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alrighty so today we're gonna do essentially a back testing exercise um
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on euro dollar uh for the month of september 2021 and we're not going to go
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any lower than the m15 okay so essentially kind of the main goal was a
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couple main goals for this exercise on this lesson
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one is obviously just to kind of you know practice of how we put all of the
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concepts together uh to combine it into you know what essentially makes up the
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strategy as a whole um so we're gonna do this full chart walkthrough uh for the
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month of september um and just really see you know how we
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apply uh the concepts to the chart but the other kind of main thing i i i want
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for you guys to hopefully get from this is that literally just training one pair
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alone so just you're a dollar going no lower than the m15 uh and just in one
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month uh hopefully i'm gonna be able to show
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you kind of the insane insane amount of opportunity uh and potential that there
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is um you know even just within those parameters so
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yeah we're just going to hop on and play through this so some of you may
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be familiar with the software already some of you won't uh essentially it's
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just um a software that allows you to back test
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uh with bar replay on mt4 i'll link it below in the description below but i
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believe i did talk about this in the testing module as well
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um but yeah so only downside to this really compared to
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training view is that we can't you know do some nice clear analysis in terms of
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drawing nice lines and boxes and all the templates and stuff analyzing on mt4 is
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extremely clunky it's horrible um so i'm going to do my best to kind of
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go through this nice and slowly a little slower than what i would if i was just
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back testing for myself just so you guys can obviously try and follow along as
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clearly as possible and you don't get too lost because i'm
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not going to be able to kind of perfectly draw on every bit of structure
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like we would on training view um so sometimes it can get a little bit messy
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but i'm going to do my best to kind of go through it uh nice and slowly so yeah
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like i said we're going gonna do september
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the whole month of september so this might be a bit of a long video but
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hopefully you guys will take a fair amount of value from it um i'll probably
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go quite slow at the start and then if it starts to drag on a bit i'll probably
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speed things up uh just for the sake of time but yeah hopefully you guys can um
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yeah take some money from that last thing i'll say is kind of i get a lot of
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questions about you know
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you know people saying they want to trade the hard time frames whether that
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be because they have a job or they just prefer the kind of more slower and
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hands-off approach etc etc and they ask me you know how should they trade it
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what should their trade plan be well you know the simple answer also the
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correct answer is it's exactly the same the concepts are universal they
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literally apply to any time frame you want you know you could trade the three
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day the two and a half hour and the 33 minute if you wanted to
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would necessarily recommend it but you know in theory it's all the same right
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price has no time time there's no price it's just orders going through the
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market right and we're just making sense of that order flow by using japanese
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candlestick charts all right so we bring a method to the madness by kind of
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picking those three time frames our higher time frame our medium time frame
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and our lower time frame right which for me is generally the four hour the m15
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and the m1 but in this case we we're replacing the 4r the m15 and the m1 with
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the daily the hour and the m15 okay so the daily becomes our time frame
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the four hour becomes your medium time frame right so we're using the daily and
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the four hour for our pois and for our structure and then we're pretty much
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just using the m15 for lower time frame execution right so we're not paying a
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massive attention to structure in that time frame but more so kind of how we
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can trade uh you know from from each four hour poi
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to the next four or four hour poi um now what you'll see is i'm gonna be
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you know reasonably aggressive here and you'll see that you know you don't only
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have to enter positions when price is in your higher time frame poi so when
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prices in a four-hour poi or above right you don't have to stick to those now if
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you choose to only trade there your strike quote will most likely be higher
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right if you want that higher strike rate and you'll have to set your hands a
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little bit more um and you can still make an incredible return but i am going
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to be a little bit more aggressive just to show you kind of when when i will and
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when i wouldn't sort of you know chase i don't say chase but trade the m15 so i
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lower time frame execution time frame when i will trade that kind of further
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in the leg you know when it isn't in a four-hour ply but we're essentially just
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trading towards the next four-hour poi okay so
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yeah i kind of wanted to make that clear that the trade plan is literally the
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exact same um you just have different time frames right so this is the m15
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this is my lower timeframe execution time frame this is the four hour so this
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is my medium time frame uh well yeah my medium time frame and we're looking for
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pois and kind of mapping my structure and then we have our daily which is
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again is the higher time frame we'll be looking for structure and poise too okay
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now the only other thing i'll add that kind of is a big difference between
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sort of you know trading this way going low no lower than the m15 uh compared to
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kind of you know if you trade sort of my way with m1 entries is that session
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timing is nowhere near as important so if you execute on a time frame sort of
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below the m15 i would say sort of more like you know the m10 or the m5 then
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session timing does start to become a lot more important ie training during
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london and new york when volume is high but with the m15 you can get away with
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it a little bit more uh with executing during the asian session but
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we'll get into that as we go kind of want to just jump into it now before i
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ramble on any longer because yeah this will take a fair amount of time probably
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to get through so before we kind of start to you know look for positions
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let's do um some analysis of the higher time frame so let's take a look at the
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daily chart all right unfortunately i can't draw an
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mt4 as far as i'm aware but essentially you can see right we took out this high
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low here where my mouse is we broke structure to the downside right we had
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to swing low lower high uh we've had a swing low to the downside it's arguable
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right whether this high was a swing high or not but we can see with the benefit
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of hindsight and when price broke it um you know it continues to the downside so
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that wasn't really true swing structure right if we can use a little bit of
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discretion here that we can view this movement i'm tracking my mouse as one
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push down then we've had a pull back up here right and then we've had another
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movement to the downside so again that's quite a sizeable pullback um and we have
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now broken and closed above this high so this is kind of where in fact let's
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measure it right um
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so from the low to the high that's yeah over 90 pips right it's just over 100
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pips so if you are 100 mechanical and strict um kind of with the rule that i
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recommend in the course with the daily chart on euro dollar i would typically
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say that if something is more than 90 pips then that is swing structure okay
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but me personally i like to use a little bit of discretion on the daily chart and
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higher right um but in this case let's just be strict
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and say you know potentially the daily chart is bullish but i'd be very aware
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that overall we're quite bearish and we're coming up in towards this daily um
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sort of supply area up here right if we were to draw a box in it um
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right and what else do we notice is that this
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swept the high behind there right um so essentially we have a sweep zone i hate
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the analysis on mt4 but you get the idea right
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so that's a pretty decent area where i'd definitely be looking we we could see
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you know a decent pullback or potentially a reversal from that level
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but until we get there um yeah i think we can look to continue for longs
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especially after we've broken this high now up in towards this daily supply
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supply level and then we can reassess how the four-hour and the 15 start to
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shape up around there so that's the daily chart kind of minimize that for
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now and let's take a look at the four hour
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chart so what i'm actually going to do
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is just see how where that overlays with the four-hour
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chart so we click that should appear okay so yeah so that's where we know
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roughly we need to start potentially being aware that before our chart may
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pull back or reverse from this area okay so
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for our chart we can see we were bearish and then we
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have clearly switched bullish okay so we've taken out let's zoom in a little
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bit all right we've taken out this was a
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sizeable pullback okay so that is our swing breaker structure
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uh and then let's measure these oops wrong button still getting a bit
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used to this all right there we go so that's over 40
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pips was that 40 pips
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uh it's a bit tight but either way we just want to get to where we are on the
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current price action so i would say that is definitely a swing breaker structure
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and then is this uh 40 pips
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no okay so this would be my current uh swing low on the four-hour chart i
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believe it's a little bit harder to analyze on training view but
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i'm pretty comfortable with that okay so we've pulled back into this area of
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demand right clearly broke these highs we're pulling back from this area of
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supply over here so old areas of supply become what they become reaction points
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for pullbacks okay so we're currently coming into
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this um uh four hour demand zone here now be a
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bit cautious of the marzo's like this why one because it has a clean push you
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see how it's a straight movement up so there's no structural liquidity zooming
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a little bit um in the in the uh
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in in the leg right so essentially what that can mean is this b can become
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inducement for itself for lower prices also it didn't sweep any liquidity right
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this low here didn't sweep a price structure low um so i'd be pretty
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cautious of that and i actually quite like
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the zone below so what i would do is i would keep an eye on both right we've
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already mitigated this level anyway but i much prefer
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this level down here and the reason why like i said is because this can be
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structural inducement for this wick zone here and also what is it it's a sweep
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zone right because it swept the liquidity uh below those lows there so
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um yeah but we have to be mindful right
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this is our swing low price could come all the way down to towards this wick
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two okay let's make sure this appears onto
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our m15 chart so if we look at the m15 uh price has
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uh broken sort of structures to downside and we are now pulling back in towards
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our for our poi we've had a bit of a reaction from these levels here let's
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zoom in a little bit and see if we can see anything a little bit more clearly
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uh there's nothing really standing out to
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me um
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kind of spike through that zone that's failed and we've come off the decision
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decisional down here all right we have had a bullish change
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of character to the upside um
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but yeah it's not looking too strong to check because you see how impulsive this
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movement is now we've had a corrective pullback so i've been a lot more
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interested in trading from i just refine the zone down into this extreme candle
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down here right so you can see what i've now done
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is this m15 candle that i'm desperately trying to draw this box around it's so
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clunky on a t4 is essentially our refined m15 zone within our four hour
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poi our four hour poi is a sweep zone it has structural inducement um so straight
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away right this becomes an area in which i'd be more than happy to set a risk
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entry on a case so that's what we're gonna do actually is
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we are gonna right so you have a few options when you set entries um
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especially risk entries as well is you kind of set it on the distance on
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the edge of the zone excuse me you can set it on the eq so
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the 50 level um or of course you could use a fixed stop loss for this video
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what i'm going to do is i'm going to do a 25 rule so essentially what this is
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it's a fibonacci tool that has the 0.25 and 0.75 selected and essentially what
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i'll do is if it's a long i'll enter on the top 25 percent and obviously if it's
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a short right i'd enter on uh the bottom 25 percent um okay so
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how the way i'm gonna do this right is stop just below the low and then i'm
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gonna have our entry on the 25 level there okay and i would be more than
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happy uh with that so now we have our buy
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limit set okay so again quick recap of the hard time frames four hour clearly
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bullish we're looking to trade up and towards this daily extreme supply zone
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we've come back down into this decisional however it's got a straight
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push there's no structural liquidity in the leg and we have a nice sweep zone
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below that so kind of you know yeah it's a pretty decent zone there with
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inducement in front of it and we have our nice m15 uh poi nested within that
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four hour zone and we've now set a buy limit on there however we are rejecting
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demand from here and we have had a bullish change of character however it's
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very very corrective impulsive down i'm not really liking the look of that just
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yet and we are literally in you know bang on the start of the asian session
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so i'm gonna play price forward a little bit and see how we get on here on the
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m15 okay it's looking like we're gonna okay
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we've just taken that low um
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yeah okay just seeing if we're gonna come into
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anything down here let's at least wait for a bullish change
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of character we don't get that just yet okay
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so we've had a pretty aggressive movement
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away from our four hour zone you can see it's just tapped into our four hours
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only zoom in a little bit um all right so we've had aggressive
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move away into our demand zone we've had a bullish change of character uh on the
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m15 then we've shot up so have we mitigated anything of note we've come
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into this level down here right this wick zone so that does make sense we are
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mitigating something right that was kind of the last mitigation there as well we
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see so this is what i mean right a lot of the times i'm not going to have every
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single poi drawn on my charts because it's just unnecessary but when price
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reacts aggressively to something i'm going to look left and i'm going to
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start to build a story right does this make sense yes we have a series of
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mitigations we've swept a low coming into our zone we've had a bullish change
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of character it's also backed up by the four-hour poi and we've had an
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aggressive move away now okay so i'm gonna leave my order on the
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extreme just because i like that level um however you know that's a pretty
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decent move let's see what happens with the next candle
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yeah okay i'm gonna set an entry order on this okay so if we
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get our fibonacci level right from the high to the low
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okay and then we can set a pi limit on that
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uh okay so on 25 now you can cover that below there but i'm a little bit
220
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cautious of the wick so yeah let's give that
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00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,399
just below it's only about 5.1 pip pip stop
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uh so yeah we'll set that there now in terms of trade management i don't
223
00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:40,480
think i spoke about this already but essentially my plan with this is i'm
224
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going to use a little bit of discretion with it i'm not going to be super
225
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mechanical uh kind of the main reason for that is it's a little bit harder on
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this software to kind of i can't set multiple tps like i work with with
227
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partials when i use my trade assistant on mt4 for my live trading so
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um it's gonna be a little bit more difficult to kind of set that you know
229
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you're selling essentially 25 or 4r and whatnot so i'm going to use essentially
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00:14:02,560 --> 00:14:05,680
discretion here but obviously with logic we're going to target weak structure
231
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we're going to look at the nearest spawn demand zones etcetera
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and we'll do it that way and hopefully you guys learned something from that so
233
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right again to recap this i'm going to leave this extremely older
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on just in case that does get hit we get stopped out here it's quite a straight
235
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push um but i do like it swept the liquidity behind that low um so yeah i'm
236
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looking the entry so far but in terms of the higher time frames right uh we are
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bullish we pulled back into that decisional which we've now swept and
238
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we've come down into kind of um it's not the extreme because the extreme the
239
00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:38,000
foreign leg for me would be down here but this is a sweep zone right swept the
240
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,880
liquidity behind those loads led to a break of structure it's got this
241
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inducement in front of it we've now tapped into it we look left doesn't make
242
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sense yes there's a series of mitigations here on the m15 we've had an
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aggressive move away we had a bullish change of character we also took out
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multiple levels of supply right this supply level failed this supply level
245
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,320
failed so that's a pretty good indication a lot of momentum what i also
246
00:14:56,320 --> 00:15:00,480
like about this is the session timing right um 7 30 so around frankfurt open
247
00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:03,360
london's technically eight but still the landing session more than happy to look
248
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:07,199
for trade entries around here so let's see if we get tagged in okay it's quite
249
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a big spike we are now within the trader case you can see this first or second
250
00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:14,720
order here we've been tagged in uh and then let's see how this goes and see if
251
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,399
we can break that high okay all right i'm gonna cancel this order
252
00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:22,079
down the bottom now by limit okay
253
00:15:22,079 --> 00:15:26,959
so because we're trading pro uh for and pro daily trend um i'll give
254
00:15:26,959 --> 00:15:30,240
you the pro daily trend it's a bit you know a
255
00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:33,759
bit of a debate whether or not look at the daily again
256
00:15:33,759 --> 00:15:36,240
you know whether or not this is a swing high or not but it's a pretty decent
257
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,600
break of structure so definitely targeting up and towards this daily
258
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supply level here um so yeah let's minimize that and keep the for our so at
259
00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,920
a minimum really we should be looking to target this for our high and if we can
260
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,399
see we can get a break of structure but we have to be aware that this is the
261
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decision all right so what can often happen with decisionals is you can get a
262
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reaction from here for price to push up and then come down lower in towards the
263
00:15:57,199 --> 00:16:00,560
extreme and then that's when you can see the move okay so we do have to be
264
00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,680
aware of that um we have some supply zones up here as
265
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:08,000
well but technically this should be a week for our high that we can now look
266
00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,920
to target so let's press forward a little bit more and see how this goes we
267
00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:16,320
can start to think about scaling in so if i wasn't in a position already i'd
268
00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,600
probably be looking um and getting in on this level here but it's quite near to
269
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:22,480
my entry so i'm not going to be too aggressive
270
00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,199
i'm kind of coming into the supply level here now
271
00:16:25,199 --> 00:16:30,399
uh we do have this sweep zone here it's quite an aggressive scaling to be
272
00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:33,120
honest um you know it hasn't really done anything
273
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,160
it's broken this high here you could chase it a little bit but it's
274
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,959
a little bit aggressive for me and we're coming into high impact news so we have
275
00:16:38,959 --> 00:16:44,240
the news down here we have um adp nfp essentially non-farm employment
276
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,440
that's usually the day before the true nfp so we might see a decent reaction
277
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,959
from that but it's not really something i want to trade through okay we've
278
00:16:50,959 --> 00:16:55,680
brought into that wick now okay news has shot that forward
279
00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:59,600
uh see if we can clear this four hour high now
280
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,600
okay looking like we've cleared that high so i'm going to take some partials
281
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:08,400
on this trade okay let's close uh 50 of that trade
282
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,839
as it is pro trend i do think we can get up towards that daily supply zone so
283
00:17:11,839 --> 00:17:14,799
we'll close 50 of that trade okay
284
00:17:14,799 --> 00:17:17,919
uh right so let's zoom out where are we now
285
00:17:17,919 --> 00:17:21,919
we've had a break of four hour structure we haven't closed above it just yet um
286
00:17:21,919 --> 00:17:25,600
but we're coming well we already had a
287
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:28,400
mitigation from the supplies on here that's reacted it's fair to put it alone
288
00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,200
we pushed up now comes this daily supply zone but
289
00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:34,320
there's not really anything clear on the four-hour chart we've got this big wick
290
00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:37,600
but it's all pretty messy um let's play this forward a little bit
291
00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:43,600
more we do have this m15 flip zone here um but it's quite hard and leg not
292
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,240
something i'm in love with it but you see how it reacted to the supplies and
293
00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:50,320
it's pushed up so you could look for potential scalings there uh let's play
294
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:54,240
this forward a little bit okay yeah that would have worked out
295
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:58,000
nicely uh we've pushed up higher now we are coming to daily supply but
296
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,760
that wouldn't really put me off until really we start to kind of break down uh
297
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,679
at least on the lower time frames um we could potentially look in for a scaling
298
00:18:05,679 --> 00:18:09,120
so because we're getting so much momentum here right uh this is where i'd
299
00:18:09,120 --> 00:18:12,799
be more than happy to kind of uh again i don't hesitate to use the
300
00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:16,160
word chase but we can follow price especially with this momentum going to
301
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:21,039
the upside this was the last mitigation um so yeah let's put an order on that
302
00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:23,360
let's see by limit
303
00:18:23,360 --> 00:18:29,840
so it looks quite big um 25 on
304
00:18:31,919 --> 00:18:35,760
cool double check our time frames are all good we spiked up above this for our
305
00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:39,120
zone now so let's see if we can get in a little bit higher
306
00:18:39,120 --> 00:18:43,440
uh except that and then okay let's pay us forward we are coming towards the end
307
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,400
of the london session so it's not ideal now
308
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:50,080
uh okay we haven't made a higher high just
309
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:55,200
yet on the m15 so this is the last sort of m15
310
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:58,400
hello okay that would be tagged us in now coming through the asian session
311
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,360
spread out which isn't ideal so probably in reality i would have pulled that
312
00:19:01,360 --> 00:19:07,520
order until spread hours had calmed down but we didn't get spiked out fortunately
313
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,240
so it's kind of oh it looks like we're gonna get stopped out place forward to
314
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,000
the london session hopefully the volume will take us in okay so still in the
315
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,960
trade okay so london sessions kind of picking
316
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,559
up uh where are we on the four-hour chart
317
00:19:20,559 --> 00:19:23,600
there's just nothing clean there at all in terms of supply so i've been waiting
318
00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,640
for at least the m15 to start to break down before i be really thinking about
319
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,160
shorts just yet uh these are weak highs right they fail to
320
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,039
make a low that looks like that liquidity is just going to get smashed
321
00:19:33,039 --> 00:19:35,840
wouldn't really want to be training short from here i mean you could take a
322
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:39,600
hedge from that but yeah not for me because that low right hasn't even taken
323
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:43,200
up this low here so these loads have done nothing nice equal highs right that
324
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,799
to me just looks like it wants to get smashed now
325
00:19:46,799 --> 00:19:49,440
we haven't got the best entry right because it's quite a wide entry but if i
326
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,320
was looking at this now if i wasn't already in it what i like about this is
327
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,760
right we've pulled back we've mitigated this poi and i've essentially broken
328
00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,720
this internal structure to the upside um come into the
329
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,840
london session i'll probably be looking at setting an order on this low but
330
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:06,240
obviously we're already in a trade that we haven't uh removed any risk from so
331
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,039
um i'll be leaving that there let's play this forward a little bit and see us
332
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:11,520
develops
333
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:17,360
we can take out these highs and i'll partial some profits pretty heavy as
334
00:20:17,360 --> 00:20:20,799
well as we're coming into that daily supply zone now okay so look looking
335
00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:24,240
like that zone is holding um which obviously can happen
336
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,559
so you can trade from these but i'd be more something i'd be looking to trade
337
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:29,840
and then one entry from not necessarily an m15 entry from because you're
338
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,679
training from that weak high um so really i think this will just be a
339
00:20:33,679 --> 00:20:38,080
reaction to provide liquidity right basically a more significant double top
340
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,919
for us than target so for me the risk to reward isn't really there with the m15
341
00:20:41,919 --> 00:20:44,720
yet because we haven't even had a change of character right we haven't taken out
342
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,320
the most recent internal low um so yeah that wouldn't really be as short for me
343
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,880
that i'd want to take it from australian 15.
