 00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:48,480 all right okay i'm gonna just delete this just to try and keep the charts 641 00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,599 nice and clear so we can see what's happening okay so we're in two positions 642 00:38:51,599 --> 00:38:54,400 now i'm gonna leave them open until we kind 643 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:58,640 of see if we can breach these lows um because you know there's a lot of 644 00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:01,920 risk to road on the table here so probably partial as we get down towards 645 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,800 these lows here as we are still counting to the four-hour trend it's going to 646 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,000 tidy this flip zone up a little bit all right so now we've wiped out these 647 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,880 zones here uh clear moves to the downside we're coming to the london 648 00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:16,000 session so i would be looking at this last cell to buy here all right 649 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,720 um if i would but we're already in two positions and i haven't removed any 650 00:39:18,720 --> 00:39:22,000 risks i'm not going to load up in 20 more positions at this point 651 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,640 um what's happened here 652 00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:28,480 so we've kind of come into this demand zone 653 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,960 all right i wouldn't have wanted to look for a long from here even though it's 654 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,920 pro for our trend but it's because we've had that for our chocolate expected 655 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:38,079 before our pullback these are weak and 15 lows right because they haven't 656 00:39:38,079 --> 00:39:40,960 really formed any highs they've broken these minor highs here but it's not 657 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,280 really a level i'd want to necessarily trade from but we definitely could have 658 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,960 taken a hedge there um yeah that would have been a nice hedge actually because 659 00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,599 that was a sweep zone right swept the the lows behind here 660 00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:54,079 um obviously it was a last mitigation as 661 00:39:54,079 --> 00:39:56,800 well so yeah this definitely makes sense right you see how this bullish order 662 00:39:56,800 --> 00:40:00,560 flow it did take out a few levels of supply uh nice inducement in the legs 663 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:03,680 that could have been definitely hedged there which would have been nice to take 664 00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:08,000 but we've missed it just about staying in hopefully this poi 665 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,800 can hold okay nice reaction to that poi so yeah that would have been an entry as 666 00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,359 well definitely a valid entry and this is something right you guys might want 667 00:40:13,359 --> 00:40:16,480 to think about um i haven't done it with the with this 668 00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:20,000 obviously testing exercise here but if you know you're only going to be on 669 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,480 the charts and you're only going to set entries during you know the london 670 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,599 session or the new york session right or whatever session you trade um you 671 00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:30,319 probably in your testing only want to record trades uh during that um sorry i 672 00:40:30,319 --> 00:40:34,400 just noticed in the corner of my eye we don't have news set to 673 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:38,800 euro and usd yeah the the point i'm trying to talk about there 674 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:42,800 okay so the next one is in two days cool so yeah you might only want to record 675 00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,119 trades right that you're only going to set during the times that you're on a 676 00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:48,640 charts because it's going to give you a much more realistic idea of what 677 00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:52,400 performance to expect right with your strategy so obviously we were entering 678 00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:56,720 trades around the asia session here now you might be happy to set like a 679 00:40:56,720 --> 00:41:00,079 trade like this i would be personally reasonably happy to set that uh whilst i 680 00:41:00,079 --> 00:41:03,760 go to bed right and you know be entered during the asian session because it's 681 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,640 within the four hour poi it's the extreme you know there's a lot of 682 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,200 confidence behind this we've had that four hour change of character coming 683 00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,400 into daily supply after wick in the high there's a lot of risk to reward here 684 00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,880 boom i'd be happy to take that but then even if you didn't and you come into 685 00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,920 london right now you have a clear trade following the mitigations this was the 686 00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:21,520 last bite so right it's swept again it's another sweepstone right it sweeps the 687 00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:25,200 liquidity behind these highs here um that's a pretty decent poi to look too 688 00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,359 short from and then that could have been your first initial entry here right um 689 00:41:29,359 --> 00:41:31,760 yeah i mean the hedge i don't really take if i was already in the short i 690 00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:34,079 definitely wouldn't be wanting to get long from here if i wasn't already in a 691 00:41:34,079 --> 00:41:37,839 short ride because it's a very very risky trade and yeah i would expect that 692 00:41:37,839 --> 00:41:41,680 low to go okay so we're breaking to the downside again 693 00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:45,200 order flow right another mitigation i'm not going to look to take put an 694 00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,680 entrance just because we've got two trays already and i haven't removed any 695 00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:52,319 risk just as of yet let's see okay pretty aggressive retrace i'm getting 696 00:41:52,319 --> 00:41:54,560 this wick i'm gonna try and speed this up a little 697 00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,440 bit so i'm very cautious actually been going for a long time i'm already we're 698 00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:02,079 only a week into the month okay so that zone is held as well 699 00:42:02,079 --> 00:42:04,640 basically what i'm waiting now for is these lows to go and then i'm going to 700 00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,079 take some pretty decent partials because we are counter trend um and i'm 701 00:42:08,079 --> 00:42:11,359 personally you know reasonably aggressive my management i 702 00:42:11,359 --> 00:42:15,040 don't want to swing for the fences pay myself move on trade the next range okay 703 00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:18,800 so we have this zone here it's weak because it's failed to take out this low 704 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,920 um but this is where you know sometimes 705 00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:25,920 structure might not well how do i explain this okay so this 706 00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,960 movement here right where we had this pushed down right it's failed 707 00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,560 structurally to take up the low this low here so that means when my mouse is now 708 00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:36,160 is from a structured standpoint this is a weak high because it's failed to make 709 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:40,560 a new low now that doesn't mean that price has to trade higher because 710 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,040 what do we look at after market structure well the next confluence we 711 00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:47,119 look at is supply and demand right and if we look at supply and demand who is 712 00:42:47,119 --> 00:42:50,640 in control who is holding and who is failing well 713 00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:53,920 we can see a series of suppliers holding and what's been happening down here this 714 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,280 demand zone here right it's failed prices spike through prices come up 715 00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:01,119 again hold supply is held and push down now in this case it's the milestones 716 00:43:01,119 --> 00:43:04,240 hold so far but you know if i was gonna be a betting man i'd probably say 717 00:43:04,240 --> 00:43:07,200 supplies in control here so that doesn't necessarily mean i'm gonna look to get 718 00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:10,240 short but it's just to have an understanding of why you know sometimes 719 00:43:10,240 --> 00:43:13,520 highs might not get right it's because supply is taken over there we go and the 720 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,480 demand has now failed and we've pushed down through so yes you could have 721 00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:19,280 looked from an energy from here but just understand that it's very aggressive 722 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,640 because this supply zone failed to do its job at that point right um but yeah 723 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,520 obviously it played out because supply is holding itself we have the supply 724 00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:28,240 chain holding now okay we haven't taken out this load just 725 00:43:28,240 --> 00:43:32,000 yet but we have formed another zone so potentially we may 726 00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:35,599 get more mitigations here try and tie this up a little bit 727 00:43:35,599 --> 00:43:38,960 all right see how we go on coming into new york now so we might see some decent 728 00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:43,359 volatility um boom there we go okay so we've pushed down to the lows i'm going 729 00:43:43,359 --> 00:43:46,319 to take some partials on these now okay so 730 00:43:46,319 --> 00:43:50,079 running 12 on this so it is counter trend and we're coming into this four 731 00:43:50,079 --> 00:43:53,920 hour poi here so i'm going to be pretty aggressive in my management here i'm 732 00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:58,319 going to take 80 off not 580 i doubt that would work there we go 733 00:43:58,319 --> 00:44:00,720 cool and i'm gonna do the same on this one as well 734 00:44:00,720 --> 00:44:04,319 uh is this one right notice the top one 735 00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:12,240 boom okay cool all right so where are we in high time 736 00:44:12,240 --> 00:44:15,200 frames we had a change of character we pulled back into our four hour buy to 737 00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:19,920 cell where we had two entries i'm going to move these both to break even so we 738 00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,680 can actually keep the charts a little bit cleaner uh we've taken out this sort 739 00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:27,599 of low here now but we are coming into this four hour level of demand it's a 740 00:44:27,599 --> 00:44:31,119 very weak level of demand um didn't really do much other than take out this 741 00:44:31,119 --> 00:44:34,960 high and don't forget right daily time frame obviously outweighs the 742 00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,400 four-hour chart because remember we zoom out this is daily supply this whole area 743 00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:42,400 daily supply and we swept that high all right that's really significant when you 744 00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:45,839 sweep external security so we could be having that daily pullback down into 745 00:44:45,839 --> 00:44:48,640 around this daily flip zone i'll show you guys on the charts of 746 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:53,440 case we've forgotten right this daily demand zone down here 747 00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:56,640 because this is where that took this high right reacted from the supply zone 748 00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:00,319 right this candle touched into the supply zone pushed down and then demand 749 00:45:00,319 --> 00:45:04,319 came in to push this movement up so we could see a movement down towards here 750 00:45:04,319 --> 00:45:07,440 but if we get that load before our chart will be bearish so 751 00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:12,160 yeah we'll reassess that as and when we get to it 752 00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,720 grab some water 753 00:45:18,079 --> 00:45:21,280 okay so um yeah we're coming to new york let's 754 00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,720 zoom into the four hour chart we know we're coming into four hour demand not 755 00:45:24,720 --> 00:45:28,640 really in love with it for long but if we get some bullish changes of character 756 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:32,000 then yeah then we can totally do that let's see if there's any 15 pois to be 757 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,200 aware of so we can refine that for a little bit okay we have this old one 758 00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:38,640 over here remember we'll be looking at trading this originally so let's drag 759 00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:41,920 this across um let's keep an eye on this potentially 760 00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:45,680 we can look for some longs from here it is a sweep zone it has inducement right 761 00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:49,599 and if we zoom out right it led to that breaker structure 762 00:45:49,599 --> 00:45:52,400 it's pro trend so we can actually take an entry 763 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,720 on this all right i would be happy to take an 764 00:45:54,720 --> 00:45:59,440 entry on this even though i can get the right tool selected there 765 00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,839 we go 766 00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:07,280 okay cool uh so the reason why is this is an m15 767 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:11,040 poi nested within a four hour py it's swept liquidity it led to a breakup 768 00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:16,079 structure right really pretty decent move it has inducement below it um and 769 00:46:16,079 --> 00:46:21,119 it's pro the four hour uh and arguably the daily trend right so 770 00:46:21,119 --> 00:46:24,720 yeah i'd be happy to set a limit on that um especially as it's a hedge against 771 00:46:24,720 --> 00:46:28,720 the short positions we are already in so this looks like it's quite a big zone 772 00:46:28,720 --> 00:46:30,880 though oops 773 00:46:30,880 --> 00:46:37,119 that's orange you want isn't it yeah cool and then stop just below the low 774 00:46:37,119 --> 00:46:40,640 i think i've done that the wrong way around just 775 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:44,480 by limit there we go cool 25 776 00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:49,200 and then stop just below there we'll run that up to nine go on and 777 00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:53,520 do my chart ocd there we go boom cool so yeah hopefully you guys can understand 778 00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:57,720 the logic behind that um 779 00:46:58,240 --> 00:47:02,960 cool and then we'll drag this in let's play your price forward a bit 780 00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:08,319 okay so for our poi m15 refined sweep zone inducement coming down with a lot 781 00:47:08,319 --> 00:47:11,520 of momentum you could wait right especially as like we've had that daily 782 00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,480 sweep on my coming off daily supply this is a bit riskier so what you could do is 783 00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:18,079 wait for price to come in and give us that bullish change of character before 784 00:47:18,079 --> 00:47:22,839 trying to kind of you know catch this low here so we've been tagged in 785 00:47:22,839 --> 00:47:27,359 um carl coming down with a fair amount of momentum 786 00:47:27,359 --> 00:47:30,800 uh we have these pois to be aware of as well 787 00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:34,480 all right we have this buy to sell let's take the refined candle 788 00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:38,960 um so let's see how price reacts we might just get okay 789 00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,040 so again we've pushed straight up into here 790 00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:44,240 i wouldn't i'm just debating whether or not to kind of it's a bit late now but 791 00:47:44,240 --> 00:47:47,359 take a cell limit here but it's a clean purchase kind of further down in the leg 792 00:47:47,359 --> 00:47:50,240 it didn't sweep liquidity right it didn't suit this high it could be just 793 