344
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,120
just waiting for these highs to go okay the higher has gone now so i'm going to
345
00:20:53,120 --> 00:20:56,960
take some heavy partials on this trade because it's it's still pro trend but
346
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,000
we're kind of coming into that daily level let's take off a bit more on this
347
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:04,159
one because we are higher up in the leg could take off eighty percent
348
00:21:04,159 --> 00:21:08,480
okay so we're pushing up higher now um
349
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:14,400
let's zoom out a little on the four hour so keep an eye on that
350
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,200
okay we're going to take some more partials as well from our previous entry
351
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,559
down here we'll just close
352
00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:24,960
uh 50 of what we've got left cool okay so let's place one more candle
353
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,640
see if we can get a good closure above there right so let's look for potential
354
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:33,440
more scalings right we have this last candle here
355
00:21:34,159 --> 00:21:38,159
so let's draw that on essentially what was happened right is we pulled back in
356
00:21:38,159 --> 00:21:42,000
and we didn't quite hit this cell to buy that we were looking at all right but
357
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,880
remember it doesn't always have to hit the refine pivot essentially it's hit
358
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,480
you know that would be like a 30 minute sell to buy right and that what that
359
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,520
means is when price that moves away it doesn't hit your poi you can then adjust
360
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,000
this to the range understand what's going on right it's mitigating this
361
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:57,520
level we've then broken stretch to the upside so this then becomes our last
362
00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:01,440
mitigation right swept the lows behind here right so that's a pretty nice sweep
363
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,320
zone again we are trading against the steady
364
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:08,159
supplies level but it's a massive level i'm more than happy to keep looking for
365
00:22:08,159 --> 00:22:11,440
aggressive entries with just in this case right
366
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:16,880
of course you don't have to do this if it doesn't meet kind of your style so
367
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,880
let's chuck on a fib tool on this poi right i'm just going to keep
368
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:25,200
scaling in until structure starts to break to the downside right the trend is
369
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:29,679
your friend um until it ends or whatever the
370
00:22:29,679 --> 00:22:33,840
phrases so stop us behind the low it's quite looks like it's gonna be quite big
371
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,679
eight point five pips yeah okay oh no we'll just we'll keep being mechanical
372
00:22:37,679 --> 00:22:40,400
we'll keep doing that rule i was gonna go to the eq just to kind of increase
373
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,159
the rr there a little bit but let's see what happens okay doesn't look
374
00:22:44,159 --> 00:22:46,290
like it wants to come back um
375
00:22:46,290 --> 00:22:50,720
[Music] just trying to work out
376
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,480
what i want to do here i'm going to delete this daily level
377
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,880
just because so we can actually see price action
378
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:02,240
um i'm aware of it but
379
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:06,080
yeah maybe come up into this four hour wick here see how we go
380
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,360
we zoom in we've also got some for our poi that have been created right yeah
381
00:23:09,360 --> 00:23:11,919
you can see this move here right we pulled back down
382
00:23:11,919 --> 00:23:15,520
we've come up so we do have a four-hour poi here
383
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,880
uh that we have to be wary of that we can potentially look for longs if price
384
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:22,400
was to come down and obviously we have these pois down here as well but we can
385
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:26,000
draw those on even when the price comes back to it so
386
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,120
yeah potentially you could look for a long from here continuation scaling but
387
00:23:29,120 --> 00:23:31,200
i'm a bit hesitant obviously we're getting quite a higher for the leg now
388
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,400
we are in that delhi supply zone this is a clean push right there's no inducement
389
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,600
in the leg it didn't really sweep any liquidity right it's taking the low
390
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,960
behind this candle but you know it's arguable is that an m15
391
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,000
sweep or that's more like that would be a sweeping m5 of the m1 right it's not
392
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:48,400
really structural liquidity uh on this time frame that's something i'm still
393
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,720
really kind of trying to actually figure out in my own trading at the moment
394
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:54,080
collecting a bit more data on that whether or not i would classify this as
395
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,120
a sweep it's something that i used to call a sweep right because i viewed that
396
00:23:57,120 --> 00:24:00,799
there would be liquidity behind this wick the prices then come down and swept
397
00:24:00,799 --> 00:24:04,720
but it's not as ideal it's kind of hard because i can't draw an mt4 but
398
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,679
essentially you want to see if you follow my mouse right i'm moving up
399
00:24:07,679 --> 00:24:11,679
a clear pullback then i'm moving up and then a break of that low right because
400
00:24:11,679 --> 00:24:15,520
it's a clear structural low whereas this for me isn't um so i'm not going to
401
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,640
classify that as a uh a
402
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,320
sweep from now let's see if that holds
403
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:26,159
okay price is pushing a little bit higher and we continued to the upside
404
00:24:26,159 --> 00:24:30,159
okay so it's looking pretty good
405
00:24:30,159 --> 00:24:33,919
um you know potentially we could look again at scaling in didn't quite come
406
00:24:33,919 --> 00:24:38,320
into that level this would be our level here
407
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:44,159
it's gonna delete this box cool so
408
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,559
what's the session timing we're coming towards the end of the day yes we're
409
00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:50,320
looking for any entries around spread hours let's pose forward a little bit
410
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,200
okay we're pushing up higher now zoom out in the four-hour chart have we come
411
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,000
up to those highs yet
412
00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:00,159
not just yet so what i'm gonna do is i'm gonna essentially wait for the m15 to
413
00:25:00,159 --> 00:25:03,039
have a bearish change of character and i'm going to start to look to manage
414
00:25:03,039 --> 00:25:05,520
these positions a lot more aggressively because we are getting high up in that
415
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:10,320
leg now into those extreme supply zones through the asian session
416
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,200
let's see if we take this low here i'm going to get out
417
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:19,200
do we spike that low so look not yet
418
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:25,760
okay we've taken out that low um what i'm gonna do is just
419
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,520
because we've had now that bearish change of character let's close
420
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,840
um
421
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,919
how much we haven't even got four that's four let's left let's just uh let's just
422
00:25:35,919 --> 00:25:39,520
close it all get out of that and then we'll get out
423
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:44,080
of this um we'll cancel that buy limit just because we're getting pretty high
424
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,960
now probably could have left it on a little bit longer um we've got high
425
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:51,279
impact news as well what's that uh yeah nfp so this is a big news that's
426
00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:54,799
definitely not going to be holding uh positions into that
427
00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:58,320
so let's zoom in a little bit i show the m15
428
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,240
uh get rid of this cool
429
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,080
so what's happened in a hard time frames
430
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:07,200
we're coming up into this extreme supply level we're obviously still extremely
431
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,720
bullish uh the m15 has had a bearish change of
432
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,440
character um but it's looking pretty messy don't
433
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,159
want to look for any lungs don't look for any shorts and we've got nfp coming
434
00:26:16,159 --> 00:26:19,200
up okay if we didn't have nfp i'd probably
435
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:24,400
look at this zone here why because essentially we have
436
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:28,559
all right that supply there that swept the the
437
00:26:28,559 --> 00:26:32,320
high behind here and we're in four hour and daily supply the four hour supply is
438
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,760
not clean because it's essentially this big wick
439
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:40,720
here but that wick what did it do it swept the liquidity
440
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,640
behind these highs here right and then it led to this large move
441
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,960
here that break of structure so essentially the poi i'm referring to
442
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:51,039
right it's essentially that deadly zone as well as that big wick there
443
00:26:51,039 --> 00:26:53,840
i'm just going to delete it because it's messy and big but essentially i'm aware
444
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:58,320
of it okay um so yeah and therefore is still clearly
445
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,120
bullish i don't really want to be shorting against that just yet and we've
446
00:27:01,120 --> 00:27:05,600
got nfp so let's play nfp out and see how we go it's a bit slow let's
447
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,120
plus place forward okay boomer yeah we would have got
448
00:27:09,120 --> 00:27:12,559
absolutely smashed if we hadn't done that uh with a fair bit of slippage as
449
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:16,240
well okay so the four hours continuing to be bullish um
450
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:20,640
we do have another poi now here as well so we can draw that on
451
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,760
um just make sure that's not selected when
452
00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:27,679
i click clone okay so this is our for our poi here so
453
00:27:27,679 --> 00:27:30,640
let's pose forward into next week so essentially what we've got
454
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,320
right it's friday it's new york we've had nfp we've had a big move so whenever
455
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,200
that happens i'm done for the weekend right go and enjoy your life we'll work
456
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:41,039
on other things come back to the charts on monday so let's play this forward
457
00:27:41,039 --> 00:27:44,799
until monday and see where we are at okay so
458
00:27:44,799 --> 00:27:48,080
doing my analysis for the week ahead uh we know we're in that daily and for our
459
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:51,600
supply zone i would be very aware now that we're probably going to have a four
460
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,039
hour pullback at least um but potentially we could see you know before
461
00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:58,240
our bearish trend change because we are in remember
462
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:04,080
let's have a look that's the daily right so it's minimizer for our chart
463
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,799
we are within this daily zone now and actually let's have a look what's
464
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:14,240
happened all right we just spiked that daily high
465
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:17,679
so we've had that external range liquidity swept now um so yeah i
466
00:28:17,679 --> 00:28:20,960
probably expect a decent move and we can start to look back down and towards this
467
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,880
daily flip zone around here right this reacted to this supply so i think that
468
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:28,000
would be some pretty decent targets to look for that daily pullback uh into
469
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:32,000
that low but i'm also cautious of right if we look at the trend we've had a
470
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,279
swing low swing high we've had a movement down
471
00:28:35,279 --> 00:28:38,159
right that was just a grab liquidity behind his eyes and then we continue to
472
00:28:38,159 --> 00:28:41,120
the downside so there's every possibility this could also be right a
473
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,320
sweep of liquidity but it's not super clear because that is a decent bit of
474
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,799
structure right that looks like a quiz a reasonably clear swing to me um so yeah
475
00:28:48,799 --> 00:28:52,000
i would be a bit unsure whether or not kind of we're going to see just
476
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:55,039
essentially a daily pullback from this sweep i'll pull back maybe into around
477
00:28:55,039 --> 00:28:57,840
this decisional supply zone this flip zone and then we'd form a high low and
478
00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:02,159
continue or whether um you know we might see what we saw
479
00:29:02,159 --> 00:29:05,919
over here and continue down to the low so if i'm unclear right look at the
480
00:29:05,919 --> 00:29:08,080
four-hour chart what's the four-hour shot saying to us does that clear things
481
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,200
up for us a little bit well we're clearly bullish on the four-hour chart
482
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,840
we're coming into that extreme supply you can see with this big spike we've
483
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:18,640
swept liquidity behind these highs here um so until the four hour switch is
484
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,080
bearish i'm going to continue having that long bias but that doesn't mean
485
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:25,520
that we can't look to play the pullback so where is my current swing low well if
486
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:29,760
we look at this level here this was
487
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,120
over it's just a 50 pit pool bright right so that's over 40 pips how big was
488
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,159
this that's only 22 pips right so this would
489
00:29:36,159 --> 00:29:40,320
be my last spin low here okay so let's draw that on and then we know if we take
490
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:44,159
out this low that would be the four hour switching bearish okay
491
00:29:44,159 --> 00:29:47,279
um we haven't had a bearish change of character so this is the last internal
492
00:29:47,279 --> 00:29:50,320
pullback on the four-hour chart so i need to see this low get wicked for that
493
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,960
for our chuck and then what can we expect if we have a four-hour change of
494
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,559
character we can expect that for our pullback and then we have a few demand
495
00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,440
zones to look at so we have this level here right where we can look for
496
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:04,480
potential high low okay um and then we also have this level
497
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,760
down here right starting to get a little bit messy but fortunately that's just
498
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,279
what we have to work with with mt4 okay so then
499
00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:15,600
we have this level as well so yeah essentially what we're looking
500
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,240
for is to see if we can break the slow on the four-hour chart that will give us
501
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:22,799
a four-hour chalk then we can look for pullbacks down in towards the swing low
502
00:30:22,799 --> 00:30:26,000
so when price is like this right it's training between a big m15 high and m15
503
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,760
low it's messy i'm just going to sit on my hands and wait for either the low or
504
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,720
the higher to go and then we can reassess
505
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,520
all right where price is that hasn't quite gone yet
506
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:38,559
i'm not interested in any of this okay now we've broken out so let's delete
507
00:30:38,559 --> 00:30:43,919
this zone here clear things up a little bit
508
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,720
okay so we're taking out this low m15 has now obviously switched bearish we
509
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,159
have this large 4-hour poi i'm going to delete it just because i
510
00:30:52,159 --> 00:30:56,780
want to kind of tidy that up on m15 because it's such a large zone
511
00:30:56,780 --> 00:30:59,950
[Music]
512
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:07,200
okay so now we've had our for our chalk okay so now
513
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:11,039
we have a four hour poi to work with so that's getting a little bit clearer
514
00:31:11,039 --> 00:31:14,799
all right we have this biter cell here okay so that instantly becomes an area
515
00:31:14,799 --> 00:31:18,799
which i'm now interested in to look for shorts to play a potential pullback but
516
00:31:18,799 --> 00:31:22,559
i have to be aware there is some you know very minor demand down here so on
517
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:28,000
the m15 if we make that appear in m15 let's see if we can find
518
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:31,919
any zones within here so let's paint the story a
519
00:31:31,919 --> 00:31:35,519
little bit this is our for our poi if we look at the m15 price section right we
520
00:31:35,519 --> 00:31:39,120
had a mitigation here from this buy to sell
521
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,880
okay so then i would be looking at this
522
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,360
candle within here right and we can look for
523
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,640
see this and that the way this these rectangles draw it's really
524
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,039
annoying because it doesn't it's not clear at all
525
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:56,240
compared to so what i'm going to do is i'm just going to refine
526
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:59,760
this zone if i can do it
527
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,840
to
528
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:06,320
this m15 buy to sell within the four hour poi
529
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:10,399
and then hopefully update that on there as well cool okay
530
00:32:10,399 --> 00:32:13,519
um but we also have this level here i'd be
531
00:32:13,519 --> 00:32:16,799
happy to hit that right we're training down with a lot of momentum
532
00:32:16,799 --> 00:32:21,120
what i like about this as well is it swept liquidity behind these highs here
533
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:24,159
all right so we came down and come up and swept
534
00:32:24,159 --> 00:32:27,679
that liquidity we've mitigated this previous buy to cell range here right
535
00:32:27,679 --> 00:32:30,320
this buy to sell we've come up and hit that and then we come down with a hell
536
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,760
of a lot of momentum so also session time we're coming to london session yeah
537
00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:38,080
i'll be happy to whack a cell limit on there
538
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:43,480
all right let's measure the 25 75 rule
539
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,519
okay see how we get on with that
540
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,000
gonna be quite aggressive here because the training at the top of the move
541
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,120
there's plenty of wrist reward for this to pull back so yeah let's see how we
542
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,519
get on start the landing session we have a sweep zone playing a simple
543
00:32:55,519 --> 00:32:58,799
continuation um but yeah obviously aware that price could come up higher up
544
00:32:58,799 --> 00:33:01,919
towards that for our bike to sell but it does not have to
545
00:33:01,919 --> 00:33:08,720
so okay we're pushing down um i don't really want to chase price
546
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:12,159
just yeah this could become inducement for above
547
00:33:12,159 --> 00:33:18,320
see maybe we'll miss it okay leave this order on then
548
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:22,640
come into new york ah just missed us
549
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,880
see we haven't broken the low yet so this could just be inducement so i'll
550
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:30,080
leave it on let's drag this across a little bit
551
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,440
all right we still could get tagged in here let's see
552
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,760
it's not ideal though it's kind of getting into later the day london's
553
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:42,000
closing yeah london's closed now where is spread hours
554
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,799
kind of don't really want to trade through spread hours so we don't get
555
00:33:44,799 --> 00:33:50,399
yeah i'm going to pull the order we can reset it after 10 p.m gmt so you see how
556
00:33:50,399 --> 00:33:53,840
the current price is here but the red line has jumped up that's the ask price
557
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,880
right so that's the spreads blowing out so don't want to be trade triggered into
558
00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,720
any trades during this time until the spreads narrow um because you can get in
559
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:05,440
so at least wait til 11 o'clock okay
560
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,679
yeah no i don't train during the asia session but screw it let's put it on
561
00:34:07,679 --> 00:34:11,599
let's trade this now back to where it was 25 stop behind the
562
00:34:11,599 --> 00:34:14,159
high right so again remember we're trying to
563
00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:18,960
trade this for our pullback um this is a sweep zone mitigated this buy to sell
564
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,960
it's got plenty of inducement below it all right so let's drag it across so you
565
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:26,240
guys can see what i'm actually training
566
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:31,119
okay we're in the trade um we're straight out
567
00:34:31,119 --> 00:34:34,000
okay cool not to worry what's this happen we've still got this
568
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,760
level up above in fact i'm definitely going to set a limit on this one and
569
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,480
this is what i was trying to say at the start right if you want to have the
570
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,079
highest strike rate possible right you want to be trading
571
00:34:44,079 --> 00:34:47,359
from um m15
572
00:34:47,359 --> 00:34:50,320
is nested within those four apis right because that's going to give you the
573
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,280
highest probability right but i was happy to be aggressive in this case and
574
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,560
kind of follow price action as it was going because it does not have to pull
575
00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,280
back or even you know we could get a tradable
576
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,800
reaction from here get you know five or six r and then take our profits and then
577
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,920
let price pull back and then we can look to get short hair okay so this is quite
578
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:09,359
a small zone so i don't particularly i mean how many there's less than three
579
00:35:09,359 --> 00:35:11,920
pips right i don't really want to refine it anymore
580
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,680
than that uh i'm a bit wary of these equal highs
581
00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:19,760
here but you know remember my personal view and liquidity is react to it rather
582
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,720
than necessarily anticipate it's going to be swept because liquidity is
583
00:35:22,720 --> 00:35:25,839
everywhere in the market um you know if you're always scared of
584
00:35:25,839 --> 00:35:29,680
it then you're going to find yourself missing a lot of trades i'm gonna try
585
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,720
and do my best to keep these tools deleted actually so we can try and keep
586
00:35:32,720 --> 00:35:35,520
the charts nice and clear so again we've had a four-hour bearish change of
587
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,960
character we know we're coming off the extreme four-hour and daily supply to
588
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,960
the left we swept that daily swing high as well um so there's potential we're
589
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,440
going to get that pullback now right we're putting it back up into this four
590
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:49,680
hour buy to sell uh we've got an entry on a refined m15 supply zone within the
591
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:53,760
four hour buy to sell right that's where the last mitigation was um but it's not
592
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,960
ideal right there's really perfect equals there so potentially we might
593
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,359
come up into this extreme but we can look for energy up there if we push up
594
00:35:59,359 --> 00:36:03,839
higher and we have some nice clear lows to target um down towards us for our poi
595
00:36:03,839 --> 00:36:08,640
but potentially even lower into the extreme so let's play us forward and see
596
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:13,640
how we get on okay
597
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,040
all right so we're tagged in but what i was just
598
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,480
thinking of is what we probably could have waited for if you see how price
599
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,359
moved up and then i had a little pull back here right this camera here failed
600
00:36:23,359 --> 00:36:26,640
to break the previous candles high that means that now if price comes down and
601
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,680
wicks this low we would have then had an m15
602
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:32,800
bearish chalk right an internal change of character um and then we could have
603
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,599
looked to set a confirmation entry on this level which probably would have
604
00:36:35,599 --> 00:36:38,720
been a hell of a lot nicer especially that amount of momentum coming in and we
605
00:36:38,720 --> 00:36:42,800
are counter the four-hour trend remember so that definitely would have been a
606
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,920
safer entry um
607
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,400
okay now there's a flip zone as well right because you see what's happened
608
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,200
here we zoom in
609
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:57,119
all right we had this demand here right that pushed up to that high
610
00:36:57,119 --> 00:37:01,920
price has come in it's reacted and pushed down so now you can look to sell
611
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:05,760
i'm gonna delete this to keep it clear should we just drag it across you can
612
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:09,440
look just i mean this is a bit of a messy candle but you can essentially
613
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,599
sell within this candle we'll also swap liquidity behind these highs here
614
00:37:13,599 --> 00:37:17,200
all right boom
615
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,200
so hard to draw on this but yeah anyway you guys know what i'm trying to do
616
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,240
right except the liquidity behind that high and then prices push down so we
617
00:37:24,240 --> 00:37:27,839
have a change of character taking out this low we have this demand flipping to
618
00:37:27,839 --> 00:37:30,960
supply right and now you would look to get inspired to sell you could refine it
619
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,839
even more potentially to that wick but um yeah that essentially would be an
620
00:37:33,839 --> 00:37:37,040
entry i'd be looking at i'll tell you what let's let's take it let's um
621
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,680
because we're trading right from the extreme right there's a lot of wrist
622
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:44,160
reward here um yeah i like this for scaling i'll be happy to take that
623
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,920
so let's use the fib tool to try and be consistent with that right so
624
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:52,320
essentially we'll draw it on this flip range here we haven't quite come into 25
625
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,560
um yeah you see how this candle here this
626
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:57,359
is when we close below the reaction so we've got to change the character as
627
00:37:57,359 --> 00:38:00,720
soon as we wicked it with this candle right but we didn't close below the
628
00:38:00,720 --> 00:38:04,320
reaction until this candle here so this is why i'm not happy to set the order we
629
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,920
have already tapped into the buy to sell so yeah potentially it might not get
630
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:11,200
triggered but let's see
631
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,640
25 percent put a stop just above the high
632
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:19,920
all right it gives us about three pips so it's quite tight but zoom out again
633
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,800
okay cool so hopefully you guys can understand the logic behind this right
634
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,000
playing this for our pullback from the buy to sell we've hit our refine zone uh
635
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,280
and now we're scaling in with the chalk and flip but this also could have been a
636
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,320
much safer first entry especially as we're training counter to the before our
637
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:36,880
train right um see what happens oh that was close what's the session timing
638
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:41,280
probably should have given a bit more of a pit buffer but okay it's not too bad
639
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,000
see how we go
640
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:48,480
all right okay i'm gonna just delete this just to try and keep the charts
641
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,599
nice and clear so we can see what's happening okay so we're in two positions
642
00:38:51,599 --> 00:38:54,400
now i'm gonna leave them open until we kind
643
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:58,640
of see if we can breach these lows um because you know there's a lot of
644
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:01,920
risk to road on the table here so probably partial as we get down towards
645
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,800
these lows here as we are still counting to the four-hour trend it's going to
646
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,000
tidy this flip zone up a little bit all right so now we've wiped out these
647
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,880
zones here uh clear moves to the downside we're coming to the london
648
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:16,000
session so i would be looking at this last cell to buy here all right
649
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,720
um if i would but we're already in two positions and i haven't removed any
650
00:39:18,720 --> 00:39:22,000
risks i'm not going to load up in 20 more positions at this point
651
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,640
um what's happened here
652
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:28,480
so we've kind of come into this demand zone
653
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,960
all right i wouldn't have wanted to look for a long from here even though it's
654
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,920
pro for our trend but it's because we've had that for our chocolate expected
655
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:38,079
before our pullback these are weak and 15 lows right because they haven't
656
00:39:38,079 --> 00:39:40,960
really formed any highs they've broken these minor highs here but it's not
657
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,280
really a level i'd want to necessarily trade from but we definitely could have
658
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,960
taken a hedge there um yeah that would have been a nice hedge actually because
659
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,599
that was a sweep zone right swept the the lows behind here
660
00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:54,079
um obviously it was a last mitigation as
661
00:39:54,079 --> 00:39:56,800
well so yeah this definitely makes sense right you see how this bullish order
662
00:39:56,800 --> 00:40:00,560
flow it did take out a few levels of supply uh nice inducement in the legs
663
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:03,680
that could have been definitely hedged there which would have been nice to take
664
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:08,000
but we've missed it just about staying in hopefully this poi
665
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,800
can hold okay nice reaction to that poi so yeah that would have been an entry as
666
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,359
well definitely a valid entry and this is something right you guys might want
667
00:40:13,359 --> 00:40:16,480
to think about um i haven't done it with the with this
668
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:20,000
obviously testing exercise here but if you know you're only going to be on
669
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,480
the charts and you're only going to set entries during you know the london
670
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,599
session or the new york session right or whatever session you trade um you
671
00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:30,319
probably in your testing only want to record trades uh during that um sorry i
672
00:40:30,319 --> 00:40:34,400
just noticed in the corner of my eye we don't have news set to
673
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:38,800
euro and usd yeah the the point i'm trying to talk about there
674
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:42,800
okay so the next one is in two days cool so yeah you might only want to record
675
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,119
trades right that you're only going to set during the times that you're on a
676
00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:48,640
charts because it's going to give you a much more realistic idea of what
677
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:52,400
performance to expect right with your strategy so obviously we were entering
678
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:56,720
trades around the asia session here now you might be happy to set like a
679
00:40:56,720 --> 00:41:00,079
trade like this i would be personally reasonably happy to set that uh whilst i
680
00:41:00,079 --> 00:41:03,760
go to bed right and you know be entered during the asian session because it's
681
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,640
within the four hour poi it's the extreme you know there's a lot of
682
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,200
confidence behind this we've had that four hour change of character coming
683
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,400
into daily supply after wick in the high there's a lot of risk to reward here
684
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,880
boom i'd be happy to take that but then even if you didn't and you come into
685
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,920
london right now you have a clear trade following the mitigations this was the
686
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:21,520
last bite so right it's swept again it's another sweepstone right it sweeps the
687
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:25,200
liquidity behind these highs here um that's a pretty decent poi to look too
688
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,359
short from and then that could have been your first initial entry here right um
689
00:41:29,359 --> 00:41:31,760
yeah i mean the hedge i don't really take if i was already in the short i
690
00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:34,079
definitely wouldn't be wanting to get long from here if i wasn't already in a
691
00:41:34,079 --> 00:41:37,839
short ride because it's a very very risky trade and yeah i would expect that
692
00:41:37,839 --> 00:41:41,680
low to go okay so we're breaking to the downside again
693
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:45,200
order flow right another mitigation i'm not going to look to take put an
694
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,680
entrance just because we've got two trays already and i haven't removed any
695
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:52,319
risk just as of yet let's see okay pretty aggressive retrace i'm getting
696
00:41:52,319 --> 00:41:54,560
this wick i'm gonna try and speed this up a little
697
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,440
bit so i'm very cautious actually been going for a long time i'm already we're
698
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:02,079
only a week into the month okay so that zone is held as well
699
00:42:02,079 --> 00:42:04,640
basically what i'm waiting now for is these lows to go and then i'm going to
700
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,079
take some pretty decent partials because we are counter trend um and i'm
701
00:42:08,079 --> 00:42:11,359
personally you know reasonably aggressive my management i
702
00:42:11,359 --> 00:42:15,040
don't want to swing for the fences pay myself move on trade the next range okay
703
00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:18,800
so we have this zone here it's weak because it's failed to take out this low
704
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,920
um but this is where you know sometimes
705
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:25,920
structure might not well how do i explain this okay so this
706
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,960
movement here right where we had this pushed down right it's failed
707
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,560
structurally to take up the low this low here so that means when my mouse is now
708
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:36,160
is from a structured standpoint this is a weak high because it's failed to make
709
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:40,560
a new low now that doesn't mean that price has to trade higher because
710
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,040
what do we look at after market structure well the next confluence we
711
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:47,119
look at is supply and demand right and if we look at supply and demand who is
712
00:42:47,119 --> 00:42:50,640
in control who is holding and who is failing well
713
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:53,920
we can see a series of suppliers holding and what's been happening down here this
714
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,280
demand zone here right it's failed prices spike through prices come up
715
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:01,119
again hold supply is held and push down now in this case it's the milestones
716
00:43:01,119 --> 00:43:04,240
hold so far but you know if i was gonna be a betting man i'd probably say
717
00:43:04,240 --> 00:43:07,200
supplies in control here so that doesn't necessarily mean i'm gonna look to get
718
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:10,240
short but it's just to have an understanding of why you know sometimes
719
00:43:10,240 --> 00:43:13,520
highs might not get right it's because supply is taken over there we go and the
720
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,480
demand has now failed and we've pushed down through so yes you could have
721
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:19,280
looked from an energy from here but just understand that it's very aggressive
722
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,640
because this supply zone failed to do its job at that point right um but yeah
723
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,520
obviously it played out because supply is holding itself we have the supply
724
00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:28,240
chain holding now okay we haven't taken out this load just
725
00:43:28,240 --> 00:43:32,000
yet but we have formed another zone so potentially we may
726
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:35,599
get more mitigations here try and tie this up a little bit
727
00:43:35,599 --> 00:43:38,960
all right see how we go on coming into new york now so we might see some decent
728
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:43,359
volatility um boom there we go okay so we've pushed down to the lows i'm going
729
00:43:43,359 --> 00:43:46,319
to take some partials on these now okay so
730
00:43:46,319 --> 00:43:50,079
running 12 on this so it is counter trend and we're coming into this four
731
00:43:50,079 --> 00:43:53,920
hour poi here so i'm going to be pretty aggressive in my management here i'm
732
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:58,319
going to take 80 off not 580 i doubt that would work there we go
733
00:43:58,319 --> 00:44:00,720
cool and i'm gonna do the same on this one as well
734
00:44:00,720 --> 00:44:04,319
uh is this one right notice the top one
735
00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:12,240
boom okay cool all right so where are we in high time
736
00:44:12,240 --> 00:44:15,200
frames we had a change of character we pulled back into our four hour buy to
737
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:19,920
cell where we had two entries i'm going to move these both to break even so we
738
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,680
can actually keep the charts a little bit cleaner uh we've taken out this sort
739
00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:27,599
of low here now but we are coming into this four hour level of demand it's a
740
00:44:27,599 --> 00:44:31,119
very weak level of demand um didn't really do much other than take out this
741
00:44:31,119 --> 00:44:34,960
high and don't forget right daily time frame obviously outweighs the
742
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,400
four-hour chart because remember we zoom out this is daily supply this whole area
743
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:42,400
daily supply and we swept that high all right that's really significant when you
744
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:45,839
sweep external security so we could be having that daily pullback down into
745
00:44:45,839 --> 00:44:48,640
around this daily flip zone i'll show you guys on the charts of
746
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:53,440
case we've forgotten right this daily demand zone down here
747
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:56,640
because this is where that took this high right reacted from the supply zone
748
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:00,319
right this candle touched into the supply zone pushed down and then demand
749
00:45:00,319 --> 00:45:04,319
came in to push this movement up so we could see a movement down towards here
750
00:45:04,319 --> 00:45:07,440
but if we get that load before our chart will be bearish so
751
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:12,160
yeah we'll reassess that as and when we get to it
752
00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,720
grab some water
753
00:45:18,079 --> 00:45:21,280
okay so um yeah we're coming to new york let's
754
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,720
zoom into the four hour chart we know we're coming into four hour demand not
755
00:45:24,720 --> 00:45:28,640
really in love with it for long but if we get some bullish changes of character
756
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:32,000
then yeah then we can totally do that let's see if there's any 15 pois to be
757
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,200
aware of so we can refine that for a little bit okay we have this old one
758
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:38,640
over here remember we'll be looking at trading this originally so let's drag
759
00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:41,920
this across um let's keep an eye on this potentially
760
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:45,680
we can look for some longs from here it is a sweep zone it has inducement right
761
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:49,599
and if we zoom out right it led to that breaker structure
762
00:45:49,599 --> 00:45:52,400
it's pro trend so we can actually take an entry
763
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,720
on this all right i would be happy to take an
764
00:45:54,720 --> 00:45:59,440
entry on this even though i can get the right tool selected there
765
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,839
we go
766
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:07,280
okay cool uh so the reason why is this is an m15
767
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:11,040
poi nested within a four hour py it's swept liquidity it led to a breakup
768
00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:16,079
structure right really pretty decent move it has inducement below it um and
769
00:46:16,079 --> 00:46:21,119
it's pro the four hour uh and arguably the daily trend right so
770
00:46:21,119 --> 00:46:24,720
yeah i'd be happy to set a limit on that um especially as it's a hedge against
771
00:46:24,720 --> 00:46:28,720
the short positions we are already in so this looks like it's quite a big zone
772
00:46:28,720 --> 00:46:30,880
though oops
773
00:46:30,880 --> 00:46:37,119
that's orange you want isn't it yeah cool and then stop just below the low
774
00:46:37,119 --> 00:46:40,640
i think i've done that the wrong way around just
775
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:44,480
by limit there we go cool 25
776
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:49,200
and then stop just below there we'll run that up to nine go on and
777
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:53,520
do my chart ocd there we go boom cool so yeah hopefully you guys can understand
778
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:57,720
the logic behind that um
779
00:46:58,240 --> 00:47:02,960
cool and then we'll drag this in let's play your price forward a bit
780
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:08,319
okay so for our poi m15 refined sweep zone inducement coming down with a lot
781
00:47:08,319 --> 00:47:11,520
of momentum you could wait right especially as like we've had that daily
782
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,480
sweep on my coming off daily supply this is a bit riskier so what you could do is