00:47:50,240 --> 00:47:53,520 inducement for above so i'd prefer to sell from this zone up here actually 794 00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:57,680 because that was the last mitigation so let's put a limit on that 795 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,200 okay and then we can really hedge this market both ways so let's see where the 796 00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:04,079 25 is 797 00:48:05,359 --> 00:48:11,200 okay there we go cool give that a little bit of a buffer 798 00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:15,920 let's see if we can clear this supply or not 799 00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:19,040 it doesn't look too good yeah it looks like that supplies gonna hold 800 00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:23,280 oh we're just about in so if i was looking for 801 00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:26,720 a bullish changer character right you would need to see this high go first um 802 00:48:26,720 --> 00:48:29,520 but i would probably say with this reaction price is pretty damn volatile 803 00:48:29,520 --> 00:48:34,839 in the moment oh we haven't been taken out yet 804 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:39,200 okay so 805 00:48:39,839 --> 00:48:44,720 we still yeah i'm going to delete this tool just so uh 806 00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:47,920 never mind so essentially the change cache i is looking for right price has 807 00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,720 come down let's pull back up and then this is a 808 00:48:50,720 --> 00:48:53,520 straight push down and then 809 00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,720 essentially this is our most recent it'll be this inside bar right is our 810 00:48:56,720 --> 00:49:01,119 most recent internal high uh because price has not broken the high or the low 811 00:49:01,119 --> 00:49:04,400 since then so we haven't had a change of character this is not an internal high 812 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,920 right we would need to see this high go for there to be a bullish chalk we've 813 00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:11,680 kind of already tapped into this i probably would expect this to now fail 814 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:16,000 so i'm happy to leave the order up here um this is looking like quite a weak 815 00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:19,599 reaction we already reacted above it and then pushed down below and closed below 816 00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:22,960 so actually technically we do now have a flip zone so it's getting pretty messy 817 00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:26,319 here um so we could just tap into this and die but yeah certainly something i 818 00:49:26,319 --> 00:49:31,520 want to short from or long into so let's see what happens i think we are probably 819 00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:34,800 gonna get stopped out 820 00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:38,400 our spread hours we still in the trade 821 00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,640 just about 822 00:49:44,720 --> 00:49:48,160 okay i've just realized so we've taken out this low here right with that spread 823 00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:51,599 spike which then means our most recent eternal high then becomes here at our 824 00:49:51,599 --> 00:49:55,280 nearest high we've then broken that high so now had a bullish change of character 825 00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:58,960 and essentially we just pulled back very subtly but we've pulled back into demand 826 00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:01,839 all right so i'll draw that one so you guys can see right we took this low out 827 00:50:01,839 --> 00:50:04,960 here which then means 828 00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:08,079 this becomes our 829 00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:13,680 internal high so let's see uh it's a bit tricky to see in the sun ng4 830 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:17,119 but i think that one right it's not drawing properly for me but you 831 00:50:17,119 --> 00:50:20,880 guys can see it alright and then pull back down into 832 00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:24,400 this essentially cell to buy here right we tapped into that and then we've 833 00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:27,839 pushed up away so that could have been a cheeky entry but yeah we'll leave that 834 00:50:27,839 --> 00:50:30,400 for now it's not super high probability and bang in the middle of the asian 835 00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:34,559 session um just about in this long yeah i'm still 836 00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:37,520 going to leave my order up here see if we can get tagged into the last 837 00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,599 mitigation up here i'm viewing this as pretty much already mitigated same here 838 00:50:41,599 --> 00:50:43,920 as this as well um 839 00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:47,040 you know we do have supply here but i'm not going to short from that 840 00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,680 it's just very very messy this point probably wait until london and see what 841 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:53,280 happens probably gonna get stopped out yeah there we go not to worry okay let's 842 00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:57,200 see if we can clearly close below cool so close below now 843 00:50:57,200 --> 00:51:00,240 so that means that this yeah this four hour zone has completely 844 00:51:00,240 --> 00:51:03,680 failed so i'd say definitely next targets we're now looking to come 845 00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:06,640 down into around this 846 00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:10,400 uh region here i've only got tiny volume left on my 847 00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,960 cells from the top so i'm going to probably take profit for those once we 848 00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:15,920 get down to four hour demand um i'll just let those runners i think it's 849 00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:18,960 about 20 of each position left maybe even less so yeah we'll let those run 850 00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:22,160 down to here for our demands failed so yeah definitely expecting price to come 851 00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:26,960 down lower we have some other pois right we have this level up here um i'm not 852 00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:30,160 just going to keep the charts nice and clear and then if we can get for our 853 00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:33,599 closure below we'll obviously have this poi as well so if we look at the m15 854 00:51:33,599 --> 00:51:37,200 where can we scale in i'm going to cancel this order for a minute 855 00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:41,760 all right so we're looking up here delete these 856 00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:45,040 okay just follow the mitigations right so we've come into this supply zone that 857 00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:47,920 one i pointed out but yeah way too aggressive for me really to want to 858 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,240 trade from but it makes sense you can see you 859 00:51:50,240 --> 00:51:55,040 follow the mitigations um and then we push down so technically this becomes in 860 00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,559 a flip zone so we have this extreme up here all right let's take the whole buy 861 00:51:58,559 --> 00:52:03,119 to sell that would be nice that's the last mitigation right swept this high 862 00:52:03,119 --> 00:52:06,800 um and push down 863 00:52:07,599 --> 00:52:11,440 but we're coming into london sessions so we may not pull back too deep so let's 864 00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:15,200 put on actually fancy not that one but here 865 00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:18,480 now this one arguably doesn't look like it swept 866 00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:22,000 right pull back pull back pull back let's see 867 00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:24,960 did it sweep the high 868 00:52:25,599 --> 00:52:28,720 just about right so you see this candle here that i've got my mouse on these 869 00:52:28,720 --> 00:52:32,079 candles here just swept that high so technically for me that is a sweep zone 870 00:52:32,079 --> 00:52:35,839 and it's a flip zone right because it reacted from 871 00:52:35,839 --> 00:52:39,359 essentially this demand here i reacted swept that high pushed down and we took 872 00:52:39,359 --> 00:52:42,240 out these lows here for our demand has now failed we're coming into the london 873 00:52:42,240 --> 00:52:45,839 session so yeah i'd be happy to trade from either of these really 874 00:52:45,839 --> 00:52:49,839 let's put a limit on uh i'll tell you what we'll go on 875 00:52:49,839 --> 00:52:52,880 both just because i'd be happy to take losses here so 876 00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:56,160 we'll put one off for now we'll see if price comes up to us 877 00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:59,040 that looks like quite a small zone so i probably wouldn't refine it yes less 878 00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:02,640 than three pips so um 879 00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:07,520 yeah i don't really wanna okay we'll keep that there 880 00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,960 cool okay uh 881 00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:14,880 yeah just check everything's right four cool let's go 882 00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:19,040 okay zoom out a little bit yeah it looks like we've got a pretty 883 00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:22,240 clean movement now all the way down towards here so this is looking pretty 884 00:53:22,240 --> 00:53:24,800 good but i'm cautious we could come back up a 885 00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:29,640 bit higher so let's pose forward see what happens 886 00:53:29,839 --> 00:53:34,000 ah okay being stopped out 887 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:38,880 okay let's put a limit on the one above might be coming up a bit higher 888 00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:44,160 how big is that 4.6 okay we can use the fib tool 889 00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:53,400 boom okay cool so pushed up higher let's delete this 890 00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:59,520 ah yeah that's coming at us 891 00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,599 okay so what do we react to we reacted to 892 00:54:03,599 --> 00:54:07,200 uh that biter cell but yeah i never would have sat in a 893 00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:10,400 children on that it's you know ugly it's a flip zone because it's flipped this 894 00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,440 range but it didn't sweep liquidity it's not clear at all right there that's not 895 00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:16,240 something i put order on it just it is what it is priced up these highs here 896 00:54:16,240 --> 00:54:19,359 tapped into the buy to sell and that's giving enough orders but what do we have 897 00:54:19,359 --> 00:54:21,599 right this is what i mean don't get pissed off if you miss a move or you 898 00:54:21,599 --> 00:54:25,119 take a loss reassess what's happened well we've swept this high we mitigated 899 00:54:25,119 --> 00:54:29,920 a buy to sell that's the last mitigation uh let's cancel that order from now 900 00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:33,760 um let's follow price down okay so 901 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,839 we have that sweep so this becomes our sweep 902 00:54:37,839 --> 00:54:41,119 zone right that's a nice zone so i'll be happy to 903 00:54:41,119 --> 00:54:44,960 sell them on that stop behind the high 904 00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,760 cool i mean you can eyeball this right so when i'm back testing i eyeball it i 905 00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:50,480 try and be a little bit quicker right if i'm just kind of practicing i'm not too 906 00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:53,599 bothered about the stats right i just kind of eyeball roughly where 25 is just 907 00:54:53,599 --> 00:54:56,720 for the sake of time and you guys can do that but i'm just trying to show you now 908 00:54:56,720 --> 00:55:00,000 kind of how to be consistent with this so we're approaching for our demand but 909 00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:03,119 not just there yet so i'm going to continue to look for cells 910 00:55:03,119 --> 00:55:07,280 hopefully price can pull back almost there now i wouldn't really want to sell 911 00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:12,559 on that it's not clean at all but maybe we won't trade higher okay 912 00:55:12,559 --> 00:55:15,920 did we tap into for our demand not yet potentially we're reacting from that 913 00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:18,480 doji um 914 00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:22,319 let's continue to play price forward okay so we've tapped into the previous 915 00:55:22,319 --> 00:55:25,680 buy to sell here right this range and we're pushing down let's see if we can 916 00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:28,880 get into for our demand i'm not 917 00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:32,000 that looks like we have yeah we have we tapped into it now so i'm going to take 918 00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,400 uh well i'm going to close these actually because we are counter trends 919 00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:37,040 so i think the four hour high low is a good chance 920 00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:43,280 all right the four hour trend will continue uh until it doesn't so because 921 00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,520 i'm just thinking what i'm debating whether or not yeah we've tapped into 922 00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:48,400 friday demand so i don't really want to now leave my order on there 923 00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:52,960 um so i'm going to cancel that let's 924 00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:59,200 make this appear properly on the m15 cool so what i want to do now is i'm 925 00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:02,079 just going to check if there are any refined zones in that four-hour demand 926 00:56:02,079 --> 00:56:06,720 zone to see if we could potentially set a risk entry on okay 927 00:56:06,720 --> 00:56:10,960 so we took that long from down here there's nothing yeah so that would only 928 00:56:10,960 --> 00:56:13,359 really be the zone i'd be interested in to be honest with you is this last 929 00:56:13,359 --> 00:56:17,359 mitigation down here all right so we drag that across 930 00:56:17,359 --> 00:56:20,880 now the reason why i'd be interested in this is because this is the four hour 931 00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:24,160 swing low in fact i'll show you 932 00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:29,839 right this for me is a four hour swing low that was just a minor pullback so if 933 00:56:29,839 --> 00:56:32,720 the four hour buddhist trend is going to continue it should continue from this 934 00:56:32,720 --> 00:56:37,040 candle it's also a sweep zone right because it swept the liquidity behind 935 00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:39,680 these lows here 936 00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:43,599 okay um so yeah like i said it's pro trend 937 00:56:43,599 --> 00:56:46,799 we've found a refined zone um i'm going to be happy to 938 00:56:46,799 --> 00:56:50,880 set my orders there so let's put by limits not by stop 939 00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:55,040 stop below the low okay now i mean you can be a little bit 940 00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,280 more i'll tell you what will be a bit because it is a risk entry we'll put it 941 00:56:57,280 --> 00:57:01,040 below the four-hour so below the box just in case uh something eight pips 942 00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:03,599 anyway and the wrist was on our side right we're going to catch that for our 943 00:57:03,599 --> 00:57:08,720 halo this is the place to do it now because we have again remember this 944 00:57:08,720 --> 00:57:12,160 movement up here was a sweep of those extreme daily highs since you have that 945 00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:17,200 daily supply zone um you know you always have to be in mind that if the ferrari 946 00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:20,319 is going to switch bearish and this is a time in which you can do i'm personally 947 00:57:20,319 --> 00:57:23,200 happy to just keep training with the four-hour trend until it changes i don't 948 00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:26,240 you know i don't try and get too clever with the market because a lot of times 949 00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:29,200 the trend will continue for much longer than you think but if you aren't sure 950 00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:31,520 and you don't necessarily want to keep being aggressive with these pro trend 951 00:57:31,520 --> 00:57:35,839 trades i sent a risk entry like this is you can either wait for you know the m15 952 00:57:35,839 --> 00:57:38,559 to switch british or you could wait for a four hour buddhist change of character 953 00:57:38,559 --> 00:57:41,920 etc right but because it's pro-trained