783
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:18,079
wait for price to come in and give us that bullish change of character before
784
00:47:18,079 --> 00:47:22,839
trying to kind of you know catch this low here so we've been tagged in
785
00:47:22,839 --> 00:47:27,359
um carl coming down with a fair amount of momentum
786
00:47:27,359 --> 00:47:30,800
uh we have these pois to be aware of as well
787
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:34,480
all right we have this buy to sell let's take the refined candle
788
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:38,960
um so let's see how price reacts we might just get okay
789
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,040
so again we've pushed straight up into here
790
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:44,240
i wouldn't i'm just debating whether or not to kind of it's a bit late now but
791
00:47:44,240 --> 00:47:47,359
take a cell limit here but it's a clean purchase kind of further down in the leg
792
00:47:47,359 --> 00:47:50,240
it didn't sweep liquidity right it didn't suit this high it could be just
793
00:47:50,240 --> 00:47:53,520
inducement for above so i'd prefer to sell from this zone up here actually
794
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:57,680
because that was the last mitigation so let's put a limit on that
795
00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,200
okay and then we can really hedge this market both ways so let's see where the
796
00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:04,079
25 is
797
00:48:05,359 --> 00:48:11,200
okay there we go cool give that a little bit of a buffer
798
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:15,920
let's see if we can clear this supply or not
799
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:19,040
it doesn't look too good yeah it looks like that supplies gonna hold
800
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:23,280
oh we're just about in so if i was looking for
801
00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:26,720
a bullish changer character right you would need to see this high go first um
802
00:48:26,720 --> 00:48:29,520
but i would probably say with this reaction price is pretty damn volatile
803
00:48:29,520 --> 00:48:34,839
in the moment oh we haven't been taken out yet
804
00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:39,200
okay so
805
00:48:39,839 --> 00:48:44,720
we still yeah i'm going to delete this tool just so uh
806
00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:47,920
never mind so essentially the change cache i is looking for right price has
807
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,720
come down let's pull back up and then this is a
808
00:48:50,720 --> 00:48:53,520
straight push down and then
809
00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,720
essentially this is our most recent it'll be this inside bar right is our
810
00:48:56,720 --> 00:49:01,119
most recent internal high uh because price has not broken the high or the low
811
00:49:01,119 --> 00:49:04,400
since then so we haven't had a change of character this is not an internal high
812
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,920
right we would need to see this high go for there to be a bullish chalk we've
813
00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:11,680
kind of already tapped into this i probably would expect this to now fail
814
00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:16,000
so i'm happy to leave the order up here um this is looking like quite a weak
815
00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:19,599
reaction we already reacted above it and then pushed down below and closed below
816
00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:22,960
so actually technically we do now have a flip zone so it's getting pretty messy
817
00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:26,319
here um so we could just tap into this and die but yeah certainly something i
818
00:49:26,319 --> 00:49:31,520
want to short from or long into so let's see what happens i think we are probably
819
00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:34,800
gonna get stopped out
820
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:38,400
our spread hours we still in the trade
821
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,640
just about
822
00:49:44,720 --> 00:49:48,160
okay i've just realized so we've taken out this low here right with that spread
823
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:51,599
spike which then means our most recent eternal high then becomes here at our
824
00:49:51,599 --> 00:49:55,280
nearest high we've then broken that high so now had a bullish change of character
825
00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:58,960
and essentially we just pulled back very subtly but we've pulled back into demand
826
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:01,839
all right so i'll draw that one so you guys can see right we took this low out
827
00:50:01,839 --> 00:50:04,960
here which then means
828
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:08,079
this becomes our
829
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:13,680
internal high so let's see uh it's a bit tricky to see in the sun ng4
830
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:17,119
but i think that one right it's not drawing properly for me but you
831
00:50:17,119 --> 00:50:20,880
guys can see it alright and then pull back down into
832
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:24,400
this essentially cell to buy here right we tapped into that and then we've
833
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:27,839
pushed up away so that could have been a cheeky entry but yeah we'll leave that
834
00:50:27,839 --> 00:50:30,400
for now it's not super high probability and bang in the middle of the asian
835
00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:34,559
session um just about in this long yeah i'm still
836
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:37,520
going to leave my order up here see if we can get tagged into the last
837
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,599
mitigation up here i'm viewing this as pretty much already mitigated same here
838
00:50:41,599 --> 00:50:43,920
as this as well um
839
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:47,040
you know we do have supply here but i'm not going to short from that
840
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,680
it's just very very messy this point probably wait until london and see what
841
00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:53,280
happens probably gonna get stopped out yeah there we go not to worry okay let's
842
00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:57,200
see if we can clearly close below cool so close below now
843
00:50:57,200 --> 00:51:00,240
so that means that this yeah this four hour zone has completely
844
00:51:00,240 --> 00:51:03,680
failed so i'd say definitely next targets we're now looking to come
845
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:06,640
down into around this
846
00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:10,400
uh region here i've only got tiny volume left on my
847
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,960
cells from the top so i'm going to probably take profit for those once we
848
00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:15,920
get down to four hour demand um i'll just let those runners i think it's
849
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:18,960
about 20 of each position left maybe even less so yeah we'll let those run
850
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:22,160
down to here for our demands failed so yeah definitely expecting price to come
851
00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:26,960
down lower we have some other pois right we have this level up here um i'm not
852
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:30,160
just going to keep the charts nice and clear and then if we can get for our
853
00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:33,599
closure below we'll obviously have this poi as well so if we look at the m15
854
00:51:33,599 --> 00:51:37,200
where can we scale in i'm going to cancel this order for a minute
855
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:41,760
all right so we're looking up here delete these
856
00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:45,040
okay just follow the mitigations right so we've come into this supply zone that
857
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:47,920
one i pointed out but yeah way too aggressive for me really to want to
858
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,240
trade from but it makes sense you can see you
859
00:51:50,240 --> 00:51:55,040
follow the mitigations um and then we push down so technically this becomes in
860
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,559
a flip zone so we have this extreme up here all right let's take the whole buy
861
00:51:58,559 --> 00:52:03,119
to sell that would be nice that's the last mitigation right swept this high
862
00:52:03,119 --> 00:52:06,800
um and push down
863
00:52:07,599 --> 00:52:11,440
but we're coming into london sessions so we may not pull back too deep so let's
864
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:15,200
put on actually fancy not that one but here
865
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:18,480
now this one arguably doesn't look like it swept
866
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:22,000
right pull back pull back pull back let's see
867
00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:24,960
did it sweep the high
868
00:52:25,599 --> 00:52:28,720
just about right so you see this candle here that i've got my mouse on these
869
00:52:28,720 --> 00:52:32,079
candles here just swept that high so technically for me that is a sweep zone
870
00:52:32,079 --> 00:52:35,839
and it's a flip zone right because it reacted from
871
00:52:35,839 --> 00:52:39,359
essentially this demand here i reacted swept that high pushed down and we took
872
00:52:39,359 --> 00:52:42,240
out these lows here for our demand has now failed we're coming into the london
873
00:52:42,240 --> 00:52:45,839
session so yeah i'd be happy to trade from either of these really
874
00:52:45,839 --> 00:52:49,839
let's put a limit on uh i'll tell you what we'll go on
875
00:52:49,839 --> 00:52:52,880
both just because i'd be happy to take losses here so
876
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:56,160
we'll put one off for now we'll see if price comes up to us
877
00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:59,040
that looks like quite a small zone so i probably wouldn't refine it yes less
878
00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:02,640
than three pips so um
879
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:07,520
yeah i don't really wanna okay we'll keep that there
880
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,960
cool okay uh
881
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:14,880
yeah just check everything's right four cool let's go
882
00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:19,040
okay zoom out a little bit yeah it looks like we've got a pretty
883
00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:22,240
clean movement now all the way down towards here so this is looking pretty
884
00:53:22,240 --> 00:53:24,800
good but i'm cautious we could come back up a
885
00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:29,640
bit higher so let's pose forward see what happens
886
00:53:29,839 --> 00:53:34,000
ah okay being stopped out
887
00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:38,880
okay let's put a limit on the one above might be coming up a bit higher
888
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:44,160
how big is that 4.6 okay we can use the fib tool
889
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:53,400
boom okay cool so pushed up higher let's delete this
890
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:59,520
ah yeah that's coming at us
891
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,599
okay so what do we react to we reacted to
892
00:54:03,599 --> 00:54:07,200
uh that biter cell but yeah i never would have sat in a
893
00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:10,400
children on that it's you know ugly it's a flip zone because it's flipped this
894
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,440
range but it didn't sweep liquidity it's not clear at all right there that's not
895
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:16,240
something i put order on it just it is what it is priced up these highs here
896
00:54:16,240 --> 00:54:19,359
tapped into the buy to sell and that's giving enough orders but what do we have
897
00:54:19,359 --> 00:54:21,599
right this is what i mean don't get pissed off if you miss a move or you
898
00:54:21,599 --> 00:54:25,119
take a loss reassess what's happened well we've swept this high we mitigated
899
00:54:25,119 --> 00:54:29,920
a buy to sell that's the last mitigation uh let's cancel that order from now
900
00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:33,760
um let's follow price down okay so
901
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,839
we have that sweep so this becomes our sweep
902
00:54:37,839 --> 00:54:41,119
zone right that's a nice zone so i'll be happy to
903
00:54:41,119 --> 00:54:44,960
sell them on that stop behind the high
904
00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,760
cool i mean you can eyeball this right so when i'm back testing i eyeball it i
905
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:50,480
try and be a little bit quicker right if i'm just kind of practicing i'm not too
906
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:53,599
bothered about the stats right i just kind of eyeball roughly where 25 is just
907
00:54:53,599 --> 00:54:56,720
for the sake of time and you guys can do that but i'm just trying to show you now
908
00:54:56,720 --> 00:55:00,000
kind of how to be consistent with this so we're approaching for our demand but
909
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:03,119
not just there yet so i'm going to continue to look for cells
910
00:55:03,119 --> 00:55:07,280
hopefully price can pull back almost there now i wouldn't really want to sell
911
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:12,559
on that it's not clean at all but maybe we won't trade higher okay
912
00:55:12,559 --> 00:55:15,920
did we tap into for our demand not yet potentially we're reacting from that
913
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:18,480
doji um
914
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:22,319
let's continue to play price forward okay so we've tapped into the previous
915
00:55:22,319 --> 00:55:25,680
buy to sell here right this range and we're pushing down let's see if we can
916
00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:28,880
get into for our demand i'm not
917
00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:32,000
that looks like we have yeah we have we tapped into it now so i'm going to take
918
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,400
uh well i'm going to close these actually because we are counter trends
919
00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:37,040
so i think the four hour high low is a good chance
920
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:43,280
all right the four hour trend will continue uh until it doesn't so because
921
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,520
i'm just thinking what i'm debating whether or not yeah we've tapped into
922
00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:48,400
friday demand so i don't really want to now leave my order on there
923
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:52,960
um so i'm going to cancel that let's
924
00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:59,200
make this appear properly on the m15 cool so what i want to do now is i'm
925
00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:02,079
just going to check if there are any refined zones in that four-hour demand
926
00:56:02,079 --> 00:56:06,720
zone to see if we could potentially set a risk entry on okay
927
00:56:06,720 --> 00:56:10,960
so we took that long from down here there's nothing yeah so that would only
928
00:56:10,960 --> 00:56:13,359
really be the zone i'd be interested in to be honest with you is this last
929
00:56:13,359 --> 00:56:17,359
mitigation down here all right so we drag that across
930
00:56:17,359 --> 00:56:20,880
now the reason why i'd be interested in this is because this is the four hour
931
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:24,160
swing low in fact i'll show you
932
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:29,839
right this for me is a four hour swing low that was just a minor pullback so if
933
00:56:29,839 --> 00:56:32,720
the four hour buddhist trend is going to continue it should continue from this
934
00:56:32,720 --> 00:56:37,040
candle it's also a sweep zone right because it swept the liquidity behind
935
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:39,680
these lows here
936
00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:43,599
okay um so yeah like i said it's pro trend
937
00:56:43,599 --> 00:56:46,799
we've found a refined zone um i'm going to be happy to
938
00:56:46,799 --> 00:56:50,880
set my orders there so let's put by limits not by stop
939
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:55,040
stop below the low okay now i mean you can be a little bit
940
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,280
more i'll tell you what will be a bit because it is a risk entry we'll put it
941
00:56:57,280 --> 00:57:01,040
below the four-hour so below the box just in case uh something eight pips
942
00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:03,599
anyway and the wrist was on our side right we're going to catch that for our
943
00:57:03,599 --> 00:57:08,720
halo this is the place to do it now because we have again remember this
944
00:57:08,720 --> 00:57:12,160
movement up here was a sweep of those extreme daily highs since you have that
945
00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:17,200
daily supply zone um you know you always have to be in mind that if the ferrari
946
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:20,319
is going to switch bearish and this is a time in which you can do i'm personally
947
00:57:20,319 --> 00:57:23,200
happy to just keep training with the four-hour trend until it changes i don't
948
00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:26,240
you know i don't try and get too clever with the market because a lot of times
949
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:29,200
the trend will continue for much longer than you think but if you aren't sure
950
00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:31,520
and you don't necessarily want to keep being aggressive with these pro trend
951
00:57:31,520 --> 00:57:35,839
trades i sent a risk entry like this is you can either wait for you know the m15
952
00:57:35,839 --> 00:57:38,559
to switch british or you could wait for a four hour buddhist change of character
953
00:57:38,559 --> 00:57:41,920
etc right but because it's pro-trained i'm just going to be happy to be pretty
954
00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:46,000
aggressive here and take the loss now the other thing you could do if if you
955
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:48,720
want to be aggressive is also be aggressive with your shorts so you could
956
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:52,960
have left her order on here right this last sort of m15 entry order and then
957
00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:56,079
that way you are you know a little bit more hedged so
958
00:57:56,079 --> 00:58:00,559
assuming a little bit um just thinking if i want to sell from
959
00:58:00,559 --> 00:58:03,680
this no because it's way too neat for our demand
960
00:58:03,680 --> 00:58:06,400
okay ah i didn't type this in it's hit the
961
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,839
distal hopefully it comes lower
962
00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:14,640
okay so we haven't been tagged in right from the distal we've now had a
963
00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:18,720
bullish change of character okay i'm going to play it for one or
964
00:58:18,720 --> 00:58:21,920
four i just want to see price close above it okay now we've got a closure
965
00:58:21,920 --> 00:58:24,559
above so
966
00:58:24,559 --> 00:58:27,280
i'll draw it on
967
00:58:28,319 --> 00:58:33,119
this here becomes our british chalk right
968
00:58:33,119 --> 00:58:36,079
it's a straight line right just imagine it's a nice straight line this does my
969
00:58:36,079 --> 00:58:40,400
head in mt4 we had supply here all right so we reacted with this
970
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:44,559
bearish candle it's horribly drawn uh we pushed up so this is kind of where you
971
00:58:44,559 --> 00:58:46,640
have two options right if you want to look for a long we've now had a bullish
972
00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:50,240
change of character in four-hour demand it's pro-trend you either have this
973
00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:55,119
extreme zone here right that white box the way it's drawn it or you have this
974
00:58:55,119 --> 00:58:58,160
decisional flip zone right now
975
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:02,079
what do we know that can increase the probability or or another way to phrase
976
00:59:02,079 --> 00:59:04,880
the question is if you're not sure
977
00:59:04,880 --> 00:59:08,319
when you have two zones whether to take the flip or the extreme remember that
978
00:59:08,319 --> 00:59:11,040
rule that that you can use i don't personally use it as a strict
979
00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,119
requirement i like to use a little bit description here but for what i
980
00:59:13,119 --> 00:59:18,720
recommend you guys will use is if the flip sweeps liquidity excuse
981
00:59:18,720 --> 00:59:20,880
me then right it becomes a little higher
982
00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:24,720
probability to trade from the decision if the flip doesn't sweep liquidity then
983
00:59:24,720 --> 00:59:27,599
you can set your order on the extreme now in this case it doesn't sweep
984
00:59:27,599 --> 00:59:31,680
liquidity so if you restrict you would set it down here right but
985
00:59:31,680 --> 00:59:34,400
i personally i like to be a bit more aggressive and
986
00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:37,440
you're a dollar i don't have it as a strict requirement so
987
00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:40,319
i'd be happy to take this flip here and then
988
00:59:40,319 --> 00:59:42,960
um what you can do right and sometimes i'll
989
00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:45,599
do this but again i don't necessarily want to recommend it because it's a bit
990
00:59:45,599 --> 00:59:48,160
riskier is because we're training from the four
991
00:59:48,160 --> 00:59:52,640
hour extreme demand zone it's pro trend right if if this four-hour train is
992
00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:55,760
going to continue it has to continue from here when it's in areas like that
993
00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:58,160
i'm happy to be quite aggressive so i'm going to cancel this order because the
994
00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:02,160
zone's already been mitigated with a decent reaction right um so what you can
995
01:00:02,160 --> 01:00:04,319
do again i don't necessarily recommend this
996
01:00:04,319 --> 01:00:07,599
is you can trade both so you can set limits on both or another option is to
997
01:00:07,599 --> 01:00:11,520
set a limit on one and play a reaction from the other so what i mean by that is
998
01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:15,359
you would set i'm just gonna use the 25 rule again is you would set your limit
999
01:00:15,359 --> 01:00:18,079
on here right
1000
01:00:18,079 --> 01:00:21,359
so you put a buy limit like this
1001
01:00:21,839 --> 01:00:25,200
now what you can also do right if you get stopped is then play the reaction to
1002
01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:27,680
this you would look press come into it give you another bullish change of
1003
01:00:27,680 --> 01:00:30,559
character and then you trade the reaction because otherwise you know if
1004
01:00:30,559 --> 01:00:33,520
this is failing you could take two losses in a row which you know a lot of
1005
01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:36,640
people that doesn't really meet their risk tolerance so i'm gonna set one
1006
01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:41,640
there let's just see if we get tapped into
1007
01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:51,440
okay i'm not going to change the risk management just yet because
1008
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:55,520
we're barely running two and a half percent
1009
01:00:55,520 --> 01:00:57,839
um
1010
01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:00,720
okay yeah we're gonna yeah that doesn't look good because now we've taken out
1011
01:01:00,720 --> 01:01:04,240
the reaction right it's pretty much obviously gonna fail so at this point
1012
01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:07,760
let's see what happens in this kernel yeah we're out so you could set an entry
1013
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:11,920
order on the extreme um
1014
01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:15,599
don't screw it i'm gonna do it just because i like this level is the
1015
01:01:15,599 --> 01:01:18,079
extreme whenever it's the extreme and it's pro trend i do like to be
1016
01:01:18,079 --> 01:01:20,880
reasonably aggressive here like i was saying right you could wait for a price
1017
01:01:20,880 --> 01:01:26,160
to come in and then trade a uh trader reaction
1018
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:29,359
so essentially trade the confirmation entry so there's a certain limit here
1019
01:01:29,359 --> 01:01:33,920
uh let's go cool ah session timing spread out so i'm
1020
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:37,440
going to cancel that i didn't notice that let's put it forward a little bit
1021
01:01:37,440 --> 01:01:41,359
until okay we can set it back on
1022
01:01:42,160 --> 01:01:46,640
try and speed this up a little bit i'm gonna go a little bit quicker okay
1023
01:01:46,640 --> 01:01:52,480
as best i can so let's play this forward nothing's going on yet just trading
1024
01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:55,680
between the internal high and low
1025
01:01:56,000 --> 01:01:59,680
ah doesn't look like it's going to come back okay i'm gonna cancel that order
1026
01:01:59,680 --> 01:02:04,480
so yeah london's opened up now we've got a pretty decent reaction from from um
1027
01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:09,599
for our demand but we do have this supplies in here right
1028
01:02:09,599 --> 01:02:14,319
so we have to be aware of that coming into which is this level here so
1029
01:02:14,319 --> 01:02:19,520
on m15 let's look at some pois we can be uh mindful of
1030
01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:21,839
all right we've got this level here there's high impact news coming out
1031
01:02:21,839 --> 01:02:24,799
what's coming up uh ecb so yeah definitely want to be training through
1032
01:02:24,799 --> 01:02:28,400
that but we can just observe what happens right so yeah if you did leave
1033
01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:32,079
this order on this level here that we were looking at earlier remember
1034
01:02:32,079 --> 01:02:34,880
um you know that's quite an aggressive level because obviously training against
1035
01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:38,559
four hour demand and counter trend then uh
1036
01:02:38,559 --> 01:02:41,760
you would probably definitely want to cancel that coming into ecb would be my
1037
01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:45,119
opinion but let's see what happens i'm not gonna find any orders until ecb is
1038
01:02:45,119 --> 01:02:48,799
out of the way now it's quite a small reaction for ecb
1039
01:02:48,799 --> 01:02:51,920
actually okay we've pushed downs all right so yeah
1040
01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:55,119
that would have worked out beautifully if you had to get the order on um but
1041
01:02:55,119 --> 01:02:59,920
you know who cares right you want to be doing uh what is going to give you
1042
01:02:59,920 --> 01:03:03,039
uh you know what is best long term for consistent
1043
01:03:03,039 --> 01:03:06,240
and professional trading and it's not going to be leaving orders on coming
1044
01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:09,520
into a extremely high impact news event like a rate announcement on the pair
1045
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,160
you're training because you have to think about if you've got a
1046
01:03:12,160 --> 01:03:16,160
seven figure account and you get slipped on a two pip or three pip stop or even a
1047
01:03:16,160 --> 01:03:19,839
five pip stop right you know that's serious serious
1048
01:03:19,839 --> 01:03:22,319
damage you're not gonna do that so even if you might do it in your thousand
1049
01:03:22,319 --> 01:03:25,280
pound or thousand dollar account you need to be thinking and treating it as
1050
01:03:25,280 --> 01:03:28,960
if it has an extra five zeros on the end right and you wouldn't do that um most
1051
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:32,559
likely so you can see right we've come into that four hour demand that's a very
1052
01:03:32,559 --> 01:03:35,119
big aggressive reaction right close back below
1053
01:03:35,119 --> 01:03:38,640
that low so this looks like it's probably gonna get smashed now but
1054
01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:42,000
uh we'll see um
1055
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:45,119
see i mean we still so what i'm thinking of okay is i'm looking at where are the
1056
01:03:45,119 --> 01:03:48,400
pois and which we can trade because the four hour is still bullish we've come
1057
01:03:48,400 --> 01:03:52,480
off the extreme but we are reacting to the supply zone and i'm cautious of you
1058
01:03:52,480 --> 01:03:54,880
know what again this is really key what's happening up here we've swept
1059
01:03:54,880 --> 01:03:58,319
those big daily highs in daily supply and we're pulling back now we've had a
1060
01:03:58,319 --> 01:04:01,520
reaction from four hour demand so if this starts to kind of push down and
1061
01:04:01,520 --> 01:04:04,400
close below this low then it's very likely that this low is probably going
1062
01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:06,960
to fail because demands failed right there's four hour demands failed and
1063
01:04:06,960 --> 01:04:09,039
we're going to come down lower at that point and then the four hour would
1064
01:04:09,039 --> 01:04:12,480
switch burst if that happens but it hasn't happened so this is what i say
1065
01:04:12,480 --> 01:04:16,079
and i have to remind myself every week don't try and get too clever just
1066
01:04:16,079 --> 01:04:18,799
blindly assume the trend is going to continue until it doesn't
1067
01:04:18,799 --> 01:04:21,920
right so what that means is it's still bullish so let's look for long so what
1068
01:04:21,920 --> 01:04:25,599
i'm looking at is all of these lows here
1069
01:04:25,599 --> 01:04:29,520
that's been mitigated that was a nice something in my eye
1070
01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:32,480
a nice sweep zone there
1071
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:35,200
all right it's not drawn very well but yeah there we go swept that zone we
1072
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:39,039
moved up we mitigated this level so potentially we may see
1073
01:04:39,039 --> 01:04:44,160
a long from here what's the time coming into new york
1074
01:04:44,160 --> 01:04:46,960
excuse me but we've come off supply a lot of reaction we've got a bearish
1075
01:04:46,960 --> 01:04:50,000
change of character if i was going to be kind of aggressive
1076
01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:53,520
i'd probably prefer to take the extreme hair
1077
01:04:53,520 --> 01:04:56,000
i don't really fancy training against that
1078
01:04:56,000 --> 01:04:59,520
uh if anything i'd be looking for a short from up here
1079
01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:02,640
because that was the last mitigation from the sweep zone it swept these highs
1080
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:05,760
here see i'm gonna whack so limit on that
1081
01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:08,480
okay so again this is me being reasonably aggressive but
1082
01:05:08,480 --> 01:05:12,319
there are times when to do it and when not to do it for me this is when to do
1083
01:05:12,319 --> 01:05:14,720
it because price action
1084
01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:19,119
has got some nice clear pois to trade from get nice big expansive moves so i'm
1085
01:05:19,119 --> 01:05:22,240
happy to kind of trade these because if i get short from here there's plenty of
1086
01:05:22,240 --> 01:05:24,799
risk to roll down towards the load if i get long from here there's you know
1087
01:05:24,799 --> 01:05:27,760
decent enough risk to ward up towards the supply zone but when they're very
1088
01:05:27,760 --> 01:05:31,039
you know bunched together in a tight range that's not really
1089
01:05:31,039 --> 01:05:34,400
the time in which you want to be doing it okay so
1090
01:05:34,400 --> 01:05:36,400
yeah i'm not going to take a long from this just because i don't like how
1091
01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:39,599
strong that reaction is from the for our supply zone but um i'll tell you what
1092
01:05:39,599 --> 01:05:43,039
we'll play a no we'll be we'll continue to be consistent
1093
01:05:43,039 --> 01:05:45,280
this is one thing i try and preach as well as right is if you're going to be
1094
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:48,000
aggressive you always need to be aggressive you can't kind of chop and
1095
01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:51,440
change you need to keep your foot on the gas so that
1096
01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:53,839
uh when being aggressive pays off it pays
1097
01:05:53,839 --> 01:05:56,559
off big and when it you know it doesn't pay off then you continue taking those
1098
01:05:56,559 --> 01:05:58,880
losses but you keep going with it because if you suddenly take a few
1099
01:05:58,880 --> 01:06:01,839
losses and then you get scared what's going to happen is you then going to
1100
01:06:01,839 --> 01:06:04,960
miss those wins right that should have been part of your probability model so
1101
01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:08,240
yeah i'm aware that this is a low it's the last mitigation after that
1102
01:06:08,240 --> 01:06:11,280
sweep but uh i just think these lows here are gonna get smashed and we can
1103
01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:14,400
come down into the extreme uh so yeah let's let's play this forward and see
1104
01:06:14,400 --> 01:06:17,760
how we go into new york okay so i didn't get tagged in that's
1105
01:06:17,760 --> 01:06:20,720
very very messy now
1106
01:06:21,119 --> 01:06:24,000
let's see let's let's leave both of them both
1107
01:06:24,000 --> 01:06:28,240
there's a hedge okay we're in a long decent reaction from that
1108
01:06:28,240 --> 01:06:31,240
um
1109
01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:37,680
so i was just looking at that okay cool so okay now we're in the shorts now
1110
01:06:37,680 --> 01:06:41,599
we've got a hedge from both sides if we take out this high
1111
01:06:41,599 --> 01:06:44,559
um yeah then i think we're probably going a
1112
01:06:44,559 --> 01:06:48,400
fair bit higher and potentially this for our suppliers i may fail so this is
1113
01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:52,240
pretty good so i mean play the extremes both sweep zones um you know you've got
1114
01:06:52,240 --> 01:06:55,119
the market hedge both sides now and hopefully we can profit
1115
01:06:55,119 --> 01:06:58,640
either way which it wants to break out now
1116
01:06:58,640 --> 01:07:00,880
if you hadn't set your entry order up here
1117
01:07:00,880 --> 01:07:03,520
what would we have we have a bearish change of character because we've come
1118
01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:06,880
down and we've taken the slow here
1119
01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:10,000
all right just imagine that's a straight line
1120
01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:12,880
all right that was the last pullback came up mitigated supply you calm down
1121
01:07:12,880 --> 01:07:15,599
and have a brief change of character we now have a flip zone as well right
1122
01:07:15,599 --> 01:07:19,839
because this level here was demand and then this would be the base of your
1123
01:07:19,839 --> 01:07:23,520
reaction to the top all right it's a sweep zone as well right swept the high
1124
01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:26,319
liquidity behind there so this would be escalating i'll tell you what just
1125
01:07:26,319 --> 01:07:29,839
purely for the purposes of this
1126
01:07:30,079 --> 01:07:33,920
this video right because i kind of just want to show you
1127
01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:36,960
just some trades just for the sake of it right i wouldn't necessarily do this
1128
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:41,200
live if i was already scaled in with no no um
1129
01:07:41,200 --> 01:07:45,200
uh risk removed but yeah screw it so
1130
01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:49,520
i could get absolutely slapped here but oh well
1131
01:07:49,520 --> 01:07:55,440
okay so we tapped the distal yeah i'm gonna pull that order now
1132
01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:59,440
okay um so what we have now so far right is this
1133
01:07:59,440 --> 01:08:02,160
where we've got long all right the reaction is a weak low because it's
1134
01:08:02,160 --> 01:08:04,720
failed to take out this high uh
1135
01:08:04,720 --> 01:08:06,640
so yeah i wouldn't be looking at long
1136
01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:09,280
entries from here if you went on already i'm just gonna leave the hedges and see
1137
01:08:09,280 --> 01:08:14,319
which way price wants to break out we're in spread hours now as well
1138
01:08:15,039 --> 01:08:18,640
okay just wait for this range to break out essentially
1139
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:22,080
okay and we got stopped out on the short that's just fine so
1140
01:08:22,080 --> 01:08:24,880
all right we still have this for our supply zone we have had a decent
1141
01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:28,480
reaction from it so you know technically if the four hour closes above this high
1142
01:08:28,480 --> 01:08:32,000
that is a failed reaction which is not a not a good sign for shorts
1143
01:08:32,000 --> 01:08:35,359
um we got the long
1144
01:08:35,839 --> 01:08:38,319
i'll take a little bit of partials but i don't want to take much off because it's
1145
01:08:38,319 --> 01:08:41,920
pro trend so we are running decent decent profit
1146
01:08:41,920 --> 01:08:44,719
though uh
1147
01:08:45,279 --> 01:08:48,400
i'm just thinking it's pro trend but we're coming into four hour supply we're
1148
01:08:48,400 --> 01:08:53,520
just taking m15 high i don't want to take off too much but
1149
01:08:53,520 --> 01:08:58,080
let's take off half we'll take off off pay ourselves
1150
01:08:58,159 --> 01:09:04,960
okay cool so let's zoom out with m15 we have this supply zone above
1151
01:09:05,440 --> 01:09:08,719
all right um
1152
01:09:08,719 --> 01:09:11,440
so that's still nested within the four-hour supply zone this is kind of
1153
01:09:11,440 --> 01:09:15,440
the extreme right series of mitigations uh so yeah let's put a risk entry on
1154
01:09:15,440 --> 01:09:17,679
that
1155
01:09:18,159 --> 01:09:21,839
i want to buy to sell
1156
01:09:24,080 --> 01:09:28,880
cool okay i can zoom back in
1157
01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:32,799
so it's looking like yeah potentially these highs here are
1158
01:09:32,799 --> 01:09:37,199
liquidity for this high here now this is still quite aggressive trade i'll put
1159
01:09:37,199 --> 01:09:39,920
the trade on so you know what i'm talking about because it's counted a
1160
01:09:39,920 --> 01:09:43,440
four-hour trend right it's looking up for our demand is holding but you see
1161
01:09:43,440 --> 01:09:46,880
the way we've had this it's just that to me looks like a correct pullback you see
1162
01:09:46,880 --> 01:09:51,040
this impulsive movement down corrective pullback it doesn't look that strong so
1163
01:09:51,040 --> 01:09:54,800
this is where i'm happy to kind of you know still be looking for shorts
1164
01:09:54,800 --> 01:09:57,920
especially when we're in a long right so we're going to hedge it both ways but
1165
01:09:57,920 --> 01:10:01,360
the big big reason behind this is because of this movement here like this
1166
01:10:01,360 --> 01:10:05,040
is really significant right when we swept that daily high in daily supply um
1167
01:10:05,040 --> 01:10:09,199
you know there's a lot of weight behind that so we'll set that cell there but it
1168
01:10:09,199 --> 01:10:11,760
is quite aggressive so actually what would probably be better
1169
01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:15,120
but we can do it if it happens as well is you would wait for price to tap in
1170
01:10:15,120 --> 01:10:18,880
you can trade a confirmation at you from here okay but coming into london
1171
01:10:18,880 --> 01:10:21,840
see how we go okay yeah probably would have been better to wait for combination
1172
01:10:21,840 --> 01:10:27,360
confirmation tree probably gonna get slapped here just about held in
1173
01:10:27,360 --> 01:10:30,719
that trade higher yeah that trip that candle traded higher
1174
01:10:30,719 --> 01:10:32,960
than a prior candle so the reason was looking at that was just to see if we
1175
01:10:32,960 --> 01:10:37,360
were going to get a chuck here but the most recent act of internal low for me
1176
01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:40,400
is this candle here so this thing stand but we need to see this low go to get a
1177
01:10:40,400 --> 01:10:43,800
bearish chalk
1178
01:10:46,480 --> 01:10:49,520
okay it looks like it's paying out pretty nicely
1179
01:10:49,520 --> 01:10:51,840
uh i'm not gonna yeah i'm gonna leave the management of this long so i've
1180
01:10:51,840 --> 01:10:55,520
already taken 50 it's pro trend don't really want to cut myself too short any
1181
01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:59,199
more than that in case it does break out higher
1182
01:10:59,199 --> 01:11:02,400
okay there was a zone here so
1183
01:11:02,400 --> 01:11:05,440
it's not great but essentially if you if you really want to get short from here
1184
01:11:05,440 --> 01:11:08,080
but you're waiting for the confirmation entry and you didn't get it
1185
01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:10,719
right where's the first reaction we get a reaction here so you can make sense of
1186
01:11:10,719 --> 01:11:14,960
it what do we have we have essentially this supply zone here i drag
1187
01:11:14,960 --> 01:11:18,000
it across all right you can see this is a buy to
1188
01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:22,000
sell then price comes into it right from these cells to buy works here
1189
01:11:22,000 --> 01:11:25,679
it reacts pushes down and then pushes up right so this is demand here
1190
01:11:25,679 --> 01:11:29,120
and then what do we have we now have supply here
1191
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:31,760
right it's very aggressive there's no structural liquidity it's not a sweep
1192
01:11:31,760 --> 01:11:35,840
zone etc etc but if you really wanted to get in right this could be a good level
1193
01:11:35,840 --> 01:11:39,199
but we are coming into high impact news we've got ppi so it wouldn't necessarily
1194
01:11:39,199 --> 01:11:42,480
be the best ppi's not the biggest event in the world but still high tech news on
1195
01:11:42,480 --> 01:11:45,760
the left and there we go yeah you get slapped so actually that was quite poor
1196
01:11:45,760 --> 01:11:49,280
analysis on my behalf because remember this was the active internal low we
1197
01:11:49,280 --> 01:11:51,440
hadn't yet had a british change of character
1198
01:11:51,440 --> 01:11:54,880
and price has come into this decision here so yeah completely
1199
01:11:54,880 --> 01:11:57,199
missed that and this is the problem right charts are getting very very messy
1200
01:11:57,199 --> 01:12:01,360
now um and also this is reasonably aggressive training but yeah we'll
1201
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:04,960
delete that um all right i have to think about management again so i'm going to
1202
01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:08,480
leave the long here right we're taking 50 off this is the short from the
1203
01:12:08,480 --> 01:12:11,840
extreme that's for our supply so i'm pretty happy with this because if this
1204
01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:14,400
supplier is going to hold then i've got in right from the top of it and if it
1205
01:12:14,400 --> 01:12:17,199
fails i get stopped out it is what it is becoming higher and we're already in the
1206
01:12:17,199 --> 01:12:20,400
long um
1207
01:12:20,560 --> 01:12:22,800
we haven't had a barrel change of character so technically this is a weak
1208
01:12:22,800 --> 01:12:25,760
high so it probably is going to get run let's see what happens
1209
01:12:25,760 --> 01:12:31,440
news okay we've continued to the downside
1210
01:12:31,440 --> 01:12:35,120
okay so now i'd probably be looking at this high here
1211
01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:38,400
right if you went in because this has now we've got our
1212
01:12:38,400 --> 01:12:41,440
bearish change of character this has done what it's pulled back
1213
01:12:41,440 --> 01:12:44,880
right it's reacted from demand okay so again i want to make this really clear
1214
01:12:44,880 --> 01:12:47,120
because i know it's quite hard to see on mt4 especially if you're not used to
1215
01:12:47,120 --> 01:12:50,400
this this price action it can be a bit hard to follow so let's try and go
1216
01:12:50,400 --> 01:12:53,760
through high time rates again right we swept the daily high
1217
01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:57,520
we had an aggressive move back down the four-hour chart is currently bullish we
1218
01:12:57,520 --> 01:13:01,040
can zoom in right this is our current swing low so we had our bearish change
1219
01:13:01,040 --> 01:13:04,320
of character and we look for sales on the way down right we looked for
1220
01:13:04,320 --> 01:13:07,679
something along some decisional demand uh probably i think we took a few losses
1221
01:13:07,679 --> 01:13:10,719
there can't quite remember we then came down into our extreme demand zone which
1222
01:13:10,719 --> 01:13:15,040
we are currently long from right because we've got that uh i just have a look on
1223
01:13:15,040 --> 01:13:17,679
here we've got that
1224
01:13:17,679 --> 01:13:20,159
this move in here right we had an order on the extreme but it didn't quite take
1225
01:13:20,159 --> 01:13:23,760
us in on 25 we then moved up we had a bullish change
1226
01:13:23,760 --> 01:13:27,120
of character confirming off for our poi so we looked for an entry from the
1227
01:13:27,120 --> 01:13:31,120
decisional flip zone we got stopped out not to worry so we set a limit on the
1228
01:13:31,120 --> 01:13:34,560
extreme down here but we then got tagged in took a few losses on the hedges short
1229
01:13:34,560 --> 01:13:37,280
that's fine so we're currently long from there
1230
01:13:37,280 --> 01:13:40,400
uh let's just put that back
1231
01:13:44,080 --> 01:13:47,760
okay uh then we took a short from the extreme within that for our supply zone
1232
01:13:47,760 --> 01:13:50,320
so we're kind of playing you see the ping pong of this we're seeing which way
1233
01:13:50,320 --> 01:13:53,199
does the floor i kind of want to continue right
1234
01:13:53,199 --> 01:13:55,840
so that's why buying from buying from the bottom extreme and starting from the
1235
01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:58,480
top stream is always going to be a highest probability and this is why when
1236
01:13:58,480 --> 01:14:01,199
you mess around in the middle you see i'm taking losses right that's the
1237
01:14:01,199 --> 01:14:04,960
reason why um then this was yeah that was a dumb trade that i pointed out
1238
01:14:04,960 --> 01:14:08,800
ignore that really it's a flip but at that point right price had pushed up
1239
01:14:08,800 --> 01:14:12,239
this whole leg here all of these candles break the prior candles high right
1240
01:14:12,239 --> 01:14:15,520
that's all part of the up move so when price pulls back down to this point we
1241
01:14:15,520 --> 01:14:18,800
need this low here to go for there to be a bearish change of character right
1242
01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:23,199
price comes into demand it pushes up and then we get a break of the low so now
1243
01:14:23,199 --> 01:14:26,640
this red line that i'm about to draw is our bearish change of character right
1244
01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:29,440
giving us more confirmation maybe this poi is going to hold downs for our
1245
01:14:29,440 --> 01:14:33,920
supply we've reacted from demand we pushed up we swept the structural
1246
01:14:33,920 --> 01:14:38,320
liquidity behind this high here right because price came down it moved up and
1247
01:14:38,320 --> 01:14:41,679
it moved down so there's structural liquidity behind this high price came up
1248
01:14:41,679 --> 01:14:45,600
swept that liquidity and then pushed down so now essentially anywhere from
1249
01:14:45,600 --> 01:14:48,960
the base of this reaction to the top right that whole blue box that is
1250
01:14:48,960 --> 01:14:52,159
essentially your your your demand flipping to supply so you can get short
1251
01:14:52,159 --> 01:14:55,360
anywhere from in here obviously we want to refine it a little bit more than that
1252
01:14:55,360 --> 01:14:59,120
so i'm going to drag this up to quite messy and it's quite a big candle
1253
01:14:59,120 --> 01:15:04,480
we'll just take the whole bicep counter there we'll use a 25 on this
1254
01:15:04,480 --> 01:15:08,239
i'm not sure how many pips that is let's have a look uh solomon okay we're still
1255
01:15:08,239 --> 01:15:11,640
within the long
1256
01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:16,080
6.7 yes it's not too bad okay we'll accept that
1257
01:15:16,080 --> 01:15:20,159
right so let's see how we go over this now
1258
01:15:20,159 --> 01:15:23,360
okay tagged in
1259
01:15:23,360 --> 01:15:27,120
continue down right so it's getting quite messy right
1260
01:15:27,120 --> 01:15:32,159
we're quite range bound um what i'm going to do is i'm going to
1261
01:15:32,159 --> 01:15:35,360
still leave the stops open i'm not going to take any profits yet because we've
1262
01:15:35,360 --> 01:15:38,159