i'm just going to be happy to be pretty 954 00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:46,000 aggressive here and take the loss now the other thing you could do if if you 955 00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:48,720 want to be aggressive is also be aggressive with your shorts so you could 956 00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:52,960 have left her order on here right this last sort of m15 entry order and then 957 00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:56,079 that way you are you know a little bit more hedged so 958 00:57:56,079 --> 00:58:00,559 assuming a little bit um just thinking if i want to sell from 959 00:58:00,559 --> 00:58:03,680 this no because it's way too neat for our demand 960 00:58:03,680 --> 00:58:06,400 okay ah i didn't type this in it's hit the 961 00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,839 distal hopefully it comes lower 962 00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:14,640 okay so we haven't been tagged in right from the distal we've now had a 963 00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:18,720 bullish change of character okay i'm going to play it for one or 964 00:58:18,720 --> 00:58:21,920 four i just want to see price close above it okay now we've got a closure 965 00:58:21,920 --> 00:58:24,559 above so 966 00:58:24,559 --> 00:58:27,280 i'll draw it on 967 00:58:28,319 --> 00:58:33,119 this here becomes our british chalk right 968 00:58:33,119 --> 00:58:36,079 it's a straight line right just imagine it's a nice straight line this does my 969 00:58:36,079 --> 00:58:40,400 head in mt4 we had supply here all right so we reacted with this 970 00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:44,559 bearish candle it's horribly drawn uh we pushed up so this is kind of where you 971 00:58:44,559 --> 00:58:46,640 have two options right if you want to look for a long we've now had a bullish 972 00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:50,240 change of character in four-hour demand it's pro-trend you either have this 973 00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:55,119 extreme zone here right that white box the way it's drawn it or you have this 974 00:58:55,119 --> 00:58:58,160 decisional flip zone right now 975 00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:02,079 what do we know that can increase the probability or or another way to phrase 976 00:59:02,079 --> 00:59:04,880 the question is if you're not sure 977 00:59:04,880 --> 00:59:08,319 when you have two zones whether to take the flip or the extreme remember that 978 00:59:08,319 --> 00:59:11,040 rule that that you can use i don't personally use it as a strict 979 00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,119 requirement i like to use a little bit description here but for what i 980 00:59:13,119 --> 00:59:18,720 recommend you guys will use is if the flip sweeps liquidity excuse 981 00:59:18,720 --> 00:59:20,880 me then right it becomes a little higher 982 00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:24,720 probability to trade from the decision if the flip doesn't sweep liquidity then 983 00:59:24,720 --> 00:59:27,599 you can set your order on the extreme now in this case it doesn't sweep 984 00:59:27,599 --> 00:59:31,680 liquidity so if you restrict you would set it down here right but 985 00:59:31,680 --> 00:59:34,400 i personally i like to be a bit more aggressive and 986 00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:37,440 you're a dollar i don't have it as a strict requirement so 987 00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:40,319 i'd be happy to take this flip here and then 988 00:59:40,319 --> 00:59:42,960 um what you can do right and sometimes i'll 989 00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:45,599 do this but again i don't necessarily want to recommend it because it's a bit 990 00:59:45,599 --> 00:59:48,160 riskier is because we're training from the four 991 00:59:48,160 --> 00:59:52,640 hour extreme demand zone it's pro trend right if if this four-hour train is 992 00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:55,760 going to continue it has to continue from here when it's in areas like that 993 00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:58,160 i'm happy to be quite aggressive so i'm going to cancel this order because the 994 00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:02,160 zone's already been mitigated with a decent reaction right um so what you can 995 01:00:02,160 --> 01:00:04,319 do again i don't necessarily recommend this 996 01:00:04,319 --> 01:00:07,599 is you can trade both so you can set limits on both or another option is to 997 01:00:07,599 --> 01:00:11,520 set a limit on one and play a reaction from the other so what i mean by that is 998 01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:15,359 you would set i'm just gonna use the 25 rule again is you would set your limit 999 01:00:15,359 --> 01:00:18,079 on here right 1000 01:00:18,079 --> 01:00:21,359 so you put a buy limit like this 1001 01:00:21,839 --> 01:00:25,200 now what you can also do right if you get stopped is then play the reaction to 1002 01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:27,680 this you would look press come into it give you another bullish change of 1003 01:00:27,680 --> 01:00:30,559 character and then you trade the reaction because otherwise you know if 1004 01:00:30,559 --> 01:00:33,520 this is failing you could take two losses in a row which you know a lot of 1005 01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:36,640 people that doesn't really meet their risk tolerance so i'm gonna set one 1006 01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:41,640 there let's just see if we get tapped into 1007 01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:51,440 okay i'm not going to change the risk management just yet because 1008 01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:55,520 we're barely running two and a half percent 1009 01:00:55,520 --> 01:00:57,839 um 1010 01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:00,720 okay yeah we're gonna yeah that doesn't look good because now we've taken out 1011 01:01:00,720 --> 01:01:04,240 the reaction right it's pretty much obviously gonna fail so at this point 1012 01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:07,760 let's see what happens in this kernel yeah we're out so you could set an entry 1013 01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:11,920 order on the extreme um 1014 01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:15,599 don't screw it i'm gonna do it just because i like this level is the 1015 01:01:15,599 --> 01:01:18,079 extreme whenever it's the extreme and it's pro trend i do like to be 1016 01:01:18,079 --> 01:01:20,880 reasonably aggressive here like i was saying right you could wait for a price 1017 01:01:20,880 --> 01:01:26,160 to come in and then trade a uh trader reaction 1018 01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:29,359 so essentially trade the confirmation entry so there's a certain limit here 1019 01:01:29,359 --> 01:01:33,920 uh let's go cool ah session timing spread out so i'm 1020 01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:37,440 going to cancel that i didn't notice that let's put it forward a little bit 1021 01:01:37,440 --> 01:01:41,359 until okay we can set it back on 1022 01:01:42,160 --> 01:01:46,640 try and speed this up a little bit i'm gonna go a little bit quicker okay 1023 01:01:46,640 --> 01:01:52,480 as best i can so let's play this forward nothing's going on yet just trading 1024 01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:55,680 between the internal high and low 1025 01:01:56,000 --> 01:01:59,680 ah doesn't look like it's going to come back okay i'm gonna cancel that order 1026 01:01:59,680 --> 01:02:04,480 so yeah london's opened up now we've got a pretty decent reaction from from um 1027 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:09,599 for our demand but we do have this supplies in here right 1028 01:02:09,599 --> 01:02:14,319 so we have to be aware of that coming into which is this level here so 1029 01:02:14,319 --> 01:02:19,520 on m15 let's look at some pois we can be uh mindful of 1030 01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:21,839 all right we've got this level here there's high impact news coming out 1031 01:02:21,839 --> 01:02:24,799 what's coming up uh ecb so yeah definitely want to be training through 1032 01:02:24,799 --> 01:02:28,400 that but we can just observe what happens right so yeah if you did leave 1033 01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:32,079 this order on this level here that we were looking at earlier remember 1034 01:02:32,079 --> 01:02:34,880 um you know that's quite an aggressive level because obviously training against 1035 01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:38,559 four hour demand and counter trend then uh 1036 01:02:38,559 --> 01:02:41,760 you would probably definitely want to cancel that coming into ecb would be my 1037 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:45,119 opinion but let's see what happens i'm not gonna find any orders until ecb is 1038 01:02:45,119 --> 01:02:48,799 out of the way now it's quite a small reaction for ecb 1039 01:02:48,799 --> 01:02:51,920 actually okay we've pushed downs all right so yeah 1040 01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:55,119 that would have worked out beautifully if you had to get the order on um but 1041 01:02:55,119 --> 01:02:59,920 you know who cares right you want to be doing uh what is going to give you 1042 01:02:59,920 --> 01:03:03,039 uh you know what is best long term for consistent 1043 01:03:03,039 --> 01:03:06,240 and professional trading and it's not going to be leaving orders on coming 1044 01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:09,520 into a extremely high impact news event like a rate announcement on the pair 1045 01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,160 you're training because you have to think about if you've got a 1046 01:03:12,160 --> 01:03:16,160 seven figure account and you get slipped on a two pip or three pip stop or even a 1047 01:03:16,160 --> 01:03:19,839 five pip stop right you know that's serious serious 1048 01:03:19,839 --> 01:03:22,319 damage you're not gonna do that so even if you might do it in your thousand 1049 01:03:22,319 --> 01:03:25,280 pound or thousand dollar account you need to be thinking and treating it as 1050 01:03:25,280 --> 01:03:28,960 if it has an extra five zeros on the end right and you wouldn't do that um most 1051 01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:32,559 likely so you can see right we've come into that four hour demand that's a very 1052 01:03:32,559 --> 01:03:35,119 big aggressive reaction right close back below 1053 01:03:35,119 --> 01:03:38,640 that low so this looks like it's probably gonna get smashed now but 1054 01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:42,000 uh we'll see um 1055 01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:45,119 see i mean we still so what i'm thinking of okay is i'm looking at where are the 1056 01:03:45,119 --> 01:03:48,400 pois and which we can trade because the four hour is still bullish we've come 1057 01:03:48,400 --> 01:03:52,480 off the extreme but we are reacting to the supply zone and i'm cautious of you 1058 01:03:52,480 --> 01:03:54,880 know what again this is really key what's happening up here we've swept 1059 01:03:54,880 --> 01:03:58,319 those big daily highs in daily supply and we're pulling back now we've had a 1060 01:03:58,319 --> 01:04:01,520 reaction from four hour demand so if this starts to kind of push down and 1061 01:04:01,520 --> 01:04:04,400 close below this low then it's very likely that this low is probably going 1062 01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:06,960 to fail because demands failed right there's four hour demands failed and 1063 01:04:06,960 --> 01:04:09,039 we're going to come down lower at that point and then the four hour would 1064 01:04:09,039 --> 01:04:12,480 switch burst if that happens but it hasn't happened so this is what i say 1065 01:04:12,480 --> 01:04:16,079 and i have to remind myself every week don't try and get too clever just 1066 01:04:16,079 --> 01:04:18,799 blindly assume the trend is going to continue until it doesn't 1067 01:04:18,799 --> 01:04:21,920 right so what that means is it's still bullish so let's look for long so what 1068 01:04:21,920 --> 01:04:25,599 i'm looking at is all of these lows here 1069 01:04:25,599 --> 01:04:29,520 that's been mitigated that was a nice something in my eye 1070 01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:32,480 a nice sweep zone there 1071 01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:35,200 all right it's not drawn very well but yeah there we go swept that zone we 1072 01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:39,039 moved up we mitigated this level so potentially we may see 1073 01:04:39,039 --> 01:04:44,160 a long from here what's the time coming into new york 1074 01:04:44,160 --> 01:04:46,960 excuse me but we've come off supply a lot of reaction we've got a bearish 1075 01:04:46,960 --> 01:04:50,000 change of character if i was going to be kind of aggressive 1076 01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:53,520 i'd probably prefer to take the extreme hair 1077 01:04:53,520 --> 01:04:56,000 i don't really fancy training against that 1078 01:04:56,000 --> 01:04:59,520 uh if anything i'd be looking for a short from up here 1079 01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:02,640 because that was the last mitigation from the sweep zone it swept these highs 1080 01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:05,760 here see i'm gonna whack so limit on that 1081 01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:08,480 okay so again this is me being reasonably aggressive but 1082 01:05:08,480 --> 01:05:12,319 there are times when to do it and when not to do it for me this is when to do 1083 01:05:12,319 --> 01:05:14,720 it because price action 1084 01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:19,119 has got some nice clear pois to trade from get nice big expansive moves so i'm 1085 01:05:19,119 --> 01:05:22,240 happy to kind of trade these because if i get short from here there's plenty of 1086 01:05:22,240 --> 01:05:24,799 risk to roll down towards the load if i get long from here there's you know 1087 01:05:24,799 --> 01:05:27,760 decent enough risk to ward up towards the supply zone but when they're very 1088 01:05:27,760 --> 01:05:31,039 you know bunched together in a tight range that's not really 1089 01:05:31,039 --> 01:05:34,400 the time in which you want to be doing it okay so 1090 01:05:34,400 --> 01:05:36,400 yeah i'm not going to take a long from this just because i don't like how 1091 01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:39,599 strong that reaction is from the for our supply zone but um i'll tell you what 1092 01:05:39,599 --> 01:05:43,039 we'll play a no we'll be we'll continue to be consistent 1093 01:05:43,039 --> 01:05:45,280 this is one thing i try and preach as well as right is if you're going to be 1094 01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:48,000 aggressive you always need to be aggressive you can't kind of chop and 1095 01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:51,440 change you need to keep your foot on the gas so that 1096 01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:53,839 uh when being aggressive pays off it pays 1097 01:05:53,839 --> 01:05:56,559 off big and when it you know it doesn't pay off then you continue taking those 1098 01:05:56,559 --> 01:05:58,880 losses but you keep going with it because if you suddenly take a few 1099 01:05:58,880 --> 01:06:01,839 losses and then you get scared what's going to happen is you then going to 1100 01:06:01,839 --> 01:06:04,960 miss those wins right that should have been part of your probability model so 1101 01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:08,240 yeah i'm aware that this is a low it's the last mitigation after that 1102 01:06:08,240 --> 01:06:11,280 sweep but uh i just think these lows here are gonna get smashed and we can 1103 01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:14,400 come down into the extreme uh so yeah let's let's play this forward and see 1104 01:06:14,400 --> 01:06:17,760 how we go into new york okay so i didn't get tagged in that's 1105 01:06:17,760 --> 01:06:20,720 very very messy now 1106 01:06:21,119 --> 01:06:24,000 let's see let's let's leave both of them both 1107 01:06:24,000 --> 01:06:28,240 there's a hedge okay we're in a long decent reaction from that 1108 01:06:28,240 --> 01:06:31,240 um 1109 01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:37,680 so i was just looking at that okay cool so okay now we're in the shorts now 1110 01:06:37,680 --> 01:06:41,599 we've got a hedge from both sides if we take out this high 1111 01:06:41,599 --> 01:06:44,559 um yeah then i think we're probably going a 1112 01:06:44,559 --> 01:06:48,400 fair bit higher and potentially this for our suppliers i may fail so this is 1113 01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:52,240 pretty good so i mean play the extremes both sweep zones um you know you've got 1114 01:06:52,240 --> 01:06:55,119 the market hedge both sides now and hopefully we can profit 1115 01:06:55,119 --> 01:06:58,640 either way which it wants to break out now 1116 01:06:58,640 --> 01:07:00,880 if you hadn't set your entry order up here 1117 01:07:00,880 --> 01:07:03,520 what would we have we have a bearish change of character because we've come 1118 01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:06,880 down and we've taken the slow here 1119 01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:10,000 all right just imagine that's a straight line 1120 01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:12,880 all right that was the last pullback came up mitigated supply you calm down 1121 01:07:12,880 --> 01:07:15,599 and have a brief change of character we now have a flip zone as well right 1122 01:07:15,599 --> 01:07:19,839 because this level here was demand and then this would be the base of your 1123 01:07:19,839 --> 01:07:23,520 reaction to the top all right it's a sweep zone as well right swept the high 1124 01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:26,319 liquidity behind there so this would