already taken 50 off the long i don't want to take off any more because it is
1263
01:15:38,159 --> 01:15:40,960
pro trend and we break out higher i don't really want to take much more off
1264
01:15:40,960 --> 01:15:43,679
than that and we're already in the shorts we're in too short but i'm not
1265
01:15:43,679 --> 01:15:46,960
going to manage these really until we can take out at least this internal low
1266
01:15:46,960 --> 01:15:50,080
here ideally
1267
01:15:50,239 --> 01:15:53,679
see how this goes i'm not interested in trading any of this because this is
1268
01:15:53,679 --> 01:15:57,360
technically well no it did take out that high we
1269
01:15:57,360 --> 01:16:00,719
could right if we get a confirmation issue from here
1270
01:16:00,719 --> 01:16:05,360
then i'll let to get involved right this is quite aggressive trading though
1271
01:16:05,360 --> 01:16:09,920
uh we pulled down we fall back up we've then taken out the low so
1272
01:16:09,920 --> 01:16:13,520
most recent internal high technically is that kind of there
1273
01:16:13,520 --> 01:16:16,159
because it failed to break this counters low so if we get break of that that
1274
01:16:16,159 --> 01:16:19,520
would be our chuck see what happens
1275
01:16:19,520 --> 01:16:23,679
oh spread ours yeah definitely looking for entries now
1276
01:16:24,800 --> 01:16:28,719
okay let's see if we can get another buddhist change of character
1277
01:16:28,960 --> 01:16:32,080
uh looking like we're gonna get stopped out
1278
01:16:32,080 --> 01:16:34,400
yeah that's that demands those files anyway so you see how we're taking out
1279
01:16:34,400 --> 01:16:38,960
that low uh so let's see if we can get this load to go another four hour low to
1280
01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:44,560
go uh and i'll start to manage those shorts
1281
01:16:44,560 --> 01:16:48,560
okay boom all right so let's drag this across are
1282
01:16:48,560 --> 01:16:51,120
we taking that out yeah all right yeah we've just whipped the
1283
01:16:51,120 --> 01:16:54,239
foil oh so we haven't had a bosch yet but i am going to take
1284
01:16:54,239 --> 01:16:57,880
some profits on these shorts uh
1285
01:16:57,880 --> 01:17:00,480
[Music] let's take off i don't want to take off
1286
01:17:00,480 --> 01:17:03,040
too much because it does look like because essentially what's happened here
1287
01:17:03,040 --> 01:17:06,960
is we've had a big reaction from demand we've pushed up and we've now clearly
1288
01:17:06,960 --> 01:17:11,120
broken below that reaction so that means that this demand has
1289
01:17:11,120 --> 01:17:13,199
flipped to supply so
1290
01:17:13,199 --> 01:17:17,840
i'm going to wait and see if we can get for our closure below
1291
01:17:17,920 --> 01:17:21,520
before we come into london is that kind of going to close below
1292
01:17:21,520 --> 01:17:26,560
let's see is it going to close just wait for the next candle to form
1293
01:17:26,560 --> 01:17:29,440
oh maybe it's going to close back up okay now it's closed okay so now we have
1294
01:17:29,440 --> 01:17:32,880
a bearish boss so now what i'm thinking is is
1295
01:17:32,880 --> 01:17:36,239
do i want to take partial profits off my shorts because
1296
01:17:36,239 --> 01:17:40,560
now the four hours which bearish i've got in on this lower high
1297
01:17:40,560 --> 01:17:42,719
you know there's potential now we could be coming
1298
01:17:42,719 --> 01:17:44,960
all the way down for these week daily lows
1299
01:17:44,960 --> 01:17:47,120
so
1300
01:17:47,440 --> 01:17:50,800
but yeah i'm just thinking out loud now um
1301
01:17:50,800 --> 01:17:53,840
but the problem is right is even though we are now training pro training we're
1302
01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:56,880
sure where our swing high is it's the highest
1303
01:17:56,880 --> 01:18:00,080
point it took out this low so we look back this is our four hour swing high up
1304
01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:03,600
here so what could happen in theory is price could pull the way back up stop us
1305
01:18:03,600 --> 01:18:06,719
out of these short positions come and mitigate this extreme line up here and
1306
01:18:06,719 --> 01:18:10,400
then continue down okay so i'm going to take some partials let's
1307
01:18:10,400 --> 01:18:13,440
show this let's close 50 percent on those
1308
01:18:13,440 --> 01:18:16,239
um [Music]
1309
01:18:16,239 --> 01:18:19,120
yeah we do i was just thinking of maybe going heavier on this on the second one
1310
01:18:19,120 --> 01:18:22,560
because we're lower down but yeah we'll just do 50 on that and then we'll see
1311
01:18:22,560 --> 01:18:25,120
how we go okay so let's have a bit of a
1312
01:18:25,120 --> 01:18:28,560
reassessment here so before i switch bearish we mitigated this level here so
1313
01:18:28,560 --> 01:18:32,960
this would be our last mitigation um so let's draw on
1314
01:18:32,960 --> 01:18:35,840
this zone here right this would be the zone that would be looking for price to
1315
01:18:35,840 --> 01:18:41,120
come back into to look to scale in uh which is this area here okay so we have
1316
01:18:41,120 --> 01:18:44,400
these levels this is why i'm you know price can come back in and stop us out
1317
01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:48,239
if it comes back up higher so i have to reassess uh we've just had a bus that
1318
01:18:48,239 --> 01:18:51,120
doesn't mean we're going to pull back straight away we have our next level of
1319
01:18:51,120 --> 01:18:54,560
clear demand down here right so we can kind of be quite
1320
01:18:54,560 --> 01:18:58,719
aggressive with cells until then so let's see what we have we have here on
1321
01:18:58,719 --> 01:19:02,800
m15 especially coming into london this is when right momentum is high
1322
01:19:02,800 --> 01:19:05,520
you don't have to wait for price to pull back you can put your foot on the gas
1323
01:19:05,520 --> 01:19:08,800
just be aware it is aggressive so you will take a firmware unless you're doing
1324
01:19:08,800 --> 01:19:12,400
this but um you know just get practice without when to do it right you can see
1325
01:19:12,400 --> 01:19:15,840
the momentum we've got uh yeah london session
1326
01:19:15,840 --> 01:19:18,960
let's put on let's put on this entry here
1327
01:19:18,960 --> 01:19:21,280
again i keep saying i'm going to speed it up and then i don't i feel like this
1328
01:19:21,280 --> 01:19:23,520
videos could go on for hours i'm trying to speed this up because i'm not even
1329
01:19:23,520 --> 01:19:26,320
halfway through the month just yet so limit
1330
01:19:26,320 --> 01:19:29,440
cool it's just i want to try and kind of really talk it through so rather than
1331
01:19:29,440 --> 01:19:32,560
you know me just whack on trades and you're not entirely sure why i want you
1332
01:19:32,560 --> 01:19:36,000
guys to try and understand as much as possible because it is quite hard to
1333
01:19:36,000 --> 01:19:39,199
follow with all this analysis on just mt4
1334
01:19:39,199 --> 01:19:44,560
okay so this is an aggressive trade but screw it let's follow the momentum
1335
01:19:45,120 --> 01:19:50,800
okay we're in wait for at least for the low to go before i manage this
1336
01:19:50,800 --> 01:19:56,800
uh hasn't gone yet okay now it's gone so this trades yeah 31. so you see how it's
1337
01:19:56,800 --> 01:20:00,960
running uh well almost seven percent well from
1338
01:20:00,960 --> 01:20:04,719
initial balance not from equity and because it's at the low this is what you
1339
01:20:04,719 --> 01:20:08,320
have to think about right where you are entering short yes it's pro pro trend
1340
01:20:08,320 --> 01:20:11,040
but look where we are within the leg right very easily before i could start
1341
01:20:11,040 --> 01:20:14,560
to pull back so if you're going to enter low in the leg me personally i'd be very
1342
01:20:14,560 --> 01:20:17,360
aggressive in management so you can either have a fixed r so like you always
1343
01:20:17,360 --> 01:20:20,719
you always fully exit full volume at 5r for instance
1344
01:20:20,719 --> 01:20:24,400
or you take the majority of your partials or all of them at the nearest
1345
01:20:24,400 --> 01:20:27,920
low or what you can do is you can just trail price so you would continue to
1346
01:20:27,920 --> 01:20:31,440
travel behind these highs okay i'm gonna be pretty aggressive with this
1347
01:20:31,440 --> 01:20:35,199
i'm just going to take off like 80 of the volume on this just because i don't
1348
01:20:35,199 --> 01:20:37,840
really like entering that low down the leg
1349
01:20:37,840 --> 01:20:42,159
so cool we'll go over that and then but what you can do right is
1350
01:20:42,159 --> 01:20:45,520
you can look to continue to scale in so we could be aggressive again wouldn't
1351
01:20:45,520 --> 01:20:49,760
necessarily recommend this but let's do it let's scale in here
1352
01:20:49,760 --> 01:20:52,639
it's quite a small candle so we don't need to 25 because essentially what i'm
1353
01:20:52,639 --> 01:20:55,920
doing is i'm using you know my profits i made from this quick move and funneling
1354
01:20:55,920 --> 01:20:59,120
it down until we hit the four hour demand zone so
1355
01:20:59,120 --> 01:21:01,840
let's practice on
1356
01:21:02,400 --> 01:21:05,760
now what i will say is if you're not consistent and if you're already kind of
1357
01:21:05,760 --> 01:21:08,239
you know trying to find that consistency you don't want to be trading this
1358
01:21:08,239 --> 01:21:10,320
aggressively you want to be sticking to those moves that we looked at right
1359
01:21:10,320 --> 01:21:14,880
these moves within the 4 hour pois stick to them do not be chasing price down
1360
01:21:14,880 --> 01:21:17,520
this far right because this is where you're going to get burnt if you don't
1361
01:21:17,520 --> 01:21:21,360
know what you're doing okay but what i like about this is it uh did it sweep
1362
01:21:21,360 --> 01:21:24,000
the quality i thought it did because it looked like
1363
01:21:24,000 --> 01:21:26,960
a dick it's this candle but all of these candles break the prior candles low so
1364
01:21:26,960 --> 01:21:30,719
that's all part of the down moves there's no structural liquidity in here
1365
01:21:30,719 --> 01:21:33,679
we've come up we pushed yeah we never so technically it's not sweep zone there's
1366
01:21:33,679 --> 01:21:36,639
no inducement so actually i'm going to pull this order because yeah there's
1367
01:21:36,639 --> 01:21:39,679
just not enough confidence it's one of those ones right where these can play
1368
01:21:39,679 --> 01:21:42,639
out especially on eu especially as it's the last mitigation
1369
01:21:42,639 --> 01:21:45,520
but do you know what's good i'm going to
1370
01:21:45,520 --> 01:21:47,360
keep it on because i want to show you guys it doesn't really matter if you
1371
01:21:47,360 --> 01:21:51,360
take losses uh yeah boom i thought we would but yeah
1372
01:21:51,360 --> 01:21:54,560
hopefully you guys can see exactly why that was not a high probability trade
1373
01:21:54,560 --> 01:21:57,199
but i kind of want to show you that losses really are relevant they don't
1374
01:21:57,199 --> 01:22:01,120
mean uh when you have a high risk toward strategy like this okay so what
1375
01:22:01,120 --> 01:22:04,960
have we mitigated have we mitigated anything here
1376
01:22:04,960 --> 01:22:09,360
can i get this box to work yeah okay we kind of come up into the
1377
01:22:09,360 --> 01:22:12,560
cell to buy so it makes sense but i'm gonna leave that there
1378
01:22:12,560 --> 01:22:16,239
uh we've now had a clear bullish change of character so we could because we have
1379
01:22:16,239 --> 01:22:19,760
come off technically for our range we could look for long so we have the
1380
01:22:19,760 --> 01:22:23,320
extreme down here
1381
01:22:24,719 --> 01:22:29,199
uh do we have any flip zones not really just push straight up through so
1382
01:22:29,199 --> 01:22:33,520
yeah we come back down potentially look for a long down there
1383
01:22:35,760 --> 01:22:38,719
um i kind of have this four hour doji but
1384
01:22:38,719 --> 01:22:41,520
it looks like a bearish doji it's not the best
1385
01:22:41,520 --> 01:22:44,080
i don't really want to look too short from that it's quite an aggressive
1386
01:22:44,080 --> 01:22:47,840
retrace now as well so probably expecting price to come up higher
1387
01:22:47,840 --> 01:22:50,639
you could look from lungs is this is this a flip zone let's see what did it
1388
01:22:50,639 --> 01:22:54,639
react to look right from this no it spiked up higher so that's just
1389
01:22:54,639 --> 01:22:59,040
more of a sweep than a flip so that's not really a valid one for me
1390
01:22:59,040 --> 01:23:02,080
so i wouldn't necessarily want to scale into that
1391
01:23:02,080 --> 01:23:05,120
or not scaling but take a long from it so i'm just going to leave it let's
1392
01:23:05,120 --> 01:23:09,040
let's see if price is gonna come up higher
1393
01:23:10,000 --> 01:23:12,880
spread hours anyway
1394
01:23:14,480 --> 01:23:17,840
it's basically now waiting for the price to come down towards extreme or to come
1395
01:23:17,840 --> 01:23:22,000
up into that for our supply zone or if we start to kind of break down from here
1396
01:23:22,000 --> 01:23:24,239
right if we start to get you know a bearish change of character on the four
1397
01:23:24,239 --> 01:23:27,040
hour we were to take out this low or you know we start to break down we can look
1398
01:23:27,040 --> 01:23:30,159
left does it make sense what it's reacting to okay if we swept liquidity
1399
01:23:30,159 --> 01:23:33,040
if we've had a decent break to the outside then we can look for price to
1400
01:23:33,040 --> 01:23:36,080
come into that freshly created supply zone and we can look too short because
1401
01:23:36,080 --> 01:23:39,600
price does not have to pull back into our stream for our poi right we have
1402
01:23:39,600 --> 01:23:43,280
coming up cpi yes i wouldn't want to trade into cpi either um okay we're
1403
01:23:43,280 --> 01:23:46,320
pushing up with a fair amount of momentum
1404
01:23:46,320 --> 01:23:49,199
um so this is what i'm saying yeah we actually probably especially see when we
1405
01:23:49,199 --> 01:23:53,199
took these highs here kind of yeah this is where with the benefit of hindsight
1406
01:23:53,199 --> 01:23:55,840
probably should have taken more partials off because we only took 50 off of our
1407
01:23:55,840 --> 01:23:59,600
position there uh so kind of messed up a little bit there's no kind of not really
1408
01:23:59,600 --> 01:24:04,400
much point of me taking partials now uh that was a mistake but it is what it is
1409
01:24:04,400 --> 01:24:07,920
we can also look to get into some more trades if they present up okay what
1410
01:24:07,920 --> 01:24:10,719
we're reacting to so this is a problem when i start to speed
1411
01:24:10,719 --> 01:24:14,239
things up i start to miss things right um
1412
01:24:14,239 --> 01:24:18,239
so we have this vita cell here
1413
01:24:21,199 --> 01:24:24,880
okay that essentially flipped this level didn't really sweep liquidity no
1414
01:24:24,880 --> 01:24:27,199
inducement so i wouldn't set a risk entry on that but let's see if we can
1415
01:24:27,199 --> 01:24:30,880
get a confirmation entry uh otherwise we have you know this has
1416
01:24:30,880 --> 01:24:33,920
been mitigated for me so the next level i'll be looking at is
1417
01:24:33,920 --> 01:24:37,840
this extreme up here so we can whack this on i'll cover the
1418
01:24:37,840 --> 01:24:41,440
high as well just to be sure
1419
01:24:41,440 --> 01:24:45,280
okay so we'll see if we push up a bit higher
1420
01:24:45,280 --> 01:24:47,600
yeah so this is something i'd recommend right
1421
01:24:47,600 --> 01:24:50,719
especially if you want to bring risk entries into your strategy
1422
01:24:50,719 --> 01:24:54,960
is when it's pro trend for our poi which has swept the
1423
01:24:54,960 --> 01:24:58,880
liquidity behind is high and you have a refined extreme supply zone within that
1424
01:24:58,880 --> 01:25:02,080
right that is the level in which you want to be setting uh risk entries if
1425
01:25:02,080 --> 01:25:04,560
you're going to do it so i'll put that on just because i don't forget
1426
01:25:04,560 --> 01:25:08,880
uh we'll get the 25 of it as well appreciate the charts are getting a bit
1427
01:25:08,880 --> 01:25:12,239
messy now but essentially what this is is the extreme m15 supply zone within
1428
01:25:12,239 --> 01:25:16,000
the four-hour supply zone right which is pro-trend so
1429
01:25:16,000 --> 01:25:18,320
you know this is a pretty good area especially the last mitigation that
1430
01:25:18,320 --> 01:25:21,199
price should continue short if it's going to
1431
01:25:21,199 --> 01:25:25,199
uh we'll put that just above the high same stop-loss as the previous one okay
1432
01:25:25,199 --> 01:25:28,960
boom uh so yeah we've come into this supplies
1433
01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:30,800
and it's this good hole but i kind of want to wait for a bearish change
1434
01:25:30,800 --> 01:25:34,080
character i'm coming into cpi which isn't great
1435
01:25:34,080 --> 01:25:36,719
so see
1436
01:25:37,199 --> 01:25:39,760
okay have we had a bearish shock no because
1437
01:25:39,760 --> 01:25:42,080
all of these counters break the prior counters high so we have to take out
1438
01:25:42,080 --> 01:25:44,960
this low first
1439
01:25:44,960 --> 01:25:48,960
okay now we're taking out the low um
1440
01:25:48,960 --> 01:25:52,239
i don't really like any season how none of these counters are that clear
1441
01:25:52,239 --> 01:25:55,199
to look for short there's no flip hairs no
1442
01:25:55,199 --> 01:26:00,639
yeah i'm going to leave that especially with cpi let's just let's cpi play out
1443
01:26:00,800 --> 01:26:04,800
oh uh i forgot i had the extreme one already
1444
01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:08,880
okay well yeah i wouldn't do that live i definitely wouldn't do that live
1445
01:26:08,880 --> 01:26:12,639
uh i wouldn't recommend that so let's put it forward anyway probably get
1446
01:26:12,639 --> 01:26:15,760
stopped out on that i think i did get started i gotta stop down the scaling on
1447
01:26:15,760 --> 01:26:18,639
the original position that's cool okay so that was a mismanagement so that was
1448
01:26:18,639 --> 01:26:21,520
one we took back over here right which really when starts price that's the
1449
01:26:21,520 --> 01:26:24,719
brake structure like that you probably do want to take more partials um because
1450
01:26:24,719 --> 01:26:27,840
especially with expecting before i pull back back to where we already are right
1451
01:26:27,840 --> 01:26:31,840
um so that was a bit of a mistake there there's what it is we're still up 63 i
1452
01:26:31,840 --> 01:26:34,840
don't even realize that okay so i'm not doing too bad
1453
01:26:34,840 --> 01:26:38,960
uh right so we've come into our extreme we're in that risk entry
1454
01:26:38,960 --> 01:26:42,239
that's not a trade i would take live so yeah it's kind of
1455
01:26:42,239 --> 01:26:46,320
not ideal but what i'd be looking for now is for a bearish change of character
1456
01:26:46,320 --> 01:26:49,920
which should be down here all of these cameras break the
1457
01:26:49,920 --> 01:26:53,600
price on so yeah so we only see these lows go at this point really
1458
01:26:53,600 --> 01:26:56,000
um
1459
01:26:57,440 --> 01:27:01,440
coming into the asian session yeah we're taking that low so we've had
1460
01:27:01,440 --> 01:27:05,280
a barrier change character now so where can we short from well we can look at
1461
01:27:05,280 --> 01:27:09,520
this level here right we had a mitigation
1462
01:27:09,520 --> 01:27:11,920
here
1463
01:27:13,280 --> 01:27:18,560
we had this mitigation here
1464
01:27:18,560 --> 01:27:21,120
so mitigation i was talking about draw it
1465
01:27:21,120 --> 01:27:23,520
on was this one here right price came in and mitigated that so this would be the
1466
01:27:23,520 --> 01:27:26,880
last candle but it didn't suit the quality and it has no inducement
1467
01:27:26,880 --> 01:27:31,280
so i don't really like that zone but let's see
1468
01:27:31,280 --> 01:27:34,639
let's whack an order on it it's not great
1469
01:27:34,639 --> 01:27:38,960
from a liquidity standpoint i think i'll be quite small though
1470
01:27:38,960 --> 01:27:41,920
full pip so put it in there i'm going to draw the 25
1471
01:27:41,920 --> 01:27:44,400
because i just want to speed it up a little bit
1472
01:27:44,400 --> 01:27:47,920
but it springs forwards okay what's the four are doing so we've
1473
01:27:47,920 --> 01:27:51,199
come in and we mitigated for our supply we've now had a bearish change of
1474
01:27:51,199 --> 01:27:55,120
character right we've taken out that low it's quite messy though but we've got
1475
01:27:55,120 --> 01:27:58,080
these supply zones potentially we might come back up to the extreme again so
1476
01:27:58,080 --> 01:28:00,960
i'll keep an eye on that if we do push up higher but we are already in short
1477
01:28:00,960 --> 01:28:03,520
from top so we'll leave that for now let's see how
1478
01:28:03,520 --> 01:28:06,639
we go um we have this extreme demand zone but
1479
01:28:06,639 --> 01:28:09,520
it's on a week for our low so i would expect there to be a reaction but
1480
01:28:09,520 --> 01:28:14,480
ultimately for it to get run so let's play this forward
1481
01:28:14,480 --> 01:28:18,080
let's make sure those lows haven't gone yet okay spike that low
1482
01:28:18,080 --> 01:28:21,679
okay we'll put them back up now see if we get tagged in yeah stopped out so no
1483
01:28:21,679 --> 01:28:25,760
surprises there right this zone had no inducement it didn't suit liquidity
1484
01:28:25,760 --> 01:28:28,719
so that means that these become liquidity right for price to sweep which
1485
01:28:28,719 --> 01:28:32,880
is what's now happened um potentially there's something left
1486
01:28:32,880 --> 01:28:36,560
within that wick now that was mitigated as well so
1487
01:28:36,560 --> 01:28:39,840
so we get a bearish change of character here let's wait for about the very least
1488
01:28:39,840 --> 01:28:44,639
before i even think about shorts might become too extreme
1489
01:28:48,080 --> 01:28:52,400
we had a bearish chalk i don't think we have just yet so i need to see this logo
1490
01:28:52,400 --> 01:28:55,520
here uh
1491
01:28:55,520 --> 01:29:00,080
well not yet let's wait for another candle okay now we have
1492
01:29:00,080 --> 01:29:02,400
so we swept these highs we had a bearish
1493
01:29:02,400 --> 01:29:06,560
change of character but within this four hour wick
1494
01:29:06,560 --> 01:29:09,440
so yeah it's not that clean but we can look
1495
01:29:09,440 --> 01:29:12,880
for shorts from here because we've swapped liquidity we've
1496
01:29:12,880 --> 01:29:15,920
had a bearish change of character we've mitigated for our supply
1497
01:29:15,920 --> 01:29:21,600
yeah let's put a sell limit on that okay cool so stop behind the high 25
1498
01:29:21,600 --> 01:29:24,960
percent trying to speed a little bit quicker again
1499
01:29:24,960 --> 01:29:29,280
yeah oh you're joking what's the news
1500
01:29:29,280 --> 01:29:32,480
no i don't remember i don't think i put my
1501
01:29:32,480 --> 01:29:36,320
stuff that tight maybe the spreads blew up oh oh well there's what it is
1502
01:29:36,320 --> 01:29:39,199
there's potentially another entry here right we have another zone
1503
01:29:39,199 --> 01:29:43,199
that's really annoying that uh
1504
01:29:43,199 --> 01:29:48,080
these things happen all right selling it on this one
1505
01:29:50,480 --> 01:29:54,239
all right there we go and then
1506
01:29:55,840 --> 01:29:59,760
they're going to take us hands i think it is oh we've gone now
1507
01:29:59,760 --> 01:30:03,199
it could be yeah i'm going to take that it's getting messy
1508
01:30:03,199 --> 01:30:06,400
okay so what we have on the m15 is we have all of these lows
1509
01:30:06,400 --> 01:30:09,120
essentially what we're trying to get is i'm just looking for positions to
1510
01:30:09,120 --> 01:30:12,000
basically get this four-hour zone playing out right so we can target this
1511
01:30:12,000 --> 01:30:14,880
weak load because it failed to make it high and we can trade down into
1512
01:30:14,880 --> 01:30:18,840
roundness for our refined demand zone right
1513
01:30:18,840 --> 01:30:22,159
so uh let's zoom in a little bit
1514
01:30:22,159 --> 01:30:24,800
i mean we could come up higher but yeah i wouldn't really want to trade against
1515
01:30:24,800 --> 01:30:29,120
these lows that's just not a good area of value so let's play it forward
1516
01:30:29,120 --> 01:30:32,000
um it's not really a clean supply zone i'll tell you what i'll put the order
1517
01:30:32,000 --> 01:30:34,400
back on this because we are coming up now i'd be happy to trade short from
1518
01:30:34,400 --> 01:30:39,040
here so let's whack a cell limit on
1519
01:30:46,080 --> 01:30:49,199
we're going to come in we're going to come in just ranging around
1520
01:30:49,199 --> 01:30:52,719
coming to the london session yeah but we dropped off now so going to cancel that
1521
01:30:52,719 --> 01:30:55,840
order uh
1522
01:30:55,840 --> 01:30:59,120
all right let's think about okay so we've got trade management right from
1523
01:30:59,120 --> 01:31:01,840
the shorts from the top i'm going to wait because i've caught what i think is
1524
01:31:01,840 --> 01:31:05,840
likely to be the four hour lower high and theory should not really be taking
1525
01:31:05,840 --> 01:31:10,000
any uh partials until the logos until the four hour logos right so once that
1526
01:31:10,000 --> 01:31:13,840
goes we'll take a heavy amount of partials but it's pro trend and 15 this
1527
01:31:13,840 --> 01:31:16,560
is still in play but obviously when nowhere near it for now
1528
01:31:16,560 --> 01:31:19,360
uh we do have london sessions so we can be
1529
01:31:19,360 --> 01:31:23,840
a bit more aggressive um we do have a flip zone here
1530
01:31:23,840 --> 01:31:27,280
did it sweep liquidity not really it doesn't have any inducement
1531
01:31:27,280 --> 01:31:32,080
um but john i mean these yeah i'm gonna leave it let's see can we take out that
1532
01:31:32,080 --> 01:31:35,360
for our low so coming into the extreme demand zone definitely would not be
1533
01:31:35,360 --> 01:31:38,560
looking for long term here why because it's a weak low it should get smashed
1534
01:31:38,560 --> 01:31:41,600
you can of course trade reactions from here but at a bare minimum you really
1535
01:31:41,600 --> 01:31:45,040
want to be looking for a bullish m15 shock and supply starting to fail which
1536
01:31:45,040 --> 01:31:48,560
yeah hasn't really happened uh wasn't can i have yeah let's just
1537
01:31:48,560 --> 01:31:52,080
wait for this low see this lower okay but now we've gone so i'm going to take
1538
01:31:52,080 --> 01:31:55,440
a heavy heavy amount of partials on this i think this was my original order
1539
01:31:55,440 --> 01:31:58,400
wasn't it there's only eight lots in that so
1540
01:31:58,400 --> 01:32:02,880
uh we'll just take out another 50 and then this one will go up so this is
1541
01:32:02,880 --> 01:32:06,560
the one we took out from the top recently yes we'll partial pretty heavy
1542
01:32:06,560 --> 01:32:10,000
on this one as well now
1543
01:32:10,000 --> 01:32:12,719
in theory like i was saying right because it's pro for our trend you can
1544
01:32:12,719 --> 01:32:16,080
hold on to these with a lot more volume but i try to be quite realistic i
1545
01:32:16,080 --> 01:32:18,719
personally don't like holding on to too much volume so once we get that lower
1546
01:32:18,719 --> 01:32:22,960
low i'm pretty happy to take you know the majority of my profits off there but
1547
01:32:22,960 --> 01:32:26,159
we'll let some run now okay so we're coming into the fire
1548
01:32:26,159 --> 01:32:29,679
demand zone and that's fine because it's just you know old demand zones become
1549
01:32:29,679 --> 01:32:33,280
potential reaction points for pullbacks right now that we've taken out this four
1550
01:32:33,280 --> 01:32:38,719
hour low so we're playing within this next current swing range here
1551
01:32:38,719 --> 01:32:43,679
uh pois so that's mitigated right this works mitigated that's where we took a
1552
01:32:43,679 --> 01:32:48,239
trade but we just got stopped out ah that would have been a beautiful trade
1553
01:32:48,239 --> 01:32:52,000
that is so frustrating even back testing it's still feel emotions but it is what
1554
01:32:52,000 --> 01:32:55,280
it is uh i don't really like this for a poi because it didn't sweep liquidity
1555
01:32:55,280 --> 01:32:59,679
and it doesn't have any inducement in the leg but yeah we'll see how price is
1556
01:32:59,679 --> 01:33:04,400
even when it potentially comes back up to that so let's see how we
1557
01:33:04,400 --> 01:33:08,239
react when we come into them okay we tapped into that for our wick we've got
1558
01:33:08,239 --> 01:33:12,480
a bullish change of character all right let's be less we could be a
1559
01:33:12,480 --> 01:33:15,600
bit aggressive here right and we can look at this poi here
1560
01:33:15,600 --> 01:33:18,880
oh we're coming into news what user we got retail sales okay we'll leave that
1561
01:33:18,880 --> 01:33:21,199
alone
1562
01:33:21,600 --> 01:33:24,960
so just save this from my last hair very very aggressive wouldn't recommend that
1563
01:33:24,960 --> 01:33:27,920
right really what you want to see is a clear liquidity sweep a bit more of a
1564
01:33:27,920 --> 01:33:31,199
sustain move right and supply clearly failing it didn't in this case right so
1565
01:33:31,199 --> 01:33:34,880
that would have been an awful trade um this is a problem right with sometimes
1566
01:33:34,880 --> 01:33:38,080
with back testing it's demo you rush through you kind of start
1567
01:33:38,080 --> 01:33:41,520
whacking on trays left right center that you wouldn't do in reality so
1568
01:33:41,520 --> 01:33:44,880
yeah i will try and continue to kind of be a little bit more picky here but we
1569
01:33:44,880 --> 01:33:50,080
are on this for our demand zone right um just haven't cloned it to 1015 so let's
1570
01:33:50,080 --> 01:33:54,000
look for at least a bit more of a convincing break to the upside and see
1571
01:33:54,000 --> 01:33:57,840
supply failing what i like about this is although we're in four hour demand
1572
01:33:57,840 --> 01:34:00,080
right again i'm going to be aggressive we've
1573
01:34:00,080 --> 01:34:03,840
got a lot of momentum we are during sort of the new york session i'm happy to
1574
01:34:03,840 --> 01:34:07,280
take kind of a loss in this area but this is aggressive right it's a sweep
1575
01:34:07,280 --> 01:34:11,600
zone uh let's see if it can continue to the low but again this is bang on
1576
01:34:11,600 --> 01:34:14,320
what i've been saying right do not take these if you're not consistent because
1577
01:34:14,320 --> 01:34:17,440
these are low probability trades this is me just following the order flow
1578
01:34:17,440 --> 01:34:21,199
following the mitigations um you know there's no real inducement in this leg
1579
01:34:21,199 --> 01:34:24,560
but it is a sweep zone uh and you're training against us for our demand level
1580
01:34:24,560 --> 01:34:27,760
and we've had a four-hour break of structures so we expect to pull back
1581
01:34:27,760 --> 01:34:30,560
uh but you know these can continue i kind of just want to show you though
1582
01:34:30,560 --> 01:34:33,679
that you know losses really don't matter if you're going to be
1583
01:34:33,679 --> 01:34:36,800
aggressive but yeah sticking to the ones within the four rpis is always going to
1584
01:34:36,800 --> 01:34:39,280
give you the highest struggle are we going to pull back we're just going to
1585
01:34:39,280 --> 01:34:42,080
continue dying what's the time i don't know why there's
1586
01:34:42,080 --> 01:34:46,960
a reaction there's no uh 20 sec yeah there's no news for another five days so
1587
01:34:46,960 --> 01:34:51,679
let's see if we start to kind of clear this supply
1588
01:34:51,679 --> 01:34:55,679
level i'm gonna probably take a few more actually let's just see what happens
1589
01:34:55,679 --> 01:34:58,239
when we do it okay looks like it's holding looks like it's holding spread
1590
01:34:58,239 --> 01:35:03,199
hours not a deal put it forward a little bit
1591
01:35:03,840 --> 01:35:08,960
yeah bang you're out okay yeah bit bit of an
1592
01:35:08,960 --> 01:35:13,679
aggressive trade but there we go is what is cool so
1593
01:35:13,679 --> 01:35:17,600
looking like we're starting to pull back now so you could take more partials
1594
01:35:17,600 --> 01:35:20,239
um john i'll just leave it just because we're taking pretty heavy partials
1595
01:35:20,239 --> 01:35:24,400
there's not that much running on it and in theory we've had a break of structure
1596
01:35:24,400 --> 01:35:28,080
here so our swing high is this point here so we're actually reasonably
1597
01:35:28,080 --> 01:35:31,440
protected so we actually you know in theory price
1598
01:35:31,440 --> 01:35:34,800
shouldn't trade any higher really than where our entries are um so yeah we can
1599
01:35:34,800 --> 01:35:38,159
leave that there um so we'll just move them to break even
1600
01:35:38,159 --> 01:35:41,280
just to keep the charts a little bit clearer so yeah let's see if we can look
1601
01:35:41,280 --> 01:35:45,920
for longs up until around uh this supplies and up here um
1602
01:35:45,920 --> 01:35:49,280
obviously bear in mind it could react from the actual bite to cells we can
1603
01:35:49,280 --> 01:35:53,679
keep it on it like that and then we'll clone that to the m15
1604
01:35:53,679 --> 01:35:56,960
right so this level here so let's look at the pois that we can look to trade
1605
01:35:56,960 --> 01:36:00,320
from [Music]
1606
01:36:00,320 --> 01:36:05,280
what i'm going to do is delete this box
1607
01:36:05,280 --> 01:36:09,040
and i'm going to draw it back on [Music]
1608
01:36:09,040 --> 01:36:13,360
from just the four-hour zone just before our chart just so we can then draw on
1609
01:36:13,360 --> 01:36:17,040
some limitations with this software it's a bit rubbish with so essentially we
1610
01:36:17,040 --> 01:36:20,080
have this for our poi and then within there
1611
01:36:20,080 --> 01:36:23,119
let's look for an m15 so we have these highs here
1612
01:36:23,119 --> 01:36:26,239
got this extreme it's not great right i'd probably expect
1613
01:36:26,239 --> 01:36:29,360
price might want to come up higher what's that zone up there
1614
01:36:29,360 --> 01:36:32,080
yeah we've got this extreme up here right inducing above
1615
01:36:32,080 --> 01:36:37,040
that's a lot better um i'd probably be willing to set a
1616
01:36:37,040 --> 01:36:40,719
risk entry on that but we'll wait for a price to come up and then what else do
1617
01:36:40,719 --> 01:36:44,080
we have we have
1618
01:36:44,080 --> 01:36:47,600
this poi here it's a flip zone right so we have this one
1619
01:36:47,600 --> 01:36:50,239
but it does have inducement arguably it
1620
01:36:50,239 --> 01:36:53,920
slipped the highs there as well right so that's one
1621
01:36:53,920 --> 01:36:58,000
we also have this clean push no inducement didn't sweep so
1622
01:36:58,000 --> 01:37:01,520
it's not great and then we have this one as well right
1623
01:37:01,520 --> 01:37:04,800
this buy to sell which we're coming up to obviously no inducement didn't sweep
1624
01:37:04,800 --> 01:37:08,560
so that's not great they did break structure so they're all strong zones in
1625
01:37:08,560 --> 01:37:13,600
terms of that but let's see are any of them flip zones
1626
01:37:13,600 --> 01:37:16,560
let's drag those across
1627
01:37:16,639 --> 01:37:21,040
uh spy to cell have a look [Music]
1628
01:37:21,040 --> 01:37:24,400
that low would it react to okay
1629
01:37:24,400 --> 01:37:26,560
i mean that is technically a flip zone it's just not great right because we
1630
01:37:26,560 --> 01:37:30,320
have these cell to buy wicks i took out this level here so that is a flip zone
1631
01:37:30,320 --> 01:37:33,280
and then yeah these are all yeah these are all zones as well like that's a flip
1632
01:37:33,280 --> 01:37:35,840
zone that reacted this week that's a flip
1633
01:37:35,840 --> 01:37:38,880
zone and then yeah that's just an extreme structural zone so they're all
1634
01:37:38,880 --> 01:37:41,679
they're all technically valid right but obviously some are better than others
1635
01:37:41,679 --> 01:37:44,639
this is the least spoiled price no inducement no sweep so definitely
1636
01:37:44,639 --> 01:37:47,600
wouldn't start wrist sketch from that but we can set some of these as we get
1637
01:37:47,600 --> 01:37:51,280
up higher if we get up there so let's put the chart back
1638
01:37:51,280 --> 01:37:54,480
and i'm going to try and speed this up again uh because this is we're going to
1639
01:37:54,480 --> 01:37:57,100
be here all day uh okay cool so
1640
01:37:57,100 --> 01:38:01,520
[Music] let's zoom in
1641
01:38:01,600 --> 01:38:04,080
we've had a bearish change of character but we're not really coming off anything
1642
01:38:04,080 --> 01:38:07,920
we're kind of used by to sell wicks but let's be a bit more patient we suppose
1643
01:38:07,920 --> 01:38:11,440
something decent okay we're coming to this
1644
01:38:11,440 --> 01:38:16,159
i'm expecting that much i'm sure we'll go higher
1645
01:38:16,159 --> 01:38:20,560
hmm okay a decent move off all right i'll be happy to short that
1646
01:38:20,560 --> 01:38:24,080
with that reaction all right we swept the high missing a
1647
01:38:24,080 --> 01:38:28,159
flip zone decent movement down right these demand levels are failing
1648
01:38:28,159 --> 01:38:32,159
let's set him on that stop above the high
1649
01:38:32,159 --> 01:38:36,639
roughly 25 percent cool space forward
1650
01:38:36,639 --> 01:38:40,639
no it's not okay yeah that's gone all right we'll leave it there for now
1651
01:38:40,639 --> 01:38:44,639
okay so what we now have is essentially this old demand zone has now flipped to
1652
01:38:44,639 --> 01:38:48,000
supply we've reacted we've pushed down so we now have another poi to look to
1653
01:38:48,000 --> 01:38:52,239
short from which is this the right rm15 extreme within there so i'm going to
1654
01:38:52,239 --> 01:38:55,760
leave the order there i like that uh we can continue to pay this forward let's
1655
01:38:55,760 --> 01:38:59,840
see coming into the end of new york
1656
01:39:02,960 --> 01:39:06,159
i don't really want to be shorting from down here
1657
01:39:06,159 --> 01:39:08,719
spread hours gonna try and just a little bit clearer now just i'm just gonna
1658
01:39:08,719 --> 01:39:11,600
stick to the really sort of high probability positions
1659
01:39:11,600 --> 01:39:16,560
as fast forward towards london okay so coming into london obviously
1660
01:39:16,560 --> 01:39:19,679
heavily bearish ideally price will come back up here for shorts but it doesn't
1661
01:39:19,679 --> 01:39:22,880
have to we've got old demand zones down here
1662
01:39:22,880 --> 01:39:26,480
right they just provide potential reaction points for long so we can be
1663
01:39:26,480 --> 01:39:29,280
quite aggressive with shorts until we get there
1664
01:39:29,280 --> 01:39:33,119
so let's have a look we could just
1665
01:39:33,119 --> 01:39:37,119
i know i said it sticks to really high probability ones but
1666
01:39:37,119 --> 01:39:42,080
let's look at that right swept the liquidity behind here
1667
01:39:42,080 --> 01:39:45,440
so i could sell them on that
1668
01:39:45,440 --> 01:39:48,800
stop above the high probably just go above that wick be a little bit more
1669
01:39:48,800 --> 01:39:52,239
conservative because it is an aggressive trade it's less than six pips that's
1670
01:39:52,239 --> 01:39:56,000
cool clear foot
1671
01:39:56,880 --> 01:40:00,400
we haven't quite reached a mine yet so again you could be aggressive here
1672
01:40:00,400 --> 01:40:04,080
right but like i said i kind of want to because that swept the highs you could
1673
01:40:04,080 --> 01:40:08,520
sell on this wick but i'm not going to take that
1674
01:40:10,639 --> 01:40:14,080
okay oh yeah so we are we are in demand we're not for our demand so we could be
1675
01:40:14,080 --> 01:40:17,119
aggressive here right we've had a sweep liquidity we've had a bullish change of
1676
01:40:17,119 --> 01:40:21,920
character this near supply level failed uh we've already broken below this cell
1677
01:40:21,920 --> 01:40:26,400
to buy wick flip zone so the extremes here so we can put a limit on the
1678
01:40:26,400 --> 01:40:29,040
extreme there
1679
01:40:29,199 --> 01:40:31,920
where's the uh
1680
01:40:34,719 --> 01:40:38,480
i can't see the bi level i don't know if i'm being blind oh there we go
1681
01:40:38,480 --> 01:40:41,520
that's the entries the stop must be below there there is
1682
01:40:41,520 --> 01:40:46,719
how tight is that three perps will go just below okay
1683
01:40:47,199 --> 01:40:50,480
all right um
1684
01:40:50,480 --> 01:40:54,000
tell you what i'm going to take some partials from those ones at the top
1685
01:40:54,000 --> 01:41:00,159
let's just close another 50 and then we'll close that one as well 50
1686
01:41:00,560 --> 01:41:05,280
we can leave that risk entry on the top i'm going to close
1687
01:41:05,280 --> 01:41:09,040
no we'll leave that because there's a four hour counter there screw it
1688
01:41:09,040 --> 01:41:13,280
if we get tagged in on that i don't think we did
1689
01:41:14,719 --> 01:41:18,560
i didn't get tugged in might come there see
1690
01:41:18,560 --> 01:41:24,159
now i'm going to cancel that order okay uh
1691
01:41:24,159 --> 01:41:26,719
yeah i'm going to cancel that as well that's too aggressive now coming up for
1692
01:41:26,719 --> 01:41:31,360
our demand so 43 is gone and we'll save that to the risk entry
1693
01:41:31,360 --> 01:41:37,040
uh let's see if this holds or not yeah smash
1694
01:41:37,040 --> 01:41:42,000
ah okay so that's gone supplies clearly failing
1695
01:41:42,000 --> 01:41:45,040
we're coming up for our demand love that reaction we've cleared this four hour
1696
01:41:45,040 --> 01:41:48,239
candle here as well so that's a decent move we could be coming up at least back
1697
01:41:48,239 --> 01:41:52,960
up towards this buy to sell range uh we've obviously structure shifted
1698
01:41:52,960 --> 01:41:56,239
bullish what we kind of have right is this range
1699
01:41:56,239 --> 01:41:59,600
here price reacted pushed down and pushed up
1700
01:41:59,600 --> 01:42:02,800
so we have a flip zone here
1701
01:42:02,800 --> 01:42:06,320
right that's swept liquidity behind this low
1702
01:42:06,320 --> 01:42:10,639
draw on it's not the best right it's not really the best but yeah i'd count that
1703
01:42:10,639 --> 01:42:12,800
as a sweep zone
1704
01:42:12,800 --> 01:42:16,560
so let's buy limit roughly stop below the
1705
01:42:16,560 --> 01:42:21,520
low we'll roughly go 25 percent about there
1706
01:42:21,520 --> 01:42:25,600
okay so yeah let's play this for our pull back and we can target around what
1707
01:42:25,600 --> 01:42:28,800
level is that around yeah so let's see how that goes again trying to do this
1708
01:42:28,800 --> 01:42:33,119
pretty quickly bring it tagged in
1709
01:42:33,119 --> 01:42:39,119
only news not for another day in a bit uh pushing up higher
1710
01:42:39,119 --> 01:42:43,400
how much of a pullback was that
1711
01:42:44,320 --> 01:42:48,080
not that sizeable it's a straight push i mean those lows just look like they you
1712
01:42:48,080 --> 01:42:52,320
know that's building liquidity for below so i like that as inducement yeah i'll
1713
01:42:52,320 --> 01:42:55,679
leave the order on let's see here we go
1714
01:42:55,760 --> 01:43:00,480
session timing coming to london uh we've reacted we have a bit of change
1715
01:43:00,480 --> 01:43:03,199
of character not yet okay now we've had a bullish change of
1716
01:43:03,199 --> 01:43:06,880
character okay so it's probably not going to come back so we've taken out
1717
01:43:06,880 --> 01:43:09,119
this high here all right see how that was in the
1718
01:43:09,119 --> 01:43:12,320
movement up movement down and then we broke it
1719
01:43:12,320 --> 01:43:15,520
so this was a arguably a flip as well right
1720
01:43:15,520 --> 01:43:19,760
because it's not the best in the world but essentially we came into this supply
1721
01:43:19,760 --> 01:43:22,239
all right reacted pushed up we've had a bullish change of character we've
1722
01:43:22,239 --> 01:43:24,560
mitigated the supply zone we've swept liquidity
1723
01:43:24,560 --> 01:43:28,719
so yeah we can look for a along there i'm going to cancel this one and put a
1724
01:43:28,719 --> 01:43:31,679
buy limit here
1725
01:43:32,880 --> 01:43:38,920
it's quite an aggressive trade but roughly 25 let's see we can go
1726
01:43:40,239 --> 01:43:44,719
oh no don't miss me again oh
1727
01:43:44,960 --> 01:43:49,119
how many trades have i just been missed and just been stopped out of as well we
1728
01:43:49,119 --> 01:43:51,280
might come back but we're gonna regret saying that now
1729
01:43:51,280 --> 01:43:55,040
they get stopped out yeah there we go right so yeah the wick obviously well
1730
01:43:55,040 --> 01:43:58,239
with the benefit of hindsight was of a lot higher probability that was the last
1731
01:43:58,239 --> 01:44:00,719
mitigation right came into this level here
1732
01:44:00,719 --> 01:44:04,400
uh we could enter it mark it but yeah that's that's getting a bit aggressive
1733
01:44:04,400 --> 01:44:07,520
now we'll leave it there right that would have been a nice trade sweep zone
1734
01:44:07,520 --> 01:44:10,719
inducement below it yeah that would have been pretty tidy
1735
01:44:10,719 --> 01:44:16,000
probably going to move off from there oh that spiked as well yeah so
1736
01:44:16,000 --> 01:44:18,719
probably should have checked if we mitigated something on the m15 what we
1737
01:44:18,719 --> 01:44:21,840
come into
1738
01:44:23,679 --> 01:44:27,280
uh broke higher than that level so we haven't yeah we haven't touched the
1739
01:44:27,280 --> 01:44:30,320
previous for our range either it's not really hitting anything too
1740
01:44:30,320 --> 01:44:35,040
clear in my opinion so interesting um
1741
01:44:35,040 --> 01:44:39,440
okay well we've swept liquidity we've broken straps to the downside so
1742
01:44:39,440 --> 01:44:42,080
potentially that's it that could be the pull back over
1743
01:44:42,080 --> 01:44:45,679
had a bearish four-hour change of character
1744
01:44:46,840 --> 01:44:50,159
uh well now all those counters broke the
1745
01:44:50,159 --> 01:44:54,480
prior counters low i think so it's technically not internal structure
1746
01:44:54,480 --> 01:44:56,560
i'm just trying to basically what i'm trying to work out here is whether or
1747
01:44:56,560 --> 01:45:00,840
not to start looking for sales right is the pool back over
1748
01:45:00,840 --> 01:45:04,719
um but what what i'm skeptical about is right is we haven't mitigated anything
1749
01:45:04,719 --> 01:45:08,480
that's clear to me on the m15 or above
1750
01:45:08,480 --> 01:45:13,440
so this could be inducement for a higher above right but it's pro trend let's do
1751
01:45:13,440 --> 01:45:17,239
it let's put a limit on it
1752
01:45:17,440 --> 01:45:21,360
but i do think we'll probably come higher see but that's worth the risk for
1753
01:45:21,360 --> 01:45:25,119
me it's pro m15 for our trend
1754
01:45:25,600 --> 01:45:30,320
we do have this decision here see
1755
01:45:30,320 --> 01:45:33,040
um we'll just leave it we'll leave it on
1756
01:45:33,040 --> 01:45:37,360
the extreme let's try this a little bit quicker
1757
01:45:38,400 --> 01:45:44,719
what's the time agent session it's got this level here
1758
01:45:44,719 --> 01:45:48,400
but you know it didn't take out the low so really that you know the theory
1759
01:45:48,400 --> 01:45:53,119
should be a weak high it might hold out
1760
01:45:53,119 --> 01:45:56,000
yeah it's getting wrong see see how this high
1761
01:45:56,000 --> 01:46:00,080
fails to get this low so it's not really a great level to be shorting from
1762
01:46:00,080 --> 01:46:02,960
spiked from this decision here but i'm going to leave my order on the extreme
1763
01:46:02,960 --> 01:46:08,000
hopefully we can get tagged in up here see how we go
1764
01:46:09,760 --> 01:46:13,440
uh coming to news what users it fmc i'm not trading through that
1765
01:46:13,440 --> 01:46:17,360
so limits can go uh
1766
01:46:17,360 --> 01:46:22,080
yeah leave the trades on oh is it going to play out see what fmc
1767
01:46:22,080 --> 01:46:24,320
does
1768
01:46:24,719 --> 01:46:28,800
yeah that was lucky we didn't take that so we came down lower we mitigated this
1769
01:46:28,800 --> 01:46:32,080
extreme for our demand zone and we've now pushed up so
1770
01:46:32,080 --> 01:46:35,119
gonna be looking for price to come up into our extreme
1771
01:46:35,119 --> 01:46:39,600
supply zone up here is that the extreme extreme
1772
01:46:39,600 --> 01:46:43,760
yeah so i'm gonna work a limit on that extreme because this is the extreme
1773
01:46:43,760 --> 01:46:48,800
m15 supply within this box here okay uh there's no inducement it did sweep
1774
01:46:48,800 --> 01:46:52,080
the high however so yeah because it's extreme i'm happy to
1775
01:46:52,080 --> 01:46:56,000
be more aggressive in those areas but ideally it would have inducement it
1776
01:46:56,000 --> 01:47:00,880
wouldn't be such a clean push which it doesn't have roughly go 25 percent
1777
01:47:00,880 --> 01:47:05,040
so eight pips go a little bit higher there we go cool
1778
01:47:05,040 --> 01:47:07,440
okay um
1779
01:47:07,440 --> 01:47:11,040
uh we've continued down okay
1780
01:47:11,360 --> 01:47:14,560
four hour demands gone
1781
01:47:16,320 --> 01:47:20,199
i don't know what's going on now
1782
01:47:22,480 --> 01:47:26,000
all right so where are we in the higher time frames
1783
01:47:26,000 --> 01:47:30,080
we've tapped into this extreme zone here have we
1784
01:47:30,080 --> 01:47:32,880
not yet we've had tapped into the cell to buy
1785
01:47:32,880 --> 01:47:37,920
range but we could come a bit lower we've had another breaker structure
1786
01:47:37,920 --> 01:47:40,719
let's just measure that
1787
01:47:41,920 --> 01:47:45,360
yeah that's the swing pull back so let's see if we can get a four hour
1788
01:47:45,360 --> 01:47:49,440
closure below which we haven't had yet um but if we do this will become the new
1789
01:47:49,440 --> 01:47:52,880
swing high so then we have a for our poi here you see how we tapped into the buy
1790
01:47:52,880 --> 01:47:55,760
to sell range so we were looking for it to come higher let's draw this one also
1791
01:47:55,760 --> 01:47:58,159
going on essentially we were looking for price
1792
01:47:58,159 --> 01:48:01,280
here to pull back up into this for our supply zone
1793
01:48:01,280 --> 01:48:03,840
but remember it doesn't have to hit our refined supply it can come into the
1794
01:48:03,840 --> 01:48:07,520
whole biostar range which is what it did right so arguably that is mitigated but
1795
01:48:07,520 --> 01:48:10,080
we never know if it still could come up higher right
1796
01:48:10,080 --> 01:48:13,199
and hit a refine level but it's just to understand what's happening we push down
1797
01:48:13,199 --> 01:48:16,560
lower we have a new supply zone see how we swept these highs beautiful sweep
1798
01:48:16,560 --> 01:48:20,480
liquidity strong push down so now we can look at this level here it's a great
1799
01:48:20,480 --> 01:48:24,880
sweep zone but i'm always skeptical of these clean pushes right so i'll tell
1800
01:48:24,880 --> 01:48:27,199
you what we'll do instead of whacking the limit on that we'll see if we can
1801
01:48:27,199 --> 01:48:31,119
get the confirmation entry see what happens
1802
01:48:31,119 --> 01:48:35,600
big bit quicker now got one more week to go or so
1803
01:48:35,600 --> 01:48:38,159
um
1804
01:48:38,239 --> 01:48:41,600
okay we're coming into the extreme
1805
01:48:42,000 --> 01:48:46,159
i'm gonna wait for a bearish chuck if we get one if we even reach it i mean we're
1806
01:48:46,159 --> 01:48:49,119
in the buy to sell so we could go from here
1807
01:48:49,119 --> 01:48:52,960
um i don't like it but
1808
01:48:52,960 --> 01:48:56,719
we've had a better change of character we'll we'll take one
1809
01:48:56,719 --> 01:49:00,080
because it could go from here i don't like it though but you should prefer to
1810
01:49:00,080 --> 01:49:04,880
a bit more of a sweep but let's be 25
1811
01:49:05,360 --> 01:49:09,040