be escalating i'll tell you what just 1125 01:07:26,319 --> 01:07:29,839 purely for the purposes of this 1126 01:07:30,079 --> 01:07:33,920 this video right because i kind of just want to show you 1127 01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:36,960 just some trades just for the sake of it right i wouldn't necessarily do this 1128 01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:41,200 live if i was already scaled in with no no um 1129 01:07:41,200 --> 01:07:45,200 uh risk removed but yeah screw it so 1130 01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:49,520 i could get absolutely slapped here but oh well 1131 01:07:49,520 --> 01:07:55,440 okay so we tapped the distal yeah i'm gonna pull that order now 1132 01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:59,440 okay um so what we have now so far right is this 1133 01:07:59,440 --> 01:08:02,160 where we've got long all right the reaction is a weak low because it's 1134 01:08:02,160 --> 01:08:04,720 failed to take out this high uh 1135 01:08:04,720 --> 01:08:06,640 so yeah i wouldn't be looking at long 1136 01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:09,280 entries from here if you went on already i'm just gonna leave the hedges and see 1137 01:08:09,280 --> 01:08:14,319 which way price wants to break out we're in spread hours now as well 1138 01:08:15,039 --> 01:08:18,640 okay just wait for this range to break out essentially 1139 01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:22,080 okay and we got stopped out on the short that's just fine so 1140 01:08:22,080 --> 01:08:24,880 all right we still have this for our supply zone we have had a decent 1141 01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:28,480 reaction from it so you know technically if the four hour closes above this high 1142 01:08:28,480 --> 01:08:32,000 that is a failed reaction which is not a not a good sign for shorts 1143 01:08:32,000 --> 01:08:35,359 um we got the long 1144 01:08:35,839 --> 01:08:38,319 i'll take a little bit of partials but i don't want to take much off because it's 1145 01:08:38,319 --> 01:08:41,920 pro trend so we are running decent decent profit 1146 01:08:41,920 --> 01:08:44,719 though uh 1147 01:08:45,279 --> 01:08:48,400 i'm just thinking it's pro trend but we're coming into four hour supply we're 1148 01:08:48,400 --> 01:08:53,520 just taking m15 high i don't want to take off too much but 1149 01:08:53,520 --> 01:08:58,080 let's take off half we'll take off off pay ourselves 1150 01:08:58,159 --> 01:09:04,960 okay cool so let's zoom out with m15 we have this supply zone above 1151 01:09:05,440 --> 01:09:08,719 all right um 1152 01:09:08,719 --> 01:09:11,440 so that's still nested within the four-hour supply zone this is kind of 1153 01:09:11,440 --> 01:09:15,440 the extreme right series of mitigations uh so yeah let's put a risk entry on 1154 01:09:15,440 --> 01:09:17,679 that 1155 01:09:18,159 --> 01:09:21,839 i want to buy to sell 1156 01:09:24,080 --> 01:09:28,880 cool okay i can zoom back in 1157 01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:32,799 so it's looking like yeah potentially these highs here are 1158 01:09:32,799 --> 01:09:37,199 liquidity for this high here now this is still quite aggressive trade i'll put 1159 01:09:37,199 --> 01:09:39,920 the trade on so you know what i'm talking about because it's counted a 1160 01:09:39,920 --> 01:09:43,440 four-hour trend right it's looking up for our demand is holding but you see 1161 01:09:43,440 --> 01:09:46,880 the way we've had this it's just that to me looks like a correct pullback you see 1162 01:09:46,880 --> 01:09:51,040 this impulsive movement down corrective pullback it doesn't look that strong so 1163 01:09:51,040 --> 01:09:54,800 this is where i'm happy to kind of you know still be looking for shorts 1164 01:09:54,800 --> 01:09:57,920 especially when we're in a long right so we're going to hedge it both ways but 1165 01:09:57,920 --> 01:10:01,360 the big big reason behind this is because of this movement here like this 1166 01:10:01,360 --> 01:10:05,040 is really significant right when we swept that daily high in daily supply um 1167 01:10:05,040 --> 01:10:09,199 you know there's a lot of weight behind that so we'll set that cell there but it 1168 01:10:09,199 --> 01:10:11,760 is quite aggressive so actually what would probably be better 1169 01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:15,120 but we can do it if it happens as well is you would wait for price to tap in 1170 01:10:15,120 --> 01:10:18,880 you can trade a confirmation at you from here okay but coming into london 1171 01:10:18,880 --> 01:10:21,840 see how we go okay yeah probably would have been better to wait for combination 1172 01:10:21,840 --> 01:10:27,360 confirmation tree probably gonna get slapped here just about held in 1173 01:10:27,360 --> 01:10:30,719 that trade higher yeah that trip that candle traded higher 1174 01:10:30,719 --> 01:10:32,960 than a prior candle so the reason was looking at that was just to see if we 1175 01:10:32,960 --> 01:10:37,360 were going to get a chuck here but the most recent act of internal low for me 1176 01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:40,400 is this candle here so this thing stand but we need to see this low go to get a 1177 01:10:40,400 --> 01:10:43,800 bearish chalk 1178 01:10:46,480 --> 01:10:49,520 okay it looks like it's paying out pretty nicely 1179 01:10:49,520 --> 01:10:51,840 uh i'm not gonna yeah i'm gonna leave the management of this long so i've 1180 01:10:51,840 --> 01:10:55,520 already taken 50 it's pro trend don't really want to cut myself too short any 1181 01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:59,199 more than that in case it does break out higher 1182 01:10:59,199 --> 01:11:02,400 okay there was a zone here so 1183 01:11:02,400 --> 01:11:05,440 it's not great but essentially if you if you really want to get short from here 1184 01:11:05,440 --> 01:11:08,080 but you're waiting for the confirmation entry and you didn't get it 1185 01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:10,719 right where's the first reaction we get a reaction here so you can make sense of 1186 01:11:10,719 --> 01:11:14,960 it what do we have we have essentially this supply zone here i drag 1187 01:11:14,960 --> 01:11:18,000 it across all right you can see this is a buy to 1188 01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:22,000 sell then price comes into it right from these cells to buy works here 1189 01:11:22,000 --> 01:11:25,679 it reacts pushes down and then pushes up right so this is demand here 1190 01:11:25,679 --> 01:11:29,120 and then what do we have we now have supply here 1191 01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:31,760 right it's very aggressive there's no structural liquidity it's not a sweep 1192 01:11:31,760 --> 01:11:35,840 zone etc etc but if you really wanted to get in right this could be a good level 1193 01:11:35,840 --> 01:11:39,199 but we are coming into high impact news we've got ppi so it wouldn't necessarily 1194 01:11:39,199 --> 01:11:42,480 be the best ppi's not the biggest event in the world but still high tech news on 1195 01:11:42,480 --> 01:11:45,760 the left and there we go yeah you get slapped so actually that was quite poor 1196 01:11:45,760 --> 01:11:49,280 analysis on my behalf because remember this was the active internal low we 1197 01:11:49,280 --> 01:11:51,440 hadn't yet had a british change of character 1198 01:11:51,440 --> 01:11:54,880 and price has come into this decision here so yeah completely 1199 01:11:54,880 --> 01:11:57,199 missed that and this is the problem right charts are getting very very messy 1200 01:11:57,199 --> 01:12:01,360 now um and also this is reasonably aggressive training but yeah we'll 1201 01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:04,960 delete that um all right i have to think about management again so i'm going to 1202 01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:08,480 leave the long here right we're taking 50 off this is the short from the 1203 01:12:08,480 --> 01:12:11,840 extreme that's for our supply so i'm pretty happy with this because if this 1204 01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:14,400 supplier is going to hold then i've got in right from the top of it and if it 1205 01:12:14,400 --> 01:12:17,199 fails i get stopped out it is what it is becoming higher and we're already in the 1206 01:12:17,199 --> 01:12:20,400 long um 1207 01:12:20,560 --> 01:12:22,800 we haven't had a barrel change of character so technically this is a weak 1208 01:12:22,800 --> 01:12:25,760 high so it probably is going to get run let's see what happens 1209 01:12:25,760 --> 01:12:31,440 news okay we've continued to the downside 1210 01:12:31,440 --> 01:12:35,120 okay so now i'd probably be looking at this high here 1211 01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:38,400 right if you went in because this has now we've got our 1212 01:12:38,400 --> 01:12:41,440 bearish change of character this has done what it's pulled back 1213 01:12:41,440 --> 01:12:44,880 right it's reacted from demand okay so again i want to make this really clear 1214 01:12:44,880 --> 01:12:47,120 because i know it's quite hard to see on mt4 especially if you're not used to 1215 01:12:47,120 --> 01:12:50,400 this this price action it can be a bit hard to follow so let's try and go 1216 01:12:50,400 --> 01:12:53,760 through high time rates again right we swept the daily high 1217 01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:57,520 we had an aggressive move back down the four-hour chart is currently bullish we 1218 01:12:57,520 --> 01:13:01,040 can zoom in right this is our current swing low so we had our bearish change 1219 01:13:01,040 --> 01:13:04,320 of character and we look for sales on the way down right we looked for 1220 01:13:04,320 --> 01:13:07,679 something along some decisional demand uh probably i think we took a few losses 1221 01:13:07,679 --> 01:13:10,719 there can't quite remember we then came down into our extreme demand zone which 1222 01:13:10,719 --> 01:13:15,040 we are currently long from right because we've got that uh i just have a look on 1223 01:13:15,040 --> 01:13:17,679 here we've got that 1224 01:13:17,679 --> 01:13:20,159 this move in here right we had an order on the extreme but it didn't quite take 1225 01:13:20,159 --> 01:13:23,760 us in on 25 we then moved up we had a bullish change 1226 01:13:23,760 --> 01:13:27,120 of character confirming off for our poi so we looked for an entry from the 1227 01:13:27,120 --> 01:13:31,120 decisional flip zone we got stopped out not to worry so we set a limit on the 1228 01:13:31,120 --> 01:13:34,560 extreme down here but we then got tagged in took a few losses on the hedges short 1229 01:13:34,560 --> 01:13:37,280 that's fine so we're currently long from there 1230 01:13:37,280 --> 01:13:40,400 uh let's just put that back 1231 01:13:44,080 --> 01:13:47,760 okay uh then we took a short from the extreme within that for our supply zone 1232 01:13:47,760 --> 01:13:50,320 so we're kind of playing you see the ping pong of this we're seeing which way 1233 01:13:50,320 --> 01:13:53,199 does the floor i kind of want to continue right 1234 01:13:53,199 --> 01:13:55,840 so that's why buying from buying from the bottom extreme and starting from the 1235 01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:58,480 top stream is always going to be a highest probability and this is why when 1236 01:13:58,480 --> 01:14:01,199 you mess around in the middle you see i'm taking losses right that's the 1237 01:14:01,199 --> 01:14:04,960 reason why um then this was yeah that was a dumb trade that i pointed out 1238 01:14:04,960 --> 01:14:08,800 ignore that really it's a flip but at that point right price had pushed up 1239 01:14:08,800 --> 01:14:12,239 this whole leg here all of these candles break the prior candles high right 1240 01:14:12,239 --> 01:14:15,520 that's all part of the up move so when price pulls back down to this point we 1241 01:14:15,520 --> 01:14:18,800 need this low here to go for there to be a bearish change of character right 1242 01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:23,199 price comes into demand it pushes up and then we get a break of the low so now 1243 01:14:23,199 --> 01:14:26,640 this red line that i'm about to draw is our bearish change of character right 1244 01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:29,440 giving us more confirmation maybe this poi is going to hold downs for our 1245 01:14:29,440 --> 01:14:33,920 supply we've reacted from demand we pushed up we swept the structural 1246 01:14:33,920 --> 01:14:38,320 liquidity behind this high here right because price came down it moved up and 1247 01:14:38,320 --> 01:14:41,679 it moved down so there's structural liquidity behind this high price came up 1248 01:14:41,679 --> 01:14:45,600 swept that liquidity and then pushed down so now essentially anywhere from 1249 01:14:45,600 --> 01:14:48,960 the base of this reaction to the top right that whole blue box that is 1250 01:14:48,960 --> 01:14:52,159 essentially your your your demand flipping to supply so you can get short 1251 01:14:52,159 --> 01:14:55,360 anywhere from in here obviously we want to refine it a little bit more than that 1252 01:14:55,360 --> 01:14:59,120 so i'm going to drag this up to quite messy and it's quite a big candle 1253 01:14:59,120 --> 01:15:04,480 we'll just take the whole bicep counter there we'll use a 25 on this 1254 01:15:04,480 --> 01:15:08,239 i'm not sure how many pips that is let's have a look uh solomon okay we're still 1255 01:15:08,239 --> 01:15:11,640 within the long 1256 01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:16,080 6.7 yes it's not too bad okay we'll accept that 1257 01:15:16,080 --> 01:15:20,159 right so let's see how we go over this now 1258 01:15:20,159 --> 01:15:23,360 okay tagged in 1259 01:15:23,360 --> 01:15:27,120 continue down right so it's getting quite messy right 1260 01:15:27,120 --> 01:15:32,159 we're quite range bound um what i'm going to do is i'm going to 1261 01:15:32,159 --> 01:15:35,360 still leave the stops open i'm not going to take any profits yet because we've 1262 01:15:35,360 --> 01:15:38,159 already taken 50 off the long i don't want to take off any more because it is 1263 01:15:38,159 --> 01:15:40,960 pro trend and we break out higher i don't really want to take much more off 1264 01:15:40,960 --> 01:15:43,679 than that and we're already in the shorts we're in too short but i'm not 1265 01:15:43,679 --> 01:15:46,960 going to manage these really until we can take out at least this internal low 1266 01:15:46,960 --> 01:15:50,080 here ideally 1267 01:15:50,239 --> 01:15:53,679 see how this goes i'm not interested in trading any of this because this is 1268 01:15:53,679 --> 01:15:57,360 technically well no it did take out that high we 1269 01:15:57,360 --> 01:16:00,719 could right if we get a confirmation issue from here 1270 01:16:00,719 --> 01:16:05,360 then i'll let to get involved right this is quite aggressive trading though 1271 01:16:05,360 --> 01:16:09,920 uh we pulled down we fall back up we've then taken out the low so 1272 01:16:09,920 --> 01:16:13,520 most recent internal high technically is that kind of there 1273 01:16:13,520 --> 01:16:16,159 because it failed to break this counters low so if we get break of that that 1274 01:16:16,159 --> 01:16:19,520 would be our chuck see what happens 1275 01:16:19,520 --> 01:16:23,679 oh spread ours yeah definitely looking for entries now 1276 01:16:24,800 --> 01:16:28,719 okay let's see if we can get another buddhist change of character 1277 01:16:28,960 --> 01:16:32,080 uh looking like we're gonna get stopped out 1278 01:16:32,080 --> 01:16:34,400 yeah that's that demands those files anyway so you see how we're taking out 1279 01:16:34,400 --> 01:16:38,960 that low uh so let's see if we can get this load to go another four hour low to 1280 01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:44,560 go uh and i'll start to manage those shorts 1281 01:16:44,560 --> 01:16:48,560 okay boom all right so let's drag this across are 1282 01:16:48,560 --> 01:16:51,120 we taking that out yeah all right yeah we've just whipped the 1283 01:16:51,120 --> 01:16:54,239 foil oh so we haven't had a bosch yet but i am going to take 1284 01:16:54,239 --> 01:16:57,880 some profits on these shorts uh 1285 01:16:57,880 --> 01:17:00,480 [Music] let's take off i don't want to take off 1286 01:17:00,480 --> 01:17:03,040 too much because it does look like because essentially what's happened here 1287 01:17:03,040 --> 01:17:06,960 is we've had a big reaction from demand we've pushed up and we've now clearly 1288 01:17:06,960 --> 01:17:11,120 broken below that reaction so that means that this demand has 1289 01:17:11,120 --> 01:17:13,199 flipped to supply so 1290 01:17:13,199 --> 01:17:17,840 i'm going to wait and see if we can get for our closure below 1291 01:17:17,920 --> 01:17:21,520 before we come into london is that kind of going to close below 1292 01:17:21,520 --> 01:17:26,560 let's see is it going to close just wait for the next candle to form 1293 01:17:26,560 --> 01:17:29,440 oh maybe it's going to close back up okay now it's closed okay so now we have 1294 01:17:29,440 --> 01:17:32,880 a bearish boss so now what i'm thinking is is 1295 01:17:32,880 --> 01:17:36,239 do i want to take partial profits off my shorts because 1296 01:17:36,239 --> 01:17:40,560 now the four hours which bearish i've got in on this lower high 1297 01:17:40,560 --> 01:17:42,719 you know there's potential now we could be coming 1298 01:17:42,719 --> 01:17:44,960 all the way down for these week daily lows 1299 01:17:44,960 --> 01:17:47,120 so 1300 01:17:47,440 --> 01:17:50,800 but yeah i'm just thinking out loud now um 1301 01:17:50,800 --> 01:17:53,840 but the problem is right is even though we are now training pro training we're 1302 01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:56,880 sure where our swing high is it's the highest 1303 01:17:56,880 --> 01:18:00,080 point it took out this low so we look back this is our four hour swing high up 1304 01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:03,600 here so what could happen in theory is price could pull the way back up stop us 1305 01:18:03,600 --> 01:18:06,719 out of these short positions come and mitigate this extreme line up here and 1306 01:18:06,719 --> 01:18:10,400 then continue down okay so i'm going to take some partials let's 1307 01:18:10,400 --> 01:18:13,440 show this let's close 50 percent on those 1308 01:18:13,440 --> 01:18:16,239 um [Music] 1309 01:18:16,239 --> 01:18:19,120 yeah we do i was just thinking of maybe going heavier on this on the second one 1310 01:18:19,120 --> 01:18:22,560 because we're lower down but yeah we'll just do 50 on that and then we'll see 1311 01:18:22,560 --> 01:18:25,120 how we go okay so let's have a bit of a 1312 01:18:25,120 --> 01:18:28,560 reassessment here so before i switch bearish we mitigated this level here so 1313 01:18:28,560 --> 01:18:32,960 this would be our last mitigation um so let's draw on 1314 01:18:32,960 --> 01:18:35,840 this zone here right this would be the zone that would be looking for price to 1315 01:18:35,840 --> 01:18:41,120 come back into to look to scale in uh which is this area here okay so we have 1316 01:18:41,120 --> 01:18:44,400 these levels this is why i'm you know price can come back in and stop us out 1317 01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:48,239 if it comes back up higher so i have to reassess uh we've just had a bus that 1318 01:18:48,239 --> 01:18:51,120 doesn't mean we're going to pull back straight away we have our next level of 1319 01:18:51,120 --> 01:18:54,560 clear demand down here right so we can kind of be quite 1320 01:18:54,560 --> 01:18:58,719 aggressive with cells until then so let's see what we have we have here on 1321 01:18:58,719 --> 01:19:02,800 m15 especially coming into london this is when right momentum is high 1322 01:19:02,800 --> 01:19:05,520 you don't have to wait for price to pull back you can put your foot on the gas 1323 01:19:05,520 --> 01:19:08,800 just be aware it is aggressive so you will take a firmware unless you're doing 1324 01:19:08,800 --> 01:19:12,400 this but um you know just get practice without when to do it right you can see 1325 01:19:12,400 --> 01:19:15,840 the momentum we've got uh yeah london session 1326 01:19:15,840 --> 01:19:18,960 let's put on let's put on this entry here 1327 01:19:18,960 --> 01:19:21,280 again i keep saying i'm going to speed it up and then i don't i feel like this 1328 01:19:21,280 --> 01:19:23,520 videos could go on for hours i'm trying to speed this up because i'm not even 1329 01:19:23,520 --> 01:19:26,320 halfway through the month just yet so limit 1330 01:19:26,320 --> 01:19:29,440 cool it's just i want to try and kind of really talk it through so rather than 1331 01:19:29,440 --> 01:19:32,560 you know me just whack on trades and you're not entirely sure why i want you 1332 01:19:32,560 --> 01:19:36,000 guys to try and understand as much as possible because it is quite hard to 1333 01:19:36,000 --> 01:19:39,199 follow with all this analysis on just mt4 1334 01:19:39,199 --> 01:19:44,560 okay so this is an aggressive trade but screw it let's follow the momentum 1335 01:19:45,120 --> 01:19:50,800 okay we're in wait for at least for the low to go before i manage this 1336 01:19:50,800 --> 01:19:56,800 uh hasn't gone yet okay now it's gone so this trades yeah 31. so you see how it's 1337 01:19:56,800 --> 01:20:00,960 running uh well almost seven percent well from 1338 01:20:00,960 --> 01:20:04,719 initial balance not from equity and because it's at the low this is what you 1339 01:20:04,719 --> 01:20:08,320 have to think about right where you are entering short yes it's pro pro trend 1340 01:20:08,320 --> 01:20:11,040 but look where we are within the leg right very easily before i could start 1341 01:20:11,040 --> 01:20:14,560 to pull back so if you're going to enter low in the leg me personally i'd be very 1342 01:20:14,560 --> 01:20:17,360 aggressive in management so you can either have a fixed r so like you always 1343 01:20:17,360 --> 01:20:20,719 you always fully exit full volume at 5r for instance 1344 01:20:20,719 --> 01:20:24,400 or you take the majority of your partials or all of them at the nearest 1345 01:20:24,400 --> 01:20:27,920 low or what you can do is you can just trail price so you would continue to 1346 01:20:27,920 --> 01:20:31,440 travel behind these highs okay i'm gonna be pretty aggressive with this 1347 01:20:31,440 --> 01:20:35,199 i'm just going to take off like 80 of the volume on this just because i don't 1348 01:20:35,199 --> 01:20:37,840 really like entering that low down the leg 1349 01:20:37,840 --> 01:20:42,159 so cool we'll go over that and then but what you can do right is 1350 01:20:42,159 --> 01:20:45,520 you can look to continue to scale in so we could be aggressive again wouldn't 1351 01:20:45,520 --> 01:20:49,760 necessarily recommend this but let's do it let's scale in here 1352 01:20:49,760 --> 01:20:52,639 it's quite a small candle so we don't need to 25 because essentially what i'm 1353 01:20:52,639 --> 01:20:55,920 doing is i'm using you know my profits i made from this quick move and funneling 1354 01:20:55,920 --> 01:20:59,120 it down until we hit the four hour demand zone so 1355 01:20:59,120 --> 01:21:01,840 let's practice on 1356 01:21:02,400 --> 01:21:05,760 now what i will say is if you're not consistent and if you're already kind of 1357 01:21:05,760 --> 01:21:08,239 you know trying to find that consistency you don't want to be trading this 1358 01:21:08,239 --> 01:21:10,320 aggressively you want to be sticking to those moves that we looked at right 1359 01:21:10,320 --> 01:21:14,880 these moves within the 4 hour pois stick to them do not be chasing price down 1360 01:21:14,880 --> 01:21:17,520 this far right because this is where you're going to get burnt if you don't 1361 01:21:17,520 --> 01:21:21,360 know what you're doing okay but what i like about this is it uh did it sweep 1362 01:21:21,360 --> 01:21:24,000 the quality i thought it did because it looked like 1363 01:21:24,000 --> 01:21:26,960 a dick it's this candle but all of these candles break the prior candles low so 1364 01:21:26,960 --> 01:21:30,719 that's all part of the down moves there's no structural liquidity in here 1365 01:21:30,719 --> 01:21:33,679 we've come up we pushed yeah we never so technically it's not sweep zone there's 1366 01:21:33,679 --> 01:21:36,639 no inducement so actually i'm going to pull this order because yeah there's 1367 01:21:36,639 --> 01:21:39,679 just not enough confidence it's one of those ones right where these can play 1368 01:21:39,679 --> 01:21:42,639 out especially on eu especially as it's the last mitigation 1369 01:21:42,639 --> 01:21:45,520 but do you know what's good i'm going to 1370 01:21:45,520 --> 01:21:47,360 keep it on because i want to show you guys it doesn't really matter if you 1371 01:21:47,360 --> 01:21:51,360 take losses uh yeah boom i thought we would but yeah 1372 01:21:51,360 --> 01:21:54,560 hopefully you guys can see exactly why that was not a high probability trade 1373 01:21:54,560 --> 01:21:57,199 but i kind of want to show you that losses really are relevant they don't 1374 01:21:57,199 --> 01:22:01,120 mean uh when you have a high risk toward strategy like this okay so what 1375 01:22:01,120 --> 01:22:04,960 have we mitigated have we mitigated anything here 1376 01:22:04,960 --> 01:22:09,360 can i get this box to work yeah okay we kind of come up into the 1377 01:22:09,360 --> 01:22:12,560 cell to buy so it makes sense but i'm gonna leave that there 1378 01:22:12,560 --> 01:22:16,239 uh we've now had a clear bullish change of character so we could because we have 1379 01:22:16,239 --> 01:22:19,760 come off technically for our range we could look for long so we have the 1380 01:22:19,760 --> 01:22:23,320 extreme down here 1381 01:22:24,719 --> 01:22:29,199 uh do we have any flip zones not really just push straight up through so 1382 01:22:29,199 --> 01:22:33,520 yeah we come back down potentially look for a long down there 1383 01:22:35,760 --> 01:22:38,719 um i kind of have this four hour doji but 1384 01:22:38,719 --> 01:22:41,520 it looks like a bearish doji it's not the best 1385 01:22:41,520 --> 01:22:44,080 i don't really want to look too short from that it's quite an aggressive 1386 01:22:44,080 --> 01:22:47,840 retrace now as well so probably expecting price to come up higher 1387 01:22:47,840 --> 01:22:50,639 you could look from lungs is this is this a flip zone let's see what did it 1388 01:22:50,639 --> 01:22:54,639 react to look right from this no it spiked up higher so that's just 1389 01:22:54,639 --> 01:22:59,040 more of a sweep than a flip so that's not really a valid one for me 1390 01:22:59,040 --> 01:23:02,080 so i wouldn't necessarily want to scale into that 1391 01:23:02,080 --> 01:23:05,120 or not scaling but take a long from it so i'm just going to leave it let's 1392 01:23:05,120 --> 01:23:09,040 let's see if price is gonna come up higher 1393 01:23:10,000 --> 01:23:12,880 spread hours anyway 1394 01:23:14,480 --> 01:23:17,840 it's basically now waiting for the price to come down towards extreme or to come 1395 01:23:17,840 --> 01:23:22,000 up into that for our supply zone or if we start to kind of break down from here 1396 01:23:22,000 --> 01:23:24,239 right if we start to get you know a bearish change of character on the four 1397 01:23:24,239 --> 01:23:27,040 hour we were to take out this low or you know we start to break down we can look 1398 01:23:27,040 --> 01:23:30,159 left does it make sense what it's reacting to okay if we swept liquidity 1399 01:23:30,159 --> 01:23:33,040 if we've had a decent break to the outside then we can look for price to 1400 01:23:33,040 --> 01:23:36,080 come into that freshly created supply zone and we can look too short because 1401 01:23:36,080 --> 01:23:39,600 price does not have to pull back into our stream for our poi right we have 1402 01:23:39,600 --> 01:23:43,280 coming up cpi yes i wouldn't want to trade into cpi either um okay we're 1403 01:23:43,280 --> 01:23:46,320 pushing up with a fair amount of momentum 1404 01:23:46,320 --> 01:23:49,199 um so this is what i'm saying yeah we actually probably especially see when we 1405 01:23:49,199 --> 01:23:53,199 took these highs here kind of yeah this is where with the benefit of hindsight 1406 01:23:53,199 --> 01:23:55,840 probably should have taken more partials off because we only took 50 off of our 1407 01:23:55,840 --> 01:23:59,600 position there uh so kind of messed up a little bit there's no kind of not really 1408 01:23:59,600 --> 01:24:04,400 much point of me taking partials now uh that was a mistake but it is what it is 1409 01:24:04,400 --> 01:24:07,920 we can also look to get into some more trades if they present up okay what 1410 01:24:07,920 --> 01:24:10,719 we're reacting to so this is a problem when i start to speed 1411 01:24:10,719 --> 01:24:14,239 things up i start to miss things right um 1412 01:24:14,239 --> 01:24:18,239 so we have this vita cell here 1413 01:24:21,199 --> 01:24:24,880 okay that essentially flipped this level didn't really sweep liquidity no 1414 01:24:24,880 --> 01:24:27,199 inducement so i wouldn't set a risk entry on that but let's see if we can 1415 01:24:27,199 --> 01:24:30,880 get a confirmation entry uh otherwise we have you know this has 1416 01:24:30,880 --> 01:24:33,920 been mitigated for me so the next level i'll be looking at is 1417 01:24:33,920 --> 01:24:37,840 this extreme up here so we can whack this on i'll cover the 1418 01:24:37,840 --> 01:24:41,440 high as well just to be sure 1419 01:24:41,440 --> 01:24:45,280 okay so we'll see if we push up a bit higher 1420 01:24:45,280 --> 01:24:47,600 yeah so this is something i'd recommend right 1421 01:24:47,600 --> 01:24:50,719 especially if you want to bring risk entries into your strategy 1422 01:24:50,719 --> 01:24:54,960 is when it's pro trend for our poi which has swept the 1423 01:24:54,960 --> 01:24:58,880 liquidity behind is high and you have a refined extreme supply zone within that 1424 01:24:58,880 --> 01:25:02,080 right that is the level in which you want to be setting uh risk entries if 1425 01:25:02,080 --> 01:25:04,560 you're going to do it so i'll put that on just because i don't forget 1426 01:25:04,560 --> 01:25:08,880 uh we'll get the 25 of it as well appreciate the charts are getting a bit 1427 01:25:08,880 --> 01:25:12,239 messy now but essentially what this is is the extreme m15 supply zone within 1428 01:25:12,239 --> 01:25:16,000 the four-hour supply zone right which is pro-trend so 1429 01:25:16,000 --> 01:25:18,320 you know this is a pretty good area especially the last mitigation that 1430 01:25:18,320 --> 01:25:21,199 price should continue short if it's going to 1431 01:25:21,199 --> 01:25:25,199 uh we'll put that just above the high same stop-loss as the previous one okay 1432 01:25:25,199 --> 01:25:28,960 boom uh so yeah we've come into this supplies 1433 01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:30,800 and it's this good hole but i kind of want to wait for a bearish change 1434 01:25:30,800 --> 01:25:34,080 character i'm coming into cpi which isn't great 1435 01:25:34,080 --> 01:25:36,719 so see 1436 01:25:37,199 --> 01:25:39,760 okay have we had a bearish shock no because 1437 01:25:39,760 --> 01:25:42,080 all of these counters break the prior counters high so we have to take out 1438 01:25:42,080 --> 01:25:44,960 this low first 1439 01:25:44,960 --> 01:25:48,960 okay now we're taking out the low um 1440 01:25:48,960 --> 01:25:52,239 i don't really like any season how none of these counters are that clear 1441 01:25:52,239 --> 01:25:55,199 to look for short there's no flip hairs no 1442 01:25:55,199 --> 01:26:00,639 yeah i'm going to leave that especially with cpi let's just let's cpi play out 1443 01:26:00,800 --> 01:26:04,800 oh uh i forgot i had the extreme one already 1444 01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:08,880 okay well yeah i wouldn't do that live i definitely wouldn't do that live 1445 01:26:08,880 --> 01:26:12,639 uh i wouldn't recommend that so let's put it forward anyway probably get 1446 01:26:12,639 --> 01:26:15,760 stopped out on that i think i did get started i gotta stop down the scaling on 1447 01:26:15,760 --> 01:26:18,639 the original position that's cool okay so that was a mismanagement so that was 1448 01:26:18,639 --> 01:26:21,520 one we took back over here right which really when starts price that's the 1449 01:26:21,520 --> 01:26:24,719 brake structure like that you probably do want to take more partials um because 1450 01:26:24,719 --> 01:26:27,840 especially with expecting before i pull back back to where we already are right 1451 01:26:27,840 --> 01:26:31,840 um so that was a bit of a mistake there there's what it is we're still up 63 i 1452 01:26:31,840 --> 01:26:34,840 don't even realize that okay so i'm not doing too bad 1453 01:26:34,840 --> 01:26:38,960 uh right so we've come into our extreme we're in that risk entry 1454 01:26:38,960 --> 01:26:42,239 that's not a trade i would take live so yeah it's kind of 1455 01:26:42,239 --> 01:26:46,320 not ideal but what i'd be looking for now is for a bearish change of character 1456 01:26:46,320 --> 01:26:49,920 which should be down here all of these cameras break the 1457 01:26:49,920 --> 01:26:53,600 price on so yeah so we only see these lows go at this point really 1458 01:26:53,600 --> 01:26:56,000 um 1459 01:26:57,440 --> 01:27:01,440 coming into the asian session yeah we're taking that low so we've had 1460 01:27:01,440 --> 01:27:05,280 a barrier change character now so where can we short from well we can look at 1461 01:27:05,280 --> 01:27:09,520 this level here right we had a mitigation 1462 01:27:09,520 --> 01:27:11,920 here 1463 01:27:13,280 --> 01:27:18,560 we had this mitigation here 1464 01:27:18,560 --> 01:27:21,120 so mitigation i was talking about draw it 1465 01:27:21,120 --> 01:27:23,520 on was this one here right price came in and mitigated that so this would be the 1466 01:27:23,520 --> 01:27:26,880 last candle but it didn't suit the quality and it has no inducement 1467 01:27:26,880 --> 01:27:31,280 so i don't really like that zone but let's see 1468 01:27:31,280 --> 01:27:34,639 let's whack an order on it it's not great 1469 01:27:34,639 --> 01:27:38,960 from a liquidity standpoint i think i'll be quite small though 1470 01:27:38,960 --> 01:27:41,920 full pip so put it in there i'm going to draw the 25 1471 01:27:41,920 --> 01:27:44,400 because i just want to speed it up a little bit 1472 01:27:44,400 --> 01:27:47,920 but it springs forwards okay what's the four are doing so we've 1473 01:27:47,920 --> 01:27:51,199 come in and we mitigated for our supply we've now had a bearish change of 1474 01:27:51,199 --> 01:27:55,120 character right we've taken out that low it's quite messy though but we've got 1475 01:27:55,120 --> 01:27:58,080 these supply zones potentially we might come back up to the extreme again so 1476 01:27:58,080 --> 01:28:00,960 i'll keep an eye on that if we do push up higher but we are already in short 1477 01:28:00,960 --> 01:28:03,520 from top so we'll leave that for now let's see how 1478 01:28:03,520 --> 01:28:06,639 we go um we have this extreme demand zone but 1479 01:28:06,639 --> 01:28:09,520 it's on a week for our low so i would expect there to be a reaction but 1480 01:28:09,520 --> 01:28:14,480 ultimately for it to get run so let's play this forward 1481 01:28:14,480 --> 01:28:18,080 let's make sure those lows haven't gone yet okay spike that low 1482 01:28:18,080 --> 01:28:21,679 okay we'll put them back up now see if we get tagged in yeah stopped out so no 1483 01:28:21,679 --> 01:28:25,760 surprises there right this zone had no inducement it didn't suit liquidity 1484 01:28:25,760 --> 01:28:28,719 so that means that these become liquidity right for price to sweep which 1485 01:28:28,719 --> 01:28:32,880 is what's now happened um potentially there's something left 1486 01:28:32,880 --> 01:28:36,560 within that wick now that was mitigated as well so 1487 01:28:36,560 --> 01:28:39,840 so we get a bearish change of character here let's wait for about the very least 1488 01:28:39,840 --> 01:28:44,639 before i even think about shorts might become too extreme 1489 01:28:48,080 --> 01:28:52,400 we had a bearish chalk i don't think we have just yet so i need to see this logo 1490 01:28:52,400 --> 01:28:55,520 here uh 1491 01:28:55,520 --> 01:29:00,080 well not yet let's wait for another candle okay now we have 1492 01:29:00,080 --> 01:29:02,400 so we swept these highs we had a bearish 1493 01:29:02,400 --> 01:29:06,560 change of character but within this four hour wick 1494 01:29:06,560 --> 01:29:09,440 so yeah it's not that clean but we can look 1495 01:29:09,440 --> 01:29:12,880 for shorts from here because we've swapped liquidity we've 1496 01:29:12,880 --> 01:29:15,920 had a bearish change of character we've mitigated for our supply 1497 01:29:15,920 --> 01:29:21,600 yeah let's put a sell limit on that okay