we'll take it we've tapped into the four rpoi so screw it
1812
01:49:09,040 --> 01:49:14,239
just hit all the yeah
1813
01:49:14,239 --> 01:49:19,520
oh just then we're out okay that's cool not to worry um looks like we're coming
1814
01:49:19,520 --> 01:49:23,760
up to our extreme zone um
1815
01:49:23,760 --> 01:49:26,719
yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna wait to see if we can get that's quite aggressive see
1816
01:49:26,719 --> 01:49:28,800
if we can get a better change of character
1817
01:49:28,800 --> 01:49:32,560
okay so you see how we pull back and then we've taken the high
1818
01:49:32,560 --> 01:49:36,000
that now means that this here is my active internal low because that's the
1819
01:49:36,000 --> 01:49:39,920
most recent low that took up the high so let's wait to see if that gets wicked
1820
01:49:39,920 --> 01:49:43,440
okay now it has mitigated the extreme love that right
1821
01:49:43,440 --> 01:49:46,239
straight into the
1822
01:49:46,480 --> 01:49:49,520
zone there i mean that's quite an aggressive v
1823
01:49:49,520 --> 01:49:52,400
shape so i don't like that maybe we are going to come up higher but this is what
1824
01:49:52,400 --> 01:49:56,159
i mean right assume the trend will continue until it
1825
01:49:56,159 --> 01:49:59,119
doesn't we had to break a structure let me zoom in you can see it this is our
1826
01:49:59,119 --> 01:50:02,480
most recent four hour high not most recent this is our swing high it's a
1827
01:50:02,480 --> 01:50:06,239
strong high because it took out the low so in theory the slow should hold so
1828
01:50:06,239 --> 01:50:08,400
let's take a short
1829
01:50:08,400 --> 01:50:10,560
on this so we're not going to draw wrong so i
1830
01:50:10,560 --> 01:50:15,280
need to speed this up um roughly 25 stop above the high we've had
1831
01:50:15,280 --> 01:50:18,800
our shock from the mitigation we should in theory be able to now target this
1832
01:50:18,800 --> 01:50:23,040
weak low let's see we get tagged in it's going to
1833
01:50:23,040 --> 01:50:27,040
pull back to us and we're in
1834
01:50:27,040 --> 01:50:31,280
let's see how it goes that's the session timing yeah we're
1835
01:50:31,280 --> 01:50:35,679
coming to spread hours which is not ideal hopefully don't get spiked out
1836
01:50:35,679 --> 01:50:40,080
it's not looking too good let's see if we can get towards london so what's
1837
01:50:40,080 --> 01:50:42,480
happening
1838
01:50:42,560 --> 01:50:45,199
we have this supply zone here all right so you
1839
01:50:45,199 --> 01:50:48,800
started to see bearish autofocus holding it is messy
1840
01:50:48,800 --> 01:50:52,320
taking out this low this is kind of how i'd be analyzing it
1841
01:50:52,320 --> 01:50:56,080
was coming into london at my desk right but we have this one up above so i'd be
1842
01:50:56,080 --> 01:50:59,040
a bit cautious of that that's kind of the last mitigation of
1843
01:50:59,040 --> 01:51:02,800
maybe set an order on that if i wasn't already in
1844
01:51:03,679 --> 01:51:07,920
okay i'm pushing lower but then you have this one as well
1845
01:51:07,920 --> 01:51:10,719
so it's not super clean but if you wanted to get aggressive here because we
1846
01:51:10,719 --> 01:51:14,880
have comments extreme you could look at those two pois
1847
01:51:15,840 --> 01:51:18,159
um
1848
01:51:18,880 --> 01:51:21,760
yeah that one's held
1849
01:51:21,760 --> 01:51:25,599
see if we can try and see if we can take out this low really first
1850
01:51:25,599 --> 01:51:28,960
it looks like we're building a lot of liquidity to the upside but supplies
1851
01:51:28,960 --> 01:51:32,880
holding it's holding what high impact music we got
1852
01:51:32,880 --> 01:51:36,880
powell's speaking um doesn't look like it's about fmc so it
1853
01:51:36,880 --> 01:51:39,840
probably won't okay standing off now
1854
01:51:39,840 --> 01:51:43,440
uh yeah it was pretty messy but you could see supply was holding right so
1855
01:51:43,440 --> 01:51:46,480
intraday opportunities there if you're an m1 trader right just keep trading
1856
01:51:46,480 --> 01:51:49,360
these and you can look but it's not great it's not the best of price action
1857
01:51:49,360 --> 01:51:53,119
we push down here so this would be our last poi so yeah i'll whack a limit on
1858
01:51:53,119 --> 01:51:56,320
that uh the original position basically going
1859
01:51:56,320 --> 01:51:59,040
to hold full volume down towards that low we should take it out in theory
1860
01:51:59,040 --> 01:52:03,040
right we've traded from the strong high we can target the strong low uh but
1861
01:52:03,040 --> 01:52:06,639
let's look at for a scaling this one's not great again didn't sweep liquidity
1862
01:52:06,639 --> 01:52:09,840
doesn't have inducement but just following all the flow at this point
1863
01:52:09,840 --> 01:52:14,880
pro trend happy to take it let's see if we get tagged in
1864
01:52:14,880 --> 01:52:17,840
we have a flip zone here
1865
01:52:19,520 --> 01:52:23,360
but then the super coolity no inducement so it's not the best but
1866
01:52:23,360 --> 01:52:26,800
let's see what wrist award we can get
1867
01:52:28,400 --> 01:52:30,400
all right i'm gonna go on eq just because
1868
01:52:30,400 --> 01:52:33,520
i want to rest all to be on my side to target the low
1869
01:52:33,520 --> 01:52:36,960
put a tp on the low what can we get there
1870
01:52:36,960 --> 01:52:43,639
uh yeah over 10 to 1 rr i'll take that probably will get slapped
1871
01:52:45,199 --> 01:52:48,960
yeah we're out okay we still got the limit on that one
1872
01:52:48,960 --> 01:52:51,360
let's see
1873
01:52:52,639 --> 01:52:57,520
spread hours coming into monday now new week
1874
01:52:57,520 --> 01:53:01,040
so same thing nothing's changed okay we're selling off
1875
01:53:01,040 --> 01:53:04,560
are we made to get anything nothing really
1876
01:53:04,560 --> 01:53:07,679
yeah i mean there's no clear counters there to really look for sales just
1877
01:53:07,679 --> 01:53:11,199
leave that alone haven't taken up the low build those equal lows you see that
1878
01:53:11,199 --> 01:53:14,000
right react to the wick and the weak low it's a weak low because it's failed to
1879
01:53:14,000 --> 01:53:18,000
make a high price reacts to it induced buyers into the market they have loads
1880
01:53:18,000 --> 01:53:22,159
of cell stops below these lows right boom all gets smashed
1881
01:53:22,159 --> 01:53:25,040
so yeah still down the leg now we need to be looking for shorts but you could
1882
01:53:25,040 --> 01:53:28,480
look to potentially look at that last mitigation there
1883
01:53:28,480 --> 01:53:32,320
see if we can take out this four hour low yet
1884
01:53:32,560 --> 01:53:35,920
not quite there's not even a bullish change of
1885
01:53:35,920 --> 01:53:39,280
character to look for a hedge see if that surprising is going to hold
1886
01:53:39,280 --> 01:53:42,239
yep right see how we again same thing that
1887
01:53:42,239 --> 01:53:46,719
we had over here look at this we had a weak low
1888
01:53:46,719 --> 01:53:52,000
all right see don't be buying from this price reacts smashes liquidity below it
1889
01:53:52,000 --> 01:53:55,280
same thing could be happening here right we have this extreme weak low right why
1890
01:53:55,280 --> 01:53:58,159
is it a weak low it's a weak swing low because it failed to take out the swing
1891
01:53:58,159 --> 01:54:00,719
high price reacts from it to build liquidity
1892
01:54:00,719 --> 01:54:03,440
right so you can trade these reactions right you know if you're trading in the
1893
01:54:03,440 --> 01:54:06,400
m1 or whatever or if this was a four hour zone you could trade an m15
1894
01:54:06,400 --> 01:54:09,360
confirmation from here but you have to understand if you're doing it get
1895
01:54:09,360 --> 01:54:12,960
aggressive get out of that trade at the next supply zone or partials or whatever
1896
01:54:12,960 --> 01:54:17,119
you want to do it do not expect this to go on and form new highs all right let's
1897
01:54:17,119 --> 01:54:21,679
see this low can go and then we'll or maybe not maybe it's going to push up
1898
01:54:21,679 --> 01:54:23,119
higher [Music]
1899
01:54:23,119 --> 01:54:25,360
see
1900
01:54:26,239 --> 01:54:29,520
we're coming towards the end of the day
1901
01:54:31,199 --> 01:54:34,960
are we checking out the low not yet come on building more liquidity triple
1902
01:54:34,960 --> 01:54:38,800
bottom now and there we go right so this one here
1903
01:54:38,800 --> 01:54:42,239
these i'm just gonna so that was the limit let me take that off
1904
01:54:42,239 --> 01:54:46,719
never got tagged in this cell from extreme i'm getting low
1905
01:54:46,719 --> 01:54:51,840
on the leg now so i'm going to take off 80 of that
1906
01:54:56,159 --> 01:54:59,440
uh these are the ones i'll tell you what let's see if we can
1907
01:54:59,440 --> 01:55:03,280
take out this extreme low and then we'll probably exit full volume on those
1908
01:55:03,280 --> 01:55:06,639
uh see if we can come into this refined demand zone we might get a decent
1909
01:55:06,639 --> 01:55:10,159
reaction from this let's see i don't know we already tapped
1910
01:55:10,159 --> 01:55:13,520
into it yeah already tapped into it there
1911
01:55:14,239 --> 01:55:17,440
cool so let's just make sure we get for our
1912
01:55:17,440 --> 01:55:21,840
closure but at low yeah definitely looks like we're going to
1913
01:55:21,920 --> 01:55:24,480
oh maybe not um
1914
01:55:24,480 --> 01:55:26,800
okay
1915
01:55:27,119 --> 01:55:30,400
so we have this extreme for our poi which should be ideal price pulls back
1916
01:55:30,400 --> 01:55:33,599
up to right for this last week of the month
1917
01:55:33,599 --> 01:55:38,560
we have to be aware we're an extreme sort of this extreme daily low down here
1918
01:55:38,560 --> 01:55:43,440
so don't be too aggressive we have this zone as well
1919
01:55:43,440 --> 01:55:46,800
excuse me so these would be the kind of the two main four apis i'd be looking at
1920
01:55:46,800 --> 01:55:50,400
so let's clone this actually to uh so you can see where there is that's up
1921
01:55:50,400 --> 01:55:54,960
here and then the other one as well
1922
01:55:56,000 --> 01:55:59,440
um price actually not very clear up there so ideally we want to be looking
1923
01:55:59,440 --> 01:56:03,760
for shorts within this for our poi but we do have lower pois on the leg
1924
01:56:03,760 --> 01:56:07,040
right we had this mitigation here obviously price could come up into the
1925
01:56:07,040 --> 01:56:10,960
refined supply but it was a nice sweep zone
1926
01:56:10,960 --> 01:56:14,400
all right price swept pushed down came back up on mitigate another push down so
1927
01:56:14,400 --> 01:56:18,480
this is the last mitigation so it could be a bit aggressive but yeah
1928
01:56:18,480 --> 01:56:21,520
the high property ones are this for our poi right this level here and then this
1929
01:56:21,520 --> 01:56:25,520
level up here uh this for our demand i expect to now
1930
01:56:25,520 --> 01:56:28,400
fail that we're reacting from why because we had a big reaction from it
1931
01:56:28,400 --> 01:56:31,599
right we tapped the orders we pushed up and now their reactions failed it failed
1932
01:56:31,599 --> 01:56:34,480
to put in a higher height it failed to take out supply supply still in control
1933
01:56:34,480 --> 01:56:36,960
so i'm not really paying much attention to this now
1934
01:56:36,960 --> 01:56:40,880
so we can be a bit aggressive here
1935
01:56:40,880 --> 01:56:43,840
again if you want to have your strike rate as high as possible you know you
1936
01:56:43,840 --> 01:56:47,760
don't want to be doing this i've got 25 um you want to be looking at the 4-hour
1937
01:56:47,760 --> 01:56:50,639
pois okay but you know you can see the logic
1938
01:56:50,639 --> 01:56:55,440
behind us this is the last mitigation swept the liquidity behind these highs
1939
01:56:55,440 --> 01:56:58,320
nice decent push but there's no inducement which isn't really that ideal
1940
01:56:58,320 --> 01:57:02,159
so could get slapped here see he's gonna pull back what news is
1941
01:57:02,159 --> 01:57:04,960
that testify yes just power speaking it's
1942
01:57:04,960 --> 01:57:09,599
nothing no big deal or maybe it is
1943
01:57:09,599 --> 01:57:12,800
let's see okay that's hell and we're taking the
1944
01:57:12,800 --> 01:57:15,920
low so i'm going to take heavy partials on that because this is an aggressive
1945
01:57:15,920 --> 01:57:18,239
trade in fact i'm just going to get out of it
1946
01:57:18,239 --> 01:57:21,840
four partials there eight percent i'll take that all day
1947
01:57:21,840 --> 01:57:25,400
cool um
1948
01:57:26,239 --> 01:57:29,199
we could come into this now all right it's just getting very messy right we
1949
01:57:29,199 --> 01:57:32,239
swept these lows aggressive retrace back into this supply zone right follow the
1950
01:57:32,239 --> 01:57:34,480
mitigations uh
1951
01:57:34,480 --> 01:57:37,760
i'm just going to leave it see if we can come up into this four up here why did
1952
01:57:37,760 --> 01:57:39,840
he
1953
01:57:43,520 --> 01:57:46,719
i just want to get through this week reasonably quickly now just don't want
1954
01:57:46,719 --> 01:57:49,280
this video to be i have no idea how long i've been going it feels like about two
1955
01:57:49,280 --> 01:57:53,199
hours okay so we've taken out those daily lows
1956
01:57:53,199 --> 01:57:55,440
so boom let's let's take some pretty heavy
1957
01:57:55,440 --> 01:57:59,040
partials now um [Music]
1958
01:57:59,040 --> 01:58:03,440
we've already taken partials we can just close 50 of what we had left
1959
01:58:03,440 --> 01:58:06,639
50 and then
1960
01:58:06,639 --> 01:58:10,190
i forgot which one is which now and that one there 50
1961
01:58:10,190 --> 01:58:14,560
[Music] cool so
1962
01:58:14,560 --> 01:58:18,400
try not to sneeze i really need to sneeze uh we're taking out the low
1963
01:58:18,400 --> 01:58:22,320
um where's our next four up here why it's here
1964
01:58:23,119 --> 01:58:28,000
all right so let's clone that to uh
1965
01:58:28,239 --> 01:58:32,320
okay what can we trade from in here well
1966
01:58:32,719 --> 01:58:37,679
we've got that's been mitigated that's been mitigated so we have this zone here
1967
01:58:37,679 --> 01:58:42,159
probably refinance wick swept the liquidity behind this high
1968
01:58:42,159 --> 01:58:46,400
all right no inducement let's see our price pulls back up to it what news do
1969
01:58:46,400 --> 01:58:50,320
we have power speaking again what is going on this week speaking a lot
1970
01:58:50,320 --> 01:58:54,320
okay it looks like i'm just dumping uh what's the time yeah coming to new york
1971
01:58:54,320 --> 01:58:58,800
so we can be a bit more aggressive because momentum is likely to continue
1972
01:58:58,800 --> 01:59:03,840
just trying to see what kind of probably this one here because
1973
01:59:04,560 --> 01:59:08,560
it has inducement yeah i don't really like these ones are
1974
01:59:08,560 --> 01:59:12,320
too long on the legs let's put a settlement on that
1975
01:59:12,320 --> 01:59:15,679
what's the next news we've got so look at a sec
1976
01:59:15,679 --> 01:59:20,080
we have him speaking again yeah i don't know what's going on that week
1977
01:59:20,080 --> 01:59:23,199
okay we just dumped off from that decision there not to worry is what it
1978
01:59:23,199 --> 01:59:25,440
is that wasn't super high probability in my
1979
01:59:25,440 --> 01:59:27,760
opinion but this is what i mean right if it comes into session opens that was
1980
01:59:27,760 --> 01:59:31,679
kind of bang on new york opening you can be a lot more aggressive with these pois
1981
01:59:31,679 --> 01:59:34,560
uh especially momentum's like this right and then yeah we're absolutely selling
1982
01:59:34,560 --> 01:59:39,119
off now so i'm gonna pull that order let's see how far we're gonna go we'll
1983
01:59:39,119 --> 01:59:42,239
just do this to the end of the end of the week and then
1984
01:59:42,239 --> 01:59:47,760
wow okay i don't really want to be selling the slow on the leg
1985
01:59:49,119 --> 01:59:52,080
i've even been thinking about long zone until we see some clear
1986
01:59:52,080 --> 01:59:54,960
sustained bullish water flow with demand holding
1987
01:59:54,960 --> 01:59:58,480
spy okay so this is what i mean right you can be aggressive here so
1988
01:59:58,480 --> 02:00:02,800
there'll be sweep liquidity um it doesn't look like we did no we didn't
1989
02:00:02,800 --> 02:00:05,760
sweep those highs so really
1990
02:00:05,760 --> 02:00:08,719
i mean so with continuations right what you want to see is you want to see
1991
02:00:08,719 --> 02:00:11,840
structural liquidity get swept which you did here but then price pushed down
1992
02:00:11,840 --> 02:00:15,840
mitigated that supply and it's pushed down so whereas if i had to come up
1993
02:00:15,840 --> 02:00:19,520
again and if i had to swept that high if i drop them properly
1994
02:00:19,520 --> 02:00:22,639
if i had to swept this high i'd be a lot more confident to want to take that
1995
02:00:22,639 --> 02:00:26,000
short but because it hasn't yeah it doesn't fill me with a lot of
1996
02:00:26,000 --> 02:00:29,440
confidence to want to put a limit on that
1997
02:00:29,599 --> 02:00:33,520
yeah swept it now okay
1998
02:00:34,080 --> 02:00:37,760
so we could yeah it's just not clear right it's not i'd want to see that logo
1999
02:00:37,760 --> 02:00:41,360
really it's just messing around but yeah we've dumped okay but that was
2000
02:00:41,360 --> 02:00:44,239
aggressive short we should have taken but you see how once it swept and then
2001
02:00:44,239 --> 02:00:47,760
it was ready to go all right
2002
02:00:47,760 --> 02:00:51,040
it swept the high but there was no british change of character really but
2003
02:00:51,040 --> 02:00:54,159
essentially it pulled back up into that bar to serbia it's very very aggressive
2004
02:00:54,159 --> 02:00:58,159
trading uh but we have now another four-hour poi
2005
02:00:58,159 --> 02:01:01,920
here so now we've got something a bit more you know uh
2006
02:01:01,920 --> 02:01:05,679
substantial to work with right the zone we were just looking at
2007
02:01:05,679 --> 02:01:11,840
so we can clone that on what do we have within here we have that supply zone
2008
02:01:11,840 --> 02:01:16,400
all right it's kind of mitigated though it's not yeah not that clean
2009
02:01:16,400 --> 02:01:19,199
but we can put a limit on that just because it's
2010
02:01:19,199 --> 02:01:24,400
near the extreme and it's swept liquidity 25
2011
02:01:24,400 --> 02:01:27,199
okay let's go
2012
02:01:28,480 --> 02:01:32,880
what news have we got powell doing his thing
2013
02:01:33,360 --> 02:01:37,440
okay yeah so it's coming to the decision again fair enough
2014
02:01:37,440 --> 02:01:40,400
did we sweep that high
2015
02:01:40,960 --> 02:01:44,880
does it look like we did no i won't be too keen on selling from
2016
02:01:44,880 --> 02:01:48,040
there then
2017
02:01:50,159 --> 02:01:53,920
um might go from here see
2018
02:01:56,560 --> 02:02:00,159
yeah that would have been a nice entry don't like any of this price action now
2019
02:02:00,159 --> 02:02:05,199
though kind of waiting for let's see we've taken out this low
2020
02:02:05,199 --> 02:02:07,679
it's probably not i'm trying to speed up for the sake of the video time but now
2021
02:02:07,679 --> 02:02:09,920
i'm missing sort of what's going on with the price
2022
02:02:09,920 --> 02:02:13,119
action we haven't taken out this low so technically this is a weak high so far
2023
02:02:13,119 --> 02:02:16,239
so we want to trade from that um
2024
02:02:16,239 --> 02:02:19,840
yeah let's just leave it
2025
02:02:20,159 --> 02:02:24,080
uh nice equal highs as well to be swept into our poi what news is coming up
2026
02:02:24,080 --> 02:02:27,360
nothing too major
2027
02:02:27,360 --> 02:02:31,360
or is that gonna what news is that
2028
02:02:31,360 --> 02:02:34,639
cool pc yes let's leave it that's not there's no point in taking a really
2029
02:02:34,639 --> 02:02:37,840
aggressive trading time picking you so we'll get rid of that limit
2030
02:02:37,840 --> 02:02:40,400
uh see there's four up here i can hold if it doesn't hold i'll probably take
2031
02:02:40,400 --> 02:02:44,360
some more partials on these trades
2032
02:02:46,400 --> 02:02:49,760
okay looks like that would have been a nice sell so far
2033
02:02:49,760 --> 02:02:53,599
price action's super messy so don't be trading any of this let's bring on to
2034
02:02:53,599 --> 02:02:56,480
okay and that's the end of the week so i'll tell you what that brings us to
2035
02:02:56,480 --> 02:03:01,159
october so let's exit all positions
2036
02:03:01,199 --> 02:03:04,639
cool so i mean 100
2037
02:03:04,639 --> 02:03:07,040
yeah i mean here's the thing right
2038
02:03:07,040 --> 02:03:11,040
the r is there i don't feel like at you know hopefully at this stage of the
2039
02:03:11,040 --> 02:03:14,560
course you guys need to be proved that the the purpose of this video was not
2040
02:03:14,560 --> 02:03:18,560
really to say you know look at the insane all you can make because you
2041
02:03:18,560 --> 02:03:22,719
should know that you know already by now in reality
2042
02:03:22,719 --> 02:03:25,679
trading is not as easy as this right there's going to be tons of emotions
2043
02:03:25,679 --> 02:03:28,560
involved you know always going to be at peak performance right you're going to
2044
02:03:28,560 --> 02:03:31,040
miss trades you're going to mismanage things it's not going to be easy to just
2045
02:03:31,040 --> 02:03:33,520
hold on to these trades for this long right we've gone through an entire
2046
02:03:33,520 --> 02:03:36,719
month's worth of price action in a few hours okay so i'm not going to you know
2047
02:03:36,719 --> 02:03:39,840
this isn't to sit here and go look you should be making 100 every month right
2048
02:03:39,840 --> 02:03:42,880
yeah you might be able to do that on a 500 account but when you're training
2049
02:03:42,880 --> 02:03:46,239
serious capital you know you have a life to fund a real life you have financial
2050
02:03:46,239 --> 02:03:49,119
obligations you're not necessarily going to be holding on to all these trades for
2051
02:03:49,119 --> 02:03:52,159
that long okay but it is possible it's there it's
2052
02:03:52,159 --> 02:03:57,199
doable you're limiting beliefs you know they need to be raising wherever that
2053
02:03:57,199 --> 02:04:01,679
limit is that bar and pushing it to the upside right you know that i i got rid
2054
02:04:01,679 --> 02:04:04,880
of most of the volume of most of these trades at the nearest 4-hour low whereas
2055
02:04:04,880 --> 02:04:07,599
you know if you held on you know i'm not gonna do the math for
2056
02:04:07,599 --> 02:04:10,480
you but there's a lot there right but the logic's there hopefully you guys
2057
02:04:10,480 --> 02:04:13,760
understand it i did take quite a lot of aggressive trade as well just to kind of
2058
02:04:13,760 --> 02:04:18,320
show you that losses really don't mean anything yet um like if you go on a
2059
02:04:18,320 --> 02:04:21,599
massive loss streak you know it it really doesn't mean
2060
02:04:21,599 --> 02:04:25,280
because the risk reward is on your side okay um
2061
02:04:25,280 --> 02:04:28,159
also um you know
2062
02:04:28,159 --> 02:04:31,199
with those aggressive trades i tried to point out reason why they're aggressive
2063
02:04:31,199 --> 02:04:33,679
and i try to explain to you you shouldn't really be taking these if
2064
02:04:33,679 --> 02:04:36,239
you're not consistent because there's no inducer on the leg they didn't suit
2065
02:04:36,239 --> 02:04:38,719
liquidity but the time to do it if you do want to
2066
02:04:38,719 --> 02:04:41,599
be aggressive is at you know those session timings ideally at the start of
2067
02:04:41,599 --> 02:04:45,360
the london or the new york session where momentum okay is on your side rather
2068
02:04:45,360 --> 02:04:47,280
than doing it during the asian session where you're much more likely to get
2069
02:04:47,280 --> 02:04:52,719
swept out during corrective moves but yeah is what it is my um uh goal with
2070
02:04:52,719 --> 02:04:55,520
these is kind of i'll probably do this maybe for each kind of month going
2071
02:04:55,520 --> 02:04:58,800
forward so we'll do a recap of the hard time frame price action uh maybe i'll do
2072
02:04:58,800 --> 02:05:01,599
the next one on trading view uh which obviously isn't as great for kind of
2073
02:05:01,599 --> 02:05:05,679
recording trade stats and stuff but it will allow us to kind of analyze price a
2074
02:05:05,679 --> 02:05:11,520
little bit clearer uh and um uh you know we can kind of probably
2075
02:05:11,520 --> 02:05:14,159
understand price action a little bit easier rather than it is on kind of
2076
02:05:14,159 --> 02:05:17,119
doing on soft effects but there you go you can kind of see the equity curve
2077
02:05:17,119 --> 02:05:21,520
pretty smooth up to curve there right um you know closing closings the balance
2078
02:05:21,520 --> 02:05:24,239
stays pretty near the equity curve which essentially means you're closing your
2079
02:05:24,239 --> 02:05:27,760
profits and you're letting equity run away uh and try and kind of swing for
2080
02:05:27,760 --> 02:05:33,199
the fences on that and then you can look at the the statistics here so um
2081
02:05:33,199 --> 02:05:37,679
yeah pretty decent strike rate there uh we had 25 wins
2082
02:05:37,679 --> 02:05:42,400
uh 15 losses uh i'm trying to see where's the
2083
02:05:42,400 --> 02:05:46,000
so five losses in a row you know if you had those five losses at the start
2084
02:05:46,000 --> 02:05:49,119
would you be down in a strategy would you be doubting your own ability um you
2085
02:05:49,119 --> 02:05:52,079
know you probably would and it just goes you've got to keep executing um keep
2086
02:05:52,079 --> 02:05:55,119
following your plan yeah and just trust in the process and it is there so i'll
2087
02:05:55,119 --> 02:05:58,159
leave that there this is a pretty long video um but yeah we'll do a few a few
2088
02:05:58,159 --> 02:06:01,119
more of these in the future i hope you took some value from that and i will see
2089
02:06:01,119 --> 02:06:03,760
you next time cheers207326
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