cool so stop behind the high 25 1498 01:29:21,600 --> 01:29:24,960 percent trying to speed a little bit quicker again 1499 01:29:24,960 --> 01:29:29,280 yeah oh you're joking what's the news 1500 01:29:29,280 --> 01:29:32,480 no i don't remember i don't think i put my 1501 01:29:32,480 --> 01:29:36,320 stuff that tight maybe the spreads blew up oh oh well there's what it is 1502 01:29:36,320 --> 01:29:39,199 there's potentially another entry here right we have another zone 1503 01:29:39,199 --> 01:29:43,199 that's really annoying that uh 1504 01:29:43,199 --> 01:29:48,080 these things happen all right selling it on this one 1505 01:29:50,480 --> 01:29:54,239 all right there we go and then 1506 01:29:55,840 --> 01:29:59,760 they're going to take us hands i think it is oh we've gone now 1507 01:29:59,760 --> 01:30:03,199 it could be yeah i'm going to take that it's getting messy 1508 01:30:03,199 --> 01:30:06,400 okay so what we have on the m15 is we have all of these lows 1509 01:30:06,400 --> 01:30:09,120 essentially what we're trying to get is i'm just looking for positions to 1510 01:30:09,120 --> 01:30:12,000 basically get this four-hour zone playing out right so we can target this 1511 01:30:12,000 --> 01:30:14,880 weak load because it failed to make it high and we can trade down into 1512 01:30:14,880 --> 01:30:18,840 roundness for our refined demand zone right 1513 01:30:18,840 --> 01:30:22,159 so uh let's zoom in a little bit 1514 01:30:22,159 --> 01:30:24,800 i mean we could come up higher but yeah i wouldn't really want to trade against 1515 01:30:24,800 --> 01:30:29,120 these lows that's just not a good area of value so let's play it forward 1516 01:30:29,120 --> 01:30:32,000 um it's not really a clean supply zone i'll tell you what i'll put the order 1517 01:30:32,000 --> 01:30:34,400 back on this because we are coming up now i'd be happy to trade short from 1518 01:30:34,400 --> 01:30:39,040 here so let's whack a cell limit on 1519 01:30:46,080 --> 01:30:49,199 we're going to come in we're going to come in just ranging around 1520 01:30:49,199 --> 01:30:52,719 coming to the london session yeah but we dropped off now so going to cancel that 1521 01:30:52,719 --> 01:30:55,840 order uh 1522 01:30:55,840 --> 01:30:59,120 all right let's think about okay so we've got trade management right from 1523 01:30:59,120 --> 01:31:01,840 the shorts from the top i'm going to wait because i've caught what i think is 1524 01:31:01,840 --> 01:31:05,840 likely to be the four hour lower high and theory should not really be taking 1525 01:31:05,840 --> 01:31:10,000 any uh partials until the logos until the four hour logos right so once that 1526 01:31:10,000 --> 01:31:13,840 goes we'll take a heavy amount of partials but it's pro trend and 15 this 1527 01:31:13,840 --> 01:31:16,560 is still in play but obviously when nowhere near it for now 1528 01:31:16,560 --> 01:31:19,360 uh we do have london sessions so we can be 1529 01:31:19,360 --> 01:31:23,840 a bit more aggressive um we do have a flip zone here 1530 01:31:23,840 --> 01:31:27,280 did it sweep liquidity not really it doesn't have any inducement 1531 01:31:27,280 --> 01:31:32,080 um but john i mean these yeah i'm gonna leave it let's see can we take out that 1532 01:31:32,080 --> 01:31:35,360 for our low so coming into the extreme demand zone definitely would not be 1533 01:31:35,360 --> 01:31:38,560 looking for long term here why because it's a weak low it should get smashed 1534 01:31:38,560 --> 01:31:41,600 you can of course trade reactions from here but at a bare minimum you really 1535 01:31:41,600 --> 01:31:45,040 want to be looking for a bullish m15 shock and supply starting to fail which 1536 01:31:45,040 --> 01:31:48,560 yeah hasn't really happened uh wasn't can i have yeah let's just 1537 01:31:48,560 --> 01:31:52,080 wait for this low see this lower okay but now we've gone so i'm going to take 1538 01:31:52,080 --> 01:31:55,440 a heavy heavy amount of partials on this i think this was my original order 1539 01:31:55,440 --> 01:31:58,400 wasn't it there's only eight lots in that so 1540 01:31:58,400 --> 01:32:02,880 uh we'll just take out another 50 and then this one will go up so this is 1541 01:32:02,880 --> 01:32:06,560 the one we took out from the top recently yes we'll partial pretty heavy 1542 01:32:06,560 --> 01:32:10,000 on this one as well now 1543 01:32:10,000 --> 01:32:12,719 in theory like i was saying right because it's pro for our trend you can 1544 01:32:12,719 --> 01:32:16,080 hold on to these with a lot more volume but i try to be quite realistic i 1545 01:32:16,080 --> 01:32:18,719 personally don't like holding on to too much volume so once we get that lower 1546 01:32:18,719 --> 01:32:22,960 low i'm pretty happy to take you know the majority of my profits off there but 1547 01:32:22,960 --> 01:32:26,159 we'll let some run now okay so we're coming into the fire 1548 01:32:26,159 --> 01:32:29,679 demand zone and that's fine because it's just you know old demand zones become 1549 01:32:29,679 --> 01:32:33,280 potential reaction points for pullbacks right now that we've taken out this four 1550 01:32:33,280 --> 01:32:38,719 hour low so we're playing within this next current swing range here 1551 01:32:38,719 --> 01:32:43,679 uh pois so that's mitigated right this works mitigated that's where we took a 1552 01:32:43,679 --> 01:32:48,239 trade but we just got stopped out ah that would have been a beautiful trade 1553 01:32:48,239 --> 01:32:52,000 that is so frustrating even back testing it's still feel emotions but it is what 1554 01:32:52,000 --> 01:32:55,280 it is uh i don't really like this for a poi because it didn't sweep liquidity 1555 01:32:55,280 --> 01:32:59,679 and it doesn't have any inducement in the leg but yeah we'll see how price is 1556 01:32:59,679 --> 01:33:04,400 even when it potentially comes back up to that so let's see how we 1557 01:33:04,400 --> 01:33:08,239 react when we come into them okay we tapped into that for our wick we've got 1558 01:33:08,239 --> 01:33:12,480 a bullish change of character all right let's be less we could be a 1559 01:33:12,480 --> 01:33:15,600 bit aggressive here right and we can look at this poi here 1560 01:33:15,600 --> 01:33:18,880 oh we're coming into news what user we got retail sales okay we'll leave that 1561 01:33:18,880 --> 01:33:21,199 alone 1562 01:33:21,600 --> 01:33:24,960 so just save this from my last hair very very aggressive wouldn't recommend that 1563 01:33:24,960 --> 01:33:27,920 right really what you want to see is a clear liquidity sweep a bit more of a 1564 01:33:27,920 --> 01:33:31,199 sustain move right and supply clearly failing it didn't in this case right so 1565 01:33:31,199 --> 01:33:34,880 that would have been an awful trade um this is a problem right with sometimes 1566 01:33:34,880 --> 01:33:38,080 with back testing it's demo you rush through you kind of start 1567 01:33:38,080 --> 01:33:41,520 whacking on trays left right center that you wouldn't do in reality so 1568 01:33:41,520 --> 01:33:44,880 yeah i will try and continue to kind of be a little bit more picky here but we 1569 01:33:44,880 --> 01:33:50,080 are on this for our demand zone right um just haven't cloned it to 1015 so let's 1570 01:33:50,080 --> 01:33:54,000 look for at least a bit more of a convincing break to the upside and see 1571 01:33:54,000 --> 01:33:57,840 supply failing what i like about this is although we're in four hour demand 1572 01:33:57,840 --> 01:34:00,080 right again i'm going to be aggressive we've 1573 01:34:00,080 --> 01:34:03,840 got a lot of momentum we are during sort of the new york session i'm happy to 1574 01:34:03,840 --> 01:34:07,280 take kind of a loss in this area but this is aggressive right it's a sweep 1575 01:34:07,280 --> 01:34:11,600 zone uh let's see if it can continue to the low but again this is bang on 1576 01:34:11,600 --> 01:34:14,320 what i've been saying right do not take these if you're not consistent because 1577 01:34:14,320 --> 01:34:17,440 these are low probability trades this is me just following the order flow 1578 01:34:17,440 --> 01:34:21,199 following the mitigations um you know there's no real inducement in this leg 1579 01:34:21,199 --> 01:34:24,560 but it is a sweep zone uh and you're training against us for our demand level 1580 01:34:24,560 --> 01:34:27,760 and we've had a four-hour break of structures so we expect to pull back 1581 01:34:27,760 --> 01:34:30,560 uh but you know these can continue i kind of just want to show you though 1582 01:34:30,560 --> 01:34:33,679 that you know losses really don't matter if you're going to be 1583 01:34:33,679 --> 01:34:36,800 aggressive but yeah sticking to the ones within the four rpis is always going to 1584 01:34:36,800 --> 01:34:39,280 give you the highest struggle are we going to pull back we're just going to 1585 01:34:39,280 --> 01:34:42,080 continue dying what's the time i don't know why there's 1586 01:34:42,080 --> 01:34:46,960 a reaction there's no uh 20 sec yeah there's no news for another five days so 1587 01:34:46,960 --> 01:34:51,679 let's see if we start to kind of clear this supply 1588 01:34:51,679 --> 01:34:55,679 level i'm gonna probably take a few more actually let's just see what happens 1589 01:34:55,679 --> 01:34:58,239 when we do it okay looks like it's holding looks like it's holding spread 1590 01:34:58,239 --> 01:35:03,199 hours not a deal put it forward a little bit 1591 01:35:03,840 --> 01:35:08,960 yeah bang you're out okay yeah bit bit of an 1592 01:35:08,960 --> 01:35:13,679 aggressive trade but there we go is what is cool so 1593 01:35:13,679 --> 01:35:17,600 looking like we're starting to pull back now so you could take more partials 1594 01:35:17,600 --> 01:35:20,239 um john i'll just leave it just because we're taking pretty heavy partials 1595 01:35:20,239 --> 01:35:24,400 there's not that much running on it and in theory we've had a break of structure 1596 01:35:24,400 --> 01:35:28,080 here so our swing high is this point here so we're actually reasonably 1597 01:35:28,080 --> 01:35:31,440 protected so we actually you know in theory price 1598 01:35:31,440 --> 01:35:34,800 shouldn't trade any higher really than where our entries are um so yeah we can 1599 01:35:34,800 --> 01:35:38,159 leave that there um so we'll just move them to break even 1600 01:35:38,159 --> 01:35:41,280 just to keep the charts a little bit clearer so yeah let's see if we can look 1601 01:35:41,280 --> 01:35:45,920 for longs up until around uh this supplies and up here um 1602 01:35:45,920 --> 01:35:49,280 obviously bear in mind it could react from the actual bite to cells we can 1603 01:35:49,280 --> 01:35:53,679 keep it on it like that and then we'll clone that to the m15 1604 01:35:53,679 --> 01:35:56,960 right so this level here so let's look at the pois that we can look to trade 1605 01:35:56,960 --> 01:36:00,320 from [Music] 1606 01:36:00,320 --> 01:36:05,280 what i'm going to do is delete this box 1607 01:36:05,280 --> 01:36:09,040 and i'm going to draw it back on [Music] 1608 01:36:09,040 --> 01:36:13,360 from just the four-hour zone just before our chart just so we can then draw on 1609 01:36:13,360 --> 01:36:17,040 some limitations with this software it's a bit rubbish with so essentially we 1610 01:36:17,040 --> 01:36:20,080 have this for our poi and then within there 1611 01:36:20,080 --> 01:36:23,119 let's look for an m15 so we have these highs here 1612 01:36:23,119 --> 01:36:26,239 got this extreme it's not great right i'd probably expect 1613 01:36:26,239 --> 01:36:29,360 price might want to come up higher what's that zone up there 1614 01:36:29,360 --> 01:36:32,080 yeah we've got this extreme up here right inducing above 1615 01:36:32,080 --> 01:36:37,040 that's a lot better um i'd probably be willing to set a 1616 01:36:37,040 --> 01:36:40,719 risk entry on that but we'll wait for a price to come up and then what else do 1617 01:36:40,719 --> 01:36:44,080 we have we have 1618 01:36:44,080 --> 01:36:47,600 this poi here it's a flip zone right so we have this one 1619 01:36:47,600 --> 01:36:50,239 but it does have inducement arguably it 1620 01:36:50,239 --> 01:36:53,920 slipped the highs there as well right so that's one 1621 01:36:53,920 --> 01:36:58,000 we also have this clean push no inducement didn't sweep so 1622 01:36:58,000 --> 01:37:01,520 it's not great and then we have this one as well right 1623 01:37:01,520 --> 01:37:04,800 this buy to sell which we're coming up to obviously no inducement didn't sweep 1624 01:37:04,800 --> 01:37:08,560 so that's not great they did break structure so they're all strong zones in 1625 01:37:08,560 --> 01:37:13,600 terms of that but let's see are any of them flip zones 1626 01:37:13,600 --> 01:37:16,560 let's drag those across 1627 01:37:16,639 --> 01:37:21,040 uh spy to cell have a look [Music] 1628 01:37:21,040 --> 01:37:24,400 that low would it react to okay 1629 01:37:24,400 --> 01:37:26,560 i mean that is technically a flip zone it's just not great right because we 1630 01:37:26,560 --> 01:37:30,320 have these cell to buy wicks i took out this level here so that is a flip zone 1631 01:37:30,320 --> 01:37:33,280 and then yeah these are all yeah these are all zones as well like that's a flip 1632 01:37:33,280 --> 01:37:35,840 zone that reacted this week that's a flip 1633 01:37:35,840 --> 01:37:38,880 zone and then yeah that's just an extreme structural zone so they're all 1634 01:37:38,880 --> 01:37:41,679 they're all technically valid right but obviously some are better than others 1635 01:37:41,679 --> 01:37:44,639 this is the least spoiled price no inducement no sweep so definitely 1636 01:37:44,639 --> 01:37:47,600 wouldn't start wrist sketch from that but we can set some of these as we get 1637 01:37:47,600 --> 01:37:51,280 up higher if we get up there so let's put the chart back 1638 01:37:51,280 --> 01:37:54,480 and i'm going to try and speed this up again uh because this is we're going to 1639 01:37:54,480 --> 01:37:57,100 be here all day uh okay cool so 1640 01:37:57,100 --> 01:38:01,520 [Music] let's zoom in 1641 01:38:01,600 --> 01:38:04,080 we've had a bearish change of character but we're not really coming off anything 1642 01:38:04,080 --> 01:38:07,920 we're kind of used by to sell wicks but let's be a bit more patient we suppose 1643 01:38:07,920 --> 01:38:11,440 something decent okay we're coming to this 1644 01:38:11,440 --> 01:38:16,159 i'm expecting that much i'm sure we'll go higher 1645 01:38:16,159 --> 01:38:20,560 hmm okay a decent move off all right i'll be happy to short that 1646 01:38:20,560 --> 01:38:24,080 with that reaction all right we swept the high missing a 1647 01:38:24,080 --> 01:38:28,159 flip zone decent movement down right these demand levels are failing 1648 01:38:28,159 --> 01:38:32,159 let's set him on that stop above the high 1649 01:38:32,159 --> 01:38:36,639 roughly 25 percent cool space forward 1650 01:38:36,639 --> 01:38:40,639 no it's not okay yeah that's gone all right we'll leave it there for now 1651 01:38:40,639 --> 01:38:44,639 okay so what we now have is essentially this old demand zone has now flipped to 1652 01:38:44,639 --> 01:38:48,000 supply we've reacted we've pushed down so we now have another poi to look to 1653 01:38:48,000 --> 01:38:52,239 short from which is this the right rm15 extreme within there so i'm going to 1654 01:38:52,239 --> 01:38:55,760 leave the order there i like that uh we can continue to pay this forward let's 1655 01:38:55,760 --> 01:38:59,840 see coming into the end of new york 1656 01:39:02,960 --> 01:39:06,159 i don't really want to be shorting from down here 1657 01:39:06,159 --> 01:39:08,719 spread hours gonna try and just a little bit clearer now just i'm just gonna 1658 01:39:08,719 --> 01:39:11,600 stick to the really sort of high probability positions 1659 01:39:11,600 --> 01:39:16,560 as fast forward towards london okay so coming into london obviously 1660 01:39:16,560 --> 01:39:19,679 heavily bearish ideally price will come back up here for shorts but it doesn't 1661 01:39:19,679 --> 01:39:22,880 have to we've got old demand zones down here 1662 01:39:22,880 --> 01:39:26,480 right they just provide potential reaction points for long so we can be 1663 01:39:26,480 --> 01:39:29,280 quite aggressive with shorts until we get there 1664 01:39:29,280 --> 01:39:33,119 so let's have a look we could just 1665 01:39:33,119 --> 01:39:37,119 i know i said it sticks to really high probability ones but 1666 01:39:37,119 --> 01:39:42,080 let's look at that right swept the liquidity behind here 1667 01:39:42,080 --> 01:39:45,440 so i could sell them on that 1668 01:39:45,440 --> 01:39:48,800 stop above the high probably just go above that wick be a little bit more 1669 01:39:48,800 --> 01:39:52,239 conservative because it is an aggressive trade it's less than six pips that's 1670 01:39:52,239 --> 01:39:56,000 cool clear foot 1671 01:39:56,880 --> 01:40:00,400 we haven't quite reached a mine yet so again you could be aggressive here 1672 01:40:00,400 --> 01:40:04,080 right but like i said i kind of want to because that swept the highs you could 1673 01:40:04,080 --> 01:40:08,520 sell on this wick but i'm not going to take that 1674 01:40:10,639 --> 01:40:14,080 okay oh yeah so we are we are in demand we're not for our demand so we could be 1675 01:40:14,080 --> 01:40:17,119 aggressive here right we've had a sweep liquidity we've had a bullish change of 1676 01:40:17,119 --> 01:40:21,920 character this near supply level failed uh we've already broken below this cell 1677 01:40:21,920 --> 01:40:26,400 to buy wick flip zone so the extremes here so we can put a limit on the 1678 01:40:26,400 --> 01:40:29,040 extreme there 1679 01:40:29,199 --> 01:40:31,920 where's the uh 1680 01:40:34,719 --> 01:40:38,480 i can't see the bi level i don't know if i'm being blind oh there we go 1681 01:40:38,480 --> 01:40:41,520 that's the entries the stop must be below there there is 1682 01:40:41,520 --> 01:40:46,719 how tight is that three perps will go just below okay 1683 01:40:47,199 --> 01:40:50,480 all right um 1684 01:40:50,480 --> 01:40:54,000 tell you what i'm going to take some partials from those ones at the top 1685 01:40:54,000 --> 01:41:00,159 let's just close another 50 and then we'll close that one as well 50 1686 01:41:00,560 --> 01:41:05,280 we can leave that risk entry on the top i'm going to close 1687 01:41:05,280 --> 01:41:09,040 no we'll leave that because there's a four hour counter there screw it 1688 01:41:09,040 --> 01:41:13,280 if we get tagged in on that i don't think we did 1689 01:41:14,719 --> 01:41:18,560 i didn't get tugged in might come there see 1690 01:41:18,560 --> 01:41:24,159 now i'm going to cancel that order okay uh 1691 01:41:24,159 --> 01:41:26,719 yeah i'm going to cancel that as well that's too aggressive now coming up for 1692 01:41:26,719 --> 01:41:31,360 our demand so 43 is gone and we'll save that to the risk entry 1693 01:41:31,360 --> 01:41:37,040 uh let's see if this holds or not yeah smash 1694 01:41:37,040 --> 01:41:42,000 ah okay so that's gone supplies clearly failing 1695 01:41:42,000 --> 01:41:45,040 we're coming up for our demand love that reaction we've cleared this four hour 1696 01:41:45,040 --> 01:41:48,239 candle here as well so that's a decent move we could be coming up at least back 1697 01:41:48,239 --> 01:41:52,960 up towards this buy to sell range uh we've obviously structure shifted 1698 01:41:52,960 --> 01:41:56,239 bullish what we kind of have right is this range 1699 01:41:56,239 --> 01:41:59,600 here price reacted pushed down and pushed up 1700 01:41:59,600 --> 01:42:02,800 so we have a flip zone here 1701 01:42:02,800 --> 01:42:06,320 right that's swept liquidity behind this low 1702 01:42:06,320 --> 01:42:10,639 draw on it's not the best right it's not really the best but yeah i'd count that 1703 01:42:10,639 --> 01:42:12,800 as a sweep zone 1704 01:42:12,800 --> 01:42:16,560 so let's buy limit roughly stop below the 1705 01:42:16,560 --> 01:42:21,520 low we'll roughly go 25 percent about there 1706 01:42:21,520 --> 01:42:25,600 okay so yeah let's play this for our pull back and we can target around what 1707 01:42:25,600 --> 01:42:28,800 level is that around yeah so let's see how that goes again trying to do this 1708 01:42:28,800 --> 01:42:33,119 pretty quickly bring it tagged in 1709 01:42:33,119 --> 01:42:39,119 only news not for another day in a bit uh pushing up higher 1710 01:42:39,119 --> 01:42:43,400 how much of a pullback was that 1711 01:42:44,320 --> 01:42:48,080 not that sizeable it's a straight push i mean those lows just look like they you 1712 01:42:48,080 --> 01:42:52,320 know that's building liquidity for below so i like that as inducement yeah i'll 1713 01:42:52,320 --> 01:42:55,679 leave the order on let's see here we go 1714 01:42:55,760 --> 01:43:00,480 session timing coming to london uh we've reacted we have a bit of change 1715 01:43:00,480 --> 01:43:03,199 of character not yet okay now we've had a bullish change of 1716 01:43:03,199 --> 01:43:06,880 character okay so it's probably not going to come back so we've taken out 1717 01:43:06,880 --> 01:43:09,119 this high here all right see how that was in the 1718 01:43:09,119 --> 01:43:12,320 movement up movement down and then we broke it 1719 01:43:12,320 --> 01:43:15,520 so this was a arguably a flip as well right 1720 01:43:15,520 --> 01:43:19,760 because it's not the best in the world but essentially we came into this supply 1721 01:43:19,760 --> 01:43:22,239 all right reacted pushed up we've had a bullish change of character we've 1722 01:43:22,239 --> 01:43:24,560 mitigated the supply zone we've swept liquidity 1723 01:43:24,560 --> 01:43:28,719 so yeah we can look for a along there i'm going to cancel this one and put a 1724 01:43:28,719 --> 01:43:31,679 buy limit here 1725 01:43:32,880 --> 01:43:38,920 it's quite an aggressive trade but roughly 25 let's see we can go 1726 01:43:40,239 --> 01:43:44,719 oh no don't miss me again oh 1727 01:43:44,960 --> 01:43:49,119 how many trades have i just been missed and just been stopped out of as well we 1728 01:43:49,119 --> 01:43:51,280 might come back but we're gonna regret saying that now 1729 01:43:51,280 --> 01:43:55,040 they get stopped out yeah there we go right so yeah the wick obviously well 1730 01:43:55,040 --> 01:43:58,239 with the benefit of hindsight was of a lot higher probability that was the last 1731 01:43:58,239 --> 01:44:00,719 mitigation right came into this level here 1732 01:44:00,719 --> 01:44:04,400 uh we could enter it mark it but yeah that's that's getting a bit aggressive 1733 01:44:04,400 --> 01:44:07,520 now we'll leave it there right that would have been a nice trade sweep zone 1734 01:44:07,520 --> 01:44:10,719 inducement below it yeah that would have been pretty tidy 1735 01:44:10,719 --> 01:44:16,000 probably going to move off from there oh that spiked as well yeah so 1736 01:44:16,000 --> 01:44:18,719 probably should have checked if we mitigated something on the m15 what we 1737 01:44:18,719 --> 01:44:21,840 come into 1738 01:44:23,679 --> 01:44:27,280 uh broke higher than that level so we haven't yeah we haven't touched the 1739 01:44:27,280 --> 01:44:30,320 previous for our range either it's not really hitting anything too 1740 01:44:30,320 --> 01:44:35,040 clear in my opinion so interesting um 1741 01:44:35,040 --> 01:44:39,440 okay well we've swept liquidity we've broken straps to the downside so 1742 01:44:39,440 --> 01:44:42,080 potentially that's it that could be the pull back over 1743 01:44:42,080 --> 01:44:45,679 had a bearish four-hour change of character 1744 01:44:46,840 --> 01:44:50,159 uh well now all those counters broke the 1745 01:44:50,159 --> 01:44:54,480 prior counters low i think so it's technically not internal structure 1746 01:44:54,480 --> 01:44:56,560 i'm just trying to basically what i'm trying to work out here is whether or 1747 01:44:56,560 --> 01:45:00,840 not to start looking for sales right is the pool back over 1748 01:45:00,840 --> 01:45:04,719 um but what what i'm skeptical about is right is we haven't mitigated anything 1749 01:45:04,719 --> 01:45:08,480 that's clear to me on the m15 or above 1750 01:45:08,480 --> 01:45:13,440 so this could be inducement for a higher above right but it's pro trend let's do 1751 01:45:13,440 --> 01:45:17,239 it let's put a limit on it 1752 01:45:17,440 --> 01:45:21,360 but i do think we'll probably come higher see but that's worth the risk for 1753 01:45:21,360 --> 01:45:25,119 me it's pro m15 for our trend 1754 01:45:25,600 --> 01:45:30,320 we do have this decision here see 1755 01:45:30,320 --> 01:45:33,040 um we'll just leave it we'll leave it on 1756 01:45:33,040 --> 01:45:37,360 the extreme let's try this a little bit quicker 1757 01:45:38,400 --> 01:45:44,719 what's the time agent session it's got this level here 1758 01:45:44,719 --> 01:45:48,400 but you know it didn't take out the low so really that you know the theory 1759 01:45:48,400 --> 01:45:53,119 should be a weak high it might hold out 1760 01:45:53,119 --> 01:45:56,000 yeah it's getting wrong see see how this high 1761 01:45:56,000 --> 01:46:00,080 fails to get this low so it's not really a great level to be shorting from 1762 01:46:00,080 --> 01:46:02,960 spiked from this decision here but i'm going to leave my order on the extreme 1763 01:46:02,960 --> 01:46:08,000 hopefully we can get tagged in up here see how we go 1764 01:46:09,760 --> 01:46:13,440 uh coming to news what users it fmc i'm not trading through that 1765 01:46:13,440 --> 01:46:17,360 so limits can go uh 1766 01:46:17,360 --> 01:46:22,080 yeah leave the trades on oh is it going to play out see what fmc 1767 01:46:22,080 --> 01:46:24,320 does 1768 01:46:24,719 --> 01:46:28,800 yeah that was lucky we didn't take that so we came down lower we mitigated this 1769 01:46:28,800 --> 01:46:32,080 extreme for our demand zone and we've now pushed up so 1770 01:46:32,080 --> 01:46:35,119 gonna be looking for price to come up into our extreme 1771 01:46:35,119 --> 01:46:39,600 supply zone up here is that the extreme extreme 1772 01:46:39,600 --> 01:46:43,760 yeah so i'm gonna work a limit on that extreme because this is the extreme 1773 01:46:43,760 --> 01:46:48,800 m15 supply within this box here okay uh there's no inducement it did sweep 1774 01:46:48,800 --> 01:46:52,080 the high however so yeah because it's extreme i'm happy to 1775 01:46:52,080 --> 01:46:56,000 be more aggressive in those areas but ideally it would have inducement it 1776 01:46:56,000 --> 01:47:00,880 wouldn't be such a clean push which it doesn't have roughly go 25 percent 1777 01:47:00,880 --> 01:47:05,040 so eight pips go a little bit higher there we go cool 1778 01:47:05,040 --> 01:47:07,440 okay um 1779 01:47:07,440 --> 01:47:11,040 uh we've continued down okay 1780 01:47:11,360 --> 01:47:14,560 four hour demands gone 1781 01:47:16,320 --> 01:47:20,199 i don't know what's going on now 1782 01:47:22,480 --> 01:47:26,000 all right so where are we in the higher time frames 1783 01:47:26,000 --> 01:47:30,080 we've tapped into this extreme zone here have we 1784 01:47:30,080 --> 01:47:32,880 not yet we've had tapped into the cell to buy 1785 01:47:32,880 --> 01:47:37,920 range but we could come a bit lower we've had another breaker structure 1786 01:47:37,920 --> 01:47:40,719 let's just measure that 1787 01:47:41,920 --> 01:47:45,360 yeah that's the swing pull back so let's see if we can get a four hour 1788 01:47:45,360 --> 01:47:49,440 closure below which we haven't had yet um but if we do this will become the new 1789 01:47:49,440 --> 01:47:52,880 swing high so then we have a for our poi here you see how we tapped into the buy 1790 01:47:52,880 --> 01:47:55,760 to sell range so we were looking for it to come higher let's draw this one also 1791 01:47:55,760 --> 01:47:58,159 going on essentially we were looking for price 1792 01:47:58,159 --> 01:48:01,280 here to pull back up into this for our supply zone 1793 01:48:01,280 --> 01:48:03,840 but remember it doesn't have to hit our refined supply it can come into the 1794 01:48:03,840 --> 01:48:07,520 whole biostar range which is what it did right so arguably that is mitigated but 1795 01:48:07,520 --> 01:48:10,080 we never know if it still could come up higher right 1796 01:48:10,080 --> 01:48:13,199 and hit a refine level but it's just to understand what's happening we push down 1797 01:48:13,199 --> 01:48:16,560 lower we have a new supply zone see how we swept these highs beautiful sweep 1798 01:48:16,560 --> 01:48:20,480 liquidity strong push down so now we can look at this level here it's a great 1799 01:48:20,480 --> 01:48:24,880 sweep zone but i'm always skeptical of these clean pushes right so i'll tell 1800 01:48:24,880 --> 01:48:27,199 you what we'll do instead of whacking the limit on that we'll see if we can 1801 01:48:27,199 --> 01:48:31,119 get the confirmation entry see what happens 1802 01:48:31,119 --> 01:48:35,600 big bit quicker now got one more week to go or so 1803 01:48:35,600 --> 01:48:38,159 um 1804 01:48:38,239 --> 01:48:41,600 okay we're coming into the extreme 1805 01:48:42,000 --> 01:48:46,159 i'm gonna wait for a bearish chuck if we get one if we even reach it i mean we're 1806 01:48:46,159 --> 01:48:49,119 in the buy to sell so we could go from here 1807 01:48:49,119 --> 01:48:52,960 um i don't like it but 1808 01:48:52,960 --> 01:48:56,719 we've had a better change of character we'll we'll take one 1809 01:48:56,719 --> 01:49:00,080 because it could go from here i don't like it though but you should prefer to 1810 01:49:00,080 --> 01:49:04,880 a bit more of a sweep but let's be 25 1811 01:49:05,360 --> 01:49:09,040 we'll take it we've tapped into the four rpoi so screw it 1812 01:49:09,040 --> 01:49:14,239 just hit all the yeah 1813 01:49:14,239 --> 01:49:19,520 oh just then we're out okay that's cool not to worry um looks like we're coming 1814 01:49:19,520 --> 01:49:23,760 up to our extreme zone um 1815 01:49:23,760 --> 01:49:26,719 yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna wait to see if we can get that's quite aggressive see 1816 01:49:26,719 --> 01:49:28,800 if we can get a better change of character 1817 01:49:28,800 --> 01:49:32,560 okay so you see how we pull back and then we've taken the high 1818 01:49:32,560 --> 01:49:36,000 that now means that this here is my active internal low because that's the 1819 01:49:36,000 --> 01:49:39,920 most recent low that took up the high so let's wait to see if that gets wicked 1820 01:49:39,920 --> 01:49:43,440 okay now it has mitigated the extreme love that right 1821 01:49:43,440 --> 01:49:46,239 straight into the 1822 01:49:46,480 --> 01:49:49,520 zone there i mean that's quite an aggressive v 1823 01:49:49,520 --> 01:49:52,400 shape so i don't like that maybe we are going to come up higher but this is what 1824 01:49:52,400 --> 01:49:56,159 i mean right assume the trend will continue until it 1825 01:49:56,159 --> 01:49:59,119 doesn't we had to break a structure let me zoom in you can see it this is our 1826 01:49:59,119 --> 01:50:02,480 most recent four hour high not most recent this is our swing high it's a 1827 01:50:02,480 --> 01:50:06,239 strong high because it took out the low so in theory the slow should hold so 1828 01:50:06,239 --> 01:50:08,400 let's take a short 1829 01:50:08,400 --> 01:50:10,560 on this so we're not going to draw wrong so i 1830 01:50:10,560 --> 01:50:15,280 need to speed this up um roughly 25 stop above the high we've had 1831 01:50:15,280 --> 01:50:18,800 our shock from the mitigation we should in theory be able to now target this 1832 01:50:18,800 --> 01:50:23,040 weak low let's see we get tagged in it's going to 1833 01:50:23,040 --> 01:50:27,040 pull back to us and we're in 1834 01:50:27,040 --> 01:50:31,280 let's see how it goes that's the session timing yeah we're 1835 01:50:31,280 --> 01:50:35,679 coming to spread hours which is not ideal hopefully don't get spiked out 1836 01:50:35,679 --> 01:50:40,080 it's not looking too good let's see if we can get towards london so what's 1837 01:50:40,080 --> 01:50:42,480 happening 1838 01:50:42,560 --> 01:50:45,199 we have this supply zone here all right so you 1839 01:50:45,199 --> 01:50:48,800 started to see bearish autofocus holding it is messy 1840 01:50:48,800 --> 01:50:52,320 taking out this low this is kind of how i'd be analyzing it 1841 01:50:52,320 --> 01:50:56,080 was coming into london at my desk right but we have this one up above so i'd be 1842 01:50:56,080 --> 01:50:59,040 a bit cautious of that that's kind of the last mitigation of 1843 01:50:59,040 --> 01:51:02,800 maybe set an order on that if i wasn't already in 1844 01:51:03,679 --> 01:51:07,920 okay i'm pushing lower but then you have this one as well 1845 01:51:07,920 --> 01:51:10,719 so it's not super clean but if you wanted to get aggressive here because we 1846 01:51:10,719 --> 01:51:14,880 have comments extreme you could look at those two pois 1847 01:51:15,840 --> 01:51:18,159 um 1848 01:51:18,880 --> 01:51:21,760 yeah that one's held 1849 01:51:21,760 --> 01:51:25,599 see if we can try and see if we can take out this low really first 1850 01:51:25,599 --> 01:51:28,960 it looks like we're building a lot of liquidity to the upside but supplies 1851 01:51:28,960 --> 01:51:32,880 holding it's holding what high impact music we got 1852 01:51:32,880 --> 01:51:36,880 powell's speaking um doesn't look like it's about fmc so it 1853 01:51:36,880 --> 01:51:39,840 probably won't okay standing off now 1854 01:51:39,840 --> 01:51:43,440 uh yeah it was pretty messy but you could see supply was holding right so 1855 01:51:43,440 --> 01:51:46,480 intraday opportunities there if you're an m1 trader right just keep trading 1856 01:51:46,480 --> 01:51:49,360 these and you can look but it's not great it's not the best of price action 1857 01:51:49,360 --> 01:51:53,119 we push down here so this would be our last poi so yeah i'll whack a limit on 1858 01:51:53,119 --> 01:51:56,320 that uh the original position basically going 1859 01:51:56,320 --> 01:51:59,040 to hold full volume down towards that low we should take it out in theory 1860 01:51:59,040 --> 01:52:03,040 right we've traded from the strong high we can target the strong low uh but 1861 01:52:03,040 --> 01:52:06,639 let's look at for a scaling this one's not great again didn't sweep liquidity 1862 01:52:06,639 --> 01:52:09,840 doesn't have inducement but just following all the flow at this point 1863 01:52:09,840 --> 01:52:14,880 pro trend happy to take it let's see if we get tagged in 1864 01:52:14,880 --> 01:52:17,840 we have a flip zone here 1865 01:52:19,520 --> 01:52:23,360 but then the super coolity no inducement so it's not the best but 1866 01:52:23,360 --> 01:52:26,800 let's see what wrist award we can get 1867 01:52:28,400 --> 01:52:30,400 all right i'm gonna go on eq just because 1868 01:52:30,400 --> 01:52:33,520 i want to rest all to be on my side to target the low 1869 01:52:33,520 --> 01:52:36,960 put a tp on the low what can we get there 1870 01:52:36,960 --> 01:52:43,639 uh yeah over 10 to 1 rr i'll take that probably will get slapped 1871 01:52:45,199 --> 01:52:48,960 yeah we're out okay we still got the limit on that one 1872 01:52:48,960 --> 01:52:51,360 let's see 1873 01:52:52,639 --> 01:52:57,520 spread hours coming into monday now new week 1874 01:52:57,520 --> 01:53:01,040 so same thing nothing's changed okay we're selling off 1875 01:53:01,040 --> 01:53:04,560 are we made to get anything nothing really 1876 01:53:04,560 --> 01:53:07,679 yeah i mean there's no clear counters there to really look for sales just 1877 01:53:07,679 --> 01:53:11,199 leave that alone haven't taken up the low build those equal lows you see that 1878 01:53:11,199 --> 01:53:14,000 right react to the wick and the weak low it's a weak low because it's failed to 1879 01:53:14,000 --> 01:53:18,000 make a high price reacts to it induced buyers into the market they have loads 1880 01:53:18,000 --> 01:53:22,159 of cell stops below these lows right boom all gets smashed 1881 01:53:22,159 --> 01:53:25,040 so yeah still down the leg now we need to be looking for shorts but you could 1882 01:53:25,040 --> 01:53:28,480 look to potentially look at that last mitigation there 1883 01:53:28,480 --> 01:53:32,320 see if we can take out this four hour low yet 1884 01:53:32,560 --> 01:53:35,920 not quite there's not even a bullish change of 1885 01:53:35,920 --> 01:53:39,280 character to look for a hedge see if that surprising is going to hold 1886 01:53:39,280 --> 01:53:42,239 yep right see how we again same thing that 1887 01:53:42,239 --> 01:53:46,719 we had over here look at this we had a weak low 1888 01:53:46,719 --> 01:53:52,000 all right see don't be buying from this price reacts smashes liquidity below it 1889 01:53:52,000 --> 01:53:55,280 same thing could be happening here right we have this extreme weak low right why 1890 01:53:55,280 --> 01:53:58,159 is it a weak low it's a weak swing low because it failed to take out the swing 1891 01:53:58,159 --> 01:54:00,719 high price reacts from it to build liquidity 1892 01:54:00,719 --> 01:54:03,440 right so you can trade these reactions right you know if you're trading in the 1893 01:54:03,440 --> 01:54:06,400 m1 or whatever or if this was a four hour zone you could trade an m15 1894 01:54:06,400 --> 01:54:09,360 confirmation from here but you have to understand if you're doing it get 1895 01:54:09,360 --> 01:54:12,960 aggressive get out of that trade at the next supply zone or partials or whatever 1896 01:54:12,960 --> 01:54:17,119 you want to do it do not expect this to go on and form new highs all right let's 1897 01:54:17,119 --> 01:54:21,679 see this low can go and then we'll or maybe not maybe it's going to push up 1898 01:54:21,679 --> 01:54:23,119 higher [Music] 1899 01:54:23,119 --> 01:54:25,360 see 1900 01:54:26,239 --> 01:54:29,520 we're coming towards the end of the day 1901 01:54:31,199 --> 01:54:34,960 are we checking out the low not yet come on building more liquidity triple 1902 01:54:34,960 --> 01:54:38,800 bottom now and there we go right so this one here 1903 01:54:38,800 --> 01:54:42,239 these i'm just gonna so that was the limit let me take that off 1904 01:54:42,239 --> 01:54:46,719 never got tagged in this cell from extreme i'm getting low 1905 01:54:46,719 --> 01:54:51,840 on the leg now so i'm going to take off 80 of that 1906 01:54:56,159 --> 01:54:59,440 uh these are the ones i'll tell you what let's see if we can 1907 01:54:59,440 --> 01:55:03,280 take out this extreme low and then we'll probably exit full volume on those 1908 01:55:03,280 --> 01:55:06,639 uh see if we can come into this refined demand zone we might get a decent 1909 01:55:06,639 --> 01:55:10,159 reaction from this let's see i don't know we already tapped 1910 01:55:10,159 --> 01:55:13,520 into it yeah already tapped into it there 1911 01:55:14,239 --> 01:55:17,440 cool so let's just make sure we get for our 1912 01:55:17,440 --> 01:55:21,840 closure but at low yeah definitely looks like we're going to 1913 01:55:21,920 --> 01:55:24,480 oh maybe not um 1914 01:55:24,480 --> 01:55:26,800 okay 1915 01:55:27,119 --> 01:55:30,400 so we have this extreme for our poi which should be ideal price pulls back 1916 01:55:30,400 --> 01:55:33,599 up to right for this last week of the month 1917 01:55:33,599 --> 01:55:38,560 we have to be aware we're an extreme sort of this extreme daily low down here 1918 01:55:38,560 --> 01:55:43,440 so don't be too aggressive we have this zone as well 1919 01:55:43,440 --> 01:55:46,800 excuse me so these would be the kind of the two main four apis i'd be looking at 1920 01:55:46,800 --> 01:55:50,400 so let's clone this actually to uh so you can see where there is that's up 1921 01:55:50,400 --> 01:55:54,960 here and then the other one as well 1922 01:55:56,000 --> 01:55:59,440 um price actually not very clear up there so ideally we want to be looking 1923 01:55:59,440 --> 01:56:03,760 for shorts within this for our poi but we do have lower pois on the leg 1924 01:56:03,760 --> 01:56:07,040 right we had this mitigation here obviously price could come up into the 1925 01:56:07,040 --> 01:56:10,960 refined supply but it was a nice sweep zone 1926 01:56:10,960 --> 01:56:14,400 all right price swept pushed down came back up on mitigate another push down so 1927 01:56:14,400 --> 01:56:18,480 this is the last mitigation so it could be a bit aggressive but yeah 1928 01:56:18,480 --> 01:56:21,520 the high property ones are this for our poi right this level here and then this 1929 01:56:21,520 --> 01:56:25,520 level up here uh this for our demand i expect to now 1930 01:56:25,520 --> 01:56:28,400 fail that we're reacting from why because we had a big reaction from it 1931 01:56:28,400 --> 01:56:31,599 right we tapped the orders we pushed up and now their reactions failed it failed 1932 01:56:31,599 --> 01:56:34,480 to put in a higher height it failed to take out supply supply still in control 1933 01:56:34,480 --> 01:56:36,960 so i'm not really paying much attention to this now 1934 01:56:36,960 --> 01:56:40,880 so we can be a bit aggressive here 1935 01:56:40,880 --> 01:56:43,840 again if you want to have your strike rate as high as possible you know you 1936 01:56:43,840 --> 01:56:47,760 don't want to be doing this i've got 25 um you want to be looking at the 4-hour 1937 01:56:47,760 --> 01:56:50,639 pois okay but you know you can see the logic 1938 01:56:50,639 --> 01:56:55,440 behind us this is the last mitigation swept the liquidity behind these highs 1939 01:56:55,440 --> 01:56:58,320 nice decent push but there's no inducement which isn't really that ideal 1940 01:56:58,320 --> 01:57:02,159 so could get slapped here see he's gonna pull back what news is 1941 01:57:02,159 --> 01:57:04,960 that testify yes just power speaking it's 1942 01:57:04,960 --> 01:57:09,599 nothing no big deal or maybe it is 1943 01:57:09,599 --> 01:57:12,800 let's see okay that's hell and we're taking the 1944 01:57:12,800 --> 01:57:15,920 low so i'm going to take heavy partials on that because this is an aggressive 1945 01:57:15,920 --> 01:57:18,239 trade in fact i'm just going to get out of it 1946 01:57:18,239 --> 01:57:21,840 four partials there eight percent i'll take that all day 1947 01:57:21,840 --> 01:57:25,400 cool um 1948 01:57:26,239 --> 01:57:29,199 we could come into this now all right it's just getting very messy right we 1949 01:57:29,199 --> 01:57:32,239 swept these lows aggressive retrace back into this supply zone right follow the 1950 01:57:32,239 --> 01:57:34,480 mitigations uh 1951 01:57:34,480 --> 01:57:37,760 i'm just going to leave it see if we can come up into this four up here why did 1952 01:57:37,760 --> 01:57:39,840 he 1953 01:57:43,520 --> 01:57:46,719 i just want to get through this week reasonably quickly now just don't want 1954 01:57:46,719 --> 01:57:49,280 this video to be i have no idea how long i've been going it feels like about two 1955 01:57:49,280 --> 01:57:53,199 hours okay so we've taken out those daily lows 1956 01:57:53,199 --> 01:57:55,440 so boom let's let's take some pretty heavy 1957 01:57:55,440 --> 01:57:59,040 partials now um [Music] 1958 01:57:59,040 --> 01:58:03,440 we've already taken partials we can just close 50 of what we had left 1959 01:58:03,440 --> 01:58:06,639 50 and then 1960 01:58:06,639 --> 01:58:10,190 i forgot which one is which now and that one there 50 1961 01:58:10,190 --> 01:58:14,560 [Music] cool so 1962 01:58:14,560 --> 01:58:18,400 try not to sneeze i really need to sneeze uh we're taking out the low 1963 01:58:18,400 --> 01:58:22,320 um where's our next four up here why it's here 1964 01:58:23,119 --> 01:58:28,000 all right so let's clone that to uh 1965 01:58:28,239 --> 01:58:32,320 okay what can we trade from in here well 1966 01:58:32,719 --> 01:58:37,679 we've got that's been mitigated that's been mitigated so we have this zone here 1967 01:58:37,679 --> 01:58:42,159 probably refinance wick swept the liquidity behind this high 1968 01:58:42,159 --> 01:58:46,400 all right no inducement let's see our price pulls back up to it what news do 1969 01:58:46,400 --> 01:58:50,320 we have power speaking again what is going on this week speaking a lot 1970 01:58:50,320 --> 01:58:54,320 okay it looks like i'm just dumping uh what's the time yeah coming to new york 1971 01:58:54,320 --> 01:58:58,800 so we can be a bit more aggressive because momentum is likely to continue 1972 01:58:58,800 --> 01:59:03,840 just trying to see what kind of probably this one here because 1973 01:59:04,560 --> 01:59:08,560 it has inducement yeah i don't really like these ones are 1974 01:59:08,560 --> 01:59:12,320 too long on the legs let's put a settlement on that 1975 01:59:12,320 --> 01:59:15,679 what's the next news we've got so look at a sec 1976 01:59:15,679 --> 01:59:20,080 we have him speaking again yeah i don't know what's going on that week 1977 01:59:20,080 --> 01:59:23,199 okay we just dumped off from that decision there not to worry is what it 1978 01:59:23,199 --> 01:59:25,440 is that wasn't super high probability in my 1979 01:59:25,440 --> 01:59:27,760 opinion but this is what i mean right if it comes into session opens that was 1980 01:59:27,760 --> 01:59:31,679 kind of bang on new york opening you can be a lot more aggressive with these pois 1981 01:59:31,679 --> 01:59:34,560 uh especially momentum's like this right and then yeah we're absolutely selling 1982 01:59:34,560 --> 01:59:39,119 off now so i'm gonna pull that order let's see how far we're gonna go we'll 1983 01:59:39,119 --> 01:59:42,239 just do this to the end of the end of the week and then 1984 01:59:42,239 --> 01:59:47,760 wow okay i don't really want to be selling the slow on the leg 1985 01:59:49,119 --> 01:59:52,080 i've even been thinking about long zone until we see some clear 1986 01:59:52,080 --> 01:59:54,960 sustained bullish water flow with demand holding 1987 01:59:54,960 --> 01:59:58,480 spy okay so this is what i mean right you can be aggressive here so 1988 01:59:58,480 --> 02:00:02,800 there'll be sweep liquidity um it doesn't look like we did no we didn't 1989 02:00:02,800 --> 02:00:05,760 sweep those highs so really 1990 02:00:05,760 --> 02:00:08,719 i mean so with continuations right what you want to see is you want to see 1991 02:00:08,719 --> 02:00:11,840 structural liquidity get swept which you did here but then price pushed down 1992 02:00:11,840 --> 02:00:15,840 mitigated that supply and it's pushed down so whereas if i had to come up 1993 02:00:15,840 --> 02:00:19,520 again and if i had to swept that high if i drop them properly 1994 02:00:19,520 --> 02:00:22,639 if i had to swept this high i'd be a lot more confident to want to take that 1995 02:00:22,639 --> 02:00:26,000 short but because it hasn't yeah it doesn't fill me with a lot of 1996 02:00:26,000 --> 02:00:29,440 confidence to want to put a limit on that 1997 02:00:29,599 --> 02:00:33,520 yeah swept it now okay 1998 02:00:34,080 --> 02:00:37,760 so we could yeah it's just not clear right it's not i'd want to see that logo 1999 02:00:37,760 --> 02:00:41,360 really it's just messing around but yeah we've dumped okay but that was 2000 02:00:41,360 --> 02:00:44,239 aggressive short we should have taken but you see how once it swept and then 2001 02:00:44,239 --> 02:00:47,760 it was ready to go all right 2002 02:00:47,760 --> 02:00:51,040 it swept the high but there was no british change of character really but 2003 02:00:51,040 --> 02:00:54,159 essentially it pulled back up into that bar to serbia it's very very aggressive 2004 02:00:54,159 --> 02:00:58,159 trading uh but we have now another four-hour poi 2005 02:00:58,159 --> 02:01:01,920 here so now we've got something a bit more you know uh 2006 02:01:01,920 --> 02:01:05,679 substantial to work with right the zone we were just looking at 2007 02:01:05,679 --> 02:01:11,840 so we can clone that on what do we have within here we have that supply zone 2008 02:01:11,840 --> 02:01:16,400 all right it's kind of mitigated though it's not yeah not that clean 2009 02:01:16,400 --> 02:01:19,199 but we can put a limit on that just because it's 2010 02:01:19,199 --> 02:01:24,400 near the extreme and it's swept liquidity 25 2011 02:01:24,400 --> 02:01:27,199 okay let's go 2012 02:01:28,480 --> 02:01:32,880 what news have we got powell doing his thing 2013 02:01:33,360 --> 02:01:37,440 okay yeah so it's coming to the decision again fair enough 2014 02:01:37,440 --> 02:01:40,400 did we sweep that high 2015 02:01:40,960 --> 02:01:44,880 does it look like we did no i won't be too keen on selling from 2016 02:01:44,880 --> 02:01:48,040 there then 2017 02:01:50,159 --> 02:01:53,920 um might go from here see 2018 02:01:56,560 --> 02:02:00,159 yeah that would have been a nice entry don't like any of this price action now 2019 02:02:00,159 --> 02:02:05,199 though kind of waiting for let's see we've taken out this low 2020 02:02:05,199 --> 02:02:07,679 it's probably not i'm trying to speed up for the sake of the video time but now 2021 02:02:07,679 --> 02:02:09,920 i'm missing sort of what's going on with the price 2022 02:02:09,920 --> 02:02:13,119 action we haven't taken out this low so technically this is a weak high so far 2023 02:02:13,119 --> 02:02:16,239 so we want to trade from that um 2024 02:02:16,239 --> 02:02:19,840 yeah let's just leave it 2025 02:02:20,159 --> 02:02:24,080 uh nice equal highs as well to be swept into our poi what news is coming up 2026 02:02:24,080 --> 02:02:27,360 nothing too major 2027 02:02:27,360 --> 02:02:31,360 or is that gonna what news is that 2028 02:02:31,360 --> 02:02:34,639 cool pc yes let's leave it that's not there's no point in taking a really 2029 02:02:34,639 --> 02:02:37,840 aggressive trading time picking you so we'll get rid of that limit 2030 02:02:37,840 --> 02:02:40,400 uh see there's four up here i can hold if it doesn't hold i'll probably take 2031 02:02:40,400 --> 02:02:44,360 some more partials on these trades 2032 02:02:46,400 --> 02:02:49,760 okay looks like that would have been a nice sell so far 2033 02:02:49,760 --> 02:02:53,599 price action's super messy so don't be trading any of this let's bring on to 2034 02:02:53,599 --> 02:02:56,480 okay and that's the end of the week so i'll tell you what that brings us to 2035 02:02:56,480 --> 02:03:01,159 october so let's exit all positions 2036 02:03:01,199 --> 02:03:04,639 cool so i mean 100 2037 02:03:04,639 --> 02:03:07,040 yeah i mean here's the thing right 2038 02:03:07,040 --> 02:03:11,040 the r is there i don't feel like at you know hopefully at this stage of the 2039 02:03:11,040 --> 02:03:14,560 course you guys need to be proved that the the purpose of this video was not 2040 02:03:14,560 --> 02:03:18,560 really to say you know look at the insane all you can make because you 2041 02:03:18,560 --> 02:03:22,719 should know that you know already by now in reality 2042 02:03:22,719 --> 02:03:25,679 trading is not as easy as this right there's going to be tons of emotions 2043 02:03:25,679 --> 02:03:28,560 involved you know always going to be at peak performance right you're going to 2044 02:03:28,560 --> 02:03:31,040 miss trades you're going to mismanage things it's not going to be easy to just 2045 02:03:31,040 --> 02:03:33,520 hold on to these trades for this long right we've gone through an entire 2046 02:03:33,520 --> 02:03:36,719 month's worth of price action in a few hours okay so i'm not going to you know 2047 02:03:36,719 --> 02:03:39,840 this isn't to sit here and go look you should be making 100 every month right 2048 02:03:39,840 --> 02:03:42,880 yeah you might be able to do that on a 500 account but when you're training 2049 02:03:42,880 --> 02:03:46,239 serious capital you know you have a life to fund a real life you have financial 2050 02:03:46,239 --> 02:03:49,119 obligations you're not necessarily going to be holding on to all these trades for 2051 02:03:49,119 --> 02:03:52,159 that long okay but it is possible it's there it's 2052 02:03:52,159 --> 02:03:57,199 doable you're limiting beliefs you know they need to be raising wherever that 2053 02:03:57,199 --> 02:04:01,679 limit is that bar and pushing it to the upside right you know that i i got rid 2054 02:04:01,679 --> 02:04:04,880 of most of the volume of most of these trades at the nearest 4-hour low whereas 2055 02:04:04,880 --> 02:04:07,599 you know if you held on you know i'm not gonna do the math for 2056 02:04:07,599 --> 02:04:10,480 you but there's a lot there right but the logic's there hopefully you guys 2057 02:04:10,480 --> 02:04:13,760 understand it i did take quite a lot of aggressive trade as well just to kind of 2058 02:04:13,760 --> 02:04:18,320 show you that losses really don't mean anything yet um like if you go on a 2059 02:04:18,320 --> 02:04:21,599 massive loss streak you know it it really doesn't mean 2060 02:04:21,599 --> 02:04:25,280 because the risk reward is on your side okay um 2061 02:04:25,280 --> 02:04:28,159 also um you know 2062 02:04:28,159 --> 02:04:31,199 with those aggressive trades i tried to point out reason why they're aggressive 2063 02:04:31,199 --> 02:04:33,679 and i try to explain to you you shouldn't really be taking these if 2064 02:04:33,679 --> 02:04:36,239 you're not consistent because there's no inducer on the leg they didn't suit 2065 02:04:36,239 --> 02:04:38,719 liquidity but the time to do it if you do want to 2066 02:04:38,719 --> 02:04:41,599 be aggressive is at you know those session timings ideally at the start of 2067 02:04:41,599 --> 02:04:45,360 the london or the new york session where momentum okay is on your side rather 2068 02:04:45,360 --> 02:04:47,280 than doing it during the asian session where you're much more likely to get 2069 02:04:47,280 --> 02:04:52,719 swept out during corrective moves but yeah is what it is my um uh goal with 2070 02:04:52,719 --> 02:04:55,520 these is kind of i'll probably do this maybe for each kind of month going 2071 02:04:55,520 --> 02:04:58,800 forward so we'll do a recap of the hard time frame price action uh maybe i'll do 2072 02:04:58,800 --> 02:05:01,599 the next one on trading view uh which obviously isn't as great for kind of 2073 02:05:01,599 --> 02:05:05,679 recording trade stats and stuff but it will allow us to kind of analyze price a 2074 02:05:05,679 --> 02:05:11,520 little bit clearer uh and um uh you know we can kind of probably 2075 02:05:11,520 --> 02:05:14,159 understand price action a little bit easier rather than it is on kind of 2076 02:05:14,159 --> 02:05:17,119 doing on soft effects but there you go you can kind of see the equity curve 2077 02:05:17,119 --> 02:05:21,520 pretty smooth up to curve there right um you know closing closings the balance 2078 02:05:21,520 --> 02:05:24,239 stays pretty near the equity curve which essentially means you're closing your 2079 02:05:24,239 --> 02:05:27,760 profits and you're letting equity run away uh and try and kind of swing for 2080 02:05:27,760 --> 02:05:33,199 the fences on that and then you can look at the the statistics here so um 2081 02:05:33,199 --> 02:05:37,679 yeah pretty decent strike rate there uh we had 25 wins 2082 02:05:37,679 --> 02:05:42,400 uh 15 losses uh i'm trying to see where's the 2083 02:05:42,400 --> 02:05:46,000 so five losses in a row you know if you had those five losses at the start 2084 02:05:46,000 --> 02:05:49,119 would you be down in a strategy would you be doubting your own ability um you 2085 02:05:49,119 --> 02:05:52,079 know you probably would and it just goes you've got to keep executing um keep 2086 02:05:52,079 --> 02:05:55,119 following your plan yeah and just trust in the process and it is there so i'll 2087 02:05:55,119 --> 02:05:58,159 leave that there this is a pretty long video um but yeah we'll do a few a few 2088 02:05:58,159 --> 02:06:01,119 more of these in the future i hope you took some value from that and i will see 2089 02:06:01,119 --> 02:06:03,760 you next time cheers207326

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